a study on technical analysis

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    EOB^XD\!2;F@X\MHTEXFM@

    Xdeo`febi b`bivufu fu xod xd|a buumefbxdh wfxo uxmej ab|jdx b`h fu xod amux

    wfhdiv tudh xmmi cm| b`biv{f`g b`h ~|dhfexf`g xod x|d`h ctxt|fuxfe ldobsfm| mc b

    ~b|xfetib|u xm~ ~|fed m| xod ab|jdx bu b womid. Fx fu xod ~|meduu mc b`biv{f`g xod

    uob|d ~|fed amsdad`xu b`h f`smisdu xod uxthv mc ab|jdx gd`d|bxdh hbxb ifjd ~|fedu

    b`h smitad xm hdxd|af`d xod ctxt|d hf|dexfm` mc ~|fed amsdad`xu.

    Xdeo`febi b`biv{f`g odi~u f` xfaf`g xod d`x|v m| dfx c|ma b ~b|xfetib| uxmej. Fx

    omiiv hd~d`hu m` xod ofuxm|febi x|d`hu cm| ~|dhfexf`g ctxt|d ~|fed amsdad`xu lbudh

    m` uxthv mc eob|xu b`h g|b~ou. Fx bfau bx hdxd|af`f`g xod b~~|m~|fbxd xfad xm d`xd| m|

    dfx xod ab|jdx wfxo xod odi~ mc xdeo`febi f`hfebxm|u b`h eob|xu.

    Bixomtgo xod xdeo`febi b`bivufu xmmiu eb` ld b~~ifdh xm mxod| ab|jdxu ifjd

    emaamhfxfdu) et||d`efdu) lm`hu dxe xod ~|dud`x uxthv fu |dux|fexdh xm xod uxmej

    ab|jdx m| xod drtfxv uxmej.

    Od`ed) xod ~|dud`x uxthv t`hd|gm`d bx JB\SV UXMEJ L\MEJF@G

    IXH Jb``t| fu abhd xm b`biv{d xod hf|dexfm` mc uob|d ~|fed amsdad`xu lv tuf`g

    sb|fmtu xmmiu mc xdeo`febi b`bivufu. Xm bxxbf` xofu mlkdexfsd mc xod uxthv) cmt| udexm|u

    sf{ f`cm|abxfm` xdeo`mimgv ~ob|abedtxfebi) mfi b`h gbu b`h lb`jf`g obu ldd`

    udidexdh b`h b`biv{dh.

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    C|ma l|mjd|u xm cf`b`efbi hmexm|u

    Wofid udbau f`smisf`g umad adald|u obsd obh b `dgbxfsd fa~bex m`

    f`sduxm|u em`cfhd`ed c|ma xfad xm xfad) uteo libej uodd~ em`uxfxtxd m`iv b uabii ~b|x

    mc xod l|mjf`g emaat`fxv. L|mjd|u wom b|d ~|fab|fiv cmetudh m` ~|m~|fdxb|v x|bhf`gu~detibxfm` b|lfx|bgd bexfsfxfdu b`h b|d `mx mccd|f`g l|mjf`g ud|sfedu xm wfhd| eifd`xu

    bium eb` ld deithdh.

    Em`ed|` cm| etuxmad|u

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    mc ~|mcduufm`bi ab`bgdad`x. Omwdsd|) ab`v l|mjd|u `ddh xm ~tx am|d bxxd`xfm` xm

    xofu e|fxfebi fuutd b`h d`uo|f`d fx bu xod amxod| mc bii gtfhf`g ~|f`ef~idu f` xodf|

    m|gb`f{bxfm`u.

    ^|mcduufm`bi wm|j etixt|d;

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    mc ud|sd xm f`sduxm|u be|muu xod emt`x|v b`h gmf`g cm|wb|h) dsd` gimlbi.

    \fuj ab`bgdad`x

    UDLF b`h uxmej deob`gdu b|d f`x|mhtef`g |fuj ab`bgdad`x ~|bexfedu uteo

    bu ab|gf` emiidexfm` c|ma dbeo eifd`x b`h xod ifjd: ab`v l|mjd|u b|d uxfiibeemaamhbxfsd b`h ~d|afx xodf| eifd`xu xm em`htex ltuf duu wfxomtx bhdrtbxd

    hfuef~if`d. Xofu `ddhu xm eob`gd b`h xod l|mjf`g emaat`fxv bu b womid uomtih wm|j

    eimudiv wfxo xod |dgtibxm|u b`h fxu eifd`xu xm d`ut|d msd|bii imwd|f`g mc |fuju f` xod

    uvuxda.

    \fuj ~|mcfif`g

    Xofu fu b` fa~m|xb`x bexfsfxv b`h `ddhu xm ld hm`d uvuxdabxfebiiv tuf`g

    ema~txd|f{dh xmmiu. B~b|x c|ma odi~f`g xod l|mjd| xm t`hd|uxb`h xod |fuj b~~dxfxd mcdbeo eifd`x) fu bium odi~u f` etuxmaf{f`g xod bhsfed b`h hdefhf`g m` xod eifd`xu

    ~m|xcmifm |dux|text|f`g b`h buudx biimebxfm`.

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    ^m|xcmifm ab`bgdad`x;

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    b` fa~m|xb`x b`h ufg`fcfeb`x ltuf`duu m~~m|xt`fxfdu cm| ubsf`gu) wofeo em`xf`td xm

    g|mw bx b odbixov 2

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    Ld`dcfxu xm bii ^b|xfef~b`xu

    F`hfb` x|bhfxfm`u dbeo m`d xm abxd|fbifua xobx fu em`ufhd|dh b ~mxd`xfbi umt|ed

    mc utccd|f`g. B ufafib| bxxfxthd b~~ifdh xm udxxidad`xu mc x|b`ubexfm`u f` udet|fxfdu

    odi~ f` abxd|fbi cm|a bu fx e|dbxdh b imx mc ~|mlidau f` xod ab|jdx~ibed bx xod idsdi mcdbeo ab|jdx ~b|xfef~b`x.

    UDLF obu ~ibvdh b ~|mbexfsd |mid f` xod uteeduucti x|b`ufxf`g c|ma ~b~d|

    lbudh amhd xm didex|m`fe amhd lv abjf`g fx ab`hbxm|v xm udxxid x|bhdu f` ed|xbf`

    udet|fxfdu m`iv f` hdafx amhd.

    B hd~mufxm|v fu b` f`cm|abxfm` xdeo`mimgv lbudh ud|sfed ~|msfhd|) wofeo

    |drtf|du odbixov f`sduxad`x f` ob|hwb|d) umcxwb|d) `dxwm|jf`g b`h lbej!t~ cbefifxfdu

    xm |t` xod uvuxda m` > e|m|du bx bii xfadu. Hd~mufxm|v

    ud|sfedu b|d abhd bsbfiblid xm f`sduxm|u xo|mtgo hd~mufxm|v ~b|xfef~b`xu b`

    fa~m|xb`x if`j ldxwdd` xod hd~mufxm|v b`h xod ld`dcfefbi mw`d| /f`sduxm|&. Xod

    l|mjf`g cf|au xm hm xodud bexfsfxfdu sd|v dccdexfsdiv.

    Xod LOBSD emaafxxdd udx t~ lv UDLF m` xod fuutd mc |dhtexfm` mc hdafx

    emuxu obu |fgoxiv |demaad`hdh xobx ema~b`fdu obsd ldd` abjf`g utluxb xfbi

    ubsf`g m` uob|d x|b`ucd| wm|j) ~|f`xf`g ~muxbgd b`h uxbcc ubib|v dxe. Xod|dcm|d wbvub`h adb`u abv cmt`h mtx xm abjd xodud ema~b`fdu ldb| bx idbux b utluxb`xfbi ~b|x

    mc xod emux mc hdabxd|fbif{bxfm`) wofeo wfii ~|msfhd umad |difdc xm xod f`sduxm|u.

    M`ed xod udet|fxfdu b|d hdabxd|fbif{dh fx fu `mx ~muuflid cm| xod hd~mufxm|fdu xm

    uxm~ x|b`ufxfm`u f` |du~dex mc xodud udet|fxfdu dsd` fc mxod| fuutd|u cbfi xm ~bv xod cddu

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    f`ebud gmdu bgbf`ux xod f`xd|dux mc xod f`sduxm|u) bu mcxd` ob~~d`u f` xod ebud mc

    utu~d`ufm` mc x|bhf`g lv uxmej deob`gd cm| `m` ~bvad`x mc ifuxf`g cddu.

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    2.5 B ^\MCFID MC JB\SV UXMEJ L\MJF@G IXH.

    Xod lf|xo mc Jb|sv wbu m` b amhdux uebid f` 26?2. Fx ldgb` wfxo xod sfufm`

    b`h d`xd|~|fud mc b uabii g|mt~ mc ~|bexfef`g Eob|xd|dh Beemt`xb`xu wom cmt`hdh

    xod cibguof~ ema~b`v. Jb|sv Em`utixb`xu Ifafxdh. Wd uxb|xdh wfxo em`utixf`g b`h

    cf`b`efbi beemt`xf`g btxmabxfm`) b`h eb|sdh f`|mbhu f`xm xod cfdih mc |dgfux|v b`h

    uob|d beemt`xf`g lv 26?4. Uf`ed xod`) wd obsd txfif{dh mt| d~d|fd`ed b`h

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    F`hfbu ~|dafd| f`xdg|bxdh cf`b`efbi ud|sfed d`xd|~|fud.

    Xotu msd| xod ibux vdb|u Jb|sv obu x|bsdidh xod uteeduu |mtxd) xmwb|hu

    ltfihf`g b |d~txbxfm` bu b` f`xdg|bxdh cf`b`efbi ud|sfedu ~|msfhd|) mccd|f`g b wfhd

    u~dex|ta mc ud|sfedu. B`h wd obsd abhd xofu kmt|`dv lv xbjf`g xod |mtxd mc rtbifxvud|sfed) ~bxo l|dbjf`g f``msbxfm`u f` ud|sfed) sd|ubxfifxv f` ud|sfed b`h cf`biiv

    xmxbifxv f` ud|sfed. Mt| ofgoiv rtbifcfdh ab`~mwd|) etxxf`g!dhgd xdeo`mimgv)

    ema~|dod`ufsd f`c|bux|text|d b`h xmxbi etuxmad|!cmetu obu udet|dh cm| tu xod

    ~mufxfm` mc b` dad|gf`g cf`b`efbi ud|sfedu gfb`x d`kmvf`g xod em`cfhd`ed b`h ut~~m|x

    mc b` d`sfblid eifd`xdid be|muu hfsd|ud cfdihu f` xod cf`b`efbi wm|ih.

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    Mt| sbitdu b`h sfufm` mc bxxbf`f`g xmxbi ema~dxd`ed f` mt| ud|sfef`g obu

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    umifh m` mt| cm|x|duudu mc cf`b`efbi ux|d`gxo ! mt| sb|fmtu ema~b`fdu.

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    vdb|u mc ema~idxd d~d|xfud f` xod f`htux|v xm immj cm|wb|h xm) wd obsd `mw dad|gdh

    bu b ~|dafd| f`xdg|bxdh cf`b`efbi ud|sfedu ~|msfhd|.

    B`h xmhbv) wd eb` immj wfxo ~|fhd bx xod c|tfxu mc mt| abuxd|v b`h d~d|fd`ed

    ema~|dod`ufsd cf`b`efbi ud|sfedu xobx b|d ema~dxd`xiv udg|dgbxdh xm ud|sfed b`h

    ab`bgd b hfsd|ud |b`gd mc etuxmad| |drtf|dad`xu.

    Beofdsdad`xu

    Bam`g xod xm~ 4 uxmej l|mjd|u f` F`hfb /8$ mc @UD smitadu&

    F`hfb'u @m. 2 \dgfux|b| # Udet|fxfdu X|b`ucd| Bgd`xu

    Bam`g xod xm xm~ 5 Hd~mufxm|v ^b|xfef~b`xu

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    FUM 6>>< ed|xfcfdh m~d|bxfm`u lv H@S

    Bam`g xm~ 2> F`sduxad`x lb`jd|u

    Ib|gdux Hfux|fltxm| mc Cf`b`efbi ^|mhtexu

    Bhkthgdh bu m`d mc xod xm~ 4> FX tudu f` F`hfb lv AFU Bufb

    Ctii Cidhgdh FX h|fsd` m~d|bxfm`u

    Jb|sv Biifb`ed

    Jb|sv Ema~txd| uob|d ^|fsbxd Ifafxdh fu b 4>;4> kmf`x sd`xt|d mc Jb|sv

    Em`utixb`xu Ifafxdh b`h Ema~txd| uob|d Ifafxdh) Btux|bifb. Ema~txd| uob|d Ifafxdh

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    fu wm|ih'u ib|gdux !! b`h m`iv gimlbi !! uob|d |dgfux|v) b`h b idbhf g cf`b`efbi ab|jdx

    ud|sfedu ~|msfhd| xm xod gimlbi udet|fxfdu f`htux|v.

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    xod wm|ih) ud|sfef`g msd| 3> afiifm` uob|domihd| beemt`xu cm| msd| 7)>>> em|~m|bxfm`u

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    am|d xob` 7> afiifm` uob|domihd| beemt`xu cm| msd| 25)>>> em|~m|bxfm`u b|mt`h xod

    wm|ih.

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    Uob|d X|b`ucd| Bgd`x ud|sfef`g msd| 5>> em|~m|bxdu b`h atxtbi ct`hu b`h 23 afiifm`

    f`sduxm|u.

    Rtbifxv ^mifev

    Xm beofdsd b`h |dxbf` idbhd|uof~) Jb|sv uobii bfa cm| ema~idxd etuxmad|

    ubxfucbexfm`) lv emalf f`g fxu otab` b`h xdeo`mimgfebi |dumt|edu) xm ~|msfhd

    ut~d|fm| rtbifxv cf`b`efbi ud|sfedu. F` xod ~|meduu) Jb|sv wfii ux|fsd xm

    deddh Etuxmad|'u d~dexbxfm`u.

    Rtbifxv Mlkdexfsdu

    Bu ~d| xod Rtbifxv ^mifev) Jb|sv wfii ;

    Ltfih f`!omtud ~|meduudu xobx wfii d`ut|d x|b`u~b|d`x b`h ob|am`fmtu|dibxfm`uof~u wfxo fxu eifd`xu b`h f`sduxm|u xm ~|msfhd ofgo rtbifxv mcud|sfedu.

    Duxblifuo b ~b|x`d| |dibxfm`uof~ wfxo fxu f`sduxm| ud|sfed bgd`xu b`hsd`hm|u xobx wfii odi~ f` jdd~f`g t~ fxu emaafxad`xu xm xod etuxmad|u.

    ^|msfhd ofgo rtbifxv mc wm|j ifcd cm| bii fxu da~imvddu b`h drtf~ xodawfxo bhdrtbxd j`mwidhgd # ujfiiu um bu xm |du~m`h xm etuxmad|'u`ddhu.

    Em`xf`td xm t~omih xod sbitdu mc om`duxv # f`xdg|fxv b`h ux|fsd xmduxblifuo t`~b|biididh uxb`hb|hu f` ltuf`duu dxofeu.

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    Tud uxbxd!mc!xod b|x f`cm|abxfm` xdeo`mimgv f` hdsdim~f`g `dw b`hf``msbxfsd cf`b`efbi ~|mhtexu b`h ud|sfedu xm addx xod eob`gf`g `ddhumc f`sduxm|u b`h eifd`xu.

    Ux|fsd xm ld b |difblid umt|ed mc sbitd!bhhdh cf`b`efbi ~|mhtexu b`hud|sfedu b`h em`uxb`xiv gtfhd xod f`hfsfhtbiu b`h f`uxfxtxfm`u f` abjf`g

    b kthfefmtu eomfed mc ubad.

    Ux|fsd xm jdd~ bii uxbjd!omihd|u/uob|domihd|u) eifd`xu) f`sduxm|u)da~imvddu) ut~~ifd|u b`h |dgtibxm|v btxom|fxfdu& ~|mth b`h ubxfucfdh.

    Jdv ^dm~id f` Jb|sv

    Lmb|h mc Hf|dexm|u Jb|sv Em`utixb`xu Ixh.

    ^b|xobub|bxov E Vtgb`hob| A. \babj|fuo`b A.U.

    ^|bubh S ^mxit|f

    Lmb|h mc Hf|dexm|u Jb|sv Udet|fxfdu Ixh.

    ^b|xobub|bxov E Vtgb`hob| A. \babj|fuo`b A.U.

    Lmb|h mc Hf|dexm|u Jb|sv Uxmej L|mjf`g Ixh.

    ^b|xobub|bxov E Vtgb`hob| A. \babj|fuo`b A.U.

    Lmb|h mc Hf|dexm|u Jb|sv F`sduxm| Ud|sfedu Ixh.

    ^b|xobub|bxov E Vtgb`hob| A.

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    \babj|fuo`b A.U.

    Jdv Em`xbexu bx Odbh Mccfed

    G. Gm~bibj|fuo`babeob|vtit

    S. Gb`duo S.Aboduo J U|fhob| U Gm~feob`h

    2.8 MLKDEXFSDU MC XOD UXTHV

    Xm b`biv{d xod uob|d ~|fed amsdad`xu mc ~ob|abedtxfebi f`htux|fdu) fx

    f`htux|fdu b`h lb`jf`g udexm|u.

    Xm buuduu xod ~|fed amsdad`xu - |b`hma`duu mc ue|f~xu ldim`gu xm

    ^ob|ab) FX b`h Lb`jf`g udexm|.

    Xm b`biv{d xod ltiifuo b`h ldb|fuo x|d`h mc uob|du tuf`g xod Kb~b`dud

    eb`hid uxfej.

    Xm b`biv{d xod x|d`hu # x|d`h |dsd|ubi mc uob|du.

    2>

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    2.4 UEM^D MC XOD UXTHV

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    Xdeo`febi b`bivufu fu xod amux wfhdiv tudh xmmi cm| b`biv{f`g b`h ~|dhfexf`g

    xod x|d`h mc xod uxmej ab|jdx. Xofu b~~|mbeo fu xod mihdux b~~|mbeo xm drtfxv

    f`sduxad`x. Xdeo`febi b`bivufu odi~u xm uxthv xod ldobsfmt| mc xod ~|fed mc xod uxmej

    xm hdxd|af`d xod ctxt|d ~|fedu mc xod uxmej. Od`ed xod uxthv em`htexdh bx JB\SV

    UXMEJ L\MJF@G Ixh.. fu abhd xm b`biv{d xod ~|fed citextbxfm` f` xod uxmej ab|jdx.

    Cm| xofu ~t|~mud cmt| abkm| udexm|u sf{ FX) ^ob|abedtxfebiu) Mfi b`h gbu b`h

    Lb`jf`g udexm|. Xod litd eof~ xo|dd ema~b`fdu b|d em`ufhd|dh c|ma bam`g xodud

    udexm|u cm| xod uxthv ~t|~mud.

    2.3 IFAFXBXFM@U MC XOD UXTHV

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    M`iv 3 am`xou uba~idu wd|d xbjd` cm| b`bivufu. F` ebud hbxb u~b` f`g am|d xob`

    xofu b`bivufu abv uomw vdx b`mxod| |dutix.

    F`hd~xo b`h l|mbh uxthv b`h b`bivufu mc bii xod abkm| b`h af`m| ema~b`fdu f` dbeo

    mc xod udidexdh udexm| wd|d `mx ~muuflid wfxo ifafxdh xfad mc 84 hbvu.

    Xofu b`bivufu fu lbudh m` xod buuta~xfm` xobx ofuxm|v |d~dbxu fxudic fx abv `mx ld x|td

    t`hd| xod f`citd`ed mc umad ct`hbad`xbi cbexm|u ifjd dem`mafe) f`htux|fbi b`h

    ema~b`fdu cbexm|u.

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    EOB^XD\;

    \dudb|eo adxomhmimgv fu b wbv xm umisd xod |dudb|eo ~|mlida. F` fx xod

    sb|fmtu uxd~u xobx b|d gd`d|biiv bhm~xdh lv b |dudb|eod| f` uxthvf`g ofu |dudb|eo

    ~|mlida bim`g wfxo xod imgfe ldof`h xoda fu d~ibf dh. Bii xofu adb`u xobx fx fu

    `deduub|v cm| xod |dudb|eod| xm hdufg` ofu adxomhmimgv cm| ofu ~|mlida bu xod ubad

    abv hfccd| c|ma ~|mlida xm ~|mlida

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    BUUTA^XFM@U MC XDEO@FEBI B@BIVUFU /LBUFE ^\F@EF^IDU&

    Xod lbufe ~|f`ef~idu m` wofeo xdeo`febi b`bivufu fu lbudh abv ld utaab|fudh

    bu cmiimwu ;

    2& Xod ab|jdx sbitd mc b udet|fxv fu |dibxdh xm hdab`h b`h ut~~iv cbexm|u

    m~d|bxf`g f` xod ab|jdx.

    >!26>

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    ^|fab|v X|d`h;

    Xod ^|fab|v amsdad`xu b|d xod im`g |b`gd eveid xobx eb||fdu xod d`xf|d

    ab|jdx t~ m| hmw . Xofu fu xod im`g xd|a x|d`h f xod ab|jdx. B` t~wb|h ^|fab|v

    x|d`h |d~|dud`xu b Ltii ab|jdx) wod|d bu b hmw`wb|h ^|fab|v x|d`hu |d~|dud`xu bLdb| ab|jdx. B abkm| t~wb|h amsd fu ubfh xm meet|d wod` xod ofgo ~mf`x mc dbeo

    |biiv fu ofgod| xob` xod ofgod| ~mf`x mc xod ~|meddhf`g sbitd b`h xod imw ~mf`x mc dbeo

    hdeif`d fu ofgod| xob` xod imw ~mf x mc xod ~|meddhf`g hdeif`d ifjdwfud. B abkm|

    hmw`wb|h amsd fu ubfh xm meet|d xod` xod ofgo ~mf`x mc dbeo |biiv fu imwd| xob` xod

    ofgod| ~mf`x mc xod ~|dedhf`g hdeif`d.

    Xod cmiimwf`g g|b~o uomwu xobx ^|fab|v x|d`h mc Ltii Ab|jdx.

    ~ | f e d

    h b x d

    Xod cmiimwf`g g|b~o uomwu xod ~|fab|v idsdi mc Ldb| Ab|jdx.

    2?

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    H b x d

    ~ | f e d

    Udem`hb|v X|d`h;

    Xod udem`hb|v x|d`h m| f`xd|adhfbxd x|d`h amsdu bgbf`ux xod abf` x|d`hu

    b`h idbhu xm em||dexfm`. F` xod ltii ab|jdx xod udem`hb|v x|d`h wmtih |dutix f` xod

    cbii 55 33 $ mc xod db|ifd| |fud. F` xod ldb| ab|jdx xod udem`hb|v x|d`h eb||fdu xod

    ~|fed t~wb|h b`h em||dex xod abf` x|d`h. Xod em||dexfm` wmtih ld 55 33 $ mc xod

    db|ifd| cbii. F`xd|adhfbxd x|d`h em||dexu msd| lmtgox b`h msd| umih em`hfxfm .

    Ema~b|dh xm xod xfad xbjd` cm| xod ~|fab|v x|d`h) udem`hb|v x|d`h fu uofcx b`h rtfej.

    Xod cmiimwf`g cfgt|d uomwu xod udem`hb|v amsdad`x.

    26

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    H b x d

    Af`m| X|d`h ;

    Af`m| x|d`hu b|d ufa~iv xod hbfiv ~|fed citextbxfm`u. Af`m| x|d`hu x|fdu xm

    em||dex xod udem`hb|v x|d`h amsdad`x. Fx fu ldxxd| cm| xod f`sduxm|u xm em`ed`x|bxd

    m` ~|fab|v m| udem`hb|v x|d`hu xob` m` xod af`m| x|d`hu.

    EOB\XU

    Xdeo`febi b`bivuxu tud b sb|fdxv mc eob|xf g xdeo`frtdu. Eob|xu b|d xod

    sbitblid b`h dbufdux xmmiu f` xod xdeo`febi b`bivufu. Xod g|b~ofe ~|dud`xbxfm` mc xod

    hbxb odi~u xod f`sduxm| xm cf`h mtx xod x|d`h mc xod ~|fed wfxomtx b`v hfccfetixv. Xod

    eob|xu bium obsd xod cmiimwf`g tudu.

    2 U~mx xod et||d`x x|d`h cm| ltvf`g b`h udiif`g

    < F`hfebxd xod ~|mlblid ctxt|d bexfm` mc xod ab|jdx lv xod ~|mkdexfm`

    5 Uomw xod ~bux ofuxm|fe amsdad`x

    8 F`hfebxd xod fa~m|xb x b|dbu mc ut~~m|x b`h |dufuxb`ed

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    Cmiimwf`g b|d xod fa~m|xb`x eob|xu tudh lv xdeo`febi b`bivux.

    If`d Eob|x;

    Fx fu xod ufa~idux ~|fed eob|x. F` xofu eob|x xod eimuf`g ~|fedu mc b uob|d b|d

    ~imxdh m` xod _V g|b~o m` b hbv!xm!hbv lbufu. Xod eimuf`g ~|fed mc dbeo hbv wmtih

    ld |d~|dud`xdh lv b ~mf`x m` xod _V g|b~o.

    Bii xodud ~mf`x wmtih ld em``dexdh lv b ux|bfgox if`d) wofeo wmtih f`hfebxd xod

    x|d`h mc xod ab|jdx. Xod cmiimwf`g eob|x uomwu xod if`d eob|x.

    Lb| eob|x;

    Fx fu xod amux ~m~tib| eob|x tudh lv xdeo`febi b`bivuxu. F` xofu eob|x xod

    ofgodux ~|fed xod imwdux ~|fed b`h xod eimuf`g ~|fed mc dbeo hbv b|d rtmxdh m` b hbv!xm!hbv lbufu lv cff`g xod ofgodux ~|fed b`h imwdux ~|fed mc b ~b|xfetib| hbv lv b

    sd|xfebi if`d. Xod xm~ mc lb| |d~|dud`xu xod imwdux ~|fed mc xod hbv b`h b uabii

    om|f{m`xbi if`d m` xod |fgox mc xod lb| fu tudh xm |d~|dud`x xod eimuf`g ~|fed mc xod

    hbv.b` dba~id mc ~|fed lb| eob|x uomw` f` xod cmiimwf`g cfgt|d.

    ^mf`x b`h cfgt|d eob|x;

    ^mf`x b`h cfgt|d eob|x obu xod cmiimwf`g cdbxt|du)

    2& M` b ^CE m`iv ufg`fcfeb x ~|fed eob`gdu b|d |dem|hdh. Cm| dba~id) cm| b

    uxmej xobx obu b ~|fed f` xod |b`gd mc) ubv 5>!4> \u. ~|fed eob`gdu m`d |t~dd

    m| am|d m`iv abv ld ~muxdh.

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    Kb~b`fdu Eb`hiduxfej Eob|x ;

    Xod Kb~b`fdu eb`hiduxfej eob|x uomwu xod ofgodux ~|fed) xod imwdux ~|fed) xod

    m~d`f`g ~|fed b`h xod eimuf`g ~|fed mc uob|du m` b hbv xm hbv lbufu. Xod ofgodux

    ~|fed b`h imwdux ~|fed mc b hbv b|d kmf dh lv b sd|xfebi lb|. Xod m~d`f`g ~|fed b`h

    eimuf`g ~|fed mc xod hbv) wofeo wmtih cbii ldimw xod ofgodux) b`h xod im`gdux ~|fed

    wmtih ld |d~|dud`xdh lv b |dexb`gid. Um xobx xod ~|fed lb| eob|x immj ifjd b

    eb`hiduxfej. Xotu dbeo hbvu mc bexfsfxv fu |d~|dud`xdh lv b eb`hiduxfej.

    Xod|d b|d abf`iv xo|dd xv~du mc eb`hiduxfej Xod wofxd) xod libej) xod hmgf m|

    `dtx|bi eb`hiduxfej. B wofxd eb`hiduxfej fu tudh xm ~|dud`x b ufxtbxfm`. Wod|d xod

    eimuf`g ~|fed mc xod hbv fu ofgod| xob` xod m~d`f`g ~|fed. B libej eb`hiduxfej fu tudh

    wod` xod eimuf`g ~|fed mc xod hbv fu imwd| xob` xod m~d f`g ~|fed. Xotu wofxd

    eb`hiduxfej f`hfebxdu b ltiifuo x|d`h b`h b libej eb`hiduxfej f`hfebxdu b ldb|fuo

    x|d`h. B hmgf eb`hiduxfej fu xod m`d wod|d xod m~d`f`g ~|fed b`h xod eimuf`g ~|fed mc

    xod hbv b|d ubad. B Kb~b`fdu eb`hiduxfej uxmej fu fiitux|bxdh ldimw.

    X\D@HU B@H X\D@H \DSD\UBI

    X|d`h fu xod hf|dexfm` mc amsdad`x mc uob|d ~|fed f` xod ab|jdx. Wod` ~|fedu

    amsd t~wb|hu) fx fu b |fuf`g x|d`h m| t~ x|d`h. Wod` xod ~|fedu amsd hmw` wb|hu fx

    fu b cbiif`g x|d`h m| hmw` x|d`h. Xod|d fu b cibx x|d`h wod` xod ~|fedu amsd wfxo f` b

    `b||mw |b`gd.

    Xod eob`gd f` xod hf|dexfm` mc x|d`h fu |dcd||dh xm bu x|d`h |dsd|ubi b uob|d

    xobx doflfxu. B |fuf`g x|d`h abv uxb|x xm am|d `b||mwiv m| cbii bcxd| umad xfad. Xofu

    eob`gd f` xod hf|dexfm` mc amsdad`x |d~|dud`xu b x|d`h |dsd|ubi. Xod |dsd|ubi c|ma

    b |fuf`g x|d`h xm b cbiif`g x|d`h fu ab|jdh lv xod cm|abxfm` mc imwd| xm~ b`h imwd|

    lmxxma. F` xod ubad wbv xod |dsd|ubi c|ma b cbiif`g x|d`h xm |fuf`g x|d`h fu

    eob|bexd|f{dh lv xod cm|abxfm` mc ofgod| lmxxma b`h ofgod| xm~.

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    Xod xdeo`febi b`bivux x|fdu xm fhd`xfcv x|d`h |dsd|ubi bx b` db|iv uxbgd um bu xm

    x|bhd ~|mcfxblid f` xod ab|jdx. Wod` xod x|d`h |dsd|udu b`h ldgf`u xm |bfud xod

    xdeo`febi b`bivux wmtih |demaad`h ~t|eobud mc xod uob|d. Wod` xod x|d`h ldgf`u

    xm cbii) ubid fu f`hfebxdh) ht|f`g b cibx x|d`h xod f`sduxm| uomtih uxbv bwbv c|ma xod

    ab|jdx.

    Ut~~m|x b`h |dufuxb`ed idsdi

    Ut~~m|x b`h |dufuxb`ed b|d ~|fed idsdiu bx wofeo xod hmw` x|d`h m| t~ x|d`h f` ~|fed

    amsdad`xu b|d |dsd|udh. Ut~~m|x meet|u wod` ~|fed fu cbiif`g ltx |dsd|udu hf|dexfm`

    dsd|v xfad fx |dbeodu b ~b|xfetib| idsdi. Wod` bii xodud imw ~mf`xu b|d em``dexdh lv

    b om|f{m`xbi if`d) fx cm|au xod ut~~m|x if`d. F` mxod| wm|hu ut~~m|x idsdi fu xod ~|fed

    idsdi bx wofeo utccfefd`x ltvf`g ~|duut|d) fu dd|xdh xm obic xod cbii f` ~|fedu.

    \dufuxb`ed meet|u wod` xod uob|d ~|fed amsdu t~wb|hu. Xod ~|fed abv lmt`hu

    lbej dsd|v xfad fx |dbeodu b ~b|xfetib| idsdi. B om|f{m`xbi if`d kmf f`g xodud xm~u

    cm|au xod |dufuxb`ed idsdi. Xotu |dufuxb`ed idsdi fu xod ~|fed idsdi wd|d utccfefd x

    udiif`g ~|duut|d dd|xdh xm obic xod m`gmf`g |fud f` xod ~|fed mc b uob|d.

    Ut~~m|x b`h |dufuxb`ed tutbiiv meet|u wod` xod xt|`msd| mc ib|gd `tald| mc uob|d

    xd`h xm ld em`ed`x|bxdh bx udsd|bi ~|fed idsdi. Wod` xod uxmej xmteodu b ed|xbf

    idsdi b`h od` h|m~u) xofu fu ebiidh |dufuxb`ed b`h fc xod uxmej |dbeodu hmw` xm b

    ed|xbf` idsdi b`h xod` |fudu xod|d dfux b ut~~m|x. Xod cmiimwf`g cfgt|d uomwu ut~~m|x

    b`h |dufuxb`ed idsdi.

    2 Fc xod ue|f~x wod|d xm l|dbj xod ut~~m|x idsdi b`h amsd hmw`wb|hu) fx obu

    ldb|fuo fa~ifebxfm`u ufg`bif`g xod ~muuflfifxv mc b ct|xod| cbii f` xod ~|fedu.

    < Ufafib|iv fc xod ue|f~u wod|d xm ~d`dx|bxd xod |dufuxb`ed idsdi fx wmtih ld b`

    f`hfebxm| mc b ltiifuo x|d`h m| b ct|xod| |fud f` xod ~|fed.

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    Eb|x ^bxxd|`

    2 Odbh b`h Uomtihd| cm|abxfm`

    Xod amux ~m~tib| |dsd|ubi ~bxxd|` fu xod odbh b`h uomtihd| cm|abxfm`) wofeo

    tutbiiv meet|u bx xod d`h mc b im`g t~ x|d`h. Xofu cm|abxfm` doflfxu b ota~ m|

    xm~ cmiimwdh lv b uxfii ofgod| xm~ m| ~dbj b`h xod` b`mxod| ota~ m| imwd| xm~.

    Xofu cm|abxfm` |dudalidu xod odbh b`h xwm uomtihd|u mc b ab` b`h xod `bad

    odbh b`h uomtihd| cm|abxfm`.

    Xod cf|ux ota~) j`mw` bu xod idcx uomtihd|) fu cm|adh wod` xod ~|fedu |dbeo xod

    xm~ t`hd| b ux|m`g ltvf`g fa~tiud. Xod` x|bhf`g smitad ldemadu iduu b`h xod|d

    fu b uom|x hmw`wb|h uwf`g. Xofu cmiimwdh lv b`mxod| ofgo smitad bhsb`ed)

    wofeo xbjdu xod ~|fed xm b ofgod| xm~ j`mw` bu xod odbh. Xofu fu cmiimwdh lv

    b`mxod| |dbexfm` m` iduu smitad) wofeo xbjdu xod ~|fed xbjd xm lmxxma `db| xm xod

    db|ifd| hmw` uwf`g. B xof|h |biiv `mw meet|u xbjf`g xod ~|fed xm b odfgox iduu xob`

    xod cfdh ltx ema~b|blid xm xod idcx uomtihd|.

    Xofu |biiv |dutixu f` xod cm|abxfm` mc xod |fgox uomtihd| b om|f{m`xbi if`d kmf`f`g xod

    lmxxmau xofu cm|abxfm` fu j`mw` bu xod `dejif`d. Bu xod ~|fed ~d`dx|bxdu xofu

    `dejif`d xod cm|abxfm` mc odbh b`h uomtihd| fu ema~idxdh.

    Xod O b`h U cm|abxfm` tutbiiv meet|u bx xod d`h mc ltii ~obud b`h fu f`hfebxfsd mc

    b |dsd|ubi x|d`h bcxd| l|dbjf`g xod `dejif`d xod ~|fed fu dda~xdh xm hdeif`d

    uob|~iv.

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    F`sd|ud odbh b`h uomtihd| cm|abxfm`

    Xofu ~bxxd| fu xod |dsd|ud mc xod O b`h U cm|abxfm`. Xofu meet|u bx xod d`h mc b

    ldb| ~obud b`h em`ufux mc xo|dd hfuxf`ex lmxxmau. Xod cf|ux lmxxma fu xod idcx

    uomtihd|) b`h xod` emadu b imwd| lmxxma) wofeo cm|au xod odbh cmiimwdh lv xodxof|h lmxxma) wofeo fu xd|adh bu xod |fgox uomtihd|. Xod `dejif`d fu h|bw` lv

    kmf`f`g xod xm~u c|ma wofeo xod odbh b`h |fgox uomtihd| m|fgf`bxd. Wod` xod ~|fed

    |bfudu blmsd xod `dejif`d xod cm|abxfm` mc xod ~bxxd|` fu em`ufhd|dh xm ld

    ema~idxdh. Xod f`sd|ud odbh b`h uomtihd| ~bxxd|` fu bium b |dsd|ubi ~bxxd|`

    f`hfebxfsd mc b` m`emaf`g ltiifuo ~obud.

    < S Cm|abxfm`

    Xod `bad fx udic f`hfebxdh xobx xod S cm|abxfm` xod|d fu b im`g uob|~ hdeif`d b`h

    cbux |dsd|ubi. Xod S ~bxxd| meet|u amuxiv f` xod ~m~tib| uxmeju wod|d xod

    ab|jdx f`xd|dux eob`gdu rtfejiv c|ma om~d xm cdb| b`h sfed sd|ub. F` xod ebud mc

    f`sd|xdh P xod |fud meet|u cf|ux b`h hdeif`du.

    F` xofu ~bxxd|` xod f`sduxm| obu xm ltv bcxd| t~ x|d`h obu uxb|xdh b`h dfx ldcm|d

    xod xm~d fu |dbeodh.

    5 Hmtlid xm~ b`h Lmxxma / A b`h W ~bxxd|`&

    Xofu xv~d mc cm|abxfm` ufg`biu xod d`h mc m`d x|d`h b`h xod ldgf``f`g mc b`mxod|.

    Fc xod hmtlid xm~ cm|adh wod` b uxmej ~|fed |fudu xm b ed|xbf` idsdi) cbiiu |b~fhiv)

    bgbf` |fudu xm ubad odfgox m| am|d b`h xt| u hmw`. Fxu ~bxxd|` |dudalidu xod

    idxxd| A xod hmtlid xm~ abv f`hfebxd xod m`udx mc xod ldb| ab|jdx.

    F` b hmtlid b lmxxma) xod ~|fed mc xod uxmej cbiiu xm b ed|xbf` idsdi b`h f`e|dbud

    wfxo hfaf`fuof`g bexfsfxv xod` fx cbiiu bgbf` xm xod ubad m| xm b imwd| ~|fed b`h

    xt|`u t~ xm b ofgod| idsdi. Xod hmtlid lmxxma |dudalidu xod ldxxd| W.Xdeo`febi b`bivux sfdw hmtlid lmxxma bu b ufg` cm| ltii ab|j

    8 X|fb`gidu

    Xod x|fb`gid cm|abxfm` fu dbuv xm fhd`xfcv b`h ~m~tib| f` xdeo febi b`bivufu. Xod

    x|fb`gidu b|d mc b uvaadx|febi bued`hf`g) hdued`hf`g dxe.

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    b& Uvaadx|febi x|fb`gid ;

    Xofu ~bxxd|` fu abhd t~ mc ud|fdu mc citextbxfm`u) dbeo citextbxfm` uabiid| xob`

    xod ~|dsfmtu m`d xm~ hm `mx bxxbf` xod odfgox mc xod ~|dsfmtu xm~u ifjd wfud

    lmxxmau b|d ofgod| xob` xod ~|dsfmtu lmxxmau. Em``dexf`g xod imwd| xm~u xobxb|d uxb`hf`g hmw`wb|h cm|au b uvaadx|febi x|fb`gid em``dexf g |fuf`g

    lmxxma) wofeo fu uxb`hf`g t~wb|h ldemadu xod imwd| x|d`h sbitd. Fx fu `mx

    dbuv xm ~|dhfex xod l|dbj bwbv dfxod| wbv. Xod uvaadx|febi x|fb`gid obu b`v

    lfbu xmwb|hu xod ltii b`h ldb| m~d|bxm|u. Fx f`hfebxdu xod uimw hmw` m|

    xda~m|b|v obic f` xod hf|dexfm`u mc xod m|fgf`bi x|d`h.

    l& Bued`hf`g X|fb`gid

    Od|d t~ x|d`h if`d fu biamux b om|f{m`xbi x|d`h if`d em``dexf`g xod xm~u b`h

    xod imwd| x|d`hu if`d fu b |fuf`g x|d`h if`d em``dexf`g xod |fuf`g lmxxmau.

    Bued`hf g x|fb`gid ~bxxd|` uomwu xod ltiifuo x|d`h. Xofu ~bxxd|` fu gd`d|biiv

    u~mxxdh ht|f`g b` t~ amsd b`h xod ~|mlblfifxv mc xod t~wb|h amsd fu ofgod|

    xod|d.

    e& Hdued`hf`g x|fb`gid

    Od|d em``dexf`g xod imwd| xm~u c|ma xod t~~d| x|d`h if`d. Xod t~~d| x|d`h

    if`d wmtih ld b cbiif`g m`d. Xod imwd| if`d f`hfebxdu xod ut~~m|x if`d. Xod

    ~bxxd|` f`hfebxdu xobx xod ldb| m~d|bxm|u b|d am|d ~mwd|cti xob` xod ltii

    m~d|bxm|u b`h uomwu b ldb|fuo x|d`h.

    4 Cibgu

    Xod cibg cm|abxfm` immju ifjd b ~b|biidimg|ba wfxo xod xwm x|d`h if`du c|ma xwm

    ~b|biidi if`du.

    Xod smitad mc x|bhf g fu d~dexdh xm cbii ht|f`g cm|abxfm` mc xod cibg b`h bgbf` ~fej

    t~ m` l|dbjf`g t~ f` xod ~bxxd|`.

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    Xdeo`febi f`hfebxm|u

    2 Smitad mc x|bhf`g

    Ofuxm|febi hbxb b`bivufu mc ~|fed b`h smitad amsdad`x f`hfebxdu xobx f` b `m|abi

    ab|jdx) xod ~|fed |fud f` beema~b`fdu lv b` d~b`hf`g smitad. Xd|af`bxfm` mc

    ~obud fu mcxd` beema~b`fdh lv b udiif`g eifab cmiimwf`g b hdeif`d f` ~|fedu: b odbsv

    smitad mc x|bhd wfxo ifxxid ~|fed eob`gd fu f`hfebxfsd mc beetatibxfm` b`h fu `m|abiiv

    b ltiifuo cbexm|. B ux|m`g ltii ab|jdx eb` dfux bu im`g bu ltvf`g ~|duut|d em`xf`tmtu

    xm ld ux|m`g. Xodud f`hfebxfm`u b|d xm ld uxthfdh eb|dctiiv ldcm|d b cf`bi hdefufm` fu

    xbjd` m` xod uxbxd mc xod ab|jdx) wodxod| b ltiifuo m| ldb|fuo) xod ~obud mc xod t~

    x|d`h m| hmw`x|d`h b`h immj cm| ltv b`h udii ufg`biu bx xod uxb|x mc xod |dsd|ubi

    x|d`hu.

    < L|dbhxo mc xod ab|jdx

    Xod l|dbhxo mc xod ab|jdx fu xod xd|a mcxd` tudh xm uxthv xod bhsb`edu b`h hdeif`du

    xobx obsd meet||dh f` xod uxmej ab|jdx. Bhsb`edu adb` xod `tald| mc uob|du

    womud ~|fed obu f`e|dbudh c|ma xod ~|dsfmtu hbvu x|bhf`g. Hdeif du f`hfebxd xod

    `tald| mc uob|du womud ~|fed obu cbiid` c|ma xod ~|dsfmtu hbvu x|bhf`g. Xofu fu

    dbuv xm ~imx b`h wbxeo f`hfebxm| ldebtud xobx b|d bsbfiblid bii ltuf`duu hbfifdu. Xod

    `dx hfccd|d`ed ldxwdd` xod `tald|u mc bhsb`edh b`h hdeif`dh ht|f`g xod ubad

    ~d|fmh u xod l|dbhxo mc xod ab|jdx. B etatibxfsd f`hd mc `dx hfccd|d`edu adbut|du

    xod ab|jdx l|dbhxo.

    5 Uom|x Ubid

    Uom|x udiif`g fu b xdeo`febi f`hfebxm| j`mw` bu uom|x f`xd|dux. Uom|x ubidu |dcd| xm xod

    udiif`g mc uob|du xobx b|d `mx mw` xod ldb|u b|d xod uom|x udiid|u wom udii `mw f` xod

    om~d mc ~t|eobuf`g bx b imwd| ~|fed f` xod ctxt|d xm abjd ~|mcfx. Xod uom|x udiid|u

    obsd xm emsd| mtx xodf| ~mufxfm`u. Uom|x ~mufxfm`u mc ue|f~u b|d ~tlifuodh f` xod

    ltuf`duu `dwu~b~d|u. Uom|x ubidu mc b ~b|xfetib| am`xo fu udidexdh b`h ema~b|dh

    wfxo xod bsd|bgd hbfiv smitad mc xod ~|dedhf g am`xou. Uom|x f`xd|dux |bxfm fu

    hdcf`dh bu cmiimwu.

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    Uom|x f`xd|dux |bxfm 1 Xmxbi `tald| mc uob|du umih uom|x -

    Bsd|bgd hbfiv x|bhf`g smitad

    Xofu |bxfm uomwu omw ab`v hbvu mc x|bhf`g fx wmtih ifjd xm tud|. Fc xod |bxfm fu iduu

    xob` xod m`d) ab|jdx fu ubfh xm ld wdbj m| msd| lmtgox b`h b hdeif`d eb` ldd~dexdh. Xod sbitd ldxwdd` 2 b`h >.4 uomwu `bxt|bi em`hfxfm` mc xod ab|jdx

    sbitdu blmsd 2 f`hfebxd ltiifuo x|d`h b`h fc fx fu blmsd < xod ab|jdx fu ubfh xm ld

    msd|umih bx ab|jdx xm~u) uom|x udiif`g fu ofgo b`h bx ab|jdx lmxxma uom|x udiif`g fu

    imw.

    8 Mhh imx x|bhf`g

    Uob|du b|d gd`d|biiv umih f` b imx mc 2>> uob|du) umih f` uabii imxu iduu xob` 2>> b|d

    ebiidh mhh imx. Uteo ltvd|u b`h udiid|u b|d ebiidh mhh imxd|u. Mhh imx ~t|eobudu xm

    mhh imx ubidu /~t|eobud - ubidu& b|d xod mhh imx f`hd. Xod f`e|dbud f` mhh imx

    ~t|eobud |dutixu f` b` f`e|dbud f` xod f`hd) |dibxfsdiv am|d udiif`g idbhu xm cbii f` xod

    f`hd. Fx fu gd`d|biiv em`ufhd|dh xobx xod ~|mcduufm`bi f`sduxm| fu am|d f cm|adh b`h

    ux|m`gd| xob` xod mhh imxu. Wod` xod ~|mcduufm`bi f`sduxm|u hmaf`bxd xod ab|jdx)

    xod uxmej ab|jdx fu xdeo`febiiv ux|m`g. Mc xod mhh imxd|u hmaf bxd xod ab|jdx) xod

    ab|jdx fu em`ufhd|dh xm ld xdeo febiiv wdbj. Xod `mxfm` ldof`h fu xobx mhh imx

    ~t|eobud fu em`ed`x|bxdh bx xod xm~ mc xod ab|jdx eveid b`h udiif`g bx lmxxma. Ofgomhh imx ~t|eobud cm|debux cbii f` xod ab|jdx ~|fed b`h imw ~t|eobud - udiif`g |bxfm

    ~|dutadh xm meet| xmwb|hu xod d`h mc ldb| ab|jdx.

    Abxodabxfebi f`hfebxm|u

    4 Amsf`g Bsd|bgd

    Xod ab|jdx f`hfebxdu hm `mx |fud m| cbii f` ux|bfgox if`d. Xod t~wb|h b`h hmw`wb|h

    amsdad`xu b|d f`xd|~|dxdh lv emt`xd|amsdu. Xod t`hd|if`d x|d`h eb` ld uxthfdh lv

    uammxod`f`g mc xod hbxb. Xm uammxo xod hbxb amsf`g bsd|bgd xdeo`frtd fu tudh.

    Xod amsf`g bsd|bgdu b|d tudh xm uxthv xod amsdad`x mc xod ab|jdx bu wdii bu xod

    f`hfsfhtbi ue|f~x ~|fed. Xod amsf`g bsd|bgd f`hfebxdu xod t`hd|if`f`g x|d`h f` xod

    ue|f~. Xod ~d|fmh mc bsd|bgd hdxd|af`du xod ~d|fmh mc x|d`h xobx fu ldf`g fhd`xfcfdh.

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    Cm| fhd`xfcvf`g uom|x xd|a x|d`h) 2> hbvu xm 5> hbvu amsf`g bsd|bgd fu tudh. F` xod

    ebud mc adhfta xd|a x|d`h 4> hbv xm 2 hbvu amsf`g

    bsd|bgd fu tudh xm fhd`xfcv im`g xd|a.

    b& F`hd b`h uxmej ~|fed amsf`g bsd|bgd ; F`hfsfhtbi uxmej ~|fed fu ema~b|dh wfxouxmej ab|jdx f`hfebxdu xod amsf`g bsd|bgd mc uxmej b`h xod f`hd b|d ~imxxdh f`

    xod ubad uoddx b`h x|d`hu b|d ema~b|dh. Mc @UD m| LUD f hd fu blmsd uxmej

    amsf`g bsd|bgd if`d) xod ~b|xfetib| uxmej obu ltiifuo x|d`h. Xod ~|fed abv

    f`e|dbud blmsd xod ab|jdx bsd|bgd. Fc xod UD@UD_ m| @FCXV fu ldimw xod

    uxmej amsf`g bsd|bgd) xod ldb|fuo ab|jdx eb` ld d~dexdh cm| xod ~b|xfetib|

    uxmej.

    Fc xod amsf`g bsd|bgd mc xod uxmej ~d`dx|bxdu xod uxmej ab|jdx f`hd c|mablmsd) fx gd`d|bif{d udii ufg`bi) t`cbsmt|blid ab|jdx em`hfxfm` ~|dsbfiu cm| xod

    ~b|xfetib| ue|f~ fc xod uxmej if`d ~tuo t~ xo|mtgo xod ab|jdx bsd|bgd) fx fu ltv ufg`bi.

    l& Uxmej ~|fed b`h uxmej ~|fedu amsf`g bsd|bgd ; Ltv b`h udii ufg`biu b|d ~|msfhdh

    lv xod amsf`g bsd|bgdu. Amsf`g bsd|bgdu b|d tudh bim`g wfxo xod ~|fed mc xod

    ue|f~. Xod uxmej ~|fed abv f`xd|udex xod amsf`g bsd|bgd bx b ~b|xfetib| ~mf x.

    Hmw`wb|h ~d`dx|bxfm` mc xod |fuf`g bsd|bgd f`hfebxdu xod ~muuflfifxv mc b ct|xod|

    cbii.

    4 Muefiibxm|u

    Muefiibxm|u b|d abxodabxfebi f`hfebxm|u ebietibxdh wfxo xod odi~ mc eimuf`g ~|fed hbxb.

    Xodv odi~ xm fhd`xfcv msd| lmtgox b`h msd|umih em`hfxfm`u b`h bium xod ~muuflfifxv mc

    x|d`h |dsd|ubi. Xodud f`hfebxm|u b|d ebiidh muefiibxm|u ldebtud xodv amsd be|muu b

    |dcd|d`ed ~mf`x. Xod xwm fa~m|xb`x muefiibxm|u b|d

    f& \bxd Mc Eob`gd F`hfebxm| /\ME&

    ff& \dibxfsd Ux|d`gxo F hd /\UF&

    f& \bxd mc eob`gd f`hfebxm| ; Fx fu sd|v ~m~tib| muefiibxm|) wofeo adbut|du xod |bxd

    mc eob`gd mc xod et||d`x ~|fed bu ema~b|dh xm xod ~|fed mc ed|xbf` `tald| mc

    hbvu m| wddju lbej. Xm ebietibxd udsd` hbvu |bxd mc eob`gd dbeo hbv ~|fed

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    fu hfsfhdh lv xod ~|fed) wofeo ~|dsbfiu udsd` hbvu bgm b`h xod` m`d) fu

    utlux|bexdh c|ma xofu ~|fed |bxdu.

    \ME 1 et||d`x ~|fed - ~|fed ` ~d|fmh bgm

    Xod \ME sbitdu abv ld ~mufxfsd) `dgbxfsd m| {d|m. Xod \ME sbitdu b|d

    ~imxxdh m` b v g|b~o) wod|d xod '' bfu |d~|dud`xu xod xfad b`h xod 'v' bfu

    |d~|dud`xu xod sbitdu mc \ME. \ME sbitdu muefiibxd be|muu xod {d|m if`d

    wod` xod \ME if`d fu blmsd xod {d|m if`d) xod ~|fed fu |fuf`g wod` fx fu ldiimw

    xod {d|m if`d) xod ~|fed fu cbiif g. B` \ME eob|x fu uomw` f` xod cmiimwf`g

    cfgt|d.

    ff& \dibxfsd ux|d`gxo f`hd ; Xofu fu b ~mwd|cti f`hfebxm| xobx ufg`biu ltvf`g b`h

    udiif`g m~~m|xt`fxv. \UF cm| b uob|d ebietibxdh lv tuf`g xod cmiimwf`g cm|atib.

    \UF 1 2>> /2>> - 2* \u.&

    \U 1 Bsd|bgd gbf` ~d| hbv - Bsd|bgd imuu ~d| hbv

    Xod amux emaam`iv tudh xfad ~d|fmh cm| xod ebietibxfm` mc \UF fu 28 hbvu. Cm| xod

    ebietibxfm` mc 28 hbvu \UF) xod gbf` ~d| hbv m| imuu ~d| hbv fu b||fsdh lv ema~b|f`g

    b eimuf`g ~|fed mc b hbv wfxo xobx mc xod ~|dsfmtu hbv cm| b ~d|fmh mc 28 hbvu. Xod

    gbf`u b|d bhhdh t~ b`h hfsfhdh lv 28 xm gdx xod bsd|bgd gbf` ~d| hbv. Ufafib|iv) xodimuudu b|d bhhdh t~ b`h hfsfhdh lv 28 xm gdx xod bsd|bgd imuu ~d| hbv.

    5>

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    EOB^XD\;5!B@BIVUFU B@H F@XD\^\DXBXFM@

    XBLIDUOMWF@G AMSF@G BSG CM\ F@CMUVU

    Hbxd Eimud Bsg Hbxd Eimud Bsg

    2!Kt`!>3 2.24

    26!Kt`!>3 .>34 2?!Kti!>3 23

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    F@XD\^\DXBXFM@;

    Xod amsf`g bsd|gd cm| f`cmuvu uomwu xobx fx obu ltv ufg`bi bx b ~mf`x b b`h b

    udii ufg`bi bx ~mf`x l.

    5>

    27>>

    26>>

    >

    >

    >

    >

    >

    52>>

    55>>

    54>>

    3-2->3

    3-?->3

    3-24->3

    3-3

    7-25->3

    7-->3

    ^\FED

    HBXD

    AMSF@G BSD\BGD CM\ F@CMUVU

    Eimud

    Bsg

    b

    l

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    \T@ XDUX MC F@CMUVU

    Hbxd Eimud Ufg` \t`u Hbxd Eimud Ufg` \t`u

    2!Kt`!>3 2.24* 23 55?4.34* 24

    26!Kt`!>3

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    \t` xdux1[[1/\!_&-\1@m. mc |t`u

    \1

    `2126

    `&-4.622>

    [1>

    F@XD\^\DXBXFM@;

    Uf`ed xod ebietibxdh sbitd fu > fu iduu xob` 2.63 xod |t`u b|d meet||dh lv

    eob`ed.

    58

  • 8/14/2019 A Study on Technical Analysis

    35/100

    XBLID UOMWF@G OFGO IMW EIMUD ^\FED CM\ F@CMUVU

    Hbxd M~d` Ofgo Imw Eimud Hbxd M~d` Ofgo Imw Eimud2!Kt`!>3 3 > 58.5 5222.>4 5268.

    23 > 2.24 23 55>> 58>> 54 55?4.3426!Kt`!>3 > 2 3 236?.7 236?.7 2355 2387.?43 .4 23>

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    F@XD\^\FDXBXFM@;

    Xod ofgo imw eimud eob|x uomwu xod ofgo)imw)eimud ~|fed mc b` drtfxv m`xod x|bhf`g hbv.

    53

  • 8/14/2019 A Study on Technical Analysis

    37/100

    XBLID UOMWF@G ODBH

    B@H UOMTIHD\ CM\F@CMUVU

    Hbxd ~|fed hbxd ~|fed2!Kt`!>3 2.24 4!Kti!>3 5268.226!Kt`!>3 >

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    XBLID UOMWF@G T^ X\D@H MC F@CMUVU

    hbxd ~|fed hbxd ~|fed hbxd ~|fed

    2!Ab|!>3 4.24 52!Ab|!>3 3 53 5283 52.24 2>!B~|!>3 52?6.5 6!Abv!>3 54

    6!Ab|!>3

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    F@XD\^\DXBXFM@;

    Xod t~ wb|h l|dbjf`g mc xod t~ wb|h x|d`h if`d fu b ltv ufg`bi b`h hmw` wb|hl|dbjf`g fu b udii ufg`bi.

    56

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    40/100

    XBLID UOMWF@G HMW@ X\D@H CM\ F@CMUVU

    Hbxd Eimud

    2!Kt`!>3

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    F@XD\^\FDXBXFM@;

    Xod eb`hiduxfej hfbg|ba uomwu lmxo xod libej)wofxd b`h hmlv eb`hid

    uxfej bium . Fx adb`u xobx xod|d fu citextbxfm`u f` xod ~|fed.

    8

  • 8/14/2019 A Study on Technical Analysis

    43/100

    AMSF@G BSG CM\ WF^\M

    Hbxd Eimud Bsg Hbxd Eimud Bsg

    2!Kt`!>3 888.7

    3 875.6 886.>543 836.6

  • 8/14/2019 A Study on Technical Analysis

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    F@XD\^\DXBXFM@;

    Xod amsf`g bsd|gd cm| uomwu xobx fx obu ltv ufg`bi bx b ~mf`x b b`h b udii

    ufg`bi bx ~mf`x l.

    88

  • 8/14/2019 A Study on Technical Analysis

    45/100

  • 8/14/2019 A Study on Technical Analysis

    46/100

    xdux1[!_&-um. mc |t`u>72`2`>43>!267?64&-5.>>43>7>

    F@XD\^\DXBXFM@;

    Uf`ed xod ebietibxdh sbitd fu .>7> fu iduu xob` 2.63 xod |t`u b|d

    meet||dh lv eob`ed.

    83

  • 8/14/2019 A Study on Technical Analysis

    47/100

    M^D@ OFGO IMW EIMUD ^\FED CM\ WF^\M

    87

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    48/100

    Hbxd M~d` Ofgo Imw Eimud Hbxd M~d` Ofgo Imw Eimud2!Kt`!>3 84< 837 855.2 888.7 3 834 8?8 848 875.63 887.>4 878 856.? 836.6 .64 8?6.23 8.84 2?!Kti!>3 873 8?? 872 8?4..54 836.3 26!Kti!>3 862.24 86?.7 84< 84?.54

    3 8?6 8?6 87< 874.54 !Kti!>3 87> 87?.8 834 836.643 8?> 8?2 83> 835.6 3 834 836.6 888.2 886

    F@XD\^\FDXBXFM@; Xod ofgo imw eimud eob|x uomwu xod ofgo)imw)eimud

    ~|fed mc b` drtfxv m` xod x|bhf`g hbv.

    .

    XBLID UOMWF@G ODBH B@H UOMTIHD\ CM\ WF^\M

    8?

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    F@XD\^\DXBXFM@;

    Xod l|dbjf`g mc xod `dej if`d m` xod |fgox uomtihd| fu b ltv ufg`bi b`h xod

    l|dbjf`g mc xod idcx uomtihd| fu b udii ufg`bi.

    HBXD ^\FED

    4!Kti!>3 863.?43!Kti!>3 862.2

    7!Kti!>3 83?.?4

    2>!Kti!>3 865.?4

    22!Kti!>3 864.4

    23 423.8

    25!Kti!>3 4>3 8?6.2

    27!Kti!>3 87?.7

    2?!Kti!>3 8?4.3 84?.54

    86

  • 8/14/2019 A Study on Technical Analysis

    50/100

    XBLID UOMWF@G T^ X\D@H MC WF^\M

    hbxd ~|fed hbxd ~|fed

    3 48?.6 26!Abv!>3 878.24

    3 453 4

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  • 8/14/2019 A Study on Technical Analysis

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    F@XD\^\DXBXFM@;

    Xod t~ wb|h l|dbjf`g mc xod hmw`wb|h x|d`h if`d fu b ltv ufg`bi b`h

    hmw` wb|h l|dbjf`g fu b udii ufg`bi.

    M^D@ OFGO IMW EIMUD ^\FED CM\ WF^\M

    Hbxd M~d` Ofgo Imw Eimud Hbxd M~d` Ofgo Imw Eimud

    4

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    2!Kt`!>3 84< 837 855.2 888.7 3 834 8?8 848 8753 887.>4 878 856.? 836.6 .64 8?63 8.84 2?!Kti!>3 873 8?? 872 8?4..54 836.3 26!Kti!>3 862.24 86?.7 84< 84?.53 8?6 8?6 87< 874.54 !Kti!>3 87> 87?.8 834 836.6

    3 8?> 8?2 83> 835.6 3 834 836.6 888.2 88

    F@XD\^\FDXBXFM@;

    Xod libej eb`hiduxfej adb`u ~|dsfmtu eimuf`g ~|fed fu am|d xob` xmhbvum~d`#wofxd adb`u m~d`f`g ~|fed fu g|dbxd| xob` xod ~|dsfmtu eimuf`g ~|fed.

    45

  • 8/14/2019 A Study on Technical Analysis

    54/100

    XBLID UOMWF@G AMSF@G BSD\DGD CM\ GIB_M

    Hbxd Eimud Bsg Hbxd Eimud Bsg

    2!Kt`!>3 2>73.44 3 633.2 63.32

    3 22.24 2>23.3 665.3 664.< 2>.?44

    3 6723.444

    48

  • 8/14/2019 A Study on Technical Analysis

    55/100

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    2!Kt`!>3 2>73.44 3 633.2 ! 6

    3 22.24 ! 28

    3 2>23.3 * ? !Kti!>3 664.< * 243 67

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    \t` xdux1[

    [1/\!_&-\1@m. mc |t`u

    \123

    `2123

    `8 fu iduu xob` 2.63 xod |t`u b|d meet||dh

    lv eob`ed.

    XBLID UOMWF@G OFGO IMW EIMUD ^\FED CM\ GIB_M

    Hbxd Ofgo Imw Eimud Hbxd Ofgo Imw Eimud

    2!Kb`!>3 2276 2>4> 2>73.44 3 6?> 653.< 633.23 2258.34 2>53.2 22 2>57 2>45.!Kt`!>3 2>4> 2>>6 2>57.5

    7!Kt`!>3 2>48.74 664 2>>3 5!Kti!>3 2>35.6 2>2? 2>48.24

    ?!Kt`!>3 2>>4 647.? 2>5>

    6!Kt`!>3 2>38 684.>4 2>83 2>88 2>57.3

    23 2>78 674 2>5?.64 3!Kti!>3 2>54 2>2< 2>2?.24

    25!Kt`!>3 663.64 654 642.? 7!Kti!>3 2>86 2>26 2>3 664 68> 64?.64 2>!Kti!>3 2>48 2>>5.74 2>86.24

    24!Kt`!>3 2>34 64? 2>5?.?4 22!Kti!>3 2>72.? 2>.24

    3 2>23.3 !Kti!>3 2>>6 6?4.< 664.5> 63< 67>> 67? 6?5

    47

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    58/100

    F@XD\^\FDXBXFM@;

    Xod ofgo imw eimud eob|x uomwu xod ofgo)imw)eimud ~|fed mc b` drtfxv m` xod

    x|bhf`g hbv.

    .

    4?

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    59/100

    XBLID UOMWF@G ODBH B@H UOMTIHD\ CM\ GIB_M

    Hbxd ^|fed Hbxd ^|fed

    3 2>23.3 22!Kti!>3 2>3

    3 633.2 25!Kti!>3 2>5.24

    8!Kti!>3 2>5> !Kti!>3 664.3 2>57.3 3 6?5

    3!Kti!>3 2>2?.24 3 66?.2

    7!Kti!>3 2>!Kti!>3 2>86.24 3 2>27

    F@XD\^\DXBXFM@;

    Xod l|dbjf`g mc xod `dej if`d m` xod |fgox uomtihd| fu b ltv ufg`bi b`h xod

    l|dbjf`g mc xod idcx uomtihd| fu b udii ufg`bi.

    XBLID UOMWF@G T^ X\D@H CM\ GIB_M

    46

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    Hbxd ^|fed Hbxd ^|fed Hbxd ^|fed

    6!Hde!>4 22.? 3 24 223 2?>.? 4!Kb`!>3 2!Kb`!>3 24 2>6?.6 3!Kb`!>3 2.7

    4 2>6?.? !Kb`!>3 23 28!Cdl!>3 254?

    F@XD\^\DXBXFM@;

    Xod t~ wb|h l|dbjf`g mc xod t~ wb|h x|d`h if`d fu b ltv ufg`bi b`h hmw` wb|h

    l|dbjf`g fu b udii ufg`bi.

    XBLID UOMWF@G HMW@ X\D@H CM\ GIB_M

    3>

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    Hbxd ^|fed Hbxd ^|fed Hbxd ^|fed

    3 2563 2>83 2827.74 23 2>5?.64

    8!Abv!>3 28.64 3 2277.7 25!Kt`!>3 642.?

    4!Abv!>3 285>.64 3 2247.< 28!Kt`!>3 64?.64

    ?!Abv!>3 2872.74 3 223>.4 24!Kt`!>3 2>5?.?46!Abv!>3 283?.24 3 2247.? 23!Kt`!>3 66?.24

    2>!Abv!>3 284>.8 5>!Abv!>3 2242.3 6?3.4

    22!Abv!>3 282?.7 52!Abv!>3 225> !Kt`!>3 672.64

    23 2825.3 2>73.44 3 6?8.6

    24!Abv!>3 25>7.4 3 22

    23!Abv!>3 23 2>?4.? 3 2>22

    27!Abv!>3 2524.4 3!Kt`!>3 2>45.23.3

    2?!Abv!>3 24.3 7!Kt`!>3 2>>3 3 673 22>3 67

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    XBLID UOMWF@G M^D@ OFGO IMW EIMUD ^\FED CM\ GIB_M

    Hbxd M~d` Ofgo Imw Eimud Hbxd M~d` Ofgo Imw Eimud

    2!Kb`!>3 2276 2276 2>4> 2>73.44 3 672 6?> 653.< 633.23 2>4> 2258.34 2>53.2 22 2>57 2>45.!Kt`!>3 2>25.6 2>4> 2>>6 2>57.5

    7!Kt`!>3 2>86.6 2>48.74 664 2>>3 5!Kti!>3 2>57.5 2>35.6 2>2? 2>48.24

    ?!Kt`!>3 666 2>>4 687.2 2>47.? 2>5>

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    23 2>84 2>78 674 2>5?.64 3!Kti!>3 2>54 2>54 2>2< 2>2?.24

    25!Kt`!>3 673 663.64 654 642.? 7!Kti!>3 2>86 2>26 2>3 677 664 68> 64?.64 2>!Kti!>3 2>>5.74 2>48 2>>5.74 2>86.24

    24!Kt`!>3 633 2>34 64? 2>5?.?4 22!Kti!>3 2>46.7 2>72.? 2>.24

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    3

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    63/100

    F@XD\^\FDXBXFM@;

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    35

  • 8/14/2019 A Study on Technical Analysis

    64/100

    XBLID UOMWF@G AMSF@G BSD\GD CM\ \B@LB_V

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    2!Kt`!>3 8>5.84 3 532.2 53.22

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  • 8/14/2019 A Study on Technical Analysis

    65/100

  • 8/14/2019 A Study on Technical Analysis

    66/100

    XBLID UOMWF@G \T@ XDUX CM\ \B@LB_V

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  • 8/14/2019 A Study on Technical Analysis

    67/100

    F@XD\^\DXBXFM@;

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    68/100

  • 8/14/2019 A Study on Technical Analysis

    69/100

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    XBLID UOMWF@G ODBH B@H UOMTIHD\ CM\ \B@LB_V

    36

  • 8/14/2019 A Study on Technical Analysis

    70/100

  • 8/14/2019 A Study on Technical Analysis

    71/100

  • 8/14/2019 A Study on Technical Analysis

    72/100

    XBLID UOMWF@G T^ X\D@H CM\ \B@LB_V

    F@XD\^\DXBXFM@;

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    3 8?2.24

    3 877.2

    3 87>.>4

  • 8/14/2019 A Study on Technical Analysis

    73/100

    XBLID UOMWF@G HMW@ X\D@H CM\ \B@LB_V

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    3 43 8?6.34

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    F@XD\^\DXBXFM@;

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    75

  • 8/14/2019 A Study on Technical Analysis

    74/100

    XBLID UOMWF@G M^D@ OFGO IMW EIMUD ^\FEDCM\ \B@LB_V

    F@XD\^\DXBXFM@;

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    XBLID UOMWF@G AMSF@G BSD\DGD CM\ FEFEF LB@J

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  • 8/14/2019 A Study on Technical Analysis

    75/100

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  • 8/14/2019 A Study on Technical Analysis

    76/100

  • 8/14/2019 A Study on Technical Analysis

    77/100

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  • 8/14/2019 A Study on Technical Analysis

    78/100

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    .74

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  • 8/14/2019 A Study on Technical Analysis

    80/100

    XBLID UOMWF@G ODBH B@H UOMTIHD\ CM\ FEFEF

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    81/100

    F@XD\^\DXBXFM@;

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  • 8/14/2019 A Study on Technical Analysis

    82/100

  • 8/14/2019 A Study on Technical Analysis

    83/100

    F@XD\^\DXBXFM@;

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    85/100

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  • 8/14/2019 A Study on Technical Analysis

    86/100

  • 8/14/2019 A Study on Technical Analysis

    87/100

  • 8/14/2019 A Study on Technical Analysis

    88/100

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  • 8/14/2019 A Study on Technical Analysis

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    90/100

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  • 8/14/2019 A Study on Technical Analysis

    91/100

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  • 8/14/2019 A Study on Technical Analysis

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  • 8/14/2019 A Study on Technical Analysis

    93/100

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  • 8/14/2019 A Study on Technical Analysis

    94/100

  • 8/14/2019 A Study on Technical Analysis

    95/100

  • 8/14/2019 A Study on Technical Analysis

    96/100

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    98/100

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  • 8/14/2019 A Study on Technical Analysis

    99/100

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