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6/11/2015 Current account deficit shrinks massively to 0.2% of GDP in Q4 of FY15: Reserve Bank of India | The Financial Express
http://www.financialexpress.com/article/economy/januarymarchcurrentaccountdeficitnarrowsto02pctofgdpreservebankofindia/82831/ 1/5
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Current account deficit shrinks massively to0.2% of GDP in Q4 of FY15: Reserve Bankof IndiaThe country's current account deficit (CAD) narrowed sharply to US Dollar 1.3 billion, or 0.2 per cent of GDP,in the fourth quarter of the last financial year on a sequential basis mainly on account of a lower trade gap.
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By: PTI (http://www.financialexpress.com/author/pti/) | Mumbai | June 10, 2015 7:43 pm
Current account deficit narrows sharply to US dollar 1.3 bn or 0.2 per cent in fourth quarter of FY15, as against USD8.3 bn or 1.6 per cent in Q3. (Reuters)
The country’s current account deficit (CAD) narrowed
sharply to USD 1.3 billion, or 0.2 per cent of GDP, in the
fourth quarter of the last financial year on a sequential
basis mainly on account of a lower trade gap.
The same shrank to 1.3 per cent of GDP for full financial
year 2014-15.
“On a quarter-on-quarter basis, CAD narrowed sharply to
USD 1.3 billion (0.2 per cent of GDP) in fourth quarter of
financial year 2014-15 from USD 8.3 billion (1.6 per cent of
GDP) in the third quarter,” the Reserve Bank said today.
“The reduction in CAD in fourth quarter was primarily on
account of lower trade deficit as net earnings through
services and primary income (profit, dividend and interest)
witnessed a decline in quarter-on-quarter terms though
secondary income recorded a marginal increase of 0.4 per
cent,” the central bank said in its ‘Developments in Balance
of Payments’ report.
On a year-on-year basis, however, CAD (which indicates
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6/11/2015 Current account deficit shrinks massively to 0.2% of GDP in Q4 of FY15: Reserve Bank of India | The Financial Express
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imports of goods services and transfer are higher than
their exports) in fourth quarter was a shade higher than USD 1.2 billion, or 0.2 per
cent of GDP, in the same quarter of financial year 2013-14.
For the full fiscal (financial year 2014-15), the current account deficit shrank to
USD 27.5 billion, or 1.3 per cent of GDP, from USD 32.4 billion, or 1.7 per cent of
GDP, a year ago, RBI (http://www.financialexpress.com/tag/rbi/) said.
Merchandise trade deficit at USD 31.7 billion in fourth quarter contracted sharply
on a Q-o-Q basis on account of a larger decline in merchandise imports (13.4 per
cent) than in merchandise exports (10.4 per cent).
However, in terms of Y-o-Y changes, the trade deficit in fourth quarter widened
marginally as exports registered a larger decline (15.4 per cent) than imports (10.4
per cent).
“In financial year 2014-15, trade deficit narrowed to USD 144.2 billion from USD
147.6 billion last year,” the data showed.
During the January-March period, on a balance of payment (BoP) basis, there was
highest ever net accretion of USD 30.1 billion to the foreign exchange reserves in a
single quarter.
“It was more than double the accretion in the preceding quarter and almost four
times of the reserves accrued in fourth quarter, signifying record increase in
capital inflows and dip in current account deficit, RBI said.”
On a cumulative basis, the overall BoP during financial year 2014-15 showed
improvement over the preceding year, RBI said.
Lower CAD, on the back of contraction in trade deficit and marginal improvement
in the net invisible earnings, along with a sizable increase in net financial flows
enabled a large build-up of reserves, the central bank said.
Meanwhile, the RBI said it added a whopping USD 61.4 billion to the foreign
exchange reserves in financial year 2014-15 compared to USD 15.5 billion in the
previous fiscal.
At the end of March, 2015, the level of foreign exchange reserves stood at USD
341.6 billion.
Domestic rating agency Care Ratings attributed the shrinkage in the trade deficit
(imports exceed exports) at USD 144 billion to higher software receipts of USD 70
billion and invisibles of USD 65.5 billion.
It said in the last fiscal, total foreign investment was USD 73.5 billion – USD 32.6
billion from FDIs and USD 40.9 billion from FIIs. NRIs contribution was at USD 12
billion.
Going ahead, “we could expect the CAD to be range-bound. Under the current
conditions of low crude oil prices (USD 60-70 per barrel range), stagnant exports
given the limited pick up in the world economy, and some pick up in software
receipts, the CAD would be in the range of 1.5-2 per cent of GDP this fiscal
(financial year 2015-16),” Care said.
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First Published on June 10, 2015 6:32 pm
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