alchemy ascent brochure v 11 - channel · alchemy ascent 5 year rolling cagr 1997-2001 1998-2002...

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ALCHEMY ASCENT In the current investment world it is believed that the key to any successful investment strategy is in finding the “right stock”, the “right theme”, the “right sector” and the “right cycle”. Even the most experienced investors are prone to biases which are inherent in the investing process. This results in inconsistent alpha generation. However, we believe that building a high performance portfolio involves much more. Stock allocation, its relative ranking in the portfolio and timing along with risk controls, also play a very important part of the alpha generation process. We believe in strong data based research process, which considers all sources of alpha generation comprehensively, thus helps in creating an unbiased disciplined investment approach – a key to successful and consistent investment outcomes. Alchemy ASCENT* endeavors to provide a consistent “high alpha” investment strategy which build portfolios to deliver consistent outperformance over the long term, using an objective, back tested and data driven approach devoid of any biases. RESULT ORIENTED UNBIASED DISCIPLINED CONSISTENT DATA DRIVEN ASCENT PORTFOLIO *Alchemy Capital Management Pvt Ltd (Alchemy Capital) is registered as a Portfolio manager with SEBI. Alchemy Ascent is the product of Alchemy Capital's Portfolio Management Services. *The investment objectives are indicative and there are no assurances that they will be achieved. WHAT WHY/HOW KEY VARIABLES Growth Growth which is significantly more than the cost of capital Consistent & Continuous growth Growth adjusted for different levels of margins Negative marking if there is high divergence or deterioration in growth and/or Return on Capital Revenue Income /Cash Flow Margins (Net & EBITDA) Return on Capital ValuaFons Value calculated as Price to Earning and Price to Cash Flow (Excluding Financials) Valuations is adjusted to the quality of firm Valuation is also adjusted to the growth of the firm Earnings Yield Treasury Yield Price to Earnings Price to Cash Flow Return on Capital Net Margin Quality & Risk Management Rejection is more important than selection Strict negative marks for bad balance sheet items, but no positive marks for the same as it is mandated of an investment candidate This also helps us filter out companies which are not managed properly OR which eventually turn out to be CAGR KILLERS Return on Capital Free Cash Flow Cash Conversion Cycle Working Capital Debt Share Capital Market Cycle Presence /Absence of rewarding market cycle Stock which is appreciated by markets increases our winning ratio Past behaviour of drawdown and volatility Volatility Performance vis-à- vis Index Periodic Draw-downs WHAT, WHY & HOW Preamble

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Page 1: Alchemy Ascent Brochure V 11 - Channel · alchemy ascent 5 year rolling cagr 1997-2001 1998-2002 1999-2003 2000-2004 2001-2005 2002-2006 2003-2007 2004-2008 2005-2009 2006-2010 2007-2011

ALCHEMYASCENT

Inthecurrentinvestmentworlditisbelievedthatthekeytoanysuccessfulinvestmentstrategyisinfindingthe“rightstock”,the“righttheme”,the“rightsector”andthe“rightcycle”.Eventhemostexperiencedinvestorsarepronetobiaseswhichareinherentintheinvestingprocess.Thisresultsininconsistentalphageneration.

• However,webelievethatbuildingahighperformanceportfolioinvolvesmuchmore.Stockallocation,itsrelativerankingintheportfolioandtimingalongwithriskcontrols,alsoplayaveryimportantpartofthealphagenerationprocess.Webelieveinstrongdatabasedresearchprocess,whichconsidersallsourcesofalphagenerationcomprehensively,thushelpsincreatinganunbiaseddisciplinedinvestmentapproach–akeytosuccessfulandconsistentinvestmentoutcomes.

• AlchemyASCENT*endeavorstoprovideaconsistent“highalpha”investmentstrategywhichbuildportfoliostodeliverconsistentoutperformanceoverthelongterm,usinganobjective,backtestedanddatadrivenapproachdevoidofanybiases.

RESULTORIENTED

UNBIASED DISCIPLINED CONSISTENT DATADRIVEN ASCENTPORTFOLIO

*AlchemyCapitalManagementPvtLtd(AlchemyCapital)isregisteredasaPortfoliomanagerwithSEBI.AlchemyAscentistheproductofAlchemyCapital'sPortfolioManagementServices.

*Theinvestmentobjectivesareindicativeandtherearenoassurancesthattheywillbeachieved.

WHAT WHY/HOW KEYVARIABLES

Growth

• Growthwhichissignificantlymorethanthecostofcapital• Consistent&Continuousgrowth• Growthadjustedfordifferentlevelsofmargins• Negativemarkingifthereishighdivergenceordeterioration

ingrowthand/orReturnonCapital

• Revenue• Income/CashFlow• Margins(Net&

EBITDA)• ReturnonCapital

ValuaFons

• ValuecalculatedasPricetoEarningandPricetoCashFlow(ExcludingFinancials)

• Valuationsisadjustedtothequalityoffirm• Valuationisalsoadjustedtothegrowthofthefirm

• EarningsYield• TreasuryYield• PricetoEarnings

• PricetoCashFlow

• ReturnonCapital

• NetMargin

Quality&RiskManagement

• Rejectionismoreimportantthanselection• Strictnegativemarksforbadbalancesheetitems,butno

positivemarksforthesameasitismandatedofaninvestmentcandidate

• ThisalsohelpsusfilteroutcompanieswhicharenotmanagedproperlyORwhicheventuallyturnouttobeCAGRKILLERS

• ReturnonCapital• FreeCashFlow• CashConversion

Cycle• WorkingCapital

• Debt• ShareCapital

MarketCycle

• Presence/Absenceofrewardingmarketcycle• Stockwhichisappreciatedbymarketsincreasesourwinning

ratio• Pastbehaviourofdrawdownandvolatility

• Volatility• Performancevis-à-

visIndex

• PeriodicDraw-downs

WHAT,WHY&HOW

Preamble

Page 2: Alchemy Ascent Brochure V 11 - Channel · alchemy ascent 5 year rolling cagr 1997-2001 1998-2002 1999-2003 2000-2004 2001-2005 2002-2006 2003-2007 2004-2008 2005-2009 2006-2010 2007-2011

ALCHEMYASCENT

STOCKSELECTION•MarketCapitalizationCut-off:INR4,000Crores

•Investiblestockshavetopassastringentsystemofeliminatingvaluedestroyingfactors&aresometimesvetoedbasedonriskandfundamentalforensicanalysis

•Over50Quantifiedfundamentalparametersandtheircombinationsusedforscreeningofinvestibleuniverse

•HighestRankedStocksbasedonpointsfiltered

CAPITALALLOCATION

•Portfolioonanaverageholds25stocks-30stocks

•Weightperstockmayrangefrom3%to6%@cost,exceptionalstocksmaygetanallocationof10%@cost

•Rankingsystemoptimizesstocktobeheldintheportfolioandcreatesallocationforthesame

RISKMANAGEMENTA. ProhibitiveRisk

•QualityFilters•NegativeMarkingforUnfavourablefactorssuchasBalanceSheetratios

B. ParticipativeRisk/ExitStrategy•DailychangeinRank/ScoreofIndividuaLStock(UsingFundamentalData)•Draw-Down/CAGRnonperformer•Multiplerulesbasedonabovescenarios

C. Operationalriskminimizedusingautomationofprocesses

INVESTMENTPROCESS

Start Dates Market Cycles ASCENT^ BSE200 Mutliple

01/01/1997 Start of Year 50.49% 1.09% 46.29

15/06/1997 Near Market Top 38.46% 1.00% 38.58

01/01/1998 Start of Year 45.66% 1.98% 23.02

10/03/1998 Near Market Top 47.23% 0.46% 102.17

01/01/1999 Start of Year 47.17% 19.93% 2.37

19/08/1999 Near Market Top 24.61% 6.95% 3.54

30/12/1999 Near Market Top 19.73% 8.11% 2.43

01/01/2000 Start of Year 19.55% 6.90% 2.83

07/02/2000 Near Market Top 19.77% 4.60% 4.30

01/01/2001 Start of Year 45.14% 22.16% 2.04

01/01/2002 Start of Year 55.35% 37.26% 1.49

11/02/2002 Near Market Top 51.25% 35.59% 1.44

01/01/2003 Start of Year 67.21% 46.48% 1.45

20/12/2003 Near Market Top 17.90% 10.37% 1.73

01/01/2004 Start of Year 15.47% 8.74% 1.77

01/01/2005 Start of Year 29.18% 19.36% 1.51

01/01/2006 Start of Year 42.98% 16.38% 2.62

20/03/2006 Near Market Top 24.22% 10.03% 2.41

01/01/2007 Start of Year 7.48% 2.09% 3.59

01/11/2007 Near Market Top 8.73% -1.09% 3.00 *

01/01/2008 Start of Year 7.49% -1.75% 3.00 *

01/01/2009 Start of Year 28.97% 16.35% 1.77

09/03/2009 Near Market Bottom 31.78% 21.88% 1.45

01/01/2010 Start of Year 22.27% 9.34% 2.38

06/09/2010 Near Market Top 23.86% 6.34% 3.77

01/01/2011 Start of Year 24.14% 5.91% 4.09

01/01/2012 Start of Year 28.05% 13.64% 2.06

01/01/2013 Start of Year 31.67% 13.71% 2.31

16/05/2013 Near Market Top 31.84% 13.40% 2.38

01/01/2014 Start of Year 19.33% 12.94% 1.49

• 5YearCAGRreturnsfordifferentStartDates• “StartDates”correspondtodifferentportfolio

startingdatesforbacktesting,thesedatesrepresent• Differentmarketcyclesor;• Startofeachyearsince1997

• SelectionofDifferentMarketCycleDates:• “NearMarketTop”:-Correspondstoa

randomdatebetweenamarkettopanda3monthearlierperiod,sothatweget90%-100%deployedbeforethecrash.Thisteststhevulnerabilityofthestrategy

• “NearMarketBottom”:-Correspondstoarandomdatebetweenamarketbottomanda3monthearlierperiod.Thisteststhedynamicdeployingcapacityofthestrategy

• “Multiple”=AscentReturn’s÷BSE200Return’swhere

• *Representsamultipleof3asBenchmarkis–veandAscentis+ve

• #Representsamultipleof2whereBenchmarkReturnis–veandAscentReturnis–ve,butAscentReturn>BenchmarkReturn

^Thebacktestedpastperformanceisforillustrationpurposeonlyandisnotanindicator/assuranceoffutureperformance.^Returnsareshownasgrossofallfeesandexpenses.

5YEARCAGRRETURNSFORDIFFERENTSTARTDATES

*Theinvestmentobjectivesandallocationareindicativeandtherearenoassurancesthattheywillbeachieved.

Page 3: Alchemy Ascent Brochure V 11 - Channel · alchemy ascent 5 year rolling cagr 1997-2001 1998-2002 1999-2003 2000-2004 2001-2005 2002-2006 2003-2007 2004-2008 2005-2009 2006-2010 2007-2011

ALCHEMYASCENT

5YEARROLLINGCAGR

1997-2001

1998-2002

1999-2003

2000-2004

2001-2005

2002-2006

2003-2007

2004-2008

2005-2009

2006-2010

2007-2011

2008-2012

2009-2013

2010-2014

2011-2015

2012-2016

2013-2017

2014-2018

ASCENT* 51% 47% 65% 21% 44% 60% 69% 16% 30% 22% 7% 6% 28% 24% 23% 26% 30% 23%

BSE200 1% 2% 20% 8% 22% 37% 47% 9% 20% 16% 2% -2% 16% 10% 6% 14% 14% 13%

Alpha 49% 45% 46% 13% 22% 23% 22% 7% 11% 6% 5% 7% 11% 14% 17% 13% 16% 11%

*Thebacktestedpastperformanceisforillustrationpurposeonlyandisnotanindicator/assuranceoffutureperformance.|*Returnsareshownasgrossofallfeesandexpenses.

FundManagerFundManager-VikasKumarWithover19yearsofequitymarketexperience,Mr.VikasKumarhasexpansiveexperiencethatincludesequityanalysis,privateclientfundmanagementandstrategybuildingonasell-sideinsvtuvonaldesk.Hespecializes in creavng data-based quanvtavve algorithms & mathemavcally objecvve implementavonstrategies. His unique research paper on investmentmethodology, A Quanvtavve System for ReflexiveFinancialMarkets,earnedhimaU.S.copyright.HepursuedaBAinMathfromDelhiUniversity,qualifiedfor Indian Insvtute of Technology Joint Entrance Examinavon (IIT-JEE),was a state-levelNavonal TalentSearch Examinavon (NTSE) merit scholar and one of the navonal CBSE toppers. Prior to Alchemy, heworkedwithDalal&BroachaStockBrokingandcollaboratedatRelianceCapital.HewasalsonominatedasoneofthebestQuantAnalystsinAsiabyInsvtuvonalInvestormagazinein2009.

OBJECTIVEMETHODINVESTING*

1 Unbiasedapproachtowardseachstock 2 Greed/Fear/Hopearemitigated

byhavingobjectivemethodforinvestment

3 FocusonDiscipline&DatatogenerateCAGR

4 BackTestedformorethan21yearsacrossmanymarketcycles

5 Abilitytoscanover2000stocksdailytofindawinner 6 Endeavortogeneratereturns

outperformingtherelevantIndexover3-5Year

7 Churnratioof~0.67 8 Averagecashlevelis~10% 9 Focusedunbiasedactiveportfoliomanagement

BACKTESTEDPERFORMANCE5yearsrollingreturnsforPortfoliostarted01-January1997till31-December2018.

*Theinvestmentobjectivesareindicativeandtherearenoassurancesthattheywillbeachieved.

Page 4: Alchemy Ascent Brochure V 11 - Channel · alchemy ascent 5 year rolling cagr 1997-2001 1998-2002 1999-2003 2000-2004 2001-2005 2002-2006 2003-2007 2004-2008 2005-2009 2006-2010 2007-2011

ALCHEMYASCENT

GENERALRISKFACTORS• Allinvestmentproductsa|ractvariouskindsofrisks.PleasereadtherelevantDisclosureDocument/ClientAgreementcarefullybefore

invesvng.

GENERALDISCLAIMERS• Theinformavonandopinionscontainedinthisreport/presentavonhavebeenobtainedfromsourcesbelievedtobereliable,butnorepresentavonorwarranty,expressorimplied,ismadethatsuchinformavonisaccurateorcomplete.

• Informavonandopinionscontainedinthereport/presentavonaredisseminatedfortheinformavonofauthorizedrecipientsonly,andarenottoberelieduponasadvisoryorauthoritavveortakeninsubsvtuvonfortheexerciseofduediligenceandjudgementbyanyrecipient.

• Theinformavonandopinionsarenot,andshouldnotbeconstruedas,anofferorsolicitavontobuyorsellanysecurivesormakeanyinvestments.

• Nothingcontainedherein,includingpastperformance,shallconsvtuteanyrepresentavonorwarrantyastofutureperformance.• Theclientissolelyresponsibleforconsulvnghis/her/itsownindependentadvisorsastothelegal,tax,accounvngandrelatedma|ersconcerninginvestmentsandnothinginthisdocumentorinanycommunicavonshallconsvtutessuchadvice.

• Theclientisexpectedtounderstandtheriskfactorsassociatedwithinvestment&actontheinformavonsolelyonhis/her/itsownrisk.Asacondivonforprovidingthisinformavon,theclientagreesthatAlchemyCapitalManagementPvt.Ltd.,itsGrouporaffiliatesmakesnorepresentavonandshallhavenoliabilityinanywayarisingtothemoranyotherenvtyforanylossordamage,directorindirect,arisingfromtheuseofthisinformavon.

• ThisdocumentanditscontentsareproprietaryinformavonofAlchemyCapitalManagementPvt.Ltdandmaynotbereproducedorotherwisedisseminatedinwholeorinpartwithoutthewri|enconsent.

AlchemyCapitalManagementPvt.Ltd|B-4,AmerchandMansion|16MadameCamaRoad|Mumbai400001.|URL:www.alchemycapital.comCIN-U67120MH1999PTC119811|Email ID: [email protected]

FundKeyTerms#ProductName ALCHEMYASCENT

Por�olioManager AlchemyCapitalManagementPvtLtd,aSEBIRegisteredPor�olioManagerIdealInvestmentHorizon 3to5yrsInivalInvestmentAmount MinimumRs25Lacs

UnderlyingAssetClass ListedEquives

Inflows/Corpus FundsthroughCheque,RTGSorNEFTNote:StockTransferwillnotbeaccepted

AddivonalInflowsAnexisvngclientofAlchemyAscent,wanvngtogiveaddivonalInflowintothesameproduct,willhavetogiveaminimumRs25lacandaseparatePor�oliowillbecreatedforeachaddivonalInflow

SubscripvonWindow Onceeverycalendarmonth,onthe1stworkingdayofthemonthNote:Preacvvavonoftheaccount,thecashwilllieuninvested.

RedempvonWindow DailyRedempvon*subjecttoExitFees

Benchmark BSE200

RiskProfile HighRisk

FundManager Mr.VikasKumar

EligibleInvestors

ResidentIndians,NRI,HNI,HinduundividedFamily(HUF),Banks,BodiesCorporate,PartnershipFirm&Trusts(excl.investorswhohaverestricvonsinpurchasingstocks,suchasclientswhowantShariacompliantpor�olio,JainPor�olioandConsulvngclients,wherewehavetogobackandcheckwiththeircompliancebeforeinvesvnginstocksetc.)

FeePlanOpvon1:FixedFeePlan

UpfrontFee Upto2.25%oftheTotalInvestmentAmounti.e.bothinival&addivonalinvestment

FixedFees 2.5%perannumonNetAssetValue,chargedquarterly

FeePlanOpvon2:FixedPlusVariableFeePlan

UpfrontFee Upto2.25%oftheTotalInvestmentAmounti.e.bothinival&addivonalinvestment

FixedFees 1.5%perannumonNetAssetValue(beforechargingperformancefee)andchargedquarterly

HurdleRate 10%p.a.

PerformanceFees 15%ofreturnschargedannuallyontheeffecvvedate(i.e.accountacvvavondate),withthehurdleof10%andHighWatermarkapplies

#Thesearenotthecompleteterms;PleasereadtheDisclosureDocument/ClientAgreementforcompletedetails.*Parvalwithdrawalswillonlybepermi|edsubjecttotheresidualvalueofthePor�olionotfallingbelowstatutoryrequirementasonthedateofthewithdrawal.

DISCLAIMERS