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Page 1: AgriFood Tech Sector Data Pack · 2 Contents Page - Introduction to the Sector Data Pack 3 - Introduction to and Definition of the AgriFood Tech

AgriFood Tech Sector Data Pack

Version Final

Page 2: AgriFood Tech Sector Data Pack · 2 Contents Page - Introduction to the Sector Data Pack 3 - Introduction to and Definition of the AgriFood Tech

2

Contents Page

- Introduction to the Sector Data Pack 3

- Introduction to and Definition of the AgriFood Tech Sector 3

- Key Findings from the Data Analysis 5

- The AgriFood Tech Sector in New Anglia 6

o GVA 9 o Employment 11 o Businesses 34 o NiNO registrations 39 o Exports 43 o Wages 49 o Qualifications and Skills 51 o Vacancies 53

- A Future View of the AgriFood Tech Sector 59

- Views from Stakeholder Consultations 66

o AgriFood Tech survey findings 67

- Appendices 77

o Appendix 1 – AgriFood Tech sector definition 78 o Appendix 2 – AgriTech sector definition 81

Page 3: AgriFood Tech Sector Data Pack · 2 Contents Page - Introduction to the Sector Data Pack 3 - Introduction to and Definition of the AgriFood Tech

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Introduction to the Sector Data Pack The role of the Sector Data Pack is to bring together the latest socio-economic and labour market data and present both an up-to-date, and future view, of the sector and any underlying issues within the area that could impact upon it. Information and feedback collected from stakeholder consultation (through workshops, meetings, and survey) is also presented and summarised (where available and applicable).

The Data Pack sits below the Sector Skills Plan, with the key findings from the data analysis helping to inform the priorities developed in the plan. In most instances data has been analysed and presented down to local authority level. In some instances, and even where local authority data is available, it has not been presented in the data pack due to issues of unreliability and small sample sizes. This is particularly the case with data from the Annual Population Survey and the Annual Survey of Hours and Earnings.

Throughout the Data Pack findings are also presented for the areas of Lincolnshire (county), Greater Cambridge and Greater Peterborough (GCGP) Local Enterprise Partnership (LEP), Greater Lincolnshire LEP (GLLEP), and South East LEP (SELEP). These comparator areas were agreed in consultation with the AgriFood Tech sector group and New Anglia LEP officers.

Introduction to and Definition of the AgriFood Tech Sector New Anglia is arguably the most productive farming region in the UK, with the most profitable farms, a dynamic food chain and the largest concentration of agri-food research in Europe. New Anglia’s agriculture has a turnover of £1.65billion, including 52% of the UK sugar beet production, 20% of its cereals, 21% of the pig herd and 21% of the duck, geese and turkey flocks.

Taking the tighter AgriFood Tech definition, which excludes food retail and catering, it can be broken down into three elements as follows:

AgriFood

In scope:

- Agricultural, horticultural and forestry production (crops, livestock, ornamental crops, biomass and biofuels, renewable materials) - Food and drink processing (including artisan foods) - Input supplies (e.g. machinery, fertilisers, seeds, packaging etc.) - Food wholesaling and marketing - Food logistics

AgriTech (see full national definition in appendix 2)

In scope:

Page 4: AgriFood Tech Sector Data Pack · 2 Contents Page - Introduction to the Sector Data Pack 3 - Introduction to and Definition of the AgriFood Tech

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- Plant genetic improvement; plant health; crop storage and silage - Animal genetic improvement; animal nutrition; animal health and welfare - ICT systems - Soil and substrate management; environmental interactions; harvest and early stage processing - Engineering and precision farming - Infrastructure - Advisory services

Food Tech:

- Food production technology - Dietary health and consumer food technology

Full details of the Standard Industrial Classification codes that are used to captures these activities can be found in appendix 1.

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- The AgriFood Tech sector in New Anglia was worth over £2.5bn in 2015

- This £2.5bn equates to just over 7 per cent of New Anglia’s economy total value, which is more than double what the sector is worth to the national economy

- Growth in value in the sector has been broadly in line with that of national and comparator area trends

- 50,000 people were employed in the sector in 2015, around 7.4 per cent of the total workforce, and of the comparator areas then only Greater Lincolnshire has a higher proportion

- Employment in the sector has fallen over the last five years whereas many of its comparators areas have experienced growth

- Across New Anglia then some of the largest areas of employment such as Breckland, Mid Suffolk, and King’s Lynn and West Norfo lk, have experienced falls in employment

- New Anglia’s AgriFood Tech sector Location Quotient is 1.9 which means that employment in the sector is nearly twice as important to the local economy compared to the national level.

- Mid Suffolk Coastal has the highest LQ of all the local authority districts at 4.0

- Full time employment in the New Anglia AgriFood Tech sector has fallen over the last five years whereas many of its comparator areas have experienced increases

- There are 7,875 AgriFood Tech businesses in New Anglia and unlike employment, this number has grown between 2010 and 2015 albeit at a lower rate than all comparator areas

- The proportion of New Anglia residents with higher level qualifications is increasing but remains below national averages

- Growth in AgriFood Tech sector apprenticeships has been strong since 2006 and at a higher rate than both regionally and nationally

- Employment in the sector is forecast to fall further, however, at the same time, replacement demand and expansion demand within more skilled occupations will maintain and grow the demand for higher skills within both the sector and the New Anglia area.

- With the projected drop in employment, by 2024 there is a potential gap (driven by retirements) in the New Anglia AgriFood Tech sector workforce of 18,000

Key Findings from the Data Analysis

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The AgriFood Tech Sector in New Anglia

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7.1%7.4%

10.8%

GVA Employment Businesses

AgriFood Tech sector’s contribution to the local economy

The AgriFood Tech sector contributes the following to the New Anglia LEP economy:

- Over 7 per cent total economic value (Gross Value Added or GVA) generated, which is over £2.5bn of the £35.5bn generated by the New Anglia economy is 2015.

- 7.4 per cent of total employment (675,500), equating to nearly 50,000 employees in 2015.

- Nearly 11 per cent of businesses, 7,900 of the 72,900 businesses in New Anglia.

Sources: Sub-regional GVA; Business Register and Employment Survey, UK Business Counts; all Office for National Statistics; 2013 Agricultural Survey, Department for Environment, Food, and Rural Affairs (Defra)

Please note that values for GVA are based on the sectors of ‘Agriculture’, ‘Food products, beverages and tobacco’, and a proportion of both ‘basic pharmaceutical products and preparations’ and ‘Transport and storage’. They have been calculated by applying regional proportions of sectoral GVA at the New Anglia LEP level. Values for employment and businesses based on the SIC codes detailed in the appendices.

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90

100

110

120

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

AgriFoodTech GVA AgriFoodTech Employment

AgriFoodTech Business Total GVA

Total Employment Total Business

AgriFood Tech sector’s contribution to growth in the local economy (2010=100)

Growth in both GVA and business numbers in the sector have been broadly in line with total growth in New Anglia. Turning to employment, then looking at the general trend it is one of low but negative growth over the five year period in question. Sources: Sub-regional GVA; Business Register and Employment Survey, UK Business Counts; all Office for National Statistics; 2013 Agricultural Survey, Department for Environment, Food, and Rural Affairs (Defra)

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7.1%

10.0%

4.4%

3.5%

New Anglia LEP Lincolnshire East of England UK

Proportion of total GVA generated by AgriFood Tech sector across selected

comparator areas, 2015

Sources: Sub-regional Gross Value Added (GVA), Office for National Statistics

AgriFood Tech is more than

twice as important to

New Anglia as it is nationally

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90

95

100

105

110

115

120

125

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

New Anglia Lincolnshire East UK

Sources: Sub-regional Gross Value Added (GVA), Office for National Statistics

Change in AgriFood Tech sector GVA across comparator areas (2010 = 100)

Trends in growth in New Anglia’s

AgriFood Tech sector have been broadly in

line with that of comparator areas

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50,000

26,800

23,200

41,100

40,700

53,600

62,900

New Anglia

Norfolk

Suffolk

Lincolnshire

GCGP

GLLEP

SELEP

Employment in the AgriFood Tech sector across comparator areas, 2015

Source: Business Register and Employment Survey 2015, Office for National Statistics, and Agricultural Census 2013, Department for Environment, Food, and Rural Affairs (Defra)

50,000 people were employed in

New Anglia’s AgriFood Tech sector in 2015

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7.2%

7.2%

7.1%

13.9%

5.9%

12.2%

3.9%

4.4%

3.9%

New Anglia

Norfolk

Suffolk

Lincolnshire

GCGP

GLLEP

SELEP

East of England

England

Proportion of employment provided by the AgriFood Tech sector across comparator areas, 2015

In terms of comparator areas then only Greater

Lincolnshire has a higher proportion

of employment provided by

AgriFood Tech

Source: Business Register and Employment Survey 2015, Office for National Statistics, and Agricultural Census 2013, Department for Environment, Food, and Rural Affairs (Defra)

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6,600

6,500

5,700

4,800

4,500

3,600

3,600

3,500

3,100

2,300

2,200

1,800

1,000

900

Breckland

Kings Lynn and West Norfolk

Mid Suffolk

St Edmundsbury

North Norfolk

Suffolk Coastal

Waveney

South Norfolk

Broadland

Babergh

Forest Heath

Norwich

Ipswich

Great Yarmouth

Employment in the AgriFood Tech sector across New Anglia, 2015

Source: Business Register and Employment Survey 2015, Office for National Statistics, and Agricultural Census 2013, Department for Environment, Food, and Rural Affairs (Defra)

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15.3%

12.8%

12.8%

11.3%

8.6%

8.6%

7.5%

7.0%

6.9%

6.5%

6.4%

2.4%

2.0%

1.5%

Mid Suffolk

North Norfolk

Breckland

Kings Lynn and West Norfolk

Waveney

Forest Heath

St Edmundsbury

Babergh

Suffolk Coastal

South Norfolk

Broadland

Great Yarmouth

Norwich

Ipswich

Source: Business Register and Employment Survey 2015, Office for National Statistics, and Agricultural Census 2013, Department for Environment, Food, and Rural Affairs (Defra)

Proportion of employment provided by the AgriFood Tech sector across comparator areas, 2015

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-3%

-1%

-5%

8%

-2%

5%

7%

-1%

5%

New Anglia

Norfolk

Suffolk

Lincolnshire

GCGP

GLLEP

SELEP

East of England

England

Change in AgriFood Tech sector employment across comparator areas, 2010 - 2015

Source: Business Register and Employment Survey 2015, Office for National Statistics, and Agricultural Census 2013, Department for Environment, Food, and Rural Affairs (Defra)

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-9%

11%

-14%

13%

-26%

1%

-5%

-12%

11%

-16%

3%

-8%

3%

-4%

Babergh

Breckland

Broadland

Forest Heath

Great Yarmouth

Ipswich

King`s Lynn and West Norfolk

Mid Suffolk

North Norfolk

Norwich

South Norfolk

St Edmundsbury

Suffolk Coastal

Waveney

Change in AgriFood Tech sector employment across New Anglia, 2010 - 2015

Source: Business Register and Employment Survey 2015, Office for National Statistics, and Agricultural Census 2013, Department for Environment, Food, and Rural Affairs (Defra)

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92%

91%

94%

94%

89%

94%

92%

91%

93%

7%

9%

6%

6%

10%

5%

8%

8%

6%

1%

1%

1%

1%

80% 100%

New Anglia

Norfolk

Suffolk

Lincolnshire

GCGP

GLLEP

SELEP

East of

England

England

AgriFood AgriTech FoodTech

Source: Business Register and Employment Survey 2015, Office for National Statistics, and Agricultural Census 2013, Department for Environment, Food, and Rural Affairs (Defra)

AgriFood Tech sector employment split by sub-sector across comparator areas, 2015

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46%

51%

40%

35%

42%

30%

44%

39%

35%

5%

4%

6%

4%

5%

5%

7%

7%

6%

35%

34%

35%

40%

29%

44%

16%

29%

35%

10%

9%

12%

15%

14%

15%

28%

18%

21%

5%

3%

6%

6%

11%

5%

4%

7%

3%

New Anglia

Norfolk

Suffolk

Lincolnshire

GCGP

GLLEP

SELEP

East of

England

England

Agricultural, horticultural and forestry production Food logistics

Food processing Food wholesaling and marketing

Input supplies

Source: Business Register and Employment Survey 2015, Office for National Statistics, and Agricultural Census 2013, Department for Environment, Food, and Rural Affairs (Defra)

AgriFood sector employment split by sub-sector across comparator areas, 2015

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19

91%

93%

92%

89%

86%

94%

94%

95%

93%

79%

86%

95%

90%

98%

9%

7%

7%

11%

14%

6%

5%

4%

7%

21%

14%

5%

10%

2%

1%

1%

70% 100%

Babergh

Breckland

Broadland

Forest Heath

Great Yarmouth

Ipswich

King`s Lynn and West Norfolk

Mid Suffolk

North Norfolk

Norwich

South Norfolk

St Edmundsbury

Suffolk Coastal

Waveney

AgriFood AgriTech FoodTech

Source: Business Register and Employment Survey 2015, Office for National Statistics, and Agricultural Census 2013, Department for Environment, Food, and Rural Affairs (Defra)

AgriFood Tech sector employment split by sub-sector across New Anglia, 2015

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62%

44%

40%

63%

55%

58%

40%

55%

76%

23%

64%

25%

4%

4%

2%

2%

11%

9%

3%

6%

3%

6%

4%

4%

19%

1%

25%

43%

47%

13%

5%

26%

33%

31%

63%

12%

59%

11%

66%

7%

6%

9%

23%

21%

44%

7%

12%

7%

30%

8%

8%

6%

7%

2%

2%

2%

10%

41%

5%

9%

4%

5%

Babergh

Breckland

Broadland

Forest Heath

Great Yarmouth

Ipswich

King`s Lynn and West Norfolk

Mid Suffolk

North Norfolk

Norwich

South Norfolk

St Edmundsbury

Suffolk Coastal

Waveney

Agricultural, horticultural and forestry production Food logistics

Food processing Food wholesaling and marketing

Input supplies

Source: Business Register and Employment Survey 2015, Office for National Statistics, and Agricultural Census 2013, Department for Environment, Food, and Rural Affairs (Defra)

AgriFood sector employment split by sub-sector across New Anglia, 2015

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Industry Sector Code Industry Sector Name Employment

% of total

AgriFoodTech sector

employment

Change in

employment 2010 -

2015

01000 DEFRA/Scottish Executive Agricultural Data 20,600 41% 1%

10120 Processing and preserving of poultry meat 4,300 9% 52%

10130 Production of meat and poultry meat products 3,000 6% -30%

49410 Freight transport by road 2,200 4% 4%

28302 Manufacture of agricultural and forestry machinery (other than agricultural tractors)1,400 3% -6%

46610 Wholesale of agricultural machinery, equipment and supplies 1,400 3% -8%

46390 Non-specialised wholesale of food, beverages and tobacco 1,200 2% -27%

11050 Manufacture of beer 1,200 2% 85%

46210 Wholesale of grain, unmanufactured tobacco, seeds and animal feeds 800 2% -40%

10850 Manufacture of prepared meals and dishes 700 1% 219%

Top 10 AgriFood Tech sub sectors, 2015

Source: Business Register and Employment Survey 2015, Office for National Statistics, and Agricultural Census 2013, Department for Environment, Food, and Rural Affairs (Defra)

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Industry Sector Code Industry Sector Name Employment

% of total

AgriFoodTech sector

employment

Change in

employment

2010 - 2015

10850 Manufacture of prepared meals and dishes 700 1% 219%

46110Agents involved in the sale of agricultural raw materials, live animals,

textile raw materials and semi-finished goods100 0% 178%

10520 Manufacture of ice cream 100 0% 124%

77310 Renting and leasing of agricultural machinery and equipment 100 0% 92%

11050 Manufacture of beer 1,200 2% 85%

46170 Agents involved in the sale of food, beverages and tobacco 100 0% 83%

46370 Wholesale of coffee, tea, cocoa and spices 100 0% 78%

82920 Packaging activities 100 0% 75%

01640 Seed processing for propagation 100 0% 72%

01621 Farm animal boarding and care 300 1% 54%

10120 Processing and preserving of poultry meat 4,300 9% 52%

Top growth AgriFood Tech sub sectors with 100 employees or more

Source: Business Register and Employment Survey, Office for National Statistics, and Agricultural Census, Department for Environment, Food, and Rural Affairs (Defra)

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1.9

1.9

1.9

3.6

1.5

3.2

1.0

1.1

New Anglia

Norfolk

Suffolk

Lincolnshire

GCGP

GLLEP

SELEP

East of England

AgriFood Tech sector location quotients across comparator areas, 2015

Location quotients (LQs) are a useful way of showing a sectors importance to the local economy relative to the national picture. The analysis presented here uses employment with an LQ above 1 showing a higher concentration than nationally, and an LQ of below than 1 a lower concentration.

Employment in the AgriFood Tech sector is nearly

twice as important locally as it is

nationally

Source: Business Register and Employment Survey, Office for National Statistics, and Agricultural Census, Department for Environment, Food, and Rural Affairs (Defra)

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3.3

1.7

0.6

2.9

3.3

0.5

1.7

1.8

2.2

0.4

4.0

1.9

1.8

2.2

Breckland

Broadland

Great Yarmouth

Kings Lynn and West Norfolk

North Norfolk

Norwich

South Norfolk

Babergh

Forest Heath

Ipswich

Mid Suffolk

St Edmundsbury

Suffolk Coastal

Waveney

AgriFood Tech sector location quotients across New Anglia, 2015

Source: Business Register and Employment Survey, Office for National Statistics, and Agricultural Census, Department for Environment, Food, and Rural Affairs (Defra)

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Industry Sector Code Industry Sector Name Employment

% of total

AgriFoodTech sector

employment

LQ

11060 Manufacture of malt 500 1% 19.1

10810 Manufacture of sugar 700 1% 17.0

01640 Seed processing for propagation 100 0% 14.5

28302 Manufacture of agricultural and forestry machinery (other than agricultural 1,400 3% 9.2

10120 Processing and preserving of poultry meat 4,300 9% 8.6

20200 Manufacture of pesticides and other agrochemical products 400 1% 6.9

11030 Manufacture of cider and other fruit wines 200 0% 4.8

10130 Production of meat and poultry meat products 3,000 6% 4.5

11050 Manufacture of beer 1,200 2% 3.5

46610 Wholesale of agricultural machinery, equipment and supplies 1,400 3% 3.3

10920 Manufacture of prepared pet foods 500 1% 3.3

46210 Wholesale of grain, unmanufactured tobacco, seeds and animal feeds 800 2% 3.3

10320 Manufacture of fruit and vegetable juice 100 0% 3.2

10840 Manufacture of condiments and seasonings 600 1% 3.0

AgriFood Tech sub sectors with location quotients (LQs) above 3

Source: Business Register and Employment Survey, Office for National Statistics, and Agricultural Census, Department for Environment, Food, and Rural Affairs (Defra)

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90%

90%

89%

92%

91%

90%

88%

90%

88%

10%

10%

11%

8%

9%

10%

12%

10%

12%

0% 100%

New Anglia

Norfolk

Suffolk

Lincolnshire

GCGP

GLLEP

SELEP

East of England

England

Full time Part time

Source: Business Register and Employment Survey, Office for National Statistics

AgriFood Tech sector employment by full-time / part-time split across comparator areas, 2015

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90%

90%

90%

85%

82%

84%

93%

94%

93%

90%

87%

91%

87%

85%

10%

10%

10%

15%

18%

16%

7%

6%

7%

10%

13%

9%

13%

15%

0% 100%

Babergh

Breckland

Broadland

Forest Heath

Great Yarmouth

Ipswich

King`s Lynn and West Norfolk

Mid Suffolk

North Norfolk

Norwich

South Norfolk

St Edmundsbury

Suffolk Coastal

Waveney

Full time Part time

AgriFood Tech sector employment by full-time / part-time split across New Anglia, 2015

Source: Business Register and Employment Survey, Office for National Statistics

Of particular note here is that those areas with high levels of employment in the sector tend to be geared towards more full time employment, for example Mid Suffolk and King’s Lynn and West Norfolk. Please note that this analysis does include Defra Agricultural Census data.

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-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25%

New Anglia

Norfolk

Suffolk

Lincolnshire

GCGP

GLLEP

SELEP

East of England

England

Full time Part time

Change in AgriFood Tech sector full-time and part-time employment across comparator areas, 2010-2015

Source: Business Register and Employment Survey, Office for National Statistics

Please note that this analysis does not include the Defra Agricultural Census data.

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-40% -20% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 120%

Babergh

Breckland

Broadland

Forest Heath

Great Yarmouth

Ipswich

King`s Lynn and West Norfolk

Mid Suffolk

North Norfolk

Norwich

South Norfolk

St Edmundsbury

Suffolk Coastal

Waveney

Full time Part time

Change in AgriFood Tech sector full-time and part-time

employment across New Anglia, 2010-2015

Source: Business Register and Employment Survey,

Office for National Statistics

It is worth noting here that both Mid Suffolk and King’s Lynn and West Norfolk, which made up two of the top three local authority areas for employment numbers in the sector, have experienced declines in both full time and part time employment. In contrast, Breckland, which had the highest number for employment in the sector, has experienced growth in both full and part time employment in the sector over the same period. Please note again that this analysis does not include the Defra Agricultural Census data.

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52%

73%

83%

83%

76%

76%

93%

95%

78%

71%

49%

67%

48%

27%

17%

17%

24%

24%

7%

5%

22%

29%

51%

33%

0% 50% 100%

Total

AgriFood Tech

Total

AgriFood Tech

Total

AgriFood Tech

Total

AgriFood Tech

Total

AgriFood Tech

Total

AgriFood Tech

Em

plo

ym

ent

51 S

killed

agricultu

ral

and r

ela

ted

trades

81 P

rocess,

pla

nt

and

machin

e

opera

tives

82 T

ransport

and m

obile

machin

e

drivers

and

opera

tives

91

Ele

menta

ry

trades a

nd

rela

ted

occupatio

ns

92

Ele

menta

ry

adm

inis

tratio

n a

nd s

erv

ice

occupatio

ns

Male Female

Male and Female employment in the AgriFood Tech Sector and Top 5 Occupations for Employment

Source: UKCES Working Futures 2014 - 2024

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31

87%

86%

13%

14%

AgriFood Tech

All Sectors

Employees Self Employment

Self-employment in the AgriFood Tech sector

Source: New Anglia LEP Economic Strategy evidence base work

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32

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

New Anglia

Norfolk

Suffolk

GCGP

GLLEP

SELEP

East of England

England

116 Managers and Directors in Transport and Logistics 121 Managers and Proprietors in Agriculture Related Services

211 Natural and Social Science Professionals 214 Conservation and Environment Professionals

511 Agricultural and Related Trades 613 Animal Care and Control Services

811 Process Operatives 821 Road Transport Drivers

911 Elementary Agricultural Occupations 926 Elementary Storage Occupations

Workplace AgriFood Tech employment 2011 by broad Standard Occupational Classification (SOC) across comparator areas

Source: 2011 Census, Office for National Statistics

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0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Babergh

Breckland

Broadland

Forest Heath

Great Yarmouth

Ipswich

King`s Lynn and West Norfolk

Mid Suffolk

North Norfolk

Norwich

South Norfolk

St Edmundsbury

Suffolk Coastal

Waveney

116 Managers and Directors in Transport and Logistics 121 Managers and Proprietors in Agriculture Related Services

211 Natural and Social Science Professionals 214 Conservation and Environment Professionals

511 Agricultural and Related Trades 613 Animal Care and Control Services

811 Process Operatives 821 Road Transport Drivers

911 Elementary Agricultural Occupations 926 Elementary Storage Occupations

Workplace AgriFood Tech employment 2011 by broad Standard Occupational Classification (SOC) across New Anglia

Source: 2011 Census, Office for National Statistics

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48

49

47

71

42

59

23

30

27

New Anglia

Norfolk

Suffolk

Lincolnshire

GCGP LEP

GLLEP

South East

East

England

7,875

4,345

3,515

5,200

6,015

6,270

9,655

New Anglia

Norfolk

Suffolk

Lincolnshire

GCGP LEP

GLLEP

South East

AgriFood Tech sector business numbers across comparator areas, 2016

Source: UK Business Counts, and Sub-national Population Estimates, Office for National Statistics

New Anglia LEP

Norfolk

Suffolk

Lincolnshire

GCGP

GLLEP

SELEP

East of England

England

Number of Business Units

Number of Business Units per 10,000

Population

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935

930

920

880

725

695

505

475

475

355

320

160

100

95

Breckland

King`s Lynn and West Norfolk

Mid Suffolk

South Norfolk

Suffolk Coastal

North Norfolk

Babergh

Broadland

St Edmundsbury

Waveney

Forest Heath

Great Yarmouth

Norwich

Ipswich

AgriFood Tech sector business numbers across New Anglia, 2016

Source: UK Business Counts, Office for National Statistics

Breckland, King’s Lynn and West Norfolk, and Mid Suffolk again all make up the top three (as they did for employment) though

with less of a margin against other areas which suggests that this is where the

larger employers in the sector are situated.

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98%

94%

95%

95%

93%

88%

91%

94%

91%

81%

96%

93%

92%

97%

2%

6%

5%

5%

7%

12%

9%

5%

9%

19%

4%

6%

8%

3%

1%

80% 85% 90% 95% 100%

Babergh

Breckland

Broadland

Forest Heath

Great Yarmouth

Ipswich

King`s Lynn and West Norfolk

Mid Suffolk

North Norfolk

Norwich

South Norfolk

St Edmundsbury

Suffolk Coastal

Waveney

0-9 10-49 50-249 250+

90%

91%91%91%

91%90%90%

90%

91%

8%

8%7%7%

8%8%8%

8%

7%

1%

1%1%1%

1%1%1%

2%

2%

80% 85% 90% 95% 100%

New Anglia

NorfolkSuffolk

Lincolnshire

GCGPGLLEPSELEP

East of England

England

0-9 10-49 50-249 250+

AgriFood Tech sector business numbers by size across comparator areas, 2016 Source: UK Business Counts, Office for National Statistics

No. of employees

AgriFood Tech sector business numbers by size across New Anglia, 2016 Source: UK Business Counts, Office for National Statistics

At LEP and County level then there is very little to choose between areas in terms of the make-up of businesses by employee numbers. However, as noted previously, Mid Suffolk, and King’s Lynn and West Norfolk feature with notable groupings of businesses employing 50 to 249 people. St. Edmundsbury also features in terms of the presence of some 250 plus employee businesses. Please note that at Local Authority level, numbers of businesses employing more than 250 people can be rounded out of analysis due to their very small numbers and resulting disclosive nature.

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7.4%

6.6%

8.3%

11.6%

8.7%

10.9%

11.6%

10.1%

13.3%

New Anglia

Norfolk

Suffolk

Lincolnshire

GCGP

GLLEP

SELEP

East of England

England

Source: UK Business Counts, Office for National Statistics

Change in AgriFood Tech business units across comparator areas, 2010 - 2016

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2%

12%

2%

19%

-9%

90%

3%

5%

-1%

-17%

12%

12%

11%

-1%

Babergh

Breckland

Broadland

Forest Heath

Great Yarmouth

Ipswich

King`s Lynn and West Norfolk

Mid Suffolk

North Norfolk

Norwich

South Norfolk

St Edmundsbury

Suffolk Coastal

Waveney

Source: UK Business Counts, Office for National Statistics

Change in AgriFood Tech business units across New Anglia, 2010 - 2016

Below the New Anglia geography then we can observe some very different fortunes in business growth across the local authorities. However, please note the small bases for measuring change here. Ipswich in particular has seen business unit numbers increase by 90 per cent but from a comparatively small base.

The largest employment and business areas of Breckland, King’s Lynn and West Norfolk, and Mid Suffolk, all experienced growth in business unit numbers over the period in question.

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0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

14,000

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Source: Department for Work and Pensions

NINo registrations to adult overseas nationals entering the UK over time, New Anglia

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50

100

150

200

250

300

350

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

New Anglia Norfolk Suffolk East of England England

Source: Department for Work and Pensions

Change in NINo registrations to adult overseas nationals entering the UK over time, New Anglia, 2002 = 100

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25%

28%

30%

49%

48%

49%

17%

16%

14%

7%

5%

5%

0% 100%

New Anglia

East of England

England

Less than 18 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-59 60 and over

34%

33%

33%

36%

37%

38%

17%

17%

17%

9%

8%

8%

New Anglia

East of England

England

Less than 18 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-59 60 and over

Source: Department for Work and Pensions

Change in the demographic of NINo registrations to adult overseas nationals entering the UK over time, New Anglia

2002

2016

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2,758

3,221

3,846

4,234

4,644

6,747

7,195

8,155

9,590

12,307

16,759

18,029

23,841

25,019

Mid Suffolk

Broadland

Babergh

South Norfolk

Waveney

North Norfolk

Suffolk Coastal

St Edmundsbury

Forest Heath

Great Yarmouth

Breckland

King's Lynn and West Norfolk

Ipswich

Norwich

Source: Department for Work and Pensions

NINo registrations to adult overseas nationals entering the UK, 2002 – 2016, across New Anglia

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£1,611m

£2,546m

£1,831m

£4,662m

£1,286m

£2,596m

£1,078m

£6,383m

New Anglia

GCGP

GLLEP

SELEP

EU Non-EU

Source: 2015 Growth Hub Data – Exports, HM Revenues and Customs

Total Export levels to EU and Non-EU countries across comparator areas, 2015

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£479m

£23m

£45m

£738m

£295m

£910m

£388m

£15m

0 Food and Live Animals

1 Beverages and Tobacco

2 Crude Materials

5 Chemicals

6 Manufactured Goods

7 Machinery and Transport

8 Miscellaneous Manufactures

9 Other commodities nes

New Anglia export levels by type, 2015

Source: 2015 Growth Hub Data – Exports, HM Revenues and Customs

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17%

12%

13%

3%

5%

25%

26%

22%

35%

10%

4%

6%

3%

31%

40%

18%

42%

13%

16%

7%

14%

New Anglia

GCGP

GLLEP

SELEP

0 Food and Live Animals 1 Beverages and Tobacco 2 Crude Materials

5 Chemicals 6 Manufactured Goods 7 Machinery and Transport

8 Miscellaneous Manufactures 9 Other commodities nes

Source: 2015 Growth Hub Data – Exports, HM Revenues and Customs

Proportion of exports by type across comparator areas, 2015

Please note that analysis for the GLLEP does not equal 100% due to some withheld data

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£300m

£522m

£203m

£342m

£203m

£179m

£216m

£92m

£568m

£180m

0 Food and Live Animals

2 Crude Materials

5 Chemicals

6 Manufactured Goods

7 Machinery and Transport

8 Miscellaneous Manufactures

EU Non-EU

New Anglia export levels by type and EU and Non-EU countries across comparator areas, 2015

Source: 2015 Growth Hub Data – Exports, HM Revenues and Customs

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11%

6%

10%

3%

12%

7%

2%

1%

1%

1%

1%

3%

3%

1%

18%

8%

15%

11%

14%

18%

6%

29%

7%

3%

2%

2%

5%

3%

2%

1%

12%

20%

12%

28%

9%

16%

24%

18%

7%

6%

9%

7%

7%

3%

6%

8%

EU

Non-EU

EU

Non-EU

EU

Non-EU

EU

Non-EU

New

Anglia

GC

GP

GLLE

PS

ELE

P

0 Food and Live Animals 2 Crude Materials 5 Chemicals

6 Manufactured Goods 7 Machinery and Transport 8 Miscellaneous Manufactures

Source: 2015 Growth Hub Data – Exports, HM Revenues and Customs

Proportion of exports by type and EU and Non-EU countries across comparator areas, 2015

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£392m

£352m

£264m

£228m

£144m

£110m

£101m

£92m

£84m

£71m

£65m

£60m

£51m

£43m

£43m

£35m

£35m

£33m

£32m

£32m

£31m

£31m

£29m

£26m

£24m

£22m

£20m

£20m

£18m

£17m

Netherlands

USA

Irish Republic

Germany

France

Italy

Spain

Belgium

Japan

China

Saudi Arabia

Hong Kong

Sweden

Australia

UAE

Singapore

South Korea

Poland

Denmark

India

Norway

Egypt

Hungary

Portugal

Czech Republic

Canada

Turkey

Switzerland

South Africa

Malaysia

New Anglia total export levels by country, 2015

Source: 2015 Growth Hub Data – Exports, HM Revenues and Customs

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£52,172

£36,076

£27,564

£38,361

£33,727

£24,411

£26,798

£19,375

£14,905

£18,516

£27,018

£24,757

£17,640

£17,472

£19,460

£49,964

£34,829

£29,509

£37,988

£30,607

£24,325

£22,772

£17,607

£16,147

£18,074

£26,198

£22,975

£17,231

£17,070

£18,539

Production managers and directors in manufacturing (1121)

Managers and directors in transport and logistics (116)

Managers and proprietors in agriculture related services (121)

Biological scientists and biochemists (2112)

Conservation and environment professionals (214)

Transport and distribution clerks and assistants (4134)

Farmers (5111)

Horticultural trades (5112)

Animal care and control services (613)

Food, drink and tobacco process operatives (8111)

Large goods vehicle drivers (8211)

Agricultural machinery drivers (8223)

Elementary agricultural occupations (911)

Packers, bottlers, canners and fillers (9134)

Elementary storage occupations (9260)

2016 2014

Selection of AgriFood Tech sector role wages – Mean gross annual pay all employees (UK)

Source: Annual Survey of Hours and Earnings, Office for National Statistics

(5%)

(2%)

(2%)

(8%)

(4%)

(4%)

(1%)

(10%)

(0.4%)

(18%)

(10%)

(-8%)

(2%)

(3%)

Figures in brackets denote percentage change between 2014 and 2016

Please note that mean wages have been used (as opposed to the median, which is the preferable option of averaging wage levels) due to missing figures for median values.

(-7%)

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£57,155

£36,838

£31,898

£41,127

£34,980

£25,800

£28,079

£20,213

£18,804

£19,807

£27,757

£25,523

£19,776

£18,882

£20,829

£55,137

£35,456

£31,314

£41,755

£32,661

£25,835

£26,459

£19,173

£18,894

£19,305

£26,704

£24,651

£19,817

£18,259

£19,858

Production managers and directors in manufacturing (1121)

Managers and directors in transport and logistics (116)

Managers and proprietors in agriculture related services (121)

Biological scientists and biochemists (2112)

Conservation and environment professionals (214)

Transport and distribution clerks and assistants (4134)

Farmers (5111)

Horticultural trades (5112)

Animal care and control services (613)

Food, drink and tobacco process operatives (8111)

Large goods vehicle drivers (8211)

Agricultural machinery drivers (8223)

Elementary agricultural occupations (911)

Packers, bottlers, canners and fillers (9134)

Elementary storage occupations (9260)

2016 2014

AgriFood Tech sector wages – Mean gross annual pay full time employees (UK)

Source: Annual Survey of Hours and Earnings, Office for National Statistics

(3%)

(-2%)

(7%)

(-0.1%)

(6%)

(5%)

(-0.5%)

(3%)

(4%)

(4%)

(-0.2%)

(4%)

(4%)

(2%)

Figures in brackets denote percentage change between 2014 and 2016

(5%)

Please note that mean wages have been used (as opposed to the median, which is the preferable option of averaging wage levels) due to missing figures for median values.

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2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15

Agriculture 115 130 150 150

Animal Care 15 15 15 15

Environmental Conservation 5

Food and Drink 155 145 150 215

Horticulture 55 85 65 85

International Trade and Logistics Operations 30 20

Land-based Engineering 30 40

Logistics Operations 15 10 5 15

Print and Printed Packaging 20 5 5 10

Supply Chain Management 5 10

Trees & Timber 5 5 15 5

Veterinary Nursing 20 15 20 15

Warehousing & Storage 100 95 90 80

Total 505 495 575 665

New Anglia AgriFood Tech Apprenticeships

Source: Skills Funding Agency Data Cube

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50

100

150

200

250

300

New Anglia LEP East of England England

Change in AgriFood Tech Apprenticeships, Index 2005/6 = 100

Source: FE Data Library, Department for Education

Growth in AgriFood Tech sector

apprenticeships has been consistently

higher than regional and national rates

Please note that this analysis uses a less precise definition of the AgriFoodTech sector (Agriculture, Horticulture and Animal Care apprenticeships) as opposed to the previous data cube analysis.

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0 200 400 600 800 1,000

Norwich

St. Edmundsbury

Breckland

Ipswich

Kings Lynn and West Norfolk

North Norfolk

Great Yarmouth

Mid Suffolk

Waveney

South Norfolk

Suffolk Coastal

Babergh

Forest Heath

Broadland

Source: Labour Insight Jobs, Burning Glass Technologies

AgriFood Tech sector vacancies across New Anglia, Jan 2012 – Dec 2016 According to the Labour Insight Jobs tool, then there were 5,507 postings for the sector in New Anglia between Jan. 1, 2012 and Dec. 31, 2016. A further 1,111 postings had the potential to be within the sector but a final judgement could not be made on these due to their unspecified or unclassified nature.

The definition for the AgriFood Tech sector in this exercise is narrower than that we have defined but it still provides us with some useful information on vacancy numbers and types.

The definition used in this exercise captures the following industry and sectors: ‘Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing’, ‘Manufacture of food products’, and ‘Manufacture of beverages’.

Please note that some caution needs to be applied to this data as results may reflect the way different sectors recruit rather than real differences in the number of jobs.

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0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90

Mars Incorporated

Nestle

BUPA

RSPB

Kerry Foods

The Sterling Choice Ltd

BOCM Pauls

Ringtons Holdings

Colorcote

Allied Bakeries

2 Agriculture Ltd

Dairy Crest Group

RA Group Services Ltd

2 Sisters Food Group

Caffe Nero Group

McCormick

Britvic

Crisp Malting Group

Synergi Search Select Ltd

Bernard Matthews Farms

Blue Spark Ltd

Newstar Bakery Ltd

Country Grounds Maintenance Ltd

Birds Eye Iglo Group

Cranswick

Top AgriFood Tech Sector Employers across New Anglia

Jan 2012 – Dec 2016 Source: Labour Insight Jobs, Burning Glass Technologies

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0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500

Production managers and directors in manufacturing (1121)

Engineering technicians (3113)

Engineering professionals n.e.c (2129)

Quality assurance and regulatory professionals (2462)

Plant and machine operatives n.e.c. (8129)

Buyers and procurement officers (3541)

Sales accounts and business development managers (3545)

Programmers and software development professionals (3545)

Sales related occupations n.e.c. (7129)

Electrical engineers (2123)

Other administrative occupations n.e.c. (4159)

IT specialist managers (2133)

Managers and proprietors in other services n.e.c. (1259)

Business sales executives (3542)

Financial accounts managers (3538)

Mechanical engineers (2122)

Chartered and certified accountants (2421)

Managers and directors in retail and wholesale (1190)

Electricians and electrical fitters (5241)

Food, drink and tobacco process operatives (8111)

Design and development engineers (2126)

Marketing associate professionals (3543)

Book-keepers, payroll managers and wages clerks (4122)

Other skilled trades n.e.c. (5449)

Van drivers (8212)

Source: Labour Insight Jobs, Burning Glass Technologies

AgriFood Tech sector vacancies by

occupation Jan 2012 – Dec

2016

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0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400

Maintenance Engineer

Production Manager

Electrical Engineer

Sales Executive

Production Worker

Manaufacturing Manager

Engineering Manager

Account Manager

Food Technologist

Multi-Skilled Engineer

Technical Manager

Production Supervisor

Assistant Manager

Quality Assurance Manager

Shift Manager

Production Planner

Cleaner

Npd Technologist

Business Development Executive

Engineering Team Leader

Marketing Manager

Npd Manager

Area Sales Manager

National Account Manager

AgriFood Tech sector vacancies by job title

Jan 2012 – Dec 2016 Source: Labour Insight Jobs, Burning Glass Technologies

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42%

23%

18%

9%

5%

2% 0%

Bachelor's degrees, graduate certificates and diplomas

A-Levels, Highers, and Level 3 S/NVQs

GCSEs, Standard Grades, and Level 2 S/NVQs

Level 4 diplomas and certificates, HNCs, Level S/NVQs

Foundation degrees and HNDs

Post graduate degrees, Level 5 S/NVQs, certificates and diplomas

Level 1 S/NVQs

AgriFood Tech sector vacancies by qualification level required, Jan 2012 – Dec 2016

Source: Labour Insight Jobs, Burning Glass Technologies

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0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1,000

Marketing Sales

Contract Recruitment

Advertising Services

Food Service Industry Background

Packaging

Business Management

Key Performance Indicators

Machinery

Customer Service

Microsoft Excel

Operations Management

Food Safety

Product Sales

Lean Methods

Accountancy

Project Management

Repair

Purchasing

Electrical Engineering

Customer Contact

Good Manufacturing Practices

Mechanical Engineering

Lean Manufacturing

Sales

Food Science

AgriFood Tech sector vacancies by skills required

Jan 2012 – Dec 2016 Source: Labour Insight Jobs, Burning Glass Technologies

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A Future View of the AgriFood Tech Sector

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70

80

90

100

110

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024

AgriFoodTech (EEFM) Agriculture (EEFM)

Manufacturing - food (EEFM) Land transport (EEFM)

AgriFoodTech (WF) Agriculture (WF)

Food drink and tobacco (WF) Transport and storage (WF)

Forecasts for change in AgriFood Tech employment, New Anglia

Sources: East of England Forecasting Model, Cambridge Econometrics; UKCES Working Futures 2014 - 2024

The data presented in this chart is from the East of England Forecasting Model (EEFM) and the UKCES Working Futures data (WF). In each case the AgriFood Tech sector has been approximated from the sector splits available in each model. In the case of the East of England Forecasting Model then ‘Agriculture’, ‘Food manufacturing’, and proportions of both ‘Pharmaceutical manufacturing’ and ‘Land transport’ have been summed to arrive at an AgriFood Tech sector. For the Working Futures data then ‘Agriculture’, ‘Food, drink and tobacco’, and a proportion of ‘Transport and storage’ have been summed. In both cases, then both models project a decline in employment in the AgriFood Tech sector overall. It is however worth noting at this stage then neither set of figures take into account New Anglia LEPs growth ambitions.

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6% 7% 7% 8% 8%5% 5% 4% 5% 5%7% 6% 6% 6% 7%7% 7% 6% 6% 6%

23% 28% 32% 31% 30%

4%3%

3% 3% 4%

28%27% 24% 23% 22%

17% 15% 15% 15% 15%

2004 2009 2014 2019 2024

AgriFoodTech

13% 14% 15% 15% 16%

30% 33%37% 38% 39%

21%22%

22% 23% 23%13%

9%8% 6% 6%12% 10% 8% 7% 7%

5% 5% 4% 4% 4%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

2004 2009 2014 2019 2024

Digital Tech

Elementary occupations Process, plant and machine operatives

Sales and customer service Caring, leisure and other service

Skilled trades occupations Administrative and secretarial

Associate professional and technical Professional occupations

Managers, directors and senior officials

Occupational composition of employment in New Anglia’s AgriFood Tech sector over time

Management positions, professional and associate professional occupations are all set to maintain their positions in terms of the employment they provide in the AgriFood Tech sector.

Process, plant and machine operative jobs are set to reduce in importance whilst at the same time skilled trade occupations will grow.

These trends are however very different for the sectors that make up the AgriFood Tech sector in this analysis.

Source: UKCES Working Futures 2014 - 2024

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6% 6% 7% 7% 7%

4% 4% 3% 4% 5%2% 3% 3% 3% 3%6% 6% 5% 4% 4%

40%

51%58% 59% 59%

6%

4%

3% 4% 4%

7%

7%5% 4% 4%26%

18% 15% 14% 13%

2004 2009 2014 2019 2024

Agriculture

7% 8% 8% 9% 10%5% 6% 5% 6% 6%8% 8% 7% 7% 8%

12% 11% 10%10% 9%

7% 6%6% 5% 5%

6% 6%6% 6% 7%

3%3%

3%3%

4%

35% 36% 38% 34% 33%

16% 17% 18% 19% 19%

2004 2009 2014 2019 2024

Transport & Storage

Transport & Storage

Source: UKCES Working Futures 2014 - 2024

2004 2009 2014 2019 2024

13% 14% 15% 15% 16%

30% 33%37% 38% 39%

21%22%

22% 23% 23%13%

9%8% 6% 6%12% 10% 8% 7% 7%

5% 5% 4% 4% 4%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

2004 2009 2014 2019 2024

Digital Tech

Elementary occupations Process, plant and machine operatives

Sales and customer service Caring, leisure and other service

Skilled trades occupations Administrative and secretarial

Associate professional and technical Professional occupations

Managers, directors and senior officials

6% 8% 7% 7% 8%6% 6% 5% 5% 5%

9% 8% 9% 10% 11%5% 5% 5% 5%

5%

20% 20% 18% 18% 17%

3% 3%3% 3% 3%

38% 40% 40% 38% 36%

12% 10% 13% 13% 14%

2004 2009 2014 2019 2024

Food, Drink and Tobacco 2004 2009 2014 2019 2024

Agriculture

13% 14% 15% 15% 16%

30% 33%37% 38% 39%

21%22%

22% 23% 23%13%

9%8% 6% 6%12% 10% 8% 7% 7%

5% 5% 4% 4% 4%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

2004 2009 2014 2019 2024

Digital Tech

Elementary occupations Process, plant and machine operatives

Sales and customer service Caring, leisure and other service

Skilled trades occupations Administrative and secretarial

Associate professional and technical Professional occupations

Managers, directors and senior officials

13% 14% 15% 15% 16%

30% 33%37% 38% 39%

21%22%

22% 23% 23%13%

9%8% 6% 6%12% 10% 8% 7% 7%

5% 5% 4% 4% 4%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

2004 2009 2014 2019 2024

Digital Tech

Elementary occupations Process, plant and machine operatives

Sales and customer service Caring, leisure and other service

Skilled trades occupations Administrative and secretarial

Associate professional and technical Professional occupations

Managers, directors and senior officials

Food, Drink & Tobacco

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-10,000 -5,000 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000

41 Administrative occupations

35 Business and public service associate

professionals

11 Corporate managers and directors

82 Transport and mobile machine drivers

and operatives

51 Skilled agricultural and related trades

All occupations

Net requirement Replacement demand Expansion demand

AgriFood Tech Replacement and Expansion Demand by Occupation

Source: UKCES Working Futures 2014 - 2024

Given the baseline projection of a falling level of employment seen in the previous section then the net requirement of posts to be filled across the sector is driven by

By 2024, there is a potential gap in

the New Anglia AgriFood Tech

sector workforce of 18,000

replacement demand i.e. people leaving or retiring from the workforce. Between now and 2024 then there will be over 18,000 positions created through retirement that will need filling.

However, if we go below the ‘All occupations’ element and have a look at the top five occupations (based on total net requirement of jobs over the period 2014-2024) in the sector then we can see that there are elements of expansion demand albeit small despite the projected drop in employment.

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-20%

-10%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

41

Administrative

occupations

35 Business

and public

service associate

professionals

11 Corporate

managers

and directors

82 Transport

and mobile

machine drivers and

operatives

51 Skilled

agricultural

and related trades

All

occupations

Expansion demand Replacement demand Net requirement

The following chart displays the same information, but this time replacement and expansion demand are displayed as percentages of the total employment by occupation in the sector in 2014. This helps to give a sense of churn within the sectors workforce over the next decade.

Replacement and Expansion Demand by Occupation

Source: UKCES Working Futures 2014 - 2024

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-6,000 -4,000 -2,000 0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000

QCF 7-8

QCF 4-6

QCF 3

QCF 2

QCF 1

No Qual

Replacement Demand Expansion Demand

The UKCES Working Futures data also enables us to consider levels of future replacement and expansion demand in terms of the levels of qualifications that will be leaving and required in the workforce as it changes over time. As we can see from the chart, positive expansion demand within the AgriFoodTech sector is going to be dominated by the demand for higher education qualifications (QCF4 and above), and at the same time whilst the sectors requirement for lower level skills will reduce there will still be a demand for them.

Please note that the Working Futures data uses the following breakout of qualification levels: QCF8 - Doctorate QCF7 - Other higher degree QCF6 - First degree QCF5 - Foundation degree; Nursing; Teaching QCF4 - HE below degree level QCF3 - A level & equivalent QCF2 - GCSE (A-C) & equivalent QCF1 - GCSE (below grade C) & equivalent No Q - No Qualification

Replacement and Expansion Demand by Qualification

Source: UKCES Working Futures 2014 - 2024

(700)

(6,900)

(2,000)

(3,000)

(0)

(-1,600)

The figures in brackets denote the net demand for each qualification group.

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Views from Sector Stakeholders

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13 (36%)

26 (72%)

14 (39%)

25 (69%)

10 (28%)

11 (31%)

3 (8%)

3 (8%)

Middle / Senior management

Professional / Higher technical (but non managerial)

Supervisory

Skilled manual / Lower technical

Semi-skilled manual

Administrative

Unskilled

No change

As part of the consultation process, a short on-line questionnaire was circulated widely by industry groups to seek the views of employers on key gaps in current skills provision, how they thought skills needs may evolve in the future, and the areas in which further investment in skills is needed. In total, 36 responses to the survey were received. The following sets out the feedback that was received.

AgriFood Tech survey findings

Q1. Over the next ten years, in your opinion which type of jobs will be on the increase in the New Anglia agricultural, food and related technology sectors? (Please tick all that apply)

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Q2. How important on a scale of 1 to 5 (where 1 is not that important, to 5 is vital to the future of the industry) are the following skills to the future of the agricultural, food and related technology sectors?

1

10

1213

0 1 2 3 4 5

Oral communication

10

1

7

9

18

0 1 2 3 4 5

Advanced IT Skills

1

6

13

16

0 1 2 3 4 5

New technologies for agricultural or food

production

4

7

15

10

0 1 2 3 4 5

Environmental and sustainability skills

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3

10

14

9

0 1 2 3 4 5

Written communication

3

8

25

0 1 2 3 4 5

Meeting customer needs

1

3

19

13

0 1 2 3 4 5

Team working

2 2

1211

9

0 1 2 3 4 5

English as a second or other language

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3

1716

0 1 2 3 4 5

Quality / continuous improvement

3

20

13

0 1 2 3 4 5

Planning and organising

2 2

20

12

0 1 2 3 4 5

People, leadership and professional skills

12 2

17

13

0 1 2 3 4 5

Strategic management

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1 12

10

22

0 1 2 3 4 5

Numeracy

23

10

21

0 1 2 3 4 5

Literacy

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3.6

3.8

3.9

4.0

4.0

4.1

4.2

4.2

4.2

4.3

4.4

4.4

4.4

4.6

Advanced IT Skills

New technologies for agricultural or food production

Environmental and sustainability skills

Oral communication

Written communication

Meeting customer needs

Team working

English as a second or other language

Quality / continuous improvement

Planning and organising

People, leadership and professional skills

Strategic management

Numeracy

Literacy

Q2. Average Score - How important on a scale of 1 to 5 (where 1 is not that important, to 5 is vital to the future of the industry) are the following skills to the future of the agricultural, food and related technology sectors?

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- Offer internships

- More 1-3 day technical courses during the winter months

- A stable, suitably funded College and provider sector that can deliver the skills that are needed

- Good solid training with a test at the end

- Focus in colleges on producing highly qualified operators rather than degree students that want to be managers

- Promote agriculture as an interesting, well paid futuristic industry

- Fast Broadband

- Technical/IT ability

- Better rewards

- Better schooling aligned to industry

- Make managers work closer with workforce. Most managers like telling not listening. They could then equip their staff with skills and training needed. Or employ the right person to fill skills gap

- Understanding IT for the middle level older employees

- Clarity and integrity of trading arrangements post 2020

- More funding

- Must speak English to enter or work in UK

- Including horticulture/agriculture in the school curriculum

- Liaison between colleges and the market; together with lifelong learning schemes put in place

- It is an ageing workforce and younger talent is required across the board. Need to attract young people into Agriculture. Careers advice and development at school age and relevant apprenticeships geared up for post 16 age

- More technically skilled staff

- Education

- Attracting the right people to the industry

Q3. What one action would improve the skills system to ensure that the agricultural, food and related technology sectors have the skills they need in the future?

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- A long term plan for sustainable agriculture in the UK

- Better sharing of specific skills across sector by experts

- More applied training for young people

- More direct involvement with apprenticeships

- Engagement with sixth form schools

- Using a university linked knowledge exchange program like they do in the USA

- Making the public aware of the industry

- Training courses provided which provide some of the above

- Better engagement with schools to get high calibre individuals interested

- The ability to communicate in writing with brevity and accuracy

- Literacy and attitude. Having all the skills is nothing without the right attitude to work

- The answer is probably that the great British public need to accept that they have to spend more of their income on food, so that we can pay higher wages

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- Send employees on courses

- Without access to European labour who are willing to do hard/mundane jobs we will be in trouble

- Skills delivered locally are more likely to retain future staff than those delivered beyond the region. Effective partnership working with employers and training providers will be essential if the labour needs of the sector are to be met.

- More farmers should sell direct to the consumer

- We must continue to lobby government at all levels to allow access of foreign workers to us all.

- More integration

- Farm labour is no longer a low skilled job. Good understanding of computers/satellite, good literacy and numeracy skills, and good spoken English are all vital. We ask them to drive machinery worth £400,000+, handle chemicals and communicate with our customers (but there are still mundane tasks that need doing as well)

- For following question - I run a training group so do not employ many staff. But we train over 500 people a year in rural business's in East Anglia

- Young people need to be encouraged to strive for excellence. Good enough just isn't. There needs to be a change from school level upwards.

- Shortage of workers willing to work with livestock

- On farm skill sets are narrow and largely consist of tractor driving and machinery operation with little scientific, environmental or financial knowledge.

- A skills shortage will lead to wage inflation. Need to improve conditions of employment and housing.

- No skill training locally as it is not a dairy area, I have to get in consultants or send people to France/Wales/Cornwall, I have tried attracting people from college catering departments but they are into restaurant food and don’t want to do manufacturing

Q4. If there is anything else that you would like to tell us about your experiences of the New Anglia skills system / labour market in relation to the agricultural, food and related technology sectors then please do so here:

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Profile of survey respondents How many people do you employ in total?

How many people do you employ in Norfolk and Suffolk?

How long has the business been trading?

23 (63%)4 (11%)

5 (14%)

4 (11%)

1-9 10-49 50-249 250+

24 (69%)

6 (17%)

4 (11%)1 (3%)

1-9 10-49 50-249 250+

31 (86%)

3 (8%)2 (6%)

Up to 5 years 5 - 20 years More than 20 Years

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Appendices

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Appendix 1 – AgriFoodTech sector definition

Businesses Employment GVA

1000 DEFRA/Scottish Executive Agricultural Data Agricultural, horticultural and forestry production

1110 Growing of cereals (except rice), leguminous crops and oil seeds Agricultural, horticultural and forestry production

1120 Growing of rice Agricultural, horticultural and forestry production

1130 Growing of vegetables and melons, roots and tubers Agricultural, horticultural and forestry production

1140 Growing of sugar cane Agricultural, horticultural and forestry production

1150 Growing of tobacco Agricultural, horticultural and forestry production

1160 Growing of fibre crops Agricultural, horticultural and forestry production

1190 Growing of other non-perennial crops Agricultural, horticultural and forestry production

1210 Growing of grapes Agricultural, horticultural and forestry production

1220 Growing of tropical and subtropical fruits Agricultural, horticultural and forestry production

1230 Growing of citrus fruits Agricultural, horticultural and forestry production

1240 Growing of pome fruits and stone fruits Agricultural, horticultural and forestry production

1250 Growing of other tree and bush fruits and nuts Agricultural, horticultural and forestry production

1260 Growing of oleaginous fruits Agricultural, horticultural and forestry production

1270 Growing of beverage crops Agricultural, horticultural and forestry production

1280 Growing of spices, aromatic, drug and pharmaceutical crops Agricultural, horticultural and forestry production

1290 Growing of other perennial crops Agricultural, horticultural and forestry production

1300 Plant propagation AgriTech

1410 Raising of dairy cattle Agricultural, horticultural and forestry production

1420 Raising of other cattle and buffaloes Agricultural, horticultural and forestry production

1430 Raising of horses and other equines Agricultural, horticultural and forestry production

1440 Raising of camels and camelids Agricultural, horticultural and forestry production

1450 Raising of sheep and goats Agricultural, horticultural and forestry production

1460 Raising of swine/pigs Agricultural, horticultural and forestry production

1470 Raising of poultry Agricultural, horticultural and forestry production

1490 Raising of other animals Agricultural, horticultural and forestry production

1500 Mixed farming Agricultural, horticultural and forestry production

1610 Support activities for crop production AgriTech

1621 Farm animal boarding and care AgriTech

1629 Other support activities for animal production AgriTech

1630 Post-harvest crop activities AgriTech

1640 Seed processing for propagation AgriTech

1700 Hunting, trapping and related service activities Agricultural, horticultural and forestry production

2100 Silviculture and other forestry activities Agricultural, horticultural and forestry production

2200 Logging Agricultural, horticultural and forestry production

2300 Gathering of wild growing non-wood products Agricultural, horticultural and forestry production

2400 Support services to forestry Agricultural, horticultural and forestry production

3110 Marine fishing Agricultural, horticultural and forestry production

3120 Freshwater fishing Agricultural, horticultural and forestry production

AgriFoodTech element

% elgible for AgriFoodTech defn

(100% if blank)2007 SIC

CodeDescription

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Businesses Employment GVA

3210 Marine aquaculture Agricultural, horticultural and forestry production

3220 Freshwater aquaculture Agricultural, horticultural and forestry production

10110 Processing and preserving of meat Food processing

10120 Processing and preserving of poultry meat Food processing

10130 Production of meat and poultry meat products Food processing

10200 Processing and preserving of fish, crustaceans and molluscs Food processing

10310 Processing and preserving of potatoes Food processing

10320 Manufacture of fruit and vegetable juice Food processing

10390 Other processing and preserving of fruit and vegetables Food processing

10410 Manufacture of oils and fats Food processing

10420 Manufacture of margarine and similar edible fats Food processing

10511 Liquid milk and cream production Food processing

10512 Butter and cheese production Food processing

10519 Manufacture of other milk products Food processing

10520 Manufacture of ice cream Food processing

10611 Grain milling Food processing

10612 Manufacture of breakfast cereals and cereals-based food Food processing

10620 Manufacture of starches and starch products Food processing

10710 Manufacture of bread; manufacture of fresh pastry goods and cakes Food processing

10720 Manufacture of rusks and biscuits; manufacture of preserved pastry goods and cakes Food processing

10730 Manufacture of macaroni, noodles, couscous and similar farinaceous products Food processing

10810 Manufacture of sugar Food processing

10821 Manufacture of cocoa and chocolate confectionery Food processing

10822 Manufacture of sugar confectionery Food processing

10831 Tea processing Food processing

10832 Production of coffee and coffee substitutes Food processing

10840 Manufacture of condiments and seasonings Food processing

10850 Manufacture of prepared meals and dishes Food processing

10860 Manufacture of homogenized food preparations and dietetic food Food processing

10890 Manufacture of other food products n.e.c. Food processing

10910 Manufacture of prepared feeds for farm animals Food processing

10920 Manufacture of prepared pet foods Food processing

11010 Distilling, rectifying and blending of spirits Food processing

11020 Manufacture of wine from grape Food processing

11030 Manufacture of cider and other fruit wines Food processing

2007 SIC

CodeDescription AgriFoodTech element

% elgible for AgriFoodTech defn

(100% if blank)

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Businesses Employment GVA

11040 Manufacture of other non-distilled fermented beverages Food processing

11050 Manufacture of beer Food processing

11060 Manufacture of malt Food processing

11070 Manufacture of soft drinks; production of mineral waters and other bottled waters Food processing

20150 Manufacture of fertilisers and nitrogen compounds AgriTech

20200 Manufacture of pesticides and other agrochemical products AgriTech

21100 Manufacture of basic pharmaceutical products AgriTech 1 0.6 0.2

21200 Manufacture of pharmaceutical preparations AgriTech 9.1 1.7 0.4

28301 Manufacture of agricultural tractors Input supplies

28302 Manufacture of agricultural and forestry machinery Input supplies

28930 Manufacture of machinery for food, beverage and tobacco processing FoodTech

36000 Water collection, treatment and supply AgriTech 8.3 0.4

38210 Treatment and disposal of non-hazardous waste AgriTech 2.8 1.8

46110 Agents involved in the sale of agricultural raw materials, live animals, textile raw materials and semi-finished goods AgriTech

46170 Agents involved in the sale of food, beverages and tobacco AgriTech

46210 Wholesale of grain, unmanufactured tobacco, seeds and animal feeds Food wholesaling and marketing

46220 Wholesale of flowers and plants Food wholesaling and marketing

46230 Wholesale of live animals Food wholesaling and marketing

46310 Wholesale of fruit and vegetables Food wholesaling and marketing

46320 Wholesale of meat and meat products Food wholesaling and marketing

46330 Wholesale of dairy products, eggs and edible oils and fats Food wholesaling and marketing

46341 Wholesale of fruit and vegetable juices, mineral water and soft drinks Food wholesaling and marketing

46342 Wholesale of wine, beer, spirits and other alcoholic beverages Food wholesaling and marketing

46360 Wholesale of sugar and chocolate and sugar confectionery Food wholesaling and marketing

46370 Wholesale of coffee, tea, cocoa and spices Food wholesaling and marketing

46380 Wholesale of other food, including fish, crustaceans and molluscs Food wholesaling and marketing

46390 Non-specialised wholesale of food, beverages and tobacco Food wholesaling and marketing

46610 Wholesale of agricultural machinery, equipment and supplies AgriTech

49410 Freight transport by road Food logistics 28 28 28

72110 Research and experimental development on biotechnology AgriTech 2.4 3.3

72190 Other research and experimental development on natural sciences and engineering AgriTech 12.6 5.2

74901 Environmental consulting activities AgriTech 9.7 4.3

74909 Other professional, scientific and technical activities AgriTech 9.7 4.3

75000 Veterinary activities AgriTech 19.1 7.1

77310 Renting and leasing of agricultural machinery and equipment Input supplies

82920 Packaging activities Input supplies

2007 SIC

CodeDescription AgriFoodTech element

% elgible for AgriFoodTech defn

(100% if blank)

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Appendix 2 - AgriFood Technology Leadership Council Definition of AgriTech (BIS RESEARCH PAPER NUMBER 284, July 2016, Agri-Tech Industrial Strategy: Evaluation Scoping Study and Baseline)

The farming industry, including diversified activities such as on-farm waste and biomass (grass, energy crops, specialist crops) for non-food uses.

Plant subsectors (crops including cereals, oilseeds, pulses, forage, potato, sugar beet, vegetables, salads, mushrooms and fruit) including: - Plant genetic improvement: genetics, genomics, biotechnology, breeding/ propagation, genetic conservation - Plant health: plant production (physiology, agronomy, crop management and nutrition such as fertilizer/ agri-chemicals) and plant

protection (identification, diagnostics, epidemiology, management / control including biological controls / vaccines / therapeutics of pest disease and weeds)

- Crop storage and silage (including post-harvest storage and on-farm waste and biomass for non-food uses)

Animal subsectors (livestock: dairy, beef, sheep, pigs, poultry (egg and meat) and aquaculture for fish: salmon, trout, shellfish) including: - Animal genetic improvement: genetics/ genomics; breeding/reproductive technologies; genetic conservation - Animal nutrition, including ingredients for animal feed; grazing systems and pasture diversity - Animal health and welfare (endemic diseases, exotic diseases, behaviour): identification, diagnostics, epidemiology, management /

control, vaccines, therapeutics, surveillance; building and environmental design to reduce stress and promote welfare

ICT systems and decision support: to support production planning, scheduling; input use efficiency (e.g. irrigation scheduling)

Environmental and physical subsectors including: - Soil/ substrate management: soil physics, biology and chemistry, soil amendments (e. g. biosolids, AD digestates, water retention gels

etc.); controlled traffic farming; reduced ground pressure; soil sampling; soilless growing media (glasshouse crops) - Environmental interactions (air, water, biodiversity – plant and animal; ie. technology / decision support tools to improve animal welfare

& environmental outcomes including reducing air and water pollution, greenhouse gas emissions including quantity and quality of air and water)

- Harvest and early-stage processing including harvest technologies, post-harvest cleaning, postharvest storage (chemicals and storage conditions), on-farm waste (AD and other waste treatment plants) and biomass for non-food uses

Engineering and precision farming, including machinery (cultivation, crop and grass health (drilling, spraying, fertiliser application), tractors, harvesters, pickers, post-harvest transport and cleaning), robotics including GPS applications and autonomous devices, sensor technology (hand held, fixed and remote including animal welfare and monitoring)

Infrastructure: buildings (including glasshouses, livestock production buildings), heating and cooling systems, storage of crop and animal products in ambient, controlled atmosphere, cold stores and freezing plants, irrigation/ water management storage and distribution systems, dirty water systems, lighting (intensive livestock and glasshouse crops); ‘vertical’ and enclosed farming systems

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Advisory services