6m results 2014 press conference

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2014 RESULTS Press conference 6M 6 August 2014

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Page 1: 6M results 2014 Press Conference

2014 RESULTS Press conference

6M

6 August 2014

Page 2: 6M results 2014 Press Conference

6M Results

Press conference I 6M 14 Results I 6 August 2014 2

Page 3: 6M results 2014 Press Conference

Solid Insurance performance – Non-Life affected by floods & storms Group net result driven by Insurance – General Account impacted by legacies Shareholders’ equity up on unrealised gains/losses New share buy-back

Insurance net profit of EUR 340 million (+3%) – Q2 EUR 195 million

Inflow @ 100% of EUR 13.8 billion (+10%) – Q2 EUR 6.0 billion

Group combined ratio at 102.0% (vs.96.8%) – 4.6% impact floods & storm

Life Technical Liabilities at EUR 72.0 billion* (+4%)

Group net profit of EUR 31 million (-93%) – Q2 EUR 1 million

General Account net result of EUR (309) million Including EUR (157) million RPN(i) & EUR (130) million provision

FortisEffect

Shareholders’ equity at EUR 9.2 billion or EUR 41.11 per share Insurance solvency at 208%, Group solvency at 203% Net cash position General Account at EUR 1.6 billion

Starting as of 11/08/14 for EUR 250 million

Main messages Ageas posts solid 6M 14 Insurance results

Press conference I 6M 14 Results I 6 August 2014 3 * Consolidated entities only

Page 4: 6M results 2014 Press Conference

Belgium UK

CEU Asia

Total Ageas

Life Non-Life Life Non-Life Life Non-Life Life Non-Life Life Non-Life

Inflows @ Ageas’s part Strong Life growth, excluding FX impact total inflows up 8% In EUR million

Press conference I 6M 14 Results I 6 August 2014 4

1,595 1,547

51 64 849 1,000

1,590 1,798

4,085 4,410 739 761

971 1,010 207 212

114 110

2,032 2,092

(1%)

5% 15%

12%

6%

2,334 2,308

1,023 1,074 1,056 1,213 1,704

1,908

6,117 6,502

6M 13 6M 14 6M 13 6M 14 6M 13 6M 14 6M 13 6M 14 6M 13 6M 14

Page 5: 6M results 2014 Press Conference

Insurance net result Strong Life result in all segments, Non-Life suffering

Belgium UK

CEU Asia

Total Ageas

Life Non-Life Life Non-Life Other Life Non-Life Life Non-Life Life Non-Life Other

9 6 9 6

121

186

(1)1 25 28

56 70

201

285 38

6

50 25

20 10

10 8

119

49

160

193

58

32 46 37

66 78

329 340

6M 13 6M 14 6M 13 6M 14 6M 13 6M 14 6M 13 6M 14 6M 13 6M 14

In EUR million

Press conference I 6M 14 Results I 6 August 2014 5

Page 6: 6M results 2014 Press Conference

6M 13 6M 146M 13 6M 14

Press conference I 6M 14 Results I 6 August 2014 6

Net result: Strong in Life; Non-Life negatively impacted by hailstorm

In EUR million In EUR billion

Operating margin Guaranteed: solid investment margin

Non-Life combined ratio @ 100.2% excluding hailstorm

Inflow*: Non-Life increased but offset by Life

Life Technical liabilities: acquisition of Fidea’s group Life & shadow accounting In EUR billion

Belgium : Headlines Strong operating results in Life offset by hailstorm effect in Non-Life

**

Operating margin Unit-Linked

In % avg technical liabilities In % avg technical liabilities

6

6M 13 6M 14

Life Non-Life

57

23

(6)Q2 13 Q2 14

2.1 2.1

1.0 1.0

3.1 3.1

6M 13 6M 14

Life Non-Life

1.1 1.0

0.4 0.4

1.5 1.4

Q2 13 Q2 14

Q2 13 Q2 14

In % NEP

Q2 13 Q2 146M 13 6M 14Q2 13 Q2 14

97.5% 105.7% 95.4% 109.9%

0.29%0.38%

0.27%0.41%

1.06%0.91%0.98%0.84%

121186

38

160

193

80

111

105

53.2 54.0 55.5

FY 13 3M 14 6M 14

Page 7: 6M results 2014 Press Conference

6M 13 6M 14

When excluding weather, better Non-Life & Life results offset by Retail In EUR million

United Kingdom: Headlines Strong recovery of operating results in second quarter

Non-Life combined ratio Q1 weather impact, excellent Q2

9 6(1) 1

50

25

58

32

6M 13 6M 14

Life Other Non-Life

Q2 13 Q2 14

96.3% 100.7%94.0% 95.4%

50

5

Inflow* up 5%, flat excluding FX In EUR billion

In % NEP In EUR million

Other Income: incl. positive contribution from legal settlement (EUR 6 million)

0.1 0.1

1.1 1.1

1.2 1.2

6M 13 6M 14

Life Non-Life

0.0 0.00.6 0.6

0.6 0.6

Q2 13 Q2 14

6M 13 6M 14

59 59

Q2 13 Q2 14

122 129

* incl. non-consolidated partnerships @ 100%

51

(1) 1

31 35

35 38

Q2 13 Q2 14

7 Press conference I 6M 14 Results I 6 August 2014

Page 8: 6M results 2014 Press Conference

Net profit Q2 13 included EUR 9 million one-off in Turkey In EUR million In EUR billion

Excellent Non-Life combined ratio improvement in Motor & Household

227% 210% 207%

Inflow* boosted by strong sales in Luxembourg Life In EUR billion

Continental Europe: Headlines Results on track

**

Operating margin Guaranteed: lower U/W & investment margin

Press conference I 6M 14 Results I 6 August 2014 8

Life Technical liabilities up 2%

In % avg technical liabilities

Operating margin Unit-Linked: lower fee income in Portugal In % avg technical liabilities

25 28

2010

46

37

6M 13 6M 14

Life Non-Life

13 9

16

4

28

13

Q2 13 Q2 14

1.82.3

0.6

0.62.4

2.8

6M 13 6M 14

Life Non-Life

0.91.4

0.3

0.31.2

1.6

Q2 13 Q2 14

6M 13 6M 14 Q2 13 Q2 14 6M 13 6M 14 Q2 13 Q2 14 6M 13 6M 14 Q2 13 Q2 14

95.5% 91.4% 94.4% 88.1%0.94% 0.82% 0.98% 0.58%

0.53%

0.17%

0.53%

0.10%

In % NEP

* incl. non-consolidated partnerships @ 100%

13.9 14.3 14.2

15.0 15.2 15.9

28.9 29.5 30.1

FY 13 3M 14 6M 14

Conso Non-conso

Page 9: 6M results 2014 Press Conference

2432

4528

36

Q2 13 Q2 146M 13 6M 14 Q2 13 Q2 14

Inflow: successful sales campaigns & channel development in China & Thailand

10

8

6M 13 6M 14

Life Non-Life

10

8

6M 13 6M 14

Life Non-Life

Net result: strong growth due to good operational performance In EUR million In EUR billion

Non-Life combined ratio reflects good underwriting performance

Life Technical liabilities up across all entities In EUR billion

Asia: Headlines New business & profit growth Life / Strong Non-Life underwriting result

Press conference I 6M 14 Results I 6 August 2014 9

**

In % avg technical liabilities In EUR million

Result non-conso partnerships: up 30% on good Life operational performance

5.4 6.3

0.40.45.96.7

6M 13 6M 14Life Non-Life

2.3 2.1

0.2 0.2

2.5 2.3

Q2 13 Q2 14

Q2 13 Q2 146M 13 6M 14

94.2%89.1%

95.9%

89.1%

1.54% 1.53%

0.97%

1.60%

56 70

6678

49 64

5972

In % NEP

* incl. non-consolidated partnerships @ 100%

Life operating margin Hong Kong: improved due to capital gains

2435

4

52940

Q2 13 Q2 14

2.0 2.0 2.1

25.9 28.2 29.6

27.930.3 31.7

FY 13 3M 14 6M 14

Conso Non-conso

Page 10: 6M results 2014 Press Conference

General Account result driven by further increase of RPN(i) liability and provision FortisEffect

Press conference I 6M 14 Results I 6 August 2014 10

In EUR million

(157)

(130)

(9)(12) (2)

(309)

Reval RPN(i) Legalprovision

Staffexpenses

Otheroperatingexpenses

Other* Net result

Page 11: 6M results 2014 Press Conference

Strategic decisions

Press conference I 6M 14 Results I 6 August 2014 11

Page 12: 6M results 2014 Press Conference

Up to EUR 250 million of its outstanding shares Buy-back launched as of 11 August 2014 For a period ending at 31 July 2015 Independent broker mandated to execute Through open market purchases on NYSE Euronext Brussels

Shares to be held as treasury shares Cancellation of these shares subject to approval @ General meeting of Shareholders No impact on solvency position of Insurance activities Ageas has informed the National Bank that this operation can be considered as non-strategic, according to

article 36/3 §2 of the law of 22 February 1998 determining the statute of the National Bank of Belgium.

Ageas announces new share buy-back 4rth consecutive share buy-back confirming capital management strategy

June 12 Cancellation bought-back shares (7.3% of outstanding)

6 August 12 Ageas announces EUR 200 million share buy-back

24 August 11 Ageas announces EUR 250 million share buy-back

April 13 Cancellation bought-back shares (3.8% of outstanding)

2 August 13 Ageas announces EUR 200 million share buy-back

Press conference I 6M 14 Results I 6 August 2014 12

April 14 Cancellation bought-back shares (1.1% of outstanding)

6 August 14 Ageas announces EUR 250 million share buy-back

September 13 Cancellation bought-back shares (0.2% of outstanding)

Since 2012

31,341,889 shares cancelled

- around 12% of outstanding -

1 August 14 Ageas completes 2013

EUR 200 million share buy-back - 6,513,207 shares

Page 13: 6M results 2014 Press Conference

Press conference I 6M 14 Results I 6 August 2014 13

Towards desired company profile Ageas takes full control of the Portuguese Non-Life activities (PR 26 May ‘14)

Ageas acquires remaining 49% Médis & Occidental Seguros for EUR 122.5 million subject to price adjustment after 4 years linked to sales volume & quality targets

Upstream of EUR 290 million dividend (Life & Non-Life, @ 100%) – net cash accretive for Ageas

Exclusive distribution agreement with BCP renewed up to 2029 ; Médis & Occidental Seguros free to enter in other agreements

No goodwill creation

Possibility to explore other distribution opportunities : strengthen foothold & enhance distribution reach

6M 14 combined ratio at 90.7% 6M 14 net result of EUR 9 million (@100%)

Balance Life/Non-Life 0.9 %point in favour of Non-Life Positive impact on ROE: equity down EUR 72 million, net profit up

Transaction details

Portuguese Non-Life activities

Impact on Vision 2015 targets (Based on 6M 14 figures)

Rationale

Page 14: 6M results 2014 Press Conference

Press conference I 6M 14 Results I 6 August 2014 14

Towards desired company profile Ageas & BNPP Cardif take full control of Italian Non-Life activities (PR 6 August ‘14)

Ageas & BNPPC both acquire 25% of UBI Assicurazioni (now each 25%*) for EUR 75 million, (each EUR 37.5 million) subject to closing adjustment

Long-term distribution agreement with UBI Banca UBIA free to enter into other distribution agreements – potential of BNP

bank network through BNL & Findomestic Subject to regulatory approval - Expected to close in 2014

Further expand Non-Life bancassurance business Possibility to explore other distribution opportunities : strengthen foothold In Italy, one of more profitable Non-Life markets in Europe

6M 14 combined ratio at 92.1% 6M 14 net result of EUR 11 million (@100%)

Balance Life/Non-Life 0.5 %point in favour of Non-Life Positive impact on ROE: net profit up

Transaction details

Italian Non-Life activities

Impact on Vision 2015 targets (Based on 6M 14 figures)

Rationale

Page 15: 6M results 2014 Press Conference

Press conference I 6M 14 Results I 6 August 2014 15

Towards desired company profile Ageas sells Ageas Protect (UK Life activities) to AIG (PR 6 August ‘14)

Rationale

Impact on Vision 2015 targets (Based on 6M 14 figures)

Transaction details

Details on UK Protect

Transaction price of around EUR 228 mio (GBP 181 mio)

Net proceeds after costs & repayment internal loan of around EUR 33 mio (GBP 26 mio) will be up streamed to General Account

Capital gain will be realised at closing Subject to regulatory approval - Expected to close in 2014

UK Protect activities better chance to further develop in Life driven

environment of AIG Focus on developing the more material Non-Life business &

distribution activities in UK

Launched in 2008, Covering over 305.000 lives, 4.8% share in Protection market

Continuous efforts in developing business & widening product portfolio reflected in 6M 14 increase in inflow & results

Balance Life/Non-Life 0.5 pp in favour of Non-Life Positive impact on ROE: activity with low ROE

Page 16: 6M results 2014 Press Conference

Press conference I 6M 14 Results I 6 August 2014 16

Only 2 alternative uses for General Account net cash withheld Continuation of capital management principles since 2009

1. Invest in Businesses

Organic growth Selective acquisitions Create new partnerships

2. Return to shareholders

Dividend payment Share buy-back

≈ EUR 2.1 billion ≈ EUR 900 million cash dividend over ‘09, ’10, ‘11 & ‘12 EUR 650 million share buy-backs finalized’12, ‘13 & ’14 EUR 222 million capital reduction from proceeds of BNPP

Call Option & RPI

EUR 250 million share buy-back announced

06/08/14

≈ EUR 1.3 billion from net cash on top of retained earnings

≈ EUR 600 million UK (Tesco, KFIS, Castle

Cover, Groupama) ≈ EUR 200 million CE (Italy, Turkey)

≈ EUR 320 million Asia (India, HK, China)

≈ EUR 160 million CE (Portugal, Italy)

Page 17: 6M results 2014 Press Conference

Legal legacies

Press conference I 6M 14 Results I 6 August 2014 17

Page 18: 6M results 2014 Press Conference

18

Amsterdam Court of Appeal renders judgment FortisEffect case Ageas announces appeal & accounting of provision

Accounting consequence

Main elements of ruling of 29/07/14

Sale of Dutch entities remains unaffected Dutch State: confirmation of original ruling: no liability retained Ageas:

Miscommunication in period 29/09/08 – 01/10/08 Liability retained for indemnifying damages suffered –

existence of damages & amount to be decided upon in further proceedings

Ageas will file appeal before the Supreme Court Ageas sets up provision of EUR 130 million

Provision of EUR 130 million in 6M 14, based on

Methods & assumptions commonly used in the market Benchmarking with other cases Assumptions on # shares eligible, % participation

shareholders, relative share performance

Ageas’s position

Press conference I 6M 14 Results I 6 August 2014

Page 19: 6M results 2014 Press Conference

Press conference I 6M 14 Results I 6 August 2014 19

Status on various legal procedures

Timing & (financial) outcome remains hard to estimate

2014 expected next steps

Brussels Commercial Court re Sep/Oct 2008 transactions (Modrikamen) – interim judgement on procedural matters expected – pleadings on the merits in 2015

February 11 Claim re FRESH hybrid instrument dismissed by Brussels Court

Sep- Dec 10 Ageas starts legal procedure against Dutch State & ABN AMRO to obtain compensation in return for conversion MCS (Mandatory Convertible Securities) into Ageas’ shares

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February 12 BNP P tender for CASHES & subsequent conversion into Ageas shares – partial settlement of RPN/RPN(I) – call Fortis Bank Tier 1 Debt Securities

February 12 Utrecht court re communication Q2 2008 in favour of plaintiffs, appeal filed

March 12 Brussels Commercial Court rules in favour of Ageas in MCS-case, appeal filed

2011 2012 2009... 2010 ...

December 13 Supreme Court rejects appeal against judgement Ondernemingskamer re mismanagement mainly in favour of plaintiffs

June 12 Agreement with ABN AMRO to settle legal proceedings concerning FCC & MCS, closing all outstanding disputes with Dutch State

2013

June 13 Fine imposed by

FSMA, appeal filed

February 14 Trade & Industry Appeals Tribunal

renders final judgment on AFM II in favour of Ageas

2014

March 14 T&I A Tribunal rejects appeal in AFM I

July 14 Amsterman Court of Appeal judges mainly in favour of plaintiffs; appeal will be filed

Page 20: 6M results 2014 Press Conference

Legal proceedings Managed in interest of shareholders Administrative proceedings

NL: AFM fine imposed 05/02/10 re price sensitive info June 08

NL: AFM 2nd fine imposed 19/08/10 re price sensitive information Sep 07

Final judgement 04/03/2014; appeal rejected

Final judgement 14/02/2014 in favour of Ageas BE: FSMA re communication in Q2 2008 Appeal filed before Court of Appeal

Criminal procedure

Brussels – several alleged crimes June 2007 – April 2008 Public prosecutor requests referral of 7 individuals Enterprise Court (Ondernemingskamer)

At request of VEB re 2007-2008 Final judgement 06/12/13 re mismanagement, mainly in favour

plaintiffs.

Civil Lawsuits

Amsterdam - VEB re alleged miscommunication 2007-08 against Ageas, former directors/executives & banks

Amsterdam - Stichting FortisEffect, re sale of Dutch activities against Dutch State & Ageas

Proceedings ongoing

Judgement partly in favour of plaintiffs; appeal will be filed

Utrecht - Stichting Investor Claims Against Fortis re alleged miscommunication 2007-08 against Ageas & 2 financial institutions

Utrecht - 2nd case by Stichting on behalf of certain shareholders for damages from same defendants & certain former directors/executives

Proceedings ongoing

Proceedings initiated in August 2012 ; at present unclear whether both actions will be joined

Arnhem - Mr.Bos, re alleged miscommunication 2007 - 08 Appeal filed before Arnhem Court of Appeal

Brussels - Modrikamen, re Sep/Oct 2008 transactions Brussels – Various lawsuits initiated by shareholders re alleged

miscommunication 2007 – 08

Judgement procedural matters expected; Pleadings merits H1 2015 Proceedings ongoing Deminor: interim judgment procedural matters 28/04/2014

Financial instruments

Brussels Court of Appeal - MCS-holders contesting validity of conversion Judgment Brussels court 23/03/12 in favour of Ageas; Appeal by certain MCS-holders; no judgment before 2015

Other litigation

Brussels/Paris – RBS re alleged indemnity in context of ABN AMRO take- over

Proceedings before Brussels court & ICC arbitration in Paris initiated in April 2014

Press conference I 6M 14 Results I 6 August 2014 20

Situation 6 August 2014

Page 21: 6M results 2014 Press Conference

Conclusions

Press conference I 6M 14 Results I 6 August 2014 21

Healthy growing inflow

Solid net profit Insurance, impacted by one-offs in both directions

Progress in a number of strategic files - focus on more material business

- more power to develop

4th share buy back

Page 22: 6M results 2014 Press Conference

Press conference I 6M 14 Results I 6 August 2014 22

Disclaimer Certain of the statements contained herein are statements of future expectations and other forward-looking statements that are based on management's current views and assumptions and involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results, performance or events to differ materially from those expressed or implied in such statements. Future actual results, performance or events may differ materially from those in such statements due to, without limitation, (i) general economic conditions, including in particular economic conditions in Ageas’s core markets, (ii) performance of financial markets, (iii) the frequency and severity of insured loss events, (iv) mortality and morbidity levels and trends, (v) persistency levels, (vi) interest rate levels, (vii) currency exchange rates, (viii) increasing levels of competition, (ix) changes in laws and regulations, including monetary convergence and the Economic and Monetary Union, (x) changes in the policies of central banks and/or foreign governments and (xi) general competitive factors, in each case on a global, regional and/or national basis. In addition, the financial information contained in this presentation, including the pro forma information contained herein, is unaudited and is provided for illustrative purposes only. It does not purport to be indicative of what the actual results of operations or financial condition of Ageas and its subsidiaries would have been had these events occurred or transactions been consummated on or as of the dates indicated, nor does it purport to be indicative of the results of operations or financial condition that may be achieved in the future.