ahaa insights series cpg/retailers hispanic …...2014 to $1.8 bn, retail marketers increased their...
TRANSCRIPT
AHAA INSIGHTS SERIES
CPG/Retailers Hispanic Media Allocation Trends
2010-14 & Impact on Total Market Revenue Growth
1
July 14, 2015
Presenter:
Carlos Santiago, Chair of AHAA Research Committee and Chief Strategist, Santiago Solutions Group
Moderator: Gaby Alcantara-Diaz, AHAA Education Chair and President, Semilla AD, Inc.
Methodology• Advertising spend data including over 340K parent companies
was collected by Nielsen Monitor Plus in English and Hispanic
(Spanish/Bilingual/English) media. This data was analyzed by
Santiago Solutions Group for AHAA.
• SSG classified the Top 500 advertisers into 5 allocation Tiers
according to their share of overall ad spend dedicated to
Hispanic Media corresponding to previous AHAA Ad Spend
Allocation reports:
Best-in-Class (more than 14.2%)
Leaders (6.4%-14.2%)
Followers (3.6%-6.3%)
Laggards (1.0%-3.5%)
On-The-Sidelines (Less than 1%)
• Moreover, SSG also segmented the Top 500 Overall Spending
(English + Spanish) Companies. This was done for Multiple years
2010-2014, thus permitting the analysis of trends in the
marketplace. 2
English Media Included Hispanic Media Included
Cable TV Cable TV
FSI Coupon FSI Coupon
Local Mag Local Magazine
Local Newspaper Local Newspaper
Local Sunday Supplement Local Sunday Supplement
National Magazine National Magazine
National Newspaper National Newspaper
National Sunday National Sunday Supplement
Network Radio Network Radio
Network TV Network TV
Span/Hisp Language Cable TV
Span/Hisp Language Network TV
Spot Radio Spot Radio
Spot TV Spot TV
Syndicated TV Syndicated TV
Excluded English Media Excluded Hispanic Media
B2B B2B
Display Display
Outdoor Outdoor
National Cinema
Regional Cinema
$77.5 $74.6 $74.6 $76.0
$4.3
$4.0 $4.4 $7.1
$20.0
$30.0
$40.0
$50.0
$60.0
$70.0
$80.0
$90.0
2006 2008 2010 2014
US Top 500 Advertisers Ad Spendin $Billions
Eng Media AdSpend Hisp Media AdSpend
+0%+-4%
Top 500 Advertisers Increased Hispanic Media Spend
by $3Bn or 61% vs. only 2% in English Ad Spend,
Shifting 3.2% of their Ad Resources to Hispanic Media
• While overall ad spend among the top 500 advertisers increased by 5%from $79.0 Bn to $83.1Bn from 2010 to 2014, marketers made a steep increase in Hispanic Ad Spend, jumping 61% from $4.4Bn to $7.1Bn.
• Hispanic allocation jumped to 8.5%of all US top 500 marketers ad spend from 5.6% in 2010.
• English Media Ad Spend increased by 2% from $74.6 Bn in 2010 to $76.0 Bn in 2014.
2010-2014 Nielsen Monitor Plus data; Santiago Solutions Group analysis & interpretation for AHAA: The Voice Of Hispanic Marketing3
5.6%8.5%
$79.0 Bn $83.1 Bn
+2%
+61%
5.1%5.3%
$81.8 Bn $78.6 Bn
+10%-7%
Total
$17.2 $16.1
$18.4 $17.1
$1.0
$0.9
$1.2
$2.0
$10.0
$11.0
$12.0
$13.0
$14.0
$15.0
$16.0
$17.0
$18.0
$19.0
$20.0
2006 2008 2010 2014
CPG/Retailers* Among Top 500 US Advertisers Shifted over
4% of their English Media ad spend to Hispanic Media
2010-2014 Nielsen Monitor Plus data; Santiago Solutions Group analysis & interpretation for AHAA: The Voice Of Hispanic Marketing 4
5.5%
$18.2 Bn $17.0 Bn
6.1%10.7%
5.4%
$19.6 Bn $19.1 Bn
• While overall CPG/Retailers ad spend among the top 500 advertisers decreased by 7% from $18.4 Bn to $17.1 Bn from 2010 to 2014, marketers made the largest increase so far in Hispanic Ad Spend, jumping 67% from $1.2Bn to $2.0Bn.
• CPG/Retailers Hispanic allocation jumped to 10.7% of all US top 500 marketers ad spend from 6.1% in 2010.
-7%
+67%
*CPG/Retailers Category includes Beverages, Consumer Products, Packaged Goods, Health & Beauty Products,
Over-the-Counter Drugs, Supermarkets, Mass Retailers and Drug Chains Among Top 500 US Advertisers
Total
The CPG/Retailers category allocation to Hispanic dedicated media, among the Top 500 U.S. Advertisers, increased to 6.3% in 2010 and nearly 11% in 2014.
Since 2006, the Aggregate Hispanic AdSpend By CPG/Retailers Increased 100%,
the Average CPG/Retailer AdSpend increased to $22M in 2014,
& Allocation shifted from English Media to Hispanic by 5.2% points
5
CPG/Retailers marketers among the top US advertisers increased their aggregate Hispanic Ad Spend by 20% between 2006 and 2010 to $1.2 Bn and increased 67% between 2010 to 2014 to 2.0Bn.
Hispanic % of Overall
CPG/Retailers AdSpend*
20142010
10.7%
6.3%
*Among Top 500 in 2014
The mean Hispanic Ad Spend by CPG/Retailers companies increased 16% from 2006 to 2010 followed by a 74% increase from $12.6M in 2010 to $21.9M in 2014.
$1.0Bn
$2.0Bn
$12.6M
Average CPG/Retail
Hispanic AdSpend* $$ Millions
2014200620142006
$21.9M
+65%
+74%+4.4%
points
2010
$1.2Bn
Total CPG/Retailers
Hispanic AdSpend* $$ Billions
+20%
2010
+16%
$10.9M
2006
5.5%
+0.8%
points
The CPG category allocation to Hispanic dedicated media increased to 10.9% in 2014, Retail category allocation increased to 9.3%.
Aggregate Hispanic AdSpend By CPG Retailer & Manufacturer Increased 60% & 65%,
Allocation jumped 3.4% & 4.5% points, the Average CPG & Retail Company Hispanic
Dedicated AdSpend increased to $15.5M & $23.4M respectively.
6
CPG marketers increased their aggregate Hispanic Ad Spend by 65% between 2010 and 2014 to $1.8 Bn, Retail Marketers increased their Hispanic Ad Spend by 60%.
Hispanic % of Overall AdSpend*
20142010
9.3%
5.9%
*Among Top 500 in 2014
The mean Hispanic Ad Spend by CPG companies increased 70% from $13.8M to $23.4 in 2014, Retail Companies increased 87%.
$175M
$280M
$8.3M
Average Hispanic AdSpend* $$ Millions
2014201020142010
$15.5M
+60% +87% +3.4%
points
20142010
201420102010
Retailers
Manufacturers
Total Hispanic AdSpend* $$ Millions
6.4%$1.1M
$13.8M
+65% +70% +4.5%
points
201420102014
$1.8M$23.4M
10.9%
CPG/Retailers Further Ramped-up Their Hispanic Dedicated
Investments From Follower to Leader Allocation Tier in 2014with Retailers at 9.3% and Manufactures at 10.9%
7
23%
CPG/Retailers Allocation Index: 126 ( )CPG/Retailers Companies
Average Top 500
CPG/Retailers vs
Advertisers Average Hispanic Dedicated Allocation
CPG/
Retailers
Best-In-ClassOn-the-Sidelines0.1%
Laggards
Followers
Leaders
All CPGs10.7%
Top 500
Top 500 Avg.
Hisp. Allocation
By Tier
CPG
Manufacturers
10.9%CPG
Retailers
9.3%Hispanic Media Allocation Tiers
Best-in-Class (more than 14.2%)
Leaders (6.4%-14.2%)
Followers (3.6%-6.3%)
Laggards (1.0%-3.5%)
On-The-Sidelines (Less than 1%)
INVESTMENT
TIER
% Allocation
Hisp Media
# of CompaniesHispanic (Span+Bilingual)
Dedicated AdSpend $Hisp % Allocation
2010 2014 2010 2014 2010 2014
BIC > 14.2% 6 16 $ 149,013 $ 1,185,883 21.3% 20.7%
Leader 6.4% - 14.2% 20 24 $ 808,179 $ 757,476 8.9% 9.6%
Follower 3.6% - 6.3% 13 8 $ 241,082 $ 59,463 5.4% 4.8%
Laggard 1.0% - 3.5% 15 11 $ 26,309 $ 32,164 1.9% 1.8%
On-The-Sidelines < 1% 44 34 $ 12,348 $ 2,087 0.3% 0.1%
TOTAL 98 93 $ 1,236,931 $ 2,037,074 6.3% 10.7%
CPG Hispanic Ad Spend Nearly Doubled since 2010 from $1.2Bn to $2.0Bn
8+65%
Distribution of CPG/Retailers Companies By Investment Tier in 2010 & 2014 (Among Top 500 Advertisers)
40 CPG/Retailers companies allocated more than 6.4% to Hispanic dedicated efforts in 2014 from 26 in 2010
27%
27%
46%
23%
50%
9%
18%
Where Is The Increase Commitment Coming From?
Source: 2010-2014 Nielsen Monitor Plus data; Santiago Solutions Group analysis & interpretation for AHAA: The Voice Of Hispanic Marketing
9
Best-In-Class
Sources of
Growth
BIC in 2014 grew mostly from Leaders in 2010
but also from On-the-Sidelines in 2010
Leaders
Sources of
Growth
Leaders in 2014 grew mostly from
Followers in 2010 but also from lower
tiers in 2010
CPG/Retail CPG/Retail
BIC BIC
On-the-Sidelines BIC
Leader BIC
Leader Leader
Follower Leader
Laggard Leader
On-the-Sidelines Leader
Why Should Companies Care About Hispanic Allocation?
13
Methodology Highlights
Top 500 U.S. Overall Advertisers 2010-
2014 (500)
CPG& Retailer Category
(98)
Consistent Advertisers
(93)
Publicly Traded
w/ clear Organic US Revenue
(59)
Final Sample of CPGs
(59)
Unadjustable M&As
Inconsistent Data
(-34)
Inconsistent Advertisers
(-5)
Other Category
(-402)
14
2010-2014 CPGs & Retailers in Study
CONSTELLATION BRANDS
POST HOLDINGS
CHURCH & DWIGHT
DR PEPPER SNAPPLE
P&G
DIAGEO
PEPSICO
BIG LOTS
SABMILLER
CLOROX
HERSHEY
KRAFT
KAO
TARGET
KROGER
SCOTTS MIRACLE
CAMPBELL SOUP
ESTEE LAUDER CONAGRA
NESTLE
LVMH
KELLOGG FAGE
LINDT & SPRUNGLI
NUTRI/SYSTEM
RECKITT BENCKISER
BOSTON BEER
HJ HEINZ
GNC
CVS
STAPLESSHISEIDO
ENERGIZER GENERAL MILLS
JM SMUCKER
WALGREENS
UNILEVER
DANONE
ACE HARDWARE
y = 0.3323x + 0.0168R² = 0.2814
-10.0%
-5.0%
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
-15.0% -5.0% 5.0% 15.0% 25.0% 35.0% 45.0%
Are CPGs Growth Rates Related To Change In Hispanic Focus?
There Is A Direct & Positive Relationship Between Allocation Shifts From English To Hispanic Media And Accelerated Total Market Revenue Growth
Change in Hispanic Allocation and Revenue Growth
Change in Hispanic Ad allocation (2010-2014)
Rev
enu
e g
row
th (
2010
-201
4)
15
All findings discussed in the presentation are statistically significant at a 99.9% confidence level or better.
Findings:
• The expected range for 1% in Hispanic Allocation is an increase of .26% to .40% in overall corporate revenue growth rate.
• For every additional point in Hispanic allocation we would expect revenue growth of .35% over the 4 years for CPG & Retailers.
• In other words, on average, a 5% shift in allocation from English media to Hispanic media would generate a 1.75% acceleration in U.S. revenue growth rate.
CONSTELLATION BRANDS
POST HOLDINGS
CHURCH & DWIGHT
MCCORMICK
P&GDIAGEO COLGATE
PEPSICO BIG LOTS
SABMILLER
CLOROX
HERSHEY
KRAFT
LOREAL
WAL-MART
KAO
TARGET
KROGER
SCOTTS MIRACLE
ESTEE LAUDERS
NESTLE SA NEWELL RUBBERMAID
LVMH
KELLOGG FAGE
LINDT & SPRUNGLI
NUTRI/SYSTEM
BOSTON BEER
HJ HEINZ
STAPLES
GENERAL MILLS JM SMUCKER
ACE HARDWARE
y = 0.2417x + 0.01R² = 0.1805
-10.0%
-5.0%
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0% 30.0% 35.0% 40.0% 45.0% 50.0%
Are CPGs Growth Rates Related to 2014 Hispanic Focus?
There Is A Direct & Positive Relationship Between 2014 CPG/Retailers Share Of AdSpend Dedicated To Hispanic Media And Their Topline Revenue Growth.
Hispanic Allocation 2014 and Revenue Growth
Rev
enu
e g
row
th (
2010
-201
4)
16All findings discussed in the presentation are statistically significant at a 99.9% confidence level or better.
2014 Hispanic Ad allocation
Findings:
• The expected range for 1% in 2014 Hispanic
Allocation is an increase of .17% to .31% in
overall corporate revenue growth rate.
• For every additional point in 2014 Hispanic
allocation we would expect revenue growth
of .25% over the 4 years for CPG & Retailers.
• In other words, on average, a 5% increase in
2014 Hispanic allocation would generate a
1.26% acceleration in U.S. revenue growth
rate.
The Analysis Proofs at 99.9% Confidence Level That
Resource Shifts Behind Hispanic Consumers Are a
Critical Formula in Boosting Total Market Growth Rates
• Change in Hispanic Allocationalone explains about 28% of CPGs change in topline revenue growth
• 2014 Hispanic Allocation alone explains about 18% of CPGs change in topline revenue growth
– The other 72% or 82% includes other critical factors such as brand awareness/equity, new product development, management focus, measurement tools, distribution, sales force, past performance, community position, organization structure, talent, overall segmentation expertise, etc.
Hispanic Marketing
28%
Other Drivers ofGrowth
72%
CPGs & RetailersRevenue Growth Drivers
17All findings discussed in the presentation are statistically significant at a 99.9% confidence level or better.
Hispanic Marketing
18%
Other Drivers of
Growth82%
Change in Hispanic Allocation
2010-2014
Hispanic Allocation
2014
Conclusions
CPG/Retailers Hispanic Dedicated Media skyrockets between 2010-2014
• CPG/Retailers outpaced Top 500 advertisers peers in Hispanic Media Allocation increases
• CPG/Retailers shifted over 4% of English Ad Spend to Hispanic Media– Currently focusing 11% of their overall ad resources to Hispanic Media
– Retailers allocation moving in tandem with Manufacturers
– With nearly the same number of companies among Top 500 the category saw enormous growth –a 65% dollar increase behind dedicated Hispanic media
• The main benefit of shifts from English Media to Hispanic Media is increased Total Market topline revenue acceleration– There is a strong direct correlation (@ 99.9% confidence level) between shifts to Hispanic Media and
overall U.S. revenue growth
– Consistent/significant Hispanic dedicated efforts drive superior overall revenue growth for companies
– For every 5 points of shift from English to Hispanic media, companies would on average experience a 1.75% increase in annual revenue growth in the U.S.
• Hispanic as a priority drives sustainable growth into future
18
19
Q & A
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Members Section for the Full Dataset & Other Categories Analyses
Released In 2015
2010-2014 Nielsen Monitor Plus data; Santiago Solutions Group analysis & interpretation for AHAA