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    A scientific approach to

    educational research?

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    Whats this all about?

    Understanding the assumptions behind the

    scientific approach to educational research

    Understanding the power and limitations of

    experimental designs and of statistical tools Understanding the potential of mixed

    methodologies and methods

    Supporting critical reading and personalresearch decision making

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    Positivist Assumptionsafter Lincoln & Guba 1985

    There is a single reality that can be revealed; thisreality will not be contested by fair minded

    individuals

    Part of this can be studied independently; the

    whole is the sum of those parts

    It is possible to study this objectively,

    independently of the researcher.

    Results will apply at other times; in other places Cause and effect can be distinguished

    Inquiry is value-free

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    True of science?

    Science is about building models not mapping reality.Different models are possible from the same data

    Data has error so no picture of reality is error free(triangulate across forms of data, alternative studies etc)

    0+0 = 100 Observing a system necessarily changes it

    x.ph

    Sometimes causes are complex and not open to

    definition Values determine what science is done and what is

    regarded as important

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    True of social science?

    If its not really true of physical science, its

    not likely to apply cleanly to social science

    BUT ALSO

    Scientific social research is dependent on

    the logic of statistical significance

    Meaning of statistical significance

    Limitations of statistical significance

    Issues of sampling

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    Dependence on the logic of

    statistical significance An example

    Group 1

    10 people, average score=6

    Group 2

    10 people, average score=8

    Is this difference between the groups important?

    FIRST STEP: is it likely to occur just by chance?

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    Basic notion of significance

    Assume no difference in outcome between the two groups.

    This is our NULL HYPOTHESIS Ho

    The groups are like random samples from the same population.

    Would it be unusual for two random samples from one

    population to have means as different as 6 and 8? If yes, we could assume that the two groups came from

    different populations

    Difference is statistically significant. Reject Ho

    If no, we would say that the difference is probably just down tochance

    Difference is not statistically significant. Accept Ho

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    Population

    8 9 0 8 35 4 7 7 5

    10 0 4 1 6

    4 9 9 5 9

    7 9 2 9 6

    6 7 7 1 2

    4 3 7 1 54 5 7 7 6

    0 5 2 6 4

    5 4 5 2 3

    3 7 4 7 7

    8 3 7 1 7

    6 7 4 7 3

    2 6 8 7 3

    3 9 3 0 9

    1 10 1 9 10

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    One random sample8 9 0 8 3

    5 4 7 7 510 0 4 1 6

    4 9 9 5 9

    7 9 2 9 6

    6 7 7 1 2

    4 3 7 1 5

    4 5 7 7 60 5 2 6 4

    5 4 5 2 3

    3 7 4 7 7

    8 3 7 1 7

    6 7 4 7 3

    2 6 8 7 3

    3 9 3 0 9

    1 10 1 9 10

    Mean of red group = 7.1

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    Two random groups

    8 9 0 8 35 4 7 7 5

    10 0 4 1 6

    4 9 9 5 9

    7 9 2 9 6

    6 7 7 1 2

    4 3 7 1 5

    4 5 7 7 6

    0 5 2 6 4

    5 4 5 2 3

    3 7 4 7 7

    8 3 7 1 7

    6 7 4 7 3

    2 6 8 7 3

    3 9 3 0 9

    1 10 1 9 10

    Mean of red group = 7.1; mean of blue group = 5.9

    Difference = 1.2

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    Distribution difference of two means

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    Distribution difference of two means

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    Not just group differences

    Is there a correlation between two

    variables?

    One group

    10 people

    IQ andattitude scores are linked

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    Correlation

    IQ and attitude to school

    attitude to school

    20100

    180

    160

    140

    120

    100

    80

    60

    40

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    Correlation

    Correlations

    1.000 .564**

    . .000

    40 40

    .564** 1.000

    .000 .

    40 40

    Pearson Correlation

    Sig. (2-tailed)

    N

    Pearson Correlation

    Sig. (2-tailed)

    N

    IQ score

    atti tude to s chool

    IQ score

    attitude to

    school

    Correlation is significant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed).**. IQ and attitude to school

    attitude to school

    20100

    180

    160

    140

    120

    100

    80

    60

    40

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    Statistically significant?

    Is it unlikely that we would get this

    correlation if we just chose 40 pairs of

    numbers from a set of random numbers?

    If it IS unlikely, then our results probably

    arent just pairs of random numbers

    there is a link between IQ and attitude

    If is NOT unlikely, then our result could

    well be nothing more than chance

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    The importance of significance

    It may be significant but does it

    matter?

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    The importance of significance

    It may be significant but does it

    matter?

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    Effect of sample size

    Critical Values ofrfor Rejecting the NullHypothesis

    (r= 0) at the .05 Level Given Sample Size nn r

    3 .9975 .878

    10 .632

    20 .444

    50 .276

    100 .196

    500 .0881,000 .062

    5,000 .0278

    10,000 .0196Note: Values are taken from Table 13 in Pearson and Hartley (1962).

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    What if? arguments

    If we get a significant result with a sample size if

    100 how small would the sample have to be for

    this to become non-significant?

    (If very small fairly confident in rejecting Ho; if 90 (say)not very confident in rejecting Ho)

    If we get a non-significant result with a sample

    size if 20 how big would the sample have to be

    for this to become significant?(If 30, say, not much confidence in Ho; if very largefairly

    confident in Ho)

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    Effect size

    121

    sdmmsizeEffect

    Effect Size =1

    - the mean for one group coincides

    with boundary score for the top 16% of

    the other group

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    Non-significant results

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    Sampling

    Samples that allow statistical generalisation

    random

    systematic

    stratified random

    cluster multi-stage

    Samples that dont allow statistical generalisation quota

    convenience

    snowball

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    Sampling

    Samples that allow statistical generalisation

    random

    systematic

    stratified random

    cluster multi-stage

    Samples that dont allow statistical generalisation quota

    convenience

    snowball

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    Is your sample representative?

    Since its quite difficult to get

    representative samples, the answer may

    well be no.

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    The experiment

    SMs gold standard for revealing cause

    and effect relationships

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    The experiment

    Logic of experimental methodology

    Avoiding threats to validity

    Problems

    Sampling and assignment

    Models of causation

    Solutions

    Quasi-experimental designs Mixed methods within an interpretive

    paradigm

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    OXO

    Is X the cause of any difference between

    the first and second observation?

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    Issues of validity at the design

    stage experimental designs

    Internal threats to validity

    History

    Maturation Testing

    Instrumentation

    Selection Statistical regression

    Mortality

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    External threats to validity

    Interaction of selection bias and

    treatment

    Interaction between testing and

    treatment

    Reaction to being in an experiment

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    True experiment

    R OeX

    - Oc

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    Why are experimental designs so

    useful?

    They deal with treats to validity.

    ..??

    ROeX

    - Oc

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    So why bother with SM at all?

    Can be very powerful in revealing complex

    interactions and relationships

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    Multiple regression

    Dependent variable English O-level

    Independent variables

    DAT scores (VR,NA,VN,SR,MR,CSA,SP,LU)

    Attitudes ( A, B, .I)

    Creativity (Flu,Flex,Orig)

    Eng O level =

    0.65LU + 0.35SP +0.66VR +2.64B +31.26

    Adjusted R squared = 0.36

    Standard error = 15.18

    I f t h kli t

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    Infant checklist

    1 59 42 70 72 58 59 49

    2 48 56 85 72 40

    3 43 83 58

    4 40 79 60

    5 64

    643 61

    Clea

    rspeech

    Give

    smessage

    Liste

    nstostory

    Organisedtale

    Describesenv

    Pick

    supsongs

    Can

    usetools

    Draw

    sonjects

    Matc

    hpictures

    Copysquare

    Copycross

    Settlesaway

    Rece

    ptivetosch

    Integr

    ates-p

    eers

    Plays-peers

    Rela

    t

    es-

    teach

    er

    Eagertolearn

    Pers

    istsattask

    Stay

    sontask

    Chooses

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    Cluster results

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    So why bother with SM at all?

    Can be very powerful in revealing complex

    interactions and relationships

    So how do we get the benefits in spite of the

    problems?

    through limiting the population

    through non-inferential stats

    through links with interpretive designs

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    Limiting the population

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    Non-inferential use of statistics

    http://images.google.com/imgres?imgurl=http://www.student.oulu.fi/~sigma/galleria/wanhat/limbo.jpg&imgrefurl=http://www.student.oulu.fi/~sigma/galleria/wanhat/&h=382&w=390&sz=28&tbnid=9sPueCsXDM8J:&tbnh=117&tbnw=119&start=104&prev=/images?q=limbo&start=100&hl=en&lr=&rls=GGLD,GGLD:2004-44,GGLD:en&sa=N
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    Quasi experiments no R

    O X OO O

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    Using quantitative methods within

    an interpretive methodology

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    Mixing approaches?

    Paradigms as watertight boxes simply a

    choice to be made

    Paradigms as coherent systems that serve

    as the starting point for creative thinking

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    One example

    Using interpretive methodologies to

    explore possible threats to validity in a

    quasi-experimental design

    I t ti A ti

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    Interpretive Assumptionsafter Lincoln & Guba 1985

    Realities are multiple, and are

    individually constructed

    The knower cannot be separated from

    the known

    We can only make statements that are

    time and context bound

    All entities are continually shaping each

    other

    Inquiry is inevitably value-bound

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    Creative thinking

    Linking qualitative and quantitative data

    qualitative work gives rich exemplification of generalisablerelationships established by statistical methods (Sci

    Paradigm)

    quantitative work establishes the generalisablity ofhypotheses which emerge from a qualitative enquiry (SciParadigm)

    qualitative and quantitative work are used together(iteratively) to deepen the understanding of the particularcaseson which we have been working. (Interp. Paradigm)

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    Its

    NOT the purpose of qualitative work simply to give rich

    exemplification of generalisable relationshipsestablished by statistical methods to give a humanface to a statistical study.

    NOT that quantitative work should be used to establishthe generalisablity of hypotheses which emerge from aqualitative enquiry - as if this is in some way anecessary step in order that the qualitative findings canbe taken seriously.

    BUT qualitative and quantitative work are used together

    (iteratively) to deepen the understanding of theparticular caseson which we have been working.

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    Another example

    Using scientific and interpretive

    methodologies iteratively to explore factors

    influencing learning in FE classrooms

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    C1 site differences

    Student Negotiation

    3.43.23.02.82.62.42.22.0

    S

    haredControl

    3.5

    3.0

    2.5

    2.0

    1.5

    ESOL LS

    WrkbdAst

    ADMPA

    Engneer

    ITSkills

    BTECHlth

    AVCET&TVoc Path

    SpprtMS

    GNVQBus

    Connect2

    Pth4 Prn

    ASPsych

    ELDrama

    CACHE

    Shared Control >Student Negotiation

    Student Negotiation >Shared Control

    Explaining the High SC/Low SN

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    Explaining the High SC/Low SN

    grouping

    Support for Mature Students

    Self assessment, negotiation based onassignments, individual learning plans

    agreed and reviewed by tutor and student

    Workbased assessment

    Individual support from tutor (undergroundworking)

    Explaining the High SC/Low SN

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    Explaining the High SC/Low SN

    grouping

    Workbased assessment

    Different geographical placements

    Support for Mature Students and IT skills

    Same room

    but

    Different times

    ESOL Same room, same times

    but

    Different languages

    ISOLATION

    Does isolation feature

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    Does isolation feature

    elsewhere?

    Student Negotiation

    3.43.23.02.82.62.42.22.0

    SharedControl

    3.5

    3.0

    2.5

    2.0

    1.5

    ESOL LS

    WrkbdAst

    ADMPA

    Engneer

    ITSkills

    BTECHlth

    AVCET&TVoc Path

    SpprtMS

    GNVQBus

    Connect2

    Pth4 Prn

    ASPsych

    ELDrama

    CACHE

    Shared Control >Student Negotiation

    Student Negotiation >Shared Control

    Isolation(broadly defined) appeared to be

    a factor related to a site culture in which

    there was low student negotiation.

    Isolation was a feature of

    the top left sites

    In 4 of the bottom rightsites isolation was not at

    all evident in this site