8-9 October 2009

The ESPON 2013 Programme:Prospects and Achievements

Regional and Urban Statistics

Working Group meeting

The ESPON 2013 Programme

Role in Structural Funds 2007-2013– Support policy development with evidence on territorial

structures, trends, perspectives and policy impacts

Mission– Provide comparable information on territorial dynamics– Reveal territorial capital and potentials

Budget– 47 mill. Euro,

– 34 mill. Euro from the European Commission– 13 mill. Euro from 31 countries participating

(EU 27 + Iceland, Liechtenstein, Norway and Switzerland)

Programme structure– 5 Programme priorities

5 Priorities

The work programme is structured in five priorities:

P1. Applied Research on territorial development,competitiveness and cohesion:

Evidence on European territorial trends, perspectives and policy impacts;

P2. Targeted Analysis based on user demand: European perspective to development of different types of territories;

P3. Scientific Platform and Tools: Territorial indicators and data, analytical tools and scientific support;

P4. Capitalisation, ownership and participation: Capacity building, dialogue and networking.

P5. Technical Assistance, Analytical Support & Communication

Open Calls in 2009

On 16 September Calls for Proposals and Expression of Interests are opened - deadline: 11 November 2009

P1. Applied Research – 6 projects running– 11 new projects are in call for proposals

P2. Targeted Analysis– 6 projects running– 2 new projects are in call for proposals– 10 new stakeholder ideas are called

P3. Scientific Platform and Tools– 1 project running– 1 project is in call for proposals– scientific tools and map updates

P4. Capitalisation− 7 Transnational Networking Activities in call for proposals

Priority 3: Scientific Platform and Tools

Four types of action:• ESPON Database and data development

• Territorial Indicators/Indices and Tools

• Territorial Monitoring System and Reports

• Targeted Actions for Updates of Indicators and Maps

Triad:

Territorial Indicators/Indices

Database Monitoring

Outline

• Strategic approach of the ESPON 2013 DB project

- Enlarge time, space and thematics

- Overcome lacunas

• Practical examples of progresses achieved with the current deliveries

- Harmonisation of NUTS changes

- Integration of socio-economic data with Corine Land Cover

- Methods for detecting errors and exceptional values

- Thematic structure: Towards an ESPON thesaurus?

- From UMZ to Urban Audit LUZ

Enlarge time, space, and thematics

Scale dimension: • Local (1 to 10 km )• Medium (10 to 1000 km)• Global (1000 to 10 000 km)

Time dimension: • Short term (1995-2015)• Medium term (1980-2020)• Long Term (1950 – 2050)

Thematic dimension : • Economic competitiveness• Sustainable environment• Social cohesion

Geographical object : • Administrative units• Grids• Cities & Networks

... identify lacunas in comparison with to the previous ESPON database

Scale dimension: • Local (Zooms)

• Medium (Nuts2 / Nuts3)• Global (Europe in the WOrld)

Time dimension: • Short term (1995-2003)• Medium term (demography)• Long term (Europe in the World)

Thematic dimension : • Economic competitiveness• Sustainable environment• Social cohesion

Geographical object : • Administrative units• Cities & Networks• Grids

Strategic approach for the ESPON 2013 DB

ESPON DB 2006ESPON DB 2013

Strategic approach for the ESPON 2013 DB

Enlarge time series Enlarge scales and levels Enlarge cross-cutting themes

2. Identification of NUTS changes

1. Implement common data in each NUTS version by using historical databases

3. Creation of time-series by proposing different methodologies

GDP/inh evolution 1995-2004

GDP/inh 1995 GDP/inh 2004Formalisation of NUTS change atNUTS 2 level in Finland (version 1999 and 2003)

Harmonisation of NUTS changes

Harmonisation of NUTS changes: historical databases

• Explore historical databases, namely NewChronos database• A common methodology has been defined in order to

sistematically check what is temporal, geographical and thematic coverage of indicators

Harmonisation of NUTS changes for temporal databases

• NUTS entities (name, code, geometry, and hierarchical level) from NUTS 1995 to NUTS 2006 have been identified

• Next stages will involve the production of typologies of changes in order to propose adapted solutions to harmonise time series

Harmonisation of NUTS changes for temporal databases

Static NUTS 1 units between 1995 and 2006 Static NUTS 1 units between 2003 and 2006

EVOLUTION OF POPULATION 2000-2005

Average anualgrowth rate (%)

4.66 2 0.75 0.25 0-0.25-0.75-2-4.59

No data

Local – Medium - GlobalLocal – Medium - GlobalLocal – Medium - Global

Enlarging scales and levels

Combining socio-economic data with Corine Land Cover

GDP per inhabitant, 2002

Spatial analysis tools applied to data control

• Statistical methods for detecting expectional values (i.e. boxplot filter)

• High (blue) and low (red) aspatial outliers

• High valued outliers seem to be prevalent in the more recent accession countries

• Italy has a mixture of high valued outliers neighbouring low valued outliers

• Britanny region looks interesting too

GDP in EU27+4 by NUTS3 regions, 2000-2005

Thematic Structure: Towards an ESPON thesaurus?

Goal

• Thesaurus for organizing and facilitating data retrieval via metadata keywords fields

Methods

• Review of database thematic structures (ESPON, OECD, ILO) and thesaurus building methods (ESTAT, EUROVOC)

• Text mining methods (frequency, co-occurrence, cluster analyses) applied to comprehensive list of reports, studies, policy notes that make reference to ESPON evidence and results (EC, EP, CoR, EESC, …)

Publications corpus(>200 reports)

Urban issues: From morphological zones to urban objects

+

+

UMZ

PopulationDensity grid

(last version)

LocalAdministrative

Units

URBAN AUDIT LUZ DELINEATIONS (1)

Data on commuting

flowsReferences of data

Quoted criteria and thresholds

Pre-existent zones / previous national zoning

References of pre-existent zones

Poland Ring

Romania Ring

Belgium 1991 census Région urbaine

France 1999 census Aire urbaine

Italy 1991 census Sistemi Locali

The Netherlands - Stadsgewesten

Cyprus 2001 census

Portugal 2001 census

Greece 2001 census -

Spain 2000/2001 census -

Czech Republic 1991/2001? Census -

Croatia -

Ireland -

Germany - Planning Region? -

Sweden - - Local Labour Market Area -

Norway - - -

Austria

Bulgaria

URBAN AUDIT LUZ DELINEATIONS (2)

More information:

www.espon.eu

Thank you for your attention