aite-alt execution sep2006
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Sang Lee
10 High Street
Suite 905
Boston, MA 02110
Tel: 617.338.6050
Fax: 617.338.6078
IMPACT NOTE
Actionable, strategic advice on IT, business, and regulatory issues in the financial services industrywww.aitegroup.com
T H E U . S . E Q U I T I E S M A R K E T
I N T R A N S I T I O N :A L T E R N A T I V E E X E C U T I O N V E N U E S
I N T R O D U C T I O N
Competition and fragmentation are two words that can be used to aptly describe
the current state of affairs in the U.S. exchange market. While the two largest
pools of liquidity continue to seek global dominance, the domestic U.S. equities
market remains largely fragmented, at least on the surface. However, it would be a
mistake to equate increasing competition with market fragmentation. When
examined closely, the U.S. equities market is still dominated by the New York Stock
Exchange (NYSE) and NASDAQ. According to an Aite Group analysis, as of Q2
2006, the NYSE Group and NASDAQ collectively account for 78% of the entire U.S.
equities market (see Figure 1 on page 1). By Aite Groups estimation, there are
over 20 other execution venues that are battling for the remaining 22% of the U.S.
equities market share.
FIGURE 1: U.S. EQUITIES MARKET SHARE -- Q2 2006
Exchanges, ECNs, ATSs, Brokers, Aite Group estimates
U.S. Equit ies Mark et Share
NYSE Group
47%
NASDAQ
31%
ATSs
4%
Broker
Internalization
13%
Regional
Exchanges
2%
ECNs
3%
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This Impact Note examines the key alternative execution venues in the U.S.
equities market and will analyze their future prospects over the next few years.
M A R K E T S T R U C T U R E E V O L U T I O N
The U.S. equities market structure has undergone major changes over the last
decade. In the aftermath of the Order Handling Rules (OHR) of 1997, competition
increased substantially and lead to the creation of various independent execution
venues including ECNs and private ATSs. Market fragmentation appeared to be the
norm, at least in NASDAQ, as various viable execution venues emerged to
seriously threaten NASDAQ for execution revenues.
However, by 2002, a wave of consolidation began that was triggered by the merger
between Archipelago and REDIBook (owned, at that time, by Goldman Sachs). The
most significant ECN merger occurred when Instinet acquired Island (forming
INET), its chief competitor in the ECN market. NASDAQ went on a spending spree
soon after that and was determined to recapture its lost market share by acquiring
FIGURE 2: TIMELINEOF U.S. EQUITIES EXECUTION VENUES
Source: ECNs, Aite Group
Order HandlingRules (OHR)approved. Launch ofIsland, Archipelago,and REDIBook
Instinet/Islandmerger
1997
Launch ofNASDAQSuperMontage
Launch of Instinet
1969 2005 20061998
Feb 1998: Launch of AttainNov 1998: Launch of NexTradeand Strike TechnologiesLate 1998: Launch ofBloomberg TradeBook
1999 20032001 20022000 2004
BRUT/Strike mergerArchipelago and PacificStock Exchange to launchelectronic stock exchange
NYSE launchesDirect+
Launch of TrackECNArchipelago/REDIBook
merger
Launch of BATSECN
Knight acquiresAttain andrenames it DirectEdge ECN
Citigroup acquires
OnTrade ECNfrom NexTrade
1987: Launch ofITG POSIT
Launch of Liquidnet
Launch of Pipeline
NASDAQacquisition ofBRUT
NYSE acquisition ofArcaEx and NASDAQacquisition of INET
Order HandlingRules (OHR)approved. Launch ofIsland, Archipelago,and REDIBook
Instinet/Islandmerger
1997
Launch ofNASDAQSuperMontage
Launch of Instinet
1969 2005 20061998
Feb 1998: Launch of AttainNov 1998: Launch of NexTradeand Strike TechnologiesLate 1998: Launch ofBloomberg TradeBook
1999 20032001 20022000 2004
BRUT/Strike mergerArchipelago and PacificStock Exchange to launchelectronic stock exchange
NYSE launchesDirect+
Launch of TrackECNArchipelago/REDIBook
merger
Launch of BATSECN
Knight acquiresAttain andrenames it DirectEdge ECN
Citigroup acquires
OnTrade ECNfrom NexTrade
1987: Launch ofITG POSIT
Launch of Liquidnet
Launch of Pipeline
NASDAQacquisition ofBRUT
NYSE acquisition ofArcaEx and NASDAQacquisition of INET
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BRUT. This consolidation trend hit its peak when the NYSE acquired ArcaEx and
when NASDAQ teamed up with INET, thereby creating a de facto duopoly in the
U.S. equities market. The conception and passage of Regulation NMS has also
played a key role in recent market developments as new and incumbent execution
venues look for opportunities in the post-Reg NMS market structure.
The end result of all these M&A activities was that in a short span of time, all of the
large ECNs had disappeared and had left the ECN market littered with smaller
players. Perhaps more importantly, the NYSE and NASDAQ forcefully moved back
to the top of the execution market (see Figure 3 on page 3).
Going against this industry trend of consolidation has been the acceleration of
market fragmentation, at least on the surface. Since 2002, a number of ATSs, led
by Liquidnet, have emerged to meet the growing need for block trading in the
marketplace. Fearful of total dominance by the NYSE and NASDAQ, large dealers
and a number of buy-side firms have formed partnerships to either support
existing regional exchanges or to create new execution venues. Large bulge
FIGURE 3: MARK ET CONSOLIDATION
Source: ECNs, NASDAQ, NYSE Group, Aite Group
1997
Instinet
Order Handling Rulesof 1997 Implemented
Acquired by Knight and renamed Direct Edge ECN
20061998 2000 2002 2004
Island
Archipelago
REDIBook
BRUT
Strike
Bloomberg TradeBook
Attain
NexTrade
Track ECN
BATS
Acquired by Citigroup
Merger with BRUTAcquired by NASDAQ
Merger with Instinet,renamed INET
Acquired byNASDAQ
Merger withArchipelago Acquired by NYSE
NYSENYSE
NASDAQNASDAQ
1997
Instinet
Order Handling Rulesof 1997 Implemented
Acquired by Knight and renamed Direct Edge ECN
20061998 2000 2002 2004
Island
Archipelago
REDIBook
BRUT
Strike
Bloomberg TradeBook
Attain
NexTrade
Track ECN
BATS
Acquired by Citigroup
Merger with BRUTAcquired by NASDAQ
Merger with Instinet,renamed INET
Acquired byNASDAQ
Merger withArchipelago Acquired by NYSE
NYSENYSE
NASDAQNASDAQ
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bracket firms have also jumped into the fray by either launching or developing
internal crossing engines designed to take advantage of the massive order flow
going through their trading desks.
E L E C T R O N I C C O M M U N I C A T I O N N E T W O R K S ( E C N S )
Over the past nine very competitive years, ECNs have played a key role in
fundamentally changing the competitive landscape in the U.S. equities market,
especially in trading NASDAQ stocks. With the acquisition of all of the major ECNs
by leading exchanges, however, it is highly questionable how some of the
remaining ECNs will actually perform in the post-Reg NMS market structure.
The only ECNs with formidable liquidity are Bloomberg TradeBook (which has
expanded its focus into other asset classes, including futures and FX) and DirectEdge ECN (see Figure 4 on page 5). Despite the odds, a new ECN called the Better
Alternative Trading System (BATS) launched on January 2006. Overall, ECNs
currently account for 6% of the entire U.S. equities market (see Figure 5 on
page 5).
TABLE A: ECNS LEFT STANDING
ECN Launch Date OwnershipAverage Daily Trade
Volume
Bloomberg TradeBook Late 1998 Bloomberg 150 million
Direct Edge (formerly
At tain)*
February 1998 Knight Trading 70 million
OnTrade November 1999 Citigroup 1.5 million
BATS J anuary 2006 Tradebot Systems, etc. 7.9 million
Track ECN April 2002 Track Data Corporation 11.9 million
Source: ECNs, Aite Group estimates
*Includes both matching and routing
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FIGURE 4: ECN MARK ET SHARE ANALYSIS
Source: ECNs
FIGURE 5: ECNS MARK ET SHAREINTHE U.S. EQUITIES MARK ET
Source: ECNs, NYSE, NASDAQ, Aite Group estimates
ECN Mark et Share
OnTrade
1%
Direct Edge
29%
Bloomberg
TradeBook
62%
Track ECN
5%
BATS
3%
% of ECN Mark et Share in U.S. Equi ties Mark et Q2 2006
ECNs
6%
U.S. EquitiesMarket
96%
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BATS TRADING
Launched in January 2006 and headquartered in Kansas City, MO, BATS is the
newest entrant in the ECN market. BATS is a spin-off from Tradebot Systems, one
of the leading automated liquidity providers in the U.S. equities market. BATS'
other investors include GETCO and Wedbush. BATS currently has about 20employees.
In the second quarter of 2006, BATS was the first ECN to make the switch from
Nasdaq SuperMontage to NSX. This initially caused their volumes to drop, but this
switch positions BATS well, relative to other ECNs, when SuperMontage becomes
unavailable this fall.
BATS' volume has been steadily climbing since they completed the migration to
NSX and changed pricing on July 1, 2006. BATS volume reached a peak of 43
million shares on August 28, 2006 (see Figure 6 on page 6).
BATS currently has about 60 subscribers, a number which has been growingbetween 5 and 10 per month. While BATS is only open to the sell-side, buy-side
firms can have access to BATS via sponsorship from their brokers. BATS has been
averaging about 500 shares in executed trade size. Some of the key data on BATS
include the following:
FIGURE 6: AVERAGE DAILY TRADE VOLUME PROGRESSOF BATS
Source: BATS
BATS Aver age Daily Trade Volu m e
0
5,000,000
10,000,000
15,000,000
20,000,000
25,000,000
30,000,000
35,000,000
1/27/2006
2/10/2006
2/24/2006
3/10/2006
3/24/2006
4/7/2006
4/21/2006
5/5/2006
5/19/2006
6/2/2006
6/16/2006
6/30/2006
7/14/2006
7/28/2006
8/11/2006
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Although entering a hyper competitive marketplace, BATS has managed to gain a
respectable market share in a short period of time. The liquidity provided by
Tradebot, Getco, and other quantitative liquidity providers has no doubt given
BATS an advantage among the newer market centers. BATS' competitive pricing
schedule has also played a key role in its market acceptance to date. In order to
increase its market presence, however, BATS will have to demonstrate that it canattract more liquidity removers.
D IRECT EDGE ECN
Launched in 1998 and formerly known as Attain (founded by All-Tech Investment
Group), Direct Edge ECN has been re-energized thanks to the acquisition by Knight
Capital Group in Q2 2005. Re-branded as Direct Edge ECN, it has experienced
significant volume growth in recent quarters and averages 70 million shares a day
as of August 2006 (see Figure 8 on page 8). More than half of that volume is being
matched internally within Direct Edge (see Figure 9 on page 9). This places Direct
Edge right behind Bloomberg Tradebook in terms of overall market share in the
ECN market. Headquartered in Jersey City, NJ, there are currently 15 employees
fully dedicated to Direct Edge ECN with 15 more resources available from the
Knight infrastructure group.
FIGURE 8: AVERAGE DAILY SHARE VOLUMEOF DIRECT EDGE ECN
Source: Direct Edge ECN
Dire ct Edge A ver age Daily Trade Volum e
0
10,000,000
20,000,000
30,000,000
40,000,000
50,000,000
60,000,000
70,000,000
80,000,000
90,000,000
3/1/2006
3/15/2006
3/29/2006
4/12/2006
4/26/2006
5/10/2006
5/24/2006
6/7/2006
6/21/2006
7/5/2006
7/19/2006
8/2/2006
Number of Shares
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Currently, Direct Edge displays its orders on both the Alternative Display Facility
(ADF) and SuperMontage under the market participant identifiers (MPIDs) EDGA
for ADF and EDGX for SuperMontage. However, as NASDAQ migrates over to the
INET platform, EDGX will also be migrating over to ADF. Key Direct Edge
information includes the following:
Looking to provide enhanced liquidity with high levels of fill
rate at competitive pricing;
Open to broker-dealers;
Ability to trade NASDAQ National Market and Small Cap
stocks;
Submission of orders through Direct Edge Portal which
integrates client OMS with Direct Edge ECN;
Direct Edge View enabling depth-of-book look into Direct
Edge ECN;
Three display options: fully display, reserve, and hidden; and
Competitive pricing schedule: charging US$.003 per share for
liquidity takers and offering rebate of US$.0022 per share for
liquidity providers.
FIGURE 9: BREAKDOWNOF DIRECT EDGE ECN VOLUME
Source: Direct Edge ECN
Details Behind Dir ect Edge ECN Trade V olum e
Internal Match
55%
Routed Out
45%
Aver age Daily Tr ade Vo lum e = 70 m il lion s har es
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Prior to the acquisition by Knight Capital Group, Direct Edge ECN (at that time
known as Attain) was one of the smallest ECNs in the marketplace. With the
backing of Knight, however, Direct Edge has jumped into the leadership position
and is continuously growing its market share. Future projects include moving into
the listed market, introducing sophisticated order types to tap into dark pools of
liquidity, and potentially providing algorithms to better access the ECN.
B L OC K TRA DI NG NE TW OR K S
Unlike the ECNs which seem to be disappearing from the competitive landscape,
the popularity of ATSs appears to be only increasing, especially for those platforms
serving the block trading market.
ITG POSIT
Founded in 1987 as a subsidiary of Jefferies & Co. and headquartered in New York,
Investment Technology Group (ITG) is a technology-driven agency broker that was
initially made famous for POSIT (its equities private crossing network) and
QuantEX (the industry's first trading platform to support quantitative trading,
which launched in 1991). As the clear pioneer in the marketplace, ITG gained a
strong following from the buy-side quant traders during the 1990s.
ITG has nurtured an entire generation of technologists and quantitative analysts
who are leading Wall Street's push towards the adoption of advanced trading
services. ITG currently has 1,015 employees worldwide with operations in theUnited States, Canada, Europe, Australia, Hong Kong, and Japan.
ITG's strength has always been its reliance on technology to attract and manage
clients. ITG's recent flurry of acquisitions and growth followed years of uncertainty
and doubt during the early 2000s. Rumors were rampant of their imminent
acquisition by larger brokers as their market share continued to decline in both
TAB LE B: BLOCK TRADING PLATFORMS
Platform Launch Date Ownership Average Trade Size
ITG POSIT 1987 ITG 23,000
Liquidnet 2001 Privately owned with private
equity funding from TH Lee
Putnam Ventures, Summit
Partners, and Technology
Crossover Ventures.
48,000
Pipeline 2004 Pipeline 42,000
NYFIX Millennium 2001 NYFIX 600
Source: Firms, Aite Group estimates
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their trading front-ends and POSIT. The emergence of new, more nimble and
lower-cost providers appeared to spell their eventual doom.
However, the re-birth of ITG occurred quite swiftly. With the introduction of Triton,
ITG aggressively moved to replace QuantEX, its popular but outdated trading
platform. ITG also went on an acquisition spree by purchasing Macgregor, a leadingbuy-side OMS provider, as well as Plexus, a leading TCA service provider. Through
internal development and acquisitions over the last couple of years, ITG has
created a suite of products and services that are capable of supporting the entire
trade life-cycle -- from pre-trade and trade to post-trade analysis.
For the purpose of this report, only POSIT will be examined. POSIT falls under
ITG's Trade & Execution Services. Launched nearly 20 years ago, POSIT is the
oldest crossing platform in the marketplace. As of Q2 2006, POSIT averaged
approximately 46 million shares a day with an average trade size of 23,000 shares
(see Figure 11 on page 12). POSIT has increased its trade volume significantly
over the last few quarters after a brief decline that began in late 2003. Currently,ITG has three flavors of POSIT:
FIGURE 10: BREAKDOWNOF ITG PRODUCTSAND SERVICES
Source: ITG
Pre-Trade
Anal ytics
Trade &
Execution
Post-Trade
Anal ysi s
ITG Logic
ITG/Opt
ITG eXtra
POSIT
Triton
Radical
Macgregor XIP
ITG Algorithms
ITG Trading
Services
TCA
Fair Value
Model
Plexus
Plexus
ITG Hoenig
Pre-Trade
Anal ytics
Trade &
Execution
Post-Trade
Anal ysi s
ITG Logic
ITG/Opt
ITG eXtra
POSIT
Triton
Radical
Macgregor XIP
ITG Algorithms
ITG Trading
Services
TCA
Fair Value
Model
Plexus
Plexus
ITG Hoenig
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POSIT Match. Launched in 1987, POSIT Match is ITG's
classic scheduled crossing service that provides anonymous,
mid-point matching with zero market impact. POSIT Match is
open to both the sell-side and the buy-side.
POSIT Now. Launched in 2001, POSIT Now is a continuous
crossing service (every 30 seconds) which currently accounts
for the fastest growth rate. POSIT Now is open to both the
sell-side and the buy-side.
Block Alert. Originally launched in Q3 2005 as POSIT Alert,
Block Alert is a Liquidnet-type crossing mechanism where
blotters of OMSs are tied together to seek active crossing
opportunities. Block Alert sits outside of the passive matching
POSIT network and invites users to participate. There is no
negotiation process in Block Alert to ensure that all order
information is anonymous. POSIT Alert was re-branded in the
first quarter of 2006 as Block Alert as part of a joint venture
with Merrill Lynch that paired Merrill Lynch's liquidity with
ITG's crossing technology. Block Alert requires users to
adhere to a minimum trade size based on the average daily
trade volume:
- Large-cap: 25,000 shares;
FIGURE 11: AVERAGE DAILY SHARE VOLUME
Source: ITG, Aite Group estimates
POSIT's Aver age Daily Share Volum e
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
Q402
Q103
Q203
Q303
Q403
Q104
Q204
Q304
Q404
Q105
Q205
Q305
Q405
Q106
Q206
Mns of Shares
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
% of Market
Share
Average Daily Share Volume % of Market Share
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- Mid-cap: 5,000 shares; and
- Small-cap: 1,000 shares.
Users can access POSIT liquidity by utilizing Channel ITG, a trading tool. Once
Channel ITG is integrated with an OMS, it can automatically sweep the OMS blotter
and send out orders to multiple ITG execution venues. Channel ITG is currently
integrated with Macgregor, Eze Castle, and Charles River. Users can also access
POSIT using ITG's two trading front-ends or a direct FIX connection:
Triton. This is ITG's flagship portfolio-trading application
which has replaced QuantEX. Triton provides full list and
order management for portfolio trading with a complete audit
trail.
Radical. This is ITG's Windows-based EMS platform for
single-stock trading. Similar to Triton, Radical is broker-
neutral and has access to all major execution venues as well
as broker algorithms.
POSIT continues to look for additional market opportunities outside of the U.S.
market. Indeed, POSIT has become a global offering with its presence in Europe,
Canada, Australia, and Japan.
L IQUIDNET
Launched in 2001 with 38 buy-side members, Liquidnet is the current market
leader in block trading platforms. Liquidnet came out of nowhere in 2001 to
compete against ITG's POSIT service and ultimately became the largest block
trading network in 2004. Liquidnet is headquartered in New York and currently has
185 employees.
Liquidnet started out as a buy-side-only network with a very simple concept -- to
enable buy-side to buy-side block trading without broker involvement. The key to
Liquidnet's initial success was its ability to link up with all of the major buy-side
OMS vendors. The Liquidnet platform essentially sweeps the trade blotters of its
members, and when there is a natural execution to be made, it alerts both parties,
and only those parties, so they can begin negotiating. Liquidnet's timing could not
have been better than at the time of its launch, as the institutional market was
struggling to find a large size in the public market without causing market impact.
Not surprisingly, Liquidnet's simple concept caught on quickly, and it enabled
Liquidnet to eventually attract an impressive US$250 million investment from
Summit Partners and Technology Crossover Ventures during Q1 2005.
Continuing to build on its success, Liquidnet had 341 members as of Q2 2006; a
majority of these members (85%) are from North America (see Figure 12 on
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page 14). Liquidnet's average daily trade volume has also skyrocketed, averaging
45 million shares per day during Q2 2006 and a high of nearly 76 million shares in
July. Liquidnet's current volume accounts for approximately 36% of the block
trading network market (see Figure 13 on page 14).
FIGURE 12: LIQUIDNETS MEMBERSHIP BREAKDOWN
Source: Liquidnet
FIGURE 13: AVERAGE DAILY SHARE VOLUMEAND GROWING MARKET SHARE
Source: Liquidnet, Aite Group estimates
Liquidnet Members hip
North America
86%
Europe
14%
Total Num ber of Me m ber s = 341 (as of Q2 2006)
Liquinet's Average Daily Share Volum e
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
Q402
Q103
Q203
Q303
Q403
Q104
Q204
Q304
Q404
Q105
Q205
Q305
Q405
Q106
Q206
Mns of Shares
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
% of MarketShare
Average Daily Share Volume % of Market Share
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The bulk of Liquidnet's business is done with the mid-cap and large-cap stocks;
combined, they account for 80% of all shares traded and over 70% in total
execution (see Figure 14 on page 15). Meanwhile, small- and micro-cap names
account for 27% of the firms executions, yet they tend to dominate the block volume in
those names. Approximately one out of every three small- and micro-cap names that
are executed in Liquidnet represent 100% of the block trading volume in that name forthe day. Liquidnet has also done quite well on the NYSE-listed stocks which account for
61% of total shares traded and 57% of total execution (see Figure 15 on page 15).
FIGURE 14: LIQUIDNET STATISTICS BASEDON MARK ET CAP
Source: Liquidnet
FIGURE 15: LIQUIDNET STATISTICS BASEDON EXCHANGE
Source: Liquidnet
Liquidnet Perfor m ance Based on Mark et Cap
32%
48%
17%
3%
21%
52%
23%
4%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
Large Cap Mid Cap Small Cap Micro Cap
% of Shares Traded % of Executions
Liquidnet Perfo rm ance Based on Exchange
61%
38%
57%
42%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
NYSE NASDAQ
% of Shares Traded % of Executions
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In 2002, Liquidnet launched its European initiatives from the UK. Liquidnet has
expanded its European coverage over the last couple of years and currently
includes the UK, France, Germany, Italy, the Netherlands, Switzerland, Belgium,
Denmark, Finland, Norway, Sweden, Portugal, Iceland and Luxembourg. Liquidnet
Europe Limited has quickly grown to be ranked among the largest agency brokers
on the London Stock Exchange (LSE), breaking into the top 10 this summer as theninth largest broker. Figure 16 on page 16 illustrates Liquidnets growing presence
in the European block trading market.
In recent months, Liquidnet has introduced H20, which is designed to position the
large buy-side liquidity of Liquidnet to absorb smaller retail as well as algorithmic
flow coming from various ECNs, exchanges and sell-side streaming liquidity
providers including Bloomberg TradeBook, BNY Brokerage, Instinet, FutureTrade,
Miletus Trading, Piper Jaffray, EdgeTrade, UNX, Goldman Sachs Execution &
Clearing (GSEC), Lehman Brothers and Credit Suisse.
Not content with its initial success in the U.S. equities market, Liquidnet continues
to seek global opportunities. During Q2 2006, Liquidnet opened its Hong Kong and
Tokyo offices with expectations of opening up another office in Australia before the
end of 2006. The goal is to launch its services in the Asian market during the first
half of 2007. Liquidnet also received approval from the Ontario Securities
Commission (OSC) to trade Canadian equities starting in Q4 2006.
FIGURE 16: LIQUIDNETIN EUROPE
Source: Liquidnet
Total Prin cipal Traded
4841,102
1,4921,955
3,158
5,023
8,262
-
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
9,000
H1 2003 H2 2003 H1 2004 H2 2004 H1 2005 2H 2005 1H 2006
Mns of GBP
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NYFIX Millennium, which is a sell-side-only network (providing buy-side access via
sell-side brokers or directly via NYFIX Transaction Services), attracts various types
of orders, including retail flow (over 150 streaming retail providers), institutional
trading desks, directed buy-side flow, conditional orders from agency desks, and
hedge fund flow. NYFIX Millennium is a real-time, anonymous, continuously
matching platform with the potential for price improvement. NYFIX Millennium istechnically not a block trading network, as its average trade size is only 600 shares
(which is still larger than the average trade size in the public market). In order to
bring in a maximum level of liquidity, NYFIX has maintained a broker-neutral,
vendor-neutral, and network-neutral policy. NYFIX has integrated Millennium into
about 40 OMSs.
In late 2005, building on its success of Millennium, NYFIX launched Millennium
Natural, its buy-side-only service (including large hedge funds) that targets block
trading. There are currently 75 buy-side firms involved in Millennium Natural.
There are minimum order size requirements of 25,000 shares for Dow component
stocks, 10,000 shares for S&P component stocks, and 5,000 shares for non-S&Pcomponent stocks to generate a NYFIX Natural IOI to stimulate block order
interactions amongst the buy-side clients.
FIGURE 17: NYFIXS AVERAGE DAILY SHARE VOLUMEAND MARKET SHARE
Source: NYFIX, Aite Group estimates
NYFIX's Aver age Daily Share Volum e
0
5
10
15
20
25
Q402
Q103
Q203
Q303
Q403
Q104
Q204
Q304
Q404
Q105
Q205
Q305
Q405
Q106
Q206
Mns of Shares
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
16%
18%
20%
% of Market
Share
Average Daily Share Volume % of Market Share
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P IPELINE TRADING SYSTEMS
Launched in September 2004, Pipeline Trading Systems is the newest entrant in
the block trading game. However, the origin of Pipeline goes all the way back to
1999, and its management team has a wealth of experience in dealing with
electronic markets. For example, Pipeline (as a subsidiary of e-XchangeAdvantage) was involved in developing the Liquidity Tracker (designed to facilitate
block trading among dealers) which functioned briefly within NASADQ in 2002.
Pipeline also built BlockLink for Instinet, a block trading platform, which never
launched due to Instinets merger with Island. Pipeline is headquartered in New
York and currently has over 50 employees.
The third time has indeed been a charm for the management of Pipeline as despite
existing stiff competition from Liquidnet and POSIT, Pipeline has quickly gained a
large following in the marketplace. Pipeline currently averages over 17.2 million
shares a day and represents over 13% in total market share (as of Q2 2006). As
an isolated number, Pipelines growth over the last few quarters has been
impressive. What is more telling is that when one compares these numbers to
industry leader Liquidnets numbers, Pipeline was able to reach the 10 million
shares-per-day milestone in only six quarters, whereas Liquidnet took 10 quarters
to achieve a similar feat.
FIGURE 18: PIPELINES AVERAGE DAILY SHARE VOLUMEAND MARK ET SHARE
Source: Pipeline, Aite Group estimates
Pipeline's Aver age Daily Share Volum e
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
Q304 Q404 Q105 Q205 Q305 Q405 Q106 Q206
Mns of Shares
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
16%
% of Market
Share
Average Daily Share Volume % of Market Share
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Pipeline supports a completely open community with both buy-side and sell-side
participation. Pipeline currently has 367 participants with a good mixture of both
buy-side and sell-side firms (see Figure 19 on page 20).
Pipelines Block Board is a simple thin-client application that provides a real-time
view into Pipelines liquidity. The key to Pipelines success is the way the system is
designed to discourage gaming behavior. Some of the key features of Pipeline
include the following:
FIGURE 19: PIPELINE COMMUNITY BREAKDOWN
Source: Pipeline
FIGURE 20: SCREENSHOTOF PIPELINES BLOCK BOARD
Source: Pipeline
Pipeline Community Breakdown
Buy-side68%
Sell-side
32%
Total Num ber of Firm s = 367
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FIGURE 21: AVERAGE DAILY TRADE VOLUME
Source: Firms
FIGURE 22: BLOCK TRADING ATS MARK ET SHARE Q1 2006
Source: ITG, Liquidnet, NYFIX, Pipeline, Aite Group estimates
Aver age Daily Tr ade Vo lum e
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
Q402 Q103 Q203 Q303 Q403 Q104 Q204 Q304 Q404 Q105 Q205 Q305 Q405 Q106 Q206
Mns of Shares
Liquidnet POSIT Pipeline NYFIX Millennium TOTAL
Block Tr ading ATS Mark et Share Q2 2006
Liquidnet
36%
POSIT
35%
Pipeline
13%
NYFIX Millennium
16%
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In total, the average daily trade volume from block trading platforms has increased
from 35 million shares per day in 2002 to 130 million shares per day at the end of
Q2 2006. Despite their tremendous growth, block trading platforms account for
only 3% of the entire U.S. equities market (see Figure 23 on page 23). As
evidenced by their enormous growth over the last three years, the lack of
penetration in the market also means that these block trading platforms holdtremendous growth potential, especially as the primary U.S. equities execution
venues continue to face dwindling trade size and the threat of information leakage.
FIGURE 23: REALITY CHECKFOR BLOCK TRADING PLATFORMS
Source: NASDAQ, NYSE, Liquidnet, ITG, Pipeline, NYFIX, Aite Group estimates
Reality Check on Block Trading Platfor m Grow th
41.0 51.7 84.8 130.4
3,083.93,258.0
3,467.7
4,093.0
1%2%
2%
3%
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
4000
4500
2003 2004 2005 Q206
Mns of Shares
0%
1%
1%
2%
2%
3%
3%
4%
% of Overall
Market
Block Trading ATS U.S. Equities Market % of Overall Market
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S I N G L E - B R O K E R C R O S S I N G F A C I L I T I E S
In recent months, even individual brokers have joined the execution venue
competition by launching internal crossing platforms designed to provide
anonymous crossing for their client base. Depending on the firm, crossing could
involve order flow from institutional clients, retail clients, algorithmic clients, aswell as proprietary trading desks. Table C on page 24 provides a sample list of
brokers and their internal crossing platforms.
The concept of internalization is nothing new to these large brokers that have
enough liquidity to provide anonymous crossing services prior to sending the client
order flow to public markets and other execution venues. In fact, brokerinternalization currently accounts for 12% of all executions in the U.S. equities
market (see Figure 24 on page 25). The difference now is that instead of manually
providing internalization or internal crossing, firms are developing platforms to
automate and centralize the process.
From the brokers perspective, internal crossing provides cost savings in terms of
eliminating exchange transaction fees. From the clients perspective, internal
crossing can provide rapid, anonymous executions with minimum market impact.
In order to succeed in driving adoption, however, brokers must be able to beat or
at least meet the NBBO to provide greater chances of price improvement and to
minimize the market impact. Without consistently meeting these two important
requirements, further adoption of these dark pools of liquidity will be tough to
achieve.
TABLE C: SINGLE-BROKER INTERNAL CROSSING PLATFORMS
Broker Launch Date Internal Crossing Platform
Banc of America Securities 2004 Premier Block Trading
Citigroup 2005 Advanced Crossing Engine
CSFB 2004 CrossFinder
Goldman Sachs 2005 SIGMA X
Instinet 1998 Intraday & End-of-day Crossing, CBX Institutional
ECN
Knight Capital Group 2006 Knight Match
Morgan Stanley 2005 MS Pool
UBS 2005 PIN
Source: Firms, Aite Group estimates
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P R O J E C T E D P O S I T I O N S
ECNS
With the disappearance of INET as a result of its acquisition by NASDAQ, it has
now become official: ECNs are dead as an innovative business model. Their market
relevance no longer exists in the NASDAQ market. In fact, in order for the smaller
ECNs to survive, they will have to look for a buyer. Attain took the first plunge in
this regard by being acquired by Knight Securities, followed by NexTrade with
Citigroup. BATS, one of the newest entrants, has brought some life back into the
overall ECN market. However, with all of the major ECNs disappearing due to M&A
activities, ECNs, as an industry, will have a minimum impact on the overall
evolution of the equities market.
ATS
Those ATSs in the block trading business should benefit even more from Reg NMS.
Extending the Order Protection Rule to block trading has, in essence, made the
institutional trading environment even more hostile toward large block orders.
Private block trading platforms, such as Liquidnet, ITG, and Pipeline, will continue
to be viable execution destinations for those buy-side firms looking for anonymity,
speed, and liquidity. These ATSs will remain niche players but will continue to build
market share over the next few years. Competition is getting tougher, however. It
has been driven by exchanges launching crossing services as well as large sell-side
firms building internal crossing engines in the hope of recapturing some of the
order flow they have lost to these block trading facilities.
SEL L -SIDE
Not surprisingly, large sell-side firms have been quite active in seeking
opportunities in this ever-changing competitive landscape:
Investments in existing exchanges. Bulge bracket firms
have poured millions of dollars into various regional
exchanges in recent months. Whether or not order flow will
follow these investments is not clear at this point.
Purchase of ECNs. Some of the large brokers have opted tobuy existing ECNs, such as Knight Securities and Citigroup.
This could certainly help these brokers to secure transaction
revenue, but it could also improve brokers potential to
capture additional revenue through market data distribution.
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R E L A T E D A I T E G R O U P R E P O R T S
U.S. Equities Market in Transition: Evaluating Leading Exchanges, September
2006.
U.S. Equities Market in Transition: Looking for Liquidity in All the Wrong Places?
August 2006.
IT Spending in U.S. Securities & Investments in 2006: The March Towards
Automation and Regulatory Compliance, April 2006.
Soft Dollars & Bundling: Here to Fight Another Day, April 2006.
Compliance in 2006: Blazing Flashes in an Obvious Market, February 2006.
Top 10 Securities & Investments Trends in 2006, December 2005.
Shaking Up Prime Brokerage: Unbundling Securities Lending, Financing, and
Derivatives Transactions, October 2005.
Future of Electronic Connectivity: In the Aftermath of Regulation NMS, July 2005.
Regulation NMS: Will the Real Winner Please Stand Up?April 2005.
Algorithmic Trading: Hype or Reality?, March 2005.
IT Spending in U.S. Securities & Investments in 2005: A New Beginning, January2005.