alex leslie etis krackow

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Billing & Revenue Management Working Group Krackow, 28 June 2013 How to compete with the OTT players and mone?ze new services Alex Leslie Publisher BillingViews

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The impact of Over the Top players on telecoms operators. From SMS to video, telecoms operators' revenues are under threat. Should they respond by competing, blocking ... or partnering?

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Page 1: Alex leslie etis krackow

Billing  &  Revenue  Management    Working  Group    

Krackow,  28  June  2013  

How  to  compete  with  the  OTT  players  and  mone?ze  new  services  

Alex  Leslie  Publisher  

BillingViews  

Page 2: Alex leslie etis krackow

Billing  &  Revenue  Management    Working  Group    

Krackow,  28  June  2013  

•  Scary  Sta?s?cs  

Revenues  down  $13.9  billion  in  

2011  

Losses  of  up  to  $54  

billion  by  2016  -­‐  Ovum  

Revenues  down  40%  by  2015  -­‐  STL  

SMS  Hit  By    Messaging  

SMS  

Page 3: Alex leslie etis krackow

Billing  &  Revenue  Management    Working  Group    

Krackow,  28  June  2013  

O  

Page 4: Alex leslie etis krackow

Billing  &  Revenue  Management    Working  Group    

Krackow,  28  June  2013  

OTT  con  

Page 5: Alex leslie etis krackow

Billing  &  Revenue  Management    Working  Group    

Krackow,  28  June  2013  

•  Scary  Sta?s?cs  (2)  

We  are  entering  the  ZeZabyte  era!  -­‐  Cisco  

1  ZB  =  1  000  000  000  000  000  000  000  bytes  

1  terabyte  =  10  12  1  Petabyte  =  10  15  1  Exabyte  =  10  18  1  Zetabyte  =  10  21  

Page 6: Alex leslie etis krackow

Billing  &  Revenue  Management    Working  Group    

Krackow,  28  June  2013  

•  Scary  Sta?s?cs  (2)  – Global  IP  traffic  to  reach  1  zetabyte  by  2015  – Traffic  will  grow  at  23  percent  p.a.  thru  2017  – Busy  hour  Internet  traffic  increased  41  percent  in  2012  

– Busy  hour  traffic  in  2017  will  be  865  Tbps  –  the  equivalent  of  720  million  people  streaming  an  HD  video  simultaneously  

– Video  traffic  will  be  69  percent  by  2017  Cisco  Visual  Networking  Index  

Page 7: Alex leslie etis krackow

Billing  &  Revenue  Management    Working  Group    

Krackow,  28  June  2013  

Which  is  a  bit  OTT  

Page 8: Alex leslie etis krackow

Billing  &  Revenue  Management    Working  Group    

Krackow,  28  June  2013  

Mind  you….  

Page 9: Alex leslie etis krackow

Billing  &  Revenue  Management    Working  Group    

Krackow,  28  June  2013  

•  The  Scariest  Sta?s?c    

–  Is  that  operators  get  virtually  none  of  the  value  and  therefore  the  revenue  (and  the  OTT  players  are  beginning  to  charge)  

At  the  moment…  

Page 10: Alex leslie etis krackow

Billing  &  Revenue  Management    Working  Group    

Krackow,  28  June  2013  

•  The  Solu?on?  –  Ignore  – Block  – Compete  – Partner  

?

Page 11: Alex leslie etis krackow

Billing  &  Revenue  Management    Working  Group    

Krackow,  28  June  2013  

•  The  Solu?on?  –  Ignore  – Block  – Compete  – Partner  

Page 12: Alex leslie etis krackow

Billing  &  Revenue  Management    Working  Group    

Krackow,  28  June  2013  

•  Compete?  – RCS/Joyn  

Page 13: Alex leslie etis krackow

Billing  &  Revenue  Management    Working  Group    

Krackow,  28  June  2013  

•  The  Solu?on?  –  Ignore  – Block  – Compete  ??  – Partner?  

Page 14: Alex leslie etis krackow

Billing  &  Revenue  Management    Working  Group    

Krackow,  28  June  2013  

•  Rumours  of  SMS’s  death  greatly  exaggerated  

– Cri?cal  communica?ons  channel  for  operators  – Crucial  part  of  Direct  Operator  Billing  (mobile  payments  will  be  worth  $617  billion  by  2017  –  Gartner)  

– Big  Brands  are  moving  to  precision  marke?ng  •  Texts  are  personal,  reliable,  global  

The  Death  of  SMS  

Page 15: Alex leslie etis krackow

Billing  &  Revenue  Management    Working  Group    

Krackow,  28  June  2013  

•  And  (oddly)  voice  in  a  world  of  data?  

– Quality  will  become  a  differen?ator  – Skype  challenged  operators  to  open  a  dialogue  with  them  –  at  TM  Forum  Management  World  

The  Death  of  SMS  

Page 16: Alex leslie etis krackow

Billing  &  Revenue  Management    Working  Group    

Krackow,  28  June  2013  

•  Apps,  search,  social?  

– Help  merchants  avoid  the  Apple  Tax  – Help  customers  go  social  – Help  customers  buy  stuff  

DOB  Survey  

Page 17: Alex leslie etis krackow

Billing  &  Revenue  Management    Working  Group    

Krackow,  28  June  2013  

•  Video  -­‐  nasty?  

– Partner  for  proper  QoS  •  Customers  will  not  blame  operators  

– Use  data  to  serve  adverts  

Page 18: Alex leslie etis krackow

Billing  &  Revenue  Management    Working  Group    

Krackow,  28  June  2013  

•  Tools  or  Weapons?  

– Data  (Big,  but  Beau?ful)  – Billing  rela?onship  (Trust  is  key)  – Reach  

Page 19: Alex leslie etis krackow

Billing  &  Revenue  Management    Working  Group    

Krackow,  28  June  2013  

•  CONCLUSION    

– OTT  players  as  partners  – Change  thinking  to  ‘Internet’  – Real  ?me  mentality  

Page 20: Alex leslie etis krackow

Billing  &  Revenue  Management    Working  Group    

Krackow,  28  June  2013  

Thank  You  

Alex  Leslie  [email protected]  www.billingviews.com