alaska education data profile - may 2011

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    HOW WELL IS ALASKA

    PREPARING ALLSTUDENTS FOR COLLEGE,

    CAREERS AND LIFE

    May 2011

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    A high school diploma is no longer enough; now, nearly every good

    job requires some education beyond high school such as an

    associates or bachelors degree, certificate, license, or completion

    of an apprenticeship or significant on-the-job training.

    Far too many students drop out or graduate from high school

    without the knowledge and skills required for success, closing doors

    and limiting their post-high school options and opportunities.

    The best way to prepare students for life after high school is to alignK-12 and postsecondary expectations. All students deserve a world-

    class education that prepares them for college, careers and life.

    Why College- and Career-Ready

    Expectations for All?

    2

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    A HIGH SCHOOL DIPLOMA IS NOLONGER ENOUGH FOR SUCCESS

    The changing economy is accelerating theexpectations gap, as careers increasingly requiresome education/training beyond high school,and more developed knowledge and skills.

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    4Source: Carnevale, Anthony P. et al. (June 2010). Help Wanted: Projections of Jobs andEducationRequirements Through 2018. Georgetown Center on Education and the Workforce.ww9.georgetown.edu/grad/gppi/hpi/cew/pdfs/FullReport.pdf

    Jobs in Todays (and Tomorrows) Workforce

    Require More Education and Training

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    The Rise of Middle-Skill Jobs

    5Source: Holzer, Harry J. and Robert I. Lerman (February 2009). The Future of Middle-SkillJobs.Brookings Institution.

    High-skill jobs

    Occupations in the professional/technical and managerial categories.

    Often require four-year degrees and above

    Middle-skill jobs

    Occupations that include clerical, sales, construction, installation/repair,

    production, and transportation/material moving.

    Low-skill jobs

    Occupations in the service and agricultural categories.

    Often require some education and training beyond high school (but

    typically less than a bachelors degree), including associates

    degrees, vocational certificates, significant on-the-job training.

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    Education and Training Beyond High School

    Is Increasingly Being Demanded

    7Source:Bureau of Labor Statistics. OccupationalOutlookHandbook, 2010-11 Edition.

    http://www.bls.gov/oco/oco2003.htm

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    The Jobs of Tomorrow

    8Source: Milano, Jessica,B

    ruce Reed & Paul Weinstein Jr. (Sept 2009).A

    Matter of Degrees:Tomorrows Fastest GrowingJobs andWhy Community College Graduates WillGet Them. TheNew Democratic Leadership Council.

    Alaska should be preparing students for the jobs of

    tomorrow, not the jobs of yesterday or even today.

    A quarter of American workers are now in jobs not even listed in the

    Census Bureaus occupation codes in 1967.

    Given the growth of new job sectors most notably green jobs it is

    common sense to provide all students with a strong foundation that

    keeps all doors open and all opportunities available in the future.

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    The Public Agrees That Education or

    Training Beyond High School

    is Necessary for Future Success

    9

    To really get ahead in life, a

    person needs at least some

    education beyond high

    school, whether that means

    university, community

    college, technical orvocational school.

    To really get ahead in

    life, a person needs more

    than just a high school

    education.

    87

    8

    Source: Achieve, Inc. (2010). Achievingthe Possible: WhatAmericans Think the College andCareer-ReadyAgenda. http://www.achieve.org/files/AchievingThePossible-FinalReport.pdf

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    Americas International Edge is Slipping in

    Postsecondary Degree Attainment

    10Source: OECD. Education at a Glance 2010. (All rates are self-reported.) http://www.oecd-ilibrary.org/education/education-at-a-glance-2010_eag-2010-en; National Center for Higher EducationManagement Systems, analysis of 2009 American Community Survey. http://www.higheredinfo.org

    0 10 20 30 40 50 60% Young Adults (25-34) with College Degree % Adults (25-64) with College Degree

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    % of Citizens with Postsecondary Degrees Among OECD Countries, by Age Group (2 )

    - 4 4 - 4 3 -44 2 -34 ALL (2 - 4)

    1 U.S. (40%) Canada (44%) Canada (54%) Korea (58%) Canada (49%)

    2 Canada (40%) Japan (43%) Japan (48%) Canada (56%) Japan (43%)

    3 N.Z. (34%) U.S. (40%) Finland (44%) Japan (55%) U.S. (41%)

    4 Finland (29%) N.Z. (38%) U.S. (43%) N.Z. (48%) N.Z. (40%)

    Australia (28%) Finland (37%) Korea (43%) Norway (46%) Finland (37%)

    Norway (28%) Australia (33%) N.Z. (40%) Ireland (45%) Korea (37%)

    7 Switz. (27%) Denmark (32%) Norway (38%) Denmark (43%) Norway (36%)

    8 U.K. (27%) Norway (32%) Australia (38%) Belgium (42%) Australia (36%)

    Sweden (26%) Switz. (31%) Denmark (37%) Australia (42%) Denmark (34%)

    1 Neth. (26%) Neth. (31%) Ireland (37%) U.S. (42%) Ireland (34%)

    11 Denmark (26%) Iceland (30%) Switz. (36%) Sweden (41%) Switz. (34%)

    12 Japan (26%) U.K. (30%) Iceland (36%) France (41%) U.K. (33%)

    13 Germany (24%) Belgium (29%) Belgium (35%) Neth. (40%) Belgium (32%)

    14 Iceland (24%) Sweden (28%) U.K. (33%) Spain (39%) Neth. (32%)

    1 Belgium (22%) Ireland (27%) Sweden (33%) Luxembourg (39%) Sweden (32%)

    4 - 4: Alaska (38%) AK (34%) AK (3 %) AK (3 %)

    Americas International Edge is Slipping in

    Postsecondary Degree Attainment

    11Source: OECD. Education at a Glance 2010. http://www.oecd-ilibrary.org/education/education-at-a-glance-2010_eag-2010-en ; National Center for Higher Education Management Systems analysis of 2009 AmericanCommunity Survey. http://www.higheredinfo.org

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    FAR TOO MANY STUDENTS DROP

    OUT OR GRADUATE FROM HIGH

    SCHOOL UNPREPARED FOR REALWORLD CHALLENGES

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    Of Every 100 9th Graders in Alaska

    13Source: National Center for Higher Education Management Systems (2008). Student Pipeline- Transition andCompletion Ratesfrom 9th Grade to College. http://www.higheredinfo.org

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    70

    80

    90

    100

    9th Graders Grad ateigh hoolin 4 ears

    Enroll inCollege In the

    Fall

    till Enrolledophomore

    ear ofCollege

    Earn aCollegeDegree

    1

    66

    3

    21

    7

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    Achievement Remains Low: 8th Grade

    Achievement Over Time

    14Source: National Assessment of Educational Progress. Analysis of data downloaded fromhttp://nces.ed.gov/nationsreportcard/naepdata/

    8th Grade Math 1 2 2

    Alaska n/a 33%

    U.S. 21% 34%

    8th Grade Reading 1 8 2

    Alaska n/a 27%

    U.S. 33% 32%

    8th Grade Science 1 2

    Alaska 31% n/a

    U.S. 29% 30%

    %At or Above Proficient on 8th Grade NAEP

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    And Gaps Persist: Alaskas 8th Grade

    Achievement Gap

    15Source: National Assessment of Educational Progress. Analysis of data downloaded fromhttp://nces.ed.gov/nationsreportcard/naepdata/

    Subgroup8th Grade Math

    (2 )

    8th Grade

    Reading (2 )

    8th Grade Science

    (2 )

    All Students 33% 27% 17%

    White 44% 36% n/a

    Black 17% 12% n/a

    Hispanic 23% 25% n/a

    Asian 31% 21% n/a

    American Indian 15% 11% n/a

    %At or Above Proficient on 8th Grade NAEP

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    High School Graduation Rates Remain

    Inequitable in Alaska

    16Source: Education Week (2007). Graduation in the UnitedStates.http://www.edweek.org/media/ew/dc/2010/34sos_gradrate.pdf

    0%

    20%

    40%

    60%

    80%

    100%

    AmericanIndianAsianHispanicBlackWhite

    All

    51%

    81%

    56%54%

    77%

    69%

    33%

    64%

    33%

    64%

    65%

    n/a

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    Americas International Edge is Slipping in

    High School Graduation Rates

    17Source: OECD. Education at a Glance 2010. (All rates are self-reported) http://www.oecd-ilibrary.org/education/education-at-a-glance-2010_eag-2010-en; National Center for Higher EducationManagement Systems, analysis of 2008 and 2009 American Community Survey. http://www.higheredinfo.org

    0 20 40 60 80 100

    Iceland

    U.K.

    Netherlands

    Norway

    Ireland

    Denmark

    Germany

    Israel

    Canada

    Poland

    Korea

    U.S.

    Alaska

    % Young Adults (25-34) with HS Diploma+ % Adults (25-64) with HS Diploma+

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    Enrollment in College Does NOT Equal

    College Readiness

    18Source: National Center for Education Statistics (2003). RemedialEducation at Degree-GrantingPostsecondary Institutions in Fall2000.

    Percentage of U.S. first-year students in two-year and four-yearinstitutions requiring remediation

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    Freshmen at Two-Year Colleges are More

    Likely to Require Remediation

    19Source: National Center for Education Statistics (2003). RemedialEducation at Degree-GrantingPostsecondary Institutions in Fall2000.

    0%

    5%

    0%

    5%

    20%

    25%30%

    35%

    40%

    45%

    Reading, Writingor Math

    ReadingWriting

    Math

    42%

    19%23%

    34%

    24%

    6%8%13%

    2-Year Colleges 4-Year Colleges

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    Many College Students Fail to Return Their

    Sophomore Year and Go On To Earn Degrees

    20Source: National Center for Higher Education Management Systems (2008). Retention Rates -First-Time College Freshmen ReturningTheirSecondYear; Graduation Rates.http://www.higheredinfo.org/

    U.S.

    Alaska

    0%

    20%

    40%

    60%

    80%

    Completion (4-Year)Persistence (4-

    Year)Persistence (2-Year)

    56%

    75%

    54%

    22%

    69%

    43%

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    Many College Students Fail to Earn a

    Degree in Alaska

    21Source: NCES. IPEDS Graduation RateSurvey,analyzed by National Center for Management ofHigher Education Systems.

    Percent of students earning a bachelors degreewithin six years in Alaska, 2 7

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    The Majority of Graduates Would Have Taken

    Harder Courses, Particularly in Mathematics

    22Source: Peter D. Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies (2005). Rising to the Challenge:AreHigh SchoolGraduates Preparedfor College andWork?Alaska, DC: Achieve.

    Would have taken

    more challenging

    courses in at least

    one area

    Math

    Science

    English

    Knowing what you know today about the expectations of college/work

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    A MORE RIGOROUS & RELEVANT

    HIGH SCHOOL EDUCATION WILL

    OPEN DOORS FOR STUDENTS AND KEEP THEM OPEN

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    24

    Personal Benefits of Education in Alaska

    While there may be jobs available to high school dropouts and

    graduates, they often pay l and off r l c rit ythan jobs

    held by those with at least some postsecondary experience.

    The link between educational attainment and gainful employmentis clear:

    More education is associated with higher

    earnings and higher rates of employment.

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    25Source: U.S. Census Bureau (2010). Current Population Survey. Figures are based on the total personsin the civilian labor force. http://www.census.gov/hhes/www/cpstc/cps_table_creator.html

    Personal Benefits of Education in Alaska

    Alaska Statistics: TotalUnemployment: 10%, Mean Income: $49,171

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    26Source: Carnevale, Anthony P. et al. (June 2010). Help Wanted: Projections of Jobs andEducation Requirements Through2018. Georgetown Center on Education and the Workforce. www9.georgetown.edu/grad/gppi/hpi/cew/pdfs/FullReport.pdfAnalysis based on authors analysis of March 2008 CPS data.

    Benefits to Education

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    27Source:ACT (2010). ACT 2009 Results. http://www.act.org/news/data/09/states.html ; College Board. Mean 2010SATScores byState. http://professionals.collegeboard.com/profdownload/2010-sat-trends.pdf

    Alaskas Students Taking College

    Admissions Exams

    2 1 Alaska U.S.

    Participation in ACT 28% 47%

    Average ACT Score 21.1 21

    Participation in SAT 48% 47%

    Average SAT Score 1524 1509

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    28Source:ACT (2010). College Readiness BenchmarkAttainment byState.http://www.act.org/news/data/10/benchmarks.html?utm_campaign=cccr10&utm_source=data10_leftnav&utm_medium=web#benchmark

    Students Meeting College Readiness

    Benchmark

    0%

    10%

    20%30%

    40%

    50%

    60%

    70%

    English, 2010Reading, 2010

    Math, 2010Science, 2010

    All 4 tests, 2010

    66%

    52%

    43%

    29%

    24%

    65%

    55%

    47%

    31%26%

    Percentage of ACT-tested graduates who met or

    exceeded the College Readiness Benchmark score

    Note:A benchmarkscore indicates a 50% chance of obtainingaB or higher or about a 75% chance of obtaininga C or higher inthecorrespondingcredit-bearingcollegecourses.

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    29Source: College Board (2011). AP Report to theNation.http://professionals.collegeboard.com/profdownload/7th-annual-ap-report-to-the-nation-2011.pdf

    Students Participating in Advanced

    Placement and Exceeding College and Career

    Readiness

    Percent of all 12th Graders Participating inAdvanced Placement (2 8)

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    THE SOLUTION:

    STATE-LED EFFORTS TO CLOSE THE

    EXPECTATIONS GAPAll students deserve a world-class education thatprepares them for college, careers and life.

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    The College- and Career-Ready Agenda

    31

    Align high school standards with the demands of collegeand careers.Align high school standards with the demands of collegeand careers.

    Require students to take a college- and career-ready

    curriculum to earn a high school diploma.

    Require students to take a college- and career-ready

    curriculum to earn a high school diploma.

    Build college- and career-ready measures into statewidehigh school assessment systems.Build college- and career-ready measures into statewidehigh school assessment systems.

    Develop reporting and accountability systems thatpromote college and career readiness.Develop reporting and accountability systems thatpromote college and career readiness.

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    Alaskas Commitment to Closing the

    Expectations Gap to Date

    32

    Alaskas data system currently matches student-level data

    across K-12 and postsecondary systems on a regular basis.

    Alaska is exploring the best way forward for adopting

    standards aligned to college- and career-ready expectations

    either by adopting the Common Core State Standards inEnglish Language Arts and Mathematics or state-developed

    standards.

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    How Alaska Can Continue to Build on its

    Momentum

    Adopt and realize the promise of the Common Core State Standards

    by implementing them fully and successfully, taking into

    consideration the related curricular and policy changes.

    Adopt college- and career-ready graduation requirements, aligned to

    the college- and career-ready standards, to ensure all students are

    prepared, and eligible, for entry into college and skilled careers.

    Continue to make progress on the states data collection efforts,

    particularly around making student data available to relevant

    stakeholders.

    Re-examine the states K-12 accountability system to determine howit can reward measures of college and career readiness.

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    HOW WELL IS ALASKA

    PREPARING ALL

    STUDENTS FORCOLLEGE, CAREERS AND

    LIFE

    May 2011