air castle analyst presentation - december 2010

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  • 8/4/2019 Air Castle Analyst Presentation - December 2010

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    Investor and Analyst Day Presentation

    December 14, 2010

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    Certain items in this presentation and other information we provide from time to time, may constitute forward-looking

    statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 including, but not necessarily limited to,

    statements relating to our ability to acquire, sell, lease or finance aircraft, raise capital, pay dividends, and increase revenues,

    earnings, EBITDA, Adjusted Net Income and Adjusted Net Income plus Depreciation and Amortization and the global aviation

    industry and aircraft leasing sector. Words such as anticipates, expects, intends, plans, projects, believes, may, will,would, could, should, seeks, estimates and variations on these words and similar expressions are intended to identify

    such forward-looking statements. These statements are based on managements current expectations and beliefs and are subject

    to a number of factors that could lead to actual results materially different from those described in the forward-looking

    statements; Aircastle Limited can give no assurance that its expectations will be attained. Accordingly, you should not place undue

    reliance on any forward-looking statements contained in this presentation. Factors that could have a material adverse effect on

    our operations and future prospects or that could cause actual results to differ materially from Aircastle Limiteds expectations

    include, but are not limited to, prolonged capital markets disruption and volatility, which may adversely affect our continued

    ability to obtain additional capital to finance our working capital needs, our pre-delivery payment obligations and other aircraft

    acquisition commitments, our ability to extend or replace our existing financings, and the demand for and value of aircraft; ourexposure to increased bank and counterparty risk caused by credit and capital markets disruptions; volatility in the value of our

    aircraft or in appraisals thereof, which may, among other things, result in increased principal payments under our term financings

    and reduce our cash flow available for investment or dividends; general economic conditions and business conditions affecting

    demand for aircraft and lease rates; our continued ability to obtain favorable tax treatment in Bermuda, Ireland and other

    jurisdictions; our ability to pay dividends; high or volatile fuel prices, lack of access to capital, reduced load factors and/or reduced

    yields, operational disruptions caused by volcanic activity and other factors affecting the creditworthiness of our airline customers

    and their ability to continue to perform their obligations under our leases; termination payments on our interest rate hedges; and

    other risks detailed from time to time in Aircastle Limiteds filings with the SEC, including Risk Factors as previously disclosed in

    Aircastles 2009 Annual Report on Form 10-K, and in our other filings with the SEC, press releases and other communications. In

    addition, new risks and uncertainties emerge from time to time, and it is not possible for Aircastle to predict or assess the impact

    of every factor that may cause its actual results to differ from those contained in any forward-looking statements. Such forward-

    looking statements speak only as of the date of this presentation. Aircastle Limited expressly disclaims any obligation to release

    publicly any updates or revisions to any forward-looking statements contained herein to reflect any change in its expectations

    with regard thereto or change in events, conditions or circumstances on which any statement is based.

    The information contained herein is the property of Aircastle Limited and shall not be disclosed, copied, distributed or

    transmitted, or used for any purpose, without the express written consent of Aircastle Limited.

    Forward-Looking Statements / Property of Aircastle

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    3

    1. Introduction

    2. Industry

    3. Company Profile and Servicing Capabilities

    4. Portfolio Overview

    5. Financial Performance and Capital Structure

    6. Financial Markets

    7. Investment Opportunity

    8. Conclusion

    9. Appendix

    Table of Contents

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    Overview

    Aircastle (NYSE: AYR) is a leading commercial jet aircraft lessor

    132 aircraft with 63 lessees in 36 countries as of September 30, 2010

    Formed six years agoA purpose-built top tier, global leasing company

    Q3 2010 LTM Revenue of $529 million and ANIDA of $309 million

    Modern fleet financed with a conservative capital structure

    4

    Lessee Countries

    SINGAPORE

    STAMFORD, CT

    DUBLIN, IRELAND

    Aircastle Offices

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    Key Highlights

    5

    132 aircraft with 63 lessees in 36 countries

    Diversified by lessee, geography and aircraft type Cargo aircraft expertise

    Modern Aircraft Portfolio

    & Diverse Customer Base

    Experienced management team drawn from industry leaders

    Global presence with in-house expertise

    World ClassManagement Team

    Strong Servicing &Origination Track Record

    Over 98% revenue utilization for the past two years

    Completed more than 125 aircraft leases

    Fleet acquired via 65 transactions with 54 counterparties

    LTM 9/30/10 ANIDA of $309 million

    Fleet is long-term financed

    61% net debt to net book value of assets

    Stable Cash Flow &Conservative, Long-Term

    Capital Structure

    Long-term growth market expanding at a multiple of global GDP

    Trend towards more leasing vs. owning by airlines

    Positive Long-TermIndustry Fundamentals

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    6

    1. Introduction

    2. Industry

    3. Company Profile and Servicing Capabilities

    4. Portfolio Overview

    5. Financial Performance and Capital Structure

    6. Financial Markets

    7. Investment Opportunity

    8. Conclusion

    9. Appendix

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    Air Travel Industry in the Midst of a Recovery

    7

    Source: IATA, September 2010.

    -$2.7

    -$4.3

    -$2.7

    -$0.6

    $0.5

    -$0.1

    $3.5

    -$1.3

    $5.2

    $0.4$1.0

    $0.1

    $1.4

    $0.0

    $3.0

    $0.3$0.6

    $0.0

    -$6.0

    -$4.0

    -$2.0

    $0.0

    $2.0

    $4.0

    $6.0

    North America Europe Asia-Pacific Middle East Latin America Africa

    IATA Net Profit Projections ($, Billions)

    2009 2010F 2011F

    7.4%

    1.3%

    -2.1%

    7.7%

    4.9%5.4% 5.4%

    4.7%

    -1.3%

    -9.8%

    19.8%

    5.3%6.3% 6.4%

    -15%

    -10%

    -5%

    0%

    5%

    10%

    15%

    20%

    25%

    2007 2008 2009F 2010F 2011F 2012F 2013F

    IATA Traffic Projections (Y/Y % Change)

    Passenger Traffic (RPK) Cargo Traffic (FTK)

    2010 exhibited a strong recovery driven by demand improvements and disciplined capacity

    growth

    Through October, year-over-year passenger and freight traffic demand improved 8.5% and 24.0%,

    respectively

    Current passenger and cargo traffic levels are above pre-recession peaks

    Air cargo traffic has outpaced the recovery in passenger traffic in 2010

    Asia-Pacific expected to exhibit greatest year-over-year improvement

    Latin American and Middle Eastern traffic has also been relatively strong, but Europe continues to lag

    A return to long-term growth rates in 2011 and beyond expected

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    Long-Term Air Travel Growth Drivers

    8

    Future growth will be driven by emerging markets, including the BRIC countries

    Enplanement levels remain very low

    Emerging middle class will drive air traffic growth

    Chinese airlines accounted for 17% of Boeing and Airbus deliveries in 2009

    Growth in the Chinese economy drove intra-Asia travel to eclipse intra-North American traffic to become

    the worlds largest aviation market

    The Indian market has strong potential but suffered from excessive growth during 2008-09

    Middle East has developed into a global transit hub

    Aircraft on order from BRICs and the Middle East represents 32% of Boeing / Airbus total orders

    Source: Ascend (www.ascendworldwide.com ).

    Orders excludes lessors based in these countries.

    2.68x

    0.35x 0.29x0.15x 0.10x

    0.00x

    0.50x

    1.00x

    1.50x

    2.00x

    2.50x

    3.00x

    USA Russia Brazil China India

    Airline Passengers per Capita

    Source: US DOT, Indian CAA, CAAC, ANAC, Russian Ministry of Transportation, CIA Factbook.

    Data for calendar year 2008, except India, which is based on an April fiscal year.

    0

    100

    200

    300

    400

    500

    600

    700

    800

    USA China United Arab

    Emirates

    India Brazil Russia

    Boeing / Airbus Orders by Country

    http://www.ascendworldwide.com/http://www.ascendworldwide.com/
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    Aircraft Supply and Demand

    9

    Source: IATA.

    0%

    5%

    10%

    15%

    20%

    25%

    May-0

    9

    Jun-0

    9

    Jul-09

    Aug-0

    9

    Sep-0

    9

    Oct-09

    Nov-0

    9

    Dec-0

    9

    Jan-1

    0

    Feb

    -10

    Mar-10

    Apr-10

    May-1

    0

    Jun-1

    0

    Jul-10

    Aug-1

    0

    Sep-1

    0

    Oct-10

    Nov-1

    0

    Percentage of Fleet Parked

    737 -700/80 0/900/900ER A319/20/21 (excl A320 Classic s)

    737-300/400/500 A330-200/300

    767-300ER 747-400F/SF/BCF/ERF

    Source: Ascend (www.ascendworldwide.com ).

    70.0%

    73.0%

    76.0%

    79.0%

    82.0%

    85.0%

    t- -

    J

    - - -

    J

    - - -

    J

    - - -

    J

    - t- -

    J

    - -

    Passenger Load Factor Trend

    12 Month Rolling Average Load Factor Passenger Load Factor

    New deliveries are sold out for several years and idle capacity of modern aircraft is at low levels

    Production rate of mainline aircraft (>100 seats) remained stable during 2009

    Boeing and Airbus delivered ~970 aircraft in 2009

    The global mainline passenger fleet is currently ~16,000 aircraft

    Total production (including 787 introduction) is forecast to increase by ~100 units by 2012

    Current generation aircraft at near full utilization levels

    However, stored levels of out of production aircraft are not improving

    Passenger load factors are at record highs showing building airline demand

    http://www.ascendworldwide.com/http://www.ascendworldwide.com/http://www.ascendworldwide.com/http://www.ascendworldwide.com/
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    Airline Fleet Distribution

    10

    Top global airlines continue to operate large numbers of seasoned but current generation

    aircraft

    Of the top 50 global airlines, 43 airlines operate aircraft older than 10 years

    The majority of aircraft operated by the top 50 airlines are more than five years old

    Growing demand combined with production limits on new aircraft will ensure continued

    demand for older aircraft

    Aircraft technology is the key driver of continued demand

    0

    5

    10

    15

    20

    25

    30

    35

    40

    45

    50

    0 - 5 Ye ars 6 - 1 0 Ye ar s 1 1 - 1 5 Ye ar s 1 6 - 2 0 Ye ar s Ove r 20 Ye ar s

    Nu

    mberofOperators

    Top 50 Airlines Distribution

    0

    500

    1,000

    1,500

    2,000

    2,500

    3,000

    3,500

    0 - 5 Years 6 - 10 Years 11 - 15 Years 16 - 20 Years Over 20 Years

    Num

    berofAircraft

    Top 50 Airlines Fleet Distribution - Current

    Generation Aircraft

    Source: Ascend (www.ascendworldwide.com ).

    Current generation include 737-600/700/800/900, 747-400/400F, 757-200/300/200F, 767-

    200/300/400/300F, 777-200/300/200LRF, A319/320NG/321, A330-200/300/200F, A340-

    200/300/500/600, A380.

    Source: Ascend (www.ascendworldwide.com ).

    Top 50 airlines measured by the size of mainline fleet (aircraft with 100+ seats).

    http://www.ascendworldwide.com/http://www.ascendworldwide.com/http://www.ascendworldwide.com/http://www.ascendworldwide.com/
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    Freight Market Dynamics

    11

    The world air freighter fleet has an average age of more than 24 years

    The supply of freighter aircraft adjusts more easily to changes in demand than passenger

    Given relatively lower capital costs, marginal capacity is removed, particularly as maintenance events arise

    Pressure on older technology aircraft increased significantly for high use, long-haul missions

    Fuel costs play a much bigger role

    Air freight is becoming more focused on high value, time-sensitive shipments, so dispatch reliability is

    critical

    Current generation aircraft are returning to service as the market recovers while older

    technology aircraft are being removed from service, in many cases permanently

    Source: Ascend (www.ascendworldwide.com ).

    Current generation includes, 747-400F, 757-200F, 767-200F, 767-300F, 777-200LRF.

    Classics include 707F, 737-300/400F, 727F, 747-100/200/300F, A300F, A310F, DC-10F, DC-8F, DC-9F, L-1011F, MD-11F.

    448473

    531

    1237 39

    0 0 10

    100

    200

    300

    400

    500

    600

    November 2008 November 2009 November 2010

    Current Generation Freighters

    In Service Storage L TM Retireme nts

    1,165

    979 974

    334452

    396

    91 85 71

    0

    200

    400

    600

    800

    1,000

    1,200

    1,400

    November 2008 November 2009 November 2010

    Classic Freighters

    In Service Storage LTM Retire ments

    http://www.ascendworldwide.com/http://www.ascendworldwide.com/
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    Increasing Lessor Market Share

    12

    Percentage of global fleet owned by lessors has increased steadily

    Attractive value proposition for airlines

    100% off balance sheet financing

    Transfer of residual risk

    Manage fleet capacity, particularly during downturns

    We expect the percentage of leased aircraft will continue to increase

    3%

    17%

    24%

    32%

    0%

    5%

    10%

    15%

    20%

    25%

    30%

    35%

    1980 1990 2000 2009

    Percentage of Global Fleet Leased

    Source: Ascend (www.ascendworldwide.com ).

    http://www.ascendworldwide.com/http://www.ascendworldwide.com/
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    1. Introduction

    2. Industry

    3. Company Profile and Servicing Capabilities

    4. Portfolio Overview

    5. Financial Performance and Capital Structure

    6. Financial Markets

    7. Investment Opportunity

    8. Conclusion

    9. Appendix

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    World Class Platform

    ORIGINATION &

    PLACEMENT

    10 Professionals

    TECHNICAL &

    ENGINEERING

    10 Professionals

    LEGAL & CONTRACT

    MANAGEMENT

    12 Professionals

    76 Full-Time

    Employees

    KEY AIRCRAFT LEASING FUNCTIONS

    In-house capabilities across all aircraft leasing functions

    Experienced management team drawn from leading industry

    players

    Rigorous portfolio management monitored from business, riskand technical viewpoints

    Complete focus on our own portfolio

    Team structured to source and execute opportunistic

    transactions

    Fleet acquired via 65 transactions with 54 counterparties

    Acquisitions, leasing, sales and freighter conversions

    Significant platform scalability potential

    Global presence with offices in Stamford, Dublin and Singapore

    Strong freighter market in-house skills to help optimize residual

    values

    IndustryLeading

    Team

    Global

    Presence

    Own FleetFocus

    ProactivePortfolio

    Management

    In-HouseFreighterExpertise

    14

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    Demonstrated Servicing Track Record

    Since inception, more than 125 aircraft placed on lease with over 60 customers

    Excellent performance amidst volatile economic conditions

    Q3 2010 revenue utilization of ~100% and rental yield of 14.1%

    (1) Yield is calculated as lease rental revenue / average NBV.

    Figures as of 9/30/10

    15

    11%

    12%

    13%

    14%

    15%

    16%

    80%82%

    84%

    86%

    88%

    90%

    92%

    94%

    96%

    98%100%

    Q1:07 Q2:07 Q3:07 Q4:07 Q1:08 Q2:08 Q3:08 Q4:08 Q1:09 Q2:09 Q3:09 Q4:09 Q1:10 Q2:10 Q3:10

    Historical Revenue Utilization and Yield

    Utilization Yield

    (1)

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    Capitalizing on Market Opportunities

    747-400 Investment Example:

    Purchased three off-lease 747-400 aircraft in 2007

    Freighter conversion feedstock

    Near-term conversion slot availability at attractivepricing

    A380 delays led to strong short-term demand for 747-

    400 passenger aircraft

    Signed passenger to freighter conversion

    agreement for all three aircraft

    One aircraft inducted almost immediately Placed other two aircraft at Singapore Airlines and Air

    India on short-term leases to lead into the remaining

    freighter conversion slots

    First two converted freighters delivered on long-

    term leases in 2008 to World Airways

    Third aircraft sold at the end of the short-termpassenger lease

    Freight market slowdown changed our plan

    Took on transition maintenance planning / monitoring

    Terminated conversion agreement

    Closed sale in December 2008

    16

    Nimble asset management

    Ability to capitalize on marketopportunities

    Technical, lease placement andsales capabilities

    Demonstrates:

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    Proactive Asset Management Approach

    Disciplined approach to maximizing residual values

    Methodical approach to exploiting the best available opportunity whether lease placement,

    sale or cargo conversion

    21 aircraft sold or committed for sale with a total sales price of more than $400 million

    Leveraging our world-wide connections

    Have utilized freighter conversion as a way of extending an aircrafts useful life

    In-house cargo market expertise

    17

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    Proactive Portfolio Management

    Narrowbody Classic Freighter Conversion Example:

    4 x 737-400 aircraft operating in India with leases

    expiring in 2009

    AYR desire to reduce exposure in India

    Marketing team identifies an affiliate of the Chinese

    Post Office for long-term freighter lease

    Lack of feedstock makes conversion slot

    availability/pricing favorable

    Building the deal:

    Freighter lease LOI signed in late 2007

    Competitive bid process for conversion work

    Negotiated lease amendments with returning customer

    to line up conversion timing and return conditions

    Complex transaction

    First of type into China

    Two transitions per aircraft Lining up the financing, legal and tax issues among the

    various parties in multiple jurisdictions

    Successful realization on the investment

    All aircraft converted and delivered by Q1:10

    Signed sales agreement with closing expected in Q4:10

    or Q1:11

    18

    Demonstrates:

    Ability to realize on value-add

    through sale

    Technical capability to managefreighter conversion

    Early work to find the bestredeployment opportunity

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    19

    1. Introduction

    2. Industry

    3. Company Profile and Servicing Capabilities

    4. Portfolio Overview

    5. Financial Performance and Capital Structure

    6. Financial Markets

    7. Investment Opportunity

    8. Conclusion

    9. Appendix

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    (1) Percentage of NBV. Figures as of 9/30/10

    (2) Includes one A330-200 Freighter

    Modern Portfolio with Strong Revenue Stream

    Diversification Aircraft Type(1)

    20

    Modern commercial jet portfolio

    89% by value is latest generation of

    technology

    Investments oriented to early and middle

    part of an aircrafts production

    Longer useful lives than last off the line

    units

    30% of our portfolio by value in cargo

    aircraft

    Diversification by end market

    Excellent lessee performance throughout

    downturn

    Long remaining average lease term

    Provides strong cash flow performance

    A320 Family16%

    A330s (2)

    22%

    737 NGs18%

    747-400 Ftrs24%

    767s & 777s9%

    737 & A320Classics

    4%

    757s3%

    OtherFreighters

    4%

    Other11%

    # Lessees / # Countries 63 / 36

    Lease Term 4.6

    Freighter Lease Term 7.3

    Weighted Average Age 11.2

    Portfolio Statistics(1)

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    Diversified Customer Base

    21

    Portfolio spread across a variety of carriers around the world

    Largest customer exposure is less than 7% of net book value

    Combined, the top 10 customers represent 48% of net book value

    As of 9/30/10.

    Asia

    23%

    Europe46%

    LatinAmerica

    9%

    Middle East& Africa

    11%

    NorthAmerica

    11%

    Geographical Diversity(*)

    (*) Percentage of NBV. Figures as of 9/30/10.

    % of NVB Customer Country # Aircraft

    Greater than 6%per customer

    Emirates United ArabEmirates

    2

    Martinair (1) Netherlands 5

    3% to 6% percustomer

    US Airways USA 8SriLankan Airlines Sri Lanka 5

    Avianca Colombia 2China Eastern Airlines (2) China 8

    HNA Group (3) China 7Iberia Airlines Spain 6

    GOL (4) Brazil 6Airbridge Cargo (5) Russia 1

    (1) Martinair is a wholly owned subsidiary of KLM. Although KLM does not guarantee Martinairs obligations under the relevant lease, if we combined Martinair

    with our one aircraft on lease with KLM, the two, together with another affiliated customer, represent 11% of flight equipment held for lease.

    (2) Includes the aircraft leased to Shanghai Airlines, which was recently acquired by China Eastern Airlines. China Eastern Airlines does not guarantee the

    obligations of the aircraft we lease to Shanghai Airlines.

    (3) Seven aircraft on lease to affiliates of the HNA Group, although the HNA Group does not guarantee the leases.

    (4) GOL has guaranteed the obligations of an affiliate, VRG Linhas Aereas, and accordingly, the two are shown combined in the above table.

    (5) Guaranteed by Volga-Dnepr.

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    Very Few Unplaced Aircraft through 2011

    Lease roll-offs are well dispersed; three scheduled lease expirations left to place in 2010-11

    All 2010 scheduled lease expirations have executed or committed leases, renewals, sales or lease

    LOIs

    11 of 13 2011 scheduled expirations placed

    Eight aircraft have executed or committed leases or lease renewals

    Two aircraft subject to sales agreements

    One aircraft with a signed letter of intent for lease

    Starting to make progress on 2012 lease roll-off

    Scheduled Lease Expiration Status

    22

    2

    17

    9

    2

    2

    0

    4

    8

    12

    16

    20

    2010 2011

    Sale Agreement

    Signed or LOI for

    Extension/Placement

    Marketing

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    New Order Airbus A330

    23

    Program is in very good shape

    11 of 12 new Airbus A330 aircraft subject to long-term leases

    Executed letter of intent for 12th aircraft to deliver in spring 2012

    Completed acquisition and delivery of first four aircraft subject to long-term leases

    Two A330-200 passenger aircraft to Avianca during 2009

    Two A330-200F freighters to Hong Kong Airlines, an affiliate of HNA Group, in September and

    November 2010

    ~$700 million in remaining deliveries spread during H1 2011 H1 2012

    Built-in growth

    Strong A330 demand due to recovery in long-haul premium travel

    787 delays also contributing

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    24

    1. Introduction

    2. Industry

    3. Company Profile and Servicing Capabilities

    4. Portfolio Overview

    5. Financial Performance and Capital Structure

    6. Financial Markets

    7. Investment Opportunity

    8. Conclusion

    9. Appendix

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    $100

    $235

    $350 $326

    $232$183

    $381

    $583 $571

    $393

    $0

    $200

    $400

    $600

    2006 2007 2008 2009 YTD 9/30/10

    ANI+D&A Revenue

    Strong Financial Performance

    Consistent lease rental revenue drives strong cash flow

    Ended Q3:10 with $310.9 million of unrestricted cash and $190.3 million of restricted cash

    (1) Adjusted Net Income plus Depreciation and Amortization excludes gains from assets sales, charges related to

    interest rate contracts and other non-recurring charges.25

    (1)

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    Conservative Long-Term Capital Structure

    (1) As of 9/30/10. Book Equity excludes mark to market of derivative liabilities of $217 million.

    $2.4 billion

    Net Debt(1)

    $3.9 billion aircraft

    132 aircraft(1)

    $1.5 billionBook Equity(1)

    Established access to financial markets

    Net debt to book equity 1.6 to 1

    No immediate financing needs, earliest scheduled maturity 2015

    26

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    Liquidity and Long-Term Debt

    27

    Ended Q3:10 with $310.9 million of unrestricted cash and $190.3 million of restricted cash

    Continued strong cash flow performance from portfolio

    Long-Term Debt Summary as of September 30, 2010

    $ millions, except # of aircraft Maturity # Aircraft Interest Rate(1) Outstanding

    Securitization No. 1(2) Jun 31 33 5.78% $ 420.4

    Securitization No. 2(2) Jun 37 55 5.53% 1,013.0

    Term Financing No. 1(2) May 15 28 5.79% 666.1

    ECA Supported Financings May-21 Aug-22 3 2.65% - 4.48% 201.6

    A330 PDP financing - 2.76% 82.8

    2010-1 Notes Aug-18 - 9.75% 296.0

    Unencumbered Aircraft - 13 - -Total 132 5.89% $ 2,679.9

    (1)

    2

    Reflects current swap rate or index + spread, for all financings except the ECA financings which are fixed rate debt

    For Securitization No. 1 and No. 2 and Term Financing No. 1, all cash flows available after expenses and interest will be

    applied to debt amortization if the debt is not refinanced by June 2011, June 2012 and May 2013, respectively

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    Estimated Term Financing Debt Amortization Profile

    28

    $46$64 $63 $63

    $78 $76

    $26$-

    $99 $98

    $153 $148 $155 $132$113

    $99

    $51 $44$72

    $91

    $384

    $-

    $100

    $200

    $300

    $400

    2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

    Sec. No.1 Sec. No.2 Term No.1

    Expect YE 2010 lease rental exit run rate of ~$560 million annualized including $92 million from unencumbered

    aircraft assets

    All aircraft portfolio term financings are non-recourse to Aircastle Limited and each deal pays remarketing

    servicer and admin fees to Aircastle

    Estimated debt amortization profile assumes each financing runs to estimated full payout date, or, to final

    maturity of for Term No. 1 of May 2015

    Debt amortization after 5th anniversary of each financing based on excess cash flows available from rents, net

    maintenance funding and proceeds from asset dispositions after payments for expenses and interest payments,

    all of which are based on current estimates

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    Airbus A330 Program Financing

    29

    Successfully financed first four deliveries with Export Credit Agency (ECA)-backed debt

    Our ECA debt is guaranteed by COFACE, French government export credit agency

    Substantial progress made on A330 financing during 2010

    In June, closed $108 million loan facility to finance a portion of the pre-delivery payments on

    six new Airbus A330-200 aircraft

    Received commitments to finance next seven deliveries based on ECA support

    Other financing sources available

    Received ~$700 million in commitments from Sumitomo Mitsui Banking Corporation, Citibank

    and Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi UFJ to finance nine new A330s based on ECA support

    $69 million funded by Citibank for 12 years @ 2.645% for September 2010 delivery

    $69 million funded by BTMU for 12 years @ 2.685% for November 2010 delivery

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    30

    1. Introduction

    2. Industry

    3. Company Profile and Servicing Capabilities

    4. Portfolio Overview

    5. Financial Performance and Capital Structure

    6. Financial Markets

    7. Investment Opportunity

    8. Conclusion

    9. Appendix

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    Financing Sources for New Aircraft

    31

    Commercial

    Banks

    $18B

    Commercial

    Banks

    $16B

    Export Credit

    Agencies

    $21B

    Export Credit

    Agencies

    $20B

    Cash

    $14B

    Cash

    $13B

    Lessors

    $9B

    Lessors

    $6.5B

    $1B $0.5B$2.5B $2B

    $1B $1.5B$2.5B $2.5B

    2009 Actual ($69B) 2010 Forecast ($62B)

    Tax

    Equity

    RJ ECAS

    Manufacturers

    Tax

    Equity

    RJECAS

    CAP Mkts

    Manufacturers

    CAP Mkts

    Export credit agencies filled in the financing gap

    during last years financial crisis

    Supported one third of new deliveries in 2009 vs.normal level of ~15%

    Played an important stabilizing role last year

    Similar level of activity this year

    Smaller role by lessors since many were alsoaffected badly by the financial crisis

    Parent company issues figured in many cases

    Many lessors have looked to ECA financing too

    Commercial lending by banks still at very low levelsdespite the financial markets recovery

    Strong regional bias/orientation

    Source: Boeing Capital.

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    US Capital Markets Have Recovered Faster

    U.S. institutional market has recovered quickly

    Deep and broad pool of investors

    Over $9 billion of aircraft lessor deals without ECA support

    Mix of secured and unsecured deals

    Market access for borrowers much more limited than in bank market

    Significant rally in aircraft-backed securitizations

    32

    $60

    $64

    $68

    $72

    $76

    $80

    $84

    $88

    $92

    Pric

    e

    Aircastle 2006-1A Genesis 2006-1A Babcock 2007-1A Airspeed 2007-1G1 Aercap 2007-1

    Historical Commercial Aircraft ABS Trading Levels

    Source: Goldman Sachs.

    These are historical estimated prices and do not purport to be prices at which securities can currently be purchased or sold.

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    33

    1. Introduction

    2. Industry

    3. Company Profile and Servicing Capabilities

    4. Portfolio Overview

    5. Financial Performance and Capital Structure

    6. Financial Markets

    7. Investment Opportunity

    8. Conclusion

    9. Appendix

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    Aircraft Sales Activity Still Low

    34

    Aircraft trading levels are coming back from all time lows

    Sharp drop caused by the collapse of the credit markets

    Weve seen a modest recovery in 2010, but still well off historical levels, particularly for mid-lifeaircraft

    Source: Ascend (www.ascendworldwide.com ).

    Used Aircraft Sales Historical Transaction Volume

    0

    50

    100

    150

    200

    250

    300

    350

    400

    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

    2007 2008 2009 2010

    http://www.ascendworldwide.com/http://www.ascendworldwide.com/
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    Aircraft Valuation Trends

    Trends in values are comparable to the decline seen during the last downturn

    However, financial market liquidity is worse now, limiting transaction volume

    We believe there are excellent investment opportunities for those with investable funds

    Midbody and widebody aircraft values have been more volatile than narrowbodies

    We believe narrowbody values are turning the corner (appraisal data tends to lag the market)

    Midbody and widebody aircraft values will likely recover with the return of long-haul market demand

    Market to Base Value Relationships Since 1997

    35

    -25%

    -20%

    -15%

    -10%

    -5%

    0%

    5%

    10%

    15%

    20%

    25%

    1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

    Widebodies - 5 Year Constant Age

    A330-200 A330-300 767-300ER 777-200ER

    -25%

    -20%

    -15%

    -10%

    -5%

    0%

    5%

    10%

    15%

    20%

    25%

    1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

    Narrowbodies - 5 Year Constant Age

    A319-100 A320-200 737-700 737-800

    Source: Ascend (www.ascendworldwide.com ).

    http://www.ascendworldwide.com/http://www.ascendworldwide.com/
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    Increasing Rental Levels

    Aircraft rentals dropped sharply during 2009,

    after peaking in late 2007

    Declines for new generation aircraft were more

    modest during 2008s fuel price spike

    Classic narrowbody and widebody lease rates were

    hit hard as were freighters

    Recovery in lease rental rates for newer 737NGs

    and A320s began late last year

    Recovery in widebody rentals is at an earlier stagebut accelerating

    Airlines appear far more willing to make long-term

    fleet commitments now vs. last year

    Passenger rental movements tend to lag the

    economy; freighter rentals more contemporaneous

    Currently, lease rates for latest generation aircraft

    a little better than half way back

    Airline demand continuing to strengthen

    Strong, ongoing recovery for freighters

    36

    Time Period Monthly Rent

    Market Peak: Late 2007 $300 325

    Market Trough: Early 2009 $235 270

    Current Market: Dec 2010 $280 - 300

    Illustrative Rental Rates ($000s)

    Time Period Monthly Rent

    Market Peak: Late 2007 $900 1,000

    Market Trough: Early 2009 $600 - 700

    Current Market: Dec 2010 $750 - 850

    15 Year Old 747-400 Converted Freighter

    Note: Aircastle market estimates assuming 5-6 year lease term for

    737 and 747-400 freighter and 6-8 year lease term for A330 and

    orderly market placement.

    5 Year Old 737-800

    Time Period Monthly Rent

    Market Peak: Late 2007 $750 800

    Market Trough: Early 2009 $300 350

    Current Market: Dec 2010 $550 - 600

    New A330-200

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    Aircraft Acquisitions

    37

    ~$700 Million of Built-in Growth via Airbus A330 Program

    New aircraft deliveries Q1:11 H1:12

    $310 Million in Additional Investments

    Acquired three Airbus A330 aircraft in sale leaseback with SriLankan Airlines in Q3:10

    Purchased two Boeing 747-400F production freighters in late Q4:10

    Expect to deliver both aircraft on long-term leases by year end 2010

    Acquired three Boeing 737-800 aircraft in Q4:10

    Growing and Attractive Base of Investment Opportunities

    Built-in growth and new investments position the company for solid performance in 2011

    Leverage Aircastles origination, placement and freight market strengths

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    38

    1. Introduction

    2. Industry

    3. Company Profile and Servicing Capabilities

    4. Portfolio Overview

    5. Financial Performance and Capital Structure

    6. Financial Markets

    7. Investment Opportunity

    8. Conclusion

    9. Appendix

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    Key Investments Highlights

    Strong Portfolio Utilization and Yield

    World Class Management Team with Demonstrated Track Record

    Modern Aircraft Portfolio & Diverse Customer Base

    Conservative, Long-Term Capital Structure with Multiple Funding Sources

    Large and Growing Market

    39

    Built-in Growth Combined with New Investments Position the Company for Solid

    Performance in 2011

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    40

    1. Introduction

    2. Industry

    3. Company Profile and Servicing Capabilities

    4. Portfolio Overview

    5. Financial Performance and Capital Structure

    6. Financial Markets

    7. Investment Opportunity

    8. Conclusion

    9. Appendix

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    Supplemental Financial Information

    (In thousands, except per share amounts)

    41

    Three Months Ended

    September 30,

    Nine Months Ended

    September 30,

    2009 2010 2009 2010

    Revenues................................................................................ $ 165,740 $ 132,247 $ 434,791 $ 392,992

    EBITDA ................................................................................ $ 135,035 $ 116,081 $ 377,111 $ 356,397

    Adjusted net income ...... ...................................... ................. $ 35,668 $ 12,561 $ 83,677 $ 53,638Adjusted net income allocable to common shares ................. $ 35,060 $ 12,396 $ 82,295 $ 52,872

    Per common share - Basic ................................................. $ 0.45 $ 0.16 $ 1.06 $ 0.67Per common share - Diluted .............................................. $ 0.45 $ 0.16 $ 1.06 $ 0.67

    Adjusted net income plus depreciation andamortization ........................................................................... $ 92,790 $ 72,467 $ 247,975 $ 231,867

    Adjusted net income plus depreciation andamortization allocable to common shares .............................. $ 91,208 $ 71,513 $ 243,880 $ 228,555

    Per common share - Basic ................................................. $ 1.17 $ 0.91 $ 3.13 $ 2.91Per common share - Diluted .............................................. $ 1.17 $ 0.91 $ 3.13 $ 2.91

    Basic common shares outstanding ...................................... ... 78,013 78,537 77,977 78,470Diluted common shares outstanding ................................... ... 78,013 78,537 77,977 78,470

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    Reconciliation of GAAP to Non-GAAP Measures

    (In thousands)

    42

    Three Months EndedSeptember 30, Nine Months EndedSeptember 30,

    2009 2010 2009 2010

    Net income ................................................................................... $ 33,458 $ 8,569 $ 79,500 $ 45,587Depreciation ................................................................................. 53,130 55,703 156,379 164,272Amortization of net lease discounts and lease incentives ............. 3,992 4,203 7,919 13,957Interest, net ................................................................................... 43,032 47,453 127,925 128,578

    Income tax provision .................................................................... 1,423 153 5,388 4,003

    EBITDA ....................................................................................... $ 135,035 $ 116,081 $ 377,111 $ 356,397

    We define EBITDA as income from continuing operations before income taxes, interest expense, and depreciation and amortizatio n. Weuse EBITDA to assess our consolidated financial and operating performance, and we believe this non -GAAP measure is helpful inidentifying trends in our performance. Using EBITDA assists us in comparing our operating performance on a consistent basis b yremoving the impact of our capital structure (primarily interest charges on our outstanding debt) and a sset base (primarily depreciationand amortization) from our operating results.

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    Reconciliation of GAAP to Non-GAAP Measures

    (In thousands)

    43

    Management believes that Adjusted Net Income (ANI) and Adjusted Net Income plus Depreciation and Amortization (ANIDA), wh enviewed in conjunction with the Companys results under GAAP and the above reconciliation, provide useful information about operatingand period-over-period performance, and provide additional information that is useful for evaluating the underlying operating performanceof our business without regard to periodic reporting elements related to interest rate derivative accounting as well as gains/(losses) relatedto flight equipment and debt investments. Additionally, management believes that ANIDA provides investors with an additional metric toenhance their understanding of the factors and trends affecting our ongoing cash earnings, from which capital investments are made, debt isserviced and dividends are paid. However, ANI and ANIDA are not measures of financial performance or liquidity under GAAP and ,accordingly, should not be considered as alternatives to net income (loss) or cash flow from operating activities as indicators of operati ngperformance or liquidity.

    __________________

    (1) Included in Interest, net

    (2) Included in Other income (expense)

    Three Months EndedSeptember 30,

    Nine Months EndedSeptember 30,

    LTM EndedSeptember 30,

    20102009 2010 2009 2010

    (Dollars in thousands)

    Net income ................................................................................. $ 33,458 $ 8,569 $ 79,500 $ 45,587 $ 68,579Ineffective portion and termination of cash flow hedges ) .... 1,633 1,077 4,764 3,299 3,922Mark to market of interest rate derivative contracts ) ............ 608 444 (556) 990 587Write-off of deferred financing fees........................................ 2,471 2,471 2,471(Gain) loss on sale of aircraft ) .............................................. (162) (162) 1,291 291Loss on sale of debt investments(2) ......................................... 131 131 (5,096)

    Contract termination ..............................................................

    4,000Adjusted net income .................................................................. 35,668 12,561 83,677 53,638 74,754

    Depreciation ............................................................................ 53,130 55,703 156,379 164,272 217,374Amortization of net lease discounts and lease incentives ........ 3,992 4,203 7,919 13,957 17,267

    Adjusted net income plus depreciation and amortization ........... $ 92,790 $ 72,467 $ 247,975 $ 231,867 $ 309,395

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    Supplemental Financial Information

    (In thousands)

    44

    Three Months Ended

    September 30, 2010

    Nine Months Ended

    September 30, 2010

    Shares Percent(2)

    Shares Percent(2)Weighted average shares

    Common shares outstandingBasic 78,537 98.68 % 78,470 98.57 %Unvested restricted common shares 1,048 1.32 % 1,137 1.43 %Total weighted average shares outstanding 79,585 100.00 % 79,607 100.00 %

    Common shares outstandingBasic 78,537 100.00 % 78,470 100.00 %Effect of dilutive shares(1) Common shares outstanding - Diluted 78,537 100.00 % 78,470 100.00 %

    Net income allocation

    Net income $8,569 100.00 % $ 45,587 100.00 %

    Distributed and undistributed earningsallocated to unvested restricted shares (113) (1.32)% (651) (1.43)%

    Earnings available to common shares $8,456 98.68 % $ 44,936 98.57 %

    Adjusted net income allocationAdjusted net income $12,561 100.00 % $ 53,638 100.00 %Amounts allocated to unvested restricted

    shares (165) (1.32)% (766) (1.43)%

    Amounts allocated to common shares $12,396 98.68 % $ 52,872 98.57 %

    Adjusted net income plus depreciation andamortization allocationAdjusted net income plus depreciation and

    amortization $72,467 100.00 % $231,867 100.00 %Amounts allocated to unvested restricted

    shares (954) (1.32)% (3,312) (1.43)%

    Amounts allocated to common shares $71,513 98.68 % $228,555 98.57 %

    (1)The Company had no dilutive common share equivalents for the periods presented.(2)

    Percentages rounded to two decimal places.

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    Supplemental Financial Information

    (In thousands)

    45

    (1)

    The Company had no dilutive common share equivalents for the periods presented.

    (2) Percentages rounded to two decimal places

    Three Months Ended

    September 30, 2009

    Nine Months Ended

    September 30, 2009

    Shares Percent(2) Shares Percent(2)Weighted average shares

    Common shares outstandingBasic 78,013 98.30 % 77,977 98.35 %Unvested restricted common shares 1,353 1.70 % 1,309 1.65 %

    Total weighted average shares outstanding 79,366 100.00 % 79,286 100.00 %

    Common shares outstandingBasic 78,013 100.00 % 77,977 100.00 %Effect of dilutive shares(1)

    Common shares outstanding - Diluted 78,013 100.00 % 77,977 100.00 %

    Net income allocation

    Net income $33,458 100.00 % $ 79,500 100.00 %Distributed and undistributed earnings

    allocated to unvested restricted shares (570) (1.70)% (1,313) (1.65)%Earnings available to common shares $32,888 98.30 % $ 79,187 98.35 %

    Adjusted net income allocationAdjusted net income $35,668 100.00 % $ 83,677 100.00 %Amounts allocated to unvested restricted

    shares (608) (1.70)% (1,382) (1.65)%

    Amounts allocated to common shares $35,060 98.30 % $ 82,295 98.35 %

    Adjusted net income plus depreciation and

    amortization allocationAdjusted net income plus depreciation andamortization $92,790 100.00 % $247,975 100.00 %

    Amounts allocated to unvested restrictedshares (1,582) (1.70)% (4,095) (1.65)%

    Amounts allocated to common shares $91,208 98.30 % $243,880 98.35 %

    l bl

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    Contractual Obligations

    46

    See footnotes on next page.

    Payments Due By Period as of November 30, 2010

    Total

    Less than

    1 Year 1-3 years 3-5 years

    More than

    5 Years

    Principal payments:

    2010-1 Notes(1)

    300,000$ -$ -$ -$ 300,000$

    Securitization No. 1(2)

    416,891 43,426 126,119 140,511 106,834

    Securitization No. 2(3)

    1,005,945 96,477 250,227 304,209 355,032

    Term Financing No. 1(4)

    647,176 52,105 112,621 482,449 -

    ECA term Financings(5)

    268,895 19,643 41,402 44,422 163,428

    A330 PDP Facil ity (6) 88,488 88,488 - - -Total principal payments 2,727,393 300,138 530,370 971,591 925,294

    Interest payments:

    Interest payments on debt obl igations(7)

    510,486 73,062 162,438 145,563 129,423

    Interest payments on interest rate derivatives (8) 203,283 84,882 84,302 31,397 2,702

    Total interest payments 713,769 157,944 246,740 176,960 132,125

    Office Leases (9) 2,925 1,107 1,363 352 103

    Purchase obl igtions (10) 499,550 387,018 112,532 - -

    Total 3,943,637$ 846,208$ 891,004$ 1,148,903$ 1,057,522$

    (Dollars in thousands)

    C l Obli i

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    Contractual Obligations - Footnotes

    (7) Future interest payments on variable rate, LIBOR-based debt obligations are estimated using the interest rate in effect at

    November 30, 2010.

    (8) Future interest payments on derivative financial instruments are estimated using the spread between the floating interest

    rates and the fixed interest rates in effect at November 30, 2010.

    (9) Represents contractual payment obligations for our office leases in Stamford, Connecticut; Dublin, Ireland and Singapore.

    (10) At November 30, 2010, we had aircraft purchase agreements including the acquisition of eight New A330 Aircraft from

    Airbus.

    (1) Includes scheduled balloon payment on August 1, 2018.

    (2) For this non-recourse financing, includes principal payments based on amortization schedules so that the loan to assumed

    aircraft values are held constant through the June 2011 payment date; thereafter, estimated principal payments for this

    financing are based on excess cash flows available from forecasted lease rentals, net maintenance funding and proceeds from

    asset disposition after the payment of forecasted operating expenses and interest payments, including interest payments on

    existing swap agreements and policy provider fees.

    (3) For this non-recourse financing, includes principal payments based on amortization schedules so that the loan to assumed

    aircraft values are held constant through the June 2012 payment date; thereafter, estimated principal payments for this

    financing are based on excess cash flows available from forecasted lease rentals, net maintenance funding and proceeds from

    asset disposition after the payment of forecasted operating expenses and interest payments, including interest payments on

    existing swap agreements and policy provider fees.

    (4) For this non-recourse financing, includes scheduled principal payments through May 2013; thereafter estimated principalpayments for this financing are based on excess cash flows available from forecasted lease rentals, proceeds from asset

    disposition after the payment of forecasted operating expenses and interest payments, including interest payments on ex isting

    swap agreements until maturity in May 2015.

    (5) Includes scheduled principal payments based upon fixed rate, 12 year, fully amortizing loans.

    (6) Includes principal payments based upon the scheduled delivery of aircraft. The final maturity date is the earlier of the

    delivery date or nine months after the scheduled delivery date.