A world with 9 Billion people….

Towards Building global Water, Food and Energy Resilience

Dr. Ger BergkampDirector General

World Water Council

30 March 2009, S.A.I.S. Seminar, Washington DC

Historic Historic Dramatic Dramatic

CHANGECHANGEThe changing

’human enterprise’1750 - 2000

1950+ - human activities began to increase.....

PopulationPopulation WealthWealth InvestmentsInvestments

DamsDams

City PeopleCity People

Motor CyclesMotor Cycles

Water useWater use FertiliserFertiliser

PaperPaper

TouristsTourists

MacDonaldsMacDonalds

PhonesPhones

Zarqa River Basin (Jordan)

Bullet, statement

Bullet, statement

Image, graphs etc

The main drivers of the long-term outlook

Slow-down in world population growth

0.0

3.0

6.0

9.0

12.0

1750 1800 1850 1900 1950 2000 2050

To

tal p

op

ula

tio

n

(bill

ion

s)

0

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.5

0.6

0.7

0.8

0.9

An

nu

al in

cre

me

nts

(b

illio

ns)

Source: FAO & UN, World Population Assessment 2006

1950

Analysis Munich ReData:U.N. Population Division

World Cities: 5+ million

2015

Mekong Region – From rural to urban

Battling the storm and restoring water supplies and ecosystems

Bullet, statement

Energy Consumption and Income are LinkedEnergy Consumption and Income are Linked

5 billion low-income people in countries with rapid economic growth rates

Presented during 5th World Water Forum by FAO

Source: WWAP

The number of undernourished is increasingnumbers of undernourished in the world 1990-92 to 2008 (millions)

842832

848

923

963

700

750

800

850

900

950

1000

1050

1100

1990

-92

1995

-97

2003

-05

2007

2008

2009

2010

years

mill

ion

s

Source: FAO Preliminary est.

Projected impacts of climate change

1°C 2°C 5°C4°C3°C

Sea level rise threatens major cities

Falling crop yields in many areas, particularly developing regions

FoodFood

WaterWater

EcosystemsEcosystems

Risk of Abrupt and Risk of Abrupt and Major Irreversible Major Irreversible ChangesChanges

Global temperature change (relative to pre-industrial)0°C

Falling yields in many developed regions

Rising number of species face extinction

Increasing risk of dangerous feedbacks and abrupt, large-scale shifts in the climate system

Significant decreases in water availability in many areas, including Mediterranean and Southern Africa

Small mountain glaciers disappear – water supplies threatened in several areas

Extensive Damage to Coral Reefs

Extreme Extreme Weather Weather EventsEvents

Rising intensity of storms, forest fires, droughts, flooding and heat waves

Possible rising yields in some high latitude regions