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7 Output, Price, and Profit: The Importance of Marginal Analysis Business is a good game . . .You keep score with money. NOLAN BUSHNELL, FOUNDER OF ATARI

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Page 1: 7 7 Output, Price, and Profit: The Importance of Marginal Analysis Business is a good game...You keep score with money. NOLAN BUSHNELL, FOUNDER OF ATARI

7Output, Price, and Profit:

The Importance of Marginal Analysis

Business is a good game . . .You keep score with money.

NOLAN BUSHNELL, FOUNDER OF ATARI

Page 2: 7 7 Output, Price, and Profit: The Importance of Marginal Analysis Business is a good game...You keep score with money. NOLAN BUSHNELL, FOUNDER OF ATARI

● Price and Quantity: One Decision, Not Two

● Total Profit: Keep your Eye on the Goal

● Marginal Analysis and Maximization of Total Profit

● Generalization: The Logic of Marginal Analysis and Maximization

● Price and Quantity: One Decision, Not Two

● Total Profit: Keep your Eye on the Goal

● Marginal Analysis and Maximization of Total Profit

● Generalization: The Logic of Marginal Analysis and Maximization

ContentsContents

Copyright © 2003 South-Western/Thomson Learning. All rights reserved.

Page 3: 7 7 Output, Price, and Profit: The Importance of Marginal Analysis Business is a good game...You keep score with money. NOLAN BUSHNELL, FOUNDER OF ATARI

● Conclusion: The Fundamental Role of Marginal Analysis

● The Theory and Reality: A Word of Caution

● Appendix: The Relationships Among Total, Average, and Marginal Data

● Conclusion: The Fundamental Role of Marginal Analysis

● The Theory and Reality: A Word of Caution

● Appendix: The Relationships Among Total, Average, and Marginal Data

Contents (continued)Contents (continued)

Copyright © 2003 South-Western/Thomson Learning. All rights reserved.

Page 4: 7 7 Output, Price, and Profit: The Importance of Marginal Analysis Business is a good game...You keep score with money. NOLAN BUSHNELL, FOUNDER OF ATARI

Copyright© 2003 Southwestern/Thomson Learning All rights reserved.

Price and Quantity: One Decision, Not TwoPrice and Quantity: One Decision, Not Two

● Firms face a demand curve on which price and quantity are related.

● They can choose either price or quantity, but not both.

● Firms face a demand curve on which price and quantity are related.

● They can choose either price or quantity, but not both.

Page 5: 7 7 Output, Price, and Profit: The Importance of Marginal Analysis Business is a good game...You keep score with money. NOLAN BUSHNELL, FOUNDER OF ATARI

FIGURE 7-1 Demand Curve for Al’s Garages

FIGURE 7-1 Demand Curve for Al’s Garages

Copyright © 2003 South-Western/Thomson Learning. All rights reserved.

15

25

16

D

D

Profit maximum

5

5

Output, Garages Marketed per Year

Pri

ce p

er G

arag

e (t

ho

usa

nd

s $)

10 9 8 7 6 4 3 2 1 0

10

20 19

22

26

30

35

i h

g

e f

d c

b a

j

Page 6: 7 7 Output, Price, and Profit: The Importance of Marginal Analysis Business is a good game...You keep score with money. NOLAN BUSHNELL, FOUNDER OF ATARI

Copyright© 2003 Southwestern/Thomson Learning All rights reserved.

Total Profit: Keep Your Eye on the GoalTotal Profit: Keep Your Eye on the Goal

● Simplifying assumption: maximum total profit is the firm’s goal.

● Total profit = total revenue - total costs

● Economic profit accounting profit

● Simplifying assumption: maximum total profit is the firm’s goal.

● Total profit = total revenue - total costs

● Economic profit accounting profit

Page 7: 7 7 Output, Price, and Profit: The Importance of Marginal Analysis Business is a good game...You keep score with money. NOLAN BUSHNELL, FOUNDER OF ATARI

Copyright© 2003 Southwestern/Thomson Learning All rights reserved.

Total Profit: Keep Your Eye on the GoalTotal Profit: Keep Your Eye on the Goal

● Total, Average, and Marginal Revenue♦ Total Revenue = P Q

♦ Average Revenue = TR/Q = (P Q)/Q = P

♦ Marginal Revenue = total revenue from one more unit of output.

● Total, Average, and Marginal Revenue♦ Total Revenue = P Q

♦ Average Revenue = TR/Q = (P Q)/Q = P

♦ Marginal Revenue = total revenue from one more unit of output.

Page 8: 7 7 Output, Price, and Profit: The Importance of Marginal Analysis Business is a good game...You keep score with money. NOLAN BUSHNELL, FOUNDER OF ATARI

TABLE 7-1 Demand for Al’s Garages

TABLE 7-1 Demand for Al’s Garages

Copyright © 2003 South-Western/Thomson Learning. All rights reserved.

Page 9: 7 7 Output, Price, and Profit: The Importance of Marginal Analysis Business is a good game...You keep score with money. NOLAN BUSHNELL, FOUNDER OF ATARI

FIGURE 7-2 Total Revenue Curve for Al’s Garages

FIGURE 7-2 Total Revenue Curve for Al’s Garages

Copyright © 2003 South-Western/Thomson Learning. All rights reserved.

TR

A

B

C

D E

F G H I

J

5

To

tal R

even

ue

per

Yea

r (t

ho

usa

nd

s $)

Output, Garages Sold per Year

10 9 8 7 6 4 3 2 1 0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

Page 10: 7 7 Output, Price, and Profit: The Importance of Marginal Analysis Business is a good game...You keep score with money. NOLAN BUSHNELL, FOUNDER OF ATARI

Copyright© 2003 Southwestern/Thomson Learning All rights reserved.

Total Profit: Keep Your Eye on the GoalTotal Profit: Keep Your Eye on the Goal

● Total, Average, and Marginal Cost♦ The shapes of the cost curves mean that there

is some size for the firm that is most efficient.

♦ Firms that are smaller or larger than this optimal size will have higher average costs.

● Total, Average, and Marginal Cost♦ The shapes of the cost curves mean that there

is some size for the firm that is most efficient.

♦ Firms that are smaller or larger than this optimal size will have higher average costs.

Page 11: 7 7 Output, Price, and Profit: The Importance of Marginal Analysis Business is a good game...You keep score with money. NOLAN BUSHNELL, FOUNDER OF ATARI

TABLE 7-2 Al’s Total, Average, and Marginal Costs

TABLE 7-2 Al’s Total, Average, and Marginal Costs

Copyright © 2003 South-Western/Thomson Learning. All rights reserved.

Page 12: 7 7 Output, Price, and Profit: The Importance of Marginal Analysis Business is a good game...You keep score with money. NOLAN BUSHNELL, FOUNDER OF ATARI

FIGURE 7-3 (a) Cost Curves for Al’s Garages

FIGURE 7-3 (a) Cost Curves for Al’s Garages

Copyright © 2003 South-Western/Thomson Learning. All rights reserved.

TC

(a) Total Cost Output, Garages per Year

5

To

tal

Co

st p

er Y

ear

(th

ou

san

ds

$)

10 9 8 7 6 4 3 2 1 0

20

40

60

200

180

160

140

120

100

80

Page 13: 7 7 Output, Price, and Profit: The Importance of Marginal Analysis Business is a good game...You keep score with money. NOLAN BUSHNELL, FOUNDER OF ATARI

FIGURE 7-3 (b) Cost Curves for Al’s Garages

FIGURE 7-3 (b) Cost Curves for Al’s Garages

Copyright © 2003 South-Western/Thomson Learning. All rights reserved.

(b) Average Cost Output, Garages per Year

5

Ave

rag

e C

os

t p

er G

arag

e (

tho

usa

nd

s $)

10 9 8 7 6 4 3 2 1 0

5

10

15

45

40

35

30

25

20 AC

Page 14: 7 7 Output, Price, and Profit: The Importance of Marginal Analysis Business is a good game...You keep score with money. NOLAN BUSHNELL, FOUNDER OF ATARI

FIGURE 7-3 (c) Cost Curves for Al’s Garages

FIGURE 7-3 (c) Cost Curves for Al’s Garages

Copyright © 2003 South-Western/Thomson Learning. All rights reserved.

MC

(c) Marginal Cost Output, Garages per Year

5

Mar

gin

al

Co

st p

er A

dd

ed G

arag

e (t

ho

usa

nd

s $

)

10 9 8 7 6 4 3 2 1 0

5

10

15

45

50

40

35

30

25

20

Page 15: 7 7 Output, Price, and Profit: The Importance of Marginal Analysis Business is a good game...You keep score with money. NOLAN BUSHNELL, FOUNDER OF ATARI

Copyright© 2003 Southwestern/Thomson Learning All rights reserved.

Total Profit: Keep Your Eye on the GoalTotal Profit: Keep Your Eye on the Goal

● Maximization of Total Profits♦ Profits typically increase with output, then fall.

♦ Some intermediate level of output, therefore, generates the maximum profit.

● Maximization of Total Profits♦ Profits typically increase with output, then fall.

♦ Some intermediate level of output, therefore, generates the maximum profit.

Page 16: 7 7 Output, Price, and Profit: The Importance of Marginal Analysis Business is a good game...You keep score with money. NOLAN BUSHNELL, FOUNDER OF ATARI

TABLE 7-3 TR, Costs, and Profit for Al’s Garages

TABLE 7-3 TR, Costs, and Profit for Al’s Garages

Copyright © 2003 South-Western/Thomson Learning. All rights reserved.

Page 17: 7 7 Output, Price, and Profit: The Importance of Marginal Analysis Business is a good game...You keep score with money. NOLAN BUSHNELL, FOUNDER OF ATARI

Copyright© 2003 Southwestern/Thomson Learning All rights reserved.

Marginal Analysis and Maximization of Total ProfitMarginal Analysis and Maximization of Total Profit

● Marginal profit is the slope of the total profit curve.

● Profit is at a maximum when the marginal profit is zero.

● Marginal profit is the slope of the total profit curve.

● Profit is at a maximum when the marginal profit is zero.

Page 18: 7 7 Output, Price, and Profit: The Importance of Marginal Analysis Business is a good game...You keep score with money. NOLAN BUSHNELL, FOUNDER OF ATARI

FIGURE 7-4 (a) Profit Maximization

FIGURE 7-4 (a) Profit Maximization

Copyright © 2003 South-Western/Thomson Learning. All rights reserved.

TC

TR

22,000

Profit

(a) Total Revenue. Total Cost Output, Garages per Year

5 To

tal R

even

ue,

To

tal C

ost

per

Yea

r (t

ho

usa

nd

s $)

10 9 8 7 6 4 3 2 1 0

200

180

160

140

120

100

80

60

40

20

74 B

96 A

Page 19: 7 7 Output, Price, and Profit: The Importance of Marginal Analysis Business is a good game...You keep score with money. NOLAN BUSHNELL, FOUNDER OF ATARI

FIGURE 7-4 (b) Profit Maximization

FIGURE 7-4 (b) Profit Maximization

Copyright © 2003 South-Western/Thomson Learning. All rights reserved.

5

(b) Total Profit Output, Garages per Year

Total profit

F

D

E C

10 9 8 7 6 4 3 2 1

–80

–60

–40

–20

0

20

40

To

tal

Pro

fit

pe

r Y

ea

r (t

ho

us

an

ds

$)

M 34

Page 20: 7 7 Output, Price, and Profit: The Importance of Marginal Analysis Business is a good game...You keep score with money. NOLAN BUSHNELL, FOUNDER OF ATARI

Copyright© 2003 Southwestern/Thomson Learning All rights reserved.

Marginal Analysis and Maximization of Total ProfitMarginal Analysis and Maximization of Total Profit

● Optimum Marginal Revenue and Marginal Cost♦ If MR > MC, production profits

♦ If MR < MC, production profits

● Profit maximizing level out output: MR = MC

● Optimum Marginal Revenue and Marginal Cost♦ If MR > MC, production profits

♦ If MR < MC, production profits

● Profit maximizing level out output: MR = MC

Page 21: 7 7 Output, Price, and Profit: The Importance of Marginal Analysis Business is a good game...You keep score with money. NOLAN BUSHNELL, FOUNDER OF ATARI

TABLE 7-4 Al’s Marginal Revenue and Marginal Cost

TABLE 7-4 Al’s Marginal Revenue and Marginal Cost

Copyright © 2003 South-Western/Thomson Learning. All rights reserved.

Page 22: 7 7 Output, Price, and Profit: The Importance of Marginal Analysis Business is a good game...You keep score with money. NOLAN BUSHNELL, FOUNDER OF ATARI

FIGURE 7-5(a) Profit Maxim: Another Graphical Interpretation

FIGURE 7-5(a) Profit Maxim: Another Graphical Interpretation

Copyright © 2003 South-Western/Thomson Learning. All rights reserved.

Output, Garages per Year (a) Marginal Revenue and Marginal Cost

5

MR

an

d M

C p

er

Gar

age

pe

r Y

ear

(th

ou

san

ds

$)

10 9 8 7 6 4 3 2 1

–10

0

10

20

30

40

50

MR

MC

E

Page 23: 7 7 Output, Price, and Profit: The Importance of Marginal Analysis Business is a good game...You keep score with money. NOLAN BUSHNELL, FOUNDER OF ATARI

FIGURE 7-5(b) Profit Maxim: Another Graphical Interpretation

FIGURE 7-5(b) Profit Maxim: Another Graphical Interpretation

Copyright © 2003 South-Western/Thomson Learning. All rights reserved.

TC

TR

22,000

Profit

(a) Total Revenue. Total Cost Output, Garages per Year

5 To

tal R

even

ue,

To

tal C

ost

per

Yea

r (t

ho

usa

nd

s $)

10 9 8 7 6 4 3 2 1 0

200

180

160

140

120

100

80

60

40

20

74 B

96 A

Page 24: 7 7 Output, Price, and Profit: The Importance of Marginal Analysis Business is a good game...You keep score with money. NOLAN BUSHNELL, FOUNDER OF ATARI

FIGURE 7-5(c) Profit Maxim: Another Graphical Interpretation

FIGURE 7-5(c) Profit Maxim: Another Graphical Interpretation

Copyright © 2003 South-Western/Thomson Learning. All rights reserved.

5

(b) Total Profit Output, Garages per Year

Total profit

F

D

E C

10 9 8 7 6 4 3 2 1

–80

–60

–40

–20

0

20

40

To

tal

Pro

fit

pe

r Y

ea

r (t

ho

us

an

ds

$)

M 34

Page 25: 7 7 Output, Price, and Profit: The Importance of Marginal Analysis Business is a good game...You keep score with money. NOLAN BUSHNELL, FOUNDER OF ATARI

Copyright© 2003 Southwestern/Thomson Learning All rights reserved.

Marginal Analysis and Maximization of Total ProfitMarginal Analysis and Maximization of Total Profit

● Finding the Optimal Price from Optimal Output♦ MR = MC: rule for determining the level of

output

♦ Demand curve price buyers will pay to purchase that level of output

♦ Both output and price are now determined for the profit maximizing firm.

● Finding the Optimal Price from Optimal Output♦ MR = MC: rule for determining the level of

output

♦ Demand curve price buyers will pay to purchase that level of output

♦ Both output and price are now determined for the profit maximizing firm.

Page 26: 7 7 Output, Price, and Profit: The Importance of Marginal Analysis Business is a good game...You keep score with money. NOLAN BUSHNELL, FOUNDER OF ATARI

Copyright© 2003 Southwestern/Thomson Learning All rights reserved.

Logic of Marginal Analysis & MaximizationLogic of Marginal Analysis & Maximization

● If a decision is to be made about the quantity of some variable, then maximize net benefit.

● Net benefit = total benefit - total cost

● To maximize net benefit, select a value of the variable at which marginal benefit = marginal cost.

● If a decision is to be made about the quantity of some variable, then maximize net benefit.

● Net benefit = total benefit - total cost

● To maximize net benefit, select a value of the variable at which marginal benefit = marginal cost.

Page 27: 7 7 Output, Price, and Profit: The Importance of Marginal Analysis Business is a good game...You keep score with money. NOLAN BUSHNELL, FOUNDER OF ATARI

Copyright© 2003 Southwestern/Thomson Learning All rights reserved.

Logic of Marginal Analysis & MaximizationLogic of Marginal Analysis & Maximization

● Application: Fixed Cost and Profit Maximization♦ An increase in fixed costs does not change

optimal output or price because it does not affect marginal costs.

● Application: Fixed Cost and Profit Maximization♦ An increase in fixed costs does not change

optimal output or price because it does not affect marginal costs.

Page 28: 7 7 Output, Price, and Profit: The Importance of Marginal Analysis Business is a good game...You keep score with money. NOLAN BUSHNELL, FOUNDER OF ATARI

TABLE 7-5 Rise in Fixed Cost: Total Profits Before and After

TABLE 7-5 Rise in Fixed Cost: Total Profits Before and After

Copyright © 2003 South-Western/Thomson Learning. All rights reserved.

Page 29: 7 7 Output, Price, and Profit: The Importance of Marginal Analysis Business is a good game...You keep score with money. NOLAN BUSHNELL, FOUNDER OF ATARI

FIGURE 7-6 Fixed Cost Does Not Affect Profit-Maximizing Output

FIGURE 7-6 Fixed Cost Does Not Affect Profit-Maximizing Output

Copyright © 2003 South-Western/Thomson Learning. All rights reserved.

5 10 9 8 7 6 4 3 2 1

Profit with a fixed cost

Profit with zero fixed cost

N

To

tal

Pro

fit

per

Yea

r

(th

ou

san

ds

$)

Output in Garages per Year

M

0

40

20

Page 30: 7 7 Output, Price, and Profit: The Importance of Marginal Analysis Business is a good game...You keep score with money. NOLAN BUSHNELL, FOUNDER OF ATARI

Copyright© 2003 Southwestern/Thomson Learning All rights reserved.

The Fundamental Role of Marginal AnalysisThe Fundamental Role of Marginal Analysis

● Marginal analysis can be used to illuminate many everyday problems, in business and elsewhere, sometimes with surprising results.

● For example, a new activity will add to profits if it more than covers its marginal cost, not the fully allocated average cost.

● Marginal analysis can be used to illuminate many everyday problems, in business and elsewhere, sometimes with surprising results.

● For example, a new activity will add to profits if it more than covers its marginal cost, not the fully allocated average cost.

Page 31: 7 7 Output, Price, and Profit: The Importance of Marginal Analysis Business is a good game...You keep score with money. NOLAN BUSHNELL, FOUNDER OF ATARI

Copyright© 2003 Southwestern/Thomson Learning All rights reserved.

The Fundamental Role of Marginal AnalysisThe Fundamental Role of Marginal Analysis

● Any problem involving optimization can be illuminated with marginal analysis.

● The logic of marginal analysis can be applied to government, universities, hospitals and other organizations as well as businesses.

● Any problem involving optimization can be illuminated with marginal analysis.

● The logic of marginal analysis can be applied to government, universities, hospitals and other organizations as well as businesses.

Page 32: 7 7 Output, Price, and Profit: The Importance of Marginal Analysis Business is a good game...You keep score with money. NOLAN BUSHNELL, FOUNDER OF ATARI

Copyright© 2003 Southwestern/Thomson Learning All rights reserved.

Theory and Reality: A Word of CautionTheory and Reality: A Word of Caution

● Business people seldom use marginal analysis in a literal sense.

● They often rely on intuition and hunches.

● But these theories can be used to understand and predict behavior.

● Business people seldom use marginal analysis in a literal sense.

● They often rely on intuition and hunches.

● But these theories can be used to understand and predict behavior.

Page 33: 7 7 Output, Price, and Profit: The Importance of Marginal Analysis Business is a good game...You keep score with money. NOLAN BUSHNELL, FOUNDER OF ATARI

Appendix: Relationships Among Total, Average, and

Marginal Data

Page 34: 7 7 Output, Price, and Profit: The Importance of Marginal Analysis Business is a good game...You keep score with money. NOLAN BUSHNELL, FOUNDER OF ATARI

Copyright© 2003 Southwestern/Thomson Learning All rights reserved.

● Average = total the number of units

● Total = average the number of units

● Average = total the number of units

● Total = average the number of units

Relationships Among Total, Average, and Marginal DataRelationships Among Total, Average, and Marginal Data

Page 35: 7 7 Output, Price, and Profit: The Importance of Marginal Analysis Business is a good game...You keep score with money. NOLAN BUSHNELL, FOUNDER OF ATARI

Copyright© 2003 Southwestern/Thomson Learning All rights reserved.

Relationships Among Total, Average, and Marginal DataRelationships Among Total, Average, and Marginal Data

● Marginal value of the xth unit = total value of x units - total value of (x - 1) units.

● Total value of x units = marginal values of the first x units.

● Marginal value of the xth unit = total value of x units - total value of (x - 1) units.

● Total value of x units = marginal values of the first x units.

Page 36: 7 7 Output, Price, and Profit: The Importance of Marginal Analysis Business is a good game...You keep score with money. NOLAN BUSHNELL, FOUNDER OF ATARI

TABLE 7-6 Weights of Persons in a Room (in pounds)

TABLE 7-6 Weights of Persons in a Room (in pounds)

Copyright © 2003 South-Western/Thomson Learning. All rights reserved.

Page 37: 7 7 Output, Price, and Profit: The Importance of Marginal Analysis Business is a good game...You keep score with money. NOLAN BUSHNELL, FOUNDER OF ATARI

Copyright© 2003 Southwestern/Thomson Learning All rights reserved.

● The marginal, average and total values for the first unit are usually equal.♦ If marginal < average, the average is falling.

♦ If marginal > average, the average is rising.

♦ If marginal = average, the average is constant; that is, the average is at a maximum or minimum.

● The marginal, average and total values for the first unit are usually equal.♦ If marginal < average, the average is falling.

♦ If marginal > average, the average is rising.

♦ If marginal = average, the average is constant; that is, the average is at a maximum or minimum.

Relationships Among Total, Average and Marginal DataRelationships Among Total, Average and Marginal Data

Page 38: 7 7 Output, Price, and Profit: The Importance of Marginal Analysis Business is a good game...You keep score with money. NOLAN BUSHNELL, FOUNDER OF ATARI

FIGURE 7-7 Relationship between Marginal and Average Curves

FIGURE 7-7 Relationship between Marginal and Average Curves

Copyright © 2003 South-Western/Thomson Learning. All rights reserved.

F

E

A D

B

C

Average weight

Marginal weight

Mar

gin

al a

nd

Ave

rag

e W

eig

ht

(po

un

ds)

Number of Persons

6 5 4 3 2 1 0

50

100

150