alan robock department of environmental sciences

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Alan Robock Department of Environmental Sciences Rutgers University, New Brunswick, New Jersey USA [email protected]. edu http://envsci.rutgers.edu/~ robock Climate Dynamics 11:670:461 Lecture 6, 9/22/14

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Lecture 6, 9/22/14. Climate Dynamics 11:670:461. Alan Robock Department of Environmental Sciences Rutgers University, New Brunswick, New Jersey USA. [email protected]. http://envsci.rutgers.edu/~ robock. Global warming seen in multiple data sets Fig. TS.1. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: Alan Robock Department of Environmental Sciences

Alan RobockDepartment of Environmental Sciences

Rutgers University, New Brunswick, New Jersey USA

[email protected]

http://envsci.rutgers.edu/~robock

Climate Dynamics11:670:461

Lecture 6, 9/22/14

Page 2: Alan Robock Department of Environmental Sciences

Alan RobockDepartment of Environmental

Sciences

Global warming seen

in multiple data sets

Fig. TS.1

Page 3: Alan Robock Department of Environmental Sciences

Alan RobockDepartment of Environmental

Sciences

Page 4: Alan Robock Department of Environmental Sciences

Alan RobockDepartment of Environmental

Sciences

Page 5: Alan Robock Department of Environmental Sciences

Alan RobockDepartment of Environmental

Sciences

Page 6: Alan Robock Department of Environmental Sciences

Alan RobockDepartment of Environmental

Sciences

Glaciers, Antarctica, and

Greenland are all melting and

contributing to sea level rise.

SLE = sea level equivalent

IPCC AR5 WGIFig. TS.3

Page 7: Alan Robock Department of Environmental Sciences

Alan RobockDepartment of Environmental

Sciences

Mann et al.

(1999)

Page 8: Alan Robock Department of Environmental Sciences

Alan RobockDepartment of Environmental

Sciences

Figure 19: Northern Hemisphere reconstructed temperature change since 200 AD

Page 9: Alan Robock Department of Environmental Sciences

Alan RobockDepartment of Environmental

SciencesFrom IPCC AR4 Technical Summary

Page 10: Alan Robock Department of Environmental Sciences

Alan RobockDepartment of Environmental

SciencesFig. 4.1

Page 11: Alan Robock Department of Environmental Sciences

Alan RobockDepartment of Environmental

SciencesFig. 4.2

Page 12: Alan Robock Department of Environmental Sciences

Alan RobockDepartment of Environmental

SciencesFig. 4.3

Page 13: Alan Robock Department of Environmental Sciences

Alan RobockDepartment of Environmental

SciencesFig. 4.4

Page 14: Alan Robock Department of Environmental Sciences

Alan RobockDepartment of Environmental

SciencesFig. 4.5

Page 15: Alan Robock Department of Environmental Sciences

Alan RobockDepartment of Environmental

SciencesFig. 4.6

Page 16: Alan Robock Department of Environmental Sciences

Alan RobockDepartment of Environmental

Sciences

A = p r2

r

A = 4p r2

Greenhouse Effect

Ts

Emission = sTe

4

S0 = 1368 W m-

2

a

a = planetary albedo (0.30)

Sun

Earth

Page 17: Alan Robock Department of Environmental Sciences

Alan RobockDepartment of Environmental

Sciences

Global Energy Balance

Incoming Energy = Outgoing Energy

pr2 S0 (1-a) = 4pr2 sTe4

r = radius of Earth S0 = solar constant (1368 W/m2)a = planetary albedo (0.30)s = Stefan-Boltzmann constant

(5.67 x 108 W m-2 K-4)Te = effective temperature of the EarthTs = observed global average surface temperature

Greenhouse Effect

Ts = 288 KTe = 255 K

33 K (33C° = 59F°)

Greenhouse

Effect

K 255 14S

T 4 0e α

σ

Page 18: Alan Robock Department of Environmental Sciences

Alan RobockDepartment of Environmental

Sciences

S0 = “solar constant” = 1368 W/m2

a = planetary albedo = 0.30Te = effective temperature

Ts = surface temperature

)(14S0

Greenhouse gases

Greenhouse Effect

sTs4

sTe4

Ts = 288K = 15°C (Observed)

Sensible and latent heat

sTe4

Ts = Te = 255K = -18°C

)(14S0

esTe4

Greenhouse Effect

Page 19: Alan Robock Department of Environmental Sciences

Alan RobockDepartment of Environmental

Sciences

Page 20: Alan Robock Department of Environmental Sciences

Alan RobockDepartment of Environmental

Sciences

Page 21: Alan Robock Department of Environmental Sciences

Alan RobockDepartment of Environmental

Sciences

Robock (1983)

SMEOSIRIS

SAGE II, III