a lost decade for jobs, unless … fred moseley professor of economics mount holyoke college...

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A Lost Decade for Jobs, Unless … Fred Moseley Professor of Economics Mount Holyoke College [email protected]

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Page 1: A Lost Decade for Jobs, Unless … Fred Moseley Professor of Economics Mount Holyoke College fmoseley@mtholyoke.edu

A Lost Decade for Jobs, Unless …

Fred Moseley

Professor of Economics

Mount Holyoke College

[email protected]

Page 2: A Lost Decade for Jobs, Unless … Fred Moseley Professor of Economics Mount Holyoke College fmoseley@mtholyoke.edu
Page 3: A Lost Decade for Jobs, Unless … Fred Moseley Professor of Economics Mount Holyoke College fmoseley@mtholyoke.edu
Page 4: A Lost Decade for Jobs, Unless … Fred Moseley Professor of Economics Mount Holyoke College fmoseley@mtholyoke.edu
Page 5: A Lost Decade for Jobs, Unless … Fred Moseley Professor of Economics Mount Holyoke College fmoseley@mtholyoke.edu

Demographic groups

Ages 16-19 26.0%

Ages 20-24 14.8

African-American 16.1

Latino 12.4

Page 6: A Lost Decade for Jobs, Unless … Fred Moseley Professor of Economics Mount Holyoke College fmoseley@mtholyoke.edu
Page 7: A Lost Decade for Jobs, Unless … Fred Moseley Professor of Economics Mount Holyoke College fmoseley@mtholyoke.edu
Page 8: A Lost Decade for Jobs, Unless … Fred Moseley Professor of Economics Mount Holyoke College fmoseley@mtholyoke.edu

Causes of “jobless recovery”

1. Slow growth of the economy

2. Business emphasis on cost-cuttingespecially labor costs

reluctant to hire“speed up” employed workers“outsourcing” jobs overseas

Page 9: A Lost Decade for Jobs, Unless … Fred Moseley Professor of Economics Mount Holyoke College fmoseley@mtholyoke.edu

How long will it take to recover 8.4 million jobs?

monthly years arrival rate of UE

avg. ↑E to E0 date at E0 at arrival date *

70,000 10 Jan. 2020 14.6%

100,000 7 Jan. 2017 9.4

200,000 3.5 July 2013 8.6

* assumes 0.8% increase in the labor force per year

Page 10: A Lost Decade for Jobs, Unless … Fred Moseley Professor of Economics Mount Holyoke College fmoseley@mtholyoke.edu
Page 11: A Lost Decade for Jobs, Unless … Fred Moseley Professor of Economics Mount Holyoke College fmoseley@mtholyoke.edu
Page 12: A Lost Decade for Jobs, Unless … Fred Moseley Professor of Economics Mount Holyoke College fmoseley@mtholyoke.edu
Page 13: A Lost Decade for Jobs, Unless … Fred Moseley Professor of Economics Mount Holyoke College fmoseley@mtholyoke.edu
Page 14: A Lost Decade for Jobs, Unless … Fred Moseley Professor of Economics Mount Holyoke College fmoseley@mtholyoke.edu

Anchor Page HELP for 99ers WHATs NEW RADIO SHOW twitter-chat WALL OF SHAME NYC 99er Rally legislators-list Videos GOOD STUFF Vision/mission About us WARNING Tier 5 99ers Blog

Jobless Unite TIER 5 to SURVIVE !!!!

******* GREAT NEWS ABOUT TIER 5 see: Tier 5 - 99er Blog !!!!

If you have not yet checked out the www.99ersUnited.com website, PLEASE DO!!! That site is terrific!

**********************

Page 15: A Lost Decade for Jobs, Unless … Fred Moseley Professor of Economics Mount Holyoke College fmoseley@mtholyoke.edu

Not due to “not enough jobs”

Due instead to:

Mismatch of skills

Mismatch of location

“Structural Unemployment”

Page 16: A Lost Decade for Jobs, Unless … Fred Moseley Professor of Economics Mount Holyoke College fmoseley@mtholyoke.edu

General Principle:

Everyone has the basic human right to productive employmentat a decent income

What is to be done?

Page 17: A Lost Decade for Jobs, Unless … Fred Moseley Professor of Economics Mount Holyoke College fmoseley@mtholyoke.edu

1. Demand that the government provide full employment

Tax the rich to pay for itPlus 25% cut in military spending

2. Worker owned cooperativesUSW - Mondragon

3. Socialist revolution and establishment of democratic socialist economy

What is to be done?

Page 18: A Lost Decade for Jobs, Unless … Fred Moseley Professor of Economics Mount Holyoke College fmoseley@mtholyoke.edu
Page 19: A Lost Decade for Jobs, Unless … Fred Moseley Professor of Economics Mount Holyoke College fmoseley@mtholyoke.edu

“In our day these economic truths have become accepted as self-evident. We have accepted a second Bill of Rights under which a new basis of security and prosperity can be established for all.

The right to a useful and remunerative job is one of these rights.”

State of the Union Address, January 1944

President F. Roosevelt

Page 20: A Lost Decade for Jobs, Unless … Fred Moseley Professor of Economics Mount Holyoke College fmoseley@mtholyoke.edu

Everyone has the right to work, to free choice of employment, to just and favorable conditions of workand to protections against unemployment.

United Nations Declaration of Human Rights (1948)