aarp delaware 50+ voters€¦ · 3 demographic profile of delaware 50+ voters 30 36 34 54 46 70 or...
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Delaware 50+ Voters
January 2018https://doi.org/10.26419/res.00207.001
2
Methodology
AARP took a bipartisan approach to this research, using two firms,
BSG and GSSG to conduct and advise on all phases of research
design and execution.
800 telephone interviews were conducted from November 30 -
December 5, 2017 with registered voters ages 50+ in Delaware.
At the 95% confidence level, the margin of error for the entire sample
is ± 3.5%
Due to rounding, some percentages may not add up to 100%.
New Castle
Kent
Sussex
For more information, contact S. Kathi Brown of AARP Research at [email protected] from the Media should be directed to AARP’s Media Relations Department at [email protected].
3
Demographic Profile Of Delaware 50+ Voters
30 36 3454
4670 orolder
between60 and 69
between50 and 59 Female
Male
Race
27% high school or less
Gender
73%
16%
5%
2%
White
African-American
Native American
Hispanic
Age
32% some collegeor technical school
39% college grad or higher
Education
AARP
57% are AARP members
CSR
Party ID
Household Income
30% Democrat 45% Independent 25% Republican
39%
27%
19%
<$50k
$50-100k
$100k+
54% Yes 46% No
18%
50%
30%
City
Suburb
Rural
Veteran (self or family)
Political Landscape
5
Senator Carper Enjoys Impressively Broad Support – Even Republicans Are Net PositiveToward HimFavorability of Senator Carper by subgroup
QDE1: Do you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or very unfavorable view of Senator Tom Carper?
58
70
57
42
52
63
56
60
22
21
25
21
21
23
25
20
20
9
18
37
27
14
20
20
Overall
Dem
Ind
Rep
Men
Women
50-64
65+
58
59
53
65
64
51
50
19
33
24
20
18
28
26
23
8
23
15
17
21
24
White
Non-white
<College
College+
New Castle
Kent
Sussex
Favorable Unsure/Don’t know Unfavorable
6
Democrats Confident Sen. Carper Cares About Them And Understands And Represents Them;Independents and GOP Not As Sure He Understands Their Challenges Or Will Serve Them% who say this describes Sen. Carper well
Q5,6,8: How well does this describe Senator Carper?
62
58
54
72
69
63
61
52
48
47
46
43
Cares about people like you
Understands the challenges facing older Americans
Represents your views on Social Security andMedicare
Overall Democrat Independent Republican‘Very fav’ to Carper among
those who say this describeshim well…
46
33
39
Mindset Of Delaware 50+ Voters
8
The Majority See US Economy On The Rise, While Delaware’s Is Struggling To Keep Up...Is US/Delaware economy getting stronger or weaker?
Q15,Q16: In general would you say [the U.S./Delaware’s] economy is getting much stronger, getting somewhat stronger,
staying the same, getting somewhat weaker or getting much weaker?
53
32
30
31
36
27
43
46
38
39
20
26
24
31
25
US economy
Overall
New Castle
Kent*
Sussex
Getting stronger Staying same/Don't know Getting weaker
Delaware’seconomy
*Base size <100,
data for directional
use only
9
…Which Is Reflected In Their Own Lives – 1-In-3 Are Struggling Or Worse, And Only 1-In-5 AreGetting AheadWhich describes your personal financial situation today?
Q17: Which of the following comes closest to describing your personal financial situation today? Getting ahead, staying where you are,
struggling to keep up, or falling backward?
20 2416 21 19
718
35
18 22 21 19 18
4647
4642 50
35
53
49
43
5144
4153
26 2130 28
24
45
22
12
2919
2628
24
7 7 8 9 6 14 6 38 7 8 10
4
Overall Men Women 50-64 65+ <$40k $40-75k $75k+ <College College+ New Castle Kent Sussex
Getting ahead Staying the same Struggling to keep up Falling backward
10
On An Open-Ended Basis, Health Care Cost Worries Are Most Top-Of-Mind For 50+ Voters
Q14: Please briefly describe the biggest fear you have facing you and your family today. Open end question; multiple responses accepted
23
11 9 9 105 6 7
13 12 13 13
4
105 5
Health care costs Financial hardship Donald Trumpbeing president
Social Security/Medicare not being
available
Economy/jobs not available
Nuclear war/North Korea
Terrorism/war Crime
50-64 65+
What is the biggest fear you have facing you and your family today?
Open end (showing answers >5%)
Dems: 16%
Ind: 12%
Rep: 4%
11
Division Ranks As #1 Worry, But Rising Prices, Terrorism, And Cost Of Health Care Aren’t FarBehind On List Of ConcernsHow often do you worry about…?
Q22-Q27: Do you worry about this very often, somewhat often, from time to time or almost never?
54
40
27
28
25
20
78
65
60
51
39
34
How divided America and Americans have become
Pricies rising faster than your income
Threat of terrorism in our country today
Not being able to afford the health care you need
Having to take care of an aging parent or family member
Not being able to retire when you want to, for financialreasons
Very often Somewhat often Total often
#1 acrossall parties
50-64: 49% often65+: 29% often
50-64: 50% often65+: 20% often
12
These Struggles Leave Fewer Than 2-In-3 Confident In Their Retirement Future, And Very FewExpressing Strong ConfidenceHow confident are you that you will have enough money to live comfortably through your retirement?
Q18: Overall how confident are you that you will have enough money to live comfortably throughout your retirement years?
20 2516 18 14
24 21 179
2230
6167
5659
49
6864
53
41
65
75
Overall Men Women Men Women 65+ White Non-white <$40k $40-75k $75k+
Very Confident Somewhat Confident Total Confident
50-64
Delaware Issues
14
Voters 50+ See The Economy As The Most Pressing Issue For The State, While Drugs/HeroinEpidemic Is A Top Issue Across Party Lines
Q13: In your opinion, what is the single most important issue facing Delaware today? Open end question; multiple responses accepted
20 18
11 10 96
17 18
11 116 7
27
17
8 10 9
3
19 20
128
13
6
Economy/jobs Drugs/heroin epidemic Health care/cost ofhealth care
Crime Budgets/finances Taxes/tax bill
Overall Democrat Independent Republican
What is the single most important issue facing Delaware today?
Open end (showing answers >5%)
15
Protecting Funding To Help Those With Pre-Existing Conditions Receives Strong, BipartisanSupportIf you knew Sen. Carper was prioritizing this issue would you be more or less favorable to him?
QDE7: If you knew Sen. Carper was prioritizing this issue, would that make you much more favorable, somewhat more favorable somewhat less favorable, or
much less favorable to him?
44
56
44
27
61
46
19
45
78
89
73
67
90
83
55
80
Overall
Dem
Ind
Rep
Very fav
Swmt fav
Unfav
Don't know
Much more fav Somewhat more Total more favorable
Continuing to provide government funding to help insurance companies who cover
people with pre-existing conditions who have higher than average health care costs
Sen.
Carper
Fav
16
Majority Support Infrastructure Tax, But With Very Little IntensitySupport for proposals
QDE4. Paying an additional tax in order to improve and create new transportation infrastructure in Delaware. Do you strongly support, somewhat support,
somewhat oppose or strongly oppose this proposal?
Paying an additional tax in order to improve and create new
transportation infrastructure in Delaware
21
24
20
18
55
63
50
47
Overall
Dem
Ind
Rep
Strongly support Somewhat support Total support
18
23
25
21
22
20
50
56
63
56
48
57
<$40k
$40-75k
$75k+
New Castle
Kent
Sussex
Opioids
18
The Opioid Crisis Hits Home For Many; With Almost Half Of Older Delawareans KnowingSomeone Affected Personally, It’s A Top Concern Across The State
QDE9: How concerned are you about heroin and opioid abuse in Delaware? QDE10: Do you personally know anyone who has struggled with heroin or opioid
addiction?
35
36
29
38
30
40
35
33
36
64
65
64
64
59
69
64
60
67
Overall
Dem
Ind
Rep
Men
Women
New Castle
Kent
Sussex
Extremely concerned Very concerned Extremely + very
% concerned about heroin/opioid abusein DE
% who personally know someone who hasstruggled with heroin/opioid addiction
48
46
49
50
45
50
44
54
52
Overall
Dem
Ind
Rep
Men
Women
New Castle
Kent
Sussex
19
As Such, Addressing The Issue Sees Strong, Intense Support
QDE6: Do you strongly support, somewhat support, somewhat oppose or strongly oppose this proposal?
47
53
42
43
77
83
75
71
Overall
Dem
Ind
Rep
Strongly support Somewhat support Total support
Support for providing additional services and addiction treatment
for those who suffer from opioid addiction
20
Senator Carper’s Ratings On His Efforts Are Net Positive, Including Among Those MostConcerned, But Significant Segment Of Electorate Aren’t Giving Him Benefit Of Doubt
Q7: How well does this describe Senator Carper?
41
48
34
34
41
32
31
37
29
29
27
20
29
37
31
Overall
Dem
Ind
Rep
Well Don't know Not Well
75-11 fav/unfav to Carper 36-44 fav/unfav55-10 fav/unfav
How well does this describe Senator Carper?
“Is doing a good job fighting the opioid crisis”
Extremely concerned
about opioid abuse
21
Most Would Be More Favorable If They Knew He Was Prioritizing This IssueIf you knew Sen. Carper was prioritizing this issue would you be more or less favorable to him?
QDE8: If you knew Sen. Carper was prioritizing this issue, would that make you much more favorable, somewhat more favorable somewhat less favorable, or
much less favorable to him?
40
43
39
36
51
42
21
41
59
73
76
70
71
78
80
57
70
80
Overall
Dem
Ind
Rep
Very fav
Swmt fav
Unfav
Don't know
Extremely…
Much more fav Somewhat more Total more favorable
Reducing access to synthetic opioid drugs
Sen.
Carper
Fav
Extremely concernedabout opioid abuse
Senior Issues
23Q30: Which of the following worries you more?
48
51
52
46
44
44
52
31
29
28
30
36
36
27
13
12
13
13
11
15
11
4
3
3
5
5
4
4
Overall
AARP Members
Dem
Ind
Rep
50-64
65+
Congress will make changes to SocialSecurity that will harm seniors
Congress won't make changes to SocialSecurity and the program will go bankrupt
HEALTH CARESOCIAL SECURITY MEDICARE MEDICAID PRESCRIPTION DRUGS
Older Delawareans Are Largely Distrusting Of Congress When It Comes To Social Security…Which concerns you more?
Both Neither
24
…And The Same Holds True For Medicare, To An Even Greater DegreeWhich concerns you more?
Q31: Which of the following worries you more?
54
61
58
53
49
48
59
30
26
28
29
34
36
25
Overall
AARP Members
Dem
Ind
Rep
50-64
65+
Congress will make changes to Medicare thatwould hurt seniors and near-retirees
Congress won't make any changes to Medicareand future retirees and our kids will pay the price
HEALTH CARESOCIAL SECURITY MEDICARE MEDICAID PRESCRIPTION DRUGS
25
By 2:1 Margin, Delawareans 50+ Far More Concerned Congress Will Hurt Medicare And SocialSecurity Than They Are About Spending And Deficit ReductionWhen it comes to reducing the deficit, which concerns you more?
QDE11. When it comes to reducing the deficit, which of the following concerns you more?
63
68
79
59
44
63
64
32
28
17
34
52
34
30
Overall
AARP Members
Dem
Ind
Rep
50-64
65+
Congress will go too far and cut too much fromprograms like Medicare and Social Security
Congress won't do enough to cut federalspending and reduce the federal deficit
HEALTH CARESOCIAL SECURITY MEDICARE MEDICAID PRESCRIPTION DRUGS
26
On Reforms, Expansion To Dental Sees Strong Support, While Premium Support Is A Non-StarterSupport for Medicare reforms
Q32: Do you strongly support, somewhat support, somewhat oppose or strongly oppose this proposal, which is sometimes called 'premium support’? QDE5:Do you strongly support, somewhat support, somewhat oppose or strongly oppose this proposal?
22
20
16
19
32
72
75
80
73
61
Overall
AARPMembers
Dem
Ind
Rep
Support Don't know Oppose
“Premium Support”Medicare would no longer pay for health care services directly butinstead would provide each senior with a set amount of money to
help purchase an insurance plan in the private marketplace.
Expanding Medicare to pay for dental care services
HEALTH CARESOCIAL SECURITY MEDICARE MEDICAID PRESCRIPTION DRUGS
Strongly Oppose
81
83
86
80
74
16
13
12
16
22
Overall
AARPMembers
Dem
Ind
Rep
Strongly Support
58
60
68
55
46
61
64
69
61
48
27
Majority Of Supporters Favorable Toward Medicaid – Even Republicans, But That Support IsSoftFavorability toward Medicaid program
Q33: Thinking about the Medicaid program generally, would you say you have a very favorable view of Medicaid, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable,
or very unfavorable view of Medicaid?
25 3221 17 24 25 32
19 24
6777
66
55
69 66 6863
69
Overall Dem Ind Rep 50-64 65+ <$40k $40-75k $75k+
Very favorable Somewhat favorable Total favorable
HEALTH CARESOCIAL SECURITY MEDICARE MEDICAID PRESCRIPTION DRUGS
28
Voters Of All Political Stripes Reject Block GrantsWhich approach to Medicaid would you prefer?
Q34: Which approach to Medicaid would you prefer?
The current approach where states determine who qualifies forMedicaid and what services are covered within federal guidelines,
and the states and federal government split the costs
Change Medicaid so the federal government gives each state aset amount of money, known as a block grant, and the state
decides how much state funding to give the program, who getscoverage and what services are covered
60
67
59
48
25
20
25
34
Overall
Dem
Ind
Rep
HEALTH CARESOCIAL SECURITY MEDICARE MEDICAID PRESCRIPTION DRUGS
29
Compromise Is Not A Dirty Word: Voters Support Bipartisan Agreement To Lower Health CarePremiums At A Nearly 5:1 Ratio
Q29: Based on what you know today, do you support or oppose the bipartisan health care agreement made by Senators Alexander and Murray that provides
government funding to lower premiums for middle class Americans?
63 67 62 59 60 66
13 10 16 17 18 10
Overall Dem Ind Rep Men Women
Support Don't know Oppose
Based on what you know today, do you support or oppose the bipartisan health care agreement made bySenators Alexander and Murray that provides government funding to lower premiums for middle class Americans?
HEALTH CARESOCIAL SECURITY MEDICARE MEDICAID PRESCRIPTION DRUGS
30
Insurance and Drug Companies Seen As Top Reason For Rising Health Care Costs, AndSignificant Number Of Republicans Blame ACAWhat is most responsible for rising health care costs?
Q28: What do you think is most responsible for rising health care costs in this country? You may select up to two things.
50
49
24
19
13
12
Health care insurance companies being too focused on profitsand not peoples' health
Drug companies charging too much for medications andtreatment
Doctors, hospitals, and other providers ordering unnecessarytreatments and over-testing
The Affordable Care Act, also known as Obamacare
Medical malpractice lawsuits
An aging U.S. population
#1 for Dems
#2 for Inds, Reps
HEALTH CARESOCIAL SECURITY MEDICARE MEDICAID PRESCRIPTION DRUGS
#1 for Inds, Reps
#2 for Dems
31
Older Delawareans Blame High Drug Prices On Pharmaceutical Companies’ Unethical PricingTacticsWhich comes closest to your own opinion?
Q41: Which of the following comes closest to your own opinion?
Prices for prescription drugs aredetermined on a free, open marketthat is subject to the laws of supply
and demand
Prices for prescription drugs are theresult of a pharmaceutical
corporation monopoly that controlsthe prices
32 32 28 33 3826
61 60 66 61 5666
Overall Dem Ind Rep Men Women
HEALTH CARESOCIAL SECURITY MEDICARE MEDICAID PRESCRIPTION DRUGS
32
To Address This, Older Voters Strongly Support An Array Of Reforms; Even 3-In-4 RepublicansSupport Capping Drug Company ProfitsSupport for prescription drug reform proposals
Q35-40: Do you strongly support, somewhat support, somewhat oppose or strongly oppose this proposal?
82
74
72
65
63
61
94
89
86
72
73
76
Allow Medicare to negotiate with drug companies for lower prices
Allow lower cost generic drugs to come to the prescription drug marketfaster
Ensure transparency in drug pricing
Close loopholes that allow pharmaceutical companies to keep priceshigh
Close loopholes that allow drug companies to prevent consumers fromaccessing lower priced generic drugs
Limit the profits that drug companies can make on medications
Strongly support Somewhat support Total support
HEALTH CARESOCIAL SECURITY MEDICARE MEDICAID PRESCRIPTION DRUGS
Dem Ind Rep
93 95 95
87 91 90
82 89 90
67 79 74
71 76 75
79 71 75
Total support among...
Constituent Outreach
34
60% of 50+ Voters Receiving Some Communication From The Senator – But More, Especially InThe Mail And At Town Halls, DesiredWhich ways have you received info from Sen. Carper? Which would you most prefer?
Q10: In which of the following ways have you received news or information from Senator Tom Carper? Multiple responses accepted Q11: And in which of the
following ways would you most like to receive news or information from Senator Tom Carper? Multiple responses accepted
28
18
8
7
40
47
22
20
15
14
Mail sent to your home
Updates posted on Facebook or other socialmedia
Events or town halls the Senator holds in yourcommunity
Updates posted to the Senator's website
None of the above
Currently receive Would prefer
50-64: 42%65+: 51%
35
Cable And Local TV News Dominate Sources Of Information; Family, Friends And OrganizationsMore Important For Voters 50+ Than Social Media
Q42: Which of the following sources do you rely on to obtain news and information about political issues and government? Please tell me all that apply.
Multiple responses accepted. Q43: Which of the following do you do at least a few times a week? Please tell me all that apply. Multiple responses accepted.
73
72
56
53
47
33
30
9
78
67
61
36
39
24
14
4
Cable television news
Local television news
Newspapers and magazines
Radio
Your family and friends
The organizations you belongto
50-64 65+
70
68
52
58
49
47
12
76
65
55
38
37
26
4
Watch political news on cabletelevision channels
Watch political news on localtelevision channels
Read political news in print
Read political news online
Listen to political news on the radio
Log on to Facebook
Read Twitter
50-64 65+
% who rely on this as source of news/info
on politics and government
% who do this a few times a week