Презентация

TeleconferenceDBMS Market OverviewNoel Yuhanna

Senior Analyst

Forrester Research

December 12, 2006. Call in at 12:55 p.m. Eastern Time

2Entire contents © 2006 Forrester Research, Inc. All rights reserved.

Theme

DBMS Market will continue to grow at a

modest pace over the next five years.


Agenda

• Drivers and trends for 2007 and beyond

• DBMS Market size — current and future

• DBMS vendors


Drivers and Trends

• Drivers

» Data volumes growing at a fast pace

» Increasing compliance pressure continues

» Growing complexity of data — structured/unstructured

» Increasing cost concerns on data management

• Trends

» Adoption of open source databases will increase

» Standardization and consolidation of databases is top initiative

» Database security has become a top priority

» Need for real-time information and data sharing

» Need for long-term data retention grows


DBMS Trends 2007-2010

• Popularity of XML databases grows

• Unstructured data moves into databases for better data mgt.

• Demand for in-memory/cache database grows

• Requirements for automated self-managing databases grow

• Open source databases will account for 10% of DBMS Market

• High available databases — true 24x7 DBMS


DBMS revenue forecast through 2010

Source: Forrester

$ B

illio

n

BreakdownOracle – 38%IBM – 32%Microsoft – 24%Sybase – 2%OSDB/Others – 5%

0.00

5.00

10.00

15.00

20.00

25.00

30.00

35.00

40.00

45.00

50.00

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

Licenses$11B

$17B

$26B

$42B

Support

Services


DBMS Survey: Revenue vs. DBMS used

SQ

L S

erve

r

SQ

L S

erve

r

SQ

L S

erve

r

SQ

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erve

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SQ

L S

erve

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Ora

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Ora

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Ora

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Ora

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Ora

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DB

2

DB

2

DB

2

DB

2

DB

2

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

Less than$100 million

$100 millionto less than $500 million

$500 million toless than$1 billion

$1 billion to$10 billion

More than $10billion

SQL Server Oracle

DB2

Source: Forrester


Largest database in production for transactional apps

Less than 100 GB 12%

100 GB to 499 GB 17%

500 GB to less than 1 TB 24%

1 TB to less than 2 TB

7%

2 TB to 5 TB 19%

More than 5 TB 21%

Source: Forrester (DBMS Survey 2006)


How quickly is data growing for the critical databases in your organization?

Less than 10% per year 4%

10% to 24% per year 51%

25% to 49% per year 24%

50% to 74% per year 2%

75% to 100% per year 2%

More than 100% per year 2%

Don’t know 15%



What are the top three database management challenges?

Delivering high availability 56%

High data volume growth 51%

Data integration issues 51%

Lack of resources 49%

Securing private data 44%

Delivering improved performance 40%

High data management costs 33%

Lack of database tools 27%

Too many database patches 24%

Others 9%



What are the top initiatives that you are currently pursuing or plan to pursue over the next three years?

Database consolidation 57%

Database standardization 55%

HA and DR 41%

Real-time data warehouse 39 %

Database archiving 34%

Grid computing (data grids) 23%

XML data 18%

Unstructured data 9%



DBMS Survey: Which DBMS is used in Production?

Oracle 67%

SQL Server 55%

DB2 51%

Revenues > $500M

DBMS product% of enterprises

using DBMS

SQL Server 81%

Oracle 77%

DB2 53%

Access 28%

Sybase 23%

IMS 19%

Informix 19%

MySQL 17%

Teradata 13%

Adabas 9%

IDMS 8%

PostgreSQL 4%

Filemaker 2%

Ingres 2%

Progress 2%Source: DBMS 2006 Survey


Closed source DBMS adoption of new releases

(Months) — After product release

012 24 36

20

50

SQL Server 2005

Oracle 10g

10

30

40

% o

f cu

stom

ers

mig

rate

d

DB2 V9

50% in 3 ye

ars

Sybase 15


Oracle

Strengths

+ 10g offers strong manageability and automation

+ Oracle commitment on Linux grows

+ RAC is a key differentiator

+ Focusing on innovation — security, grid, app-db integration

+ $1B companies still prefer Oracle over other DBMSes

Weaknesses

- 10g adoption has been below average

- Too many security vulnerabilities

- Price still a major concern

- Charging for add-ons


IBM DB2

Strengths

+ Focusing on information management

+ DB2 V9 - XML, automation and performance

+ Leads in performance — TPC-C and TPC-H benchmarks

+ Easier to work with partners

+ Mainframe customers continue to expand on distributed platforms

Weaknesses

- Still seen as a follower in DBMS technology

- IBM seen to be less aggressive in DBMS than Oracle and Microsoft

- Overall adoption of DB2 is average, weak in Windows and slow on Linux

- Security solutions remain weak


Microsoft SQL Server

Strengths

+ SQL Server 2005 gains momentum — 20% have upgraded

+ Has the largest enterprise install base

+ Low cost and easy of use remain key strengths

+ Integration with development tools

+ Higher customer satisfaction than other DBMSes

+ Almost caught up with Oracle on the technology front

Weaknesses

- High-end scalability concerns have declined — many 1TB+ databases

- Concerns on SQL Server 2005 complexity exists

- Heterogeneous environments still a low focus


Sybase

Strengths

+ Reliable database technology remains the key

+ Good performance in medium- to large-sized database deployments

+ Dominates financial sector with more than 60% deployments

+ Continues to extend coverage on mobile and data services

+ Expanding its data services solutions to support other DBMSes

+ Growth continues

Weaknesses

- Seen as less innovative than Oracle/Microsoft, but that is changing

- Not seen as aggressive to go after other DBMSes

- Focusing more on data services


MySQL

Strengths

+ Largest mindshare/community in OSDB category

+ High rate of adoption among other open source databases

+ Largest ecosystem — tools and partners

+ Ease of use and deployment

+ High code quality

Weaknesses

- Average features — not cutting edge

- Getting its act together on transactional engine

- Slow in rolling out new features


Specialized DBMSes adoption will continue

• XML Database

• In-memory Database

• Object Database

• Embedded Database

• Java Database

• Mobile Database


Recommendations

• Standardize on one or two enterprise DBMSes

• Open source databases should be part of your DBMS strategy

• Database security needs to be a top priority

• Look at consolidating databases every two years

• Automate to achieve efficiency and control cost, including the use of third-party tools

• Look at specialized DBMSes where traditional DBMSes fall short


Noel Yuhanna

+1 650/581-3807

[email protected]

www.forrester.com

Thank you

Презентация

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dbms trends

forrester dbms survey

better data

private data

theme dbms market

dbms revenue forecast

future dbms vendors