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Colorado 50+ Voters January 2018 https://doi.org/10.26419/res.00202.001

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Page 1: AARP Colorado 50+ Voters · Republicans in the Senate on things that will harm Colorado families Senator Cory Gardner has compromised too often with liberal Democrats in the Senate

Colorado 50+ Voters

January 2018https://doi.org/10.26419/res.00202.001

Page 2: AARP Colorado 50+ Voters · Republicans in the Senate on things that will harm Colorado families Senator Cory Gardner has compromised too often with liberal Democrats in the Senate

2

Methodology

AARP took a bipartisan approach to this research, using two firms,

BSG and GSSG to conduct and advise on all phases of research

design and execution.

800 telephone interviews were conducted from November 18-22,

2017 with registered voters ages 50+ in Colorado.

At the 95% confidence level, the margin of error for the entire sample

is ± 3.5%

Due to rounding, some percentages may not add up to 100%.

West: 20%Denver/Boulder: 23%

Arapahoe/Jefferson: 20%South/East: 36%

For more information, contact S. Kathi Brown of AARP Research at [email protected] from the Media should be directed to AARP’s Media Relations Department at [email protected].

Page 3: AARP Colorado 50+ Voters · Republicans in the Senate on things that will harm Colorado families Senator Cory Gardner has compromised too often with liberal Democrats in the Senate

3

Demographic Profile Of Colorado 50+ Voters

35 33 3252

4870 orolder

between60 and 69

between50 and 59 Female

Male

Race

22% high school or less

Gender

82%

10%

2%

3%

White

Hispanic

African-American

Native American

Age

31% some collegeor technical school

46% college grad or higher

Education

AARP

42% are AARP members

CSR

Party ID

Household Income

27% Democrat 45% Independent 28% Republican

36%

30%

23%

<$50k

$50-100k

$100k+

54% Yes 46% No

33%

32%

33%

City

Suburb

Rural

Veteran (self or family)

Page 4: AARP Colorado 50+ Voters · Republicans in the Senate on things that will harm Colorado families Senator Cory Gardner has compromised too often with liberal Democrats in the Senate

Political Landscape

Page 5: AARP Colorado 50+ Voters · Republicans in the Senate on things that will harm Colorado families Senator Cory Gardner has compromised too often with liberal Democrats in the Senate

5

50+ Voters’ Views Of Senator Gardner Largely Fall Along Partisan LinesFavorability of Senator Gardner by subgroup

QCO1: Do you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or very unfavorable view of Senator Cory Gardner?

36

21

29

55

38

34

32

40

23

18

34

18

19

26

25

20

41

61

37

27

43

40

42

40

Overall

Dem

Ind

Rep

Men

Women

50-64

65+

39

23

36

36

34

28

36

42

21

30

29

16

24

23

20

24

40

47

35

48

42

49

43

34

White

Non-white

<College

College+

Denver/ Boulder

Arapahoe/ JeffCo

West

South/ East

Favorable Unsure/Don’t know Unfavorable

Page 6: AARP Colorado 50+ Voters · Republicans in the Senate on things that will harm Colorado families Senator Cory Gardner has compromised too often with liberal Democrats in the Senate

6

Plurality Are Concerned Gardner Sides Too Often With Conservatives; Independence A StrongDriver Of FavorabilityWhich comes closest to your opinion?

Q12: Which of the following comes closest to your opinion?

15

4

11

28

28

20

26

37

34

59

36

11

Overall

Dem

Ind

Rep

Senator Cory Gardner has been anindependent senator, working on

both sides of the aisle to fight for thebest interest of Colorado families

Senator Cory Gardner has sided toooften with conservative

Republicans in the Senate on thingsthat will harm Colorado families

Senator Cory Gardner hascompromised too often with liberalDemocrats in the Senate on thingsthat will harm Colorado families

Don’t know

39-50 fav/unfavto Gardner 69-13 fav/unfav 14-75 fav/unfav

Page 7: AARP Colorado 50+ Voters · Republicans in the Senate on things that will harm Colorado families Senator Cory Gardner has compromised too often with liberal Democrats in the Senate

7

10-76fav/unfav

15-74fav/unfav

14-74fav/unfav

Republicans Better-Relate To Senator Gardner; Though He Leads On Caring For 50+ Voters,Ratings Drop Across All Parties On Views On Social Security, And MedicareHow well does this describe Sen. Gardner? (% total well)

Q5,6,8: How well does this describe Senator Gardner?

40

35

32

28

23

19

38

31

28

51

49

47

Cares about people like you

Understands the challenges facing older Americans

Represents your views on Social Security andMedicare

Overall Democrat Independent Republican Among those who say thisdescribes Gardner…

72-11fav/unfav

66-17fav/unfav

68-17fav/unfav

Well Not well

Page 8: AARP Colorado 50+ Voters · Republicans in the Senate on things that will harm Colorado families Senator Cory Gardner has compromised too often with liberal Democrats in the Senate

Mindset Of Colorado 50+ Voters

Page 9: AARP Colorado 50+ Voters · Republicans in the Senate on things that will harm Colorado families Senator Cory Gardner has compromised too often with liberal Democrats in the Senate

9

The Majority See Economy On The Rise, With The State’s Economy Outpacing The Rest Of TheCountry As A Whole…Is US/Colorado economy getting stronger or weaker?

Q15,Q16: In general would you say [the U.S./Colorado’s] economy is getting much stronger, getting somewhat stronger, staying the same,

getting somewhat weaker or getting much weaker?

57

68

23

20

19

12

US economy

Colorado'seconomy

Getting stronger Staying same/Don't know Getting weaker

Page 10: AARP Colorado 50+ Voters · Republicans in the Senate on things that will harm Colorado families Senator Cory Gardner has compromised too often with liberal Democrats in the Senate

10

…But These Gains Aren’t Felt On A Personal Level; Nearly Half Feel Stagnant, With Many MoreStruggling Than Getting AheadWhich describes your personal financial situation today?

Q17: Which of the following comes closest to describing your personal financial situation today? Getting ahead, staying where you are,

struggling to keep up, or falling backward?

21 20 1526 26

156

17

39

21 17 19 25

49 4951

4740 59

43

57

46

5051 49

47

22 24 2519

2420

37

2112

2322 23

22

7 7 6 7 9 512

5 3 5 10 7 6

Overall Dem Ind Rep 50-64 65+ <$40k $40-75k $75k+ Denver/Boulder

Arapahoe/JeffCo

West South/ East

Getting ahead Staying the same Struggling to keep up Falling backward

Page 11: AARP Colorado 50+ Voters · Republicans in the Senate on things that will harm Colorado families Senator Cory Gardner has compromised too often with liberal Democrats in the Senate

11

On An Open-Ended Basis, Health Care Cost Worries Are Most Top-Of-Mind For 50+ Voters

Q14: Please briefly describe the biggest fear you have facing you and your family today. Open end question; multiple responses accepted

19

8

8

7

7

6

6

Health care costs

Social Security/Medicare not being available

Financial hardship

Economy/jobs not available

Donald Trump being president

Taxes/tax bill

Nuclear war/North Korea

What is the biggest fear you have facing you and your family today?

Open end (showing answers >5%)

Page 12: AARP Colorado 50+ Voters · Republicans in the Senate on things that will harm Colorado families Senator Cory Gardner has compromised too often with liberal Democrats in the Senate

12

Political Divide Ranks As #1 Worry For Coloradans, But Rising Prices And Terrorism Aren’t FarBehind On List Of ConcernsHow often do you worry about…?

Q22-Q27: Do you worry about this very often, somewhat often, from time to time or almost never?

56

34

30

29

23

17

80

61

61

52

36

34

How divided America and Americans have become

Pricies rising faster than your income

Threat of terrorism in our country today

Not being able to afford the health care you need

Having to take care of an aging parent or family member

Not being able to retire when you want to, for financial reasons

Very often Somewhat often Total often

#1 forDem/Ind/Rep

#2 for Reps

#2 forDem and Ind

Page 13: AARP Colorado 50+ Voters · Republicans in the Senate on things that will harm Colorado families Senator Cory Gardner has compromised too often with liberal Democrats in the Senate

13

Just Two-Thirds Of Voters Are Confident In Their Retirement Future, And Very Few ExpressStrong ConfidenceHow confident are you that you will have enough money to live comfortably through your retirement?

Q18: Overall how confident are you that you will have enough money to live comfortably throughout your retirement years?

23 23 1926

1829 23 22

1322

32

66 65 6469

60

7367 64

51

7175

Overall Dem Ind Rep 50-64 65+ White Non-white <$40k $40-75k $75k+

Very Confident Somewhat Confident Total Confident

Page 14: AARP Colorado 50+ Voters · Republicans in the Senate on things that will harm Colorado families Senator Cory Gardner has compromised too often with liberal Democrats in the Senate

Colorado Issues

Page 15: AARP Colorado 50+ Voters · Republicans in the Senate on things that will harm Colorado families Senator Cory Gardner has compromised too often with liberal Democrats in the Senate

15

Voters Across Partisan Lines See Health Care Costs As Colorado’s Greatest Issue Today

Q13: In your opinion, what is the single most important issue facing Colorado today? Open end question; multiple responses accepted

20

11 9 8 8 7 7

24

11

48

5 5

11

21

12

6 58 8 8

1511

1511 9 10

3

Health care/costof health care

Growth/sprawl Marijuanalegalization

Taxes/tax bill Drugs/heroinepidemic

Economy/jobs Environment/climate change

Overall Democrat Independent Republican

What is the single most important issue facing Colorado today?

Open end (showing answers >5%)

Page 16: AARP Colorado 50+ Voters · Republicans in the Senate on things that will harm Colorado families Senator Cory Gardner has compromised too often with liberal Democrats in the Senate

16

Though A Lesser Concern Than Health Care Generally, Addressing Opioid Epidemic SeesStrong Support; Despite Sprawl Concerns, Voters 50+ Wary Of New Tax To Address The IssueDo you support or oppose this proposal?

QCO4-5,CO7: Do you strongly support, somewhat support, somewhat oppose or strongly oppose this proposal?

41

32

27

75

65

55

Providing additional services and addiction treatmentfor those who suffer from opioid addiction

Expanding access to internet and technology inColorado

Paying an additional tax in order to improve andcreate new transportation infrastructure in Colorado

Strongly support Somewhat support Total support

Majority of allparties support

Page 17: AARP Colorado 50+ Voters · Republicans in the Senate on things that will harm Colorado families Senator Cory Gardner has compromised too often with liberal Democrats in the Senate

17

Senator Gardner’s Ratings On His Efforts On Opioids Are Low

Q7: Is doing a good job fighting the opioid crisis. How well does this describe Senator Gardner?

27

20

24

35

33

43

33

25

Overall

Dem

Ind

Rep

Well Don't know Not Well

58-24 fav/unfav to Gardner 20-64 fav/unfav to Gardner

How well does this describe Senator Gardner?

“Is doing a good job fighting the opioid crisis”

Page 18: AARP Colorado 50+ Voters · Republicans in the Senate on things that will harm Colorado families Senator Cory Gardner has compromised too often with liberal Democrats in the Senate

18

On Senator Gardner’s Top Priorities, Voters Aligned On CHIP But Not On Delaying Insurers’ TaxIf you knew Sen. Gardner was prioritizing this issue would you be more or less favorable to him?

QCO8-9: If you knew Sen. Gardner was prioritizing this issue, would that make you much more favorable, somewhat more favorable somewhat less favorable,

or much less favorable to him?

35

51

37

19

31

33

37

73

85

78

59

75

71

75

Overall

Dem

Ind

Rep

Very fav

Smwt Fav

Unfav

Much more favorable Somewhat more favorable Total more favorable

16

11

16

20

31

17

11

38

31

36

46

65

46

29

Overall

Dem

Ind

Rep

Very fav

Swmt fav

Unfav

Stabilizing the Children’s Health Insurance Program,

Or CHIP, to provide health care for children by extending

federal taxpayer funding for another 5 years

Delaying the Health Insurance Tax imposed on

health insurers by the Affordable Care Act

Sen.

Gardner

Fav

Sen.

Gardner

Fav

Page 19: AARP Colorado 50+ Voters · Republicans in the Senate on things that will harm Colorado families Senator Cory Gardner has compromised too often with liberal Democrats in the Senate

Senior Issues

Page 20: AARP Colorado 50+ Voters · Republicans in the Senate on things that will harm Colorado families Senator Cory Gardner has compromised too often with liberal Democrats in the Senate

20Q30: Which of the following worries you more?

47

54

56

51

37

45

50

32

26

25

28

41

38

26

Overall

AARP Members

Dem

Ind

Rep

50-64

65+

Congress will make changes to SocialSecurity that will harm seniors

Congress won't make changes to SocialSecurity and the program will go bankrupt

HEALTH CARESOCIAL SECURITY MEDICARE MEDICAID PRESCRIPTION DRUGS

Older Coloradans Are Largely Distrusting Of Congress When It Comes To Social SecurityWhich concerns you more?

27-50 fav/unfav to Gardner 48-30 fav/unfav to Gardner

Page 21: AARP Colorado 50+ Voters · Republicans in the Senate on things that will harm Colorado families Senator Cory Gardner has compromised too often with liberal Democrats in the Senate

21

…And The Same Holds True For Medicare, To An Even Greater Degree, Particularly AmongRepublicansWhich concerns you more?

Q31: Which of the following worries you more?

55

56

60

55

51

57

52

28

27

26

25

33

31

24

Overall

AARP Members

Dem

Ind

Rep

50-64

65+

Congress will make changes to Medicare thatwould hurt seniors and near-retirees

Congress won't make any changes to Medicareand future retirees and our kids will pay the price

HEALTH CARESOCIAL SECURITY MEDICARE MEDICAID PRESCRIPTION DRUGS

32-48 fav/unfav to Gardner 45-30 fav/unfav to Gardner

Page 22: AARP Colorado 50+ Voters · Republicans in the Senate on things that will harm Colorado families Senator Cory Gardner has compromised too often with liberal Democrats in the Senate

22

On Reforms, Expansion To Dental Sees Strong Support, While Premium Support Is A Non-StarterDo you support or oppose…?

Q32: Do you strongly support, somewhat support, somewhat oppose or strongly oppose this proposal, which is sometimes called 'premium support’? QCO5:Do you strongly support, somewhat support, somewhat oppose or strongly oppose this proposal?

25

21

13

25

37

67

74

83

68

53

Overall

AARPMembers

Dem

Ind

Rep

Support Don't know Oppose

“Premium Support”Medicare would no longer pay for health care services directly butinstead would provide each senior with a set amount of money to

help purchase an insurance plan in the private marketplace.

Expanding Medicare to pay for dental care services

HEALTH CARESOCIAL SECURITY MEDICARE MEDICAID PRESCRIPTION DRUGS

Strongly Oppose

78

83

93

79

66

18

12

4

17

31

Overall

AARPMembers

Dem

Ind

Rep

Strongly Support

52

57

68

55

35

52

62

71

51

37

Page 23: AARP Colorado 50+ Voters · Republicans in the Senate on things that will harm Colorado families Senator Cory Gardner has compromised too often with liberal Democrats in the Senate

23

Majority Of Supporters Favorable Toward Medicaid – Even Republicans, But Support LacksIntensityFavorability toward Medicaid program

Q33: Thinking about the Medicaid program generally, would you say you have a very favorable view of Medicaid, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable,

or very unfavorable view of Medicaid?

2234 26

922 23

67

81

70

51

67 66

Overall Dem Ind Rep 50-64 65+

Very favorable Somewhat favorable Total favorable

HEALTH CARESOCIAL SECURITY MEDICARE MEDICAID PRESCRIPTION DRUGS

Page 24: AARP Colorado 50+ Voters · Republicans in the Senate on things that will harm Colorado families Senator Cory Gardner has compromised too often with liberal Democrats in the Senate

24

This Leaves Many In Opposition To A Block Grant System For The ProgramWhich approach to Medicaid would you prefer?

Q34: Which approach to Medicaid would you prefer?

The current approach where states determine who qualifies forMedicaid and what services are covered within federal guidelines,

and the states and federal government split the costs

Change Medicaid so the federal government gives each state aset amount of money, known as a block grant, and the state

decides how much state funding to give the program, who getscoverage and what services are covered

62

75

59

53

26

14

27

36

Overall

Dem

Ind

Rep

HEALTH CARESOCIAL SECURITY MEDICARE MEDICAID PRESCRIPTION DRUGS

Page 25: AARP Colorado 50+ Voters · Republicans in the Senate on things that will harm Colorado families Senator Cory Gardner has compromised too often with liberal Democrats in the Senate

25

Compromise Is Not A Dirty Word: Voters Support Bipartisan Agreement To Lower Health CarePremiums At More Than 2:1 Ratio

Q29: Based on what you know today, do you support or oppose the bipartisan health care agreement made by Senators Alexander and Murray that provides

government funding to lower premiums for middle class Americans?

51 55 5543

21 16 1927

Overall Dem Ind Rep

Support Don't know Oppose

Based on what you know today, do you support or oppose the bipartisan health care agreement made bySenators Alexander and Murray that provides government funding to lower premiums for middle class Americans?

HEALTH CARESOCIAL SECURITY MEDICARE MEDICAID PRESCRIPTION DRUGS

40-42fav/unfavto Gardner

35-40fav/unfavto Gardner

Page 26: AARP Colorado 50+ Voters · Republicans in the Senate on things that will harm Colorado families Senator Cory Gardner has compromised too often with liberal Democrats in the Senate

26

Insurance and Drug Companies Seen As Top Reason For Rising Health Care Costs;Republicans Blame ACAWhat is most responsible for rising health care costs?

Q28: What do you think is most responsible for rising health care costs in this country? You may select up to two things.

48

48

26

20

16

13

Health care insurance companies being too focused on profitsand not peoples' health

Drug companies charging too much for medications andtreatment

The Affordable Care Act, also known as Obamacare

Doctors, hospitals, and other providers ordering unnecessarytreatments and over-testing

An aging U.S. population

Medical malpractice lawsuits

HEALTH CARESOCIAL SECURITY MEDICARE MEDICAID PRESCRIPTION DRUGS

#1 for Dems, Inds

#1 for Reps

#2 for Dems, Inds, Reps

Page 27: AARP Colorado 50+ Voters · Republicans in the Senate on things that will harm Colorado families Senator Cory Gardner has compromised too often with liberal Democrats in the Senate

27

Older Coloradans Are Largely Dissatisfied With Prescription Drug Monopoly; PharmaceuticalCompanies And Their Pricing Tactics Are Largely To BlameWhich comes closest to your own opinion?

Q41: Which of the following comes closest to your own opinion?

Prices for prescription drugs aredetermined on a free, open marketthat is subject to the laws of supply

and demand

Prices for prescription drugs are theresult of a pharmaceutical

corporation monopoly that controlsthe prices

27 22 2334

6667

7359

Overall Dem Ind Rep

HEALTH CARESOCIAL SECURITY MEDICARE MEDICAID PRESCRIPTION DRUGS

Page 28: AARP Colorado 50+ Voters · Republicans in the Senate on things that will harm Colorado families Senator Cory Gardner has compromised too often with liberal Democrats in the Senate

28

To Address This, Older Voters Strongly Support An Array Of Reforms; Even 3-In-5 RepublicansSupport Capping Drug Company ProfitsDo you support or oppose this proposal? (% strongly support)

Q35-40: Do you strongly support, somewhat support, somewhat oppose or strongly oppose this proposal?

82

78

74

71

64

54

94

92

84

80

72

72

Allow Medicare to negotiate with drug companies for lower prices

Allow lower cost generic drugs to come to the prescription drug marketfaster

Ensure transparency in drug pricing

Close loopholes that allow pharmaceutical companies to keep priceshigh

Close loopholes that allow drug companies to prevent consumers fromaccessing lower priced generic drugs

Limit the profits that drug companies can make on medications

Strongly support Somewhat support Total support

HEALTH CARESOCIAL SECURITY MEDICARE MEDICAID PRESCRIPTION DRUGS

Dem Ind Rep

96 94 93

90 90 94

83 84 86

77 81 80

70 77 70

80 79 59

Total support among...

Page 29: AARP Colorado 50+ Voters · Republicans in the Senate on things that will harm Colorado families Senator Cory Gardner has compromised too often with liberal Democrats in the Senate

Constituent Outreach

Page 30: AARP Colorado 50+ Voters · Republicans in the Senate on things that will harm Colorado families Senator Cory Gardner has compromised too often with liberal Democrats in the Senate

30

Most Communication With Constituents Is Received Via Mail; And While This Method Is LargelyPreferred, A Significant Number Would Also Like More Town HallsWhich ways have you received info from Sen. Gardner? Which would you most prefer?

Q10: In which of the following ways have you received news or information from Senator Cory Gardner? Multiple responses accepted Q11: And in which of the

following ways would you most like to receive news or information from Senator Cory Gardner? Multiple responses accepted

21

19

9

7

6

4

31

37

20

3

19

10

2

13

Mail sent to your home

Updates posted on Facebook or other socialmedia

Television

Events or town halls the senator holds in yourcommunity

Updates posted to the senator's website

Newspaper

None of the above

Currently receive Would prefer

50-69: 33%70+: 47%

Page 31: AARP Colorado 50+ Voters · Republicans in the Senate on things that will harm Colorado families Senator Cory Gardner has compromised too often with liberal Democrats in the Senate

31

Local And National TV News Dominate Sources Of Information; Family, Friends AndOrganizations More Important For Voters 50+ Than Social Media

Q42: Which of the following sources do you rely on to obtain news and information about political issues and government? Please tell me all that apply.

Multiple responses accepted. Q43: Which of the following do you do at least a few times a week? Please tell me all that apply. Multiple responses accepted.

61

61

52

43

37

23

18

5

Local television news

Cable television news

Newspapers and magazines

Radio

Your family and friends

The organizations you belong to

Facebook

Twitter

58

56

48

46

45

30

5

Watch political news on cabletelevision channels

Watch political news on localtelevision channels

Read political news in print

Read political news online

Listen to political news on the radio

Log on to Facebook

Read Twitter

Which do you rely for news/info on

political issues and government?

Which do you do at least a few

times a week?