a snapshot of the texas economy may 2010 texas workforce commission

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A Snapshot of the Texas Economy May 2010 Texas Workforce Commission

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Page 1: A Snapshot of the Texas Economy May 2010 Texas Workforce Commission

A Snapshot of the Texas EconomyMay 2010

Texas Workforce Commission

Page 2: A Snapshot of the Texas Economy May 2010 Texas Workforce Commission

Texas Labor Market Statistics (s.a.)

April 2010 (p)

March 2010 (r)

April 2009 (r)

Non-farm Payroll Jobs (-42,000 YOY) 10.310 Mil 10.278 Mil 10.352 Mil

Labor Force (+342,000 YOY) 12.211 Mil 12.160 Mil 11.869 Mil

Unemployed(+ 143,600 YOY) 1,008,800 1,002,600 865,200

U Rate (+1.0 YOY) 8.3% 8.2% 7.3%

Page 3: A Snapshot of the Texas Economy May 2010 Texas Workforce Commission

Jan-95

Jan-96

Jan-97

Jan-98

Jan-99

Jan-00

Jan-01

Jan-02

Jan-03

Jan-04

Jan-05

Jan-06

Jan-07

Jan-08

Jan-09

Jan-10

80

90

100

110

120

130

140

150

160

170

180

Goods Producing Employment

Construction

Mining

Manufacturing

Total Nonagricultural

Page 4: A Snapshot of the Texas Economy May 2010 Texas Workforce Commission

Texas Industry Job Growth from Oct 2008 to 2009

NAICS Industry Jobs Oct 09 Net Growth

Ambulatory Health Care Services 566,199 30,821

Educational Services 1,020,833 21,527

Hospitals 392,761 11,807

Social Assistance 166,268 7,112

Residential Nursing Care Facilities 183,843 6,535

Performing Arts, Spectator Sports 23,899 2,440

Sporting Goods Book & Music Stores 38,702 1,274

Utilities 80,674 1,068

Oil and Gas Extraction 85,031 906

Gasoline Stations 70,351 890

Museums, Historical Sites & Related 28,677 879

Page 5: A Snapshot of the Texas Economy May 2010 Texas Workforce Commission

Texas Industry Job Decline from Oct 2008 to 2009

NAICS Industry Jobs Oct 09 Net Decline

Admin & Personnel Supply Services 587,952 -68,966

Specialty Trade Contractors 343,928 -42,496

Professional, Scientific &Tech Services 553,807 -36,784

Support Activities for Mining 102,476 -35,564

Merchant Wholesalers, Durable Goods 278,916 -28,830

Commercial Construction 134,689 -24,498

Fabricated Metals Manufacturing 113,957 -21,704

Heavy & Civil Engineering Construction 145,125 -21,587

Motor Vehicle and Parts Dealers 141,579 -15,939

Computer & Electronics Manufacturing 98,525 -13,684

Machinery Manufacturing 83,693 -13,401

Page 6: A Snapshot of the Texas Economy May 2010 Texas Workforce Commission

Short-term Forecasted Job Growth by Region

LWDA 2010 2011 2012

South East Texas/Beaumont 2.8% 2.3% 2.0%

Cameron/ Rio Grande Valley 2.6% 2.5% 2.5%

Upper Rio Grande/El Paso 2.4% 2.2% 2.0%

Forth Worth 2.0% 1.9% 2.0%

Dallas 1.9% 1.5% 1.5%

South Plains/Lubbock 1.9% 1.8% 1.8%

Austin/Travis 1.7% 1.8% 1.8%

North East Texas/ Texarkana 1.6% 1.1% 1.1%

Rural Coastal Bend/Corpus 1.6% 1.4% 1.4%

Central Texas/Killeen-Temple 1.5% 1.7% 1.7%

Middle Rio Grande/Laredo 1.3% 1.3% 1.3%

Page 7: A Snapshot of the Texas Economy May 2010 Texas Workforce Commission

Texas Statewide Short-term Jobs Forecast 2010-2012

Industry Title 2010 2012 ABSCHGFood service & drinking places 823,693 861,701 38,008Educational services 1.090 mil 1.127 mil 36,830Ambulatory health care 552,752 584,150 31,398Professional& tech services 559,251 587,945 28,694Hospitals 384,103 405,174 21,071Justice & public safety 220,389 229,237 8,848Nursing & residential care 168,550 177,356 8,806Social assistance 154,148 162,872 8,724Merchant wholesalers, durable 284,530 293,070 8,540Non-bank credit intermediation 234,767 242,177 7,410General merchandise stores 266,358 272,536 6,178Amusements & recreation 84,580 89,889 5,309

Page 8: A Snapshot of the Texas Economy May 2010 Texas Workforce Commission

Texas Online Job Postings Last 90 Days Ending May 2010Registered Nurses 52,693 Associate’s/Bachelor’s

Physical Therapists 18,471 Master’s degree

Computer Systems Analysts 15,693 Bachelor’s degree

Retail Supervisors/Managers 15,132 Related Work Experience

Occupational Therapists 13,608 Master’s degree

Customer Service Representatives 13,271 Moderate OJT

Retail Salespersons 11,589 Short term OJT

Sales Managers 11,483 Bachelor’s w/experience

Medical & Health Services Managers 11,439 Bachelor’s w/experience

Sales Reps, Wholesale & Manufacture 10,704 Related Work Experience

Executive Secretaries & Admin Assist 10,266 Related Work Experience

Computer Support Specialists 10,259 Associate’s degree

Speech-Language Pathologists 8,901 Master’s degree

Computer Software Engineers, Apps 8,671 Bachelor’s degree

Accountants 8,654 Bachelor’s degree

Page 9: A Snapshot of the Texas Economy May 2010 Texas Workforce Commission

Fastest Growing Texas Occupations 2016

Occupation ED PREF 2008 Salary

1. Personal and Home Care Aides Short-term OJT $13,9932. Network Systems & Data Communications Analysts Bachelor's degree $67,4183. Medical Assistants Moderate-term OJT $25,2664. Special Education Teachers, K-8 Bachelor's degree $44,8245. Computer Software Engineers Bachelor's degree $86,2176. Physician Assistants Master's degree $81,9597. Physical Therapist Assistants Associate degree $51,5898. Kindergarten Teachers Bachelor's degree $43,1829. Pharmacy Technicians Moderate-term OJT $27,75310. Instructional Coordinators Master's degree $57,61011. Occupational Therapist Asst. Associate degree $51,76412. Elementary School Teachers Bachelor's degree $44,216

Page 10: A Snapshot of the Texas Economy May 2010 Texas Workforce Commission

Fastest Growing Texas Occupations -- Bachelors Plus

Occupation Title (1,000 jobs) Growth 2006-16 Annual Pay

Network Systems/Data Com Analyst 55.5% $67,418Special Education Teacher 48.5% $44,824

Computer Software Engineer, Apps 46.3% $86,217

Physician Assistant 46.1% $81,959

Instructional Coordinator 43.4% $57,610

Teachers, Kinder thru Middle School 42.0% $44,216

Physical Therapist 38.9% $77,294

Athletic Trainer 38.7% $44,008

Anesthesiologist 38.5% $176,254

Obstetrician/Gynecologist 38.1% $190,362Graduate Teaching Assistant 36.3% $31,043

Page 11: A Snapshot of the Texas Economy May 2010 Texas Workforce Commission

Fastest Growing Texas Occupations -- Associates/Cert

Occupation Title (1,000 jobs)Growth Rate

2006-16 Annual Pay Physical Therapy Assistant 46.1% $51,589

Occupational Therapy Assistant 42.9% $51,764

Surgical Technologist 41.9% $37,286Cardiovascular Technologist/Technician 41.8% $44,461

Skin Care Specialist 41.5% $27,100

Veterinary Technologist/Technician 40.3% $25,271

Dental Hygienist 38.6% $63,225Respiratory Therapist 37.8% $47,659Registered Nurse 37.8% $59,714Radiation Therapist 35.3% $75,487Interpreter/Translator 34.9% $42,630

Page 12: A Snapshot of the Texas Economy May 2010 Texas Workforce Commission

Top 15 Public University Graduates 2008

College Major Grads QuarterlyEarnings

1. Business, Management and Marketing 18,058 $38,001 2. Multi/Interdisciplinary Studies 9,246 $35,602 3. Health Professions and Related Clinical Sciences 5,759 $49,247 4. Social Sciences 5,710 $28,460 5. Biological and Biomedical Sciences 4,939 $24,104 6. Unknown/Undeclared 4,796 $31,862 7. Communication & Journalism 4,677 $26,672 8. Psychology 4,479 $24,562 9. Engineering 4,066 $56,125 10. Visual and Performing Arts 3,382 $25,700 11. English Language and Literature/Letters 3,196 $27,152 12. Parks, Recreation, Leisure, and Fitness Studies 2,973 $27,511 13. Criminal Justice 2,435 $28,775 14. History 2,007 $27,808 15. Agriculture & Agriculture Operations 1,836 $30,635

Fall 2008 graduate seed records were determined by THECB

Page 13: A Snapshot of the Texas Economy May 2010 Texas Workforce Commission

Undersupply of Graduates for Projected OpeningsRegistered Nurses undersupplyK-12 Teachers, Except Special Education undersupplyComputer Systems Analysts undersupplyComputer Support Specialists undersupplyComputer Software Engineers, Applications undersupplyComputer Software Engineers, Systems Software undersupplyCivil Engineers undersupplyMedical and Health Services Managers undersupplyPharmacists undersupplyParalegals and Legal Assistants undersupplyJob Recruitment & Placement Specialists undersupplyIndustrial Engineers undersupplyTraining and Development Specialists undersupplyMedical Records & Health Information Technicians undersupplyMedical and Clinical Laboratory Technicians undersupply