addressing anaerobic digestion financial issues

17
Iona Capital Ltd Addressing AD finance issues

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Michael Dunn - Director, Iona Capital Michael is a Director with Iona Capital, a private equity company that manages retail and institutional funds targeting the energy from waste sector and specifically seeks to invest in anaerobic digestion projects that require external funding. Iona Capital has recently completed a £6m investment, with Biogen Ltd as the operating partner, in an SPV co-owned with Biogen Ltd. He has held senior level positions with Shanks Group , Veolia Group and Amey Group. He currently holds a variety of sector-related non executive director roles including sitting on London Waste Ltd's board. He has a Masters in Finance degree from the London Business School. This presentation was given on 27 September, 2012 at "Anaerobic Digestion: Accelerating the Rollout" event

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: Addressing Anaerobic Digestion financial issues

Iona Capital Ltd

Addressing AD finance issues

Page 2: Addressing Anaerobic Digestion financial issues

Agenda

• About Iona Capital

• Market Overview

• Principal Sources of Income

• Project Specific Issues Structures

- a funder’s perspective

• Sources of Funding

Page 3: Addressing Anaerobic Digestion financial issues

About Iona Capital Ltd

• The UK’s Environmental

Renewables Investment Fund

• Asset Managers with

specialist funds targeting both

the Local Authority and

Merchant markets

• Particular focus on AD

infrastructure across UK

• £16m committed to three

Local Government AD

projects

• Financing target: non

correlated returns to investors

of 15-20% IRR’s

Page 4: Addressing Anaerobic Digestion financial issues

UK total waste volumes

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

2004 2006 2008

Mill

ions o

f to

nnes

DEFRA, waste data

Secondary, sewage and

other

Households

Commercial and

industrial

Mining and quarrying

Construction

Page 5: Addressing Anaerobic Digestion financial issues

Electricity generation from

Bioenergy (GWh)

-

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

14,000

20072008

20092010

2011

Plant Biomass

Anaerobic digestion

Animal Biomass

Co-firing with fossil fuels

Biodegradable municipal solid

waste combustion

Sewage sludge digestion

Landfill gas

Data source: DECC. Renewables Statistics

Page 6: Addressing Anaerobic Digestion financial issues

Principal sources of Income I

45 52

57

43 41

0

20

40

60

80

100

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

AD

Gate

Fees, £

WRAP Gate Fees Reports 2008-2012

AD Gate Fees

High

Low

Median

Page 7: Addressing Anaerobic Digestion financial issues

Principal sources of Income II

0.0

5.0

10.0

15.0

20.0

25.0

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

FITs (AD >5kWh) 9.9 9.9

LEC 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5

ROC (Nominal)x1 4.9 5.3 5.4 5.2 5.1

Average consumer 5.4 6.8 7.3 6.5 6.9

Pence p

er

kW

h

Government incentives

Page 8: Addressing Anaerobic Digestion financial issues

Typical Project Assessment

• Plant objectives: process number of tonnes, produce methane and

electricity etc

• Technical specification: waste type, site specific (planning etc)

• Project considerations (timeframe, resources, skilled labour)

• Cost considerations (designs, controls required, documents and

safety training)

• Income generation: realistic pricing of supply and off take, strength

of counter party, contract durations and % secured of annual

feedstock assumptions

• Financial assumptions: capital, debt/equity split, (no) bank debt

• Project level return (IRR 15% with upside to 20%)

Page 9: Addressing Anaerobic Digestion financial issues

Deal structure

SPV

Waste contractor Utility

Investor/Operator

Operating Contractor

Construction Contractor

Investor Debt Equity

Project

agreement

Construction

contract

Operating

contract

Power Purchase

Agreement

Page 10: Addressing Anaerobic Digestion financial issues

Key Investment Risks

Engineering, Procurement, Construction

• Site

• Planning

• Environmental permits

• Performance Guarantees

• Fixed Prices

Technology

• Proven process

• Scalability

• Due Diligence

• PAS 110

• Plant maintenance

Supply

• Waste Quality: composition & chemical content

• Contamination levels

• Continuity

• Contracts/Terms: Local Authority vs C&I

Output

• Electricity contracts, FITs, ROCs

• Heat contracts, RHI

• Digestate Disposal

• Biomethane injection to grid

• Rejects: % tonnage and hazardous waste

• Emissions: odour, noise, gases etc

Finance

• Loan note: repayment and priority ranking

• Equity: early valuation

• Interest rate protection

• Security: debenture, land, assets

• Parental Guarantees

• Indexation of inflation rates

Page 11: Addressing Anaerobic Digestion financial issues

1 MW AD plant

Annual Operational Costs breakdown

16%

14%

11% 18%

5%

22%

4%

10%

59%

Waste Overheads

Life Cycle expenditure Management & Staff

Rates & Utilities Equipment & Maintenance

AD related costs Site related costs

Facilities Management

Total Construction Costs breakdown

1%

3%

13%

11%

11%

61%

28%

Planning & Permitting Costs

Utility Connections (incl. grid connections)

Tank Bases, Underground Tank & Bund Area

Other Site related costs

Building

Plant & Machinery

Civils

Page 12: Addressing Anaerobic Digestion financial issues

Gate Fees depend on project costs

FM , 35%

Insurance, 6%

Overheads, 5%

Capex, 16%

Financing, 24%

Tax,

7%

Life cycle, 5%

Assume £100 per tonne

processing costs.

25,000 tpa facility

Page 13: Addressing Anaerobic Digestion financial issues

Small AD

Economics of a typical Local

Authority facility

Page 14: Addressing Anaerobic Digestion financial issues

Mid Range AD

Economics of a typical Local

Authority facility

Page 15: Addressing Anaerobic Digestion financial issues

Investment Sensitivities

Value change Base Case Electricity

price

decrease by

20%

20%

increase in

FM

RPI - 1%

Increase in

third party

waste gate

fee by £10 to

£40

Project

post tax

IRR

14.29%

13.48%

12.08%

13.97%

14.71%

Blended

return

13.90%

13.13%

13.90%

13.63%

14.32%

Investor

blended

return

12.68%

12.19%

12.68%

12.51%

12.97%

Page 16: Addressing Anaerobic Digestion financial issues

Pecking order Theory

Private Equity

Target IRRs! Debt/equity split Iona, Albion, Novus Modus, Investec,

Octopus, Foresight, Equitix

Banks

Access the risk levels Proved operational

track record Returns

HSBC, Barclays, Investec, Triodos

Internal Funding

Universities – R&D Established operator

Special Funds

WRAP (AD Loan fund, £10 m) GIB (£3 billion)

Grants Local Government European organisations Charities

Page 17: Addressing Anaerobic Digestion financial issues

Summary – How to succeed with

VC’s

• Quality Business Plan addressing issues

contained in these slides

• Team – External and Internal

• Financial Model but don’t get hung up on

finance and tax – target your audience

• Limited funding options in current market