accelerate to
DESCRIPTION
40 Years of the Web and where the mobile web is going.TRANSCRIPT
AccelerateTO
Web meets World
Nov 2010
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t = now
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Web 0.1 : Beta [t-40] 1G
Wired Web: 7
Impact: Universities connected
Bomb Proof Networks
Dr. Martin Cooper
Mobiles: 7,000
Vint Cerf
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Web 1.0 [t-20] 2G
Wired Web: 520,000 Mobiles: 7,000,000
Impact: Links
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Web 1.0 [t-15] 2G
Wired Web: 16,000,000 Mobiles: 98,000,000
Impact: E-commerce ramps
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1969 1972 1976 1982 1989 1996 1998 1999 2000 2001 2004 2005 2006 2008 2009
Web 1.0 [t-12] 2G
Wired Web: 147,000,000 Mobiles: 469,200,000
Impact: Search and SaaS
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Web 1.0 : Dies [t-10] 2.5G
Wired Web: 361,000,000 Mobiles: 709,000,000
Impact: Tactical retreat & rebuild
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Web 2.0 : Social [t-6] 3G
People connected: 817,000,000
Impact: Social Web ramps
Mobiles: 1,744,000,000
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In the beginning… [t-3]
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3G Web 2.0
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Web 3.0
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1969 1972 1976 1982 1989 1996 1998 1999 2000 2001 2004 2005 2006 2008 2009
Web 2.0 [t-2] 4G
DJIA lost 53% of its value
Wired Web: 1,586,000,000 Mobiles: 4,269,600,000
Impact: Massive GDP shifts
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1969 1972 1976 1982 1989 1996 1998 1999 2000 2001 2004 2005 2006 2008 2009 2010
Web 3.0 : Web meets World [t-1]
People connected: 1,668,000,000Mobiles: 4,646,000,000
Impact: Web meets World
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Just starting to get faster…
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10,000,000,000 units?
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Open Mobile: $s follow usage = $1,000,000,000
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Smart Phones > PCs
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4 Horse Race?
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6 Months ago….
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“iPad will chop Netbook sales
by 50 percent”Brian Dunn, CEO Best BuyWSJ Sept 17th
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Last month….
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End of….
PCsRecord labelsNewspapersBooksCredit CardsLaw firms Banks …..
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40th month of “smart”……
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325,000,000 users 300% 236,000,000 units 300%300,000 apps 100%8,000,000,000 dls 500%22,000,000 a day 700%
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1969 1972 1976 1982 1989 1996 1998 1999 2000 2001 2004 2005 2006 2008 2009 2010
Now = Web 3.0 [t-0]
Wired Web: 1,966,514,816 Mobiles: 5,155,651,438Population: 6,845,609,960
Impact: Web is World @ 28% & 71%
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40 years of acceleration
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What’s next [t+1]
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1969 1972 1976 1982 1989 1996 1998 1999 2000 2001 2004 2005 2006 2008 2009 2014
What’s next [t +4 ]
Smart Phones: 1,000,000,000People connected: 4,000,000,000Impact: $14 Trillion (30%) GDP
Open Mobile• Open radios (wifi, 3G, 4G)• Open OS & Multiple OS• Open Applications• Open APIs
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