a 50 year roadmap for the future of medicine · a 50 year roadmap for the future of medicine ......
TRANSCRIPT
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Kurt Zatloukal M.D. Institute of Pathology
Medical University of Graz Austria
Addis Ababa, June 27th, 2013
A 50 Year Roadmap for the Future of Medicine
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Diseases associated with ageing societies
(re)emerging infectious diseases and pandemics
Increased health care costs
New models for collaboration
across sectors and continents
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Ageing populations result in major health challenges
Marked increase in chronic diseases Cancer, metabolic diseases, Alzheimer‘s disease .....
Pandemics and (re)emerging infectious diseases still not under control
There are no solutions on the horizon to finance health care systems in the future
Innovative solutions have to be based on top level
research
Fundamental changes are required
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From a reductionistic view to understanding the complexity of biological systems and diseases
Environment
Lifestyle
Microbiome Genome
Individual‘s Health / Disease
From therapy to prevention
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Define a common goal
Develop a process to achieve this goal
From small scale to large scale interdisciplinary and multinational collaborative research
CERN LHC
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Driver: Cold war
One goal: definde by JF Kennedy 1961
Structured process aligning 400000 people to collaborate to achieve this goal
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Driver: Medical need
One goal: definde by R. Nixon 1971
No structued process established; Individual scientists and companies wanted to win this war
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Commitment to a process enabling ground breaking innovation
Balanced integration of a top-down and bottom-up strategy
Collaboration across scientific fields and continents
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Highly complex regulatory framework
Protectionism of established fields
Evidence-based medicine
Changes are costly
Implementation of research and innovation processes independent of current health care and research systems
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How to use current solutions and current way of thinking to build the future?
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Networks Networks Networks
Resources, Technologies
Services
Individual research groups
pan-European Research Infrastructures
Access
Competition
Bottom-up
Collaboration
Integration
Harmonization
Sustainability
Collaboration
Capacity building
Competition
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Individual cancer: >100 mutations altered DNA methylation CNV struct. chrom. alterations In addition Individual genetic make up ~ 300 loss of function variants ~10000 non syn. SNPs
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1
4
10 PFlops
1 PFlops
100 TFlops
10 TFlops
1 TFlops
100 GFlops
10 GFlops
1 GFlops
100 PFlops
10 EFlops
1 EFlops
100 EFlops
1993 2017 1999 2005 2011 2023
1 ZFlops
2029
Weather forecast
Astrophysics
Personalized Medicine
Forecast 100 MFlops
Personalized Medicine a key driver for Exascale ICT
from Intel 2012
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Patient
The garbage in – garbage out problem
Basic
research
Biomarker
Targets for
therapy
Data
Samples
Pre-analytics
Knowledge
Biobanks
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•Scientific excellence
•One type of infrastructure for Europe
•Access to high quality human biological samples and associated data
•Ethical and legal compliance
•Long-term sustainability
•International integration
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Driver: Medical and economical needs
One goal: definde by global think tank
Structured process: elaborated in the 50 year roadmap ◦ STI policy
◦ Research agenda with emphasis on collaborative research
◦ Funding instruments
Feasibility: building blocks exist
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Thank you