LOGO

A Russian-UkrainianEnergy Space in Eurasia

V. LikhachevERI RAS

Workshop onProspects of Coordinated Developmentin the Eurasian Socio-Economic Space

IIASA, 17 November, 2012

LOGOGoal

vThe main goal of the activity is a jointinternational analysis of the status andprospects for coordinated development ofthe fuel and energy sectors and relatedsectors of the Russia and Ukraine as wellas neighborhood areas, includingassessment of realization of joint projectsfor the development of energyinfrastructure, energy efficiency andenvironmental protection’ programs in theform of a common Eurasian energy spaceon the basis of joint modeling studies.

LOGOCIS and Eurasia

LOGOTasks:

vComparative analysis of the scenarios for thefuel and energy complex of Russia, Ukraineand neighborhood countries and regions

vDevelopment of coordinated scenarios for fueland energy complex of Russia and Ukraine forthe period until 2030

vDevelopment of a comprehensive modelplatform - analytical tool for the elaborationand evaluation of the proposed joint Energyscenarios for Russia and Ukraine economicand energy development

LOGOScenarios:

vInertiavOptimismvPessimism

LOGOScenarios Formation

vGeopoliticsvLevel and formats of integrationvWorld energy pricesvEconomic Activity and living levelsvInvestment climatevEnergy efficiency and climate policiesvRegional energy tradevEnergy export/import policiesvEnergy infrastructurevDomestic energy markets regulations

LOGOExternal Centers of Power

vRussia and CU (Eurasian economicsociety)

vEC

vOther former Soviet Union republicsoutside CU (Caspian)

vTurkey / IranvChinavUSA

LOGORussia and Ukraine GDP Growth Rates

LOGOGDP Energy Intensities for Ukraine and CU countries

LOGOGDP Electricity Intensities for Ukraine and CUcountries

LOGOInternal Primary Energy Demand: Ukraine and Russia

LOGOPrimary Energy Production: Ukraine and Russia

LOGOEurasian Oil Pipeline Network

LOGODevelopment of Eurasian Gas Network

LOGORussian & Ukrainian electricity Network

LOGOPartners for Research Network

vERI RAS (Russia)vEconomy and forecasting institute of the

Ukrainian NASvIMM Ural Branch of RAS (Russia)vGeneral Energy Institute of the Ukrainian

NASvEconomy Institute of the Academy of

Science of Belarus’vNazarbaev’ Institute (Kazakhstan)vIIASA (?)

LOGOModels Network

vSCANER (ERI RAS – Russia)vTIMES (Ukraine, Belarus’, Kazakhstan,

Russia (?))vMERGE (Ural – Russia)vMESSAGE (IIASA-?)

LOGO

vTHANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION!