5g market potential and status update€¦ · why net neutrality matters network neutrality...

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Ericsson Internal | 2018-03-12 5G Market Potential and Status Update Painel Telebrasil 2018 IEEE 5G Summit Tiago Machado Ericsson Brazil 2018-05-22

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Page 1: 5G Market Potential and Status Update€¦ · Why net neutrality matters Network Neutrality —Science of limited resources —From homogeneity to network slicing —FCC stance versus

Ericsson Internal | 2018-03-12

5G Market Potential and Status Update

Painel Telebrasil 2018IEEE 5G Summit

Tiago Machado Ericsson Brazil 2018-05-22

Page 2: 5G Market Potential and Status Update€¦ · Why net neutrality matters Network Neutrality —Science of limited resources —From homogeneity to network slicing —FCC stance versus

Ericsson Internal | 2018-03-12

The Generations: from Voice to IoT

Page 3: 5G Market Potential and Status Update€¦ · Why net neutrality matters Network Neutrality —Science of limited resources —From homogeneity to network slicing —FCC stance versus

Ericsson Internal | 2018-03-12

New revenue streams from 5G

Page 4: 5G Market Potential and Status Update€¦ · Why net neutrality matters Network Neutrality —Science of limited resources —From homogeneity to network slicing —FCC stance versus

Ericsson Internal | 2018-03-12

New revenue streams from 5G

Page 5: 5G Market Potential and Status Update€¦ · Why net neutrality matters Network Neutrality —Science of limited resources —From homogeneity to network slicing —FCC stance versus

Ericsson Internal | 2018-03-12

5G evolution goes beyond Radio Access

Page 6: 5G Market Potential and Status Update€¦ · Why net neutrality matters Network Neutrality —Science of limited resources —From homogeneity to network slicing —FCC stance versus

Ericsson Internal | 2018-03-12

5G high level time plan

Page 7: 5G Market Potential and Status Update€¦ · Why net neutrality matters Network Neutrality —Science of limited resources —From homogeneity to network slicing —FCC stance versus

5G in Brazil

Page 8: 5G Market Potential and Status Update€¦ · Why net neutrality matters Network Neutrality —Science of limited resources —From homogeneity to network slicing —FCC stance versus

Ericsson Internal | 2018-03-12

Brazilian citiesMotivationfor Rural Coverage

(2017) Brasil Centro Oeste Nordeste Norte Sudeste Sul

Cities 5.570 8,38% 32,21% 8,08% 29,95% 21,38%

Demographic Density 24,4 hab/km² 9,88 hab/km² 36,84 hab/km² 4,65 hab/km² 94,04 hab/km² 52,58 hab/km²

Populational densityinhabitants/Km2

[2017]IBGE and EMPRAPA

Page 9: 5G Market Potential and Status Update€¦ · Why net neutrality matters Network Neutrality —Science of limited resources —From homogeneity to network slicing —FCC stance versus

Ericsson Internal | 2018-03-12

5G RANGEOverview

5G-RANGE – 5G-Remote Area Access Network for 5Th GEnerationEU-Brazil Joint Call - H2020-EUB-2017

List of ParticipantsEU Partners

Universidad Carlos III de Madrid (Spain) - Coordinator

Technische Universität Dresden (Germany)

University of Oulu (Finland)

Telefónica I+D (Spain)

Brazilian PartnersInatel (Instituto Nacional de Telecomunicações)

CPqD (Centro de Pesquisa e Desenvolvimento em Telecomunicações)

USP (Universidade de São Paulo)

UFC (Universidade Federal do Ceará)

UnB (Universidade de Brasília) - Coordinator

Ericsson Brazil

Page 10: 5G Market Potential and Status Update€¦ · Why net neutrality matters Network Neutrality —Science of limited resources —From homogeneity to network slicing —FCC stance versus

Ericsson Internal | 2018-03-12

5G RANGEOverview

— Context

— Limited availability of Internet Broadband access in remote areas

— Demand not met with current technologies and products

— Low population density

— Geographical barriers

— Large distances

— Usage of licensed bands

— Objectives

— Design, develop, implement and validate the mechanisms to enable the 5G network to provide an economically effective solution for Internet access for remote areas:

— Use of cognitive radio approach employing both licensed and unlicensed frequencies

— New waveform in order to provide the desirable dynamic and fragmented spectrum allocation.

— Cell radius above 50 km (>100Mbps at the edge)

— Novel contributions on 5G standards in support of global industry consensus e.g. through submission of joint contributions in these fora by EU and Brazilian players

— Internet Penetration

80%

10%

Page 11: 5G Market Potential and Status Update€¦ · Why net neutrality matters Network Neutrality —Science of limited resources —From homogeneity to network slicing —FCC stance versus

Ericsson Internal | 2018-03-12

High Capacity Transport

2016 Cities withoutOptical Backhaul

Midwest 181Northeast 1.095North 250Southeast 651South 168

In blue: cities with Optical BackhaulIn blank: cities without Optical Backhaul

Optical backhaul [2016]ANATEL

Page 12: 5G Market Potential and Status Update€¦ · Why net neutrality matters Network Neutrality —Science of limited resources —From homogeneity to network slicing —FCC stance versus

Ericsson Internal | 2018-03-12

Infrastructure and digitalization are key enablers

SpectrumAvailability

SpectrumCaps

SpectrumPricing

SiteViability

— Infrastructure enablers

Page 13: 5G Market Potential and Status Update€¦ · Why net neutrality matters Network Neutrality —Science of limited resources —From homogeneity to network slicing —FCC stance versus

Ericsson Internal | 2018-03-12

Infrastructure and digitalization are key enablers

SpectrumAvailability

SpectrumCaps

SpectrumPricing

SiteViability

— Infrastructure enablers

NetworkNeutrality

DataPrivacy

Cybersecurity

IndustrialPolicy

— Digitalization enablers

Page 14: 5G Market Potential and Status Update€¦ · Why net neutrality matters Network Neutrality —Science of limited resources —From homogeneity to network slicing —FCC stance versus

Ericsson Internal | 2018-03-12

Spectrum for 5G introduction

Page 15: 5G Market Potential and Status Update€¦ · Why net neutrality matters Network Neutrality —Science of limited resources —From homogeneity to network slicing —FCC stance versus

Ericsson Internal | 2017-12-19

Three layers of spectrum are needed: Low, Mid, High

High Bands 6GHz

Mid Bands 1-6GHz

Low Bands < 1GHz

Super data layer

Coverage & Capacity

Coverage Layer

Page 16: 5G Market Potential and Status Update€¦ · Why net neutrality matters Network Neutrality —Science of limited resources —From homogeneity to network slicing —FCC stance versus

Ericsson Internal | 2017-12-19

POTENTIAL

Available bandwidth in 600MHz in Brazil100

MHz

APPLICATIONS

FWAeMBB Rural IoT

BASE

Potential reuse of existinginfrastructureRural coverage

GlobalRoaming

Lower bands enable coverage

Logistics

High Bands 6GHz

Mid Bands 1-6GHz

Low Bands < 1GHz

Super data layer

Coverage & Capacity

Coverage Layer

Page 17: 5G Market Potential and Status Update€¦ · Why net neutrality matters Network Neutrality —Science of limited resources —From homogeneity to network slicing —FCC stance versus

Ericsson Internal | 2017-12-19

POTENTIAL

Available bandwidth in 2.3 + 3.5GHz in Brazil, considering LSA inC-Band

500MHz

APPLICATIONS

IoTeMBB Industry 4.0 Smart Cities

BASE

Potential reuse of existinginfrastructureUrban coverage

GlobalRoaming

Mid-bands have the balance of Coverage x Capacity

High Bands 6GHz

Mid Bands 1-6GHz

Low Bands < 1GHz

Super data layer

Coverage & Capacity

Coverage Layer

Page 18: 5G Market Potential and Status Update€¦ · Why net neutrality matters Network Neutrality —Science of limited resources —From homogeneity to network slicing —FCC stance versus

Ericsson Internal | 2017-12-19

POTENTIAL

Available bandwidth in

millimeter Waves above

24GHz up to E-Band in

Brazil>10

GHz

APPLICATIONS

Self Driving

Cars

Remote

Medicine Robots VR/AR

BASE

Indoor, urban,

private, local, short

range, multi-layer Global

Roaming

mmWave will add 10x more capacity

High Bands 6GHz

Mid Bands 1-6GHz

Low Bands < 1GHz

Super data layer

Coverage & Capacity

Coverage Layer

Page 19: 5G Market Potential and Status Update€¦ · Why net neutrality matters Network Neutrality —Science of limited resources —From homogeneity to network slicing —FCC stance versus

Ericsson Internal | 2017-12-19

3.5GHz is available worldwide: the prime 5G band

100MHz or less

200MHz

300MHz

400MHz

Page 20: 5G Market Potential and Status Update€¦ · Why net neutrality matters Network Neutrality —Science of limited resources —From homogeneity to network slicing —FCC stance versus

Ericsson Internal | 2017-12-19

Millimetric bands under study at ITU WRC-19From 24.25 to 86GHz, a total of 33GHz is targeted

24.25

27.5

31.8

33.4

37

40.5

42.5 45.5 66.0

76.0

81.0 86.0

52.6

50.4

43.5 50.247

47.2

allocations to the mobile service on a primary basis

may require additional allocations to mobile

Page 21: 5G Market Potential and Status Update€¦ · Why net neutrality matters Network Neutrality —Science of limited resources —From homogeneity to network slicing —FCC stance versus

Ericsson Internal | 2017-12-19

Millimetric bands under study at ITU WRC-19From 24.25 to 86GHz, a total of 33GHz is targeted

24.25

27.5

31.8

33.4

37

40.5

42.5 45.5 66.0

76.0

81.0 86.0

52.6

50.4

43.5 50.247

47.2

allocations to the mobile service on a primary basis

may require additional allocations to mobile

1 24GHz24.25-27.5

Global Priorities

Page 22: 5G Market Potential and Status Update€¦ · Why net neutrality matters Network Neutrality —Science of limited resources —From homogeneity to network slicing —FCC stance versus

Ericsson Internal | 2017-12-19

Millimetric bands under study at ITU WRC-19From 24.25 to 86GHz, a total of 33GHz is targeted

24.25

27.5

31.8

33.4

37

40.5

42.5 45.5 66.0

76.0

81.0 86.0

52.6

50.4

43.5 50.247

47.2

allocations to the mobile service on a primary basis

may require additional allocations to mobile

2 42GHz40.5-43.5

1 24GHz24.25-27.5

Global Priorities

Page 23: 5G Market Potential and Status Update€¦ · Why net neutrality matters Network Neutrality —Science of limited resources —From homogeneity to network slicing —FCC stance versus

Ericsson Internal | 2017-12-19

Millimetric bands under study at ITU WRC-19From 24.25 to 86GHz, a total of 33GHz is targeted

24.25

27.5

31.8

33.4

37

40.5

42.5 45.5 66.0

76.0

81.0 86.0

52.6

50.4

43.5 50.247

47.2

allocations to the mobile service on a primary basis

may require additional allocations to mobile

2 42GHz40.5-43.5

3 70GHz66-76

1 24GHz24.25-27.5

Global Priorities

Page 24: 5G Market Potential and Status Update€¦ · Why net neutrality matters Network Neutrality —Science of limited resources —From homogeneity to network slicing —FCC stance versus

Ericsson Internal | 2017-12-19

Millimetric bands under study at ITU WRC-19From 24.25 to 86GHz, a total of 33GHz is targeted

24.25

27.5

31.8

33.4

37

40.5

42.5 45.5 66.0

76.0

81.0 86.0

52.6

50.4

43.5 50.247

47.2

allocations to the mobile service on a primary basis

may require additional allocations to mobile

2 42GHz40.5-43.5

3 70GHz66-76

4 48GHz45.5-52.6

1 24GHz24.25-27.5

Global Priorities

Page 25: 5G Market Potential and Status Update€¦ · Why net neutrality matters Network Neutrality —Science of limited resources —From homogeneity to network slicing —FCC stance versus

Ericsson Internal | 2017-12-19

Millimetric bands under study at ITU WRC-19From 24.25 to 86GHz, a total of 33GHz is targeted

24.25

27.5

31.8

33.4

37

40.5

42.5 45.5 66.0

76.0

81.0 86.0

52.6

50.4

43.5 50.247

47.2

allocations to the mobile service on a primary basis

may require additional allocations to mobile

2 42GHz40.5-43.5

3 70GHz66-76

5 32GHz31.8-33.4

4 48GHz45.5-52.6

1 24GHz24.25-27.5

Global Priorities

Page 26: 5G Market Potential and Status Update€¦ · Why net neutrality matters Network Neutrality —Science of limited resources —From homogeneity to network slicing —FCC stance versus

Ericsson Internal | 2017-12-19

Millimetric bands under study at ITU WRC-19From 24.25 to 86GHz, a total of 33GHz is targeted

24.25

27.5

31.8

33.4

37

40.5

42.5 45.5 66.0

76.0

81.0 86.0

52.6

50.4

43.5 50.247

47.2

allocations to the mobile service on a primary basis

may require additional allocations to mobile

2 42GHz40.5-43.5

3 70GHz66-76

5 32GHz31.8-33.4

4 48GHz45.5-52.6

6 85GHz81-86

1 24GHz24.25-27.5

Global Priorities

Page 27: 5G Market Potential and Status Update€¦ · Why net neutrality matters Network Neutrality —Science of limited resources —From homogeneity to network slicing —FCC stance versus

Ericsson Internal | 2017-12-19

Ongoing draft laws in Brazil

— PLS 330 / 2013

— PL 5276 / 2016

Main topics

— Data protection authority

— Personal data

— Sensitive data

— Anonymized data

— International Data Flows

— Consent: explicit vs implicit

— Identifiable vs identified user

US approach

— Focus on private contracts

— Broader trade and competition regulation

— Implicit consent

— Open data flows

EU approach: GDPR

— Focus on user protection

— Data protection authority

— Explicit consent

— Limited non-EU data flows

— EU Digital Single Market

Digitalization Enablers: Why data privacy matters

Page 28: 5G Market Potential and Status Update€¦ · Why net neutrality matters Network Neutrality —Science of limited resources —From homogeneity to network slicing —FCC stance versus

Ericsson Internal | 2017-12-19

Digitalization Enablers: Why net neutrality matters

Network Neutrality

— Science of limited resources

— From homogeneity to network slicing

— FCC stance versus Europe

— Latency over throughput

— The myth of fast lanes

US movement vs EU instance

Brazilian Internet Civil Framework & Decree

Definition of Net

Neutrality

Userdemand

BusinessOpportunity

Techevolution5G & IoT

MarketEquilibrium

Basic Rights

andRules

Page 29: 5G Market Potential and Status Update€¦ · Why net neutrality matters Network Neutrality —Science of limited resources —From homogeneity to network slicing —FCC stance versus

Ericsson Internal | 2017-12-19

Key topics

— Data localization

— Critical Infrastructure

— Cyber-espionage

— Legal Interception

— Vendor and technology vetting

— Security by design

— IoT and 5G introduction

Digitalization Enablers: Why cyber security matters

Network Security Information Security

Local Systems Cloud

IT Specific Industry-wide

Data exposure Data Corruption

Computers & Phones IoT

Networks Access Ubiquity

Preventive & Reactive Proactive measures

Page 30: 5G Market Potential and Status Update€¦ · Why net neutrality matters Network Neutrality —Science of limited resources —From homogeneity to network slicing —FCC stance versus

Ericsson Internal | 2018-03-12

Public policies for Cybersecurity, Net Neutrality and Data Privacy will be key enablers or roadblocks for 5G introduction .

mmWave should be prioritized, especially 26GHz and 42GHz, to enable high-demand use cases including IoT.

Key steps for 5G

Early 5G introduction will be viable in 3.5GHz to cope with data growth in urban areas, while benefiting from global ecosystem.

Page 31: 5G Market Potential and Status Update€¦ · Why net neutrality matters Network Neutrality —Science of limited resources —From homogeneity to network slicing —FCC stance versus

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