1

Guillaume Payre – Sciences Po Paris

MIDS = Multifunction Information DistributionEurofighter = EADS + BAe = UK Typhoon +

GER + IT + SP (+ Greece + SAUDI ARABIA)SCALP Storm Shadow = MBDA= UK + FR + IT

AWACS=Airborne Warning And Control System (Boeing)

/JSTAR = Surveillance Target Attack.Radar System

/AGS = ‘Alliance’ Air Ground Surveillance

2

Why an AGS is NEEDed ?

1993 60 billion 6 x 1010

2000 4,000 billion 4 x 1012

2005 280,000 billion

2.8 x 1014

Speed of Processing Information Has Grown

Exponentially

Operations per Second (FLOPS)

3

Increase in Communications

CapacityOperation Year Megabytes/

Second

Desert Storm 1991 99

Iraqi Freedom

2003 3,200

4

World War II 1000-2000

Vietnam 20-50

Desert Storm 3-4

Kosovo, Iraq > one target/sortie

Aircraft Sorties to Destroy a Fixed Target

5

WHO is in charge ?

FRANCE (Thales)+GERMANY (Airbus)+BELGIUM NETHERLANDS (EADS)+SPAIN (Indra)+ITALY (Galileo Avionica)+.+ + U.S.A. (Northrop Grumman)= all NATO members (80 firms)BUT NOT GREAT BRITAIN* & CANADA

6

Aircraft Inventory in EUROPE airforces (estimates)OLD

‘Conventional’

NEW F-16,

Rafale Eurofighter, Gripen,

JSF

Unmanned

UAV+UCAV

2003

~1,900 ~160 0

2009

~1,600 ~400 ~400

2015

~1,100 ~800 ~700

2021

~300 ~~1,000 ~900

7

Plane A 321

Propulsion

Weapons

Sensors

Communications

10 – 20 years

5 – 15 years

8 – 10 years

3 – 8 years

2 y

1 y

,5 y

Technologies dramatically different

cycle times

IT Components

IT software