91586 apply probability distributions in solving …...both probabilities correct plus the...

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915860 3 SUPERVISOR’S USE ONLY 91586 © New Zealand Qualifications Authority, 2015. All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced by any means without the prior permission of the New Zealand Qualifications Authority. ASSESSOR’S USE ONLY TOTAL Level 3 Mathematics and Statistics (Statistics), 2015 91586 Apply probability distributions in solving problems 2.00 p.m. Thursday 19 November 2015 Credits: Four Achievement Achievement with Merit Achievement with Excellence Apply probability distributions in solving problems. Apply probability distributions, using relational thinking, in solving problems. Apply probability distributions, using extended abstract thinking, in solving problems. Check that the National Student Number (NSN) on your admission slip is the same as the number at the top of this page. You should attempt ALL the questions in this booklet. Show ALL working. Make sure that you have the Formulae and Tables Booklet L3–STATF. If you need more room for any answer, use the space provided at the back of this booklet and clearly number the question. Check that this booklet has pages 2 – 8 in the correct order and that none of these pages is blank. YOU MUST HAND THIS BOOKLET TO THE SUPERVISOR AT THE END OF THE EXAMINATION. Excellence 20

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Page 1: 91586 Apply probability distributions in solving …...Both probabilities correct plus the conditional probability calculated correctly 5.5 is not the median Haven't recognised outliers

915860

3SUPERVISOR’S USE ONLY

9 1 5 8 6

© New Zealand Qualifications Authority, 2015. All rights reserved.No part of this publication may be reproduced by any means without the prior permission of the New Zealand Qualifications Authority.

ASSESSOR’S USE ONLY

TOTAL

Level 3 Mathematics and Statistics (Statistics), 2015

91586 Apply probability distributions in solving problems

2.00 p.m. Thursday 19 November 2015 Credits: Four

Achievement Achievement with Merit Achievement with ExcellenceApply probability distributions in solving problems.

Apply probability distributions, using relational thinking, in solving problems.

Apply probability distributions, using extended abstract thinking, in solving problems.

Check that the National Student Number (NSN) on your admission slip is the same as the number at the top of this page.

You should attempt ALL the questions in this booklet.

Show ALL working.

Make sure that you have the Formulae and Tables Booklet L3–STATF.

If you need more room for any answer, use the space provided at the back of this booklet and clearly number the question.

Check that this booklet has pages 2 – 8 in the correct order and that none of these pages is blank.

YOU MUST HAND THIS BOOKLET TO THE SUPERVISOR AT THE END OF THE EXAMINATION.

Excellence

20

Page 2: 91586 Apply probability distributions in solving …...Both probabilities correct plus the conditional probability calculated correctly 5.5 is not the median Haven't recognised outliers
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numerical error should be 0.08
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Excellence Exemplar Paper total 20
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Correct graph complete with labels
Page 3: 91586 Apply probability distributions in solving …...Both probabilities correct plus the conditional probability calculated correctly 5.5 is not the median Haven't recognised outliers
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Correct answer of 24 supported with working
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Correct probability in (i) At least 2 correct Binomial conditions in context in (ii)
Page 4: 91586 Apply probability distributions in solving …...Both probabilities correct plus the conditional probability calculated correctly 5.5 is not the median Haven't recognised outliers
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Two assumptions needed
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Both (i) and (ii) correct
Page 5: 91586 Apply probability distributions in solving …...Both probabilities correct plus the conditional probability calculated correctly 5.5 is not the median Haven't recognised outliers
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Correct conclusion. Compared values between theoretical and experimental distribution. Compared features of the two graphs, theoretical and experimental. For E8 they needed to make another comparison - could have compared means or standard deviations. Could have discussed how the Poisson conditions , may not be valid, ( eg independence etc)
Page 6: 91586 Apply probability distributions in solving …...Both probabilities correct plus the conditional probability calculated correctly 5.5 is not the median Haven't recognised outliers
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Both probabilities correct plus the conditional probability calculated correctly
Page 7: 91586 Apply probability distributions in solving …...Both probabilities correct plus the conditional probability calculated correctly 5.5 is not the median Haven't recognised outliers
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5.5 is not the median
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Haven't recognised outliers as cause of skew Could have discussed small size of sample. Could have discussed fact that data is only from one website Could have discussed the difference between advertised price and selling price