active and passive means to protect space missionsactive and passive means to protect space missions...
TRANSCRIPT
Active and passive means to protectspace missions
Th. Donath (Onera)
2
H20
20 In
foda
y–
Bru
ssel
s –
Dec
embe
r12
, 201
3The Kessler syndrome ?
©ESA
©ESA
©NASA
Today, debris risks are still low.
Tomorrow, debris risks may become the first cause of mission abort.
Let us think about an Envisat collision at 800 km !
3
H20
20 In
foda
y–
Bru
ssel
s –
Dec
embe
r12
, 201
3Space mission versus debris environment
Trackable debris Trackable debris Trackable debris Trackable debris (i.e. lethal debris)(i.e. lethal debris)(i.e. lethal debris)(i.e. lethal debris)
UntrackableUntrackableUntrackableUntrackable debrisdebrisdebrisdebris((((incincincinc. . . . lethallethallethallethal debrisdebrisdebrisdebris))))
TrackableTrackableTrackableTrackable debrisdebrisdebrisdebris(i.e. (i.e. (i.e. (i.e. lethallethallethallethal debrisdebrisdebrisdebris))))
UntrackableUntrackableUntrackableUntrackable debrisdebrisdebrisdebris((((incincincinc. . . . lethallethallethallethal debrisdebrisdebrisdebris))))
The environment threatens themission
The mission threatens theenvironment
4
H20
20 In
foda
y–
Bru
ssel
s –
Dec
embe
r12
, 201
3
Active Collision Active Collision Active Collision Active Collision avoidanceavoidanceavoidanceavoidance
Short and long-term solutions
TrackableTrackableTrackableTrackable debrisdebrisdebrisdebris(i.e. (i.e. (i.e. (i.e. lethallethallethallethal debrisdebrisdebrisdebris))))
UntrackableUntrackableUntrackableUntrackable debrisdebrisdebrisdebris((((incincincinc. . . . lethallethallethallethal debrisdebrisdebrisdebris))))
Avoidance manœuvres (SST)Protection & safe designActive debris removal
Safe & efficient disposal
TrackableTrackableTrackableTrackable debrisdebrisdebrisdebris(i.e. (i.e. (i.e. (i.e. lethallethallethallethal debrisdebrisdebrisdebris))))
UntrackableUntrackableUntrackableUntrackable debrisdebrisdebrisdebris((((incincincinc. . . . lethallethallethallethal debrisdebrisdebrisdebris))))
5
H20
20 In
foda
y–
Bru
ssel
s –
Dec
embe
r12
, 201
3To synthesize
©Onera
©Fraunhofer FHR
©Onera
©Texas A&M University
©ESA
©ESA
©ESA
©DARPA
©EADS
@NASA
6
H20
20 In
foda
y–
Bru
ssel
s –
Dec
embe
r12
, 201
3To synthesize
©Onera
©Fraunhofer FHR
©Onera
©Texas A&M University
©ESA
©ESA
©ESA
©DARPA
©EADS
Performance ?
Maturity ?
Cost ?
Impact on European missions' safety ?
Impact on environment cleanliness ?
@NASA
7
H20
20 In
foda
y–
Bru
ssel
s –
Dec
embe
r12
, 201
3The P2ROTECT project
The P2ROTECT project does not solve the problem but provides a tool to evaluate:
� The performance of space missions within the debris environment,
� The risks due to both trackable and untrackable debris effects on space missions,
� The efficiency of single or combined solutions (i.e. SST, protection by shielding, component relocation, mission fractionation) on risk reduction.
The Sentinel-1 mission is the LEO example.
©ESA
8
H20
20 In
foda
y–
Bru
ssel
s –
Dec
embe
r12
, 201
3Risk evaluation
Impact Impact Impact Impact atatatat MISSION MISSION MISSION MISSION levellevellevellevel
EffectsEffectsEffectsEffects atatatat S/C S/C S/C S/C levellevellevellevel
Untrackable debris (inc. lethal debris)Untrackable debris (inc. lethal debris)Untrackable debris (inc. lethal debris)Untrackable debris (inc. lethal debris)
Trackable debris (i.e. lethal debris)Trackable debris (i.e. lethal debris)Trackable debris (i.e. lethal debris)Trackable debris (i.e. lethal debris)
Avoidance manoeuvres probability
Fuel consumption
Service disability
Component failure
probability
Functionalrisk
(Notional)
ENSURE THE S-1 MISSION
SIMULTANEITY
MAINTAIN S-1 IN OPERATIONAL CONDITION
ENSURE EOMISSION
SEQUENCE
ACQUIRE DATA
TRANSMIT DATA
RECEIVEORDER
9
H20
20 In
foda
y–
Bru
ssel
s –
Dec
embe
r12
, 201
3Risk at MISSION level
DISTRIBUTE POWER
GENERATE POWER
COLLECT DATA
Criticalfunctions
Debris Flux
MAINTAIN S-1 IN OPERATIONAL CONDITION
ENSURE EO MISSION
Effective calculation
Criticalitems
10
H20
20 In
foda
y–
Bru
ssel
s –
Dec
embe
r12
, 201
3From risk to solutions
Solutions at MISSION level
Solutions at S/C level
Solutions at environment level
SST
Fractionation
Mission operations
Shielding
Component relocation
Component redundancy
Active debris removal
Passivation / safe disposal
…
Impact Impact Impact Impact atatatat MISSION MISSION MISSION MISSION levellevellevellevel
Functionalrisk
Notional
ENSURE THE S-1 MISSION
SIMULTANEITY
MAINTAIN S-1 IN OPERATIONAL CONDITION
ENSURE EOMISSION
SEQUENCE
ACQUIRE DATA
TRANSMIT DATA
RECEIVEORDER
11
H20
20 In
foda
y–
Bru
ssel
s –
Dec
embe
r12
, 201
3Solutions at MISSION level
Impact of a major
fragmentation event at S1
altitude
Effect of protection at S/C level
(i.e. shielding & relocation)
Effect of "relaxed" SST and
protection at S/C level
Effective calculations
12
H20
20 In
foda
y–
Bru
ssel
s –
Dec
embe
r12
, 201
3Beyond the P2ROTECT project
The protection of European space assets shall need innovativesolutions based on:
• Passive means such as:• Space Surveillance and Tracking• Mission protection• S/C de-orbiting and disposal• Mission fractionation.
• Active means such as:• Active Debris Removal.
Performance
Safety
CleanlinessMaturity
Cost
Performance
Safety
CleanlinessMaturity
Cost
Cleanliness = Mission impact on the environment
• One solution = single or combined means.
• Each solution may be a technology driver.
• Solution efficiency is of prime concern for the sustainability of space activities
CurrentmissionEfficiency
13
H20
20 In
foda
y–
Bru
ssel
s –
Dec
embe
r12
, 201
3Some challenges related to passive means
• From short-terms solutions:• S/C protection• S/C de-orbiting and disposal
• To long-term solutions:• Fractionation
• Mission performance kept.• Higher mission safety.• Higher mission "cleanliness" for the environment. • Long-term effects on environment measurable with confidence.
14
H20
20 In
foda
y–
Bru
ssel
s –
Dec
embe
r12
, 201
3Some challenges related to active means
Optimal ADR strategies for the removal of 10 Ariane R/B in LEO with a 15 ton OTV
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
4.5
5.0
5.5
6.0
0 500 1000 1500
Propellant margin (kg)
Mis
sio
n ti
me
(ye
ar)
ADR by attaching a solid rocket deorbiting kit
ADR by moving the debris to a 25 year reentry orbit
@Onera
• Maturity of technology integration.• Mission performance reachable with confidence.• Long-term effects on environment measurable with confidence.
Perform ADR mission
Perform far range RdV
Perform short range RdV
up to contact
Perform interfacing with debris
Control, de-tumble and orient the
debris
Perform de-orbiting
Control the debris
De-tumble the debris
Orient the debris
SEQ
SEQATLAS functional tree of the mission
and mapping with technological pathways
Techno 1
Techno n
@Onera
15
H20
20 In
foda
y–
Bru
ssel
s –
Dec
embe
r12
, 201
3To conclude
Protection of European assets in and from space is:
• A scientific challenge to solve technological hard points and to prove the global efficiency of solutions.
• A key factor for industrial leadership because of requiredenabling technologies and the induced positioning in theworldwide scene.
• At the end, a societal challenge because of the increasingsociety dependance to services provided by space.