a scientific approach to educational research edd 12
TRANSCRIPT
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A scientific approach to
educational research?
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Whats this all about?
Understanding the assumptions behind the
scientific approach to educational research
Understanding the power and limitations of
experimental designs and of statistical tools Understanding the potential of mixed
methodologies and methods
Supporting critical reading and personalresearch decision making
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Positivist Assumptionsafter Lincoln & Guba 1985
There is a single reality that can be revealed; thisreality will not be contested by fair minded
individuals
Part of this can be studied independently; the
whole is the sum of those parts
It is possible to study this objectively,
independently of the researcher.
Results will apply at other times; in other places Cause and effect can be distinguished
Inquiry is value-free
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True of science?
Science is about building models not mapping reality.Different models are possible from the same data
Data has error so no picture of reality is error free(triangulate across forms of data, alternative studies etc)
0+0 = 100 Observing a system necessarily changes it
x.ph
Sometimes causes are complex and not open to
definition Values determine what science is done and what is
regarded as important
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True of social science?
If its not really true of physical science, its
not likely to apply cleanly to social science
BUT ALSO
Scientific social research is dependent on
the logic of statistical significance
Meaning of statistical significance
Limitations of statistical significance
Issues of sampling
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Dependence on the logic of
statistical significance An example
Group 1
10 people, average score=6
Group 2
10 people, average score=8
Is this difference between the groups important?
FIRST STEP: is it likely to occur just by chance?
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Basic notion of significance
Assume no difference in outcome between the two groups.
This is our NULL HYPOTHESIS Ho
The groups are like random samples from the same population.
Would it be unusual for two random samples from one
population to have means as different as 6 and 8? If yes, we could assume that the two groups came from
different populations
Difference is statistically significant. Reject Ho
If no, we would say that the difference is probably just down tochance
Difference is not statistically significant. Accept Ho
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Population
8 9 0 8 35 4 7 7 5
10 0 4 1 6
4 9 9 5 9
7 9 2 9 6
6 7 7 1 2
4 3 7 1 54 5 7 7 6
0 5 2 6 4
5 4 5 2 3
3 7 4 7 7
8 3 7 1 7
6 7 4 7 3
2 6 8 7 3
3 9 3 0 9
1 10 1 9 10
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One random sample8 9 0 8 3
5 4 7 7 510 0 4 1 6
4 9 9 5 9
7 9 2 9 6
6 7 7 1 2
4 3 7 1 5
4 5 7 7 60 5 2 6 4
5 4 5 2 3
3 7 4 7 7
8 3 7 1 7
6 7 4 7 3
2 6 8 7 3
3 9 3 0 9
1 10 1 9 10
Mean of red group = 7.1
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Two random groups
8 9 0 8 35 4 7 7 5
10 0 4 1 6
4 9 9 5 9
7 9 2 9 6
6 7 7 1 2
4 3 7 1 5
4 5 7 7 6
0 5 2 6 4
5 4 5 2 3
3 7 4 7 7
8 3 7 1 7
6 7 4 7 3
2 6 8 7 3
3 9 3 0 9
1 10 1 9 10
Mean of red group = 7.1; mean of blue group = 5.9
Difference = 1.2
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Distribution difference of two means
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Distribution difference of two means
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Not just group differences
Is there a correlation between two
variables?
One group
10 people
IQ andattitude scores are linked
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Correlation
IQ and attitude to school
attitude to school
20100
180
160
140
120
100
80
60
40
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Correlation
Correlations
1.000 .564**
. .000
40 40
.564** 1.000
.000 .
40 40
Pearson Correlation
Sig. (2-tailed)
N
Pearson Correlation
Sig. (2-tailed)
N
IQ score
atti tude to s chool
IQ score
attitude to
school
Correlation is significant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed).**. IQ and attitude to school
attitude to school
20100
180
160
140
120
100
80
60
40
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Statistically significant?
Is it unlikely that we would get this
correlation if we just chose 40 pairs of
numbers from a set of random numbers?
If it IS unlikely, then our results probably
arent just pairs of random numbers
there is a link between IQ and attitude
If is NOT unlikely, then our result could
well be nothing more than chance
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The importance of significance
It may be significant but does it
matter?
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The importance of significance
It may be significant but does it
matter?
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Effect of sample size
Critical Values ofrfor Rejecting the NullHypothesis
(r= 0) at the .05 Level Given Sample Size nn r
3 .9975 .878
10 .632
20 .444
50 .276
100 .196
500 .0881,000 .062
5,000 .0278
10,000 .0196Note: Values are taken from Table 13 in Pearson and Hartley (1962).
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What if? arguments
If we get a significant result with a sample size if
100 how small would the sample have to be for
this to become non-significant?
(If very small fairly confident in rejecting Ho; if 90 (say)not very confident in rejecting Ho)
If we get a non-significant result with a sample
size if 20 how big would the sample have to be
for this to become significant?(If 30, say, not much confidence in Ho; if very largefairly
confident in Ho)
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Effect size
121
sdmmsizeEffect
Effect Size =1
- the mean for one group coincides
with boundary score for the top 16% of
the other group
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Non-significant results
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Sampling
Samples that allow statistical generalisation
random
systematic
stratified random
cluster multi-stage
Samples that dont allow statistical generalisation quota
convenience
snowball
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Sampling
Samples that allow statistical generalisation
random
systematic
stratified random
cluster multi-stage
Samples that dont allow statistical generalisation quota
convenience
snowball
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Is your sample representative?
Since its quite difficult to get
representative samples, the answer may
well be no.
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The experiment
SMs gold standard for revealing cause
and effect relationships
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The experiment
Logic of experimental methodology
Avoiding threats to validity
Problems
Sampling and assignment
Models of causation
Solutions
Quasi-experimental designs Mixed methods within an interpretive
paradigm
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OXO
Is X the cause of any difference between
the first and second observation?
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Issues of validity at the design
stage experimental designs
Internal threats to validity
History
Maturation Testing
Instrumentation
Selection Statistical regression
Mortality
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External threats to validity
Interaction of selection bias and
treatment
Interaction between testing and
treatment
Reaction to being in an experiment
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True experiment
R OeX
- Oc
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Why are experimental designs so
useful?
They deal with treats to validity.
..??
ROeX
- Oc
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So why bother with SM at all?
Can be very powerful in revealing complex
interactions and relationships
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Multiple regression
Dependent variable English O-level
Independent variables
DAT scores (VR,NA,VN,SR,MR,CSA,SP,LU)
Attitudes ( A, B, .I)
Creativity (Flu,Flex,Orig)
Eng O level =
0.65LU + 0.35SP +0.66VR +2.64B +31.26
Adjusted R squared = 0.36
Standard error = 15.18
I f t h kli t
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Infant checklist
1 59 42 70 72 58 59 49
2 48 56 85 72 40
3 43 83 58
4 40 79 60
5 64
643 61
Clea
rspeech
Give
smessage
Liste
nstostory
Organisedtale
Describesenv
Pick
supsongs
Can
usetools
Draw
sonjects
Matc
hpictures
Copysquare
Copycross
Settlesaway
Rece
ptivetosch
Integr
ates-p
eers
Plays-peers
Rela
t
es-
teach
er
Eagertolearn
Pers
istsattask
Stay
sontask
Chooses
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Cluster results
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So why bother with SM at all?
Can be very powerful in revealing complex
interactions and relationships
So how do we get the benefits in spite of the
problems?
through limiting the population
through non-inferential stats
through links with interpretive designs
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Limiting the population
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Non-inferential use of statistics
http://images.google.com/imgres?imgurl=http://www.student.oulu.fi/~sigma/galleria/wanhat/limbo.jpg&imgrefurl=http://www.student.oulu.fi/~sigma/galleria/wanhat/&h=382&w=390&sz=28&tbnid=9sPueCsXDM8J:&tbnh=117&tbnw=119&start=104&prev=/images?q=limbo&start=100&hl=en&lr=&rls=GGLD,GGLD:2004-44,GGLD:en&sa=N -
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Quasi experiments no R
O X OO O
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Using quantitative methods within
an interpretive methodology
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Mixing approaches?
Paradigms as watertight boxes simply a
choice to be made
Paradigms as coherent systems that serve
as the starting point for creative thinking
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One example
Using interpretive methodologies to
explore possible threats to validity in a
quasi-experimental design
I t ti A ti
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Interpretive Assumptionsafter Lincoln & Guba 1985
Realities are multiple, and are
individually constructed
The knower cannot be separated from
the known
We can only make statements that are
time and context bound
All entities are continually shaping each
other
Inquiry is inevitably value-bound
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Creative thinking
Linking qualitative and quantitative data
qualitative work gives rich exemplification of generalisablerelationships established by statistical methods (Sci
Paradigm)
quantitative work establishes the generalisablity ofhypotheses which emerge from a qualitative enquiry (SciParadigm)
qualitative and quantitative work are used together(iteratively) to deepen the understanding of the particularcaseson which we have been working. (Interp. Paradigm)
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Its
NOT the purpose of qualitative work simply to give rich
exemplification of generalisable relationshipsestablished by statistical methods to give a humanface to a statistical study.
NOT that quantitative work should be used to establishthe generalisablity of hypotheses which emerge from aqualitative enquiry - as if this is in some way anecessary step in order that the qualitative findings canbe taken seriously.
BUT qualitative and quantitative work are used together
(iteratively) to deepen the understanding of theparticular caseson which we have been working.
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Another example
Using scientific and interpretive
methodologies iteratively to explore factors
influencing learning in FE classrooms
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C1 site differences
Student Negotiation
3.43.23.02.82.62.42.22.0
S
haredControl
3.5
3.0
2.5
2.0
1.5
ESOL LS
WrkbdAst
ADMPA
Engneer
ITSkills
BTECHlth
AVCET&TVoc Path
SpprtMS
GNVQBus
Connect2
Pth4 Prn
ASPsych
ELDrama
CACHE
Shared Control >Student Negotiation
Student Negotiation >Shared Control
Explaining the High SC/Low SN
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Explaining the High SC/Low SN
grouping
Support for Mature Students
Self assessment, negotiation based onassignments, individual learning plans
agreed and reviewed by tutor and student
Workbased assessment
Individual support from tutor (undergroundworking)
Explaining the High SC/Low SN
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Explaining the High SC/Low SN
grouping
Workbased assessment
Different geographical placements
Support for Mature Students and IT skills
Same room
but
Different times
ESOL Same room, same times
but
Different languages
ISOLATION
Does isolation feature
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Does isolation feature
elsewhere?
Student Negotiation
3.43.23.02.82.62.42.22.0
SharedControl
3.5
3.0
2.5
2.0
1.5
ESOL LS
WrkbdAst
ADMPA
Engneer
ITSkills
BTECHlth
AVCET&TVoc Path
SpprtMS
GNVQBus
Connect2
Pth4 Prn
ASPsych
ELDrama
CACHE
Shared Control >Student Negotiation
Student Negotiation >Shared Control
Isolation(broadly defined) appeared to be
a factor related to a site culture in which
there was low student negotiation.
Isolation was a feature of
the top left sites
In 4 of the bottom rightsites isolation was not at
all evident in this site