aimee fish with assistance from: donald moore and samuel shea noaa national weather service alaska...

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Aimee Fish with assistance from: Donald Moore and Samuel Shea NOAA National Weather Service Alaska Region WMO Open Science Conference August 16-22, 2014 Communicating Weather and Communicating Weather and Impacts in Impacts in Remote Alaska in a “New Age” of Remote Alaska in a “New Age” of Social Media Social Media

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Page 1: Aimee Fish with assistance from: Donald Moore and Samuel Shea NOAA National Weather Service Alaska Region WMO Open Science Conference August 16-22, 2014

Aimee Fishwith assistance from: Donald Moore and Samuel Shea

NOAA National Weather Service Alaska Region

WMO Open Science ConferenceAugust 16-22, 2014

Communicating Weather and Impacts in Communicating Weather and Impacts in Remote Alaska in a “New Age” of Social Media Remote Alaska in a “New Age” of Social Media

Page 2: Aimee Fish with assistance from: Donald Moore and Samuel Shea NOAA National Weather Service Alaska Region WMO Open Science Conference August 16-22, 2014

OUTLINE

• Background: • Coastal storm vulnerabilities• Challenges in communicating impacts

• Storm and service assessments• Communication infrastructure• Opportunities and paths forward

Page 3: Aimee Fish with assistance from: Donald Moore and Samuel Shea NOAA National Weather Service Alaska Region WMO Open Science Conference August 16-22, 2014

COASTAL STORM VULNERABILITIESKivalina Unalakleet

Newtok Shaktoolik

Page 4: Aimee Fish with assistance from: Donald Moore and Samuel Shea NOAA National Weather Service Alaska Region WMO Open Science Conference August 16-22, 2014

COASTAL STORM VULNERABILITIES

Page 5: Aimee Fish with assistance from: Donald Moore and Samuel Shea NOAA National Weather Service Alaska Region WMO Open Science Conference August 16-22, 2014

COASTAL STORM VULNERABILITIES

Page 6: Aimee Fish with assistance from: Donald Moore and Samuel Shea NOAA National Weather Service Alaska Region WMO Open Science Conference August 16-22, 2014

COASTAL STORM VULNERABILITIES

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State Disaster DeclarationsState Disaster DeclarationsCoastal StormsCoastal Storms1978-20131978-2013

Season: August – NovemberSeason: August – Novemberwith exceptionswith exceptions

2004-20135 Declarations,4 Presidential

Page 7: Aimee Fish with assistance from: Donald Moore and Samuel Shea NOAA National Weather Service Alaska Region WMO Open Science Conference August 16-22, 2014

COASTAL STORM VULNERABILITIES

Page 8: Aimee Fish with assistance from: Donald Moore and Samuel Shea NOAA National Weather Service Alaska Region WMO Open Science Conference August 16-22, 2014

COASTAL STORM VULNERABILITIES

State of CT:State of CT:7 hours lead time to 7 hours lead time to evacuate coastlineevacuate coastline

Western AK:Western AK:>>24 hours lead time 24 hours lead time (daylight dependent(daylight dependent)

Page 9: Aimee Fish with assistance from: Donald Moore and Samuel Shea NOAA National Weather Service Alaska Region WMO Open Science Conference August 16-22, 2014

COASTAL STORM VULNERABILITIES

Utility Infrastructure:Utility Infrastructure:Limited and vulnerableLimited and vulnerableoff the road systemoff the road system

Page 10: Aimee Fish with assistance from: Donald Moore and Samuel Shea NOAA National Weather Service Alaska Region WMO Open Science Conference August 16-22, 2014

COASTAL STORM VULNERABILITIES

Page 11: Aimee Fish with assistance from: Donald Moore and Samuel Shea NOAA National Weather Service Alaska Region WMO Open Science Conference August 16-22, 2014

CHALLENGES IN COMMUNICATING IMPACTS

Page 12: Aimee Fish with assistance from: Donald Moore and Samuel Shea NOAA National Weather Service Alaska Region WMO Open Science Conference August 16-22, 2014

CHALLENGES IN COMMUNICATING IMPACTS

Page 13: Aimee Fish with assistance from: Donald Moore and Samuel Shea NOAA National Weather Service Alaska Region WMO Open Science Conference August 16-22, 2014

CHALLENGES IN COMMUNICATING IMPACTS• Language

• 4 indigenous languages spoken

• Word choice

• Coastal flood / coastal storm / ET cyclone = “(fall) sea storm”

• Storm surge = “high water”

• Culture

• Speaking of bad weather can be thought of as calling upon bad weather

• Community Structure

• Local…. absent of borough (county or province) organization

• Often no official “Emergency Manager”

Page 14: Aimee Fish with assistance from: Donald Moore and Samuel Shea NOAA National Weather Service Alaska Region WMO Open Science Conference August 16-22, 2014

CHALLENGES IN COMMUNICATING IMPACTS

Page 15: Aimee Fish with assistance from: Donald Moore and Samuel Shea NOAA National Weather Service Alaska Region WMO Open Science Conference August 16-22, 2014

CHALLENGES IN COMMUNICATING IMPACTS

Page 16: Aimee Fish with assistance from: Donald Moore and Samuel Shea NOAA National Weather Service Alaska Region WMO Open Science Conference August 16-22, 2014

CHALLENGES IN COMMUNICATING IMPACTS

Page 17: Aimee Fish with assistance from: Donald Moore and Samuel Shea NOAA National Weather Service Alaska Region WMO Open Science Conference August 16-22, 2014

SERVICE ASSESSMENT: NOVEMBER 2011

Page 18: Aimee Fish with assistance from: Donald Moore and Samuel Shea NOAA National Weather Service Alaska Region WMO Open Science Conference August 16-22, 2014

NOVEMBER 2011

• Seas: 12.1 m (Central Bering Sea)• Wind gust: 81 kt (Diomede) • Storm Surge: 2.6 m (Nome)• Min. Central Pressure: 943 hpa• Day before: BlizzardDay before: Blizzard• Water retreat: Water retreat: Days - months (deep freeze)

• Sea Ice (help and hindrance)Sea Ice (help and hindrance)

• 37 communities reported damages• 1,000 miles of coastline damaged (closer to 1500)1,000 miles of coastline damaged (closer to 1500)• >$ 30Million in damages>$ 30Million in damages• Presidential Disaster DeclarationPresidential Disaster Declaration• Damage estimates delayed until spring/summer due Damage estimates delayed until spring/summer due to iceto ice

Page 19: Aimee Fish with assistance from: Donald Moore and Samuel Shea NOAA National Weather Service Alaska Region WMO Open Science Conference August 16-22, 2014

NOVEMBER 2011

Page 20: Aimee Fish with assistance from: Donald Moore and Samuel Shea NOAA National Weather Service Alaska Region WMO Open Science Conference August 16-22, 2014

NOVEMBER 2011

Page 21: Aimee Fish with assistance from: Donald Moore and Samuel Shea NOAA National Weather Service Alaska Region WMO Open Science Conference August 16-22, 2014

NOVEMBER 2011

Page 22: Aimee Fish with assistance from: Donald Moore and Samuel Shea NOAA National Weather Service Alaska Region WMO Open Science Conference August 16-22, 2014

NOVEMBER 2011We learned about dissemination:•Commercial / Public Radio: most broadly used•Commercial / Public TV weather•Alaska Weather Information Line (NWS “dial-a-forecast”)

• Note: does not contain warning statements•Phone briefings with community leaders - most beneficial to decision makers•Internet ~1% - <50% of homes via smartphone•“When are you going to start using Twitter? That would be useful”

City of Unalakleet, AK (population ~650)

Page 23: Aimee Fish with assistance from: Donald Moore and Samuel Shea NOAA National Weather Service Alaska Region WMO Open Science Conference August 16-22, 2014

NOVEMBER 2011We learned about dissemination:•Commercial / Public Radio: most broadly used•Commercial / Public TV weather•Alaska Weather Information Line (NWS “dial-a-forecast”)

• Note: does not contain warning statements•Phone briefings with community leaders - most beneficial to decision makers•Internet ~1% - <50% of homes via smartphone•“When are you going to start using Twitter? That would be useful”

City of Unalakleet, AK (population ~650)

Page 24: Aimee Fish with assistance from: Donald Moore and Samuel Shea NOAA National Weather Service Alaska Region WMO Open Science Conference August 16-22, 2014

STORM ASSESSMENTS: NOVEMBER 2013

“… some 200 honeybuckets – complete with snap-on-toilet seats for added comfort – arrived in the village of Kotlik on Monday. Flooding and ice blocks nine days earlier shredded the water and sewer system…”

• Multiple consecutive storms• Blizzard, surf and surgeBlizzard, surf and surge• Water retreat: Water retreat: Days - months (deep freeze)• Sea Ice (help and hindrance)Sea Ice (help and hindrance)

• 11 communities reported damages• Presidential Disaster DeclarationPresidential Disaster Declaration• > $15 Million in damages (prelim)> $15 Million in damages (prelim)• Damage estimates delayed until Damage estimates delayed until spring/summer due to icespring/summer due to ice

Page 25: Aimee Fish with assistance from: Donald Moore and Samuel Shea NOAA National Weather Service Alaska Region WMO Open Science Conference August 16-22, 2014

NOVEMBER 2013

Page 26: Aimee Fish with assistance from: Donald Moore and Samuel Shea NOAA National Weather Service Alaska Region WMO Open Science Conference August 16-22, 2014

NOVEMBER 2013

We learned about dissemination:

•Commercial / Public Radio: most broadly used (still)

•Commercial / Public TV weather

•Alaska Weather Information Line (less prominent)

•Phone briefings with community leaders - most beneficial to decision makers (still)

•And…

Page 27: Aimee Fish with assistance from: Donald Moore and Samuel Shea NOAA National Weather Service Alaska Region WMO Open Science Conference August 16-22, 2014

WIRELESS IS PREVALENT; SO IS SOCIAL MEDIA

Photos courtesy ADN

Page 28: Aimee Fish with assistance from: Donald Moore and Samuel Shea NOAA National Weather Service Alaska Region WMO Open Science Conference August 16-22, 2014

COMMUNICATION INFRASTRUCTURE

Page 29: Aimee Fish with assistance from: Donald Moore and Samuel Shea NOAA National Weather Service Alaska Region WMO Open Science Conference August 16-22, 2014

OPPORTUNITIES AND PATH FORWARD

• Mainstream media is still important

• Work with media partners

• Schedule call-in radio shows

• Mobile device service focus

• Mobile sites & tools are a must

• Need to be slick but simple

• Urban & rural demands

• Pictures & graphics!

• Maintain SA on communication infrastructure improvements and use

Page 30: Aimee Fish with assistance from: Donald Moore and Samuel Shea NOAA National Weather Service Alaska Region WMO Open Science Conference August 16-22, 2014

OPPORTUNITIES AND PATH FORWARD• Build our “everyday” reach into rural Alaska

• Focus additional posts on rural weather and sea ice• Become relevant in both rural and urban communities• Engage with partners & their social media (i.e., be more social!)

• Increase number of posts per event• Specifically mention vulnerable, at risk areas

• Outreach• Must include NWS social media – ALWAYS• Seek & seize opportunities to reach rural community members

(even if indirectly)

Page 31: Aimee Fish with assistance from: Donald Moore and Samuel Shea NOAA National Weather Service Alaska Region WMO Open Science Conference August 16-22, 2014

OPPORTUNITIES AND PATH FORWARD

Engage partners to better understand culture and

communities, and also expand message dissemination

Page 32: Aimee Fish with assistance from: Donald Moore and Samuel Shea NOAA National Weather Service Alaska Region WMO Open Science Conference August 16-22, 2014

THANK YOU!

[email protected]

• https://www.facebook.com/NWSAlaska• @NWSAlaska• www.youtube.com/user/NWSAnchorage• weather.gov/Alaska