a green plan
DESCRIPTION
A Green Plan. www.50by30.org. vision: To increase Manitoba’s renewable energy use to 50% (from the present 30%) by 2030 without increasing global GHGs. . Why 50 by ‘30?. spend more of our money here reduce our greenhouse gases grow our green industries. no single sector - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
vision:To increase Manitoba’s renewable energy use to 50% (from the present 30%) by 2030 without increasing global GHGs.
no single sectorcan do this alone
• spend more of our money here • reduce our greenhouse gases
• grow our green industries
Why 50 by ‘30?
• spend more of our money here • reduce our greenhouse gases
• grow our green industries
Why 50 by ‘30?
we can lead Canada
in Manitoba• renewable energy is local energy
a vision for Manitoba• by 2030
- we can lead in• hydro• geothermal• biomass• solar• wind• efficiency programs• demand-reduction programs
ED
enewablesR
Why 50 by ‘30?
Why 50 by ‘30?
a vision for Manitoba• by 2030 we can
- be a net exporter of energy• almost all of it green
- be a leading exporter of• equipment• consultation, design & management expertise
- develop a new, rurally-focused industry- solidify a brand for Manitoba
How 50 by 30?
Where will we get the money?
WE’RE ALREADY SPENDING THE MONEY• $1b - natural gas• $4b - gasoline & diesel
electricityelectricheat
industrial
naturalgas
gasoline & diesel
To date
energy sources
fossil fuels
renewables
1990 2009
229 PJ262 PJ
coaloil
natural gas
hydro
To date
windbiomasssolargeothermal
energy sources
oil
1990 2009
229 PJ262 PJ
year: 1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2009 total54 54 58 56 62 69 69 29% 1.50%
0 0 0 0 0 0 27 6 7 7 7 10 9 37% 1.94%0 0 0 0 0 0 4
0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.10.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.7
68 64 72 68 75 70 73 7% 0.36%95 88 96 93 91 104 98 3% 0.17%
5 6 7 8 6 6 6 24% 1.26%totals: 229 218 240 232 243 259 262 14% 0.76%
HydroWind
Manitoba Energy Sources% increase
average per yearRenewables
Biomass
Solar
Natural Resources Canadahttp://oee.nrcan.gc.ca/corporate/statistics/neud/dpa/data_e/databases.cfm?attr=0
GeothermalFossil Fuels
Biofuel
Note: Natural Resources Canada data does not yet break out wind, solar and geothermal data. Estimates have been added here
Natural GasRefined oil productsCoal, propane & derivatives
All numbers in petajoules (PJ) 1PJ = 277,778 megawatthours (MWh)Source for data:Office of Energy Efficiency
To date
energy sources
To date
energy sources
source: http://oee.nrcan.gc.ca/corporate/statistics/neud/dpa/data_e/databases.cfm
To date
energy sources
year: 1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2009 total54 54 58 56 62 69 69 29% 1.50%
0 0 0 0 0 0 27 6 7 7 7 10 9 37% 1.94%0 0 0 0 0 0 4
0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.10.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.7
68 64 72 68 75 70 73 7% 0.36%95 88 96 93 91 104 98 3% 0.17%
5 6 7 8 6 6 6 24% 1.26%totals: 229 218 240 232 243 259 262 14% 0.76%
HydroWind
Manitoba Energy Sources% increase
average per yearRenewables
Biomass
Solar
Natural Resources Canadahttp://oee.nrcan.gc.ca/corporate/statistics/neud/dpa/data_e/databases.cfm?attr=0
GeothermalFossil Fuels
Biofuel
Note: Natural Resources Canada data does not yet break out wind, solar and geothermal data. Estimates have been added here
Natural GasRefined oil productsCoal, propane & derivatives
All numbers in petajoules (PJ) 1PJ = 277,778 megawatthours (MWh)Source for data:Office of Energy Efficiency
To date
energy sources
To date
1983
1985
1988
1989
1991
1993
1995
1997
1999
2001
2003
2005
2007
2009
2011
0
2,500
5,000
7,500
10,000
Ground-Source Heat Pumps
year: 1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2009 total52 49 54 46 48 46 52 0% 0.02%42 43 47 43 48 46 49 19% 0.98%44 38 41 47 54 64 60 37% 1.93%71 69 76 75 70 79 83 16% 0.83%21 20 23 21 23 23 19 -10% -0.51%
totals: 229 218 240 232 242 259 262 15% 0.76%
Residential
Manitoba Energy Uses% increase
average per year
Office of Energy EfficiencyNatural Resources Canadahttp://oee.nrcan.gc.ca/corporate/statistics/neud/dpa/data_e/databases.cfm?attr=0
Commercial/InstitutionalIndustrialTransportationAgriculture
All numbers in petajoules (PJ) 1PJ = 277,778 megawatthours (MWh)Source for data:
To date
energy uses
1990 2009
11.3 MtCO2e
To date
10.6 MtCO2e
MtCO2e: Megatonnes of CO2 equivalent
greenhouse gas emissions
1990 2009
11.3 MtCO2e
If current trends continue
10.6 MtCO2e
MtCO2e: Megatonnes of CO2 equivalent
2030
~13 MtCO2e
greenhouse gas emissions
1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 20091.6 1.5 1.6 1.3 1.3 1.1 1.1 -31% 1.0 -5% 0.0521.4 1.5 1.7 1.5 1.7 1.5 1.5 7% 1.8 19% 0.0511.4 1.0 1.1 1.4 1.6 1.9 1.8 29% 2.8 58% 0.0595.0 4.9 5.4 5.2 4.8 5.5 5.7 14% 6.4 13% 0.0701.2 1.1 1.3 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.2 0% 1.0 -13% 0.075
totals: 10.6 10.0 11.1 10.6 10.7 11.3 11.3 7% 13.2 16%Agriculture
All numbers in megatonnes of CO2 equivalent (Mt CO2e)
average Mt of CO2e per PJ
of energyManitoba GHG Emissions
change 1990 - 2009
current trends
change 1990-2009
Source for data from 1990-2009:Office of Energy EfficiencyNatural Resources Canadahttp://oee.nrcan.gc.ca/corporate/statistics/neud/dpa/data_e/databases.cfm?attr=0
2030
year:ResidentialCommercial/InstitutionalIndustrialTransportation
If current trends continue
GHG emissions
If current trends continue
energy
1990 20302009
229 PJ262 PJ
~316 PJ
If current trends continue
fossil fuels
renewables
energy sources
1990 20302009
229 PJ262 PJ
~316 PJ
coaloil
natural gas
hydro
If current trends continue
windbiomasssolargeothermal
energy sources
1990 20302009
229 PJ262 PJ
~316 PJ
1990 20302009
229 PJ262 PJ
~316 PJ
coal
oil
natural gas
hydro
If current trends continue
windbiomass
solargeothermal
energy sources
2030
year: 1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 200954 54 58 56 62 69 69 82
0 0 0 0 0 0 2 27 6 7 7 7 10 9 120 0 0 0 0 0 4 6
0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.10.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.5
68 64 72 68 75 70 73 9095 88 96 93 91 104 98 112
5 6 7 8 6 6 6 10totals: 229 218 240 232 243 259 262 316
Fossil Fuels
Refined oil productsCoal, propane & derivatives
Natural Gas
Manitoba Energy Sourcesif current
trends continueRenewables
HydroWindBiomass
SolarGeothermal
Note: Natural Resources Canada data does not yet break out wind, solar and geothermal data. Estimates have been added here
http://oee.nrcan.gc.ca/corporate/statistics/neud/dpa/data_e/databases.cfm?attr=0Natural Resources CanadaOffice of Energy Efficiency
Source for data from 1990-2009:All numbers in petajoules (PJ) 1PJ = 277,778 megawatthours (MWh)
Biofuel
If current trends continue
energy sources
2030
year: 1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 200952 49 54 46 48 46 52 5242 43 47 43 48 46 49 6044 38 41 47 54 64 65 8971 69 76 75 70 79 80 9821 20 23 21 23 23 24 17
totals: 229 218 240 232 242 259 270 316
Natural Resources Canadahttp://oee.nrcan.gc.ca/corporate/statistics/neud/dpa/data_e/databases.cfm?attr=0
Commercial/InstitutionalIndustrialTransportationAgriculture
All numbers in petajoules (PJ) 1PJ = 277,778 megawatthours (MWh)Source for data from 1990-2009:
Residential
Manitoba Energy Usesif current
trends continue
Office of Energy Efficiency
If current trends continue
energy uses
coaloil
natural gas
hydro
If current trends continue
windbiomasssolargeothermal
energy sources
1990 20302009
229 PJ262 PJ
~316 PJ
A Green Plan
energy sources
1990 20302009
229 PJ262 PJ
~316 PJ
~304 PJ
A Green Plan
energy sources
1990 20302009
229 PJ262 PJ
~316 PJ
50% fossil fuels
50% renewables
coaloil
natural gas
hydro
A Green Plan
windbiomass
solargeothermal
hydro windbiomass
solargeothermal
natural gas refined oil products (gas & diesel)
coal, propane & derivativesenergy sources
1990 20302009
229 PJ262 PJ
~316 PJ
year: 1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 200954 54 58 56 62 69 69 82 102 33 19
0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 7 5 57 6 7 7 7 10 9 12 18 10 6
Biofuel 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 6 9 5 30.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 4 4 40.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.5 12 12 11
68 64 72 68 75 70 73 90 60 -12 -2995 88 96 93 91 104 98 112 91 -7 -21
5 6 7 8 6 6 6 10 0 -6 -10229 218 240 232 243 259 262 316 304 43 -12
http://oee.nrcan.gc.ca/corporate/statistics/neud/dpa/data_e/databases.cfm?attr=0
Note: Natural Resources Canada data does not yet break out wind, solar and geothermal data. Estimates have been added here
Coal, propane & derivativestotals:
Office of Energy EfficiencyNatural Resources Canada
All numbers in petajoules (PJ) 1PJ = 277,778 megawatthours (MWh)Source for data from 1990-2009:
GeothermalNon-renewableNatural GasRefined oil products
HydroWindBiomass
Solar
Manitoba Energy Sources
2030
current trends
change from 2009
vs. current trendsRenewable
draft Green
Plan
A Green Plan
energy sources
year: 1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 200952 49 54 46 48 46 52 52 52 0 042 43 47 43 48 46 49 60 60 10 -144 38 41 47 54 64 60 89 87 28 -271 69 76 75 70 79 83 98 89 7 -921 20 23 21 23 23 19 17 16 -3 -1
totals: 229 218 240 232 242 259 262 316 304 42 -12
Natural Resources Canadahttp://oee.nrcan.gc.ca/corporate/statistics/neud/dpa/data_e/databases.cfm?attr=0
ResidentialCommercial/InstitutionalIndustrialTransportation
Source for data from 1990-2008:Office of Energy Efficiency
Agriculture
All numbers in petajoules (PJ) 1PJ = 277,778 megawatthours (MWh)
2030
Manitoba Energy Uses current trends
change from 2009
vs. current trends
draft Green
Plan
A Green Plan
energy uses
1990 2009
11.3 MtCO2e
If current trends continue
10.6 MtCO2e
MtCO2e: Megatonnes of CO2 equivalent
2030
~13 MtCO2e
greenhouse gas emissions
1990 2009
11.3 MtCO2e
A Green Plan
10.6 MtCO2e
2030
~13 MtCO2e
~ 10 MtCO2e
greenhouse gas emissions
MtCO2e: Megatonnes of CO2 equivalent
draftGreen
year: 1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2009 Plan1.6 1.5 1.6 1.3 1.3 1.1 1.1 -31% 1.0 -5% 0.7 -39% -35%1.4 1.5 1.7 1.5 1.7 1.5 1.5 7% 1.8 19% 1.1 -29% -40%1.4 1.0 1.1 1.4 1.6 1.9 1.8 29% 2.8 58% 1.7 -3% -39%5.0 4.9 5.4 5.2 4.8 5.5 5.7 14% 6.4 13% 5.4 -6% -17%1.2 1.1 1.3 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.2 0% 1.0 -13% 0.9 -28% -17%
totals: 10.6 10.0 11.1 10.6 10.7 11.3 11.3 7% 13.2 16% 9.7 -14% -26%
2030
current trends
change from 2009
vs. current trends
change 1990-2009
ResidentialCommercial/InstitutionalIndustrialTransportationAgriculture
Manitoba GHG Emissions
Source for data from 1990-2009:Office of Energy EfficiencyNatural Resources Canadahttp://oee.nrcan.gc.ca/corporate/statistics/neud/dpa/data_e/databases.cfm?attr=0
change 1990 - 2009
All numbers in megatonnes of CO2 equivalent (Mt CO2e)
A Green Plan
greenhouse gas emissions
A Green Plan
So what do we do?Manitoba needs an energy policy…
a few more examples• Vermont
http://www.vtenergyplan.vermont.gov/
• North Dakotahttp://www.communityservices.nd.gov/energy/empower-north-dakota-commission-information/
A Green Plan
We can lead…we have what we need• professionals with decades of experience• skilled workforce
- strong workforce training system• engaged community advocates• good demonstration projects• wide climate variations• diverse renewable fuel sources
A Green Plan
We can lead…we’ve started• TomorrowNow• OurWinnipeg• biomass• trucking efficiency initiative• Demand-Side Management
A Green Plan
We can lead…but there’s much more to do
Residential 1990 2011 changeTerritories 1.26 0.61 GJ/m2 -52%Ontario 1.01 0.68 -33%Newfoundland & Labrador 1.10 0.75 -32%Prince Edward Island 1.20 0.85 -29%Nova Scotia 1.18 0.84 -29%Canada 1.06 0.76 -28%New Brunswick 1.15 0.83 -28%Quebec 1.10 0.80 -27%Manitoba 1.16 0.86 -26%Alberta 1.40 1.05 -25%British Columbia 0.81 0.63 -23%Saskatchewan 1.14 0.90 -21%
data source: http://oee.nrcan.gc.ca/corporate/statistics/neud/dpa/data_e/databases.cfm?attr=0
Commercial/Institutional 1990 2011 changeBC & Territories 1.66 1.10 GJ/m2 -33.9%Quebec 1.81 1.61 -11.0%Canada 1.68 1.50 -10.9%Atlantic Canada 1.39 1.24 -10.5%Manitoba 1.72 1.56 -9.4%Ontario 1.65 1.56 -5.5%Alberta 1.79 1.63 -8.5%Saskatchewan 1.55 1.74 12.3%
Energy Intensity
A Green Plan
So what do we do?Manitoba needs an energy policy…
….we don’t have to wait for gov’t to act- every person, organization & business can have a plan
…but gov’t does have a role to play
A Green Plan
So what do we do?A Plan?
- 3 types of action1. increase Renewables2. increase Efficiency3. reduce Demand
- 3 areas of focusa. Heating & Coolingb. Transportationc. Electricity
A Green Plan
increaserenewables
increaseefficiency
reducedemand
Heating & Cooling
Transportation
Electricity
DER
???
???
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1. In MB, renewable energy is local energy.2. We’re already spending the money.3. Manitoba needs an energy policy…4. …but we don’t need to wait for gov’t to act.