african higher education futures - mace

45
African higher education futures Morne Mostert (PhD) Director Institute for Futures Research, Stellenbosch University [email protected] Presented at MACE Directors Symposium 2018 Stias, Stellenbosch 21 June 2018

Upload: others

Post on 17-Jan-2022

1 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: African higher education futures - MACE

African higher education futures

Morne Mostert (PhD)DirectorInstitute for Futures Research, Stellenbosch [email protected]

Presented at

MACE Directors Symposium 2018

Stias, Stellenbosch21 June 2018

Page 3: African higher education futures - MACE

Vuja de

Page 4: African higher education futures - MACE

Futuristic pictures by Jean-Marc Côté (et al)…France 1899, 1900, 1901 & 1910

Page 5: African higher education futures - MACE

20 - 30 - 50

Page 6: African higher education futures - MACE

Psychic amnesiac

Page 7: African higher education futures - MACE

Alternate paradigms?Classical perceptions in transience

Rule of Law Economics Politics Leadership

Rule of LawEconomicsPoliticsLeadership

Social dynamics

West?

Africa?

ORDER?

CONTROL?

Page 8: African higher education futures - MACE

The Mouseion at AlexandriaPtolemy c. 300BC (war scholar & patron of intellectual life)

A research institute with lecture halls, laboratories & rooms for visiting scholars. Archimedes & Euclid: mathematics & physics.Astronomer Aristarchus of Samos: solo-centricity.The library (added by Ptolemy’s son), contained an unparalleled collection of scrolls thanks to a government edict mandating that foreign ships hand over scrolls for copying.First chief of the library, Eratosthenes, measured the earth’s circumference to an accuracy within a few hundred miles.

http://www.smithsonianmag.com/science-nature/raising-alexandria-151005550/#pPEMcyEr56ihGmod.9

Page 9: African higher education futures - MACE

Ge’ez scrolls – Axum (Ethiopia & Eritrea)

51 references in the Bible to "Ethiopia" A cosmopolitan & culturally important meeting place for Egyptian, Sudanic, Arabic &

Indian travellers, with Sabean, Jewish, Nubian, Christian, and

Buddhist minorities

Aksumite Empire developed its own alphabet, the Ge'ez alphabet (which evolved from Epigraphic South Arabian during the late pre-Aksumite and proto-Aksumite period (c. 450AD)

http://www.newworldencyclopedia.org/entry/Aksumite_Empire

https://www.britishmuseum.org/pdf/KingdomOfAksum_TeachersNotes.pdf

A link between the trading systems of the Mediterraneanand the Asiatic world & shows

the extent of international commerce at that time

inscriptions on coins (c. AD 270/290) (intended for international t highlight the fact that Aksumites were a literate people with knowl

of both Ethiopic and Greek languages … followed the weight stan which existed in the Roman Em

Page 10: African higher education futures - MACE

• Rational beings possessing free will• Just war theory

(13 November 354 – 28 August 430)

(Annaba, Algeria)

Page 11: African higher education futures - MACE

Ez-Zitouna, TunisEst. 735Ibn Khaldun, the first social historian in history, was one of its products

Page 12: African higher education futures - MACE
Page 13: African higher education futures - MACE

Cairo c.970AD

Page 14: African higher education futures - MACE
Page 15: African higher education futures - MACE

Berlin Conference

Page 16: African higher education futures - MACE

May 2000

Page 17: African higher education futures - MACE

December 2011

Page 18: African higher education futures - MACE

December 2011 November 2012

Page 19: African higher education futures - MACE

March 2013

Page 20: African higher education futures - MACE

April 2016

Page 21: African higher education futures - MACE

August 2016

Page 22: African higher education futures - MACE
Page 23: African higher education futures - MACE
Page 24: African higher education futures - MACE
Page 25: African higher education futures - MACE
Page 26: African higher education futures - MACE

44 countries, excl. RSA & Nigeria

Page 27: African higher education futures - MACE

Africa

Asia

Europe

2017 populationpyramid.net

Page 28: African higher education futures - MACE

Demographic Dividend

http://blogs.worldbank.org/africacan/optimism-about-africas-demographic-dividend

Page 29: African higher education futures - MACE

https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2016/05/6-reasons-to-invest-in-africa/

Page 30: African higher education futures - MACE
Page 31: African higher education futures - MACE

Tech Hubs

Source: GSMA Sub-Sahara Africa 2017

Page 32: African higher education futures - MACE

Context

SDG

Agenda

2063

MyCo

NDP

Page 33: African higher education futures - MACE

African USP

How is the world a-symmetrically

structured in favour of Africa?

Page 34: African higher education futures - MACE

GovernmentBusiness

Labour

Page 35: African higher education futures - MACE

The confidence triad

ConsumerCivil

participation

Investment Policy

Citizenry

Business Government

Page 36: African higher education futures - MACE

Leveraging convening power

Page 37: African higher education futures - MACE

Chapter 2Bills of rights

16. Freedom of expression(1) …which includes -(a) freedom of the press and other media;(b) freedom to receive or impart information or ideas;(c) freedom of artistic creativity; and(d) academic freedom and freedom of scientific research

‘study & conclude consistent with pedagogical philosophy without fear or favour’ phttps://www.insidehighered.com/views/2010/12/21/defining-academic-freedom

Page 38: African higher education futures - MACE

Those who know where they come from

also know

where they’ve been

Page 39: African higher education futures - MACE

Have a

Vuja [email protected]

Page 40: African higher education futures - MACE

Base

Pace

Space: cultural distance, incl. language, religion, legal system, ease of doing business

ACE

Ace-of-base-in-space

Page 41: African higher education futures - MACE

Africa cannot wait for time to tell.

Africa must tell time.

Page 42: African higher education futures - MACE
Page 43: African higher education futures - MACE

Cohesion & Collaboration

Factionalism & Self-interest

Exceptionalism Surfing 4IR

High

Low

High

Low

High

Low

Growth

Redistribution

High

Low

ParadigmaticROE Education

GrowthGrowth

Growth

Redistribution

RedistributionRedistribution

Page 44: African higher education futures - MACE

Our role in strategic futures?

1. Which obsolescent habits have precipitated current trend breaks?2. How do we discern the noise-to-signal ratio?3. Does our generation have, and do we inspire, futures projects?4. How do we overcome the risk of akrasia & develop humble courage?5. What are we learning from our skunkworks through

Experimentation and Rapid Prototyping?6. Of what are we the nimble and agile harbinger, i.e. the shining light

of things to come?7. Where are we the vanguard or bellwether across sectors, i.e. what

are we signaling to future generations?8. What should we be designing as evidence of our leading

anticipatory competence?

Page 45: African higher education futures - MACE

Catalysts for change

?

Government

Labour

Business

Media

NGO

Clergy

Constitutional Institutions

Academia