a holistic approach to understanding the soybean rust … in du strie ... aa llockheed martinn...

Domestic crop+

PlantingGrain in storage

+

Harvesting Sales

-

Crop loss

+

Imports

Seasonal plantingcommitment

Desireddomestic crop

Expectedgrain price

Unsubsidizedgrain price

Perceived adequacyof inventory (plus

next harvest)

Seasonalyield

Adequacy ofphysical inventory

Forecasteddemand

Actualdemand

+

+

+

+ -

++

-

+

+

-

''Normal''yield

+

+

Production loop

+

Compensating loss through production

Net fraction ofcrop lossFraction of crop

vulnearable

Fraction of croploss scenario

+

+

Availabilityof fungicide

Availability ofequipment

Timelydiagnosis

Timelytreatment

++

-

Education& training

+

+

Cropmonitoring +

Crop loss scenario

Start ofplanting

Length ofplanting season

+

Landconstraint

Totalcrop land

Land used inother crops

-

+-

Perceivedrisk

Opportunitycosts

Availability ofalternative crops

Return onalternative crops

Return on alternativeinvestments

+

+

Cost effectivenessof insurance -

Effect of risk &alternative opportunities+

+-

Max planting commitment (ceiling)

Analysis of risk & alternatives

''Normal''acreage planted

Plantingelasticity

+

Subsidy(floor)

+

Coverageelasticity

''Normal''price

+ Foreignproduction

-

Weight onphysical inventory

Informationdelays

-

Compensating loss through imports

USDA forecast & futures market

LOS of cropin fields

Length ofharvesting

season

Rationingpolicy

-

+

+Min

stock-to-useratio

-

(and rationing)

Interdependencybetween corn &soybean (bestcaptured in a

two-sector model)

-

Demand loop

Interdependencybetween grains

and animals(best captured

in a multi-sectormodel)

Interdependencybetween

agriculture andchemicalindustries

''Normal''demand+

-

Global graininterdependencies

Seasonalweather

+

Irrigation (energy& water

infrastructures)

+

+Break evenprice of crop

+

Break even priceof alternative crops +

+

Sandia is a multiprogram laboratory operated by Sandia CorporatiSandia is a multiprogram laboratory operated by Sandia Corporation, a Lockheed Martin Company for the United States Department oon, a Lockheed Martin Company for the United States Department of Energyf Energy’’s National Nuclear Security Administration under contract DEs National Nuclear Security Administration under contract DE--AC04AC04--94AL85000.94AL85000.

A Holistic Approach to Understanding the Soybean Rust Issue

Sandia National Laboratories, Systems Engineering & AnalysisNational Soybean Rust Symposium – Nashville, TN (November 15-16, 2005)

Paul G. [email protected]

Aldo A. [email protected]

Stephen H. [email protected]

Sharon M. [email protected]

Abstract

Our objective is to examine the consequences of soy rust to the U.S. agriculture in the next five years, looking at the problem holistically, including its several dimensions, such as detection, treatment, market mechanisms and institutional incentives (insurance, subsidies, etc).

This research is part of a larger effort involving critical infrastructure protection, including agriculture, energy, water,insurance, commerce, transportation, and others. Key to this research program is examining interdependencies within and across infrastructures; for example, between soybeans and corn, between grains and animals, between agriculture and industry (e.g. chemical).

A definitive solution to the soy rust problem may take five to ten years, and it will involve developing a genetically resistant soybean. This hinges on the assumption that the needed strain is available in a gene bank. Otherwise, it has to be genetically modified. In the mean time, the disease has to be managed to avoid significant losses.

To tackle the soy rust problem, as a subtype of the more genericissue of crop and animal diseases, it is necessary to connect different pieces of the puzzle to see what can be said about thewhole problem –What piece of the puzzle carries the leverage to adequately contain and manage the disease? What interactions between the pieces are key to understanding potential solutions to this problem?

This poster provides a brief overview of the programmatic, technical and methodological components of our study, and presents an opportunity for exchange and collaboration in this cross-boundary assessment of the soy rust issue.

Programmatic overview

The Critical Infrastructure Protection Decision Support System (CIP/DSS), funded by DHS, provides insights to help formulate effective strategies for reducing the impacts of disruptions to critical infrastructure systems.

The program draws upon a suite of interconnected simulation models for assessing the consequences of a wide range of disruption scenarios and identifying leverage points within these systems.

The goal is to use the simulation laboratory to examine infrastructure interdependencies, vulnerabilities and threats, prioritizing issues of concern, formulating protective measures,and performing tradeoffs between alternative courses of action.

CIP/DSS supports development and analysis of scenarios, and facilitates stakeholder analyses and training exercises.

Methodological overview

Effective group decision support systems require a combination of astute analysis and skillful facilitation:

Opportunity presented

The American agricultural community –growers, researchers, educators, crop consultants, agribusiness, industry, the USDA, and other leaders in government– demonstrated response capability in dealing with the imminent challenge presented by the introduction of soybean rust in the United States. The informal and institutional communications and working relationships in this network serves as a role model for other industries in its organization, knowledge, and exploitation of resources and technology for mutual benefit.

However, the fragmentation of knowledge resulting from sub domain expertise begs for a tool and a process for knowledge integration. We propose taking a holistic perspective on the soy rust issue to tackle the problem of managing and controlling it. This could take the form of putting the whole puzzle together or studying certain specific interactions. For example, could a disruption in chemical inputs cripple the soybean harvest and export trade? What endogenous factors could account for a gap between fungicide supply and demand? Remember, this actually happened with the flu vaccine!

We invite partnerships to investigate the soy rust problem from a multifaceted perspective. We especially welcome interest in looking at concerns crossing stakeholder boundaries, particularly drawing upon the experts themselves to quickly assemble a model to examine consequences, interactions, unintended effects, addressing what-if questions, identifying robust management strategies to deal with the problem, and finding effective solutions.

Technical overview

A holistic perspective on managing the soybean rust issue includes among others: surveillance, diagnostics, fungicide application and efficacy, soybean market economics (substitution issues, globalization), and the institutional economics (subsidies, insurance, etc). A comprehensive taxonomy of issues identified 100+ items of concern dealing with the physics of the pathogen and the remedy, the economics of the infrastructure, and vulnerability and policy issues raised by current events. This conceptual model illustrates some of the issues and shows interdependencies.

For more information regarding the technical aspects of this work please contact Paul Kaplan and Steve Conrad.

Surveillance, diagnostics, fungicide application and

efficacy

Interdependencies (grains, animals, other crop and

animal diseases…)

Market mechanisms (coverage, demand and supply issues)

Institutional economics (policies, subsidies,

insurance…)

Globalization issues

Economic substitution effects

Fungicide availability

Normal variability due to weather

Uncertainty and risk

Inventory management

issues

Uncertainty and risk

System dynamics modeling and simulation enables structural understanding and explanation of complex dynamic behaviors. The models are bounded representations of real systems. They are used to explore scenarios, evaluate policy alternatives, examine risk and uncertainty, and project future trends. SD analyses include circular causality (feedback) and nonlinearities.

Group modeling is an approach involving facilitation and reflection to elicit and integrate expert-based insight of fragmented and interdependent systems. It is a process for drawing model boundaries to capture essential elements needed to address shared interests and concerns across stakeholders.

For more information on system dynamics and group modeling contact Aldo Zagonel.For more information regarding CIP/DSS please contact Sharon Deland.

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Des ir ed L iq u id ityCov e ra ge



Des ir ed L iq u id ity


T ime to L iq u id at eAss et s


Co ns tru c tio n T ime

Time to In ve st


< Z: T ime Un it s Pe rYea r>

< Z: T ime Un it s P e rYe a r>

<Z: T ime Uni ts P erYe ar >

< Z: T i me Un it s Pe rYea r>

< Z: T ime Un its P erYe ar >


Insurance

Banking & Finance

ha rv es tedc orn

pla nt ing co rn

co rnin ve n tor y a tfe ed lo tscor n s ale s t o

c att le fee dlo ts

c or n c ov er ag e

f ee din g b ee fca ttle

ex pe ct edh arv es t

de sir ed in ven to ryc ov era ge at fe edl ots

inv en tor y s ho rtag ea t fe ed lot s

de sir ed sa les tofe ed lot s

a cr es ofc orn

ha rv es tin ga cr es of co rn

los se s fr omc or n d ise as e

a ver ag e c ornyie ld

d es ire d acr esof co rn

tim e t o b eg inpla ntin g

tim e to com p let epla ntin g

co rn cro p l os sesd ise as ed ura tio n

on se t of di sea se tim e t o b eg inh arv es ting

tim e t o c om pl eteha rve sti ng

ha rv es tin gto nn es o f c orn c ow s o nf ee dlo ts

be ef ca ttle co rnc on sum p tio na nt ici pa ted

inv en to ry

in ven to ry c ov era gea t f ee dlo ts

e xp ec ted fe edr eq uir em en ts

tim e t o fo rmexp ec ta tion

in ven tor y c or rec tio nat f ee dlo ts

t im e to c orr ecti nve nt ory at fee dl ots

ac res of co rn atbe gin nin g of h ar ves t

ac res o f co rn atons et of dis ea se

e xpe ct ed co rnh arv es t f

de sire d co rnc ove ra ge

rel ati ve co rnc ov er ag e

de sir ed co rnc ove ra ge f

c ov er ag e e ffe cton co rn p ric e

cor n c ov era geela sti city

nor ma lco rn pr ice

tim e t o g et tono rm al c or n p ric e

u ns ub sid iz edco rn pr ice

co rn pri ce

su bs idi zed c ornpr ice

p ric e e ffe ct onp lan ti ng co rn

co rn pla nt ingela sti cit y

no rm al a cr esof co rn

r ela tiv e e xp ec te dco rn p ric e f or

gr ow e rs

e xp ec te dc orn p ric efo r g ro we rs

ti me to fo rme xpe cta tio n a bo ut

c or n p ric e

sa les towe t m ills

sa les todr y m ills

co rne xpo rts

ot her co rnfe ed sa les

t ota l c orn sa les 

n orm a l ot he r co rnfee d s ale s

ex pec te dco rn pr ice fo rc on su me rs

re lat ive ex pe cte d c or np ric e f or con su me rs

n or ma l co rne xpo rts

do m es tic cor nsal es

co rnin ve nt or y a t

d air ies

c or n s ale s t od ai rie s

fee din g d ai ryco ws

< mi lk c ow s>

da iry co ws

da iry co w c or nco ns um pt ion

d esi red in ve nto rycov er ag e a t d air ies

in ve nto ry cov er ag eat da irie s

in ve nto ry sho rta geat da irie s

in ve nto ryco rre cti onat da irie s

de sir ed sa les tod ai rie s ti me to co rre ct

in ve nto ry at da irie s

e xp ec ted da iryfee d req uir em en ts

tim e to f ormex pe cta tio n a bo ut

d air y fe ed

m ax ac res o fco rn

in iti al c or n p ric e

<re lat ive ex pe cte dcor n p ric e f orco nsu m ers >

co rn sal ese las tici ty

Corn

be ef ca lv esin ut ero

b ee f

ca lv ess to ck er s

be efi nv en to ry

w ea ni ng b ee fca lve s

b ee fsa le sb ee f c at tle

br ee d st oc k

be ef ca lf b re ed in g b ee fca lvi ng

d es ir ed br ee ds to ck

c al f g es tat ion tim e

g e ttin g be ef ca tt lebr ee d sto ck

tim e to we an f ora g ing pe ri od

b ee f c at tle fe rtili ty

br ee di ng sto ckac qu isit ion d ela y

b ee f c ov er ag e

po pu la tio n

In di ca tedd e ma nd f or be ef

b ee f p ri ceex pe ct ed

b e ef pr ice

de sir ed be efc ov era g e

co ve ra ge e ffe cto n be ef pr ic e

no rm al be efp ric e

i nit ial bre e din gs toc k

pr ice e ffe ct onb ee f d em a nd

no rm al be ef

co ns um pti on

No rm a l re tai lb ee f p ric e

ma rk eti ngm a rg in f or be ef

tim e for b ee f p ric eex pe ct ati on s

ste p ch an ge in de m an d

p er ca pd em a ndf or be ef

tim e to cha ng eco ns um p tio n

pr ic e e ffe c t o n

b re ed ing

r eta il be ef pr ice

tim e to ge t n or ma lb ee f p ric e

b re ed ing p ric eela st icit y

rec al l

fra cti on al rec al l

fra cti on al cha ng e ind em a nd fo r b ee f

be e f su bs id ypri ce

un su bs id iz edb e ef pri ce

p rim ec att lefa tte n ing

be ef c att le

pr op ort ion alb ee f y iel d

l ive w eig ht ofs la ug hte re d c ow s

no rm a l w ho les aleb ee f p ric e pe r p ou nd

br ea k e ve nb ee f p ric e

no rm al co st ofco rn fee d

f ee d p ric e eff ec to n b ee f p ric e

sw itc h f or pa ss inga lon g c or n p ri ce

ef fec ts

dis ea se top ri me ca ttl e

FM D fr ac tion ald ise as e

sl au gh te rin gb e ef ca ttle

t im e o nfe ed lo ts

be ef pa ck ing



r ela tiv e be efc on su mp tio n

tim e to rec ov er

ch an ge in de m an dwi th rec ov er y

< re la tive e xp ec tedc or n p ric e for

co ns um er s>

re du c ing b ee fc att le br ee d sto ck

n or ma lb re ed st oc k

t im e t o g et no rm a lbr ee d s to ck

<d a iry co ws tosla ug ht er>

b ee f p ric ee la stic ity

b ee f c ov er ag eela sti cit y

d ise as e tosto ck er s

F MD f rac tio na ldi se as e t o c ow & ca lf

op er ati on s

d ise as e to be efca lv esdis ea se to b ee f

ca lve s in ute ro

d is ea se tob e ef cat tleb re ed st oc k

Beef

d air y c al ve s

in ut er ohe ife rs m ilk co w s

da iry ca lfbre e din g

fi rst ca lvi ng cu llin g da iryh er d

< ca lf g es ta tio ntim e >

t im e u nt il f irs tb re ed in g

m ilk in g d ur ati on

d a iry fe rtil ity

no rm al da iryh er d s iz e

d es ire d da iryh erd s ize

ti me t o a dj us tda ir y h er d s iz e

p ric e ef fec t o nd ai ry he rd siz e

ad ju sti ng da ir yh erd s ize

m i lki nv en tor y

m i lk p ro du ct ion

mi lk pro d uc tio np er he ad

m ilk sa le s

m ilk c ov era g e

c o ver ag e eff ec t

o n m il k p ric e

de sir ed m ilkc ov er ag e

m ilk co ve ra gee las tic ity

d air y

ca lve sda iry c alv ing m atu rin g

< ca lf ge sta tio nti me >

d air y b re eds toc k

s lau gh te rin gd ai ry ca lve s

a ve rag e we ig ht ofd ai ry ca lve s

< liv e we ig ht ofs la ug hte re d co ws >

da iry co w s t os la ug hte r

a dj us tin g u si ng ol dco ws o r c al ve s?

m ar ke t p re ss ureon m ilk p ric e

m i lkm ar ke tin go rde r p ri ce

ex pe ct edm ilk pr ice

b rea k ev enm ilk p ric e

fe ed p ric e eff ec t o nm ilk pr od uc tio n co st

tim e to up da te m ilkm a rke tin g or de r p ric e

re tai l p ric e o fda iry pr od uc ts

m a rke ti ngm a rgi n f or da iry

pr ice e ffe ct onda iry d em a nd

i nd ica te d de m an dfor d air y p ro du cts

p e r c apde ma n d f or

d air y p ro du ct s

m il k p ric e

m ilk s up po rtpri ce

in itia l m ilkm a rk eti ng or de r

pr ice

ti me to fo rm m ilkpr ice e xp ec ta tio n

da iry p ric ee las tic ity

no rm a l re ta il

d ai ry pri ce

no rm al m ilkp ric e

tim e to ge t n or ma lm il k p ric e

n or ma l d a iryc on su m pti on



<t im e t o c ha ng ec on su mp tio n >

pri ce e ffe cte las tic ity

< re la tiv e e xp ec te dco rn pri ce fo rco ns um e rs>

fra ct ion al fe edco st

d ise a se to m ilkc ow s

di se as e tohe ife rs

d is ea se to d air yc al ve s

di se as e to da iry

c alv es in u ter o

fr ac tio na l i nc rea se inr eta il da iry pr ice

ki lled m il kco w s

k ille dhe ife rs

ki lled d ai ryca lve s

kill ed d air yca lv es in

ute ro

Dairy

ha rv es tedc orn

pla nt ing co rn


c att le fee dlo ts

c or n c ov er ag e






a cr es ofc orn












inv en to ry

















co rn pri ce






gr ow e rs



c or n p ric e



co rne xpo rts









d air ies



< mi lk c ow s>

da iry co ws










d air y fe ed





Corn

ha rv es tedc orn

pla nt ing co rn


c att le fee dlo ts

c or n c ov er ag e






a cr es ofc orn












inv en to ry

















co rn pri ce






gr ow e rs



c or n p ric e



co rne xpo rts









d air ies



< mi lk c ow s>

da iry co ws










d air y fe ed





Corn


b ee f


be efi nv en to ry



br ee d st oc k








b ee f c ov er ag e

po pu la tio n



b e ef pr ice






no rm al be ef

co ns um pti on








b re ed ing




rec al l






be ef c att le








ef fec ts





be ef pa ck ing



tim e to rec ov er



co ns um er s>









op er ati on s


ca lve s in ute ro


Beef

d air y c al ve s







d a iry fe rtil ity






m i lki nv en tor y



m ilk sa le s

m ilk c ov era g e


o n m il k p ric e



d air y





















m il k p ric e



pr ice



no rm a l re ta il

d ai ry pri ce














c alv es in u ter o



k ille dhe ife rs



ute ro

Dairy

Agriculture & Food

Electric Power

Idle Po wer

Ge nera tion

C apac ity

Faile dGe nera tion

C apa city

Re pair ing F aile d

G ene ratio n C apac ity

Fa iled Ge nera tionC ap acit y Re pai r Tim e

Tar get G ene ratio n

S ervi ng L oad

Lin e Lo ss F act or

Ta rget Loa d

Fu el R equi red for

Load Se rving

T ota l Fue lUtil izati on R ate

M axim um F uel

Ut ilizat ion R ate Max imum Lo ad

All owe d by Ava ilab leFu el

F uel Req uire d pe ru nit Loa d Se rved

Ti me t o A ctiva te

Gen erat ion

Tar get Fuel

U tiliz ation Ra te

< TIM E ST EP >

Brin ging Ge nera tion

o n Lin e

Gen erat ion

S ervi ng L oad

Sw itchi ng L oad Serv ing

G ene ratio n to Idle

L oad Ser ving

Gen erat ion F ailin g

Ge nera tionFai lure Tim e

M axim um Rat e of

I ncre asin g Lo ad S erv ing

Ava ilableG ene ratio n

Pow er S ales

P riori ty

<T IME ST EP>

Diur nal E lect ricit y

Dem and Var iatio n

Pe ak L oad

On eHo ur

Fue l Pri ce

No n-F uel Ma rgin alCos ts fo r Lo ad Serv ing

Ma rgina l Co sts forL oad Ser ving

T ota l Tar get E lec tricPow er Purc hase s

Pow er P urch ase

Prio rity

Pow er P rice

E lect ric P ow er

Loa d Se rved

Offe red

G ene ratio n

O ffe red I mpo rts

I mpo rt Sa lesPr iority

C om posi te Sa les

P rior ity

C om posi te S uppl y

Off ered

Imp orts Purc has ed

Im port Pow erPr ice

T ota l Lo ad S erve d

<G ene ratio n

Ser ving Loa d>

N et R ate of I ncre asing

L oad Ser ving

G ener ation Av ailab le

f or E xpo rt

Ge nera tionDisc onne cted

fromTran smis sion

S yste m

Lo ad S erv ing G ene ratio nBe com ming Dis con nect ed

Idle Ge nera tionB eco mmi ng

D iscon nec ted

Gen era tionBec omm ing

R eco nne ctedG en erat ionR eco nne ctio n T ime

G ene ratio nD isco nne ction Ra tePow er

I nter rupt ion S tartTim e

Po werI nter rupti onDur atio n

Di scon nec tion Rate

D uring Inte rrup tion

<T ime>

<M axim um NGUtili zatio n Ra te>

Em iss ions per Un itG ener atio n

Em issio ns R ate

R elat ive S hor tfall in

Lo ad S erv ed

T otal Regi on L oad

R ela tive Shor tfall in

S ecto r Lo ad S erv ed

G ene ratio n fo r

E xpo rt

Re gion al E lectr ic

P owe r De man d

<T ime >

Exp ort

O blig ation s Adj ustin g Ex por t

O blig atio ns

<T IME ST EP>

To tal T arg et El ectri c

Po wer Loa d

Ele ctric Po wer

A cqu ired for Eac h

Sec tor


Pow er L oad Ser ved

Res erve Ma rgin

To tal I dleC apac ity

T otal Gen erati on

Serv ing Load< Co al Fu el U nit>

< Coa l Pr ice t oGen erato rs>

< Disti llate Fue l

U nit>

<D istilla te P rice to

G ene rato rs>

<Na tura l Ga s Fu el

U nit>

<N atur al G as P rice to

Ge nera tors >

< Oil F uel Unit >

< Oil Pric e to

Gen erato rs>

Cur rent Tran smi ssion

Cap acit y to Reg ionsCu stom ers

<E ffect of P ow er S CAD A

on Tran smis sion Ca paci ty>

<M axi mum Tra nsm issio n

Cap acity to R egi onsCust ome rs>

Tar get P ow er to

S erv e Re gion Lo ad

R egio n Lo adCo nstr aine d by

T rans miss ion

E ffec t of Pow er S CA DAo n C ontr ol of Gen era tors

<Ef fect of

Com mun icat ions onPo wer SCA DA >

<R elat ive G ene ratio n

C apa city with outS CA DA>

Tot al A vaila bleG ener atio n

M axi mum Co ntro llabl e

Gen era tion

In itia l Ge ner atio nC apa city

D isco nne ction Ra te du e

to C ontr ol L imita tion s

<TI ME STE P>

E xpe cted Po werPri ce

Generation

N at ura l G asO rde rs

To tal N atu ral Ga sDe liv erie s t o G en era tor s

N at ura l G asInv en tor y

D esir ed Na tur al Ga sCo ve rag e

Ta rge t N at ura l G asInv ent ory

Tim e to A d justN a tura l G as Inv en tor y

C ons um ing N atu ralG as f or Ge ner atio n

A dj ust me nt f orN at ura l G as Inv ent ory

Tim e to Ob tainFue l

Pe rfo rm anc e o fNa tur al G as Su pp lier s

E xp ect edN atu ral Ga s

U til izat ion Ra te

T ime to Ad jus t E xp ect edNa tura l G as Us e R at e

A dj ust ing Ex pe cte dN atu ral Ga s U se Ra te

< To tal Fu elUti liza tion R ate >

<T arg et F ue lU tiliz atio n R at e>

C oa l O rde rs fro mG en era tor s

Co alIn ven tor y

D es ired C oa lCo ve rag e

Ta rge t C oa lIn ve nto ry

T ime to Ad ju st C oa l

In ven tor y

C on su min g C oa l fo rG ene rat ion

A dj ust me nt f or Co alIn ve nto ry

Tim e to Ob tainCo al

P erf orm an ce ofC oa l S upp lie rs

Ex pe cte d C oa lUt iliza tio n R ate

T im e t o A dj ustEx pec ted C oa l U se

R ate

A dju stin g E xp ec tedCo al Us e R ate

O il O rd ers fro mGe ne rato rs

O il In ve nto ry

De sir ed OilC ov era ge

T arg et O ilIn ve nto ry

Tim e to A d just O ilIn ve nto ry

C on su min g O il forGe ner atio n

Ad jus tme nt for O ilIn ve nto ry

Tim e to Ob tain O il

Pe rfo rm anc e o f O ilS up pli ers

Exp ec ted O ilU tili zat ion Ra te

Ti me to Ad jus tExp ec ted O il U se Ra te

Ad jus tin g E xpe cte dO il U se Ra te

D is tilla te O rd er s fr omG ene ra tors

Di still ateInv ent ory

D es ired D isti llat eC ov er age

T arg et Dis tilla te

I nve nto ry

Ti me to Ad jus t

D ist illat e I nve nto ry

C on sum ing D isti llat efo r G en era tion

Ad jus tm ent forD isti llate In ve nto ry

T ime to Ob ta inD isti llat e

P erf orm an ce ofDis tilla te Su pp lier s

Exp ec tedDi still ate

Uti liza tion R ate

Tim e t o A dj ustE xpe ct ed Dis tilla te Us e

R ate

Ad jus tin g E xpe cte dD istil late U se Rat e

M ax im um N atu ral Ga sD el ive ry R at e to

G en era tor s

Ma xim um C oa l D eliv eryR at e to G en era tor s

Ma xim um D ist illat eD eliv ery R ate to

G ene rat ors

M ax im um O il D eliv eryRa te to Ge ner ato rs

Ma xim um F uelUti liza tion R ate

< TI ME S TE P>

M ax imu m Fue lD eli ver y R ate

The na tur al gas su pp ly isas sum ed to be co mm on to al lt hre e g as gen er ato r ty pe s

T arg et Na tur al G asU tiliz atio n R at e

Fr act ion al D em an d f orN G C om bu sti on

Fra ctio na l D em an d fo rNG C om bi ned C ycl e

Fra ctio na l D em an d fo rN G Ste am Tu rb ine

M a xim um N GU til izat ion Ra te

To tal Na tur al G asOr der s f rom G ene ra tors

Re lati ve Sho rtf all inG en era tor Fu el

N atu ral Ga s F uelU nit

H ou rsP er Da y

F ue l Pr ice

N atu ral Ga s P ric e to

G en er ato rs

C oa l P ric e t oGe ne rat or s

D isti llat e P ric e toG ene rat ors

O il P ric e toG en era tor s

< Na tur al G as F uelU ni t>

C oa l F uel Un it

Dis tilla te Fue l U nit

O il Fue l U nit

C o al D eli ver ies toGe ner ato rs< Co al F ue l U nit>

Dis tilla te De live rie s toG en era tor s

< D istil late F uelU nit>

O il D el ive ries to

G ene rat ors

<O il F ue l U nit>

Oil De live rie s

Di stil late D eliv erie s

Co al D el iver iesN a tura l G as

De liv erie s

Re lat ive Tr ans po rt T im e b yM od e a nd N ER C R eg ion

F rac tio nal Tr ans po rtM od e f or Co al

N o rma l T im e toO bta in Co al

Fuel Management

Commu n ic at io nsAv ai la bi lit y by N ERC

Re g io n

Us e o f P r iv at e S ys te msf or P o we r S CADA

Eff ec t ofCo mmun ic a tio n s on

P o wer S CADA

Eff e ct o f P o we r S CADAo n Tra ns mis si on Ca p a cit y

Re la tiv e Tra n smis s io nCa p a cit y wit ho u t

S CADA

Cu rr en t Tra ns mis si onCa p a cit y to Re g io ns

Cu st ome rs

Cu rr en t Tra ns mis si onLi mit on I mp or ts

Ma x imu m Tra n smi ss io nCa p a ci ty t o Reg i on s

Cu s to me rs

Ma x imu mTr a ns mis s io n Limi t o n

Im po r ts

Ef fe ct o f P owe r S CADAon Co n tr ol o f Ge n er a to rs

Rel at iv e Gen er a tio nCa p a cit y wit ho u t

S CADA

Co mmu ni ca ti on sAv ai lab i lity d u ri ng P o wer

In te rr up t io n





< Ti me>

SCADA

Idle Po werGe nera tionC apac ity

Faile dGe nera tionC apa city

Re pair ing F aile dG ene ratio n C apac ity


Tar get G ene ratio nS ervi ng L oad


Ta rget Loa d

Fu el R equi red forLoad Se rving


M axim um F uelUt ilizat ion R ate Max imum Lo ad



Ti me t o A ctiva teGen erat ion

Tar get FuelU tiliz ation Ra te

< TIM E ST EP >

Brin ging Ge nera tiono n Lin e

Gen erat ionS ervi ng L oad

Sw itchi ng L oad Serv ingG ene ratio n to Idle

L oad Ser vingGen erat ion F ailin g


M axim um Rat e ofI ncre asin g Lo ad S erv ing


Pow er S alesP riori ty

<T IME ST EP>

Diur nal E lect ricit yDem and Var iatio n

Pe ak L oad

On eHo ur

Fue l Pri ce




Pow er P urch asePrio rity

Pow er P rice

E lect ric P ow erLoa d Se rved

Offe redG ene ratio n

O ffe red I mpo rts


C om posi te Sa lesP rior ity

C om posi te S uppl yOff ered




<G ene ratio nSer ving Loa d>

N et R ate of I ncre asingL oad Ser ving

G ener ation Av ailab lef or E xpo rt

Ge nera tionDisc onne ctedfromTran smis sion

S yste mLo ad S erv ing G ene ratio nBe com ming Dis con nect ed

Idle Ge nera tionB eco mmi ngD iscon nec ted

Gen era tionBec omm ingR eco nne ctedG en erat ionR eco nne ctio n T ime

G ene ratio nD isco nne ction Ra tePow erI nter rupt ion S tartTim e


Di scon nec tion RateD uring Inte rrup tion

<T ime>



Em issio ns R ate

R elat ive S hor tfall inLo ad S erv ed


R ela tive Shor tfall inS ecto r Lo ad S erv ed

G ene ratio n fo rE xpo rt

Re gion al E lectr icP owe r De man d

<T ime >

Exp ortO blig ation s Adj ustin g Ex por t

O blig atio ns<T IME ST EP>

To tal T arg et El ectri cPo wer Loa d

Ele ctric Po werA cqu ired for Eac h

Sec tor

Re gion al E lectr icPow er L oad Ser ved

Res erve Ma rgin


T otal Gen erati onServ ing Load< Co al Fu el U nit>


< Disti llate Fue lU nit>

<D istilla te P rice toG ene rato rs>

<Na tura l Ga s Fu elU nit>

<N atur al G as P rice toGe nera tors >

< Oil F uel Unit >

< Oil Pric e toGen erato rs>

Cur rent Tran smi ssionCap acit y to Reg ionsCu stom ers

<E ffect of P ow er S CAD Aon Tran smis sion Ca paci ty>

<M axi mum Tra nsm issio nCap acity to R egi onsCust ome rs>

Tar get P ow er toS erv e Re gion Lo ad

R egio n Lo adCo nstr aine d byT rans miss ion


<Ef fect ofCom mun icat ions onPo wer SCA DA >

<R elat ive G ene ratio nC apa city with outS CA DA>


M axi mum Co ntro llabl eGen era tion


D isco nne ction Ra te du eto C ontr ol L imita tion s

<TI ME STE P>


Generation

Idle Po werGe nera tionC apac ity

Faile dGe nera tionC apa city

Re pair ing F aile dG ene ratio n C apac ity


Tar get G ene ratio nS ervi ng L oad


Ta rget Loa d

Fu el R equi red forLoad Se rving


M axim um F uelUt ilizat ion R ate Max imum Lo ad



Ti me t o A ctiva teGen erat ion

Tar get FuelU tiliz ation Ra te

< TIM E ST EP >

Brin ging Ge nera tiono n Lin e

Gen erat ionS ervi ng L oad

Sw itchi ng L oad Serv ingG ene ratio n to Idle

L oad Ser vingGen erat ion F ailin g


M axim um Rat e ofI ncre asin g Lo ad S erv ing


Pow er S alesP riori ty

<T IME ST EP>

Diur nal E lect ricit yDem and Var iatio n

Pe ak L oad

On eHo ur

Fue l Pri ce




Pow er P urch asePrio rity

Pow er P rice

E lect ric P ow erLoa d Se rved

Offe redG ene ratio n

O ffe red I mpo rts


C om posi te Sa lesP rior ity

C om posi te S uppl yOff ered




<G ene ratio nSer ving Loa d>

N et R ate of I ncre asingL oad Ser ving

G ener ation Av ailab lef or E xpo rt

Ge nera tionDisc onne ctedfromTran smis sion

S yste mLo ad S erv ing G ene ratio nBe com ming Dis con nect ed

Idle Ge nera tionB eco mmi ngD iscon nec ted

Gen era tionBec omm ingR eco nne ctedG en erat ionR eco nne ctio n T ime

G ene ratio nD isco nne ction Ra tePow erI nter rupt ion S tartTim e


Di scon nec tion RateD uring Inte rrup tion

<T ime>



Em issio ns R ate

R elat ive S hor tfall inLo ad S erv ed


R ela tive Shor tfall inS ecto r Lo ad S erv ed

G ene ratio n fo rE xpo rt

Re gion al E lectr icP owe r De man d

<T ime >

Exp ortO blig ation s Adj ustin g Ex por t

O blig atio ns<T IME ST EP>

To tal T arg et El ectri cPo wer Loa d

Ele ctric Po werA cqu ired for Eac h

Sec tor

Re gion al E lectr icPow er L oad Ser ved

Res erve Ma rgin


T otal Gen erati onServ ing Load< Co al Fu el U nit>


< Disti llate Fue lU nit>

<D istilla te P rice toG ene rato rs>

<Na tura l Ga s Fu elU nit>

<N atur al G as P rice toGe nera tors >

< Oil F uel Unit >

< Oil Pric e toGen erato rs>

Cur rent Tran smi ssionCap acit y to Reg ionsCu stom ers

<E ffect of P ow er S CAD Aon Tran smis sion Ca paci ty>

<M axi mum Tra nsm issio nCap acity to R egi onsCust ome rs>

Tar get P ow er toS erv e Re gion Lo ad

R egio n Lo adCo nstr aine d byT rans miss ion


<Ef fect ofCom mun icat ions onPo wer SCA DA >

<R elat ive G ene ratio nC apa city with outS CA DA>


M axi mum Co ntro llabl eGen era tion


D isco nne ction Ra te du eto C ontr ol L imita tion s

<TI ME STE P>


Generation


















Co alIn ven tor y




In ven tor y







R ate



O il In ve nto ry















I nve nto ry

Ti me to Ad jus t







Uti liza tion R ate


R ate



G en era tor s



G ene rat ors



< TI ME S TE P>











H ou rsP er Da y

F ue l Pr ice


G en er ato rs





C oa l F uel Un it


O il Fue l U nit





G ene rat ors

<O il F ue l U nit>

Oil De live rie s



De liv erie s




Fuel Management


















Co alIn ven tor y




In ven tor y







R ate



O il In ve nto ry















I nve nto ry

Ti me to Ad jus t







Uti liza tion R ate


R ate



G en era tor s



G ene rat ors



< TI ME S TE P>











H ou rsP er Da y

F ue l Pr ice


G en er ato rs





C oa l F uel Un it


O il Fue l U nit





G ene rat ors

<O il F ue l U nit>

Oil De live rie s



De liv erie s




Fuel Management


Re g io n



P o wer S CADA



S CADA


Cu st ome rs



Cu s to me rs


Im po r ts



S CADA


In te rr up t io n



< Ti me>

SCADA


Re g io n



P o wer S CADA



S CADA


Cu st ome rs



Cu s to me rs


Im po r ts



S CADA


In te rr up t io n



< Ti me>

SCADA

Petroleum Fuels

De sired Na tura l GasPurc hase Ra te

M ax imum Na tura l

Gas Sal es R ate

T otal Des ired Nat ural

G as S ales to E nd U sers

Nat ural GasP urch ase Rate

N atu ral G as in

Und ergro und Sto rage

Po wer Ava ilabi lityin N GRe gion

N omi nal I njec tionC apa city to N atur al G as

S tora ge

Eff ect o f Po wer Ava ilab ility o nNatu ral G as Tran sfer Cap acity to

Un derg roun d S torag e

Natu ral G as in

Tra nsm issio n Sy stem

Inj ectio n Ca pac ity toNa tura l Gas Sto rage

T rans ferin g Na tura l

Gas to S tora ge

D esi red N atu ral

G as Acq uisiti onRat e

Cu rren t Ra te of

D ome stic GasProd ucti on

C urre nt N G Tr ansf er

C apa city to O ther

N GRe gion s

NG Tr ansf er R ate t o

O the r NG Reg ions

T otal NG Tran sfer Rat e

to Oth er D istric ts

Tar get N G T ran sferR ate to O ther Dis tricts

T ime to Fo rm Ave rage

Ta rget NG Tran sfer Rat e

Av erag e Ta rget

NG Tran sfer Rate Cha ngin g A vera ge

Targ et N G T rans ferR ate

To tal T arge t NG

T rans fer R ate

NG Tr ansfe r O ffere d toOthe r N GRe gion s

Ma ximu m N atur al G as

Tra nsfe r Ra te to Oth er

D istr icts

Serv icea ble Frac tion of

T otal Tar get N G T rans ferRat e

N atura l Ga sAcq uisiti on R ate

Des ired NG Acq uisit ionR ate from Ot her

NG Re gion s

To tal N G I mpo rt

Cap acity fro m O ther

NG Reg ions

R equ este d NG Im port s

F rom Oth er N GRe gion s

O rde r Ra te fo rFore ign NG Impo rts

Fo reign Na tural Gas

Imp ort Rate

Tim e to Acq uire For eignN atu ral G as I mpo rts

Tim e to Acq uire Tran sfer s

NG fro m O ther Dist ricts

Na tur a l G asAqui si ti on

S ecto r Na tura l Ga s

Prio rity

Na tural Gas Pur chas ePr iorit y fro m O ther

D istr icts

Na tura l Ga s Sa les

Pr iority for Oth er

NG Regi ons

Na tural GasClea ring Pric e

Pote ntia lM ark et fo rN G

A cqu isitio n

C han ge in Ma rket for

N G A cqui sitio n

Tim e to Cha nge Ma rket

f or N G A cqu isitio n

<TIM E STE P>

Cu rrent For eign NG

Im po rt Ca pac ity

Ou tsta ndin gO rder s for

Fo reig n NG

Impo rts

In crea sing Bac klog of

Fore ign N G Orde rs

Dec reas ing B ack log o f

Fo reign NG Or ders

De ma nd fr o mGe ner a to rs

End - use rDe ma nd

Gen erat ors D esir ed

N atu ral G as P urch ase

R ate

N om inal D eliv erab ilityRate of Stor ed N G

Tot al De sire d

N atur al G as S ales

Co nsum ing

Nat ural Gas

Wo rkin g Ga s Re lativ e to

W orki ng G as C apa city

R elati ve S hort fall inNa tura l Gas De liver ies

M axi mum Na tural

G as D eliv ery Rate

Ma ximu m G ener ator

Sa les R ate

N G Sa les Rate toGe nera tors

Tota l Na tura l Ga s

S ales to E nd User s

An nual Ave rage Ne t

Aqu isitio n Ra te

One Yea r

Deliv erab ility from

N atur al G as S tora ge

D esire d T rans ferR ate T o S tora ge

Out stand ing

Ord ers for

NG Imp ortsNG Im ports fro m

Oth er N GR egio ns

D ome stic Nat ural

G as I mpo rt R ate

< Tim e>

Av erag e G as

D em and

Gas Dem andVa riab ility

T ota l NG Pur chas es

from Oth er R egio ns

Tot al Sa les to

Oth er R egio ns

Sto rag e W ithdr awa lsR equ ired to S erve

D em and

<Ac quis ition Co rrect ion

for S tora ge A vai labili ty>

<Ad ditio nal Acq uisiti on to

C ove r for Imm edia teS hor tfalls >

<Z: Tim e Un its

P er D ay>

< Z: T ime Unit sPer Da y>

Curr ent Inter nal N GT rans miss ion C apa city

< Effec t of SCA DA on

NG Pi pelin e Ca pac ity>

<M axi mum Ca paci ty ofG ather ing N etw ork for

D ome stic Prod uctio n>

<N omin al R ate o fD ome stic Gas

P rod uctio n>

< Effe ct o f SC AD A on

N G P ipel ine C apa city >

<M axim um NG Tran sfer

Ra te to Ot herN GRe gion s>

<Eff ect o f SC AD A o nN G P ipel ine C apa city >

<M axi mum For eign NGImp ort C apa city >

<Ef fect of SC AD A o n

NG Pipe line Cap acity > < Ma ximu m In tern al N G

T ran smis sion Cap acity >

E xpe cted Na tura l

G as P ric e

In itial Am oun t of

Na tura l Ga s St ored

Na tura l Ga s

Who lesa le P riceAd just ing N atur al G as

Wh olesa le P rice

T ime t o A djust Na turalG as W ho lesa le Pr ice

< Na tural Gas

C leari ng P rice >

Re gion al G as P rice

Ef fect of S tored Ga so n Pr ice F unc tion

<W orki ng G as R elati ve toWo rkin g Ga s C apac ity>

Nom ina l Na tural

G as P rice

< Regi onal Gas

P rice>

D esired Fuel

Pu rchas e Rat e

Fue l

In vento ry atD istrib utors D istrib utor Sales

Rate

Exp ected Prod uctRep lacem ent T ime

Ma ximum Sale s

Rat e

Tot al De siredS ales R ate

Distr ibuto rSho rtage

Di stribu tor Ef fect o f Per ceived

Sh ortag e on D esire dC over age T able

Di stribu tor Ef fect o f

Perc eived Sho rtage onD esired Cov erage

Dis tribut orPe rceive dSh ortag e

Dis tributo r Tim e to

Per ceive Shor tage

Dist ributo r Cha nge i nPer ceive d Sho rtage

D esire d Dis tribut or

Fue l Cov erage

P erceiv ed

D ema ndRate

Chan ge in Perc eivedD eman d Ra te

Time to C hangeP erce ived D ema nd

Rate

C urren t Dist ributo rFuel Cove rage

R elativ e Dis tribut orFue l Cov erage

Effe ct of Relat ive Co vera geo n Indi cated Fuel Price

Tab le

Perc eived

Fuel Price Chan gingPerc eptio n of F uel

Pr ice

Effe ct of Relati veC overa ge on Indi cated

F uel P rice

Spo t Fue l Price

Ti me to Chan ge

Perc eived Fuel Price

Fuel Retai lMar kup

F uel R etail Price

Fue l Pur chaseRate

D istribu tor

Inve ntory Defic it

Total Dem and in

D istric t

Di stribu tor

Acqu isition Rate

No mina l Dis tribu tor

Fuel Cove rage

D is tr ibu to r /R et ai ler

R ef in er

Refi ner D esired Fuel

P urcha se Ra te

Pro ductInven tory a t

Refi ners Refin erS ales R ate

Expec ted

Pro ductio n Tim e

M axim um R efiner y

Sa les Ra te

T otal Desire d

Re finer S ales Rate

De sired Refin erInve ntory Cove rage

Perc eived

Distr ibutor sD ema nd Ra te

C hang e in P erceiv edD istrib utors Dema nd

Rate

T ime t o Ch ange Perce ivedD istrib utors Dem and R ate

C urren t Ref inery

Inv entor y Co verag e

Refi nery S ales Rate to

Other Distr icts

Re finer P rodu ct

Inv entory Defi cit

Re finer Desire d

Pro ducti on Ra te

R efiner y

Produ ction Rate

No mina l Refin er

Inve ntory Cove rage

Maxi mum Refini ng

C apac ity

P roduc t Yie ld per

Un it Cru de

Add itiona l Yield

from Add itives

A dditiv e

Av ailabi lity

Curre nt Pro duct

Yield

C urren t Pric e per

Unit Crud e F ixed Costs

Vari able U nit

C osts

Un it Pro ducti on Co sts

for Perc eived Dem and

Cru de P rice

KG allon sPerB arrel

Oper ation Rate for

Perce ived Dema nd

Min imum Refi nery

Cap acity Utiliz ation

Minim um R efine ryOp eratio n Rat e

Ava ilable Refin ingCap acity

Re finery Cap acity

Da mage Indic ator

Time Conv ersio n

P rodu ct Ma rkup

Effe ct of Produ ct M arkupon Cap acity Utiliza tion

Tabl e

Eff ect of Prod uct M arku po n Cap acity Utiliz ation

Eco nomic Targ et

Op eratio n Ra te

C rudeInve ntory at

R efiner Refin eryOp eratio n Rat e

Refi nery C ycleTime

Crud e Lim ited Refine ryOper ation Rate

Lab or A vailab ility

to P ADPow er A vailab ilityto P AD

Inv entor y Bas ed

Targe t Ope ration Rate

Ef fect o f Lab or

A vailab ility o nAva ilable Cap acity

Aggre gate Effect s on

Avai lable Capa city

Targe t Op eratio nRate

Aver age T arget

Oper ation Rate

Tim e to Form Aver age

Ta rget O pera tion R ate

Chan ge in Avera geT arget Oper ation Rate

Des ired C rude Inven toryC overa ge at Refin ery

Curr ent C rude Inven tory

Co verag e at R efine ry

Crud e Inv entory

Defic it at R efiner y

Refin ery C rudeInv entor y Adj ustme nt

Time

D esire d Cru de Tr ansfe r

Rate from Term inalSto rage

No minal Crud e Tra nsfer

C apaci ty to Refine ry

Eff ect of Pow er Av ailabi lity onC rude Trans fer C apacit y to

Re finery

Crud e Inv entor y atTerm inals and T ank

Far ms

M axim um C rude

T ransfe r Rat e toRef inerie s

Tr ansfe ring C rudeto R efine ry

Desi red C rude Inven toryCove rage a t Ter minals and

Tan k Far ms


Cove rage a t Ter minals andTan k Far ms

Crude Inve ntory Defic it atT ermi nals a nd Ta nk Fa rms

Des ired C rudeAcqu isition Rate

Tim e to Adju st Cru deInven tory at Ter minal s and

Tan k Fa rms

C urrent Rate ofDo mest ic Cru de

Del ivery

Curre nt M aximu m Cr ude

Tran sfer R ate t o Oth er

P ADs Crud e Tra nsfer Rateto Other PAD s

To tal C rude T rans fer

Ra te to O ther Distr icts

Targ et Cr ude T ransfe rRate to O ther D istric ts

Ti me to Form Ave rageTa rget Crude Tran sfer

Rate

Aver age T arget

Crud e Tra nsfer

Rate Cha nging Aver ageTarge t Cru de Tr ansfe r

R ate

T otal T arget Crud e

Tran sfer R ate

Cru de Tr ansfer

Offe red to Othe rPAD s

Max imum Crud e Tra nsfer

Rate from Term inals andTan k Fa rms

M axim um C rude Tran sferRate to O ther D istric ts

Servic eable Frac tion o f

Tot al Tar get C rude

T ransf er Ra te

Crud e Ac quisiti onRat e

De sired Acqu isition

Rate from Othe r PAD s

Tota l Cru de Im port

Capa city f rom O therDist ricts

Requ ested Crud eIm ports From Oth er

PADs

Crud e Imp orts f romO ther P ADs

Ord er Ra te for Fore ign

Crud e Imp orts

F oreig n Cru deImpo rt Ra te

Tim e to Acqu ire

F oreig n Cru de Im ports

T ime t o Ac quire Crud e

Tran sfers for O therDist ricts

C ru de

B uy e r

Se ctor F uel

P riorit y

Pr oduct SalesPrio rity fo r Oth er

Distr icts

R efine ry Sa les Ra te toDistr ict Di stribu tion

Refin ery P roduc tion

A vaila ble fo r Tra nsfer

De sired Impo rts fro mOthe r Dis tricts

Pro duct Purch asePrio rity fr om O ther

Dist ricts

F uel C learing Pric e

Dis tribut or Pu rchas es

fro m Ot her D istrict s

Total Desir ed Im port

R ate fro m O ther D istric ts

To tal Re finery Sale s

Rate to O ther D istric ts

T otal U nserv ed D eman d

from Othe r Dist ricts

F ractio n of U nserv edD ema nd Pe rceiv ed

Crud e Pur chase Prior ity

from Oth er Di stricts

C rude Sales Prio rity

for O ther PAD s

Crud e Cle aring

P riority

Dom estic Crude

Im port R ate

Pote ntial

Mark et fo rCr udeAcqu isitionCh ange in Ma rket f orC rude Acqu isition

T ime t o Cha nge M arke tfor C rude Acqu isition

<T IME STEP >

Ma ximu m Fo reignCru de I mpor t Rat e

Ou tstand ing

Or ders forFore ign C rudeIm port sInc reasin g Bac klog of

For eign C rude Orde rs

Decr easing Bac klog o f

Fore ign C rude O rder s

F racti on of Outst andin gF oreig n Cru de Im port s

C onsid ered in Co verag e



Trend in S pot

Fue l Pric e

Time to Inc rease

Retail Fuel Price

Time to D ecrea seRet ail Fu el Pric e

P assThr oughFuel PriceA djust ing P ass

Thr ough Fuel Price

Tim e to Chan ge

Fuel P rice

R elativ e Sho rtfall in Fue l

Pu rchas es fro m

D istrib utors

Re lative Short fall in Fuel

Pur chase s by D istrib utors

Rel ative Short fall in

Ref inery Oper ationsR ate

Relat ive Sh ortfa ll inCrud e Pu rchas es

T ime to Trac k Tre ndin S pot P rices

Te st Pur chaseRa te

I nitial T rend in

Spot Price

EIA Refin ing C apac ity

as of Ja nuary 200 3

H oursP erDa y

Who le sa leMa rk e t

Di stribu tor De siredP urcha sing R ate

Dist rict G enera torsDem and f or Di esel

Dis trict G ener atorsDema nd fo r Hea vy O il

Tot al Su pply t o

Distr ict

D istric t Gen erato rs

Supp ly of Diese l

Dis trict G ener atorsSup ply of Heav y Oil

Effec t of R elativ e Co verag eon Ind icate d Fue l Sale s Pric e

Tabl e

Pe rceiv edFu el Sal es

Price Chan ging Perce ption ofF uel S ales P rice

Effe ct of R elativ e Co verag eon Indic ated Fuel S ales

Pric e

Spo t Fuel SalesPric e

Tim e to C hang e

P ercei ved F uel S alesPric e

Refin er Pr oduct

R elativ e Co verag e

F uel A vailab le for

Tr ansfe r

Cu rrent M axim umFore ign F uel Im port

Ra te

F oreig n Fu el

Pr ice

Pu rchas e Rat e of

Imp orts

R elative Tran port Time

by M ode a nd PA D

F ractio nal T ransp ortSurf ace M ode for R efined

P rodu cts

F ractio n of Produ ct

Pip eline Capa city U sed

Trans port Rate b y Mo de

for Refin ed Pr oduct s

R efined

Pro ducts inPi peline s Refin ed Pr oduc ts

A rrivin g by Pipel ine

Ti me to Tran sportRe fined Produ cts b y

Pi peline

Tr anspo rting Refine d

Pr oduct s by P ipelin e


Pr oduct s by S urfac eM ode

C urren t For eign C rude

Im port C apac ity

E ffect of Po wer A vaila bility

on Fo reign Crud e Imp ortR ate

Max imum Del ivera bilityof Dom estic Cru de

Pro duct ion

Norm al R ate ofDom estic Crude

Pr oduct ion

Max imum Cru de

Tr ansfe r Ra te to Othe r

PAD s

Maxi mum Prod uct T rans fer

Ca paci ty by Pipel ine t oD istri ct Di stribu tion

C urrent Prod uct T ransfe rC apac ity by Pipel ine to

Distr ict Di stribu tion

To tal P roduc t Tran sfer

Ca pacity to O ther P ADs To tal Pr oduct Tran sfer

Cap acity from Expo rters

Tim e to Reco ver R efiner yCapa city fr om P ower

Outa ge

Effe ct of Powe r

Av ailabi lity onRefi nery C apac ityAd justin g Effe ct of Powe r

A vailab ility o n Ref ineryCapa city

<TIM E ST EP>

M axim um F oreig n

F uel I mpor t Rat e

<Sp ot Fu el Pri ce>

<S pot F uel S ales

Pr ice>

< Fuel Clear ing

Pr ice>

<Ma ximu m Cru de T ransfe rR ate t o Oth er PA Ds in Barr els

p er Da y>

<K Gall onsPe rBarr el> <H oursP erDa y>

Refined Petroleum Products

Natural Gas


M ax imum Na tura l

Gas Sal es R ate

T otal Des ired Nat ural

G as S ales to E nd U sers


N atu ral G as in

Und ergro und Sto rage


N omi nal I njec tionC apa city to N atur al G as

S tora ge

Eff ect o f Po wer Ava ilab ility o nNatu ral G as Tran sfer Cap acity to

Un derg roun d S torag e

Natu ral G as in

Tra nsm issio n Sy stem


T rans ferin g Na tura l

Gas to S tora ge

D esi red N atu ral

G as Acq uisiti onRat e

Cu rren t Ra te of

D ome stic GasProd ucti on

C urre nt N G Tr ansf er

C apa city to O ther

N GRe gion s

NG Tr ansf er R ate t o

O the r NG Reg ions

T otal NG Tran sfer Rat e

to Oth er D istric ts


T ime to Fo rm Ave rage

Ta rget NG Tran sfer Rat e

Av erag e Ta rget

NG Tran sfer Rate Cha ngin g A vera ge


To tal T arge t NG

T rans fer R ate


Ma ximu m N atur al G as

Tra nsfe r Ra te to Oth er

D istr icts

Serv icea ble Frac tion of

T otal Tar get N G T rans ferRat e


Des ired NG Acq uisit ionR ate from Ot her

NG Re gion s

To tal N G I mpo rt

Cap acity fro m O ther

NG Reg ions

R equ este d NG Im port s

F rom Oth er N GRe gion s

O rde r Ra te fo rFore ign NG Impo rts

Fo reign Na tural Gas

Imp ort Rate


Tim e to Acq uire Tran sfer s

NG fro m O ther Dist ricts


S ecto r Na tura l Ga s

Prio rity

Na tural Gas Pur chas ePr iorit y fro m O ther

D istr icts

Na tura l Ga s Sa les

Pr iority for Oth er

NG Regi ons


Pote ntia lM ark et fo rN G

A cqu isitio n

C han ge in Ma rket for

N G A cqui sitio n

Tim e to Cha nge Ma rket

f or N G A cqu isitio n

<TIM E STE P>

Cu rrent For eign NG

Im po rt Ca pac ity

Ou tsta ndin gO rder s for

Fo reig n NG

Impo rts

In crea sing Bac klog of

Fore ign N G Orde rs

Dec reas ing B ack log o f

Fo reign NG Or ders


End - use rDe ma nd

Gen erat ors D esir ed

N atu ral G as P urch ase

R ate


Tot al De sire d

N atur al G as S ales

Co nsum ing

Nat ural Gas

Wo rkin g Ga s Re lativ e to

W orki ng G as C apa city


M axi mum Na tural

G as D eliv ery Rate

Ma ximu m G ener ator

Sa les R ate


Tota l Na tura l Ga s

S ales to E nd User s

An nual Ave rage Ne t

Aqu isitio n Ra te

One Yea r

Deliv erab ility from

N atur al G as S tora ge


Out stand ing

Ord ers for

NG Imp ortsNG Im ports fro m

Oth er N GR egio ns

D ome stic Nat ural

G as I mpo rt R ate

< Tim e>

Av erag e G as

D em and


T ota l NG Pur chas es

from Oth er R egio ns

Tot al Sa les to

Oth er R egio ns

Sto rag e W ithdr awa lsR equ ired to S erve

D em and

<Ac quis ition Co rrect ion

for S tora ge A vai labili ty>

<Ad ditio nal Acq uisiti on to

C ove r for Imm edia teS hor tfalls >

<Z: Tim e Un its

P er D ay>



< Effec t of SCA DA on

NG Pi pelin e Ca pac ity>

<M axi mum Ca paci ty ofG ather ing N etw ork for

D ome stic Prod uctio n>

<N omin al R ate o fD ome stic Gas

P rod uctio n>

< Effe ct o f SC AD A on

N G P ipel ine C apa city >

<M axim um NG Tran sfer

Ra te to Ot herN GRe gion s>



<Ef fect of SC AD A o n

NG Pipe line Cap acity > < Ma ximu m In tern al N G


E xpe cted Na tura l

G as P ric e

In itial Am oun t of

Na tura l Ga s St ored

Na tura l Ga s

Who lesa le P riceAd just ing N atur al G as

Wh olesa le P rice


< Na tural Gas

C leari ng P rice >


Ef fect of S tored Ga so n Pr ice F unc tion

<W orki ng G as R elati ve toWo rkin g Ga s C apac ity>

Nom ina l Na tural

G as P rice

< Regi onal Gas

P rice>

D esired Fuel

Pu rchas e Rat e

Fue l


Rate


Ma ximum Sale s

Rat e









Per ceive Shor tage



Fue l Cov erage

P erceiv ed

D ema ndRate



Rate




Tab le

Perc eived


Pr ice


F uel P rice

Spo t Fue l Price

Ti me to Chan ge


Fuel Retai lMar kup

F uel R etail Price

Fue l Pur chaseRate

D istribu tor

Inve ntory Defic it

Total Dem and in

D istric t

Di stribu tor

Acqu isition Rate

No mina l Dis tribu tor

Fuel Cove rage

D is tr ibu to r /R et ai ler

R ef in er


P urcha se Ra te



Expec ted

Pro ductio n Tim e


Sa les Ra te

T otal Desire d



Perc eived



Rate


C urren t Ref inery



Other Distr icts

Re finer P rodu ct

Inv entory Defi cit

Re finer Desire d

Pro ducti on Ra te

R efiner y

Produ ction Rate

No mina l Refin er


Maxi mum Refini ng

C apac ity


Un it Cru de

Add itiona l Yield

from Add itives

A dditiv e

Av ailabi lity

Curre nt Pro duct

Yield



Vari able U nit

C osts



Cru de P rice

KG allon sPerB arrel

Oper ation Rate for

Perce ived Dema nd

Min imum Refi nery




Re finery Cap acity

Da mage Indic ator

Time Conv ersio n

P rodu ct Ma rkup


Tabl e


Eco nomic Targ et

Op eratio n Ra te

C rudeInve ntory at






Inv entor y Bas ed


Ef fect o f Lab or





Aver age T arget

Oper ation Rate







Crud e Inv entory



Time






Re finery


Far ms

M axim um C rude




Tan k Far ms






Tan k Fa rms


Del ivery








Rate

Aver age T arget

Crud e Tra nsfer


R ate


Tran sfer R ate

Cru de Tr ansfer







T ransf er Ra te







PADs



Crud e Imp orts


Tim e to Acqu ire




C ru de

B uy e r

Se ctor F uel

P riorit y


Distr icts






Dist ricts














for O ther PAD s

Crud e Cle aring

P riority

Dom estic Crude

Im port R ate

Pote ntial



<T IME STEP >


Ou tstand ing








Unit Crude >

Trend in S pot

Fue l Pric e

Time to Inc rease

Retail Fuel Price



Thr ough Fuel Price

Tim e to Chan ge

Fuel P rice


Pu rchas es fro m

D istrib utors








I nitial T rend in

Spot Price

EIA Refin ing C apac ity

as of Ja nuary 200 3

H oursP erDa y





Tot al Su pply t o

Distr ict


Supp ly of Diese l



Tabl e




Pric e


Tim e to C hang e


Refin er Pr oduct



Tr ansfe r


Ra te

F oreig n Fu el

Pr ice

Pu rchas e Rat e of

Imp orts


by M ode a nd PA D


P rodu cts





R efined




Pi peline






Im port C apac ity



Max imum Del ivera bilityof Dom estic Cru de

Pro duct ion


Pr oduct ion

Max imum Cru de

Tr ansfe r Ra te to Othe r

PAD s

Maxi mum Prod uct T rans fer

Ca paci ty by Pipel ine t oD istri ct Di stribu tion







Outa ge

Effe ct of Powe r



<TIM E ST EP>

M axim um F oreig n

F uel I mpor t Rat e


<S pot F uel S ales

Pr ice>

< Fuel Clear ing

Pr ice>


p er Da y>



Natural Gas

TransportationWa te rwa y P o wer Ava ila b ilit y

Ef fec t of P owe r Av ai lab ili ty on Av ai lab le Wa te rway C a pa ci ty

T es t L a bo r Av ai lab il ity

Ef fe ct of L ab o r Av ail ab ili ty on Av ail ab le Wa te r T ra ns p or tat io n Ca p ac ity

Ag gr eg at e Ef fec ts o n Av a ila ble W ate rwa y Ca p ac ity

W ate rwa y C ap ac ity Da mag e I nd ic at or

Ma ximu m Wa te rway C a pa ci ty

Av ai lab le Wa te rwa y C a p ac ity

F ue l Av a ila bil ity b y PADD

E ffe ct o f F u el Ava ila bi lity o n Ava ila bl e W ate rwa y C ap ac ity

Av era g e T r av el Dist an ce

F re ig ht Awa it ing

Wat er wa yTr an sp o rt

Wa te rwa yF re ig ht Arr iva l

R ate

F re ig ht T ran s po rt

R a te

Wa te rwayMate ri al St or ag e

C a p ac ity

Utili za tio n of

S to ra ge

Ef fec t of S to rag eUt iliz at ion o n Div ers io n to

R ai l T ab le

Ef fec t of S to ra geUt iliz at io n o n Div er sio n to

Ra il

P o we r Ava ila bi lity b y

NE RC Re gi on

W at erwa y Fu e lAv ai la bil ity

F ra c tio n ofWat er wa y F re igh tDiv er ted

R a te of F re ig ht Mov in g

to R ai l T ra ns p or t

Wa te rwayF re igh t

Arri vin g

Wat er wa y tr an sp or t

pr op o rti onW ate rwa y re lat ive

pe rf or ma n ce

Oth er Wa te rwa yFr eig h t Arr iv al

R at e

Re fin e d Pr od uc tsW ate rwa y Fr ei gh tArri va l R a te

WaterwayE ffe ct o f P ow e r A v ai lab ili ty on A va ila b le Ra il Ca pa c ity

E ff ec t o f L a bo r A v ail ab ilit y on A va ila bl e R a il T ra n sp or tat ion C a pa cit y

Ag g reg at e Ef fec ts on A v ail ab le Ra il C ap ac ity

Ra il Ca pa ci ty D am a ge In di ca tor

M ax im um R a il C a pa ci ty

A v ail ab le R ail C ap ac ity

E ffe ct of F ue l A va ila b itiy o n Av ai lab le R ail C ap ac ity

A ve ra ge R ail T rav el D ist an ceF re igh t Aw a itin g

Ra il Tr an sp or t

R ai l F re igh tA rr iva l R a te

Ra il Fr eig htT ran sp o rt Ra te

R ai l M a ter ia lS to ra ge C ap ac ity

Ra te o f F re igh t M ov ingto R oa d Tr an sp or t

U tiliz at io n o fR ail St or ag e

E ff ec t o f St ora g e U ti liz ati ono n D ive rs io n t o Ro ad T ab le

E ffe ct of S to rag eU tili za tio n on D iv ers io n to

R o ad

Ra il Fu elA va ila b ilit y

F r ac tio n o f Ra ilF re ig ht D ive rte d

 <T e st La bo r

Av a ilab il ity >

< Fu e l A va ila bi lityb y P AD D >

C o mm un i ca ti o ns n e two r k isi n fr as tr u ct u re o wn ed an d

d is tr ib u te d in n a tu r e

< R ate o f F re ig htM ov ing to R a il

T ra ns po rt >

R ai l F re ig htA rr ivi ng

R a il t ra nsp o rtp ro po rti on

R a il R e lat iveP er fo rm an ce

<R a te of F re igh tM o vi ng to R ai l

T ra nsp o rt>

O th er R ail F rei gh tA rr iv al Ra te

Re fin e d P ro d uc ts Ra ilF re igh t Ar riv al R ate

< Ti me >

< T ra ns po rt D isr up tio nS c en ar io Sw it ch >

Rail

Ro ad C ap ac ity D am ag e Ind ic ato r

Max im um R oa d Ca p aci ty

A vai lab le Ro ad C a pa city

A ve ra ge R oa d T ra ve l D is tan ceF re igh t A w ait ingR o ad Tr an sp or t

Ro ad F rei gh t

A rriv al Ra te

Ro ad F re igh tT ra ns po rt Ra te

Ro ad Ca pa c ity s h ou ld n o t be g re a tly i mpa c te d at a n at io na l le ve lb y EP , Co mm, F ue l or La bo r av a il ab il ity h o wev e r th ey wo u ld imp e de t he a bi li ty to s h ip f ro m t he p ro d uc e r an d wi ll imp ac t th era te o f fre i gh t ar ri va l at th e ro a d ne two r k. I so la te d d is ru p tio n s to

th e ro ad n e two rk wi ll re s ul t i n d iv er si on a ro u n d th e imp ac te da re a s a n d in cr ea s e av er ag e tr a ve l di st an ce

< Rate o f F re igh t Mo vin gt o Ro ad Tran sp or t>

Fr eig ht Mov ing t oRo ad fr om Air

< Rate o f F re igh t Mo vi ng toRo ad Tra nsp o rt f ro m Air >

Ro ad Fr ei ghtAr riv ing

Ro adtr an spo rtpr op ort ion

Oth er Roa d Fre ig htArri val Rate

Ref ine d Pr od uc tsRoa d Fr eig htArr iva l Ra te

Rela tiv e Ro adTran sp or t

P er fo rman ce

Tra ns po rt Di sru pt ionS ce na rio S witc h

< Time >Agg re ga te Ef fec ts on

Av aila bl e Ro ad Cap ac ity

No rmal Av er age Roa d Tr av el Dis ta nc e

Cat tle Ro ad F re igh tAr riv al Ra te

< Time >

Ro ad E ffe ct o f P ow e r A v ail ab ilit y on A va ila bl e A ir C ap ac ity

E ffe ct o f L ab or A va ila b ility o n A va ilab le A ir Tr an sp or ta tio n Ca pa c ity

A g gr eg at e E ff ec ts on A va ila bl e A ir C ap a cit y

A ir C ap ac ity D ama ge In d ica to r

Ma ximu m A ir F r eig ht C ap ac ity

A v ail ab le A ir Fr eig ht C ap ac ity

Ef fec t of Fu el A va ila bi lity o n Av ai lab le A ir Ca p ac ity

F rei gh t A w ai tin gAi r T ra ns po rt

A ir Fr eig ht A rr iva lR ate

Ai r F re ig ht

Tr an sp or t R at e

A ir F rei gh tSt or ag e Ca pa ci ty

R a te of F rei gh t Mo vi ng to R oa dT ra ns po rt fr om A ir

U tili za tio n o f Ai r

F re igh t S to ra ge

E ffe ct o f S to ra ge U tili za tio no n Di ve rs ion to R o ad fr om

A ir Ta b le

E ffe ct of S to rag eU til iza tio n on D iv ers io n t o

R o ad fr om Ai r

Ai r F ue l

A va ila bi lity

F ra ct ion o f A irF re igh t D iv er te d

< T est L ab orA v aila b ilit y>

< Fu el A va ila bi lityb y PA D D >



P as se ng er sA wa iti ng A ir

T ra ns po rtA ir P as se ng erT ra ns po rt Ra te

A ir P as se ng erA rri va l R at e

A va ila ble A irP a sse ng er C ap a cit y

Max imum A i rP a ss en ge r C a pa cit y

Ma il A w ai tin gA ir Tr an sp or t

A ir MailTr an sp or t R at e

A ir M ailA rri va l R at e

A v ail ab le A ir Ma ilC a pa ci ty

Ma ximu m A ir Ma ilC a pa cit y

A ir P as se ng er s inTr an sit to S ta tes

A irP as se ng er s

A rriv in g

Ai r P as se ng erD ist rib ut ion R a te

A irP as se ng erP ro po rt ion

A irT r an sp or t T ime

A ir Mail in T ra nsi t t o S ta te s

A ir Fr eig h t in T ra ns it t o

St at es

A ir M ailA rri vin g

A ir F re igh tA rr ivi ng

A ir Mail D ist rib ut ion R a te

Ma il P ro po rt io n

A ir Fr eig ht

Di str ib uti on R at e

A ir Fr eig h t P ro po rt ion

Ef fe ct of Te le co mmu ni ca tio nsA va ila b ility o n A va ilab le A ir

T ra nsp o rta tio n C ap ac ity

Re la tiv e Ai r P as se ng er

Tr an sp or t P er fo rman ce

R el ati ve A ir Mail

Tr an sp or t P e rfo rman ce

Re la tiv e A ir F re igh tTr an sp or t P e rfo rma nc eAir

Wa te rw a y P o w er A va ila b ilit y

Ef fec t of P ow e r A v ai lab ili ty on A v ai lab le Wa te rw ay C a pa ci ty

T es t L a bo r A v ai lab il ity

Ef fe ct of L ab o r A v ail ab ili ty on A v ail ab le Wa te r T ra ns p or tat io n Ca p ac ity

A g gr eg at e Ef fec ts o n Av a ila ble W ate rw a y Ca p ac ity

W ate rw a y C ap ac ity D a mag e I nd ic at or

Ma ximu m Wa te rw ay C a pa ci ty

A v ai lab le Wa te rw a y C a p ac ity

F ue l Av a ila bil ity b y PA D D

E ffe ct o f F u el A va ila bi lity o n A va ila bl e W ate rw a y C ap ac ity

A v era g e T r av el D ist an ce

F re ig ht A wa it ing


Wa te rw a yF re ig ht A rr iva l

R ate

F re ig ht T ran s po rt

R a te

Wa te rw ayMate ri al St or ag e

C a p ac ity

U tili za tio n of

S to ra ge

Ef fec t of S to rag eU t iliz at ion o n D iv ers io n to

R ai l T ab le

Ef fec t of S to ra geU t iliz at io n o n D iv er sio n to

Ra il

P o we r A va ila bi lity b y

N E RC Re gi on

W at erw a y Fu e lAv ai la bil ity

F ra c tio n ofWat er wa y F re igh tD iv er ted

R a te of F re ig ht Mov in g

to R ai l T ra ns p or t

Wa te rw ayF re igh t

A rri vin g

Wat er wa y tr an sp or t

pr op o rti onW ate rw a y re lat ive

pe rf or ma n ce

O th er Wa te rw a yFr eig h t A rr iv al

R at e

Re fin e d Pr od uc tsW ate rw a y Fr ei gh tA rri va l R a te









Ra il Tr an sp or t








R o ad




Av a ilab il ity >


Co mm un i ca ti o ns n e two r k isi n fr as tr u ct u re o wn ed an d



T ra ns po rt >





T ra nsp o rt>



< Ti me >


Rail

Ro ad Cap ac ity Damag e Ind ic ato r

Max imum Roa d Ca p aci ty

Avai lab le Ro ad Ca pa city

Ave ra ge Roa d Tra ve l Dis tan ceF re igh t Await ingRo ad Tr an sp or t

Ro ad F rei gh tArriv al Ra te

Ro ad F re igh tTra ns po rt Ra te











P er fo rman ce






< Time >

Ro ad

















P er fo rman ce






< Time >

Ro ad E ffe ct o f P ow e r A v ail ab ilit y on A va ila bl e A ir C ap ac ity









Ai r F re ig ht







A ir Ta b le


R o ad fr om Ai r

Ai r F ue l

A va ila bi lity
















A irP as se ng er s

A rriv in g






St at es





A ir Fr eig ht










E ffe ct o f P ow e r A v ail ab ilit y on A va ila bl e A ir C ap ac ity









Ai r F re ig ht







A ir Ta b le


R o ad fr om Ai r

Ai r F ue l

A va ila bi lity
















A irP as se ng er s

A rriv in g






St at es





A ir Fr eig ht










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<c all dem an dm ult ipli er>

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lon g d ista nced am age

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L ong Distan ce

I ca: T ota l

A ttem ptedCo nne ction s

Ic a: A dmi ttedC alls Ica : A vera ge Cal lD urat ion

Ic a: B usy Sign al C alle rs

W aiti ng

Ica : Bu sy Sign alRe atte mp t Tim e

Ica : B usy Sig nalR eat tem pt P roba bili ty

Ic a: B usy CallR ate

Ica : To tal

Rea ttem pts

Ic a: B usy

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I ca: S witc h B lock Ca llers

Wai ting

I ca: S wit ch B loc kR ea ttem pt T ime

Ic a: B loc ked Ca llRea ttem pt Prob abi lity

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Ca ll R ate

Ica: Rea ttem pt

Ra te S witc h Bl ock

Ic a: T runk Blo ck C alle rs

W aitin g

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Cal l Rat e

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Ra te Tr unk Blo ck

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Ica : Tru nk Bloc kingPr obab ility

Ica : Tr unkP erfo rma nce Fu ncti on


A ban don Rat e

Ica : Bu syPro bab ility

I ca: Trun k

P erfor man ce

Ica : Re lative

Tru nk L oad

Ica: Bus y C allAba ndo n Ra te

I ca: S wit ch

Cap acit y

I ca: Swi tchOve rhe ad F act or

I ca: S witc h

C apac ity O nOve rhea d

I ca: E ffec tiveSwi tchin g C apac ity

Ica : Att emp tsBlo cke d A t Sw itch es

I ca: O ver headSat urat ion

Ica : Sa tura tionFa ctor

Ic a: T runk

C apa city

P h on e Ca ll Mo de l

<Ire : Fr actio n

S witc h Da mag ed>

Ic a: N orm alSwi tch Cap acit y

I ca: Nor ma l Tr unkCa paci ty



I ca: Refe renc eS witc h Ca pac ity

I ca: Refe renc e

T runk Ca pac ity

< Ire : Rep air

Cu rve >

F irst Atte mpt s Ca llDem and

Diu rnal Wir e-lin e

De man d Pea k W ire -lineDem and

Di urn al W irel ineL ook up

Re fere nce

Po pula tion R efe renc e Pe ak

D em and

C urre nt To tal

P opu latio n

< call dem and

mu ltiplie r>

loca l ca ll co mple tion

pro bab ility

c alls in se rvic e

Lo cal

In te rn e tA va il ab ili ty

Id a : I nt er ne t Wi re lin eA c ce ss F ra ct ion

Id a: In te rn etAv a ila bil ity O th e r

Co rp or at e Ne tw o rkA va il ab il ity

Pri vate (C orpora te)Netw ork Model

<F ra ct ion E PA v ail ab le>

< Ire : R ep a irC ur ve >

fra ct io n p riv at e

n et wo rk d am a ge

< loc al ca llco m pl eti onpr ob ab ilit y>

TV Ava i la b il it y

Ra d io Av ai la b il ity

Br o ad c a st Op e ra ti on sAv ai la bi lit y

te l: Ba ck u p Po we rAv a ila b ili ty

te l: Fue l fo r Ba ck u p Po we rt el : Fu e l Re s up p ly

Ra tete l : Fu e l

Co ns u mp tio n Ra te

<fra c ti on h wyc ap a c ity a v a ila b le >

<Fr a ct io n EPAv a ila b le >

<Fra c ti on di es e lAv ai la bl e>

t el : Fu e l Tr ig g erLe v e l

te l : N om ina l Fue lLe ve l te l : No mina l

Fue l Ra t e

te l : M i ni mumEle c tr ic i tyAv ai la bil ity

te l : Com pa r a ti veFue l Suppl y Ra t e

te l : Mi ni mumFuel

BroadcastPrivate Network

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D em and 0

Diu rna l W ire -line

De man d 0 P ea k W ire -li neD em and 0


R efe ren ce

Po pul atio n 0 R efe ren ce P ea k

D ema nd 0

C urre nt Tot al

P opu lati on 0

<c all dem an d

m ult ipli er>

lon g di stan ce

c om plet ion pro bab ility

lon g d ista nce

d am age

long dis tan ce call s

in s erv ice

L ong Distan ce

I ca: T ota l




W aiti ng




Ica : To tal

Rea ttem pts

Ic a: B usy

Reat tem pt R ate


Wai ting




Ca ll R ate

Ica: Rea ttem pt



W aitin g


Ica: Tru nk B loc k

Cal l Rat e

Ic a: R eatt emp t

Ra te Tr unk Blo ck





A ban don Rat e


I ca: Trun k

P erfor man ce

Ica : Re lative

Tru nk L oad


I ca: S wit ch

Cap acit y


I ca: S witc h






Ic a: T runk

C apa city

Phone Ca ll Mo de l

<Ire : Fr actio n

S witc h Da mag ed>






I ca: Refe renc e

T runk Ca pac ity

< Ire : Rep air

Cu rve >





Re fere nce


D em and

C urre nt To tal

P opu latio n

< call dem and

mu ltiplie r>


pro bab ility

c alls in se rvic e

Lo cal

Inte rne tAva il ab ili ty

Ida : I nt er ne t Wi re lineAc ce ss Fra ct ion

Ida: Inte rnetAv a ila bil ity Othe r

Co rp or at e Ne two rkAva il ab il ity


<Fra ct ion EPAv ail ab le>

<Ire : Rep a irCur ve >

fra ct io n p riv at en et wo rk d ama ge

<loc al ca llco mpl eti onpr ob ab ilit y>




te l: Ba ck u p Po we rAv a ila b ili ty

te l: Fue l fo r Ba ck u p Po we rt el : Fu e l Re s up p ly

Ra tete l : Fu e l


<fra c ti on h wyc ap a c ity a v a ila b le >

<Fr a ct io n EPAv a ila b le >

<Fra c ti on di es e lAv ai la bl e>

t el : Fu e l Tr ig g erLe v e l


Fue l Ra t e





Water & Wastewater

Tr ea te dWa te r

Wa te r Tr ea t men t Wa te r Dist ri bu ti on

Se wa geHol di ngP o n d

Re tu rn F lo w Ra te t oS e wag e Ho ld in g

Se wa ge t oTr e at men t

La b or Av ai la bi lit y

Ch lo ri neAv a ila b ili ty

Pu mp in gWa te r Dema n d

S at is fa ct io n ofWa te r De ma nd

Tre at e d Wa te rS to r ag e Ca pa c ity

De si re d Tre at ed Wa te rSt or a ge Ut iliz a tio n

Time t o Ad ju st Tre a te dWa te r S to ra ge

Tre at e d Wa te rS to ra g e Def ic it

M ax imu m W at erTr ea tm en t Cap a ci ty

Av ai la bl e Wa te rTre a tme nt Ca p ac ity

W at er Tre a tme ntF a c ilit y S ta tu s In di ca to r

Tar ge t Tre at me ntCa p ac it y

S e wa ge H ol d in gCa pa c it y

Re tu rn F lo w Ra te

To ta lSe wa ge

Ov e rfl owOv er flo w Ra te

P e rc e nt o f W at erRe tu r ne d fo r Tre a tme nt

Mi n imu m S ewa g eH ol d in g Time

< Lab o rAv a ila b ili ty >

S e wa ge Tr ea t men tCa p ac i ty

Se wa ge Be in gTr ea te d Tr e at ed S e wa ge

Dis c ha rg e Ra te

Ma xi mum S ewa g eTre at men t Rat e

Time t o Tre a tSe wa g e

No min a l Tr ea tme n tDi sc h ar ge Ra te

S u pp le me nt ar yIn d u str ia l F l ow

Av ai la bl e Se wa geTr ea tm en t Cap a ci ty

Ma x imu m S e wa geTre a tme n t Vo l um e

Vo lu me Limit ed Se wa geTr ea tm en t Cap a ci ty

F ra c tio n o f Se wa geUnt re a te d

Ma x imu m S ewa g eAc c ep ta n ce Ra te

Re s id en ti al De sir e dW at er Ac q ui sit io n Rat e

Comme rc ia l Des ir edWa te r Acq u is itio n Ra te

In d us tr y Des ir ed W a te rAc qu is iti on Ra te

Go v er nme n t De s ire dWa te r Ac q ui si tio n Ra te

Ma x imu mPu mp i ng C ap a ci ty

In du s try Re la ti veAv a ila b ili ty o f P o we r



Effe c t o f S CADA o nP ump in g Ca pa c ity Ta b le

Ef fe ct o f SCAD A o nP u mp in g Cap a ci ty

In d us tr y Rel at iv eP e rfo r man c e

Mi ni mum Cov e ra gef o r Tr ea te d W at er

Max imu m Av a ila b ili tyof Tre a te d Wa te r

Av a ila b ilit y o f Bu si ne s sCo mmu nic a tio n s

Use o f Pr iv at e S ys y emsfo r Wa te r SCADA

Ef fe ct o fCo mmu ni ca tio n s o n

W at er S CADA

Co mmu ni ca ti on sAv ail ab il ity Du ri ng W at er

In te rr up ti on

Wa te r In te r ru pt io nDu ra tio n

W at er I nt er ru p tio nSt ar t Ti me

< Time>

Res id e nt ial Wa t erAc qu is it io n Rat e

Co mmer ci al Wa te rAcq u isi tio n Ra te

Go ve rn me nt Wa te rAcq u isi tio n Ra te

I nd u st ry W at erAc qu is iti on Ra te

Government Sector

Co mm erc ialInv ent ory ofFue l

Co mm erc ial Fue lSto rag e C apa cit y

C om me rcia l D esi redFra ctio n o f Fu el Sto rageF illed

C om mer cial Tim e t oAd jus t Fu el I nve nto ry

C om mer cia l Fu elC ons ump tio n R ate

C om mer cial M axim umMo tor Fue lCon su mpt ion Ra te

C om mer cialD esir ed F ue lC on sum pti on Rat e

Co mm erc ialF ue l Inv en toryD efi cit

C omm erc ial Fue lI nve nto ry A dju stm en t

<T IME S TEP >

C om me rcia lFu el A cq uisi tionR ate

Com m erci alDes ire d Fu elP urc has e R ate

C omm er cial Fu el S hor tag e

Com m erci al E ffec t o f Pe rce ive dSho rtag e o n D esi red Fra ctio n o f

Fi lled Sto rag e T able

Co mm erc ial Effe ct o f P erc eive dSh orta ge on D es ired Fra cti on o fFi lled Sto rag e

C omm erc ialP erc eive dFue l S hort age

C om me rcia l T ime toPe rce ive Fue l S hort age

Com m erci alCh ang e inP erce ive d F uel

Sh orta ge

Co mm erc ialF uel Re fere ncePric e

C om me rcia l F uelP rice El asti city ofD em and

Co mm erc ial Effe cto f Fu el P rice onD ema nd

C omm erc ial Fue lRe fer enc eC ons ump tio n R ate

Co mm erc ial F ue lSale s R ate

C om mer cia l De sir edP owe r C ons um ptio nR ate

C om me rcia l P owe rRef ere nce Pr ice

Co mm erc ial P ow erPri ce Elas tici ty o fD ema nd

C om mer cial Eff ect ofPow er Pric e o nDem an d

Co mm erc ial Pow erR efe ren ce Con sum pt ionRa te

C om mer cia lExt ern al P ow erS upp ly R ate Co mm erc ial R ela tiv eSh ortfa ll i n E xte rnalP ow er

Po we r R etai l Pr ice

Re lati ve Pow erS upp ly P erf orm anc eFra cti on o f

Co mm erc ial hav ingBa cku p G en era tion

Co mm erc ial L oadB ac kup G ene ratio nTa rge t

Co mm erc ial D es iredDie sel use for Ba cku pG ene ratio n

Co mm erc ial Re lativ eP erf orm anc e o f Ba ck upGe ne rato rsC om me rci al L oadS erv ed by Bac kupG en era tion

C om me rcia l To talPo we r A vail abi lity

Di ese l Fu el R eq uire dp er Uni t Po we r

C om me rci alI nve nto ry o f

W ate r

C om me rcia l D esi redFra ctio n o f W ate rS tora ge Fill ed

C omm er cial Tim e t oAd jus t W ate rI nve nto ry

C om me rci alW ate rCo nsu mp tion Ra te

C om me rcia l M axi mu mWa ter Co nsu mpt ionR at e

Com m erci al D es iredWa ter Con sum pt ionR ate

Com m erci alW ate r In ven toryD efic it

C om me rcia l W ate rInv en tory Ad jus tme nt

<TIM E ST EP >

C om mer cia lW ate rAc quis itio n R ate

C om me rcia lW ate rSho rtag e

C omm erc ial Effe ct ofPer cei ved Sh orta ge onDes ire d W ate r C ove rag e

Ta ble

C om me rcia l Ef fec t ofPer cei ved W ater Sh orta geon De sire d W at er

Co ver age

Co mm erc ialPe rce ive dW at erSh ort age

C om me rcia lTim e t oPe rce ive Wa terSho rtag e

C omm er cial Ch ang ein Pe rcei ved W ate r

S ho rtag e

Co mm erc ial Wa terR efe ren ce Con sum pt ionRat e

C om mer cial De sire dW a ter A cq uis itionR ate

Re lat ive Wa ter Sup plyP erfo rma nce

C om me rcia lAv era ge Wa terC ons um ptio n

R ateC ha nge in Com m erci alA ver age W ate rCo ns ump tion R ate

Tim e t o Fo rm Av era geC on sum pti on R at e

Co mm erc ial T arg etW ate r C ove rag e

C om mer cialCu rren t W ate rC ov erag e

C om me rcia lNo mi nal Wa terC ov era ge

Co mm erc ialBa tter y St ored

Ene rgy C om me rcia lD raw ing onBa tter y B ack upC om mer cialR ec harg ingBat teri es

Co mm erc ialM axi mu mBat tery Po wer

Fr acti on o fC om me rcia l w ithB at tery Ba cku p

C om me rcia l Ti meto Re cha rgeB att erie s

C om me rci alBa tte ry S tora geCa pac ity

Com m erci alB atte ry E ne rgyD efic it

C omm er cial Po werRe qui red to R ec har geB att erie s

Co mm erc ialM ax imu mB at tery Us eag e

Co mm erc ial L oa dB atte ry B ac kupT arge t

Co mm erc ial L oa dfo r R ech argi ngBa tter ies

C om me rcia l Lo adus ed for R ec har gingB att erie s

C om me rcia lEx tern al P ow erSh ortfa ll

<T IM E S TEP >

Co mm erc ialPe rce ive dPow er Sho rtfal l

Ti me to C ha ngeBat tery Op era tion s

<TIM E ST EP >

Ch ang e in Pe rce ive dP ow er S hor tfall

On set Tim e o fIn terru ptio n

Du rat ion ofInt erru ptio n

<Ti me >

R el ativ e F uel Sup plyP erfo rm anc e

Fue l R etai l Pri ceby S tat e

Co mm erc ialInv ent ory ofNa tura l G as

Com m erci al D es iredF ract ion of N atu ral Ga sS tora ge Fille d

C om mer cia l Tim e toA dju st N at ural Ga sInve nto ry

Co mm erc ialNa tur al G asC ons um ptio n R ate

Co mm erc ial M a xim umN atur al G asC ons um ptio n R ate

Co mm erc ial Des ire dNa tura l G asC ons um ptio n R ate

C omm erc ialN atur al G asI nve nto ry D efi cit

Co mm erc ial Nat ura lG as Inv en toryAd jus tme nt

< TIM E ST EP>

Com m erci alInc rea sin g N atu ralG as Inv ento ry

Co mm erc ialNa tura l G asSh ort age

C om me rcia l Ef fec t ofP erce ive d S hor tage onDes ire d N atur al G asC ove rag e Ta ble

Co mm erc ial E ffe ct o fPerc eiv ed Na tura l G asSh orta ge on D es iredW at er C ov erag e

C om mer cialP erc eiv edN atu ral G asS ho rtag e

C om me rci al T ime toP erc eive N atur al G asSh orta ge

C om me rcia l C han ge i nP erce ive d N atu ral GasSh orta ge

C om mer cial Na tura lGa s R efe ren ce

C on sum pti on R ate

Com m erci al D es iredNat ura l Ga sA cqu isit ion Ra te

R elat ive Na tura l G asSu ppl y P erfo rma nce

Co mm erc ialA ver age Na tura lG as C ons um ptio n

Rat eCh ang e in Co mm erc ialAv era ge Nat ura l Ga sC on sum pti on R ate

Tim e to Fo rm A ve rag eN atu ral G as Co nsu mp tionRa te

C omm er cial Ta rgetN atur al G asC ov erag e

C om me rci al C urre ntN atu ral Ga s C ove rag e

C omm er cial No min alNa tura l G as Co vera ge

Re lativ e S hor tfall inCo mm erc ial M ot orF uel s

C om mer cial Po werD em an d R ela tive to D ai lyA ve rage

Co mm erc ial Wa terD ema nd Re lativ e t o D ailyA ver age

Co mm erc ial De sire dD efe rrab le Con sum pt ion

Ra te

Co mm erc ial De ferra bleRe fere nce Co nsu mp tion

R ate

C om mer cial De ferr abl eDe ma nd R ela tiv e to Da ilyAv era ge

Com m erci alN ond efe rrab leD em an dRe lat ive to D ail y A ver age

C om me rcia l To talA mou nt of D efe rredP urc has es

Co mm erc ial Ra te o fDe ferr ing Pur cha ses

Co mm erc ialN on defe rra bleR efe ren ce Con sum pt ionRat e

C omm er cial Tim eto R ea ttem pt

De ferr ed Purc ha ses

C om me rcia l R ate ofRe att emp ting D efer red

P urc has es

Co mm erc ial M a xim umRa te o f R eat tem ptin gD efer red Pur cha ses

Co mm erc ial Av erag eRa te o f R eat tem ptin gD efer red Pur cha ses

< TIM E ST EP>

Co mm erc ialD esi redN on def erra ble

Co ns ump tion R ate

Com m erci al T ota lAm ou nt o f A ban don ed

P urc has es

C om me rcia l R ate ofA ban do ning Pu rch ase s

C om me rcia lAc tivi ty E ffec t o nD em and fo rUn stor abl eIn puts

C om mer cial Pri mar yD esir ed F ue lC on sum pti on R ate

Co mm erc ialR ela tiveA vail abi lity of F uel

Co mm erc ialB ac kupG ene rati on

C om me rcia l D ies elD ive rted to Ba cku pG en erat ion

Co mm erc ial Die selU sed for Ba cku pG ene ratio n< TIM E S TE P>

<C om me rcia lInte rna lA cti vity >

Av aila bil ity o f C lea ring an dSe ttlem en tC om mun ica tion s

Effe ct o n t his Com m erci al's pu rch ase s in clu des dep ress ed act ivity an dfa ilure of pay me nt s yst em s; E ffec t of dep res sed ac tivi ty i n th e in putCo mm erc ials is refl ecte d in th is C om me rcia l's inte rna l ac tivi ty

C omm erc ial Att em ptedDe ferr able C ons um ptio n

R ate

C om me rcia lA tte mp tedN ond efe rrab leCon su mpt ion Ra te

< Co mm erc ialIn tern alAc tiv ity>


<C om mer cialI nter nalA ctiv ity >

C omm er cialRel ativ eTra nsp ort Tim e

C omm er cial Eff ect ofT rans po rt Ti me onAtte mp ted Co nsu mp tion

C om mer cial Eff ect ofT ran spo rt T ime onAtt em pted Co ns ump tio nTa ble

C om me rcia lRef ere nceC ons um ptio nR ate

Com m erci alfrac tio n ofC on sum pti onDe ferr able

Co mm erc ialF ract iona lTra ns port Mo de forP urch ase s

Re lativ e T ran spo rt T imeb y M od e an d S tate

Com m erci alAtt em ptedCo nsu mp tion R ate

Co mm erc ialNa tura l G asA cq uisi tion Ra te

Ho urs PerD ay

C om me rcia l A vera geVal ue of P urch as es

Co mm erc ial Tota lV alu e o f A ban don edPur cha ses

C om me rci al N atu ralG as Re fere nc e Pr ice

Com m erci al N atu ral Ga sPric e E last icity ofDem an d

C om me rcia l Ef fect ofN atu ral Gas Pr ice onDe man d

Co mm erc ialN atu ral Ga s Pr iceb y S tate

Com m erci al E ffec t ofI nfra stru ctu re S tatu s o nPur cha sin g

A vai labi lity of B us ine ssCo mm uni cat ions

C om me rci al E ffec t ofCo mm uni cati ons on

A ttem pte d C on sum pti on

Co mm erc ial Effe ct o fCom m unic ati ons on Att emp tedC ons um ptio n T able

Co mm erc ialPe rce ivedPow er Pric eCo mm erc ial

C han ging Pe rce ptio nof P ow er P rice

C omm er cial Tim e t oPe rce ive Ch ang e inPo we r Pri ce

Ava ila bilit y of Re tailPay me nt S yste m byS tate

C om me rcia l Ma xim umM otor Fu elCo nsu mp tion Ra te

C om mer cialD esir ed F ue lC on sum ptio n R ate C om mer cialRe lativ eA vai labi lity of F uel

C om mer cial De sire dP ow er C ons um ptio nR ate

Com me rcia l To talP ow er A va ilab ility

C omm er cialRel ativ eSho rtfa ll in Tot alPo wer

Com me rcia l Re lati veAva ilab ility of P ow er

Co mm erci al M axi mumW ate r Co nsu mp tionR ate

Co mm erci al D esir edWa ter Con sum pti onRa te

Co mm erc ial M ax imu mN atu ral GasC on sum ptio n R ate

C om mer cial De sire dN atu ral GasCon sum ptio n R ate

Com me rcia lR elat iveP erf orm anc e

C om mer cial Rel ativ eA vai labi lity o f W ate r

Co mm erc ial R ela tiveAv aila bility of Na tura l

G as

Co mm erc ial I nter nalAct ivity if U ns tora bleInp uts are Av ailab le

Co mm erci alI nter nalA ctiv ity

Co mm erci alA ctivi ty E ffec t onDe man d fo rUn sto rabl e In put s

T ime for Co mm erc ialAc tivit y to Aff ect Dem an df or U nst ora ble Inpu ts

Adj ustin g C om mer cialAc tivit y E ffec t on De man d

for Uns tora ble Inp uts

A ppa ren tCo mm erc ialPer form an ce

Adj usti ng A pp aren tCom me rcia lPerf orm anc e

Ti me forC om mer cial toIn flue nce Its elf

F rac tion ofC om mer cialD epe nde nt o n It self

R elat ive Imp act ofC om mer cial Per form an ceon Itse lf

Re lati ve P erfo rm anc eof I npu t Se cto rs

Fra ctio n of Co mm erc ialD epe nde nt o n In putSe ctor s

R ela tive Imp act of Inpu tS ec tors on Com me rcia l

Co mm erc ial E ffe ct o fInfr astr uctu re S tat us o nP urc has ing

A vail abil ity o fBu sine ssCo mm unic atio ns

Co mm erc ial E ffec tof C om mu nica tion son Inte rnal Ac tivit y

C omm erc ial Effe ct o fC omm un icat ions on Inte rna l

A ctivi ty T abl e

<A vai labi lity of R eta ilP aym ent Sys tem by

Sta te>










<T IME S TEP >










Sh orta ge





























<T IME S TEP >










Sh orta ge





















W ate r








<TIM E ST EP >




Ta ble


Co ver age




S ho rtag e













Fr acti on o f


W ate r








<TIM E ST EP >




Ta ble


Co ver age




S ho rtag e























<T IM E S TEP >



<TIM E ST EP >




<Ti me >











< TIM E ST EP>






C om me rci al T ime to

C om me rcia l w ithB at tery Ba cku p










<T IM E S TEP >



<TIM E ST EP >




<Ti me >











< TIM E ST EP>






















Ra te


R ate









P urc has es



< TIM E ST EP>




P urc has es



P erc eive N atur al G asSh orta ge
















Ra te


R ate









P urc has es



< TIM E ST EP>




P urc has es












R ate














Ho urs PerD ay
















C om me rcia l Ma xim umM otor Fu elCo nsu mp tion Ra te

C om mer cialD esir ed F ue lC on sum ptio n R ate C om mer cialRe lativ eA vai labi lity of F uel


Com me rcia l To talP ow er A va ilab ility

C omm er cialRel ativ eSho rtfa ll in Tot alPo wer

Com me rcia l Re lati veAva ilab ility of P ow er


Co mm erci al D esir edWa ter Con sum pti onRa te

Co mm erc ial M ax imu mN atu ral GasC on sum ptio n R ate

C om mer cial De sire dN atu ral GasCon sum ptio n R ate

Com me rcia lR elat iveP erf orm anc e

C om mer cial Rel ativ eA vai labi lity o f W ate r

Co mm erc ial R ela tiveAv aila bility of Na tura l

G as

Co mm erc ial I nter nalAct ivity if U ns tora bleInp uts are Av ailab le

Co mm erci alI nter nalA ctiv ity

Co mm erci alA ctivi ty E ffec t onDe man d fo rUn sto rabl e In put s

T ime for Co mm erc ialAc tivit y to Aff ect Dem an df or U nst ora ble Inpu ts

Adj ustin g C om mer cialAc tivit y E ffec t on De man d


A ppa ren tCo mm erc ialPer form an ce

Adj usti ng A pp aren tCom me rcia lPerf orm anc e

Ti me forC om mer cial toIn flue nce Its elf

F rac tion ofC om mer cialD epe nde nt o n It self

R elat ive Imp act ofC om mer cial Per form an ceon Itse lf

Re lati ve P erfo rm anc eof I npu t Se cto rs



Co mm erc ial E ffe ct o fInfr astr uctu re S tat us o nP urc has ing


Co mm erc ial E ffec tof C om mu nica tion son Inte rnal Ac tivit y

C omm erc ial Effe ct o fC omm un icat ions on Inte rna l

A ctivi ty T abl e

<A vai labi lity of R eta ilP aym ent Sys tem by

Sta te>

C om mer cialIn ven tory of

Fu el

C om me rcia l Fu elS tora ge Cap ac ity

Co mm erc ial D es iredF ract ion of F ue l Sto rag eFille d

C om me rci al T ime toA dju st F ue l Inv ent ory

Com m erci al F uelC on sum pti on R at e

C om me rci al M ax imu mM oto r Fu elC ons ump tio n R ate

C om me rci alD es ired Fu elCo nsu mp tion Ra te

C om me rcia lFu el In ve ntor yDe fici t

C om me rcia l Fu elInv ent ory Ad jus tme nt

< TIM E S TE P>

Co mm erc ialF uel Ac qui sitio nRa te

C omm erc ialD esir ed F ue lPur cha se Ra te

C om me rcial Fue l Sho rta geC omm erc ial Effe ct of P erc eiv edSh orta ge on Des ire d Fr acti on of

F ille d S tora ge Tab le

C om me rcia l Ef fect of Per ceiv edS hort age on De sire d F rac tion ofF ille d S tora ge

C om me rcia lPer ceiv ed

F uel Sho rtag e

Co mm erc ial Tim e toP erc eiv e Fu el Sho rtag e

Co mm erc ialC han ge inPerc eiv ed Fue lS hort age

C omm er cialFue l R efe renc ePr ice

Co mm erc ial Fue lPric e E las tici ty o fDe ma nd

C om me rcia l Ef fectof F uel Pric e o nD em and

C om me rcia l Fu elR efe ren ceC on sum pti on R at e

C om mer cial Fu elSa les Ra te

Com m erci al D es iredPow er Con sum pt ionR at e

Com m erc ial Pow erRe fer enc e P ric e

C om mer cial Po werP rice Ela sti city ofD em and

C om me rci al E ffec t ofPo we r Pr ice onDe ma nd

C om me rcia l Po we rRe fere nce Co nsu mp tionR ate

Com m erci alE xter nal Pow erSup ply Ra te C omm er cial Re lati veS hort fall in Ext erna lPo wer

P ow er R et ail P rice

R ela tive Po we rSup ply Pe rform an ce F rac tion ofC om me rcia l ha vin gB ack up Ge ner atio n

C omm er cial Lo adBa cku p G en era tionT arg et

C om mer cial De sire dDi ese l us e fo r B ack upG en erat ion

C om me rcia l R elat ivePe rform an ce of B ac kup

G en erat orsCo mm erc ial Loa dSe rved by Ba ck upGe ner atio n

Com m erci al T ota lP ow er A va ilab ility

D ies el F ue l Re qui redpe r Un it P ow er

Co mm erc ialInv ent ory of

Wa ter

Co mm erc ial Des ire dF ract ion of W at erSto rage Fi lled

C om me rcia l T ime toA dju st W a terInv ent ory

Co mm erc ialWa terC ons um ptio n R ate

Co mm erc ial M ax im umW ate r C ons um ptio nRa te

Co mm erc ial De sire dW ate r Co nsu mp tionRa te

C omm erc ialW at er I nve nto ryD ef icit

Co mm erc ial W at erIn ve ntor y A dju stm ent

<T IM E S TEP >

Com m erci alW at erA cqu isit ion Ra te

Co mm erc ialW at erSh orta ge

C om me rcia l Ef fec t ofP erce ive d S hort age onD esir ed W a ter C ov era geT abl e

Co mm erc ial E ffe ct o fP erce ive d W ate r S hort ageo n D esi red Wa terC ove rag e

C om mer cialP erc eiv ed

Wa terS ho rtag e

Co mm erc ialT ime toP erc eive W ate rSh orta ge

C om me rcia l C han gein P erc eive d W at er

Sh orta ge

C om me rcia l W ate rRe fere nce Co nsu mp tionR ate

C om me rci al D esi redW ater Ac qui siti onR at e

R ela tive W ate r Su ppl yPerf orm anc e

Co mm erc ialA ve rage W ate rC on sum pt ion

Rat eCh ang e in Co mm erc ialAve rag e W at erC on sum pti on R ate

T ime to F orm A ver ageCo nsu mp tion Ra te

C omm er cial Ta rgetW at er C ov era ge

C om me rci alC urre nt W a terCo vera ge

Com m erci alN om ina l W ate rCo ver age

C om me rcia lB atte ry S tore d

En erg y Co mm erc ialDra wi ng o nB atte ry B ac kup

C om me rci alRe cha rgin gB atte ries

C omm er cialM ax im umBa tte ry P owe r

F rac tion ofCo mm erc ial w ithBa tter y B ack up

Com m erci al T imet o R ech arg eBa tter ies

Co mm erc ialB att ery Sto rageC apa city

Co mm erc ialBat tery En ergyDef icit

C om me rcia l P owe rR equ ire d to Re cha rgeBa tteri es

C om me rcia lMa xim umBa tter yU sea ge

C om mer cial Lo adB at tery Ba cku pTarg et

C om mer cial Lo adf or R ec har gingB atte rie s

Co mm erc ial L oadu sed for Re cha rgin gBa tter ies

Co mm erc ialE xte rnal Po werS hort fall

< TIM E STE P>

C om me rcia lP erc eiv edPo we r Sh ortfa ll

T ime to Ch ang eB atte ry O pe ratio ns

<T IM E S TEP >

C han ge in P erc eiv edPow er Sho rtfa ll

O nse t Ti me ofI nter rupt ion

D ura tion ofIn ter rupt ion

<T im e>

Re lati ve Fue l Su ppl yPer form an ce

Fu el R eta il P riceby Sta te

C om me rcia lIn ven tor y ofN atu ral Gas

Co mm erc ial De sire dFrac tio n of Na tura l G asStor age Fil led

Com m erci al T ime toAd jus t Na tura l G asIn ven tory

C om me rcia lN atu ral Ga sCon su mpt ion Ra te

C om mer cial M axim umN atu ral Ga sCon su mpt ion Ra te

C om mer cia l De sir edN atu ral GasCon su mpt ion Ra te

C om me rcia lN atu ral Ga sInv ent ory De fici t

C om mer cia l Na tur alGa s In ve ntor yA dju stm ent

<T IME S TEP >

C omm erc ialIn cre asi ng N at uralGas In ven tory

C om mer cialN atu ral G asS ho rtag eCo mm erc ial E ffe ct o fPerc eiv ed Sho rtag e o nDe sir ed N atu ral Ga sC ov era ge Tab le

C om mer cial Eff ect ofPe rce ived N atur al G asS hor tage on De sire dWa ter Co vera ge

C om me rci alPe rcei ved

N at ural Ga sSh orta ge

Co mm erc ial Tim e toPer ceiv e N atu ral Ga sS hor tage

Com m erci al C ha nge inPerc eiv ed Na tura l G asS hort age

C om me rci al N atu ralG as Re fere nceCo nsu mp tion Ra te

Co mm erc ial De sire dN atur al G asA cq uis ition R ate

R ela tiv e N atu ral G asS upp ly Perf orm anc e

C omm er cialAve rag e N atu ralG as Co nsu mpt ion

R ateC han ge in C om me rcia lA ve rage N atur al G as

Co nsu mp tion Ra te

Tim e to F orm Av era geNat ura l Ga s C ons um ptio n

R ate

C om me rcia l T arge tN atu ral Ga sCo ver age

Co mm erc ial Cu rren tNa tura l G as C ov era ge

C om me rcia l N om inalN atu ral Gas C ove rage

R elat ive Sho rtfa ll inC omm er cial M otorFue ls

C om me rci al P owe rDe ma nd R el ativ e to Da ilyAv era ge

C om me rcia l W ate rD em and R elat ive to D ai lyAve rag e

C om me rcia l D esir edDe ferra ble Co nsu mp tionR ate

C om me rcia l D efer rabl eR efer enc e C on sum ptio n

R ate

C om me rci al D efe rrab leD em and Re lati ve t o D ailyA ver age

Co mm erc ialN on def erra ble De ma ndR ela tive to Da ily A ve rag e

Co mm erc ial T ota lA mo un t of De ferre dPur cha ses

C om me rcia l R ate ofD efe rrin g Pu rch ase s

C om mer cialNo nde ferr ableRe fere nce Co nsu mp tion

R ate

C om me rcia l T imeto Re atte mp t

D efe rred Pu rch ase s

Com m erci al R ate ofR ea ttem pti ng D efe rre d

Pur cha ses

C om mer cial M axim umR ate of Rea tte mpt ingD efe rre d Pu rch ase s

C om me rcia l A vera geR ate of Rea tte mpt ingD efe rre d Pu rch ase s

<T IME S TEP >

C omm er cialDes ire dNo nde fer rabl e


Co mm erc ial Tot alA mo unt of A ba ndo ned

Pur cha ses

Co mm erc ial Rat e o fAba nd onin g P urc has es

Co mm erc ialA ctiv ity Effe ct onDe ma nd f or

U nsto rab leI npu ts

C om me rci al P rima ryD es ired Fu elCo nsu mp tion Ra te

C om mer cia lRe lativ eA va ilab ility of Fue l

C om me rcia lBa cku pG en era tion

Co mm erc ial Die selDiv erte d to B ack upGe nera tio n

C om me rcia l D iese lU se d fo r B ack upG en erat ion

<TI ME ST EP >

< Co mm erc ialIn tern alAc tivi ty>

A vai lab ility of Cle arin g a ndS ettle me ntC om mu nic atio ns

Ef fect on this C omm erc ial 's p urc has es i ncl udes de pre sse d ac tivi ty a ndf ailu re o f pa ym ent sys tem s; Effe ct o f d epre sse d a ctiv ity in t he inpu tC om mer cia ls is re flec ted in t his Co mm erc ial's int ern al a ctiv ity

C om me rcia l A ttem pte dD efe rrab le C on sum pti on

Ra te

Co mm erc ialAt tem pte dN on def erra bleCo ns ump tion R ate

<C om mer cialI nte rnalA cti vity >


<C om me rcia lInte rna lAct ivit y>

C om me rcia lRe lat iveTr ans por t Tim e

C om me rcia l E ffec t ofTran sp ort T im e onAt tem pte d C ons um ptio n

C om me rci al E ffec t ofTra nsp ort Tim e o nA ttem pte d C on sum pti onT able

Co mm erc ialR efer enc eCon su mpt ionRa te

C omm erc ialfr acti on o fCo nsu mp tionD efe rrab le

C om mer cia lFrac tio nalT ran spo rt M od e fo rPurc ha ses

R elat ive Tra nsp ort Tim eby M o de a nd Sta te

C omm erc ialA ttem pte dC ons um ptio n R ate

C om me rcia lN atu ral GasAc qui sitio n R ate

H our sPe rDa y

Com m erci al A ve rag eVa lue of Purc ha ses

C om mer cia l To talVa lue of A ba ndo ne dPu rch ase s

Co mm erc ial Na tur alGa s R efer en ce P ric e

C omm erc ial Na tura l G asPri ce Elas tici ty o fD ema nd

Com m erci al E ffec t o fNat ura l Ga s P rice onD ema nd

C om mer cia lNa tura l G as P riceby Sta te

Co mm erc ial Effe ct o fInfr ast ruct ure Sta tus onP urch asi ng

A va ilab ilit y of Bu sin essC om mun ica tion s

Co mm erc ial Effe ct o fC omm un ica tion s o nAtte mp ted Co nsu mp tion

C om me rcia l Ef fect ofC omm un ica tion s o n A ttem pte dC on sum pti on Tab le

C om mer cia lP erc eive dP owe r Pr iceC om me rcia l

C ha ngin g P erc ept ionof Pow er Pric e

C om me rcia l T ime toP erc eiv e C han ge inP ow er P rice

Av ail abil ity o f R eta ilPa ym ent Sys tem byStat e

Co mm erci al M axi mumM oto r F uelC on sum ptio n R ate

Com me rcia lDes ired Fu elCo nsum pt ion Rate

Com me rcia lR elat iveAv ailab ility of Fue l

Co mm erci al D esir edPow er Co nsum pti onRa te

Co mm erc ial T ota lPo wer Av aila bilit y

C om me rcia lR elat ive

Sh ortf all in To talP ow er

Co mm erc ial R ela tiveAv aila bilit y of Po wer

C omm erc ial Max imu mW at er C ons um ptio nRate

C omm erc ial Des iredW ate r Co nsu mp tionR ate

C om mer cial Ma xim umNa tura l Ga sCo nsu mpt ion Rat e

Co mm erci al D esir edNa tura l G asCo nsu mp tion Ra te

Co mm erc ialR ela tivePe rfor man ce

Com me rcia l R elat iveAva ilab ility of Wa ter

C om me rcia l Re lativ eA vail abil ity o f N atur alGas

C om mer cial Inte rna lA ctivi ty if Un stor ableIn put s ar e A vail able

C omm erc ialInte rna lAct ivity

C omm er cialA cti vity Effe ct o n

D ema nd forU nst orab le I npu ts

Tim e f or C om mer cialA ctiv ity t o A ffec t D ema nd

for Un stor able Inp uts

Ad jus ting Co mm erci alA ctiv ity Effe ct o n D em andfo r Un sto rab le In put s

App are ntC om mer cialPe rfo rma nce

Ad jus ting Ap par entCo mm erc ialPe rfor man ce

T ime forCom me rcia l toInflu enc e It self

Fra ctio n o fCom me rcia lDep end ent on Itse lf

Rel ative Im pac t ofCom me rcia l P erfo rma nceon Its elf

R ela tive Per form an ceof Inp ut S ect ors

Fr acti on o f C om mer cialDep end ent on Inpu tS ecto rs

Rel ativ e Im pac t o f Inp utSe ctor s on Co mm erc ial

C om mer cial Eff ect ofIn fras truc ture Sta tus on

Pur cha sing

Ava ilab ility ofB usin essC om mun icat ions

C om mer cial Effe ctof Co mm unic atio nson In tern al A ctiv ity

C om me rcia l Ef fect ofC om mu nica tion s o n In tern alA cti vity Tab le

< Av ailab ility of Ret ailP ay men t Sy ste m b y

S tate >


Fu el









< TIM E S TE P>







F uel Sho rtag e























Fu el









< TIM E S TE P>







F uel Sho rtag e























Wa ter








<T IM E S TEP >






Wa terS ho rtag e



Sh orta ge














F rac tion of


Wa ter








<T IM E S TEP >






Wa terS ho rtag e



Sh orta ge
























< TIM E STE P>



<T IM E S TEP >




<T im e>











<T IME S TEP >






Co mm erc ial Tim e to

Co mm erc ial w ithBa tter y B ack up










< TIM E STE P>



<T IM E S TEP >




<T im e>











<T IME S TEP >















R ate









R ate






R ate




Pur cha ses



<T IME S TEP >




Pur cha ses




Per ceiv e N atu ral Ga sS hor tage









R ate









R ate






R ate




Pur cha ses



<T IME S TEP >




Pur cha ses









<TI ME ST EP >





Ra te














H our sPe rDa y















Co mm erci al M axi mumM oto r F uelC on sum ptio n R ate

Com me rcia lDes ired Fu elCo nsum pt ion Rate

Com me rcia lR elat iveAv ailab ility of Fue l

Co mm erci al D esir edPow er Co nsum pti onRa te

Co mm erc ial T ota lPo wer Av aila bilit y

C om me rcia lR elat ive


Co mm erc ial R ela tiveAv aila bilit y of Po wer

C omm erc ial Max imu mW at er C ons um ptio nRate

C omm erc ial Des iredW ate r Co nsu mp tionR ate

C om mer cial Ma xim umNa tura l Ga sCo nsu mpt ion Rat e

Co mm erci al D esir edNa tura l G asCo nsu mp tion Ra te

Co mm erc ialR ela tivePe rfor man ce

Com me rcia l R elat iveAva ilab ility of Wa ter

C om me rcia l Re lativ eA vail abil ity o f N atur alGas

C om mer cial Inte rna lA ctivi ty if Un stor ableIn put s ar e A vail able

C omm erc ialInte rna lAct ivity

C omm er cialA cti vity Effe ct o n


Tim e f or C om mer cialA ctiv ity t o A ffec t D ema nd


Ad jus ting Co mm erci alA ctiv ity Effe ct o n D em andfo r Un sto rab le In put s

App are ntC om mer cialPe rfo rma nce

Ad jus ting Ap par entCo mm erc ialPe rfor man ce

T ime forCom me rcia l toInflu enc e It self

Fra ctio n o fCom me rcia lDep end ent on Itse lf

Rel ative Im pac t ofCom me rcia l P erfo rma nceon Its elf

R ela tive Per form an ceof Inp ut S ect ors

Fr acti on o f C om mer cialDep end ent on Inpu tS ecto rs

Rel ativ e Im pac t o f Inp utSe ctor s on Co mm erc ial

C om mer cial Eff ect ofIn fras truc ture Sta tus on

Pur cha sing

Ava ilab ility ofB usin essC om mun icat ions

C om mer cial Effe ctof Co mm unic atio nson In tern al A ctiv ity

C om me rcia l Ef fect ofC om mu nica tion s o n In tern alA cti vity Tab le

< Av ailab ility of Ret ailP ay men t Sy ste m b y

S tate >

Industrial Sector

Commercial Sector

Co mm erc ialInv ento ry of

Fue l

Co mm erc ial Fue lSto rag e C apa city

C om me rcia l D esir edFra ctio n o f Fu el S to rageFi lled

C omm er cial Tim e t oAd jus t Fu el I nve nto ry

C om mer cial Fu elCo ns ump tion R ate

C omm er cial M axim umM o tor F ue lCon su mpt ion Ra te

C omm er cialDe sir ed F uelC on sum pti on R at e

Co mm erc ialF uel Inv ent oryD efi cit

Co mm erc ial Fue lI nve nto ry A dju stm ent

<TI ME ST EP >



C omm erc ial Fu el S hor tageCom m erci al E ffec t of Pe rce ivedSho rtag e o n D esi red Fra ctio n of

Fi lled Sto rag e Ta ble

Co mm erc ial Effe ct o f P erce ive dSho rta ge o n D es ired Fra ctio n o fFi lled Sto rag e

Co mm erc ialP erce ive dFue l S hort age

C om me rcia l Ti me toPe rce ive Fue l Sh ort age

C om me rci alCha ng e inPe rce ive d Fu el

Sho rta ge

Com m erci alF uel Re fere ncePric e

C om me rcia l Fu elP rice Ela sti city ofD em and

Co mm erc ial Effe cto f Fu el P rice onDe ma nd

Co mm erc ial Fue lRe fere nc eCo ns ump tion R ate

Co mm erc ial F uelSale s R ate

C om mer cial De sire dPo we r C ons um ptio nR ate

C om mer cia l Po we rR ef ere nce Pr ice

Co mm erc ial P ow erPri ce E las tici ty o fDe ma nd

C omm er cial Eff ect ofPow er Pric e o nD em an d

Co mm erc ial Pow erR efe ren ce C on sum pti onRat e

C om mer cialExt ern al P owe rSu pp ly R ate Com m erci al R ela tiv eSho rtfa ll in E xter nalP ow er


Re lati ve P ow erS upp ly P erfo rm anc e Fra ctio n o fCo mm erc ial hav ingBa cku p G en erat ion

Com m erci al L oadB ac kup Ge ne ratio nTa rge t

Co mm erc ial D es iredD ie sel use for Ba cku pGe ne ratio n

Co mm erc ial Rel ativ eP erfo rm anc e o f Ba cku p

Ge ner ato rsC om me rcia l L oadS erv ed by B ac kupG en erat ion

C om mer cia l To talPo we r Av ail abil ity

Di ese l Fu el R eq uire dp er U ni t Po we r

C om me rcia lI nve nto ry o f

W ate r

C om me rcia l D esi redFra ctio n o f W ate rS tora ge Fille d

C omm erc ial Tim e t oAd jus t W ate rI nve nto ry

C om me rcia lW ate rCo nsu mp tion Ra te

C om me rcia l M axi mumWa ter Con su mpt ionR ate

C om me rci al D esi redW a ter C on sum pti onR ate

Com m erci alW ate r Inv en toryD efic it

C om me rcia l W ate rInv ent ory Ad jus tme nt

<TIM E ST EP>

C om mer cialW aterAcq uis itio n R ate


Co mm erc ial Effe ct o fPer cei ved Sho rta ge o nDes ire d W ate r C ove rag eTa ble

C om me rcia l Ef fect ofPer cei ved Wa ter Sho rta geon De sire d W at erCo ver age

Co mm erc ialPe rce ive dW at erSh orta ge

C om me rcia lTim e t oPe rcei ve Wa terSho rtag e

C omm erc ial Ch ang ein Pe rcei ved W ater

S hor tag e

Co mm erc ial Wa terR efe ren ce C on sum pti onRat e

C omm er cial De sire dW at er A cq uis itionR ate

Re lati ve Wa ter Sup plyPe rfo rma nce


R ateC ha nge in Com me rci alA ver age W aterCo nsu mp tion R ate

Tim e t o Fo rm Av erag eC on sum pti on R ate

Com m erci al T arg etW ate r Co ve rage

C omm er cialCu rren t W ate rC ove rag e

C om mer cia lNo min al Wa terC ov erag e

Co mm erc ialBa ttery St ored

Ene rgy C om me rcia lD raw ing onBa tter y B ack up

C omm er cialR ech arg ingBat teri es

Com m erci alM axi mumB at tery Po wer

Fra cti on o fC om me rcia l w ithB att ery Ba cku p

C om mer cia l Tim eto Re cha rgeB att erie s

C om me rcia lBa tter y S tora geCa pac ity

C om me rci alB atte ry E ner gyD efic it

C omm erc ial Pow erRe qui red to R ec har geB atte rie s

Co mm erc ialM ax imu mB att ery Us eag e

Co mm erc ial L oadB atte ry B ac kupTa rge t

Co mm erc ial L oadfo r Re ch argi ngBa tter ies

C om me rcia l Lo adus ed f or R ec har gingB att erie s

C om me rcia lEx tern al P ow erSho rtfa ll

<T IM E S TEP >

Co mm erc ialPe rce ive dP ow er S ho rtfal l

Tim e to C han geBat tery Op era tion s

<TIM E ST EP>

Ch ang e in Pe rce ivedP ow er S hor tfall

On set Tim e o fInt erru ptio n

Du rati on ofInt erru ptio n

<Ti me>

R ela tiv e Fu el Sup plyP erfo rma nc e

F ue l Re tai l Pri ceby S tat e


C om me rci al D esi redFr act ion of N atu ral Ga sS tora ge F ille d

C om mer cial Tim e t oA dju st N at ural Ga sInve nto ry

Co mm erc ialNa tura l G asC ons um ptio n R ate

Co mm erc ial M ax im umNa tur al G asC ons um ptio n R ate

Co mm erc ial D es iredNa tura l G asC ons um ptio n R ate

Co mm erc ialNa tur al G asI nve nto ry D efi cit

Co mm erc ial N at uralG as Inv ent oryAd jus tme nt

< TIM E STE P>

Com m erci alInc rea sing N atur alG as Inve nto ry

Co mm erc ialNa tura l G asSh orta geC om me rcia l Ef fect ofP erce ive d S hort age onD es ired N atur al G asC ove rag e Ta ble

Co mm erc ial E ffec t o fPerc eiv ed Nat ura l Ga sSh orta ge on D es iredW ate r C ove rag e

C omm er cialP erc eiv edN atur al G asS hor tag e

C om me rcia l T ime toP erce ive Na tur al G asSh orta ge

C om mer cia l Ch an ge i nP erce ive d N atu ral GasSho rta ge

C omm er cial Na tura lGa s R efe ren ceC ons um ptio n R ate

C om me rci al D esi redNat ura l Ga sA cqu isiti on Rat e

R elat ive Na tura l G asSu ppl y Pe rfo rma nce

Com m erci alA ver age Na tura lGa s C ons um ptio n

Rat eCh ang e in Co mm erc ialAv era ge Nat ura l Ga sC ons um ptio n R ate

T im e to Fo rm A ve rag eN atu ral G as Co nsu mp tion

Rat e

C omm erc ial Tar getNa tur al G asC ov erag e

C om me rcia l C urre ntN atu ral Gas C ove rage

C omm erc ial No min alNa tura l G as Cov era ge

Rel ativ e S hor tfall inCom m erci al M ot orF uels

C omm er cial Po werD em and R elat ive to D ai lyA ve rage

Co mm erc ial Wa terDe ma nd Rel ativ e to D ailyA ver age

Co mm erc ial Des ire dD efe rrab le C on sum pti onRa te

Co mm erc ial Def erra bleRef ere nce Co nsu mp tion

R ate

C omm er cial De ferr ableDe man d R ela tive to Da ilyAv era ge

C om me rci alN ond efe rrab leD em andRe lati ve to D ail y A vera ge

C om me rcia l To talA mou nt o f D efe rredP urch as es

Co mm erc ial Rat e o fDe ferr ing Pur cha ses

Co mm erc ialN on defe rra bleR efe ren ce C on sum pti on

Rat e

C omm erc ial Tim eto R ea ttem pt

De ferr ed P urc has es

C om mer cia l Ra te ofRe atte mp ting D efer red

P urc has es

Co mm erc ial M ax im umRa te o f R eat tem ptin gD efer red Pur cha ses

Co mm erc ial Ave rag eRa te o f R eat tem ptin gD efer red Pur cha ses

< TIM E STE P>

Com m erci alD esi redN on def erra ble

Co nsu mp tion R ate

C om me rci al T otalAm ou nt o f A ban don ed

P urc has es

C om me rcia l R ate ofA ban don ing Pu rch ase s

C om me rcia lAc tivi ty E ffec t onD em and fo rUns tor able In puts

C omm er cial Pri mar yDe sir ed F uelC ons um ptio n R ate

Co mm erc ialR ela tiveA vail abil ity of F uel

Co mm erc ialB ac kupG ene ratio n

C om me rcia l D ies elD ive rted to Bac ku pG ene rat ion

Co mm erc ial Die selU sed for Ba cku pGe ne ratio n

< TIM E S TE P>


Av aila bili ty o f C lea ring andSet tlem en tC omm un ica tion s

Effe ct o n th is Com m erci al's pu rcha se s in clud es dep ress ed act ivity an dfa ilure of pay me nt s yst ems ; E ffec t of dep res sed ac tivi ty in th e in putCo mm erc ials is refle cte d in thi s C om me rcia l's inte rnal ac tivit y

Co mm erc ial Att emp tedDe ferr able Co ns ump tio n

R ate

C om me rcia lA tte mp tedN ond efe rrab leC on sum pt ion Rat e



<C omm er cialI nter nalA ctiv ity>

C omm erc ialR el ativ eTran sp ort T im e

C omm erc ial Effe ct ofT rans por t Ti me onA tte mp ted Co nsu mp tion

C omm er cial Eff ect ofT ran spo rt T ime onAtt emp ted Co nsu mp tionTab le

C om me rcia lRef ere nce

C ons um ptio nR ate


Co mm erc ialFr act iona lTra nsp ort Mo de forPu rch ase s

Rel ativ e T ran spo rt T imeb y M ode an d S tate

Com m erci alAtt emp tedCo nsu mp tion Ra te


Ho urs PerD ay

C om mer cia l Av era geV al ue o f P urch ase s

Co mm erc ial T ota lV alu e o f A ban don edPurc ha ses

C om me rci al N atu ralG as Re fere nce Pr ice

Com m erci al N atu ral Ga sP ric e El ast icity ofDem an d

C om mer cia l Eff ect ofN atu ral G as Pri ce onDem an d

Co mm erc ialN atu ral Gas Pr iceb y S tate

C om me rci al E ffec t ofIn fra stru ctu re S tatu s o nPur cha sin g

A vail abi lity of B us ines sCo mm uni cati ons

C om me rcia l E ffec t ofCom m unic ati ons on


Co mm erc ial Effe ct o fCom m unic atio ns on Att emp tedC ons ump tio n Ta ble


Ch an ging Pe rce ptio no f P owe r P rice

C omm erc ial Tim e t oPe rce ive Ch ang e inPo wer Pri ce

A va ilab ilit y of Re tailP ay men t S yste m b ySt ate

C om mer cial Ma xim umMo tor Fu elCo nsu mp tion Ra te

C om mer cialD esir ed F uelC ons um ptio n R ate

C om mer cialRel ativ eA vai labi lity o f F uel

C om mer cial De siredP owe r C ons ump tio nR ate

C om me rcia l To talP ow er A va ilab ility

C omm erc ialRel ativ eS ho rtfal l in Tot alPo wer

C om me rcia l Re lati veA va ilab ility of P ow er

Com me rcia l M axi mumW ater Co nsu mp tionR ate

Com me rcia l D esir edWa ter Con sum ptio nRa te

Co mm erc ial M ax imu mN atu ral G asC on sum ptio n R ate

C om mer cial De siredN atu ral GasC on sum ptio n R ate

C om me rcia lRe lati veP erfo rm anc e

C om mer cial Rel ativ eA vail abil ity o f W ate r

Co mm erc ial R ela tiveAv ailab ility of Nat ura lG as

Co mm erci al In tern alAct ivity if U nst ora bleInp uts are Av ailab le

Com me rcia lIn tern alA ctiv ity

Co mm erci alAc tivi ty E ffec t on

Dem an d fo rUn stor abl e In puts

T ime for Co mm erc ialAc tivity to Aff ect Dem an df or U nst orab le I npu ts

A dj ustin g C om mer cialAc tivit y E ffec t on De man dfor Uns tora ble Inp uts

A ppa ren tCo mm erci alPer form anc e

Adj ustin g A pp aren tCom me rcia lP erf orm anc e

Ti me forC omm er cial toIn flue nce Itse lf

F rac tion ofC omm er cialD epe nde nt o n It self

R elat ive Imp act ofC om mer cial Per form an ceon I tsel f

Re lativ e P erfo rm anceof I npu t Se cto rs


R ela tive Imp act of I npu tS ect ors on Com me rcia l

Co mm erc ial E ffec t ofInfr astr uctu re S tat us o n

P urc hasi ng


Co mm erci al E ffec tof C om mu nica tion son Inte rnal Ac tivit y

Co mm erc ial E ffe ct o fC omm un icati ons on Inte rna lAc tivi ty T able

<A vai labil ity o f R etai lPa ym ent Sys tem by

Sta te>


Fue l









<TI ME ST EP >









Sho rta ge





















Fue l









<TI ME ST EP >









Sho rta ge





















W ate r








<TIM E ST EP>








S hor tag e














Fra cti on o f


W ate r








<TIM E ST EP>








S hor tag e
























<T IM E S TEP >



<TIM E ST EP>




<Ti me>











< TIM E STE P>





C om me rcia l T ime to

C om me rcia l w ithB att ery Ba cku p










<T IM E S TEP >



<TIM E ST EP>




<Ti me>











< TIM E STE P>













Rat e









R ate






Rat e




P urc has es



< TIM E STE P>




P urc has es



P erce ive Na tur al G asSh orta ge








Rat e









R ate






Rat e




P urc has es



< TIM E STE P>




P urc has es








< TIM E S TE P>





R ate















Ho urs PerD ay
















C om mer cial Ma xim umMo tor Fu elCo nsu mp tion Ra te

C om mer cialD esir ed F uelC ons um ptio n R ate

C om mer cialRel ativ eA vai labi lity o f F uel

C om mer cial De siredP owe r C ons ump tio nR ate

C om me rcia l To talP ow er A va ilab ility

C omm erc ialRel ativ eS ho rtfal l in Tot alPo wer

C om me rcia l Re lati veA va ilab ility of P ow er

Com me rcia l M axi mumW ater Co nsu mp tionR ate

Com me rcia l D esir edWa ter Con sum ptio nRa te

Co mm erc ial M ax imu mN atu ral G asC on sum ptio n R ate

C om mer cial De siredN atu ral GasC on sum ptio n R ate

C om me rcia lRe lati veP erfo rm anc e

C om mer cial Rel ativ eA vail abil ity o f W ate r

Co mm erc ial R ela tiveAv ailab ility of Nat ura lG as

Co mm erci al In tern alAct ivity if U nst ora bleInp uts are Av ailab le

Com me rcia lIn tern alA ctiv ity

Co mm erci alAc tivi ty E ffec t on


T ime for Co mm erc ialAc tivity to Aff ect Dem an df or U nst orab le I npu ts

A dj ustin g C om mer cialAc tivit y E ffec t on De man dfor Uns tora ble Inp uts

A ppa ren tCo mm erci alPer form anc e

Adj ustin g A pp aren tCom me rcia lP erf orm anc e

Ti me forC omm er cial toIn flue nce Itse lf

F rac tion ofC omm er cialD epe nde nt o n It self

R elat ive Imp act ofC om mer cial Per form an ceon I tsel f

Re lativ e P erfo rm anceof I npu t Se cto rs


R ela tive Imp act of I npu tS ect ors on Com me rcia l

Co mm erc ial E ffec t ofInfr astr uctu re S tat us o n

P urc hasi ng


Co mm erci al E ffec tof C om mu nica tion son Inte rnal Ac tivit y

Co mm erc ial E ffe ct o fC omm un icati ons on Inte rna lAc tivi ty T able

<A vai labil ity o f R etai lPa ym ent Sys tem by

Sta te>

Residential Sector

R es iden tialI nve ntor y o f

F ue l

Re side ntia l Fu elS tor age Ca pac ity

R esid ent ial D esi redF rac tion of Fue l St ora geFi lled

R es iden tial Tim e t oA dju st F uel Inv ento ry

Re side ntia l F uelC on sum pti on R ate

Res ide ntia l M axim umM oto r F uelC ons ump tio n R ate

R es iden tial De sire dFue l Co nsu mp tionR ate

Res ide ntia l Fu elInve nto ry D efi cit

R es iden tial Fue lInv ento ry Adj ustm en t

< TI ME ST EP >

R esid ent ial F ue lA cqu isiti on R ate

Re side ntia l D esir edFu el P urc has e R ate

R esi den tialF uelSho rta ge

R esid ent ial E ffe ct o f Pe rce ive dSh orta ge on Des ired Fr acti on ofFille d S tor age Ta ble

R esid ent ial E ffe ct o f Pe rce ive dSh orta ge on Des ired Fr acti on of

F ille d S tora ge

Re sid enti alP erce ive dFue l Sh ort age

R esid en tial Tim e toPer ceiv e F uel Sho rta ge

Re sid enti al C han gein Pe rce ived Fu el

S ho rtag e

R esid ent ial F ue lR efer enc e P rice

Re side ntia l Fu elP ric e E last icity ofDe man d

Res ide ntia l Ef fect ofFue l Pr ice onD em and

R esid ent ial F ue lRe fer enc eCo nsu mp tion Ra te

Res ide ntia l Fu elS ale s R ate

Re side ntia l D esir edPow er Co nsu mpt ionRa te

R esi den tia l P owe rRe fere nce Pr ice

R esid ent ial P ow erP rice Ela stic ity ofD em and

R esid ent ial E ffec t o fPow er Pri ce o nDe man d

R esid ent ial P ow erR efe renc e C on sum ptio n

R ate

Res ide ntia l Ex tern alPow er Su pply Ra te R es iden tial Re lativ eS ho rtfa ll in Ext ern al

P ow er


R elat ive Pow erS upp ly P erf orm anc e

Fra ctio n o fRes ide ntia l ha ving

B ack up Ge ner atio n

R esid en tial Loa dBa cku p G ene rat ionTar get

R esid ent ial D esi red Die seluse for Ba cku pG ene rat ion

R es iden tial Re lativ ePe rfor man ce of B ac kup

Ge nera tor sRe side ntia l Lo ad

S erv ed by Bac kupGen era tionRe sid enti al T ota lPo wer Av aila bilit y

D iese l Fu el R eq uire dper Un it P ow er

Re side ntia lW at erAc quis itio nRat e

R es iden tialW ate rSho rta ge

Res ide ntia l W ate rRe fere nce Co nsu mp tion

Rat e

Re sid enti al D esir edW at er A cq uisit ion Rat e

Re lativ e W ate r S upp lyP erfo rma nce

Re side ntia lB atte ry Sto redE ne rgy R es iden tial

D raw ing onBat tery Ba cku pRes ide ntia lRec har gingBa tter ies

Re sid enti alM axi mumB att ery Po wer

F rac tion of Res ide ntia lw ith Ba tter y B ack up

Re sid enti al T ime toRe cha rge Ba tter ies

R es iden tialBat tery St ora geCa pac ity

Re side ntia lB atte ry Ene rgyD efi cit

R es iden tial Po werRe qui red to R ec har geBa tter ies

Res iden tialMa xim umBa tter y U sea ge

Res ide ntia l Lo adBa tter y B ack upT arge t

R esid ent ial L oa d fo rR ech argi ng B att erie s

Re side ntia l Lo adu sed for Re cha rgin gBa tter ies

Re side ntia lE xter nal Po werS hor tfall

< TI ME ST EP >

R esid en tialP erc eive dPow er Sho rtfa ll

Tim e to C han geB att ery Op era tion s

<T IM E S TEP >

Ch ang e in Per cei vedP ow er S ho rtfa ll

O nse t T ime ofInte rru ptio n

Du ratio n o fInte rru ptio n

<T im e>

Re lati ve F ue l Su ppl yP erfo rma nce

F uel Ret ail P riceb y S tate

R esid ent ial N atu ralGa s S hor tage

R esid en tial Nat ura l Ga sR efer enc e C ons um ptio n

Ra te

Res ide ntia l De sire dN atur al G as Ac quis itio n

Ra te

Re lativ e N atu ral GasSup ply Pe rfor ma nce

R ela tive Sh ortf all inR es iden tial Mo torF uel s

Res iden tial Po we rD em an d R elat ive to D ailyAv era ge

R esi den tial Wa terD ema nd Rel ativ e to

Da ily Ave rag e

Res iden tial De sire dDe ferr abl e C ons ump tio nRat e

Res iden tial De ferr abl eR efe renc e C on sum ptio nR ate

R esid en tial Def erra bleDe man d R ela tive to Dai ly

A ver age

R esid en tialN on def erra ble De man dR elat ive to D aily A vera ge

Res ide ntia l To talA mo unt of D efe rre dPur cha ses

Re side ntia l R ate ofD efe rringPu rch ase s

R es iden tialNo nd efer rab leRef eren ce Co nsu mpt ion

R ate

R esid ent ial T ime toRe atte mp t D efe rredP urc has es

R esid ent ial R ate ofRea ttem pti ng D ef erre d

P urc has es

R es iden tial Ma xim umR ate of Re atte mp ting


R esid ent ial A ve rageRa te o f R eat tem ptin gD efer red Pu rch ases

< TIM E STE P>

R es iden tialDe sire dNo nd efer rab leC on sum ptio n R ate

Re side ntia l T otalAm ou nt o f A ban don ed

Pu rcha ses

R es iden tial Ra te o fAb and on ing Pur cha ses

Re sid enti al A ctiv ityEf fec t on De ma nd

for Uns tora bleInp uts

Re sid enti al P rim aryDe sire d F uelC ons ump tio n R ate

Re side ntia lR elat iveAva ilab ility of Fue l

Re sid enti alB ack upGe ner atio n

Res ide ntia l Di ese lD ive rted to Ba cku pGen era tion

R esi den tial Die selU sed fo r B ack upG ene rat ion

<TI ME ST EP >

<R esi den tialI nter nal Act ivity >

Av aila bili ty o f R etai lPa ym ent Sys tem by

S tate

Effe ct o n t his Res iden tial 's p urc hase s in clu des de pres sed ac tivit y an dfai lure of pay men t sy ste ms; Eff ect of d ep ress ed acti vity in t he i npu t

R esid ent ials is re flec ted in this Re side ntia l's i nter nal act ivity

R esid ent ial A tte mp tedDe ferr able Co nsu mp tion

Rat e

R esid en tialA tte mpt edNo nde ferr abl eCo nsu mp tion

R ate

<R esid ent ialIn ter nalAc tivi ty>

<R esid ent ialInt ern al A ctiv ity>

<R esi den tialInte rna lA cti vity >

Re side ntia lR elat ive

Tr ans por t Ti me

Re sid enti al E ffec t o fT rans po rt T ime on

A tte mpt ed Con sum pti on

Res ide ntia l Ef fect ofTr ansp ort Tim e o n

At tem pte d C ons um ptio nTab le

R esi den tialR efe ren ceC ons um ptio n R ate

Res iden tialfrac tion ofC ons um ptio nDef erra ble

R esid ent ialF rac tion alTra nsp ort Mo de for

P urch ase sRel ativ e T rans por t T imeb y M od e an d S tat e

R esid ent ialA ttem pte d

C ons ump tio n R ate

R es iden tial Na tura lGa s A cqu isiti on

R ate

Ho urs Per Da y

Res iden tial Av era geVa lue of P urc has es

Re side ntia l To tal Va lueof Ab and one d

Pur cha ses

R esi den tia l N atu ralG as Ref ere nce Pr ice

R es iden tial Na tura l G asPr ice Ela stic ity o f D em and

Re side ntia l E ffec t ofNa tura l Ga s P rice on

D em and

R esi den tial Nat ura lG as Pric e b y S tate

Res ide ntia l Ef fect ofIn fras truc tur e S tatu s on

Pu rch asin g

Re side ntia l A vail abil ityo f C om mun ica tion s

Re side ntia l E ffec t ofCo mm uni cati ons on


Re side ntia l E ffec t ofC om mu nica tion s o n A ttem pte dCo nsu mp tion Ta ble

R esi den tialPer ceiv ed

P owe r P riceRes ide ntia l Ch ang ingPer cep tion of Pow erPri ce

Re side ntia l T ime toPe rcei ve C ha nge in

Po wer Pri ce

<R ela tive Ro adD elay >

Re side ntia l Ef fect ofInt ern al A ctiv ity on

Na tura l G asD em and

Adj usti ng E ffe ct o f In tern alAct ivity on Re side ntia l G as

D em and

T ime for Inte rna l A ctiv ity t oI nflu enc e R esid ent ial G as

De ma nd

R es iden tial Eff ect ofInte rna l Ac tivi ty o nW ate r D ema nd

A dj ustin g E ffec t o f In tern alA ctiv ity o n R esi den tial Wa ter

D ema nd

T ime for Int ern al A ctiv ity toIn flue nce Re sid enti al W at er

De ma nd

R esid entia l M axim um

Mot or Fu elCon sum ption Ra te

R eside ntia l Des ired

F uel C ons ump tionRa te

R esid entia l

Rela tive

Avai labili ty of Fue l

Res iden tial D esir ed

Pow er C onsu mpt ion

R ate

R eside ntial Tot al

Po wer Ava ilabil ity

R esid entia l Re lativ eSho rtfal l in T otal

Po wer

R eside ntial Rela tiveAv ailab ility of P owe r

R esid entia lRela tive

Pe rfor man ce

R eside ntial Rela tive

A vaila bility of W ate r

Resi dent ial R elativ e

A vail abilit y of Natu ral

G as

R esid entia l Int erna l

A ctivit y if U nsto rabl e

In puts are Ava ilabl e

R esid entia lInte rnal

Act ivity

Resi dent ial A ctivi ty

Effe ct on De mandfo r Un stora ble

Inp uts

T ime for R esid enti al

Acti vity to A ffect Dem andfo r Un stor able Inpu ts

A djus ting R esid enti al

Activ ity E ffec t on Dem and

fo r Un stora ble Inpu ts

Ap pare ntRes iden tial

P erfo rma nce

Ad justi ng A ppar entRe siden tial

Perf orma nce

T ime for

Res iden tial t oInflu ence Itse lf

Fr actio n of

Re side ntialDep ende nt o n

Itse lf

Rela tive I mpa ct o f

Res iden tial P erfo rma nceon I tself

Rela tive Perf orm ance

o f Inp ut S ecto rs

F rac tion o f Re side ntial

Dep end ent o n In putSe ctor s

R elat ive I mpa ct of Inpu t

Sec tors on R esid entia l

Res iden tial E ffec t of

I nfras truc ture Statu s on

Pur chas ing

Resi denti alA vaila bility ofCo mmu nica tions R esid entia l Eff ect o fC omm uni catio ns o n

Inte rnal Acti vity

R eside ntia l Effe ct o f

C omm unic atio ns on Int ernalAc tivity Tab le

R eside ntia l Rel ative

La bor T rans por t Tim e

Resi denti al Fr actio nal

Tran spo rt M ode for

L abor

Rela tive Tran spor t Tim e

b y Mo de a nd S tate

Res iden tial N om inalTrav el T ime

R esid entia l Tra velTim e for Lab or

Ti me t o Ad just

E stim ated Trav el T ime

E stim ated

Tr avel Tim e

fo r La borA djus ting Estim ate ofLabo r Tr avel Tim e

D elay in L aborA rriva l

La bor Diur nalSup ply Varia tion

N orma l La bor Supp ly

Rela tive to D ailyM ax imum

< One Hou r>

< Rela tive Time Zon ef or S tate>

<T ime >

D elay ed L abor Sup ply

Re lative to D ailyMax imum

La bor A vail abili ty

Rela tive R oad

D ela y

<Du ratio n of

Inter rupt ion>

< Ons et T ime ofInte rrupt ion>

Effe ct o f Tra nspo rt

De lays on L abo r

Ava ilabi lity

Res ident ial D esire dN atura l Ga s Ac quis ition

R ate

Res iden tial N atu ral

G as A cquis ition

R ate

Res iden tial W ate r

Ac quis ition Rate


W ate r Ac quisi tion Rate

<R esid entia l Eff ect o fInter nal A ctiv ity o n W ater

D ema nd>

<Re side ntial Wat er

De man d Re lativ e to Daily

Ave rage > <Re side ntial Wat er

R efere nce Con sump tion

R ate>

R es iden tial

I nve ntor y o f

F ue l

Re side ntia l Fu el

S tor age Ca pac ity

R esid ent ial D esi red

F rac tion of Fue l St ora geFi lled

R es iden tial Tim e t o

A dju st F uel Inv ento ry

Re side ntia l F uel




Res ide ntia l Fu el

Inve nto ry D efi cit

R es iden tial Fue l

Inv ento ry Adj ustm en t

< TI ME ST EP >

R esid ent ial F ue l

A cqu isiti on R ate

Re side ntia l D esir ed

Fu el P urc has e R ate

R esi den tialF uel

Sho rta ge


Fille d S tor age Ta ble

R esid ent ial E ffe ct o f Pe rce ive d

Sh orta ge on Des ired Fr acti on of

F ille d S tora ge

Re sid enti al

P erce ive d

Fue l Sh ort age

R esid en tial Tim e to

Per ceiv e F uel Sho rta ge

Re sid enti al C han ge

in Pe rce ived Fu el

S ho rtag e


R efer enc e P rice


P ric e E last icity ofDe man d

Res ide ntia l Ef fect ofFue l Pr ice on

D em and



S ale s R ate

Re side ntia l D esir edPow er Co nsu mpt ion

Ra te


R esid ent ial P ow erP rice Ela stic ity of

D em and

R esid ent ial E ffec t o f

Pow er Pri ce o nDe man d

R esid ent ial P ow er

R efe renc e C on sum ptio n

R ate

Res ide ntia l Ex tern al

Pow er Su pply Ra te R es iden tial Re lativ eS ho rtfa ll in Ext ern al

P ow er


R elat ive Pow er

S upp ly P erf orm anc e

Fra ctio n o f

Res ide ntia l ha ving


R esid en tial Loa dBa cku p G ene rat ion

Tar get


R es iden tial Re lativ e

Pe rfor man ce of B ac kup

Ge nera tor s

Re side ntia l Lo ad

S erv ed by Bac kupGen era tion

Re sid enti al T ota l

Po wer Av aila bilit y


Re side ntia lW at er

Ac quis itio nRat e

R es iden tialW ate r

Sho rta ge

Res ide ntia l W ate r

Re fere nce Co nsu mp tion

Rat e

Re sid enti al D esir ed

W at er A cq uisit ion Rat e

Re lativ e W ate r S upp ly

P erfo rma nce

Re side ntia l

B atte ry Sto redE ne rgy R es iden tial

D raw ing onBat tery Ba cku p

Res ide ntia l

Rec har gingBa tter ies

Re sid enti al

M axi mumB att ery Po wer

F rac tion of Res ide ntia l

w ith Ba tter y B ack up

Re sid enti al T ime to

Re cha rge Ba tter ies

R es iden tialBat tery St ora ge

Ca pac ity

Re side ntia l

B atte ry Ene rgyD efi cit

R es iden tial Po wer

Re qui red to R ec har geBa tter ies

Res iden tial

Ma xim umBa tter y U sea ge

Res ide ntia l Lo ad

Ba tter y B ack upT arge t


Re side ntia l Lo adu sed for Re cha rgin g

Ba tter ies

Re side ntia lE xter nal Po wer

S hor tfall

< TI ME ST EP >

R esid en tial

P erc eive d

Pow er Sho rtfa ll


<T IM E S TEP >

Ch ang e in Per cei ved

P ow er S ho rtfa ll

O nse t T ime of

Inte rru ptio n


<T im e>

Re lati ve F ue l Su ppl y

P erfo rma nce

F uel Ret ail P rice

b y S tate

R esid ent ial N atu ral

Ga s S hor tage

R esid en tial Nat ura l Ga s

R efer enc e C ons um ptio n

Ra te

Res ide ntia l De sire d

N atur al G as Ac quis itio n

Ra te

Re lativ e N atu ral Gas

Sup ply Pe rfor ma nce


Res iden tial Po we r

D em an d R elat ive to D ailyAv era ge

R esi den tial Wa ter

D ema nd Rel ativ e to

Da ily Ave rag e

Res iden tial De sire dDe ferr abl e C ons ump tio n

Rat e

Res iden tial De ferr abl e

R efe renc e C on sum ptio nR ate

R esid en tial Def erra ble

De man d R ela tive to Dai ly

A ver age

R esid en tial

N on def erra ble De man d

R elat ive to D aily A vera ge

Res ide ntia l To tal

A mo unt of D efe rre dPur cha ses

Re side ntia l R ate of

D efe rringPu rch ase s

R es iden tial

No nd efer rab leRef eren ce Co nsu mpt ion

R ate

R esid ent ial T ime to

Re atte mp t D efe rredP urc has es

R esid ent ial R ate of

Rea ttem pti ng D ef erre d

P urc has es

R es iden tial Ma xim um

R ate of Re atte mp ting


R esid ent ial A ve rage

Ra te o f R eat tem ptin gD efer red Pu rch ases

< TIM E STE P>

R es iden tialDe sire d

No nd efer rab leC on sum ptio n R ate

Re side ntia l T otal

Am ou nt o f A ban don ed

Pu rcha ses

R es iden tial Ra te o f

Ab and on ing Pur cha ses

Re sid enti al A ctiv ity

Ef fec t on De ma nd


Re sid enti al P rim aryDe sire d F uel



Ava ilab ility of Fue l

Re sid enti al

B ack upGe ner atio n

Res ide ntia l Di ese lD ive rted to Ba cku p

Gen era tion

R esi den tial Die sel

U sed fo r B ack upG ene rat ion

<TI ME ST EP >

<R esi den tial

I nter nal Act ivity >

Av aila bili ty o f R etai l

Pa ym ent Sys tem by

S tate

Effe ct o n t his Res iden tial 's p urc hase s in clu des de pres sed ac tivit y an d

fai lure of pay men t sy ste ms; Eff ect of d ep ress ed acti vity in t he i npu t


R esid ent ial A tte mp ted

De ferr able Co nsu mp tion

Rat e

R esid en tial

A tte mpt ed

No nde ferr abl eCo nsu mp tion

R ate

<R esid ent ialIn ter nal

Ac tivi ty>

<R esid ent ial

Int ern al A ctiv ity>

<R esi den tialInte rna l

A cti vity >

Re side ntia l

R elat ive

Tr ans por t Ti me

Re sid enti al E ffec t o f

T rans po rt T ime on


Res ide ntia l Ef fect of

Tr ansp ort Tim e o n


R esi den tialR efe ren ce

C ons um ptio n R ate

Res iden tial

frac tion ofC ons um ptio n

Def erra ble

R esid ent ialF rac tion al

Tra nsp ort Mo de for

P urch ase sRel ativ e T rans por t T ime

b y M od e an d S tat e

R esid ent ial

A ttem pte d


R es iden tial Na tura l

Ga s A cqu isiti on

R ate

Ho urs Per Da y

Res iden tial Av era ge

Va lue of P urc has es

Re side ntia l To tal Va lue

of Ab and one d

Pur cha ses


R es iden tial Na tura l G as

Pr ice Ela stic ity o f D em and

Re side ntia l E ffec t of

Na tura l Ga s P rice on

D em and

R esi den tial Nat ura l

G as Pric e b y S tate


In fras truc tur e S tatu s on

Pu rch asin g

Re side ntia l A vail abil ity

o f C om mun ica tion s


Co mm uni cati ons on



C om mu nica tion s o n A ttem pte dCo nsu mp tion Ta ble

R esi den tial

Per ceiv ed

P owe r P riceRes ide ntia l Ch ang ing

Per cep tion of Pow erPri ce

Re side ntia l T ime to

Pe rcei ve C ha nge in

Po wer Pri ce


Re side ntia l Ef fect of

Int ern al A ctiv ity on

Na tura l G as

D em and

Adj usti ng E ffe ct o f In tern al

Act ivity on Re side ntia l G as

D em and

T ime for Inte rna l A ctiv ity t o

I nflu enc e R esid ent ial G as

De ma nd

R es iden tial Eff ect of

Inte rna l Ac tivi ty o n

W ate r D ema nd

A dj ustin g E ffec t o f In tern al

A ctiv ity o n R esi den tial Wa ter

D ema nd

T ime for Int ern al A ctiv ity to

In flue nce Re sid enti al W at er

De ma nd





R esid entia l

Rela tive




R ate




Po wer



Pe rfor man ce





G as





Act ivity



Inp uts







P erfo rma nce


Perf orma nce

T ime for


Fr actio n of


Itse lf











Pur chas ing


Inte rnal Acti vity







L abor





Ti me t o Ad just


E stim ated

Tr avel Tim e






< One Hou r>


<T ime >




Rela tive R oad

D ela y

<Du ratio n of

Inter rupt ion>



De lays on L abo r

Ava ilabi lity


R ate


G as A cquis ition

R ate


Ac quis ition Rate




D ema nd>





R ate>

Quarantines restrict transport capacity

Demand for trans port of goods (Ag products)

Payments

Orders

SCADA

Payments

ATM

SCADA

Demand for Food Products

Utilized in scenario simulations

Modeled, but not used in scenario sims

Se ttle men t

A cco unt

B ala nce

L iqu idi ty

S tor ed in

Ot herA cc oun ts

Co mm un ica tion s

Av aila bili ty



Du rat ion of

D isru ptio n

<T im e>

Tar get Liq uid ity

Th res hol d fo r O ffe ring

Ex ces s L iqu idit y

T hre sho ld f or Pur cha sin g

A ddi tion al L iqu idi ty

O ffe red F und s

D esir ed Liq uid ity

Pu rch ase s

Co mp os ite S ale s P rio rity

for Ov ern ight Fu nds

Fe d F und s S ale s

P rior ity

Oth er Sel lers Sa les

P rio rity

A ffec ted FI s S ale s

Pr iori ty

Af fec ted FIs

D es ired Re tur ns

D isc oun t o r

Su pp ort Ra te

Ot her Se ller s

D es ired R etur ns

F ed Fun ds

M ax imu m Sal esO the r Se ller s

Ma xim um Sa les

C om po site M axi mu m

S ales R ate



Ot her Se ller s

Ma xim um P urch as e

R ate

Oth er Sel lers

Pu rch ase Pr ior ity

A ffe cte d F Is

Pur cha se Prio rit y

Ot her Se llers Bi d

Ra te

A ffe cte d F Is Bid

R ate

C om po site Pu rch ase

P rior ity for Ov ern igh t

Fun ds

C om po site M axi mum

P ur cha se R at e

De sire d P urc ha se

Ra te

Ov ern igh t F und s

Ra te

O ve rni ght Fu nd

P urc has es

Pu rch asi ng

O ver nig ht F un ds

Sel ling Ov ern igh t

F und s

Ov ern ight Fu nd

S ales

O ve rnig ht F un ds

Tr adi ng Occ urr ing

Ov ern ight Fu nds

Ma rk et A cti vity

Sc hed ule

<T im e>

<O ne Ho ur>


Ord ina ry T ar get

Liq uid ity

L iqu idity R equ ired to M eet

Ex pe cted W ith dra wa l

De ma nd s

C urre ncy in M em ber

B ank Va ults


Cur renc y in

Re gion alRe ser ve B ank s

Cur ren cy

W ithd raw als

C urre ncy De liver ies to

R egio nal Ban ks

C urr enc y W ithd raw als

f rom Re gion al R ese rve

AT M W ith dra wals

Cu rren cy Dist ribu ted

t o A TM s

D esir ed C urr ency

Co ver age in A TM s

Tim e t o R evis e

Es tima ted Wit hdr awa l

R ate

Pe rce ived AT M

Wit hdr awa l

Rat e

Cha ngin g P erce ptio n o f

AT M W ith draw al Rat e

Cu rre nt C ove rage

in AT MsTi me to A dju st A TMCu rren cy S toc k

C orre ctio n fo r A TM

Cu rren cy S toc k

A dju stm ent

Des ired Cu rren cy

D istri butio n to AT M s

C ust ome rs' D es ired

C urre ncy Wit hdr awa l

R ate

M axim um Cu rren cy

W ith dra wal Rat e C usto mer s' C urre ncy

Wit hdra wa l Ra te

M ax imu m C urr ency

D istri buti on t o A TM s

Perc eiv ed

D em and for

Cu rren cy fromBa nks

C ust ome rs' Cur renc y

D ep osit Rat e

D esir ed Cur renc y

C ove rage in V au lts

Co rrec tion for Ba nk V aul t

C urre ncy Sto ckAd just men t

Ti me to A dju st B ank

Cu rren cy S toc k

Cu rren t C urre ncy

Co vera ge i n B ankV aul ts

Pe rcei ved Rat eo f Cu rre ncy

D epo sits to

Ba nks


M emb ers ' De man d

for Cu rren cy

Me mb ers' Net

De man d fo r C urre ncy

M axi mum C urre ncyS hipm en t Ra te fr om

R egi ona l Re serv es

Cur ren cy S hipp ed to

M em ber Ba nks

At temp ted Wi thdr awa ls

f rom AT Ms

M ax imum A TM

W ithd raw al R ate

<T IME ST EP >

<TI ME ST EP>

<T IME ST EP >

Cu rre ncy inT rans it to

M em ber Ba nks

T ime to M ov e C urre ncy

betw een M emb er a ndR egi ona l Ba nks

C urr ency De pos its t o

M em ber Ban ks

Des ired Co ver age in

R egio nal Res erve Ba nks

C urr ent Cov era ge in

Re gion al R ese rve Ban ks

P erc eive d

Cur renc y


T ime to Adj ust C urr enc y

Inv ento ry in R egio nal

Res erv e Ba nks

P erce ived Ra te

of C urr ency


C orre ctio n fo r An tici pate dDe pos its b y M em ber

Ban ks

C or rect ion for R ese rve Ba nkCu rren cy I nve ntor y

Ad just men t

C urre ncy inT ran sit t o

Reg iona lRes erv e Ba nks

M em ber s' C urre ncy

Sh ipm ents to Reg iona l

Re ser ve B ank

Arr iving Cu rren cy

Shi pme nts from M emb er

B ank s

R ese rve Ban ks N et

De man d f or C urre ncy

C urre ncy Sh ipm ents to

Re gio nal R es erve Ba nks

Cu rren cy in

Tra nsit from

Fe der al R ese rve

Tim e t o O btai n C urre ncy

f rom Fed era l Re serv e

C urr enc y S ent f rom

Fe dera l R eser ve

C urr enc y Se nt t o

Fed eral Res erv e

F ract ion of A TM

H os ts A vaila ble

A TM Acc essp rob abil ity

U nsat isifie d D em and for

C urr enc y fro m A TM s

Cu stom ers ' Or dina ry

Cur ren cy W ith draw alRa te

Fr actio n o f Ba nk

Cur renc y D ema ndsSa tisfi ed

Fr acti on o f F ailed AT M

Wi thdr awa ls A ttem pte d a t

Ban kSu pple men tary W ithd raw al

Att emp ts f rom Fai led ATM

Tra nsa ctio ns

F ract ion of C ash

W ithd raw als A tte mpt ed a t

ATM s

Ca sh W ith dra wn

F rac tion of Reta ilBan ks A va ilabl e

Des ired Ca sh

W ithd raw al R ate

< Ad justm en t to

Cor rect Ca sh

S hort fall>

<Pe rce ived Ca sh

Sp endi ng R ate >

Re lativ e S hort fall inRe gio nal R es erve

C urre ncy

< Bus ines s

C om mun ica tion Sta tus>



Currency Flows

Pend ing

P urch ases

Ne w P urch asin g

De man d

Pu rcha sing

Elec tron ical ly

Ab and onin g

P urch ases

E lec tron ic A ccep tan ce

Pro bab ility

Ti me t o A band on

Pu rcha ses

A ttem pt R ate for

U nre ject ed E lect roni c

Pu rcha ses

A ccep tan ce R ate for

Un reje cted Ele ctro nicP urc hase s

Ave rage

Res olut ion T ime

Purc has er's

C ash on H and S pen ding Ca sh



D esir ed C ash

W ithdr awa l Ra te

P urc hase r's C ash

W ith draw al R ate

P erce ivedCa sh

S hor tageC han ging Per cep tion

of C ash Sho rtag e

Tim e to Per ceiv e

Ca sh S hort age

Ef fect of P erc eive d

S hort age on D esir ed C ash

C ove rage

Effe ct o f Pe rceiv ed Sho rtage

on Des ired Cas h C over age

T abl e

R ela tive Sho rtfal l in

Cas h W ithd rawa ls

No mina l C ash

C ove rage

Cas h De ficit

Des ired Tim e to

Co rrec t C ash Defi cit

Adj ustm ent to C orre ct

Cas h Sh ortf all

Min imu m C ash

C ov erag e


Ef fect of P erce ived

S hort age on C ash

S pen ding

E ffec t of Perc eive d

Sho rtage on Cas h

Spe ndi ng T able

Ca sh W ithd raw n

P urc hasi ng W ith

Ca sh

C ash Pur cha sing

Tim e Co nsta nt

Pe rce ived

Cas h

Spe ndin g Ra te

D esi red Rate of

C ash Pu rcha ses

Tot al P urch asin g

R ate

Rela tive

Res oluti on T ime

E ffec t of Rel ative Re solu tion

T ime on Aba ndo nme nt R ate

T able

Effe ct o f Re lativ eReso luti on T ime on

A ba ndon me nt R ate

Ab and oned

Pu rcha ses

Frac tion of D esi red

C ash Purc has es M ade

<A TM

W ithd raw als>

<F rac tion of B ank

Cu rren cy D em ands

Sa tisfi ed>

< Cus tom ers' Des ired

C urre ncy Wit hdra wal

R ate>

F rac tion of R etai l

Ban ks A vail able

F racti on o f C redit

C lear ing S erv ices

A vail able

Num be r of Cre dit

C ard s H eld

Purc has ing W ith

Che cks

Che ck P urc hasi ng

Ti me C on stan t

C hec ks

R equi ring

Se ttlem entSe ttlin g C heck s

H oldin g C hec ks fo r

S ettle men t

H eld Che cks


Time to Sett le

C hec ks


C he ck C lear ing

O ccu ring

H eld Ch eck

Clea ring Oc curr ing

<Fr actio n o f Re tail

Ban ks A vai lable >

Pro bab ility of R etail

Pa yme nt S yste m

W ork ing



<Cl earin g an d

Se ttlem en t


Pu rch asing Modes

Settlemen t







Liq ui dAs se ts




Cla ims P ai d


I nv es tme n tsLiq ui da ti on s

Da ma ge Ra te


Ri sk

P r op e rtyOwne rs




F un ct io n



Ri sk




Da ma ge








Des ir ed Liq u id ityCov e ra ge



Des ir ed Liq u id ity


Time to Liq u id at eAss et s


Co ns tru c tio n Time

Time to In ve st


< Z: Time Un it s Pe rYea r>

< Z: Time Un it s P e rYe a r>

<Z: Time Uni ts P erYe ar >

< Z: Ti me Un it s Pe rYea r>

< Z: Time Un its P erYe ar >


Insurance

Se ttle men t

A cco unt

B ala nce

L iqu idi ty

S tor ed in

Ot herA cc oun ts

Co mm un ica tion s

Av aila bili ty



Du rat ion of

D isru ptio n

<T im e>

Tar get Liq uid ity

Th res hol d fo r O ffe ring

Ex ces s L iqu idit y

T hre sho ld f or Pur cha sin g

A ddi tion al L iqu idi ty

O ffe red F und s

D esir ed Liq uid ity

Pu rch ase s

Co mp os ite S ale s P rio rity

for Ov ern ight Fu nds

Fe d F und s S ale s

P rior ity

Oth er Sel lers Sa les

P rio rity

A ffec ted FI s S ale s

Pr iori ty

Af fec ted FIs

D es ired Re tur ns

D isc oun t o r

Su pp ort Ra te

Ot her Se ller s

D es ired R etur ns

F ed Fun ds

M ax imu m Sal esO the r Se ller s

Ma xim um Sa les

C om po site M axi mu m

S ales R ate



Ot her Se ller s

Ma xim um P urch as e

R ate

Oth er Sel lers

Pu rch ase Pr ior ity

A ffe cte d F Is

Pur cha se Prio rit y

Ot her Se llers Bi d

Ra te

A ffe cte d F Is Bid

R ate

C om po site Pu rch ase

P rior ity for Ov ern igh t

Fun ds

C om po site M axi mum

P ur cha se R at e

De sire d P urc ha se

Ra te

Ov ern igh t F und s

Ra te

O ve rni ght Fu nd

P urc has es

Pu rch asi ng

O ver nig ht F un ds

Sel ling Ov ern igh t

F und s

Ov ern ight Fu nd

S ales

O ve rnig ht F un ds

Tr adi ng Occ urr ing

Ov ern ight Fu nds

Ma rk et A cti vity

Sc hed ule

<T im e>

<O ne Ho ur>


Ord ina ry T ar get

Liq uid ity

L iqu idity R equ ired to M eet

Ex pe cted W ith dra wa l

De ma nd s

C urre ncy in M em ber

B ank Va ults


Cur renc y in

Re gion alRe ser ve B ank s

Cur ren cy

W ithd raw als

C urre ncy De liver ies to

R egio nal Ban ks

C urr enc y W ithd raw als

f rom Re gion al R ese rve

AT M W ith dra wals

Cu rren cy Dist ribu ted

t o A TM s

D esir ed C urr ency

Co ver age in A TM s

Tim e t o R evis e

Es tima ted Wit hdr awa l

R ate

Pe rce ived AT M

Wit hdr awa l

Rat e

Cha ngin g P erce ptio n o f

AT M W ith draw al Rat e

Cu rre nt C ove rage

in AT MsTi me to A dju st A TMCu rren cy S toc k

C orre ctio n fo r A TM

Cu rren cy S toc k

A dju stm ent

Des ired Cu rren cy

D istri butio n to AT M s

C ust ome rs' D es ired

C urre ncy Wit hdr awa l

R ate

M axim um Cu rren cy

W ith dra wal Rat e C usto mer s' C urre ncy

Wit hdra wa l Ra te

M ax imu m C urr ency

D istri buti on t o A TM s

Perc eiv ed

D em and for

Cu rren cy fromBa nks

C ust ome rs' Cur renc y

D ep osit Rat e

D esir ed Cur renc y

C ove rage in V au lts

Co rrec tion for Ba nk V aul t

C urre ncy Sto ckAd just men t

Ti me to A dju st B ank

Cu rren cy S toc k

Cu rren t C urre ncy

Co vera ge i n B ankV aul ts

Pe rcei ved Rat eo f Cu rre ncy

D epo sits to

Ba nks


M emb ers ' De man d

for Cu rren cy

Me mb ers' Net

De man d fo r C urre ncy

M axi mum C urre ncyS hipm en t Ra te fr om

R egi ona l Re serv es

Cur ren cy S hipp ed to

M em ber Ba nks

At temp ted Wi thdr awa ls

f rom AT Ms

M ax imum A TM

W ithd raw al R ate

<T IME ST EP >

<TI ME ST EP>

<T IME ST EP >

Cu rre ncy inT rans it to

M em ber Ba nks

T ime to M ov e C urre ncy

betw een M emb er a ndR egi ona l Ba nks

C urr ency De pos its t o

M em ber Ban ks

Des ired Co ver age in

R egio nal Res erve Ba nks

C urr ent Cov era ge in

Re gion al R ese rve Ban ks

P erc eive d

Cur renc y


T ime to Adj ust C urr enc y

Inv ento ry in R egio nal

Res erv e Ba nks

P erce ived Ra te

of C urr ency


C orre ctio n fo r An tici pate dDe pos its b y M em ber

Ban ks

C or rect ion for R ese rve Ba nkCu rren cy I nve ntor y

Ad just men t

C urre ncy inT ran sit t o

Reg iona lRes erv e Ba nks

M em ber s' C urre ncy

Sh ipm ents to Reg iona l

Re ser ve B ank

Arr iving Cu rren cy

Shi pme nts from M emb er

B ank s

R ese rve Ban ks N et

De man d f or C urre ncy

C urre ncy Sh ipm ents to

Re gio nal R es erve Ba nks

Cu rren cy in

Tra nsit from

Fe der al R ese rve

Tim e t o O btai n C urre ncy

f rom Fed era l Re serv e

C urr enc y S ent f rom

Fe dera l R eser ve

C urr enc y Se nt t o

Fed eral Res erv e

F ract ion of A TM

H os ts A vaila ble

A TM Acc essp rob abil ity

U nsat isifie d D em and for

C urr enc y fro m A TM s

Cu stom ers ' Or dina ry

Cur ren cy W ith draw alRa te

Fr actio n o f Ba nk

Cur renc y D ema ndsSa tisfi ed

Fr acti on o f F ailed AT M

Wi thdr awa ls A ttem pte d a t

Ban kSu pple men tary W ithd raw al

Att emp ts f rom Fai led ATM

Tra nsa ctio ns

F ract ion of C ash

W ithd raw als A tte mpt ed a t

ATM s

Ca sh W ith dra wn

F rac tion of Reta ilBan ks A va ilabl e

Des ired Ca sh

W ithd raw al R ate

< Ad justm en t to

Cor rect Ca sh

S hort fall>

<Pe rce ived Ca sh

Sp endi ng R ate >

Re lativ e S hort fall inRe gio nal R es erve

C urre ncy

< Bus ines s

C om mun ica tion Sta tus>



Currency Flows

Pend ing

P urch ases

Ne w P urch asin g

De man d

Pu rcha sing

Elec tron ical ly

Ab and onin g

P urch ases


Pro bab ility

Ti me t o A band on

Pu rcha ses

A ttem pt R ate for


Pu rcha ses



Ave rage

Res olut ion T ime

Purc has er's




D esir ed C ash

W ithdr awa l Ra te


W ith draw al R ate

P erce ivedCa sh


of C ash Sho rtag e

Tim e to Per ceiv e

Ca sh S hort age



C ove rage



T abl e



No mina l C ash

C ove rage

Cas h De ficit

Des ired Tim e to



Cas h Sh ortf all

Min imu m C ash

C ov erag e



S hort age on C ash

S pen ding


Sho rtage on Cas h

Spe ndi ng T able

Ca sh W ithd raw n

P urc hasi ng W ith

Ca sh

C ash Pur cha sing

Tim e Co nsta nt

Pe rce ived

Cas h

Spe ndin g Ra te

D esi red Rate of

C ash Pu rcha ses


R ate

Rela tive

Res oluti on T ime



T able



Ab and oned

Pu rcha ses



<A TM

W ithd raw als>



Sa tisfi ed>



R ate>


Ban ks A vail able



A vail able

Num be r of Cre dit

C ard s H eld

Purc has ing W ith

Che cks


Ti me C on stan t

C hec ks

R equi ring



S ettle men t

H eld Che cks


Time to Sett le

C hec ks


C he ck C lear ing

O ccu ring

H eld Ch eck





Pa yme nt S yste m

W ork ing



<Cl earin g an d

Se ttlem en t


Pu rch asing Modes

Pend ing

P urch ases

Ne w P urch asin g

De man d

Pu rcha sing

Elec tron ical ly

Ab and onin g

P urch ases


Pro bab ility

Ti me t o A band on

Pu rcha ses

A ttem pt R ate for


Pu rcha ses



Ave rage

Res olut ion T ime

Purc has er's




D esir ed C ash

W ithdr awa l Ra te


W ith draw al R ate

P erce ivedCa sh


of C ash Sho rtag e

Tim e to Per ceiv e

Ca sh S hort age



C ove rage



T abl e



No mina l C ash

C ove rage

Cas h De ficit

Des ired Tim e to



Cas h Sh ortf all

Min imu m C ash

C ov erag e



S hort age on C ash

S pen ding


Sho rtage on Cas h

Spe ndi ng T able

Ca sh W ithd raw n

P urc hasi ng W ith

Ca sh

C ash Pur cha sing

Tim e Co nsta nt

Pe rce ived

Cas h

Spe ndin g Ra te

D esi red Rate of

C ash Pu rcha ses


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Res oluti on T ime



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Ban ks A vail able



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C ard s H eld

Purc has ing W ith

Che cks


Ti me C on stan t

C hec ks

R equi ring



S ettle men t

H eld Che cks


Time to Sett le

C hec ks


C he ck C lear ing

O ccu ring

H eld Ch eck





Pa yme nt S yste m

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<Cl earin g an d

Se ttlem en t


Pu rch asing Modes

Settlemen t







Liq ui dAs se ts




Cla ims P ai d


I nv es tme n tsLiq ui da ti on s

Da ma ge Ra te


Ri sk

P r op e rtyOwne rs




F un ct io n



Ri sk




Da ma ge








Des ir ed Liq u id ityCov e ra ge



Des ir ed Liq u id ity


Time to Liq u id at eAss et s


Co ns tru c tio n Time

Time to In ve st


< Z: Time Un it s Pe rYea r>

< Z: Time Un it s P e rYe a r>

<Z: Time Uni ts P erYe ar >

< Z: Ti me Un it s Pe rYea r>

< Z: Time Un its P erYe ar >


Insurance

Banking & Finance

ha rv es tedc orn

pla nt ing co rn


c att le fee dlo ts

c or n c ov er ag e






a cr es ofc orn












inv en to ry

















co rn pri ce






gr ow e rs



c or n p ric e



co rne xpo rts









d air ies



< mi lk c ow s>

da iry co ws










d air y fe ed





Corn


b ee f


be efi nv en to ry



br ee d st oc k








b ee f c ov er ag e

po pu la tio n



b e ef pr ice






no rm al be ef

co ns um pti on








b re ed ing




rec al l






be ef c att le








ef fec ts





be ef pa ck ing



tim e to rec ov er



co ns um er s>









op er ati on s


ca lve s in ute ro


Beef

d air y c al ve s







d a iry fe rtil ity






m i lki nv en tor y



m ilk sa le s

m ilk c ov era g e


o n m il k p ric e



d air y





















m il k p ric e



pr ice



no rm a l re ta il

d ai ry pri ce














c alv es in u ter o



k ille dhe ife rs



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Dairy

ha rv es tedc orn

pla nt ing co rn


c att le fee dlo ts

c or n c ov er ag e






a cr es ofc orn












inv en to ry

















co rn pri ce






gr ow e rs



c or n p ric e



co rne xpo rts









d air ies



< mi lk c ow s>

da iry co ws










d air y fe ed





Corn

ha rv es tedc orn

pla nt ing co rn


c att le fee dlo ts

c or n c ov er ag e






a cr es ofc orn












inv en to ry

















co rn pri ce






gr ow e rs



c or n p ric e



co rne xpo rts









d air ies



< mi lk c ow s>

da iry co ws










d air y fe ed





Corn


b ee f


be efi nv en to ry



br ee d st oc k








b ee f c ov er ag e

po pu la tio n



b e ef pr ice






no rm al be ef

co ns um pti on








b re ed ing




rec al l






be ef c att le








ef fec ts





be ef pa ck ing



tim e to rec ov er



co ns um er s>









op er ati on s


ca lve s in ute ro


Beef

d air y c al ve s







d a iry fe rtil ity






m i lki nv en tor y



m ilk sa le s

m ilk c ov era g e


o n m il k p ric e



d air y





















m il k p ric e



pr ice



no rm a l re ta il

d ai ry pri ce














c alv es in u ter o



k ille dhe ife rs



ute ro

Dairy

Agriculture & Food

Electric Power

Idle Po wer

Ge nera tion

C apac ity

Faile dGe nera tion

C apa city





S ervi ng L oad


Ta rget Loa d


Load Se rving


M axim um F uel





Gen erat ion

Tar get Fuel

U tiliz ation Ra te

< TIM E ST EP >


o n Lin e

Gen erat ion

S ervi ng L oad



L oad Ser ving



M axim um Rat e of



Pow er S ales

P riori ty

<T IME ST EP>


Dem and Var iatio n

Pe ak L oad

On eHo ur

Fue l Pri ce




Pow er P urch ase

Prio rity

Pow er P rice

E lect ric P ow er

Loa d Se rved

Offe red

G ene ratio n

O ffe red I mpo rts


C om posi te Sa les

P rior ity


Off ered




<G ene ratio n

Ser ving Loa d>


L oad Ser ving


f or E xpo rt


fromTran smis sion

S yste m



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<T ime>



Em issio ns R ate


Lo ad S erv ed




G ene ratio n fo r

E xpo rt


P owe r De man d

<T ime >

Exp ort


O blig atio ns

<T IME ST EP>


Po wer Loa d

Ele ctric Po wer


Sec tor



Res erve Ma rgin


T otal Gen erati on



< Disti llate Fue l

U nit>


G ene rato rs>


U nit>


Ge nera tors >

< Oil F uel Unit >

< Oil Pric e to

Gen erato rs>







Tar get P ow er to



T rans miss ion


<Ef fect of






Gen era tion




<TI ME STE P>


G en eratio n

N at ura l G as

O rde rs

To tal N atu ral Ga s

De liv erie s t o G en era tor s

N at ura l G as

Inv en tor y

D esir ed Na tur al Ga s

Co ve rag e

Ta rge t N at ura l G as

Inv ent ory

Tim e to A d just

N a tura l G as Inv en tor y

C ons um ing N atu ral

G as f or Ge ner atio n

A dj ust me nt f or

N at ura l G as Inv ent ory

Tim e to Ob tain

Fue l

Pe rfo rm anc e o f

Na tur al G as Su pp lier s

E xp ect ed

N atu ral Ga s


T ime to Ad jus t E xp ect ed

Na tura l G as Us e R at e

A dj ust ing Ex pe cte d

N atu ral Ga s U se Ra te

< To tal Fu el

Uti liza tion R ate >

<T arg et F ue l

U tiliz atio n R at e>

C oa l O rde rs fro m

G en era tor s

Co al

In ven tor y

D es ired C oa l

Co ve rag e

Ta rge t C oa l

In ve nto ry


In ven tor y

C on su min g C oa l fo r

G ene rat ion

A dj ust me nt f or Co al

In ve nto ry

Tim e to Ob tain

Co al

P erf orm an ce of

C oa l S upp lie rs

Ex pe cte d C oa l

Ut iliza tio n R ate

T im e t o A dj ust

Ex pec ted C oa l U se

R ate

A dju stin g E xp ec ted

Co al Us e R ate

O il O rd ers fro m

Ge ne rato rs

O il In ve nto ry

De sir ed Oil

C ov era ge

T arg et O il

In ve nto ry

Tim e to A d just O il

In ve nto ry

C on su min g O il for

Ge ner atio n

Ad jus tme nt for O il

In ve nto ry


Pe rfo rm anc e o f O il

S up pli ers

Exp ec ted O il

U tili zat ion Ra te

Ti me to Ad jus t

Exp ec ted O il U se Ra te

Ad jus tin g E xpe cte d

O il U se Ra te

D is tilla te O rd er s fr om

G ene ra tors

Di still ate

Inv ent ory

D es ired D isti llat e

C ov er age


I nve nto ry

Ti me to Ad jus t


C on sum ing D isti llat e

fo r G en era tion

Ad jus tm ent for

D isti llate In ve nto ry

T ime to Ob ta in

D isti llat e

P erf orm an ce of

Dis tilla te Su pp lier s

Exp ec ted

Di still ate

Uti liza tion R ate

Tim e t o A dj ust

E xpe ct ed Dis tilla te Us e

R ate


D istil late U se Rat e

M ax im um N atu ral Ga s

D el ive ry R at e to

G en era tor s

Ma xim um C oa l D eliv ery

R at e to G en era tor s

Ma xim um D ist illat e

D eliv ery R ate to

G ene rat ors

M ax im um O il D eliv ery

Ra te to Ge ner ato rs

Ma xim um F uel

Uti liza tion R ate

< TI ME S TE P>

M ax imu m Fue l

D eli ver y R ate

The na tur al gas su pp ly is

as sum ed to be co mm on to al l

t hre e g as gen er ato r ty pe s

T arg et Na tur al G as

U tiliz atio n R at e

Fr act ion al D em an d f or

N G C om bu sti on

Fra ctio na l D em an d fo r

NG C om bi ned C ycl e


N G Ste am Tu rb ine

M a xim um N G


To tal Na tur al G as

Or der s f rom G ene ra tors

Re lati ve Sho rtf all in

G en era tor Fu el

N atu ral Ga s F uel

U nit

H ou rsP er Da y

F ue l Pr ice


G en er ato rs


D isti llat e P ric e to

G ene rat ors

O il P ric e to

G en era tor s

< Na tur al G as F uel

U ni t>

C oa l F uel Un it


O il Fue l U nit

C o al D eli ver ies to

Ge ner ato rs< Co al F ue l U nit>

Dis tilla te De live rie s to

G en era tor s

< D istil late F uel

U nit>


G ene rat ors

<O il F ue l U nit>

Oil De live rie s


Co al D el iver ies

N a tura l G as

De liv erie s

Re lat ive Tr ans po rt T im e b y

M od e a nd N ER C R eg ion

F rac tio nal Tr ans po rt

M od e f or Co al

N o rma l T im e to

O bta in Co al

F u el Ma na ge men t


Re g io n



P o wer S CADA



S CADA


Cu st ome rs


Ma x imum Tra nsmi ss io nCa p a ci ty t o Reg i ons

Cus to me rs

Ma x imumTr a ns mis s io n Limi t o n

Im po r ts



S CADA


In te rr up t io n



< Ti me>

SCADA

Idle Po wer

Ge nera tion

C apac ity

Faile dGe nera tion

C apa city





S ervi ng L oad


Ta rget Loa d


Load Se rving


M axim um F uel





Gen erat ion

Tar get Fuel

U tiliz ation Ra te

< TIM E ST EP >


o n Lin e

Gen erat ion

S ervi ng L oad



L oad Ser ving



M axim um Rat e of



Pow er S ales

P riori ty

<T IME ST EP>


Dem and Var iatio n

Pe ak L oad

On eHo ur

Fue l Pri ce




Pow er P urch ase

Prio rity

Pow er P rice

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Loa d Se rved

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G ene ratio n

O ffe red I mpo rts


C om posi te Sa les

P rior ity


Off ered




<G ene ratio n

Ser ving Loa d>


L oad Ser ving


f or E xpo rt


fromTran smis sion

S yste m



D iscon nec ted








<T ime>



Em issio ns R ate


Lo ad S erv ed




G ene ratio n fo r

E xpo rt


P owe r De man d

<T ime >

Exp ort


O blig atio ns

<T IME ST EP>


Po wer Loa d

Ele ctric Po wer


Sec tor



Res erve Ma rgin


T otal Gen erati on



< Disti llate Fue l

U nit>


G ene rato rs>


U nit>


Ge nera tors >

< Oil F uel Unit >

< Oil Pric e to

Gen erato rs>







Tar get P ow er to



T rans miss ion


<Ef fect of






Gen era tion




<TI ME STE P>


G en eratio n

Idle Po wer

Ge nera tion

C apac ity

Faile dGe nera tion

C apa city





S ervi ng L oad


Ta rget Loa d


Load Se rving


M axim um F uel





Gen erat ion

Tar get Fuel

U tiliz ation Ra te

< TIM E ST EP >


o n Lin e

Gen erat ion

S ervi ng L oad



L oad Ser ving



M axim um Rat e of



Pow er S ales

P riori ty

<T IME ST EP>


Dem and Var iatio n

Pe ak L oad

On eHo ur

Fue l Pri ce




Pow er P urch ase

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O ffe red I mpo rts


C om posi te Sa les

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Ser ving Loa d>


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f or E xpo rt


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S yste m



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Em issio ns R ate


Lo ad S erv ed




G ene ratio n fo r

E xpo rt


P owe r De man d

<T ime >

Exp ort


O blig atio ns

<T IME ST EP>


Po wer Loa d

Ele ctric Po wer


Sec tor



Res erve Ma rgin


T otal Gen erati on



< Disti llate Fue l

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G ene rato rs>


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Ge nera tors >

< Oil F uel Unit >

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Tar get P ow er to



T rans miss ion


<Ef fect of






Gen era tion




<TI ME STE P>


G en eratio n

N at ura l G as

O rde rs



N at ura l G as

Inv en tor y


Co ve rag e


Inv ent ory

Tim e to A d just




A dj ust me nt f or


Tim e to Ob tain

Fue l

Pe rfo rm anc e o f


E xp ect ed

N atu ral Ga s






< To tal Fu el


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G en era tor s

Co al

In ven tor y

D es ired C oa l

Co ve rag e

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In ve nto ry


In ven tor y


G ene rat ion


In ve nto ry

Tim e to Ob tain

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P erf orm an ce of

C oa l S upp lie rs

Ex pe cte d C oa l


T im e t o A dj ust


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Co al Us e R ate

O il O rd ers fro m

Ge ne rato rs

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De sir ed Oil

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T arg et O il

In ve nto ry


In ve nto ry


Ge ner atio n


In ve nto ry



S up pli ers

Exp ec ted O il


Ti me to Ad jus t



O il U se Ra te


G ene ra tors

Di still ate

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C ov er age


I nve nto ry

Ti me to Ad jus t



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T ime to Ob ta in

D isti llat e

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Uti liza tion R ate

Tim e t o A dj ust


R ate





G en era tor s




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Ma xim um F uel

Uti liza tion R ate

< TI ME S TE P>

M ax imu m Fue l

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N G C om bu sti on





M a xim um N G





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U nit

H ou rsP er Da y

F ue l Pr ice


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G en era tor s


U ni t>

C oa l F uel Un it


O il Fue l U nit




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G ene rat ors

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N a tura l G as

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M od e f or Co al

N o rma l T im e to

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N at ura l G as

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N at ura l G as

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G en era tor s

Co al

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G ene rat ion


In ve nto ry

Tim e to Ob tain

Co al

P erf orm an ce of

C oa l S upp lie rs

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S up pli ers

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Di still ate

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C ov er age


I nve nto ry

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T ime to Ob ta in

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P erf orm an ce of


Exp ec ted

Di still ate

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Cu st ome rs



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SCADA


Re g io n



P o wer S CADA



S CADA


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S CADA


In te rr up t io n



< Ti me>

SCADA

Petroleum Fuels


M ax imum Na tura lGas Sal es R ate

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N omi nal I njec tionC apa city to N atur al G asS tora ge

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To tal T arge t NGT rans fer R ate


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D istr icts

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Pote ntia lM ark et fo rN GA cqu isitio n

C han ge in Ma rket forN G A cqui sitio n

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<TIM E STE P>

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Tot al De sire dN atur al G as S ales

Co nsum ingNat ural Gas

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M axi mum Na turalG as D eliv ery Rate

Ma ximu m G ener atorSa les R ate


Tota l Na tura l Ga sS ales to E nd User s

An nual Ave rage Ne tAqu isitio n Ra te

One Yea r

Deliv erab ility fromN atur al G as S tora ge


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< Tim e>

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Sto rag e W ithdr awa lsR equ ired to S erveD em and

<Ac quis ition Co rrect ionfor S tora ge A vai labili ty>

<Ad ditio nal Acq uisiti on toC ove r for Imm edia teS hor tfalls >

<Z: Tim e Un itsP er D ay>



< Effec t of SCA DA onNG Pi pelin e Ca pac ity><M axi mum Ca paci ty ofG ather ing N etw ork forD ome stic Prod uctio n>

<N omin al R ate o fD ome stic GasP rod uctio n>

< Effe ct o f SC AD A onN G P ipel ine C apa city >

<M axim um NG Tran sferRa te to Ot herN GRe gion s>



<Ef fect of SC AD A o nNG Pipe line Cap acity > < Ma ximu m In tern al N G


E xpe cted Na tura lG as P ric e

In itial Am oun t ofNa tura l Ga s St ored

Na tura l Ga sWho lesa le P riceAd just ing N atur al G as

Wh olesa le P rice


< Na tural GasC leari ng P rice >


Ef fect of S tored Ga so n Pr ice F unc tion<W orki ng G as R elati ve toWo rkin g Ga s C apac ity>

Nom ina l Na turalG as P rice

< Regi onal GasP rice>

D esired Fuel

Pu rchas e Rat e

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Ma ximum Sale s

Rat e









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Rate




Tab le

Perc eived


Pr ice


F uel P rice

Spo t Fue l Price

Ti me to Chan ge


Fuel Retai lMar kup

F uel R etail Price

Fue l Pur chaseRate

D istribu tor

Inve ntory Defic it

Total Dem and in

D istric t

Di stribu tor

Acqu isition Rate

No mina l Dis tribu torFuel Cove rage

Dis tr ibu to r /Ret ai ler

Ref in er


P urcha se Ra te



Expec ted

Pro ductio n Tim e


Sa les Ra te

T otal Desire d



Perc eived



Rate


C urren t Ref inery



Other Distr icts

Re finer P rodu ct

Inv entory Defi cit

Re finer Desire d

Pro ducti on Ra te

R efiner y

Produ ction Rate

No mina l Refin er


Maxi mum Refini ng

C apac ity


Un it Cru de

Add itiona l Yield

from Add itives

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Oper ation Rate for

Perce ived Dema nd

Min imum Refi nery




Re finery Cap acity

Da mage Indic ator

Time Conv ersio n

P rodu ct Ma rkup


Tabl e


Eco nomic Targ et

Op eratio n Ra te

C rudeInve ntory at






Inv entor y Bas ed


Ef fect o f Lab or





Aver age T arget

Oper ation Rate







Crud e Inv entory



Time






Re finery


Far ms

M axim um C rude




Tan k Far ms






Tan k Fa rms


Del ivery








Rate

Aver age T arget

Crud e Tra nsfer


R ate


Tran sfer R ate

Cru de Tr ansfer







T ransf er Ra te







PADs



Crud e Imp orts


Tim e to Acqu ire




Cru deBuy e r

Se ctor F uel

P riorit y


Distr icts






Dist ricts














for O ther PAD s

Crud e Cle aring

P riority

Dom estic Crude

Im port R ate

Pote ntial



<T IME STEP >


Ou tstand ing








Unit Crude >

Trend in S pot

Fue l Pric e

Time to Inc rease

Retail Fuel Price



Thr ough Fuel Price

Tim e to Chan ge

Fuel P rice


Pu rchas es fro m

D istrib utors








I nitial T rend in

Spot Price

EIA Refin ing C apac ityas of Ja nuary 200 3

H oursP erDa y





Tot al Su pply t o

Distr ict


Supp ly of Diese l



Tabl e




Pric e


Tim e to C hang e


Refin er Pr oduct



Tr ansfe r


Ra te

F oreig n Fu elPr ice

Pu rchas e Rat e of

Imp orts


by M ode a nd PA D


P rodu cts





R efined




Pi peline






Im port C apac ity



Max imum Del ivera bilityof Dom estic Cru dePro duct ion


Pr oduct ion

Max imum Cru deTr ansfe r Ra te to Othe r

PAD s

Maxi mum Prod uct T rans ferCa paci ty by Pipel ine t oD istri ct Di stribu tion







Outa ge

Effe ct of Powe r



<TIM E ST EP>

M axim um F oreig nF uel I mpor t Rat e


<S pot F uel S ales

Pr ice>

< Fuel Clear ing

Pr ice>


p er Da y>



Natural Gas


M ax imum Na tura lGas Sal es R ate

T otal Des ired Nat uralG as S ales to E nd U sers


N atu ral G as inUnd ergro und Sto rage


N omi nal I njec tionC apa city to N atur al G asS tora ge

Eff ect o f Po wer Ava ilab ility o nNatu ral G as Tran sfer Cap acity toUn derg roun d S torag e

Natu ral G as inTra nsm issio n Sy stem


T rans ferin g Na tura lGas to S tora ge

D esi red N atu ralG as Acq uisiti onRat e

Cu rren t Ra te ofD ome stic GasProd ucti on

C urre nt N G Tr ansf erC apa city to O ther

N GRe gion s

NG Tr ansf er R ate t oO the r NG Reg ions

T otal NG Tran sfer Rat eto Oth er D istric ts


T ime to Fo rm Ave rageTa rget NG Tran sfer Rat e

Av erag e Ta rgetNG Tran sfer Rate Cha ngin g A vera ge


To tal T arge t NGT rans fer R ate


Ma ximu m N atur al G asTra nsfe r Ra te to Oth er

D istr icts

Serv icea ble Frac tion ofT otal Tar get N G T rans ferRat e


Des ired NG Acq uisit ionR ate from Ot herNG Re gion s

To tal N G I mpo rtCap acity fro m O ther

NG Reg ions

R equ este d NG Im port sF rom Oth er N GRe gion s

O rde r Ra te fo rFore ign NG Impo rtsFo reign Na tural Gas

Imp ort Rate


Tim e to Acq uire Tran sfer sNG fro m O ther Dist ricts


S ecto r Na tura l Ga sPrio rity

Na tural Gas Pur chas ePr iorit y fro m O therD istr icts

Na tura l Ga s Sa lesPr iority for Oth er

NG Regi ons


Pote ntia lM ark et fo rN GA cqu isitio n

C han ge in Ma rket forN G A cqui sitio n

Tim e to Cha nge Ma rketf or N G A cqu isitio n

<TIM E STE P>

Cu rrent For eign NGIm po rt Ca pac ity

Ou tsta ndin gO rder s forFo reig n NG

Impo rtsIn crea sing Bac klog of

Fore ign N G Orde rsDec reas ing B ack log o fFo reign NG Or ders


End - use rDe ma nd

Gen erat ors D esir edN atu ral G as P urch ase

R ate


Tot al De sire dN atur al G as S ales

Co nsum ingNat ural Gas

Wo rkin g Ga s Re lativ e toW orki ng G as C apa city


M axi mum Na turalG as D eliv ery Rate

Ma ximu m G ener atorSa les R ate


Tota l Na tura l Ga sS ales to E nd User s

An nual Ave rage Ne tAqu isitio n Ra te

One Yea r

Deliv erab ility fromN atur al G as S tora ge


Out stand ingOrd ers forNG Imp ortsNG Im ports fro m

Oth er N GR egio nsD ome stic Nat uralG as I mpo rt R ate

< Tim e>

Av erag e G asD em and


T ota l NG Pur chas esfrom Oth er R egio ns

Tot al Sa les toOth er R egio ns

Sto rag e W ithdr awa lsR equ ired to S erveD em and

<Ac quis ition Co rrect ionfor S tora ge A vai labili ty>

<Ad ditio nal Acq uisiti on toC ove r for Imm edia teS hor tfalls >

<Z: Tim e Un itsP er D ay>



< Effec t of SCA DA onNG Pi pelin e Ca pac ity><M axi mum Ca paci ty ofG ather ing N etw ork forD ome stic Prod uctio n>

<N omin al R ate o fD ome stic GasP rod uctio n>

< Effe ct o f SC AD A onN G P ipel ine C apa city >

<M axim um NG Tran sferRa te to Ot herN GRe gion s>



<Ef fect of SC AD A o nNG Pipe line Cap acity > < Ma ximu m In tern al N G


E xpe cted Na tura lG as P ric e

In itial Am oun t ofNa tura l Ga s St ored

Na tura l Ga sWho lesa le P riceAd just ing N atur al G as

Wh olesa le P rice


< Na tural GasC leari ng P rice >


Ef fect of S tored Ga so n Pr ice F unc tion<W orki ng G as R elati ve toWo rkin g Ga s C apac ity>

Nom ina l Na turalG as P rice

< Regi onal GasP rice>

D esired Fuel

Pu rchas e Rat e

Fue l


Rate


Ma ximum Sale s

Rat e









Per ceive Shor tage



Fue l Cov erage

P erceiv ed

D ema ndRate



Rate




Tab le

Perc eived


Pr ice


F uel P rice

Spo t Fue l Price

Ti me to Chan ge


Fuel Retai lMar kup

F uel R etail Price

Fue l Pur chaseRate

D istribu tor

Inve ntory Defic it

Total Dem and in

D istric t

Di stribu tor

Acqu isition Rate

No mina l Dis tribu torFuel Cove rage

Dis tr ibu to r /Ret ai ler

Ref in er


P urcha se Ra te



Expec ted

Pro ductio n Tim e


Sa les Ra te

T otal Desire d



Perc eived



Rate


C urren t Ref inery



Other Distr icts

Re finer P rodu ct

Inv entory Defi cit

Re finer Desire d

Pro ducti on Ra te

R efiner y

Produ ction Rate

No mina l Refin er


Maxi mum Refini ng

C apac ity


Un it Cru de

Add itiona l Yield

from Add itives

A dditiv e

Av ailabi lity

Curre nt Pro duct

Yield



Vari able U nit

C osts



Cru de P riceKG allon sPerB arrel

Oper ation Rate for

Perce ived Dema nd

Min imum Refi nery




Re finery Cap acity

Da mage Indic ator

Time Conv ersio n

P rodu ct Ma rkup


Tabl e


Eco nomic Targ et

Op eratio n Ra te

C rudeInve ntory at






Inv entor y Bas ed


Ef fect o f Lab or





Aver age T arget

Oper ation Rate







Crud e Inv entory



Time






Re finery


Far ms

M axim um C rude




Tan k Far ms






Tan k Fa rms


Del ivery








Rate

Aver age T arget

Crud e Tra nsfer


R ate


Tran sfer R ate

Cru de Tr ansfer







T ransf er Ra te







PADs



Crud e Imp orts


Tim e to Acqu ire




Cru deBuy e r

Se ctor F uel

P riorit y


Distr icts






Dist ricts














for O ther PAD s

Crud e Cle aring

P riority

Dom estic Crude

Im port R ate

Pote ntial



<T IME STEP >


Ou tstand ing








Unit Crude >

Trend in S pot

Fue l Pric e

Time to Inc rease

Retail Fuel Price



Thr ough Fuel Price

Tim e to Chan ge

Fuel P rice


Pu rchas es fro m

D istrib utors








I nitial T rend in

Spot Price

EIA Refin ing C apac ityas of Ja nuary 200 3

H oursP erDa y





Tot al Su pply t o

Distr ict


Supp ly of Diese l



Tabl e




Pric e


Tim e to C hang e


Refin er Pr oduct



Tr ansfe r


Ra te

F oreig n Fu elPr ice

Pu rchas e Rat e of

Imp orts


by M ode a nd PA D


P rodu cts





R efined




Pi peline






Im port C apac ity



Max imum Del ivera bilityof Dom estic Cru dePro duct ion


Pr oduct ion

Max imum Cru deTr ansfe r Ra te to Othe r

PAD s

Maxi mum Prod uct T rans ferCa paci ty by Pipel ine t oD istri ct Di stribu tion







Outa ge

Effe ct of Powe r



<TIM E ST EP>

M axim um F oreig nF uel I mpor t Rat e


<S pot F uel S ales

Pr ice>

< Fuel Clear ing

Pr ice>


p er Da y>



Natural Gas

TransportationWa te rwa y P o wer Ava ila b ilit y

Ef fec t of P owe r Av ai lab ili ty on Av ai lab le Wa te rway Ca pa ci ty

Tes t La bo r Av ai lab il ity

Ef fe ct of Lab o r Av ail ab ili ty on Av ail ab le Wa te r Tra ns p or tat io n Ca p ac ity


W ate rwa y Cap ac ity Da mag e I nd ic at or

Ma ximu m Wa te rway Ca pa ci ty

Av ai lab le Wa te rwa y Ca p ac ity


Effe ct o f F u el Ava ila bi lity o n Ava ila bl e W ate rwa y Cap ac ity

Av era g e Tr av el Dist an ceF re ig ht Awa it ing



Rate

F re ig ht Tran s po rtRa te


Ca p ac ity

Utili za tio n ofS to ra ge


Rai l Tab le


Ra il

P o we r Ava ila bi lity b yNERC Re gi on



Ra te of F re ig ht Mov in gto Rai l Tra ns p or t

Wa te rwayF re igh tArri vin g

Wat er wa y tr an sp or tpr op o rti on

W ate rwa y re lat ivepe rf or ma n ce


Rat e

Re fin e d Pr od uc tsW ate rwa y Fr ei gh tArri va l Ra te









Ra il Tr an sp or t








R o ad




Av a ilab il ity >





T ra ns po rt >





T ra nsp o rt>



< Ti me >


Rail

















P er fo rman ce






< Time >

Ro ad Effe ct o f P owe r Av ail ab ilit y on Ava ila bl e Air Cap ac ityEffe ct o f Lab or Ava ila b ility o n Ava ilab le Air Tr an sp or ta tio n Ca pa c ity

Ag gr eg at e Eff ec ts on Ava ila bl e Air Cap a cit y

Air Cap ac ity Dama ge In d ica to r

Ma ximu m Air F r eig ht Cap ac ity

Av ail ab le Air Fr eig ht Cap ac ity

Ef fec t of Fu el Ava ila bi lity o n Av ai lab le Air Ca p ac ity

F rei gh t Awai tin gAi r Tra ns po rt

Air Fr eig ht Arr iva lRate

Ai r F re ig htTr an sp or t Rat e

Air F rei gh tSt or ag e Ca pa ci ty

Ra te of F rei gh t Mo vi ng to Roa dTra ns po rt fr om Air

Utili za tio n o f Ai rF re igh t S to ra ge

Effe ct o f S to ra ge Utili za tio no n Di ve rs ion to Ro ad fr om

Air Ta b le

Effe ct of S to rag eUtil iza tio n on Div ers io n t o

Ro ad fr om Ai r

Ai r F ue lAva ila bi lity

F ra ct ion o f AirF re igh t Div er te d

< Test Lab orAv aila b ilit y>

< Fu el Ava ila bi lityb y PADD>



P as se ng er sAwa iti ng AirTra ns po rt

Air P as se ng erTra ns po rt Ra te

Air P as se ng erArri va l Rat e

Ava ila ble AirP a sse ng er Cap a cit y

Max imum Ai rP a ss en ge r Ca pa cit y

Ma il Awai tin gAir Tr an sp or t

Air MailTr an sp or t Rat e

Air M ailArri va l Rat e

Av ail ab le Air Ma ilCa pa ci ty

Ma ximu m Air Ma ilCa pa cit y

Air P as se ng er s inTr an sit to S ta tes

AirP as se ng er s

Arriv in g

Ai r P as se ng erDist rib ut ion Ra te

AirP as se ng erP ro po rt ion

AirTr an sp or t Time

Air Mail in Tra nsi t t o S ta te s

Air Fr eig h t in Tra ns it t oSt at es

Air M ailArri vin g

Air F re igh tArr ivi ng

Air Mail Dist rib ut ion Ra te


Air Fr eig htDi str ib uti on Rat e

Air Fr eig h t P ro po rt ion

Ef fe ct of Te le co mmu ni ca tio nsAva ila b ility o n Ava ilab le Air

Tra nsp o rta tio n Cap ac ity

Re la tiv e Ai r P as se ng erTr an sp or t P er fo rman ce

Rel ati ve Air MailTr an sp or t P e rfo rman ce

Re la tiv e Air F re igh tTr an sp or t P e rfo rma nc eAir

Wa te rwa y P o wer Ava ila b ilit y

Ef fec t of P owe r Av ai lab ili ty on Av ai lab le Wa te rway Ca pa ci ty

Tes t La bo r Av ai lab il ity

Ef fe ct of Lab o r Av ail ab ili ty on Av ail ab le Wa te r Tra ns p or tat io n Ca p ac ity


W ate rwa y Cap ac ity Da mag e I nd ic at or

Ma ximu m Wa te rway Ca pa ci ty

Av ai lab le Wa te rwa y Ca p ac ity


Effe ct o f F u el Ava ila bi lity o n Ava ila bl e W ate rwa y Cap ac ity

Av era g e Tr av el Dist an ceF re ig ht Awa it ing



Rate

F re ig ht Tran s po rtRa te


Ca p ac ity

Utili za tio n ofS to ra ge


Rai l Tab le


Ra il

P o we r Ava ila bi lity b yNERC Re gi on



Ra te of F re ig ht Mov in gto Rai l Tra ns p or t

Wa te rwayF re igh tArri vin g

Wat er wa y tr an sp or tpr op o rti on

W ate rwa y re lat ivepe rf or ma n ce


Rat e

Re fin e d Pr od uc tsW ate rwa y Fr ei gh tArri va l Ra te









Ra il Tr an sp or t








R o ad




Av a ilab il ity >





T ra ns po rt >





T ra nsp o rt>



< Ti me >


Rail

















P er fo rman ce






< Time >

Ro ad

















P er fo rman ce






< Time >

Ro ad Effe ct o f P owe r Av ail ab ilit y on Ava ila bl e Air Cap ac ityEffe ct o f Lab or Ava ila b ility o n Ava ilab le Air Tr an sp or ta tio n Ca pa c ity













Air Ta b le


Ro ad fr om Ai r

















AirP as se ng er s

Arriv in g






Air M ailArri vin g











Effe ct o f P owe r Av ail ab ilit y on Ava ila bl e Air Cap ac ityEffe ct o f Lab or Ava ila b ility o n Ava ilab le Air Tr an sp or ta tio n Ca pa c ity













Air Ta b le


Ro ad fr om Ai r

















AirP as se ng er s

Arriv in g






Air M ailArri vin g











Info & CommunicationsIca : To tal Att em pted

Co nne ctio ns 0

Ica : A dmi tted



Wa itin g 0



0


Ic a: T ot al

Rea tte mpt s 0

Ica : Bu sy



W aitin g 0



0


Ca ll R ate 0


S wit ch Blo ck 0


Wa itin g 0



Ca ll R ate 0


T run k B loc k 0


A ban don Ra te 0


Pr oba bilit y 0



A ban don Ra te 0


I ca: Tru nk

Per for man ce 0


Loa d 0

Ica : B usy Ca ll

A ba ndo n R ate 0

I ca: Sw itch

C ap aci ty 0



On Ov erh ead 0

I ca: Eff ecti ve



At Sw itch es 0

Ica: Ov erh ead

Sa tura tion 0


Ic a: T ru nk

C apa city 0





Da mag ed >

Ica : Re fer enc e



C apa cit y 0

<Ir e: R ep air

C ur ve>


D em and 0




R efe ren ce


D ema nd 0

C urre nt Tot al

P opu lati on 0

<c all dem an d

m ult ipli er>

lon g di stan ce


lon g d ista nce

d am age


in s erv ice

L ong Distan ce

I ca: T ota l




W aiti ng




Ica : To tal

Rea ttem pts

Ic a: B usy

Reat tem pt R ate


Wai ting




Ca ll R ate

Ica: Rea ttem pt



W aitin g


Ica: Tru nk B loc k

Cal l Rat e

Ic a: R eatt emp t

Ra te Tr unk Blo ck





A ban don Rat e


I ca: Trun k

P erfor man ce

Ica : Re lative

Tru nk L oad


I ca: S wit ch

Cap acit y


I ca: S witc h






Ic a: T runk

C apa city

Phone Ca ll Mo de l

<Ire : Fr actio n

S witc h Da mag ed>






I ca: Refe renc e

T runk Ca pac ity

< Ire : Rep air

Cu rve >





Re fere nce


D em and

C urre nt To tal

P opu latio n

< call dem and

mu ltiplie r>


pro bab ility

c alls in se rvic e

Lo cal

In te rn e tAva il ab ili ty





<F ra ct ion EPAv ail ab le>

< Ire : Rep a irCur ve >


< loc al ca llco mpl eti onpr ob ab ilit y>




te l: Ba ck u p P o we rAv a ila b ili ty

te l: F ue l fo r Ba ck u p P o we rt el : F u e l Re s up p ly

Ra tete l : F u e l


< fra c ti on h wyc ap a c ity a v a ila b le >

< F r a ct io n EPAv a ila b le >

< F ra c ti on di es e lAv ai la bl e>

t el : F u e l Tr ig g erLe v e l


Fue l Ra t e





Ica : To tal Att em pted

Co nne ctio ns 0

Ica : A dmi tted



Wa itin g 0



0


Ic a: T ot al

Rea tte mpt s 0

Ica : Bu sy



W aitin g 0



0


Ca ll R ate 0


S wit ch Blo ck 0


Wa itin g 0



Ca ll R ate 0


T run k B loc k 0


A ban don Ra te 0


Pr oba bilit y 0



A ban don Ra te 0


I ca: Tru nk

Per for man ce 0


Loa d 0

Ica : B usy Ca ll

A ba ndo n R ate 0

I ca: Sw itch

C ap aci ty 0



On Ov erh ead 0

I ca: Eff ecti ve



At Sw itch es 0

Ica: Ov erh ead

Sa tura tion 0


Ic a: T ru nk

C apa city 0





Da mag ed >

Ica : Re fer enc e



C apa cit y 0

<Ir e: R ep air

C ur ve>


D em and 0




R efe ren ce


D ema nd 0

C urre nt Tot al

P opu lati on 0

<c all dem an d

m ult ipli er>

lon g di stan ce


lon g d ista nce

d am age


in s erv ice

L ong Distan ce

I ca: T ota l




W aiti ng




Ica : To tal

Rea ttem pts

Ic a: B usy

Reat tem pt R ate


Wai ting




Ca ll R ate

Ica: Rea ttem pt



W aitin g


Ica: Tru nk B loc k

Cal l Rat e

Ic a: R eatt emp t

Ra te Tr unk Blo ck





A ban don Rat e


I ca: Trun k

P erfor man ce

Ica : Re lative

Tru nk L oad


I ca: S wit ch

Cap acit y


I ca: S witc h






Ic a: T runk

C apa city

Phone Ca ll Mo de l

<Ire : Fr actio n

S witc h Da mag ed>






I ca: Refe renc e

T runk Ca pac ity

< Ire : Rep air

Cu rve >





Re fere nce


D em and

C urre nt To tal

P opu latio n

< call dem and

mu ltiplie r>


pro bab ility

c alls in se rvic e

Lo cal

In te rn e tAva il ab ili ty





<F ra ct ion EPAv ail ab le>

< Ire : Rep a irCur ve >


< loc al ca llco mpl eti onpr ob ab ilit y>




te l: Ba ck u p P o we rAv a ila b ili ty

te l: F ue l fo r Ba ck u p P o we rt el : F u e l Re s up p ly

Ra tete l : F u e l


< fra c ti on h wyc ap a c ity a v a ila b le >

< F r a ct io n EPAv a ila b le >

< F ra c ti on di es e lAv ai la bl e>

t el : F u e l Tr ig g erLe v e l


Fue l Ra t e





Water & Wastewater

Tr ea te dWa te r

Wa te r Tr ea t men t Wa te r Dist ri bu ti on

Se wa geHol di ngP o n d

Re tu rn F lo w Ra te t oS e wag e Ho ld in g

Se wa ge t oTr e at men t

La b or Av ai la bi lit y

Ch lo ri neAv a ila b ili ty

Pu mp in gWa te r Dema n d

S at is fa ct io n ofWa te r De ma nd

Tre at e d Wa te rS to r ag e Ca pa c ity

De si re d Tre at ed Wa te rSt or a ge Ut iliz a tio n

Time t o Ad ju st Tre a te dWa te r S to ra ge

Tre at e d Wa te rS to ra g e Def ic it

M ax imu m W at erTr ea tm en t Cap a ci ty

Av ai la bl e Wa te rTre a tme nt Ca p ac ity

W at er Tre a tme ntF a c ilit y S ta tu s In di ca to r

Tar ge t Tre at me ntCa p ac it y

S e wa ge H ol d in gCa pa c it y

Re tu rn F lo w Ra te

To ta lSe wa ge

Ov e rfl owOv er flo w Ra te

P e rc e nt o f W at erRe tu r ne d fo r Tre a tme nt

Mi n imu m S ewa g eH ol d in g Time

< Lab o rAv a ila b ili ty >

S e wa ge Tr ea t men tCa p ac i ty

Se wa ge Be in gTr ea te d Tr e at ed S e wa ge

Dis c ha rg e Ra te

Ma xi mum S ewa g eTre at men t Rat e

Time t o Tre a tSe wa g e

No min a l Tr ea tme n tDi sc h ar ge Ra te

S u pp le me nt ar yIn d u str ia l F l ow

Av ai la bl e Se wa geTr ea tm en t Cap a ci ty

Ma x imu m S e wa geTre a tme n t Vo l um e

Vo lu me Limit ed Se wa geTr ea tm en t Cap a ci ty

F ra c tio n o f Se wa geUnt re a te d

Ma x imu m S ewa g eAc c ep ta n ce Ra te

Re s id en ti al De sir e dW at er Ac q ui sit io n Rat e

Comme rc ia l Des ir edWa te r Acq u is itio n Ra te

In d us tr y Des ir ed W a te rAc qu is iti on Ra te

Go v er nme n t De s ire dWa te r Ac q ui si tio n Ra te

Ma x imu mPu mp i ng C ap a ci ty

In du s try Re la ti veAv a ila b ili ty o f P o we r



Effe c t o f S CADA o nP ump in g Ca pa c ity Ta b le

Ef fe ct o f SCAD A o nP u mp in g Cap a ci ty

In d us tr y Rel at iv eP e rfo r man c e

Mi ni mum Cov e ra gef o r Tr ea te d W at er

Max imu m Av a ila b ili tyof Tre a te d Wa te r

Av a ila b ilit y o f Bu si ne s sCo mmu nic a tio n s

Use o f Pr iv at e S ys y emsfo r Wa te r SCADA

Ef fe ct o fCo mmu ni ca tio n s o n

W at er S CADA

Co mmu ni ca ti on sAv ail ab il ity Du ri ng W at er

In te rr up ti on

Wa te r In te r ru pt io nDu ra tio n

W at er I nt er ru p tio nSt ar t Ti me

< Time>

Res id e nt ial Wa t erAc qu is it io n Rat e

Co mmer ci al Wa te rAcq u isi tio n Ra te

Go ve rn me nt Wa te rAcq u isi tio n Ra te

I nd u st ry W at erAc qu is iti on Ra te

Government Sector










<T IME S TEP >










Sh orta ge





















W ate r








<TIM E ST EP >




Ta ble


Co ver age




S ho rtag e























<T IM E S TEP >



<TIM E ST EP >




<Ti me >











< TIM E ST EP>






















Ra te


R ate









P urc has es



< TIM E ST EP>




P urc has es












R ate














Ho urs PerD ay
















C om me rcia l Ma xim umM otor Fu el


C om mer cialD esir ed F ue lC on sum ptio n R ate C om mer cialRe lativ e

A vai labi lity of F uel


Com me rcia l To tal

P ow er A va ilab ility

C omm er cial

Rel ativ eSho rtfa ll in Tot al

Po wer

Com me rcia l Re lati ve

Ava ilab ility of P ow er


Co mm erci al D esir edWa ter Con sum pti on

Ra te

Co mm erc ial M ax imu m

N atu ral GasC on sum ptio n R ate

C om mer cial De sire dN atu ral Gas

Con sum ptio n R ate

Com me rcia l

R elat iveP erf orm anc e

C om mer cial Rel ativ e

A vai labi lity o f W ate r

Co mm erc ial R ela tive

Av aila bility of Na tura l

G as

Co mm erc ial I nter nal

Act ivity if U ns tora ble

Inp uts are Av ailab le

Co mm erci alI nter nal

A ctiv ity

Co mm erci al

A ctivi ty E ffec t onDe man d fo r

Un sto rabl e In put s

T ime for Co mm erc ial

Ac tivit y to Aff ect Dem an d

f or U nst ora ble Inpu ts

Adj ustin g C om mer cial

Ac tivit y E ffec t on De man d


A ppa ren t

Co mm erc ial

Per form an ce

Adj usti ng A pp aren t

Com me rcia lPerf orm anc e

Ti me for

C om mer cial toIn flue nce Its elf

F rac tion ofC om mer cial

D epe nde nt o n It self

R elat ive Imp act ofC om mer cial Per form an ce

on Itse lf

Re lati ve P erfo rm anc e

of I npu t Se cto rs

Fra ctio n of Co mm erc ialD epe nde nt o n In put

Se ctor s


Co mm erc ial E ffe ct o f

Infr astr uctu re S tat us o nP urc has ing

A vail abil ity o fBu sine ss

Co mm unic atio ns

Co mm erc ial E ffec t

of C om mu nica tion s

on Inte rnal Ac tivit y

C omm erc ial Effe ct o f

C omm un icat ions on Inte rna l

A ctivi ty T abl e

<A vai labi lity of R eta il

P aym ent Sys tem by

Sta te>










<T IME S TEP >










Sh orta ge





























<T IME S TEP >










Sh orta ge





















W ate r








<TIM E ST EP >




Ta ble


Co ver age




S ho rtag e













Fr acti on o f


W ate r








<TIM E ST EP >




Ta ble


Co ver age




S ho rtag e























<T IM E S TEP >



<TIM E ST EP >




<Ti me >











< TIM E ST EP>






C om me rci al T ime to

C om me rcia l w ithB at tery Ba cku p










<T IM E S TEP >



<TIM E ST EP >




<Ti me >











< TIM E ST EP>






















Ra te


R ate









P urc has es



< TIM E ST EP>




P urc has es



P erc eive N atur al G asSh orta ge
















Ra te


R ate









P urc has es



< TIM E ST EP>




P urc has es












R ate














Ho urs PerD ay
















C om me rcia l Ma xim umM otor Fu el


C om mer cialD esir ed F ue lC on sum ptio n R ate C om mer cialRe lativ e

A vai labi lity of F uel


Com me rcia l To tal


C omm er cial

Rel ativ eSho rtfa ll in Tot al

Po wer

Com me rcia l Re lati ve

Ava ilab ility of P ow er


Co mm erci al D esir edWa ter Con sum pti on

Ra te


N atu ral GasC on sum ptio n R ate

C om mer cial De sire dN atu ral Gas

Con sum ptio n R ate

Com me rcia l

R elat iveP erf orm anc e


A vai labi lity o f W ate r


Av aila bility of Na tura l

G as

Co mm erc ial I nter nal

Act ivity if U ns tora ble


Co mm erci alI nter nal

A ctiv ity

Co mm erci al

A ctivi ty E ffec t onDe man d fo r

Un sto rabl e In put s


Ac tivit y to Aff ect Dem an d

f or U nst ora ble Inpu ts

Adj ustin g C om mer cial

Ac tivit y E ffec t on De man d


A ppa ren t

Co mm erc ial

Per form an ce

Adj usti ng A pp aren t

Com me rcia lPerf orm anc e

Ti me for

C om mer cial toIn flue nce Its elf

F rac tion ofC om mer cial

D epe nde nt o n It self


on Itse lf

Re lati ve P erfo rm anc e


Fra ctio n of Co mm erc ialD epe nde nt o n In put

Se ctor s


Co mm erc ial E ffe ct o f

Infr astr uctu re S tat us o nP urc has ing


Co mm unic atio ns

Co mm erc ial E ffec t



C omm erc ial Effe ct o f

C omm un icat ions on Inte rna l

A ctivi ty T abl e

<A vai labi lity of R eta il

P aym ent Sys tem by

Sta te>


Fu el









< TIM E S TE P>







F uel Sho rtag e























Wa ter








<T IM E S TEP >






Wa terS ho rtag e



Sh orta ge
























< TIM E STE P>



<T IM E S TEP >




<T im e>











<T IME S TEP >















R ate









R ate






R ate




Pur cha ses



<T IME S TEP >




Pur cha ses









<TI ME ST EP >





Ra te














H our sPe rDa y















Co mm erci al M axi mumM oto r F uel

C on sum ptio n R ate

Com me rcia lDes ired Fu el

Co nsum pt ion Rate

Com me rcia lR elat ive

Av ailab ility of Fue l

Co mm erci al D esir edPow er Co nsum pti on

Ra te

Co mm erc ial T ota l


C om me rcia l

R elat ive



Av aila bilit y of Po wer

C omm erc ial Max imu mW at er C ons um ptio n

Rate

C omm erc ial Des ired

W ate r Co nsu mp tionR ate

C om mer cial Ma xim um

Na tura l Ga sCo nsu mpt ion Rat e

Co mm erci al D esir edNa tura l G as


Co mm erc ial

R ela tivePe rfor man ce

Com me rcia l R elat ive

Ava ilab ility of Wa ter

C om me rcia l Re lativ eA vail abil ity o f N atur al

Gas

C om mer cial Inte rna l

A ctivi ty if Un stor able

In put s ar e A vail able

C omm erc ial

Inte rna lAct ivity

C omm er cial

A cti vity Effe ct o n


Tim e f or C om mer cial

A ctiv ity t o A ffec t D ema nd


Ad jus ting Co mm erci alA ctiv ity Effe ct o n D em and

fo r Un sto rab le In put s

App are nt

C om mer cial

Pe rfo rma nce

Ad jus ting Ap par ent

Co mm erc ialPe rfor man ce

T ime for

Com me rcia l toInflu enc e It self

Fra ctio n o f

Com me rcia lDep end ent on Itse lf

Rel ative Im pac t ofCom me rcia l P erfo rma nce

on Its elf

R ela tive Per form an ce

of Inp ut S ect ors

Fr acti on o f C om mer cialDep end ent on Inpu t

S ecto rs

Rel ativ e Im pac t o f Inp ut

Se ctor s on Co mm erc ial

C om mer cial Eff ect of

In fras truc ture Sta tus on

Pur cha sing

Ava ilab ility ofB usin ess

C om mun icat ions

C om mer cial Effe ct

of Co mm unic atio ns

on In tern al A ctiv ity

C om me rcia l Ef fect ofC om mu nica tion s o n In tern al

A cti vity Tab le

< Av ailab ility of Ret ail

P ay men t Sy ste m b y

S tate >


Fu el









< TIM E S TE P>







F uel Sho rtag e























Fu el









< TIM E S TE P>







F uel Sho rtag e























Wa ter








<T IM E S TEP >






Wa terS ho rtag e



Sh orta ge














F rac tion of


Wa ter








<T IM E S TEP >






Wa terS ho rtag e



Sh orta ge
























< TIM E STE P>



<T IM E S TEP >




<T im e>











<T IME S TEP >






Co mm erc ial Tim e to

Co mm erc ial w ithBa tter y B ack up










< TIM E STE P>



<T IM E S TEP >




<T im e>











<T IME S TEP >















R ate









R ate






R ate




Pur cha ses



<T IME S TEP >




Pur cha ses




Per ceiv e N atu ral Ga sS hor tage









R ate









R ate






R ate




Pur cha ses



<T IME S TEP >




Pur cha ses









<TI ME ST EP >





Ra te














H our sPe rDa y















Co mm erci al M axi mumM oto r F uel


Com me rcia lDes ired Fu el

Co nsum pt ion Rate

Com me rcia lR elat ive

Av ailab ility of Fue l

Co mm erci al D esir edPow er Co nsum pti on

Ra te

Co mm erc ial T ota l


C om me rcia l

R elat ive



Av aila bilit y of Po wer

C omm erc ial Max imu mW at er C ons um ptio n

Rate

C omm erc ial Des ired

W ate r Co nsu mp tionR ate

C om mer cial Ma xim um

Na tura l Ga sCo nsu mpt ion Rat e

Co mm erci al D esir edNa tura l G as


Co mm erc ial

R ela tivePe rfor man ce

Com me rcia l R elat ive

Ava ilab ility of Wa ter

C om me rcia l Re lativ eA vail abil ity o f N atur al

Gas

C om mer cial Inte rna l

A ctivi ty if Un stor able

In put s ar e A vail able

C omm erc ial

Inte rna lAct ivity

C omm er cial

A cti vity Effe ct o n


Tim e f or C om mer cial

A ctiv ity t o A ffec t D ema nd


Ad jus ting Co mm erci alA ctiv ity Effe ct o n D em and

fo r Un sto rab le In put s

App are nt

C om mer cial

Pe rfo rma nce

Ad jus ting Ap par ent

Co mm erc ialPe rfor man ce

T ime for

Com me rcia l toInflu enc e It self

Fra ctio n o f

Com me rcia lDep end ent on Itse lf

Rel ative Im pac t ofCom me rcia l P erfo rma nce

on Its elf

R ela tive Per form an ce

of Inp ut S ect ors

Fr acti on o f C om mer cialDep end ent on Inpu t

S ecto rs

Rel ativ e Im pac t o f Inp ut

Se ctor s on Co mm erc ial

C om mer cial Eff ect of

In fras truc ture Sta tus on

Pur cha sing

Ava ilab ility ofB usin ess

C om mun icat ions

C om mer cial Effe ct

of Co mm unic atio ns

on In tern al A ctiv ity

C om me rcia l Ef fect ofC om mu nica tion s o n In tern al

A cti vity Tab le

< Av ailab ility of Ret ail

P ay men t Sy ste m b y

S tate >

Industrial Sector

Commercial Sector


Fue l









<TI ME ST EP >









Sho rta ge





















W ate r








<TIM E ST EP>








S hor tag e
























<T IM E S TEP >



<TIM E ST EP>




<Ti me>











< TIM E STE P>













Rat e









R ate






Rat e




P urc has es



< TIM E STE P>




P urc has es








< TIM E S TE P>





R ate















Ho urs PerD ay
















C om mer cial Ma xim umMo tor Fu el


C om mer cialD esir ed F uel


C om mer cialRel ativ e

A vai labi lity o f F uel

C om mer cial De siredP owe r C ons ump tio n

R ate

C om me rcia l To tal


C omm erc ialRel ativ e

S ho rtfal l in Tot alPo wer

C om me rcia l Re lati ve

A va ilab ility of P ow er

Com me rcia l M axi mumW ater Co nsu mp tion

R ate

Com me rcia l D esir ed

Wa ter Con sum ptio nRa te


N atu ral G asC on sum ptio n R ate

C om mer cial De siredN atu ral Gas


C om me rcia l

Re lati veP erfo rm anc e


A vail abil ity o f W ate r

Co mm erc ial R ela tiveAv ailab ility of Nat ura l

G as

Co mm erci al In tern al

Act ivity if U nst ora ble


Com me rcia l

In tern alA ctiv ity

Co mm erci al

Ac tivi ty E ffec t on



Ac tivity to Aff ect Dem an d

f or U nst orab le I npu ts

A dj ustin g C om mer cial

Ac tivit y E ffec t on De man dfor Uns tora ble Inp uts

A ppa ren t

Co mm erci al

Per form anc e

Adj ustin g A pp aren t

Com me rcia lP erf orm anc e

Ti me for

C omm er cial toIn flue nce Itse lf

F rac tion of

C omm er cialD epe nde nt o n It self


on I tsel f

Re lativ e P erfo rm ance


Fra ctio n of Co mm erc ial

D epe nde nt o n In putSe ctor s

R ela tive Imp act of I npu t

S ect ors on Com me rcia l

Co mm erc ial E ffec t of

Infr astr uctu re S tat us o n

P urc hasi ng


Co mm unic atio ns

Co mm erci al E ffec t



Co mm erc ial E ffe ct o fC omm un icati ons on Inte rna l

Ac tivi ty T able

<A vai labil ity o f R etai l


Sta te>


Fue l









<TI ME ST EP >









Sho rta ge





















Fue l









<TI ME ST EP >









Sho rta ge





















W ate r








<TIM E ST EP>








S hor tag e














Fra cti on o f


W ate r








<TIM E ST EP>








S hor tag e
























<T IM E S TEP >



<TIM E ST EP>




<Ti me>











< TIM E STE P>





C om me rcia l T ime to

C om me rcia l w ithB att ery Ba cku p










<T IM E S TEP >



<TIM E ST EP>




<Ti me>











< TIM E STE P>













Rat e









R ate






Rat e




P urc has es



< TIM E STE P>




P urc has es



P erce ive Na tur al G asSh orta ge








Rat e









R ate






Rat e




P urc has es



< TIM E STE P>




P urc has es








< TIM E S TE P>





R ate















Ho urs PerD ay
















C om mer cial Ma xim umMo tor Fu el


C om mer cialD esir ed F uel


C om mer cialRel ativ e

A vai labi lity o f F uel

C om mer cial De siredP owe r C ons ump tio n

R ate

C om me rcia l To tal


C omm erc ialRel ativ e

S ho rtfal l in Tot alPo wer

C om me rcia l Re lati ve

A va ilab ility of P ow er

Com me rcia l M axi mumW ater Co nsu mp tion

R ate

Com me rcia l D esir ed

Wa ter Con sum ptio nRa te


N atu ral G asC on sum ptio n R ate

C om mer cial De siredN atu ral Gas


C om me rcia l

Re lati veP erfo rm anc e


A vail abil ity o f W ate r

Co mm erc ial R ela tiveAv ailab ility of Nat ura l

G as

Co mm erci al In tern al

Act ivity if U nst ora ble


Com me rcia l

In tern alA ctiv ity

Co mm erci al

Ac tivi ty E ffec t on



Ac tivity to Aff ect Dem an d

f or U nst orab le I npu ts

A dj ustin g C om mer cial

Ac tivit y E ffec t on De man dfor Uns tora ble Inp uts

A ppa ren t

Co mm erci al

Per form anc e

Adj ustin g A pp aren t

Com me rcia lP erf orm anc e

Ti me for

C omm er cial toIn flue nce Itse lf

F rac tion of

C omm er cialD epe nde nt o n It self


on I tsel f

Re lativ e P erfo rm ance


Fra ctio n of Co mm erc ial

D epe nde nt o n In putSe ctor s

R ela tive Imp act of I npu t

S ect ors on Com me rcia l

Co mm erc ial E ffec t of

Infr astr uctu re S tat us o n

P urc hasi ng


Co mm unic atio ns

Co mm erci al E ffec t



Co mm erc ial E ffe ct o fC omm un icati ons on Inte rna l

Ac tivi ty T able

<A vai labil ity o f R etai l


Sta te>

Residential Sector

R es iden tial

I nve ntor y o f

F ue l















< TI ME ST EP >





R esi den tialF uel

Sho rta ge





F ille d S tora ge

Re sid enti al

P erce ive d

Fue l Sh ort age





S ho rtag e


R efer enc e P rice




D em and



S ale s R ate


Ra te



D em and





R ate



P ow er


R elat ive Pow er


Fra ctio n o f




Tar get




Ge nera tor s







Ac quis itio nRat e


Sho rta ge



Rat e




P erfo rma nce

Re side ntia l



Res ide ntia l


Re sid enti al







Ca pac ity

Re side ntia l




Res iden tial






Ba tter ies


S hor tfall

< TI ME ST EP >

R esid en tial

P erc eive d

Pow er Sho rtfa ll


<T IM E S TEP >



O nse t T ime of

Inte rru ptio n


<T im e>


P erfo rma nce


b y S tate


Ga s S hor tage



Ra te



Ra te








Da ily Ave rag e


Rat e





A ver age

R esid en tial







R es iden tial


R ate





P urc has es






< TIM E STE P>





Pu rcha ses










Re sid enti al



Gen era tion



<TI ME ST EP >

<R esi den tial




S tate






Rat e

R esid en tial

A tte mpt ed


R ate


Ac tivi ty>

<R esid ent ial



A cti vity >

Re side ntia l

R elat ive

Tr ans por t Ti me









Res iden tial


Def erra ble





R esid ent ial

A ttem pte d



Ga s A cqu isiti on

R ate

Ho urs Per Da y




of Ab and one d

Pur cha ses






D em and





Pu rch asin g








R esi den tial

Per ceiv ed





Po wer Pri ce




Na tura l G as

D em and



D em and



De ma nd



W ate r D ema nd



D ema nd



De ma nd





R esid entia l

Rela tive




R ate




Po wer



Pe rfor man ce





G as





Act ivity



Inp uts







P erfo rma nce


Perf orma nce

T ime for


Fr actio n of


Itse lf











Pur chas ing


Inte rnal Acti vity







L abor





Ti me t o Ad just


E stim ated

Tr avel Tim e






< One Hou r>


<T ime >




Rela tive R oad

D ela y

<Du ratio n of

Inter rupt ion>



De lays on L abo r

Ava ilabi lity


R ate


G as A cquis ition

R ate


Ac quis ition Rate




D ema nd>





R ate>

R es iden tial

I nve ntor y o f

F ue l















< TI ME ST EP >





R esi den tialF uel

Sho rta ge





F ille d S tora ge

Re sid enti al

P erce ive d

Fue l Sh ort age





S ho rtag e


R efer enc e P rice




D em and



S ale s R ate


Ra te



D em and





R ate



P ow er


R elat ive Pow er


Fra ctio n o f




Tar get




Ge nera tor s







Ac quis itio nRat e


Sho rta ge



Rat e




P erfo rma nce

Re side ntia l



Res ide ntia l


Re sid enti al







Ca pac ity

Re side ntia l




Res iden tial






Ba tter ies


S hor tfall

< TI ME ST EP >

R esid en tial

P erc eive d

Pow er Sho rtfa ll


<T IM E S TEP >



O nse t T ime of

Inte rru ptio n


<T im e>


P erfo rma nce


b y S tate


Ga s S hor tage



Ra te



Ra te








Da ily Ave rag e


Rat e





A ver age

R esid en tial







R es iden tial


R ate





P urc has es






< TIM E STE P>





Pu rcha ses










Re sid enti al



Gen era tion



<TI ME ST EP >

<R esi den tial




S tate






Rat e

R esid en tial

A tte mpt ed


R ate


Ac tivi ty>

<R esid ent ial



A cti vity >

Re side ntia l

R elat ive

Tr ans por t Ti me









Res iden tial


Def erra ble





R esid ent ial

A ttem pte d



Ga s A cqu isiti on

R ate

Ho urs Per Da y




of Ab and one d

Pur cha ses






D em and





Pu rch asin g








R esi den tial

Per ceiv ed





Po wer Pri ce




Na tura l G as

D em and



D em and



De ma nd



W ate r D ema nd



D ema nd



De ma nd





R esid entia l

Rela tive




R ate




Po wer



Pe rfor man ce





G as





Act ivity



Inp uts







P erfo rma nce


Perf orma nce

T ime for


Fr actio n of


Itse lf











Pur chas ing


Inte rnal Acti vity







L abor





Ti me t o Ad just


E stim ated

Tr avel Tim e






< One Hou r>


<T ime >




Rela tive R oad

D ela y

<Du ratio n of

Inter rupt ion>



De lays on L abo r

Ava ilabi lity


R ate


G as A cquis ition

R ate


Ac quis ition Rate




D ema nd>





R ate>

Quarantines restrict transport capacity

Demand for trans port of goods (Ag products)

Payments

Orders

SCADA

Payments

ATM

SCADA

Demand for Food Products

Utilized in scenario simulations

Modeled, but not used in scenario sims

a holistic approach to understanding the soybean rust … in du strie ... aa llockheed martinn...

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