agricultural market information system (amis): state of play amis first meeting of the rapid...
TRANSCRIPT
Agricultural Market Information System (AMIS):
State of PlayAMIS First Meeting of the Rapid Response Forum11 April 2012Mexico City
Abdolreza Abbassian, AMIS Secretary
Presentation Outline
Quick overview
Progress
Latest on statistics & country balances
Slide 2
Improve agricultural market information, analyses and forecasts at both national and international levels
Report on abnormal international market conditions including structural weaknesses, as appropriate
Strengthen global early warning capacity Collect and analyse policy information, promote
dialogue and international policy coordination Build data collection capacity in participating
countries
Quick Overview: Objectives
Slide 3
Structure & Process
Slide 4
Work Plan & Outputs
September 2011Official launch of AMIS (Rome, 15-16 September): Adoption of AMIS’ Terms of Reference and Rules and Procedures, as well as a working document outlining Secretariat outputs
December 2011Launch of the AMIS Web site (www.amis-outlook.org)Expert Meeting on Market Indicators, AMIS outputs and Work Programme (19-20 December, Rome)
February 2012 First meeting of the AMIS Information Group (Rome, 9-10 February) will discuss informational channels, data requirements, methodology, and data input mechanisms
April 2012First meeting of the Rapid Response Forum (Mexico City– April 11) to review the progress made since the AMIS inception meeting in September 2011
Slide 5
Expert Meeting on Market Indicators, AMIS outputs and Work Programme, Rome, 19-20 December 2011
Slide 6
Purpose: To clarify the concept and definition of abnormal international market conditions and to work towards the development of a set of indicators to measure such movements To discuss & propose AMIS outputs, operational issues and work plan
Main Outcome: Develop a strategy for a review of indicators, in terms of their quality or performance Identify thresholds for abnormal market conditions that may have implications for global food security Monthly bulletins to be published on AMIS website from 2012A “baseline assessment” on capacity building to be carried out in order to define needs (which kinds of information) and priority countries, trying to make clear division between capacity building activities under AMIS as compared to other initiatives (i.e. the Global Strategy)
Slide 8
Inception Meeting, Rome, September 15 - 16, 2011
Recognizing that AMIS is a work-in-progress initiative, the meeting: Adopted the “terms of reference” and “rules of procedures” Agreed on a working document on the Secretariat outputs Elected the Chair of AMIS for one yearAppointed the Secretary of AMISSelected a logo Decided to launch AMIS website
Work Plan & Outputs
September 2011Official launch of AMIS (Rome, 15-16 September): Adoption of AMIS’ Terms of Reference and Rules and Procedures, as well as a working document outlining Secretariat outputs
December 2011•Launch of the AMIS Web site (www.amis-outlook.org)•Expert Meeting on Market Indicators, AMIS outputs and Work Programme (19-20 December, Rome)
February 2012 First meeting of the AMIS Information Group (Rome, 9-10 February) will discuss informational channels, data requirements, methodology, and data input mechanisms
April 2012First meeting of the Rapid Response Forum (Mexico City– April 11) to review the progress since the AMIS inception in September 2011
Slide 9
…. Work Plan
June-December 2012: Capacity Building
Assess capacity development needs in member countries, in coordination with relevant regional organizations
Prepare a manual defining best practices and methodologies for agricultural market data collection and analysis
Hold a series of country/regional training sessions to enhance data collection capacity and to assist in the development of methodologies for food market outlook
Identify, design and implement special projects, aiming at enhancing data collection, analysis and outlooks
Slide 10
StatisticsCommodity Balances
An integrated, open-source platform to strengthen collection analysis and dissemination of food market-related data Handles and harmonizes multiple data sources (national and international)Enables data comparisonHelps to enter and calculate commodity balance dataFacilitates data downloadIncludes tools to link national and international databases through the Internet
Envisaged AMIS Network and Data Exchange
USDA Server
AMIS Server
Country X Server
Country Y Server
Online connection
From Excel spreadheets
Mobile devices
@web services to exchange data between the AMIS server and AMIS stakeholders’ servers
Upload/retrieve data via automated email
Upload data using the commodity balance data entry tool
Upload/retrieve data using smartphones
UMTS and GSM networks
Current status (as of April 2012):G20 participants and two out of seven invited countries have registered with AMIS Statistical ToolThree countries have modified/input historical data EU provides monthly data on regular basis and in March reported its first forecasts for 2012/13
Next Step:All AMIS participants are requested to complete the historical (2000/01-2011/12) data by 16 AprilIn early May all AMIS participants will be asked to input/send their first forecasts for 2012/13 with deadline of mid-MayAMIS Secretariat will validate the input data by end-June 2012The validated data to be accessible to public on the AMIS website from July 2012 Review of the process/progress to be reported for discussion at the next Market Information Group meeting, to be held in Rome in late September/early October 2012
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Latest situation on Commodity Balances & next steps