aligning education and the economy dallas april 2012

8/2/2019 Aligning Education and the Economy Dallas April 2012

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Aligning Educationand the Economy

Labor Market & Career Information (LMCI)

Texas Workforce Commission

[email protected]

(512) 936-3105


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1. Are employers a primary customer of theeducation system? If yes, are we listening?

2. Do students expect their credentials to

improve their job possibilities?3. Dojobseekers need continuous skill

upgrades to meet an evolving workplace?

4. Is college ready and career ready reallythe same thing? If not, what are we doing to

align education with labor market demand?

Talent Development Premises:


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Harry Truman is purported to have said,

All my economists say,

on the one, or on theother handwhat I

really need is a one-handed economist.


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Is it a recovery or an

expansion? Is the differenceeconomic or

a crisis in confidence?


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Is the Economic Glass

Half Full? or Half Empty? Unemployment rate falling

More sectors contribute tojob growth

Corporations cash-rich

31 months of job growth Spending is up, consumers

lowering debt burden

Consumer confidence is

improving

House prices near bottom?

UI initial claims are down

Real estate, construction

and govt. still reeling European debt/bank

crisis still looming

Slowing global GDP? Energy/gas prices?

Lack of confidence in

demand, political system

Still tight lending

standards & terms

Net worth down$9.4 tril

from peak


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The world is very messy


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Number of People

82 - 9,999

10,000 - 24,999

25,000 - 99,999

100,000 - 999,999

1,000,000 - 4,092,459

Percent Change

-21% - -10.1%

-10% - -0.1%

0% - 24.9%

25% - 54.9%

55% - 81.8%

Where Texans Live Where Texans have moved


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Texas becomes more Hispanic


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9,200,000

9,400,000

9,600,000

9,800,000

10,000,000

10,200,000

10,400,000

10,600,000

10,800,000

Texas Total Nonagricultural Employment(Statewide, Seasonally Adjusted)


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Texas 2000-2011 3rd Quarter Wages

$8,543.28

$8,680.90

$8,807.83

$9,017.34

$9,329.72

$9,976.72$10,222.32

$10,732.22

$11,043.50

$10,978.37

$11,391.83

$12,109.50

$0

$2,000

$4,000

$6,000

$8,000

$10,000

$12,000

$14,000


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Actual Job Growth RatesBig 8 Texas metro areas 3rd Quarter to 3rd Quarter

Metro area 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

Austin-Round Rock +3.9% +4.9% +1.7% -3.5% +2.2% +3.9%

Beaumont-Port Arthur +3.3% +2.7% +0.9% -5.6% +1.3% +2.2%

Corpus Christi +2.0% +1.9% +2.6% -3.6% +0.8% +1.1%

Dallas-Fort Worth +3.6% +2.7% +1.4% -4.9% +0.7% +2.6%

El Paso +1.3% +1.6% +1.7% -2.1% +1.9% +1.6%

Houston-Sugar Land-Baytown

+4.0% +4.4% +2.1% -3.5% +0.8% +2.8%

McAllen-Edinburg +3.5% +4.9% +1.9% -0.8% +0.9% +2.8%

San Antonio +4.6% +2.9% +1.2% -2.3% +1.2% +2.2%Source: Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages, Texas Workforce Commission


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Texas Goodsproducing Industries 1995-2012

80

90

100

110

120

130

140

150

160

170

180

Construction

Manufacturing

Mining

Total Nonagricultural


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Texas Industry Growth February 2011-12 YOY

Industry Feb 2012 ABS CHG PER CHG

Total Nonagricultural 10,738,800 273,900 2.6%

Total Nongovernment** 8,955,400 331,800 3.8%Goods-Producing 1,674,800 69,100 4.3%

Service-Providing 9,064,000 204,800 2.3%

Trade, Transportation, and Utilities 2,151,600 68,300 3.3%

Professional and Business Services 1,372,100 57,700 4.4%Leisure and Hospitality 1,078,400 54,100 5.3%

Education and Health Services 1,453,700 49,500 3.5%

Mining and Logging 259,800 36,600 16.4%

Manufacturing 847,300 24,400 3.0%

Other Services 381,400 18,900 5.2%

Financial Activities 650,300 16,000 2.5%

Construction 567,700 8,100 1.4%

Information 193,100 -1,800 -0.9%

Government 1,783,400 -57,900 -3.1%


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Texas Industry Sector 2ndQTR2011

ABSCHG

PERCHG

1. Business & Financial Services 1,501,552 68,725 4.80%

2. Education, Training & Development 1,251,185 38,115 3.14%

3. Biotech, Life Sciences & Medical 769,719 34,378 4.68%

4. Tourism, Hospitality & Leisure 1,103,921 32,595 3.04%

5. Personal and Residential Services 576,084 27,849 5.08%

6. Energy, Mining, & Related Services 253,303 24,301 10.61%7. Distribution, Transport & Logistics 454,394 14,430 3.28%

8. Legal, Protective & Human Services 317,495 13,281 4.37%

9. Industrial Machinery & Production 353,132 11,777 3.45%

Texas Industry Sectors with Greatest Job Growth

July 2010-July 2011


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Texas Industry Sectors with Lesser Job Growth

July 2010-July 2011

Texas Industry Sector 2ndQTR2011 ABSCHG PERCHG

18. Heavy & Special Trade Construction 562,668 -53,759 -8.72%

17. Apparel, Leather, Non-durable Mfg 105,193 -6,023 -5.42%

16. Petroleum Refining & Chemicals 220,804 -3,072 -1.37%

15. Telecom & Information Services 345,181 -998 -0.29%

14. Agriculture, Forestry Fishing 213,763 -14 -0.01%

13. Govt. ex. Education & Corporate HQ 809,204 2,395 0.30%

12. Electronics & Applied Computer Equip 254,536 3,340 1.33%

11. General Line Retail Stores 839,785 6,421 0.77%

10. Transportation Equipment 327,651 9,882 3.11%


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-50,000

0

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

Infant Firm minus Deceased Firm EmploymentDeceased Firm Employment

Infant Firm Employment

l

Employment in New vs. Failed Texas Firms


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3.0

3.1

3.2

3.3

3.4

3.5

3.6

3.7

3.8

3.9

4.0

Employees Per Startup Firm (Moving 4

Quarter Average)

Employees Per New Startup Firm in Texas

AverageNumberofW

orkers


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Fastest Growing Texas Occupations 2018 - Projected

Growth Occupations Education preferred2009

Salary

1. Biomedical Engineers Bachelor's degree $66,7292. Home Health Aides Short-term OJT $18,849

3. Network Systems & Data

Communications Analysts Bachelor's degree $76,420

4. Petroleum Engineers Bachelor's degree $126,241

5. Athletic Trainers Bachelor's degree $45,873

6. Personal & Home Care Aides Short-term OJT $16,211

7. Electrical & Electronics Repairers,Powerhouse, Substation & Relay Postsecondaryvocational training $55,250

8. Financial Examiners Bachelor's degree $76,359

9. Medical Scientists Doctoral degree $64,386

10. Special Education Teachers Bachelor's degree $49,856


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Growth Occupations (most jobs) for Texas for 2008-2018

Type of JobAnnual

Openings

Decade

Growth Rate

Required

education/training

1. Fast Food Prep Worker 7,845 42% Short-term On Job Training

2. Elementary School Teacher 6,110 39% Bachelors degree

3. Retail Salesperson 5,430 15% Moderate On Job Training

4. Registered Nurse 5,365 32% Associates degree

5. Home Health Aide 5,105 55% Short-term On Job Training

6. Customer Service Rep 5,005 23% Moderate On Job Training

7. Waitress/Waiter 4,530 24% Short-term On Job Training

8. Personal & Home Care Aide 4,400 47%Short-term On Job Training

9. Office Clerk 3,960 17% Short-term On Job Training

10. Cashier 3,690 13% Short-term On Job Training

11. Secondary School Teacher 3,105 31% Bachelors degree

12. Construction Worker 3,090 22% Moderate On Job Training


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Expected Growth Occupations in STEM in Texas 2008-2018

Type of Job Minimum Required Pay Range

1. Registered NurseAssociates degree $48,000 - $75,000

2. Accountant/Auditor Bachelors degree $40,000 - $82,000

3. Computer Systems Analyst Bachelors degree $50,000 - $97,000

4. Computer Support Specialist Associates degree $31,000 - $62,000

5. Software Engineer Bachelors degree $62,000 - $113,0006. Computer Programmer Bachelors degree $45,000 - $97,000

7. Financial Manager Bachelors degree $63,000 - $138,000

8. Computer Network Admin Bachelors degree $44,000 - $82,000

9. Civil Engineer Bachelors degree $53,000 - $107,00010. Pharmacy Technician Moderate training $23,000 - $34,000

11. Medical Manager Masters degree $53,000 - $109,000

12. Financial Analyst Bachelors degree $47,000 - $96,000

13. Pharmacist Masters degree $90,000 - $122,000


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Job Market for Achieve Texas Clusters (HWOL size)

Ag. & Nat Resources

Arch & Con

Arts, AV Tech &

Comm

Education & Training

Finance & Insurance

Govt & Public Admin

Health Science

Hospitality & Tourism

Human Services

Law & Public Safety

Manufacturing

Marketing, Sales &

Service

Scientific Research &

Eng.

Transport, Distrib. &

Logistics

0

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

60,000

70,000

80,000

0.00 5.00 10.00 15.00 20.00

AnnualAverage

Openings

Percent Growth thru 2018


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Where The Job Postings Are Located?Metro Area Postings Metro Area Postings

Dallas-Fort Worth 166,078 Odessa 5,301

Houston-Sugar Land 129,406 Waco 5,280

San Antonio 55,978 Beaumont 5,274

Austin-Round Rock 53,225 Midland 4,835El Paso 12,264 Amarillo 4,742

Corpus Christi 9,831 College Station 4,519

Killeen-Temple 7,885 Longview 3,796McAllen-Edinburg 7,053 Abilene 3,776

Tyler 6,626 Brownsville 3,503

Lubbock6,559

Laredo2,877


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D/FW Job Posting Activity: The Conference Board HWOL

0

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

120,000

0

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

300,000

No. of Job AdsNo. Unemployed

Unemployment HWOL


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Texas HWOL Job Postings Last 90 Days April 2012

Occupational Title Postings Preferred education

1. Registered Nurse 30,836 Associates/Bachelors

2. Truck Driver (heavy/tractor trailer) 18,497 Short term OJT

3. Retail Salesperson 15,803 Short term OJT

4. Computer Systems Analyst 15,574 Bachelors degree

5. Manager of Retail Workers 14,919 Related Work Experience

6. Customer Service Representative 12,674 Moderate OJT

7. Web Developer 12,598 Associates degree

8. Computer Support Specialist 11,776 Associates degree

9. Manager of Food Prep Workers 10,721 Related Work Experience

10. Accountant 9,825 Bachelors degree

11. Non-technical Sales Rep, WH & Man 9,627 Related Work Experience

12. Network/Computer Systems Admin 9,613 Bachelors degree

13. Secretary/Admin Assistant 9,510 Moderate OJT


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D/FW Job Postings Last 90 Days April 2012Total, All Jobs 187,928 CHG Last YR +17,555 Postings CHG

Registered Nurses 10,052 80

Computer Systems Analysts 6,396 449Web Developers 5,302 471

Retail Salespersons 4,225 427

Supervisors, Retail Sales Workers 3,638 701

Network/Computer Systems Administrators 3,319 943Computer Support Specialists 3,893 306

Truck Drivers, Heavy and Tractor-Trailer 3,060 1098

Customer Service Representatives 3,929 115

Accountants 3,230 537

Exec. Secretaries/Admin Assts. 2,823 334

Supervisors, Food Prep Workers 1,804 1309

Computer Software Engineers, Applications 2,902 167

Sales Reps, WH & Man 2,728 235

Supervisors, Office & Admin Support 2,476 390


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Education Requirement 2011 WIT JobApplicants

HWOL 2011

Postings

Doctoral Degree 0.6% .8%

Professional Degree 0.3% 1.6%

Masters Degree 0.9% 3.6%

Bachelors + Work Experience3.4% 7.8%

Bachelors Degree 8.5% 22.7%

Associates Degree 2.0% 10.0%

Post-secondary Vocational 4.0% 9.3%

Job related work experience 5.4% 9.2%Long-term On The Job training 6.2% 4.4%

Medium-term On The Job training 22.4% 15.4%

Short-term On The Job training 46.3% 15.3%Source: Help Wanted On Line listings for Texas and Texas Workforce Commission listings for Work In Texas database

Education Mismatch: Texas Unemployed vs. Job Postings

84%

47%


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Highest Earning College Programs 2010 SummaryBachelors Degree Graduate Major (TX) Grads Earnings

Engineering 4,554 $51,131

Health Professions & Related Clinical Sciences 7,644 $50,813Engineering Technologies/Technicians 951 $46,075

Computer & Information Sciences 1,356 $44,408

Business, Management & Marketing 21,153 $36,261

Mathematics and Statistics 914 $33,296Multi/Interdisciplinary Studies 10,082 $31,888

Physical Sciences 1,103 $30,828

Liberal Arts & Sciences/Humanities 2,359 $30,074

Teacher Education & Development /Special Ed 1,505 $29,594

Agriculture & Agriculture Operations 1,804 $28,195

Unknown or Undeclared 2,247 $27,812

Public Administration & Social Service 1,174 $27,456

Security & Protective Services 2,783 $27,039

Social Sciences 6,227 $26,795


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Lowest Earning College Programs 2010 Detail ViewBachelors Degree Graduate Major (TX) Grads Earnings

Pastoral Counseling & Specialized Ministries 60 $15,205

Germanic Languages & Literature 46 $17,444Film/Video and Photographic Arts 142 $17,619

Dramatic/Theatre Arts & Stagecraft 529 $18,304

Classical Languages, Literatures & Linguistics 35 $18,342

English Composition 44 $19,903Religious Education 56 $20,122

Ecology, Evolution and Population Biology 87 $20,156

Anthropology 460 $20,310

Radio, Television & Digital Communication 983 $20,413

Health/Medical Preparatory Programs 93 $20,547

Parks & Recreation Facilities Management 139 $20,558

Bible/Biblical Studies 55 $20,860

Zoology/Animal Biology 102 $21,372

Fine and Studio Art 1,347 $21,464


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Highest Earning Associates Degree Programs 2010Associates Degree Graduate Major (TX) Grads Earnings

Fire Protection 157 $68,275

Nuclear Radiologic Technology 33 $63,908Electrical & Power Transmission Installers 41 $55,835

Registered Nursing, Nursing Administration 5,203 $53,648

Mining and Petroleum Technology 24 $50,241

Physical Science Technology 457 $47,881Electromechanical /Instrumentation Technology 397 $46,151

Quality Control & Safety Technology 133 $44,685

Chemistry 56 $44,599

Industrial Production Technology 97 $44,138

Construction Engineering Technology 45 $41,789

Mechanical Engineering Related Technology 29 $41,622

Precision Metal Working 138 $39,817

Electrical/Electronics Maintenance Technology 47 $37,500

Dental Support Services & Allied Professions 352 $37,371


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Structural Mismatch: 2010 Graduates Grads Earnings

Multi-/Interdisciplinary Studies, Other 9,536 $32,132

Business Administration, Mgmt & Operations 6,056 $40,473

Psychology, General 5,169 $22,613

Registered Nursing, Nursing Administration 4,745 $59,359

Biology, General 4,517 $21,737

Health and Physical Education/Fitness 3,457 $23,454

Finance & Financial Mgmt Services 3,269 $37,160Accounting & Related Services 3,083 $33,583

Marketing 2,884 $31,693

Criminal Justice and Corrections 2,783 $27,039

English Language and Literature, General 2,453 $23,124Liberal Arts, General Studies & Humanities 2,359 $30,074

History, General 2,245 $24,016

Political Science & Government 2,208 $25,037

Public Relations & Advertising 1,772 $27,579


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Trends in U.S. Bachelors Degrees Awarded


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Emerging Markets in a Global Economy:Percent of 2009 Revenue Outside U.S.

YUM Brands 53.0%Du Pont 62.4%

IBM 58.1%

Boeing 42.2%Intel 80.0%

Coca Cola 73.5%

Corning 75.6%Emerson Electric56.8%

Accenture 56.4%

Microsoft43.4%

Hewlett-Packard 63.9%Wal-Mart 36.2%

JNJ 50.2%

Caterpillar 61.8%Colgate 80.0%

ExxonMobil 81.8%

Campbell Soup26.1%Kellogg 26.8%

3M Corporation63.2%

UPS 26.3%


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73.5%72.9%

72.5%

72.3% 71.4%

70.8%

71.1%

69.3%

67.8% 66.9%

64.7%

64.0%

58.0%

60.0%

62.0%

64.0%

66.0%

68.0%

70.0%

72.0%

74.0%

76.0%

Percent of Multinational Corporation Jobs

Employed by U.S. Parent Company

U.S. jobs as a percent of all MNC jobs


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Show Workplace Basics BYN

Detailed WorkActivities (DWA)


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Detailed Work Activities focus onoccupational-specificexpectations. In addition to

these, employers expect allworkers to have solid academicpreparation and possessworkplace basic skillsregardless of specific job title.

Workplace basic or foundationskills include personal traits andbehaviors that demonstrate workethic and commitment,leadership and teamwork skills,initiative and integrity. Clickhere to view a list of essentialWorkplace Basics that underliesany SWAP regional oroccupational DWA profile.
http://www.texasindustryprofiles.com/apps/swap/ASP/DWA/Docs/WorkplaceBasics.xlshttp://www.texasindustryprofiles.com/apps/swap/ASP/DWA/Docs/WorkplaceBasics.xlshttp://www.texasindustryprofiles.com/apps/swap/ASP/DWA/Docs/WorkplaceBasics.xlshttp://www.texasindustryprofiles.com/apps/swap/ASP/DWA/Docs/WorkplaceBasics.xls


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Regional employers say they want1. Good communications skills: Can you..

Explain what youre doing (to co-worker or customer)?

Explain what you need (from a co-worker or customer)?

Ability to listen to instructions?

2. Critical thinking skills (if given a sequence of events, can youdetermine what will probably happen next)

3. Technical knowledge (degrees needed for half of all jobopenings)

4. Can-do attitude / pleasant attitude (workers who areengaged in their work)

5. Can you work with people who are of a different age,

race, gender and education level than you?


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The greater the challenge, the more

important that we all work together

aligning education and the economy dallas april 2012

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