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ปจจบนและอนาคตของยานยนตไฟฟาในประเทศไทย

ดร.ยศพงษ ลออนวล

นายกสมาคม

สมาคมยานยนตไฟฟาไทย

Motor Expo Professional Seminar

เราพรอมกาวสยานยนตไฟฟาแลวหรอยง ?

8 ธ.ค. 2559

2 Source: NATEF-Basics of Electric Vehicles http://www.natef.org/NATEF/media/NATEFMedia/VW%20Files/820233-Electric-Drives-7_9_2013_sm-(2).pdf

Electric Vehicle Technology

3 Source: Electric Vehicle Association of Thailand

Electric Vehicle Technology

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Plug-in Hybrid Electric Vehicles (PHEV)

BMW 330e

BMW x5 xDrive40e Volvo XC90 Drive-E Mercedes Benz C350e

Mercedes Benz S500 Porsche Cayenne S E-Hybrid

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Battery Electric Vehicles (BEV)

Tesla Model S

Nissan LEAF BMW i3 Mitsubishi i-MiEV

Smart fortwo EV BYD e-6

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Electric Bus in Thailand

6 BYD K9

Sikor Co.,Ltd. Cherdchai Industrial Factory Co.,Ltd.

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Micro Mobility Concept

Toyota i-road

Nissan New Mobility

Honda Beta

Toyota Auto Body Coms

FOMM- First One Mile Mobility

8 8 Source: Takahiko Miki, JARI, Summary of Standardization Activity – EV Battery Charging, EVTeC & APE Japan 2014.

AC Charging Standard

Charging System

9 9 Source: JARI, EV Charging in Japan: Issues and Countermeasures, 3rd AAI Summit, 3rd – 4th December 2014, Bangkok, Thailand.

Charging System

DC Charging Standard

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Example of AC Charging Stations

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Example of DC Fast-Charging Stations

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Tesla Model S inlet and plug in North America

Up to 120 kW

Tesla Model S inlet and plug in Europe

Up to 135 kW

Tesla Supercharger

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EV Battery as Energy Storage

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Evolution of the Global EV Stock 2010-2015

Source: International Energy Agency (IEA), Global EV Outlook 2016

1 million EV stock

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Global Plug-in Vehicle Sales 2015

Source: EV Volumes.com, URL: http://www.ev-volumes.com/country/total-world-plug-in-vehicle-volumes/

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Tesla Model 3 Booking Phenomena

Source: Tesla, URL: https://www.teslamotors.com/model3

Number of Reservation -115,000 (31 Mar 2016) -276,000 (2 Apr 2016) -over 400,000 (present)

Grand Opening: 31 March 2016

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EV Sales Forecast

Source: Vivek Vaidya, Future of EV in Thailand, Frost & Sullivan, presented in EVAT Grand Opening Ceremony on 3rd December 2015.

18 Source: International Energy Agency (IEA), Global EV Outlook 2016

Deployment scenarios for the stock of EV to 2030

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Battery Technology Improvement

Source: International Energy Agency (IEA), Global EV Outlook 2016

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Example of BEV Developments

Source: The new BMW i3 Date 06.09.2016

BMW i3 (22 kWh)

Model 2014

BMW i3 (33 kWh)

Model 2017

AC Charging Capacity

4.6 kW (2014) => 11 kW (2017)

Charging time reduce 5 hr=> 3hr

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Thailand towards the Automotive Hub of Production and R&D of ASEAN

National Reform Council (NRC)

Thai Government

Prime Minister

Ministry of Industry

Ministry of Energy

Ministry of Science and Technology

(NSTDA)

By the end of 2015 • EV prototype

• Battery development

• Energy resources

Feb 2015 March 2015 April 2015 Dec 2015

NRC proposed the National EV promotion project to Thai government.

Beginning of EV Policy in Thailand

EV Policy in Thailand

National Reform Council (NRC) : สภาปฏรปแหงชาต (สปช.)

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Thailand EV Policy

Approved by National Energy Committee, chaired by the Prime Minister on 11 March 2016

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EV Exhibition at the Government House

Vehicles showcases on 10 August 2016

includes • E-Passenger car • E-motorcycle • E-Tricycle (E-Tuk Tuk)

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100 Charging Outlets in Thailand Project

100 EV Charging Station Project Supported by EPPO

1. Hotel & Resort 2. Department Store 3. Offices 4. House estate/ Condo 5. Public service 6. Tourism service

Supporting Public & Private sectors to buy EV Objective

Targets Subsidy for Public

sectors Year 1-3 100%

Subsidy for Private sectors

Round 1 70% Round 2 50% Round 3 30%

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100 e-Tuk Tuk Project

Tuk Tuk รบจาง (รย.8) 80 คน

เปลยน 100,000 บาท

ซอใหม 300,000 บาท o บรเวณเกาะรตนโกสนทร o บรเวณคเมองเชยงใหม o จดเชอมตอ BTS-airport link

พญาไท -ขาวสาร - BTS อารย o นาเทยว เชน Smiling Tuk Tuk

สวนบคคล (รย.4)

20 คน เปลยน 100,000 บาท

ซอใหม 300,000 บาท

+

+

100 คน

อาชวศกษา/มหาวทยาลย แปลงตกตกเกา 100,000 บาท

Year 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Total

Target E-tuk Tuk 100 900 3,000 6,000 12,000 22,000

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BOI EV Promotion Draft Plan

Assembly Assembly+ manufacturing of main parts

Market test/ assembly line installation

BOI certificate

3rd 4th 5th 6th

(First Year of production) (4th Year of production) CIT (8 years)

Year 1st or 2nd

BEV Import Domestic Production Encourage Thai part supplier to

start EV components production domestically

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Department of Land Transport Regulation

Current Registration Regulation

• E-Motorcycle: Motor capacity ≥ 500 W and Max. speed ≥ 45 km/hr.

• Tricycle: Motor capacity ≥ 4 kW and Max. speed ≥ 45 km/hr.

• 4 Wheelers: Motor capacity ≥ 15 kW and Max. speed ≥ 45 km/hr.

Proposed Registration Regulation • E-Motorcycle:

Motor capacity ≥ 250 W (rated power) and Max. speed ≥ 45 km/hr.

• Tricycle: Motor capacity ≥ 4 kW (rated power) and Max. speed ≥ 45 km/hr.

• 4 Wheelers: Motor capacity ≥ 15 kW (rated power) and Max. speed ≥ 90 km/hr.

• Compact EV: Vehicle weight (excluding battery) ≤ 450 kg (for passenger) or ≤ 600 kg (for goods) and Motor capacity ≥ 4 kW (rated power) and Max. speed ≥ 45 km/hr.

28 28 Source: EPPO, URL Avaliable on 10 Aug 2016 https://web.facebook.com/951112324930938/photos/a.952606941448143.1073741828.951112324930938/1187973777911457

EV Actions by Government Sectors

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EV Market deployment

Source: IEA (2010) Energy Technology Perspective

PHEV & BEV

Elements of an BEV business to be consider:

•Cost of Battery

•Vehicle Range

•Driver Information

•Critical mass and economies of scale

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Thank you

Electric Vehicle Association of Thailand (EVAT) สมาคมยานยนตไฟฟาไทย http://www.evat.or.th

contact@evat.or.th

+66 86 390 3339