abstract[1]
DESCRIPTION
2010 Undergrad ResearchTRANSCRIPT
Penn State Behrend Undergraduate Student Academic Year Research Grant
Program for 2010-2011
Effects of U.S. GAAP Vs. IFRS on Stock Volume at
Announcement Events
Olivia Rose Derby
5620 East Lake Rd.
Erie Pa, 16511
Phone: 716.640.8276
e-mail: [email protected]
David T. Doran Ph.D., CPA
Penn State Behrend School of Business
October 29, 2010
David T. Doran Olivia Rose Derby - ord5003 - 953888751
Affiliated Faculty Member – [email protected] Student Researcher – [email protected]
Abstract This study compares average abnormal daily stock trading volume during earnings announcement
periods of firms complying with U.S. generally accepted accounting principles (U.S. GAAP) vs. firms
complying with International GAAP – International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS). Abnormal
stock trading volume has been established in the literature as a viable measure for monitoring the relative
informational value of earnings announcement events.
This study is important because the SEC is currently considering allowing (or requiring) U.S.
firms to comply with IFRS when reporting future EPS amounts. By comparing average differences in
abnormal trading volume between sample groups, the study will determine the relative value of U.S.
GAAP vs. IFRS based on earnings information. Higher (lower) abnormal trading volume will indicate
superior (inferior) informational value. The observed results will be useful in determining if US firms
should continue applying US GAAP or should comply with IFRS.
Standard setters have committed to a convergence project intended to eliminate or minimize
differences between U.S. GAAP and IFRS. This project has been underway during the five year sample
period (2005-2009). Additional analysis compares abnormal trading volume during 2005 vs. 2009.
Successful convergence project efforts should result in lesser trading volume differences observed
between the groups over time.
David T. Doran Olivia Rose Derby - ord5003 - 953888751
Affiliated Faculty Member – [email protected] Student Researcher – [email protected]
Introduction
Since 2002 the Financial Accounting Standards Board (FASB) and the International Accounting Standards
Board (IASB) have been working together with the ultimate goal of converging U.S.GAAP and IFRS.
The SEC is expected to make a decision in 2011 as to whether or not U.S. companies may elect to file under IFRS.
The SEC and FASB have recognized the growing pressure from international markets to update the United States’
financial standards to converge with those of IFRS. The convergence with international accounting standards
appears to be inevitable; over 100 countries including 27 members of the European Union have adopted IFRS. Other
Countries including Canada, Mexico, China and Russia are actively working towards adoption of IFRS as well
(Epstein, Barry Jay, Susan Cheng). The convergence process encourages both the FASB and the IASB to make
changes to their respective reporting standards so as to decrease the overall number of differences between the two.
Ideally, differences between IFRS and U.S. GAAP will become fewer and less recognizable over time. The changes
are expected to open U.S. capital markets more effectively to foreign investors, and lower transaction costs
(International Convergence of Accounting Standards 2010). However, as with any major change, companies
affected by the decision will be faced with challenges. These include updating accounting systems, training staff and
structuring the terms of business transactions under new regulation (Epstein, Jay, and Cheng 2010).
The changes to come will affect several areas of the financial statements prepared under U.S. GAAP,
including the calculation and presentation of retained earnings and earnings per share (EPS). On average it can be
seen that trading volume rises around scheduled earnings announcements (Frazzini 2006). Previous studies have
shown that volume is a reliable measure of information contained within the financial statements (Bamber 1987,
Beaver 1968). Abnormal stock trading volume is used here to monitor relative superiority/inferiority of the
informational value of earnings determined under U.S. GAAP or IFRS. This research will compare the average
abnormal stock trading volume of companies filing under each accounting standard. The research will provide
useful information for 1) supporting, rejecting or indicating indifference regarding the adoption of IFRS by U.S.
firms, and 2) gauging the success (if any) of the joint convergence project.
David T. Doran Olivia Rose Derby - ord5003 - 953888751
Affiliated Faculty Member – [email protected] Student Researcher – [email protected]
Problem Statement and Research Plan:
Previous studies have shown that stock volume provides a good measure for monitoring informational
value of financial statements’ content (Beaver 1987). We have chosen abnormal volume as our surrogate for
informational content. Bamber (1987), has found volume to be a reliable measure of relative informational content
around specific announcement events.
Our entire sample will be comprised of 200 companies announcing earnings under U.S. GAAP and 200
companies complying with IFRS. The annual earnings announcement will serve as our informational event, around
which, we will obtain our stock volume data. We have chosen to use annual earnings rather than interim earnings in
order to match total yearly announcements more accurately between two different accounting standards. Companies
employing U.S. GAAP announce earnings four times a year where-as IFRS compliant firms generally announce
earnings only twice a year. Additionally, only annual financial statements are audited. The annual announcement
for both accounting principles (U.S. GAAP and IFRS) includes the company’s earnings over the entire fiscal year.
Abnormal stock volume will be calculated by averaging the total volume traded during the day before, the
day of and the day after the earnings announcement event. This will serve as the event period. Abnormal stock
volume will be calculated as .
The average daily trading volume for the comparison period will be determined by averaging the daily trading
volume over a 25 trading day period before the announcement of earnings event and the daily trading volume over a
25 trading day period after the event for each year 2005-2009 for each company. After compiling the either
parametric or non-parametric statistics will be applied to test for difference in abnormal trading volume between the
sample groups (depending upon the normality of the sample distributions). Because the FASB and the IASB have
been working towards convergence of their respective standards since 2002 we expect the differences to lessen over
time. To visualize the convergence process we will compare data from 2005 and data from 2009 separately and
expect to see a significant change in stock volume. Observed differences in abnormal trading volume should decline
from 2005 to 2009 if the convergence project has progressed as expected.
David T. Doran Olivia Rose Derby - ord5003 - 953888751
Affiliated Faculty Member – [email protected] Student Researcher – [email protected]
Anticipated Outcome:
Our research should provide a quantifiable measurement of the value of information conveyed through
earnings announcements under IFRS and U.S. GAAP. This research will either support the decision to allow U.S.
firms to adopt IFRS, oppose it or indicate indifference. The relative information content of earnings announcements
measured under U.S. GAAP vs. IFRS will indicate superior/inferior value. We anticipate seeing a decline in
observed difference in abnormal trading volume for the sample groups from 2005 to 2009 resulting from progress
being made towards convergence of U.S. GAAP and IFRS.
David T. Doran Olivia Rose Derby - ord5003 - 953888751
Affiliated Faculty Member – [email protected] Student Researcher – [email protected]
Works Cited
Bamber, Linda Smith. "Unexpected Earnings, Firm Size and Trading Volume around Quarterly Earnings Announcements."
The Accounting Review 62.3 (1987): 510-32. Print.
Beaver, William H. "The Information Content of Annual Earnings Announcements." Journal of Accounting Research 6
(1968): 67-92. Print.
Epstein, Barry Jay, Susan Cheng, and Russel Novak & Company. "The Coming Transition from U.S. GAAP to IFRS:
Implications for Attorneys." International Accounting Expert, IFRS GAAP, CPA, Accountant, Author, Expert.
RN&Co. Web. 07 Oct. 2010. <http://www.ifrsaccountant.com/nysba-gaap-ifrs.html>.
FRAZZINI, ANDREA, and OWEN LAMONT. The Earnings Announcement Premium and Trading Volume. Illinois
University, 6 Aug. 2006. Web. 7 Oct. 2010. <http://www.business.illinois.edu/finance/papers/2006/frazzini.pdf>.
“International Convergence of Accounting Standards-Overview”. FASB: Financial Accounting Standards Board. Financial
Accounting Standards Board, 2010. Web. 07 Oct. 2010.
<http://fasb.org/jsp/FASB/Page/SectionPage&cid=1176156245663>.
David T. Doran Olivia Rose Derby - ord5003 - 953888751
Affiliated Faculty Member – [email protected] Student Researcher – [email protected]
UNDERGRADUATE RESEARCH BUDGET
**CATEGORY DETAILS AMOUNT
Wages (rate and # of
hours)
Wages paid to student researcher $12.00/hour. The researcher is expected to take about 53
total hours over the period from January 1, 2011 to May 6,2011.
$640
Supplies (list major
items)
Travel (related
directly to project)
Copying/Printing Printing of visual aids (graph of normal stock volume trends for 5 years, graph of abnormal
stock volume trends for 5 years and the comparison graph of 2005 and 2009 volume trends) for the Undergraduate Research Conference in April. Printing of visual materials to be done
through the Penn State Behrend Copy and Multimedia Center.
$60.00
Payment of Human
Subjects
Other
Total $700.00
**Rental for housing is not permitted by Penn State policy
David T. Doran Olivia Rose Derby - ord5003 - 953888751
Affiliated Faculty Member – [email protected] Student Researcher – [email protected]
Olivia Rose Derby 5620 East Lake Rd. Erie, PA 16511 716.640.8276
Education
Penn State Behrend Erie, PA Accounting & Marketing December 2012
SGA board member, Founder of Behrend Ballet Club
Southwestern Central High School Jamestown, NY Early Graduation 2007
President of Envirothon, Excellence in Technology Award, Secretary of Key Club
Work Experience
2010-Present Victoria’s Secret Erie, PA
Sales Associate
Summer 2010 avVenta New York, NY
Marketing Intern
Collaborated on projects for Google, Yahoo and Citi Group.
Worked with both strategic marketing and direct marketing teams to complete client
research.
2009-Present Penn State Computer Center Erie,
PA Student Consultant
2008-2009 Sterling Technologies Inc. Lake City, PA
Marketing Intern
Developed and lead the advertising presentation that encouraged Tractor Supply Co. to
distribute Sterling Tech’s products in their stores.
Designed the Good Ideas Inc. logo appearing on products and website.
Modernized the employee tracking and data entry systems to create a more efficient and
manageable database.
2006-Present OpenBoxCo. Jamestown, NY
Business Owner and Operator
Managed business’s finances and sales.
Created the designs appearing on a line of the T-shirts as the featured artist for the
designer clothing company Sass&Tini based in orlando FL.
Constructed and updated databases, websites and advertising campaigns for clients.
Volunteer Work
LearnToBe.org Anaheim, CA Volunteer Tutor
Dave Poulin’s Art Studio Jamestown, NY
Art Director
Chautauqua Regional Youth Ballet Jamestown,
NY Ballet Teacher