abu dhabi real estate market analysis q3 2013

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Real Estate Market Overview Abu Dhabi Q3 2013

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Page 1: Abu Dhabi Real Estate Market Analysis Q3 2013

Dubai Real Estate Market Overview

Abu Dhabi

Q3 2013

Page 2: Abu Dhabi Real Estate Market Analysis Q3 2013

Market highlights – Q3 2013 • The third quarter of 2013 saw the continued recovery of the prime residential

market, while the retail, hospitality and prime office sectors all remained

relatively stable and poised for future recovery.

• The residential market recovery remains restricted to prime locations, with

secondary sub-sectors continuing to decline.

• Despite the market-wide over supply in most sectors, there remains a

shortage of high quality stock. This is driving product differentiation and

creating two-tier performance, between high grade and low grade property.

• Short-term demand will be fuelled by progress on major new projects (such as

the Airport expansion, Etihad Rail, the Saadiyat Island museums and other

major infrastructure, economic and social development initiatives).

• Long-term market recovery will be dependent on the government’s ongoing

initiatives to diversify the economy and generate sustainable demand growth.

• A sustainable recovery also requires the government to implement further

supply controls, as a key trend during 2013 has been developers re-looking at

schemes that had been placed on hold following the market downturn.

• There were no major completions in the office market with rents remaining

unchanged for both Grade A and B space during Q3 2013. Significant

additions to supply are expected in Q4 that will continue to place downward

pressure on rents for secondary space.

• Residential stock increased by around 2,700 units in Q3. Additions to supply

included buildings within Rawdhat and Danet on Airport Road, Mangrove

Place on Reem Island, the Khor Al Raha apartments by ADNIC at Al Raha

Beach, Al Reef Downtown in Al Reef and additional units within Aldar’s Al

Falah scheme.

• The residential sales market witnessed 5% price growth during Q3 2013

(prime product in Investment Areas), following on from a similar (5%) growth

during Q2 and 8% growth during Q1.

• Prime residential rents remained unchanged at AED 130,000 (average rent

for 2 bedroom apartment) in Q3, while secondary residential rents continued

to fall.

• Retail stock increased by approximately 112,000 sqm of GLA this quarter,

with the delivery of The Collection at the St.Regis on Saadiyat Island, the

Galleria at Sowwah Square on Al Maryah Island and Deerfields Townsquare

in Al Bahia.

• A further 143,000 sqm of retail GLA is scheduled for handover in the last

quarter of 2013, although some of these projects are likely to delayed into

2014.

• The hotel sector continues to witness new supply with the St.Regis hotel at

Nation Towers delivering around 300 new keys this quarter.

• The hotel market is approaching the bottom, with occupancies increasing to

64% (year to August), and RevPAR up by 9% compared to 2012. Although

ADR’s are still under pressure, the hotel market has also benefited from a

slow down in new supply.

2

Page 3: Abu Dhabi Real Estate Market Analysis Q3 2013

3

• The Abu Dhabi Executive Council has approved housing loans and

infrastructure projects worth AED 15.8 billion, with AED 3.1 billion of

this total being allocated as housing loans to 1,554 Emirate families.

• The Government has adjusted its policy of reducing commuting from

Dubai by allowing government employees to request exemptions.

According to the General Secretariat of the Abu Dhabi Executive

Council, special cases will be considered with decisions made on a

case by case basis.

• TDIC has invited contractors to pre-qualify for the main contract to

build the Guggenheim museum. Arabtec, the contractor building the

Louvre museum, has announced its intention to also bid for the

Guggenheim project.

• Drake & Scull has been awarded a AED 415 million contract for the

mechanical, electrical and plumbing (MEP) work for the Louvre

museum.

• TDIC has also announced the sale of a 91,000 sqm land plot on

Saadiyat Island to Bin Otaiba Investment Group for the development

of a five-star luxury resort. The project comprises 366 hotel rooms and

beach villas, scheduled for completion in late 2015.

• Abu Dhabi has become the world’s first city to house two St. Regis

hotels, with the opening of its new property at Nation Towers on the

Corniche in Q3.

• Also in the hospitality sector, Jannah Hotels and Resorts, a UAE-

based management company, has been appointed to operate

TDIC’s Eastern Mangroves Suites, comprising 88 serviced

apartments.

• Etihad Rail announced the signing of a Memorandum of

Understanding (MoU) with Bertschi, a leading Switzerland-based

logistics company specialising in liquid and dry bulk products for

the chemical industry. The MoU will enable Bertschi to use the rail

network to transport equipment and products

• Abu Dhabi is seeking to attract more telecommunication companies

through an agreement with the Telecommunication Regulatory

Authority to streamline the procedure for gaining commercial

licences.

• The new financial freezone at Al Maryah Island known as Abu

Dhabi Global Marketplace has continued to develop its legal

framework to provide an enhanced regulatory regime, comparable

with other major global financial hubs.

Talking points – Q3 2013

Page 4: Abu Dhabi Real Estate Market Analysis Q3 2013

Abu Dhabi prime rental clock

*Hotel clock reflects the movement of RevPAR.

Note: The property clock illustrates where Jones Lang LaSalle estimates each prime market is within its individual rental cycle as at end of the relevant quarter.

Source: Jones Lang LaSalle

4

Rental Growth

Slowing

Rents

Falling

Rental Growth

Accelerating

Rents

Bottoming Out

Q3 2012

Rental Growth

Slowing

Rents

Falling

Rental Growth

Accelerating

Rents

Bottoming Out

Q3 2013

Retail Residential Office Hotel *

Page 5: Abu Dhabi Real Estate Market Analysis Q3 2013

Abu Dhabi office market overview

Page 6: Abu Dhabi Real Estate Market Analysis Q3 2013

6

Office supply

• Abu Dhabi’s office stock remained unchanged with no major deliveries

in Q3 2013. However, an additional 143,000 sqm of office GLA is

expected to enter the market by the end of 2013.

• Several major projects are scheduled to be handed over before the

year end, including Capital Tower at Capital Centre, the Landmark

Tower on the Corniche and others potentially. However, it is possible

that some of these projects will experience further delays due to a

combination of construction overruns, contractual issues and delays in

obtaining final development approvals.

• As much as 967,000 sqm of office GLA could enter the market by the

end of 2015, increasing the total office stock to approximately 3.9

million sqm. This new supply is primarily within masterplanned areas

but also includes major corporate HQs such as ADNOC.

• Leasing of the office buildings on Al Maryah Island within Sowwah

Square are currently on hold while the freezone legislation is finalised.

Abu Dhabi Office Stock (2012 – 2015)

Source: Jones Lang LaSalle, Q3 2013

2,877 2,953 3,096 3,606

143

510 314

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

4,500

2012 2013 2014 2015

GLA

(In

000

's)

Completed Future Supply

Page 7: Abu Dhabi Real Estate Market Analysis Q3 2013

Awaiting handover

7

Recent and near term office completions

Capital Tower – Capital Centre

Landmark Tower

ADIB HQ

World Trade Centre

Page 8: Abu Dhabi Real Estate Market Analysis Q3 2013

8

Office demand

• Government-backed entities remain the principal source of demand.

Many government organisations have committed to purpose built

headquarters, with other major HQ buildings in the pipeline for banks

and government-backed corporates such as ADIB HQ and ADNOC,

whereas others have leased space in private developments such as

Finance House at Capital Centre and Nation Towers on the Corniche.

• There remains limited demand from the private sector, with most

requirements for relatively small areas of between 300 sqm and 400

sqm. The lack of fitted out options in this size range is proving a real

inhibitor to transactions.

• While there is limited demand from new entrants, many companies

already located in Abu Dhabi are now moving to newer buildings.

• This flight to quality will place further pressure on secondary office

buildings that will struggle with the oversupply of new office buildings

and will consequently face declining rentals.

• Approximately 64% of current occupied office space is occupied by

local companies, mostly financial firms and government related

entities.

Source: Jones Lang LaSalle

Office Floor Space Occupied by Nationality

30%

6% 64%

International

Regional

Local

Page 9: Abu Dhabi Real Estate Market Analysis Q3 2013

9

Office rental performance

• Average net effective rents for Grade A office space have remained

stable for the last five quarters at AED 1,540 per sqm. Average Grade

B office rents have also remained stable this quarter at AED 1,200.

• Tenants are clearly in a strong negotiating position, which is likely to

strengthen even further as supply increases over the remainder of

2013. This dynamic is expected to drive secondary rents down even

further, while Grade A rents appear to have stabilised.

• With no new supply and limited net absorption, the vacancy rate

has remained stable this quarter at 38%. Vacancies are expected

to increase further over the next 12 months as handovers

continue. A large portion of vacant space is now in recently

completed buildings, which will attract tenants looking to upgrade.

This will leave higher vacancies in older, poorly managed buildings.

• Rents and vacancy trends are expected to continue to diverge

over the next 12 months, increasing the performance gap between

prime and secondary buildings.

* Average Grade A Effective rents

Source: Jones Lang LaSalle, Q3 2013

Average Grade A Office Rents* (Q4 2008 – Q3 2013)

3,800

3,190 3,000

2,800 2,800

2,500

2,200 2,200 2,000 1,900 1,850 1,750 1,700 1,700 1,600 1,540 1,540 1,540 1,540 1,540

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

Q42008

Q12009

Q22009

Q32009

Q42009

Q12010

Q22010

Q32010

Q42010

Q12011

Q22011

Q32011

Q42011

Q12012

Q22012

Q32012

Q42012

Q12013

Q22013

Q32013

Ave

rage

Ren

ts (

AE

D/s

qm)

Page 10: Abu Dhabi Real Estate Market Analysis Q3 2013

Indicator Level Comment / Outlook

Current Office Stock 2.95 million sqm The majority of existing office space is Grade B and Grade C.

Future Supply

(by end 2015) 967,000 sqm

The proportion of Grade A office space is increasing

significantly as new stock is delivered to the market.

Current Vacancy Rate 38%

Vacancy rate remained unchanged this quarter

but is expected to rise further as new supply is

added over the next 12 months.

Average Grade A Rent

AED 1,540 per sqm

per annum

Grade A rents have remained stable for the last

five quarters and are expected to remain stable.

Average Grade B Rent

AED 1,200 per sqm

per annum

Grade B rents remained stable this quarter but

are expected to decrease further.

10

Office market summary

Page 11: Abu Dhabi Real Estate Market Analysis Q3 2013

Abu Dhabi residential market overview

Page 12: Abu Dhabi Real Estate Market Analysis Q3 2013

Residential supply

• Approximately 2,700 residential units were delivered in Abu Dhabi

during Q3. The majority of these units were within Rawdhat and

Danet on Airport Road, Al Reef Downtown, Mangrove Place on Reem

Island, Al Falah and the Khor Al Raha apartments at Al Raha Beach.

These deliveries bring the total residential stock to approximately

213,000 units.

• An additional 4,000 units are scheduled to be delivered to the market

by the end of 2013. These include additional apartments in Rawdhat

and Danet on Airport Road, Al Bustan Complex on 29th Street, the

Landmark Tower on Corniche, the Gate Towers on Reem Island and

Al Reef Downtown in Al Reef. As with other projects, the completion

of many of these schemes may be delayed.

12

Note: Including Units scheduled for completion in Q4 2013

Source: Jones Lang LaSalle, 2013 Source: Jones Lang LaSalle, Q3 2013

42%

• There are also a number of units scheduled for handover by the end

of 2013 within National Housing communities including Al Falah and

Watani developments.

• Although a large proportion of the residential pipeline announced

prior to 2008 has since been delayed, the aggregate supply could

still reach 254,000 units by the end of 2015. The majority of this

additional supply is located within masterplanned areas such as

Reem Island, Saadiyat Island, Danet, Saraya and Rawdhat.

Residential Units by the end of 2013 Abu Dhabi Residential Stock (2012 – 2015)

206 213 217 240

4 23

14

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

2012 2013 2014 2015

Num

ber

of U

nits

(In

000'

s )

Completed Future Supply

33%

67%

Villa

Apartment

Page 13: Abu Dhabi Real Estate Market Analysis Q3 2013

Completed Q3 2013

Awaiting handover

6

13

3

The Mangrove Place –

Reem Island

Al Bustan Complex

The Gate Towers –

Reem Island

Saadiyat Beach Residences

Landmark Tower

Al Rawdah Residence - Rawdhat

Al Nasr Tower -

Danet Abu Dhabi Aabar Buildings - Rawdhat

ADNIC apartments

Rawdhat Building - Rawdhat

Al Reef Downtown (phase 4)

Recent and near term residential completions

Page 14: Abu Dhabi Real Estate Market Analysis Q3 2013

• Average residential asking prices within Investment Areas have

increased by 5% during Q3 2013 to reach approximately AED 12,100

per sqm, following 8% and 5% growth during Q1 and Q2 2013

respectively.

• Average asking prices for both apartments and villas have both

increased to AED 14,200 per sqm and AED 10,500 per sqm

respectively.

• These increases are restricted to prime buildings within Investment

Areas and do not represent a market-wide recovery, price growth has

not been witnessed elsewhere.

Residential performance – sales price

• The growth in sales prices and transaction volumes over the past

three quarters can be attributed to various factors including:

- Both Abu Dhabi and Dubai are benefiting from the UAE’s status

as a safe haven following political unrest in the wider region;

- Limited stock available for purchase within high grade schemes;

- Expectations of further price growth due to improved demand

(driven by government infrastructure and economic development

initiatives) and limited quality supply;

- Greater levels of job security post - downturn.

14

*Asking prices

Source: Jones Lang LaSalle, Q3 2013

Note: Sales prices pertain to Investment Areas only.

Sales Price* of Residential Units (Q4 2009 – Q3 2013)

17,222

15,070 13,455

11,840 11,840 11,840 11,840 11,000 11,000 10,900 10,500 10,200 10,200

11,000 11,500 12,100

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

14,000

16,000

18,000

20,000

Q4

2009

Q1

2010

Q2

2010

Q3

2010

Q4

2010

Q1

2011

Q2

2011

Q3

2011

Q4

2011

Q1

2012

Q2

2012

Q3

2012

Q4

2012

Q1

2013

Q2

2013

Q3

2013

Prim

e S

ales

('0

00 A

ED

/sqm

)

Page 15: Abu Dhabi Real Estate Market Analysis Q3 2013

Residential performance - rents

• While high quality developments have performed well, secondary stock

has been affected by major increases to supply, with rents continuing to

decline as people move to newer developments. This divergence in

performance is expected to continue into 2014, with prime

developments (those that are well located with efficient designs, quality

management and providing high quality amenities and facilities and

sufficient parking) achieving an increased premium.

15

• Average asking rents for prime two bedroom apartments remained

unchanged at AED 130,000 per annum during Q3 2013.

• Demand has remained strong due to a variety of factors including:

- Government spending initiatives leading to job growth – such as

the airport expansion, the Etihad railway and the museums on

Saadiyat Island;

- Government entities requiring Dubai-based employees to relocate

to Abu Dhabi in response to the new regulations;

- The rental differential between Abu Dhabi and Dubai has reduced

as rents have increased in Dubai;

- Continued improvements to Abu Dhabi’s urban offering.

*Asking rents

Source: Jones Lang LaSalle, Q3 2013

Average Two-bedroom Rents* (2008 – Q3 2013)

188

231

198

180 170 168 163

153 150 145 140 140 135 135 126 121 120 120

130 130 130

100

120

140

160

180

200

220

240

Q3

2008

Q4

2008

Q1

2009

Q2

2009

Q3

2009

Q4

2009

Q1

2010

Q2

2010

Q3

2010

Q4

2010

Q1

2011

Q2

2011

Q3

2011

Q4

2011

Q1

2012

Q2

2012

Q3

2012

Q4

2012

Q1

2013

Q2

2013

Q3

2013

Ave

rage

Ren

t ('0

00 A

ED

per

ann

um)

Page 16: Abu Dhabi Real Estate Market Analysis Q3 2013

Residential market summary

Indicator Level Comment / Outlook

Current Residential Stock 213,000 units

Good quality residential stock is set to increase further with the

delivery of the Landmark Tower and additional units within

Saadiyat Beach Residences.

Future Supply

(by end 2015) 41,000 units

Concentrated within master developments such as Rawdhat,

Danet, Reem Island and Saadiyat Island in addition to sizeable

National housing developments.

Average Prime 2 Bed

Apartment Rent

AED 130,000

per annum

Rents for prime apartments remained stable

this quarter, while rents for poorer quality

properties continued to fall.

Average Prime 2 Bed

Apartment Sale Price

AED 14,200

per sqm

Sale prices for 2 bedroom apartments

continued to increase in selective projects,

particularly in investment areas, albeit not

market – wide.

Average 3 Bed Villa Rent AED 170,000

per annum

Rents for 3 bed villas remained stable this

quarter and are expected to remain relatively

stable in most locations

16

Page 17: Abu Dhabi Real Estate Market Analysis Q3 2013

Abu Dhabi retail market overview

Page 18: Abu Dhabi Real Estate Market Analysis Q3 2013

Retail supply

• As of Q3 2013, total retail space across the Abu Dhabi metropolitan

area stands at approximately 1.89 million sqm.

• Retail stock increased by around 112,000 sqm in Q3 2013 with the

delivery of The Galleria at Sowwah Square on Al Maryah Island, The

Collection at the St.Regis on Saadiyat Island and Deerfields

Townsquare in Bahia.

• Further deliveries are scheduled for Q4 2013 with approximately

143,000 sqm of retail GLA expected to enter the market by the end of

2013. This includes World Trade Centre Mall which opened on

October 23rd at Central Market and Capital Mall in Building Materials

City.

• In addition to these new malls, a number of retail centres within

mixed-use developments are expected to enter the market by the

end of 2013. These include units within Al Reef Community and the

Eastern Mangroves Promenade.

• By the end of 2015, total retail space across Abu Dhabi is expected

to reach around 2.6 million sqm of GLA with the delivery of major

malls such as Yas Mall, Saadiyat Mall, Sowwah Central and Reem

Mall.

Source: Jones Lang LaSalle, Q3 2013

18

Abu Dhabi Retail Stock (2012 – 2015)

1,770 1,895 2,037 2,349

143

311 224

-

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

2012 2013 2014 2015

GLA

in '0

00s

sqm

Completed Future Supply

Page 19: Abu Dhabi Real Estate Market Analysis Q3 2013

Awaiting handover

19

Capital Mall

Emporium Mall –

Central Market

Deerfields Townsquare

Nation Towers

The Galleria – Sowwah Square

The Collection at the St.Regis –

Saadiyat Island

Completed Q3 2013

Recent and near term retail completions

Page 20: Abu Dhabi Real Estate Market Analysis Q3 2013

Retail performance

• A continuous growth in retail spending (derived from both the

resident population and higher tourist levels), is supporting demand

for additional retail space in Abu Dhabi.

• Average rents in retail centres on Abu Dhabi Island have remained

stable this quarter at AED 2,887 / sqm per annum, average rents of

retail centres outside Abu Dhabi Island have also remained

unchanged at AED 1,900 / sqm per annum this quarter.

• Vacancies remain minimal within established centres on Abu Dhabi

Island, such as Marina Mall and Abu Dhabi Mall. Vacancies are

much higher in newly completed centres, with some opening with

significant levels of vacant space.

• While there are a number of large malls in the supply pipeline, the

majority are expected to materialise between 2017 and 2018. This

additional supply could however cause rents to soften in the short to

medium term as developers compete to secure the best retailers.

Source: Jones Lang LaSalle, Q3 2013

20

*Average retail rents for line shops in regional and super regional malls on Abu Dhabi Island

Source: Jones Lang LaSalle, Q3 2013

Rental Rates: Regional and Super Regional Malls - Abu Dhabi

F&B (AED / sqm) Casual Dining: 2,000 to 3,000

Food Court: 2,500 to 4,500

Line Shops (AED / sqm) 1,500 - 4,000

Anchor (AED / sqm) 500 - 1,500

Kiosk (AED/per annum) 60,000 to 180,000

Retail Rental Performance* (Q4 2008 – Q3 2013)

2,500

3,000

3,500

Q4

2008

Q1

2009

Q2

2009

Q3

2009

Q4

2009

Q1

2010

Q2

2010

Q3

2010

Q4

2010

Q1

2011

Q2

2011

Q3

2011

Q1

2012

Q2

2012

Q3

2012

Q4

2012

Q1

2013

Q2

2013

Q3

2013

Ret

ail R

ent

(AE

D/s

qm/a

nnum

)

Page 21: Abu Dhabi Real Estate Market Analysis Q3 2013

Retail sector summary

Indicator Level Comment / Outlook

Current Retail Space (GLA) 1.89 million sqm The proportion of high quality retail is increasing as a percentage

of total GLA.

Additional Supply

(by end 2015) 678,000 sqm

There is a significant number of retail projects expected to open by

the end of 2015, although some delays are expected.

Current Vacancy Level

(Regional and Super Regional

malls on Abu Dhabi Island)

2%

Malls on Abu Dhabi Island have very high

occupancy rates which are expected to decrease in

line with new supply.

Average Rents

(Regional and Super Regional

malls on Abu Dhabi Island)

AED 2,887 per sqm

per annum

Rents are expected to remain stable in the short

term but decrease due to increased competition from

new high quality malls in 2015.

Average Rents

(outside Abu Dhabi Island)

AED 1,900 per sqm

per annum

Average rents have remained stable this quarter

outside of Abu Dhabi Island and are expected to

stabilise at current levels.

21

Page 22: Abu Dhabi Real Estate Market Analysis Q3 2013

Abu Dhabi hotel market overview

Page 23: Abu Dhabi Real Estate Market Analysis Q3 2013

23

Hotel supply

• The third quarter of 2013 witnessed the opening of St. Regis Abu

Dhabi on the Corniche, providing almost 300 additional rooms. This

adds to the extensive new supply seen in recent years, with more

than 1,700 rooms added in the first three quarters of 2013.

• The third quarter also saw the opening of the Eastern Mangroves

Suites, which added 88 hotel apartments.

• Two major projects, the Novotel and the Premier Inn Abu Dhabi

Airport, are still expected to open by the end of 2013.

• Despite delays and cancellations of projects, around 5,700 additional

rooms are scheduled to enter the Abu Dhabi market by the end of

2015.

• The recent oversupply situation has resulted in limited recent

announcements of new hotel projects.

• Overall supply is expected to reach about 23,100 rooms by the end

of 2015, representing a CAGR of 15% from 2013 levels Source: Jones Lang LaSalle

Expected Future Supply (2013 – 2015)

15,700 17,350 17,950

19,800

600 1,850

3,300

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

2012 2013F 2014F 2015F

Num

ber

of R

oom

s

Existing Supply Future Supply

Page 24: Abu Dhabi Real Estate Market Analysis Q3 2013

Completed Q3 2013

Awaiting handover

St. Regis -

Nation Towers

Novotel and Adagio – Al

Bustan Complex

Capital Centre Arjaan

by Rotana

24

Eastern Mangroves Suites

Premier Inn Abu Dhabi Airport

Recent and near term hotel completions

Page 25: Abu Dhabi Real Estate Market Analysis Q3 2013

55%

64%

58% 64%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

0

250

500

750

1,000

2010 2011 2012 2013

AD

R (

AE

D)

ADR (AED) Occupancy

25

Trading performance

• Abu Dhabi hotels recorded a 16% increase in revenue and a

10% increase in guest arrivals between January and June 2013,

compared to the same period of 2012. However, the benefit of

increased visitor arrivals has again been offset by significant

increases in supply.

• The hotel market now appears to be stabilising, with occupancy

levels increasing 6 percentage points to 64% in the year to

August 2013.

• Average daily rates have continued to remain under pressure,

declining by 2% as hotels have relied on significant discounting

to push up occupancy levels.

• Due to the positive growth in occupancies, RevPAR levels in the

year to August 2013 have experienced an increase of 9%

compared to the same period in 2012.

• While tourism in Abu Dhabi continues to be driven by the

corporate and MICE (Meetings, Incentives, Conferencing,

Exhibitions) segments, efforts are being made to diversify tourism

demand by focusing on the leisure segment. Developments

include multiple museums and leisure entertainment venues on

Saadiyat Island and Yas Island together with the expansion of

the airport.

Source: STR Global

Hotel Performance 2010 – 2013 YT August

Page 26: Abu Dhabi Real Estate Market Analysis Q3 2013

26

Hotel Sector Summary

Indicator Level Comment / Outlook

Current Hotel Room

Supply 17,350 keys

One internationally branded hotel opened in Q3 2013–the St. Regis hotel,

located within Nation Towers, Corniche.

Future Supply

(by end 2015) 5,750 keys

Remaining quality hotel openings expected in 2013 include the Novotel &

Premier Inn Abu Dhabi Airport. Supply pipeline has experienced a

reduction, with multiple project delays.

2013 YTD Occupancy 64%

Occupancy levels have witnessed a notable increase during YTD 2013

period, owing to a much improved performance in the months of February-

August, with only a slight dip in July during Ramadan.

2013 YTD ADR AED 520

ADR levels continued to contract, declining by 2% in YT August 2013

compared to the same period in 2012. The negative growth in ADR was

offset by the substantial increase in occupancy, resulting in a year-over-

year RevPAR increase of 9%.

Page 27: Abu Dhabi Real Estate Market Analysis Q3 2013

Definitions and methodology

Residential:

• Residential buildings are considered handed over once they are

ready for tenant occupation. This data excludes labour

accommodation.

• Residential performance data is based on asking prices from a

basket of selected developments.

Retail:

• Retail space is considered handed over once it is open and

operational.

• Classification of Retail Centres is based upon the ULI definition as

published in Retail Development, 4th Edition published by ULI.

• Prime Rent Shopping Centre represents the top open market net

rent that could be expected for a notional standard line unit shop

situated in a specified shopping centre - preferred in a inner city

location -, as at the survey date (normally at the end of each

quarter period).

Office:

• Office buildings are considered handed over once they are ready for

tenant fit-outs.

• Average Grade A Office rents represent the average effective rents

taken from a basket of selected buildings defined as superior in the

current market. The Average Rent reflects values captured in

occupational leases that is standard for the local market. It is an

effective rent that accounts for ‘rent free’ periods only (and not the

financial impact of any other tenant incentive/s) and excludes service

charges and local taxes.

Hotels:

• Hotels are considered handed over once they are open and

operational.

• Hotel room supply is based on existing supply figures provided by

ADTCA as well as future hotel development data tracked by Jones

Lang LaSalle Hotels. Room supply includes all graded supply and

excludes serviced apartments.

• Hotel performance data is based on monthly survey conducted by

STR Global on a sample of international standard midscale – upscale

hotels.

27

Page 28: Abu Dhabi Real Estate Market Analysis Q3 2013

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David Dudley

Head of

Abu Dhabi Office

[email protected]

Peter Stebbings

Head of Valuation Advisory

Abu Dhabi

[email protected]

Chiheb Ben-Mahmoud

Head of Hotels & Hospitality

MENA

[email protected]

Andrew Williamson

Head of Retail

MENA

[email protected]

Barry McGettigan

Senior Agent, Agency

Abu Dhabi

[email protected]

Craig Plumb

Head of Research

MENA

[email protected]

Dunia Joulani

Senior Analyst

Abu Dhabi

[email protected]

Mai Hassan

Research Assistant

Abu Dhabi

[email protected]

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