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American 'Globalism' and Asian ' in the Age of Transformation of System 著者 Sugiura Katsumi 出版者 Institute of Comparative Econom Hosei University journal or publication title Journal of International Econom volume 13 page range 59-70 year 1999-03 URL http://hdl.handle.net/10114/352

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Page 1: American 'Globalism' and Asian 'Regionalism' in the Age of … · 2019. 8. 19. · American 'Globalism' and Asian 'Regionalism' in the Age of Transformation of the World System 著者

American 'Globalism' and Asian 'Regionalism'in the Age of Transformation of the WorldSystem

著者 Sugiura Katsumi出版者 Institute of Comparative Economic Studies,

Hosei Universityjournal orpublication title

Journal of International Economic Studies

volume 13page range 59-70year 1999-03URL http://hdl.handle.net/10114/352

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JournalofIntemationaIEconomicStudies(1999),NC」3,59-70 C1999TheInstituteofComparativeEconomicStudics,HoseiUnivemsitv

AmericanGG1obalism,andAsianGRegionalism, mtheAgeofTransfbrmation

oftlleWorldSysteln

KatsumiSugiura

Fhmノワq/Ebo"o加鰄Tbjb10U>ziDe汀i妙

Thehistoryoftheinternationaleconomyisoneofswmgsbetweenglobalismand regionalism・Thetendencytowardglobalismcouldbeseenduringtheperiodofliberalismofthel9thcentury,therelativestabilityaftertheFirstWorldWar,andthe goldenyearsofthel950sand1960s,whereasthetendencytowardregionalismcanbe seenintheperiodsofme1℃antilismofthel7thandl8thcenturies,theageofclassical imperialism,andthegreatdepressionofthel930s・Duringperiodsofstability,theworldsystemhasshownthetendencytowardglobalism,Butinperiodsdurmgwhich theworldsystemhasbeenrocked,andtheprevailingeconomicorderincollapse,it hasshownatendencytowardregionalismHowever,ifwelookattheperiodfbllow‐ ingtheHrstOilShock,andespeciallytheperiodledbyneoliberalism,thereareissues thatcannotbeexplainedeasilyfmmtheaboveidea・

TheWTO(WorldTradeOrganization)wasfbrmedessentiallyasareincama‐ tionofthelTO(InternationalTradeOrganization),whichwasbomprematurely aftertheSecondWorldWar・Withit,theprmciplesofliberalismmultilateralism,andnon-discriminationwereachievedThisthusshowsatendencytowardglobalism、However,regionalgroupingssuchasNAFTA(NorthAtlanticFreeTradeArea)and theEU(EuropeanUnion)havetakenongreatersigmficancetodaythaneverbefbre WecaninterprCtthisasahistoricalswingtowardregionalism、Ifweinterpretthedichotomybetweenglobalismandregionalismasonebetweenliberalismandprotec‐ tionism,wefindourselveswithoutanyanswertothequestionofwhetherhistory movestowardliberalismorprotectionism・Thesituationisverycomplicatedtoday・

Ininternationaleconomicrelations,therearethreetypesoftradeSystems:(1) multilateral,(2)regional,and(3)bilateraLFromthepointofviewoftheprinciples ofliberalism,multilateralismandnon-discrimination,thefirstsystemfitsintoasepa‐ ratecategorythanthesecondandthirdThelatteraredifYerentfi・omthefbrmer,in thattheymodifyitsgeneralrules、Thelattercontaindiscriminatoryelementwhichplacerestrictionsontheprinciplesofliberalism,multilateralismandnoL discrimination・

However,itwouldbehastytoconcludethatthetwokindsofworldsystemsare alwaysinmutualconfrontation、Forinstance,afteritsfbundation,GATT(GeneralAgreementonTarifISandTrade)recognizedacertamtypeofeconomicintegration・Thiswasthoughttobeacoul巴ethroughwhichitsconstituentsneededtopassinordertoattaintheprinciplesofliberalism,multilateralismandnon-discrimination、Infact,

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American`G1obalism,andAsian`Regionalism,inthcAgeofTransIbrmationofthcWorldSystcm

EuropeancountriesneededtointegratetheireconomiesinthefaceofAmerican

competitionfbllowingtheSecondWorldWar・Theyusedeconomicintegrationasameanstoachieveeconomicindependenceandtofbrmmultilateralrelationswith othercountries,WhilethetwokmdsofworldsystemarefimdamentallydifTerent,

andopposedtooneanotheronthedimensionofprinciples,theycanbecomplemen‐ taryinspecialsituationssuchasperiodsofrestorationfbllowingworldwars、

Nowweneedtoexplorethequestionofwhetherthetwokindsofsystemshave becomelockedintoacomplementaryrelationshipagainfbllowingthefirstOilShock UnlessNAFrAandtheEUarehistoricalaccidents,theremustbeareasonbehind

thisproblem、

Myassumptionregardingthisquestionisthatwearenowinahistoricalprocess ofthebreak-downoftheHzxdmerjcq"αandthisisthekeyelementinanalyzingthe

question.TheUnitedStatestodayisnolongercapableofmaintainingtheworld orderindependently,asanuniquehegemonintheworldsystem・Inordertosolveimportantproblemsinthemidstofthetri-polarizationofworldeconomy(mthe US.,EuropeandJapan/Asia),itisnecessarytocombmethemultilateralsystem basedontheprinciplesofliberalism,multilateralismandnon-discrimination,andthe regionalandbilateralsystemswhichwereintroducedafterrestrictingandmodifying thegeneralrulesandrecognizmgthevalidityofdiscriminationinsomecases,Ameri‐ canleadershipintheperiodofneoliberalismmustbeunderstoodasaphenomenonof decliningAmericaneconomicpower.

1.TheLimitationsoftheAmericanEconomyinthel990s

America,seconomicdeclinecanonlybeunderstandafterexaminingthehistorical

meaningofitseconomicperfbrmanceinthel990s、Upuntill997,infact,thegrowthratehasbeenveryhigh,atalmostthesamelevelasthatduringthegoldenyears・Increasesininvestmentshavebeenextraordinarilylarge,inbothvalueandvolume、Thisinvestmenthasbeenconcentratedintoinfbrmationprocessingandrelatedequip-

ment,especiallycomputersandperipheralequipment、Theincreaseintheproductionofdurablegoodshasbeenverylarge,andcorporateprofitshaveincreasedimmensely、MoreimportantstUlarethehighratiosofprofitstostockholders,equityandof profitstosales,FromtheviewpointoftherateofproHts,thisdecadehasbeenone ofthebrightestsincetheSecondWorldWar・Oneofthemostimportantresourcesofcorporateprofitshasbeenthecountry,smonopolyoninfblmation,andworld standardization,asexemplifiedbytheMicrosoftWindowsseries,

However,theAmericaneconomytodayalsoholdsgreatweaknesses・TheUnitedStatesisrunninggreatdeficitsinitsbalanceongoodsandservicesandoncurrent accounts,anditsinternationalinvestmentspositionshowsthatAmericaistheworld,s largestdebtorcountry,saddledwitheverlargerliabilities、Thecountry,sprosperityduringthisdecadehasbeenachievedthankstoinvestmentsfiPomabroad,whichhave madeupfbrthedeficienciesinitsfinancialposition,

Buttoday,wagesarerisingandproHtsdecliningThehedgefimdcrisishas shakenthegeneralconfIdenceofthefinancialsystem・ThefkhllofsharepricesontheNewYorkStockExchangewillbringgreatflnancialdifTicultiestotheentireecon-omy.

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KatSumiSugiura

Atpresent,theAmericaneconomyiscertainlyofTeringnewsuggestionsfbrthe future,butithasnotbeenabletoestablishaneweconomicstructureuponwhichthe economicsystemcanworkwithsubstantialstability・AmericanprosperityhasbeensupportedbyahugevolumeofJapanesefilndswhichhavemovedasaresultofthe

Japaneserecession・Americaneconomicleadershiphasnotbroughtmtemationalprosperity,America,seconomicdeclineisclearlyshownbythefactthatitisan accumulationoffbreignliabilitiesthathasenabledAmericaneconomicgrowthand theintemationalleadershipofAmericancorporations,However,inspiteofthe country,seconomicdecline,Americancorporationsareleadingthereorganizationof internationalmdustrialstructures,andworldmarketsarebeingopenedasaresultof Americantradepolicyinitiatives、Thisisthemainsubjectofthefbllowingsection.

2.TheAmericanInitiativefbrEconomicOpeningintheAge ofNeolibera1i二m

Neoliberalismputstoomuchstressonthemarket・ItappearstoholdhostilefeelingsagainstSovietsocialismandKeynesianism,andthesefbelingssupportits ideology・Theideologyofneoliberalismispresentedasanoppositepolicytosocial‐ismandKeynesianism,Therefbreitlackssovereigntyanduniversalityasapositive thought・

TraditionalliberalismgrewoutofBritishsociety,wherethemarketwasnot

everything・NeoliberalismhasadvancedinAmerica,smarketsociety,anearlypurelaboratoryfbrindividualismwherepeopleareseparatedfromtraditionalsocietiesand ethnicgroups,

AmencanliberalismwasusedasanideologytocounterRussiansocialism duringAmerica,sgoldenage,inthel950sandl960s、Itgavepositivesupporttoeconomicplanninginordertodemonstratethatthemarketwasgood、Americanliberalismcanrightlycalledaconstructedratherthanspontaneousdoctrine,while Britishliberalismwasthenaturalexpressionofaspontaneousmarketorder、Ameri‐canliberalismwascombinedwiththeideologyofthewelfarestateandinternation‐ allywithNewDeal-typepolicies,whereasKeynesianismtendedtowardsocial democracy・Neoliberalismappearedasanantithesistothesewelfareideologiesandtosocialism・Itputtremendousweightonthemarket・AtthesametimeitappearedasanideologytoglobahzetheAmericanwayofthinking・

Neoliberalismisnotanaturalexpressionofspontaneousmarkets,Itdoesnot contendthatAmencancompanieswnlprosperwithinlocalfbreigninstitutions・ItrequiresareorganizationofdomesticeconomicsystemsonthebasisofanAmerican standard・AbolishingregulationsmeansaccedingtoAmericanstandards,HoweverthispositivismisnotevidenceoftheexistenceofAmericanhegemony,butrather fbllowsthecollapseofAmericaneconomichegemony・Itisarequirementfbrreor-ganizingfbreigninstitutions,drivenbyAmencanpoliticalleadership・Thisisbasisfbrtheideologyofneoliberalisminthel980sandl990s・

Sincel970,therehasbeenatendencytowardprotectionisminAmerlcantrade ●

policy・GeneraUyspeaking,bothmanufacturersandtradeunionshavestressedthe

needtoprotectdomesticmdustries,especiallyindepressedperiods,inordertomain‐ tamemploymentandprofIts・TheTradeActofl974considerablyeasedthe

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Amerlcan`Globalism,andAsian`Rcgionalism,iuDtheAgcofTranslbrmationo「theWor1dSystemC

previouslystricteligibilitycriteriafbrapprovalofescape-clausepetitions,andit reducedthepresident,sabilitytoignoreanInternationalTradeCommissionrecom-mendationofincreasedimportbarrierstoassuagedomesticinjury・

Thesecrudeprotectionistpoliciesareaccompaniedbyopenmarketpolicies whichrequirereductionsintariffもandtheeliminationofnon-tarifTbarriers・There-fbreAmericantradepolicyasawholecannotbetermedsimpleprotectionism・But

theyaregeneralizedversionsofthepoliciesthatwereintroducedinthel950sand l960stoprotectindividualindustries,suchastextileandsteel,inanexpressionofthe declineofAmericanindustrialcompetitivenessHoweverinspiteofthedeclineofits

industrialcompetitiveness,AmericahasrefrainedfiPomadoptingasimplepro-tectionisttradepolicy、Thisisoneofthecharacteristicsofmoderncapitalism・

AmericanpolicyistofbcusonspecificfbreigninstitutionsinthedifYerentcoun‐ tries,exempliHedbytheStrategiclmpedimentsInitiative(SII),whichcausedterrible quarrelsbetweenJapanandAmerica,sincetheUS・wasaccusingtraditionalJapaneseproceduresofbeingunfair,Super301,whichisreinstitutedbyanexecutiveorderof thepresident,playsthesamerole,asitenablestheUS・toimplementunilateralsanc-tionsagainstnationswithunfairtradepractices,resultinginitsscaringfbreigninsti-tutionsintochanging、WecanrecognizeherethewillofthestatewhichseekstoconstructandmaintainaspaceofactionfbrAmericanmultinationalcorporations、

Thoughitrejectedprotectionistpolicies,NAFTAdidstrengthenlocalcontents restrictions、Howevertheprotectionistmeaningoftheopenmarketstrategyconsists

initsleadershipofglobalizationinthecompetitionbetweencorporations.Inorder

toprepareaspaceofactionfbrAmerican-basedmultinationals,theAmericangov‐ ernmenthasworkedtocreatenewinternationalrulesinthenewareasoffbreign

investment,tradeinservices,protectionofintellectualpropertyrights,policiesfbr

restrictingandprohibitingcompetition,andtheestablishmentofelectroniccom‐ mercetransactions・Thisopenmarketstrategyhasbeenaccompaniedbycompetition

byAmericanfirmstoacquireinternationalstandardsintheworldmarketandto maintainmonopolisticprofits、Thus,themtentionofthispolicyistotransfbrmthe

originalinstitutionsofAmericanfYrmsintoaworldregime・ThisglobalizationofAmericanstandardsisatypeofglobalism,butitisnotatypeoftheglobalismwhich

confIImsaspontaneousinternationalmarketorderonthebasisofthecoexistenceof variousmstitutions・Itisnotprotectionism,butsinceitisegoisticstrategy,itinevita‐

blyfallsintoconflictwithotherinterests・Institutionalrelationscanonlybeestab-lishedonthegroundofinteractivecooperationGiventhatAmericaneedstofbrm anewspaceofactionfbrAmerican-basedmultinationalcorporationsinanerawhen Americaneconomichegemonyhascollapsed,Americamustseekthecooperationof otheradvancedcountries,fbrotherwiseitwillnotbeabletocarrythroughitsopen

marketstrategy、ItisatypeofglobalismwhichputsweightonpoliticalleadershipThemilitaryandeconomicdimensionsoftheworldsystemstandinstarkcon-

trast・Inthemilitaryarea,therearetwopoles,AmericaandRussia,ButRussiano

longerhastheeconomicpowertomaintaingreatmilitarymight、Moreover,theproliferationofnuclearweaponsthreatensthisbipolarstmcture,andbiologicaland chemicalweaponsmaybeusedbynon-governmentalorganizations・Evenmilitarysuperpowerscannotpreventterroristactions、

Theeconomicworldsystemconsistsofatripolarstructure,madeupofAmerica,

theEUandJapan/Asia・Amongthem,Americaleadsinleadingedgeindustriessuch

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KatsumiSugiura

astheinfbrmationindustry・However,anaccumulationstructureledbyAmericahasnotyetbeenestablished・TheUnitedStates,economichegemonyhasalreadycol-1apsedThelackofanintegratingpowerfbrtheworldeconomicsystemisencourag-ingtheprocessofrecessiontoday、WeconfiPontthepossibilityofaspiraldescent・

Thepoliticalsystem,fbritspart,issituatedbetweenthemilitaryandeconomic systems・Here,Americanleadershipisconspicuous・Thisdoesnotmeanthatthe

presidentialpowerbaseisstrongeitherdomesticallyorintemationally・IftheAmeri‐caneconomyfklllsintoaseveredepression,domesticsupportfbrthepowerbasewill collapse・Inordertomaintainthecapacitytocontroltheworldmilitarily,theU・SmustgiveeconomicaidtoRussia,butneedscooperationwiththeEUandJapan SincetheRussiancurrencycrisis,theinHowofprivatecapitalhasdwindled,sogov‐ enⅡnentaidhasbecomecruciaLMacro-economicmanagementismoredifficultin arecessionthanduringotherperiods,becausethedistributionoflossesbecomesthe

maininternationalproblem・CooperationwiththeEUandJapanisbecomingmoreandmoredifY1culLTherefbrethereisapossibilitythataparadigmofregionalism willarise,withtheaimofdividingtheworldmarketandrealizingdividedadjustment andcontrolofeachregion,separatelyandlocally・

Thisleadsustothenextquestions・IftheEUandJapanneedtocooperatewithAmericaandtomakeregionalconnections,whatkindofsystemwillappear?Howdo internationaleconomicorganizationsrelatewiththetripolarsystem?Howdoes

AmericanleadershiprelatetotheregionalconnectionsoftheEUandJapan/Asia? HowwillthiscomplexsystemfimctionintheprocessofeconomicrecoveryfiPom recession?WheredotheregionalconnectionsbetweenJapanandAsiabegin?

3.RegionalConnectionsinAsia

Generallyspeaking,regionalconnectionsinvolveinstitutionaladjustmentsof economicpoliciesandexchangeratesofcurrenciesofthediffbrentcountries・Theywerefirstintroducedinordertoprotecttheindustriesofeachcountry,soinsome casestheyinvolvebeggar-their-neighborpolicies、Howeverthereareavarietyofwaysinwhichplurilateralagreementscanserveasbuildingblocksfbrmultilateral marketopening・Moreover,today,sregionalconnectionshavevanousmeanings・

Throughitsregionalintegration,theEUintendstocreateanewmarketandto

constructstablerelationsbetweentheconstituentcountriesthroughpolicyadjust‐ mentsandcurrencyintegration,withaspecificpolitical'objective,namelythepeace ofEurope・Moreovertherearcimplicationsofeconomicintegration,suchasenviron‐mentalregulationswhichcannotberealizedbyanysinglecou、try、Socialclausesconcerninglaborareintroducednotonlywiththeintentiontoequalizecompetitive conditionsamongfirms,butalsotoachievewelfareandsocialpolicies、TheEU

containsavarietyofimplicationswhicharenotsimplyeconomic,whichsignifynew stageofintegration

EastAsiaisnotintegratedinanyfbrmalway・Butinreality,itseconomyisnowintegrating、Pastcoloniesandhalfcolonieshavebecomeindustrialized,However

industrializationdoesnotcreateunifbrmmarketeconomies、ThoughtherearegTeatdifYerencesbetweentheEuropeaneconomies,thoseamongtheAsianeconomiesare morestrikingandinvolvenotjustquantitybutqualityaswelLThisdiverseregion

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American`GlobalismOandAsian`Regionalism,inthcAgeo「TransfbrmationoftheWorldSystem

isnowbeingtiedtogetherthroughAPEC(AsiaPacifIcEconomicCooperation), ASEAN(AssociationofSoutheastAsianNations)andpotentiallybyEAEC(East AsianEconomicCaucus).Buttheprocessofconsciousintegrationhasyettobegin・Thediverseeconomiesarenowstrengtheningtheirinterrelatedness,givmgriseto

integrationasaconsequence・ThisisthepresentstateofAsia,TheeconomicexpansionintothePacificandEastAsianarea,mamlybyAmer‐

icaandJapan,wasthenecessarypreconditionfbrtheeconomicgmwthoftheAsian

NIEs(NewlylndustrializingEconomies)andASEANcountries・certainly,whilethemarketmechanismcontributedtothiseconomicgrowthbypromotingtheeffi‐

cientdistributionofresources,itdidnotcausethedynamiceconomicgrowthln EastAsia,industrialpolicieswereconsciouslyadopted,meaningthatgovernments playedpositiveroles,Statessteppedintothecatch-upprocessofinnovativetechnol-

ogy、Thedevelopmentalstateshavepromotedeconomicinterdependenceduringtheeconomicexpansion,leavmgeconomicregulationsinvariousways・Inthiscase,

institutionalandorganizationalcharacteristicsofthedifYerenteconomies,basedupon theircountries,culturaltraits,werecloselylinkedwiththeprocessofeconomicdevel‐

opment・Thisisnottosaythatalltraditionshelpedtoaccelerateeconomicgrowth,butlocaloriginalitieswereselectedtocontributetothegrowth

TheeconomicgrowthoftheEastAsianNIEsandASEANcountrieswas

spurredbytheinflowoffbreigmcapitalfiPomAmericaandJapan・Atfirst,advantagewastakenoflowwages,andlaterofotherlocalspecifIcfbatures,Localpeculiarities

minstitutionsandorganizationswerealsopickedup,andtakenadvantageofalter‐ nately,sothesepeculiaritieshadthefilnctionofpromotmgeconomicgrowth・Asaresultofthis,thehabitatsegregationstructureofeastAsiahasbeenpreserved

ThehighyendroveJapanesenrmstoexportcapitaltoAsianNIEsandASEAN

countries・However,theydidnotmakeinroadintothenewareasmidenticalways、NotallfirmslocatedtheirresearchdepartmentsinJapanandtheirproductionfacili-

tiesinfbreigncountries,SomepreservedamotherfactoryinJapan,andotherstrans‐

felTedtheirresearchfncilitiestofbrei8mcountries、ThefrontierofeconomicgrowthwasspreadfromASEANtoChina,andfnctoriesaimingfbrcheaplaborfbllowedthis

pathThesituationandroleofeachfactoryhaschangedrapidly,butthereremains diversitymtermsoffirmorganization

Eachareacontainsculturallydiverseelements・Someareasthatareverydiffer‐entinthedimensionsoflanguage,religionandculturearecloselyconnectedwithone

anotherintheeconomicdimensionLinkagesarenotlimitedtotraderelations,but

arealsobasedonthedivisionoflaborbetweenmanufacturingprocessesinfirms、

Multinationalcorporationsmoverapidlybetweendiversenationsダpropelledbyposi‐ tiveopeneconomicpoliciesandthefbreigncapitalinducementpoliciesofdevelop‐ mentalstates,takingadvantageofthesetoflndgoodconditionsfbrtheflrms,growth,

ThesemultmationalcorporationsarenotonlybasedinAmericaandJapan. FirmsfromtheAsianNIEsandChinese-relatedenterprisesareactiveNetworkof

tradeandcapitaltransfersarefbrmed・Thepointisthatthebondsofthenetworkare

situatedmdiversesocieties,withgreatdifYerencesintermsofpolitics,socialstructure andculture

ThebasicculturalstructureisnotonlyChinese、SoutheastAsiahasbeeninflu‐

encedbyIndiaandIslam、Therearevarlousreligions,suchasConfilcianism,Bud‐

dhism,IslamandChristianity・DemocraticpoliticscoexistwithdictatorshipThere

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aredifTerentideasofhumanrights・Socialthinkingconcerningtheindividualandsociety,andespeciallythestate,diffbrsslightlybetweenJapanese,ChineseandSouth‐ eastAsians・

Whatweneedtonoteisthatthesevariouselementsarenotmingled,butcoexist sidebyside、Multmationalcorporationstakeadvantageofdifferentlocalelementsastheystepoutfromtheirmothercountries・Theyselectappropriateelementsintermsoftechnologicallevel,educationandwages・Theyconsiderfactorssuchaswhether

tradeunionsarelegalorillegal,orwherepeopleareobedientordisobedient、Theytakevalues,historyandtraditionsintoconsideration、Peopleandsocietiesareexam‐ined,andeffIciencyfbrthefirmsissoughtafter・Thisisaveryconvenientworldfbrbusinesa

Asiandynamismisbasedonthishabitatsegmentationstructureofhumanbeings andsociety、Humanbeingstaketheirownmasksontothestagesandfillfllltheirownrolesinsociety、Asia,sdynamismseemstobeconstitutedbyopenhumanrelationsinthemarket,butthisnetworkcanonlyexistaslongaseachlocalpeculiarityissepa‐ ratedandpreserved

Inanycase,multinationalcorporationstakeadvantageofthehabitatsegmenta‐ tionstructureastheyintegratetheEastAsianwidemarket,resultinginthedynamic andmutuallyaccumulateddevelopmentoftheEastAsianeconomy・Certainlythishabitatsegmentationstructureisgraduallychanging・CapitalinsearchoflowwagesismovingfromtheAsianNIEstoASEAN,andtoChinaorlndia,Sometimesowing tostateregulations,multinationalcompaniesretreat・InsomecasesexperimentstointroduceJapaneseproductionsystemhavebeentried・Thehabitatsegmentationstructureisintheprocessofevolution

America-orientedconsumerculturehasemergedfromTokyoandcaptured peopleinEastAsia,sdevelopingcountries,ignitinglatentdemandinawaywhich appearstobeglitteringandglaring・ThisisthedrivingfbrcebehindAsiandyna-mismltisnotthedevelopmentofadivisionoflaborwithinacommonmarket

order,aspresupposedbyliberalism,butisratherthedevelopmentofinterdependent relationsunderpoliticallyandsociallydiverseconditions・Alloftheeconomiesdo

notshareasimilardevelopmentcourse,soeachcannotbeexplainedasreachingsome specificstageofanecessarydevelopingprocessWecannotconsiderKoreaand

Taiwantobetypical,orHongKongandSingaporetobenon-typicaLVarioustypes ofeconomies,tiedbymultinationalcorporationsandbyChinesehumanlinkages,are growingrapidly・TheeconomicdevelopmentofKorea,TaiwanandChinaareall

regulatedbydevelopmentalstates,soAsiandynamismisnotmerelyaninternational chainreactionofaccumulation、Onthecontrary,thenationalstatesallhavetheir

ownhistoricallydifTerentandindividualcharacteristics,sotheirdevelopmentcannot beexplainedbyasilnultaneousgrowthprocess、VariousexperiencesofdiffbrentstagesanddifTbrentregionsofcapitalismhavecontributedtotheeconomicgrowthof eastAsia,whereeacheconomicsocietyissegmentedculturaUyfrombutlinkedeco‐

nomicallywithothers,culminatinginachain-reactiongrowthprocess・InAsia,theeconomiesareintegratedinfact,butthereisnofbrmalcommon

market・AstheyconfiPontAmericanglobaliSm,eachcountryattemptsconservativelytoprotectitsownwayofmarketeconomywithindividualculturesandinstitutions、

ThoughAmencatlEatsChinaandJapanasthemaintargetsofitsbilateralnegotia-tions,thetwocountrieshaveftliledtocooperatetomaintaintheirownwayof

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economicdevelopment・

WithregardtocooperationamongeachAsiancountriesintheworldorder,

therearesomedelicatecontradictions・JapanenjoyshidingundertheAmericannuclearumbrella,but,whenitactsasoneoftheworld,slargesteconomicpowers,it sometimescomesintoconflictwithAmericaneconomicinterests、Asianregionalismisacriticalissue・Chinaclingstoitsnucleararsenal,anddoesnotdispensewithmilitarymightwhendealingwithTaiwan・ButrecentlytherivalrywithAmericathathasexistedsmcetheTiananmencrisisseemstohavesettled,andChina,sfimdamental

policyonTaiwanhasbeenrecognizedbyAmerica・Onthisissue,JapanhasnotacceptedtheChinesepolicy,probablyduetoTaiwaneseinterestsintheLiberal

DemocratParty、Koreasometimestakesveryconfrontationalattitudestoward

Japan・ItisconstructingaholisticindustrialbasesimilartoJapan,s・Severecompe‐titionbetweenKoreanandJapaneseCompaniessometimesgivesrisetooverproduc‐ tion,ItisunlikelythatKoreancompanieswillcatchupandsurpassJapanese companiesintheshortterm・Butthedivision-ofL1aborstructureinAsiawillbringaboutinstability、

Atpresent,EastAsiaisinthemidstofaneconomicrecessionswhichhighlights theneedfbrcooperationamongEastAsiancountriestorestorebusinesshealth

WemustatfirstconsiderwhatcausedtheAsiancnses・

Tobeginwith,wecanconHrmthattheEastAsiancountriesreachedasuper‐ heatedeconomicstate・Followingalongperiodofhighgrowth,afterl995therates

begangraduallytofalLTheratesofinvestmentwerehigherthanthoseofsaving, whichwerethemselvesextremelyhighManyoftheeconomiesranbalanceoftrade

deficitsbecauseofthehighlevelofcapitalgoodimportsduetoincreasinginvest-ments、InfrastructureinareassuchastransportationandenergybecamebottleneckstofUrthereconomicgrowth・Laborshortagesoccurred,andtherelationshipbetweencaPitalandlaborbecamepressed、Underthissituation,somemarketsbecameover‐

suppliedasaresultofover-competitionintheautomobileandmicroelectronicsindus-

tries,whichwerebattlegroundscontestedbyalltheEastAsiancountries,andbythe lowerlngofthecompetitivenessofSouthEastAsiancountriesowingtoChina,srapid growthStockandrealestatemarketbubblesemergedandthenburst・Financialcompanieswhowerecaughtupinthesebubbleswereseriouslyhurtbydebtaccumu‐ lation

Secondly,itiscertainthatenormouscapitalmovementsbymultinationalfinan-cialcompanieswerethedirectcauseofthesuperheatedstateofbusinesswhichoc‐

curredsimultaneouslyallaroundEastAsia,atatimewhencapitalinflowswere welcomed・DirectcapitalinvestmentsfromJapan,theUS.,andEuropeincreased・Stockinvestmentsandbankers,loansincreaseddramatically、TheexchangeratesofmostEastAsiandevelopingcountrieswerepeggedtothedollar,sofInancialinstitu‐

tionsfbnnedtheexpectationthatcurrencyvalueswouldremainfIxedtotheUS

dollar・Theyborrowedalotofshort-termcapitalfromfbreigncompanies・Thefmancialstructurebecameweak,inthatdomesticcompanieswereborrowingshort-termfimdsfiromfbreigncompaniesandlendinglong-termfimdstospeculativereal estateinvestments・

Thirdly,wecanconfirmthatthesimultaneouswithdrawalofloansbyfbreign companieswasthedefinitetriggerbehindtheEastAsiancurrencycrises・Thefinan-cialmarketsexhibitedextremevolatility,resultinginasharpslowdowni、private

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capitalinHows,leadingtoasigniHcantslowdownineconomicactivity,Underthe pressureofthefInancialcrisis,theEastAsiancountrieshavesufTeredalossofincome

andproduction・Despitetheclosingdownofmanynon-viablefmancecompanies,theremainingflnancialinstitutionsystemhasnotyetbeenabletoescapeandrecover fi「omthegenerallossofconfidence、

Manyargumentshavebeenp1℃sentedregardingtheAsiancurrencycrisis・Wewouldliketoreducethemtothreepoints:(1)criticismofmarketworship,(2) criticismofthelMF(InternationalMonetaryFund)and(3)internationalcoopera‐ tionmechanismstoovercometheAsianeconomiccrisis・

Withregardtothepotentialfbrlong-termeconomicgrowthoftheEastAsian countries,thereisgreatdebateoverwhetherChineseeconomywillbeabletomain‐ tainitscurrentgrowthpathinthe21stcentury・Itislikelythereisanotherissue,ofwhethertheEastAsianeconomieswiUbeabletoquicklyrecovertotheirprevious economicgrowthtracks,orwhetherthiswilltaketime・Atpresent,mostopinionftworsthelatter・Itimpliestheyhavelosttheconfidenceofthemarket・ForAsian

people,themarketmeansglobalismTheyhavelosttheconfidenceofglobalism・Theirinsightsuggeststhatdevelopingcountriesshouldcontrolshort-termcross-borderflowsiftheywanttomaintainhigheconomicgrowthrates・Malaysiahur‐riedlyinstitutedapolicyofexchangeregulations、Atp正sent,therearenostrongargumentsinfavorofabolishingthemarketeconomyandadoptingeconomicplan‐ ningisweak,butthekingofThailandhasappealedfbraselfsufHcienteconomyand thegovernmenthasincreaseditsagriculturalbudgetinordertopreservethelocal society,whichisthesafbtynetfbrdropoutsffomthemarketeconomy・Thismaybeatraditionalidea,butisanexpressionofcounterideologiestomarketworship・

CriticismofmarketworshipisconnectedtocriticismofthelMF,whosefimda‐ mentalideologyisthemarketandglobalism,ThelMFhasbeencriticizedfbroHbr‐

ingoldcurestothecurrencycrisis、Inthepast,EastAsiangovemmentswerenotconcernedaboutrecklessspendingpolicies,butthelMFrequiredthemtoimpose fiscalausterity、TightfIscalpolicyinaperiodofrecessioncandelayeconomicrecov‐eryandendangerthesocialsafetynet,Moreover,thelMFattachedconditionalities

suchasmaintainingtradeandcapitalaccountliberalization・ButmanypeopleinEastAsiahavestressedthatoneoftheimportantcausesofthecurrencycrisisistheenor‐ mousinflowsandwithdrawalsofshort-tenncapitalbyfInancialCompanies,including thehedgefUnds・Consequently,theyarepursuingoversightandcontroloverthefbreignfmancialcompanieswhichmovegreatamountofspeculativecross-border short-termfimds・

Theissueofmonitormgspeculativecapitalwasputfbrwardwhentheinterna-tionalfmancialcrisisspreadtoBrazil,intheUnitedStates,backyard,Attheinitia- tiveoftheAmericanandBritishleadership,theG7(ConfbrenceofMinistersand GovernorsoftheGroupofSevenCountries)issuedastatementthatexposureofthe short-termcapitalmovementsofhedgefimdswasanissuethatneededtobeconsid-

eredHowever,theproblemtoregulatespeculativecapitalmovementsisnotmerely thatofrestoringconfldenceintheshort-run,butisalsothatofhowtorecoverthe

industriesandhowtoretumtothetrackofeconomicgrowthinthelongrun.The meanstoregulatespeculativecapitalmovementswillinnuencetheprocessthereafter・

ThesoundmonetarypolicysoughtbythelMFrequiresfinancialstructural refbrm,includingthesettlementofbaddebts,butthisinturncreatesseriousCredit

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American`G1obalism,andAsian`Regionalism,inIheAgcofTransfbnnatiomo『theWorldSystem

crunchesandmassivefailuresoffinancial,commercialandmanufncturingenter‐

pnses,Atightmonetalypolicycangiverisetoadeepdepression,thusdelayingthe recovertohighereconomicgrowth,andcreatingthepossibilityofadrop-outfrom theeconomy,sgrowthpathintoastateofstagnation

lnresponsetothesecriticisms,thelMFhasfbunditselffbmedtochangeits policies・TheAmericanandEuropeanmoneymarketsfbundtheyneededtoconductanurgentrescueofonehedgefimd,andthepressingcrisisinBrazilmadethembegin topreparefbrpoliciestoavoidit,ThelMFtriedtocreateanewloanpolicytoassist countriesfromwhichcapitalwasbeingwithdrawn,andstrengthenedmonitoring internationalcapitalmovements・

Upuntilnow,theAsiancurrencycriseshavebeendealtwithusingthetradi‐ tionalmethodsespousedbytheIMF・ManycompanieshavefniledorhavebeenabsorbedbylargeHrms,eitherdomesticorfbreign、ThefaUofexchangeratesofAsiancunPencieshasmadethecostofsuchacquisitionsfkworablefbrfbreigncompa-

nies,aslongasthereistheprospectthattheprofltabilityoftheabsorbedcompanies willrecover・

Owingtotheseverecontraction,theAsianeconomieshavefhllenintonegative growth,andunemploymentrateshavejumped・ButThailandissaidtohavemadegreatstridestowardovercomingtheeconomicandfinancialcrisis,restoringitsexter‐ nalstrength,keepinginflationundercontrol,andlayingthebasisfbraresumptionof growthinl999.LikewiseKoreawasabletostabilizeitsexchangeandmarketinter‐ estrates,restructuretheshort-termdebtsoffinancialinstitution,andachieveasus-tainedcurrentaccountsurplus・ButowingtotheshockoftheculTencycrisisandthecreditcrunch,therealsectoriscontractingseverelymbothcountries,

MalaysiaandIndonesiafaceotherdifTicultiesinvolvingtheirpoliticsandecono‐ mies・ThefbrmerhastheconfrontationbetweenPrimeMinisterMahathirandhis

fbrmerAssistant-PrimeMmister・Anwarseemstofavorliberalism,buttheMahathir

hastriedtocontrolcapitalHowsandtherateofexchange、Thegrowthratehas

slowedagreatdeal,butmanybaddebtsremainunsettled,Bycontrast,Indonesiahas notbeenabletoestablishastablepoliticalorderyet・Thecompaniesownedbythe

Suhartofamilyhavenotbeentotallydealtwith、Thefiameworkoftheeconomicorderhasnotstabilized

TheChineseeconomyfncescompetitivepressurefiPomthefallingexchangerates inThailand,Korea,Malaysiaandlndonesia、Inevitably,therewillbemarketpres-sureontheChinesecurrency

lnthissituation,cooperationbetweenEastAsiancountriesisindispensable、Therewerealreadycallsfbrcooperationinordertostopthespreadofthecurrency crisisinThailand,becausede-fnctoeconomicintegrationwasalreadyprogressingin EastAsia・AnEMEAP(Executives,MeetingofEastAsia-PacincCentralBanks)Governors,MeetingwasheldinJulyl997・Giventhefactthatassetpricebubblescouldhaveasignificantimpactoneconomicactivities,financialsystemhealth,and inUation,andthatexcessivevolatilityinthecurrencymarketscouldaffectthemain‐ tenanceofthemonetaryandfinancialstabilityofitsmembers,EMEAPwelcomed initiativestostrengthenthefinancialpositionofthelMFthroughaNewArrange‐ menttoBorrow,andpresentedaclearplanfbrcooperationandcoordinationamong itsmember5inordertoenhancefinancialstabilityanddevelopmarketsintheAsia

PaciHcregion,InthefthceofThailand,scurrencycrisis,theEastAsiancountriesfblt

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KatsumiSugima

thelMF,sconditionalitieswastoosevere,andproposedanewplanfbranAMF (AsiaMonetaryFund).ThisplanwouldembraceJapan,china,Koreaandthe ASEANcountries,ItcouldtakeonsomeofthefimctionsofthelMEbutalsohad thepotentialtoputfbrwardindependentandoriginalideas,suchasthatloandeci‐ sionsshouldbedonebytheconstituentcountries,orthattheconstituentcountries

shouldhavetheroleofsurveyingeachothers,economicmanagement・HowevertheIMFandtheUnitedStates,whichhasgreatinHuenceoverthelMEraisedgreat objectionstothisplanbecauseitwouldbypasstheprevailinginternationalmonetary system,centeredaroundthelMFandtheU.S、AconferenceheldbetweentheUS., Japan,ASEAN,etc・heldinManila,rCjectedtheAMFplanandsetupanewsystemfbrfinancialaidwhichwouldcooperatewithandcomplementthelMF,

ThecurrencycrisisbeganinThailand,spreadtoEastAsia,engulfedRussia,and isnowleapingtoBraziLThus,aplantogetthecrisisundercontrolatanearlierstage usingregionalcooperationwouldhavebeenveIyrationaLButthiswasrejectedin ordertomaintainthepresentmonetarysystem,centeredaroundthelMFandthe

U.S、,thusdemonstratingAmericanleadershipConsequently,thecurrencycrisis spreadandworsened、TheUS・thenrequestedthatJapanmobilizebudgetaryre-sourcestopromoterecoveringfromthefmancialcrisisandeconomicdepression、PrimeMinisterHashimotolookeddispleased,butreluctantlyagreed・Hismainplank,ofbudgetarystructuralrefbrm,wasabandonedbyhissuccessor,PrimeMinis‐ terObuchi、ThenewplankistostoptheeconomiccrisisfiPomgettingbeyondJapan,usinglooseandrecklessbudgeting・

TheMiyazawalnitiative,whichaimstoachieveanEastAsianrecoveryand flnancialstabilization,hasbeenissuedThissupportprogramhasmadeAsianregion‐ alismintoapointofdispute、IftheplanleadstofblmalregionalCooperation,itwillinevitablyclashwithAmericanglobalism・EvenifitgainsMahathir,ssupport,thereisnopossibilityofavisionemergingwhichcontradictsJapan,sfbreignpolicy,which attachesgreatweighttoitsrelationswiththeUS・However,achievinganAsianeconomicrecoveryisanimportantelementfbrmaintainingAmericanprosperity・Asde-factoeconomicintegrationhasprogressed,economicpoliciesfbrbusinessrecovery wiUnothaveadequateefTectswithoutregionalcooperationandwithoutthecoordina‐ tionofeconomicpolicies・originalpolicycooperationandcollaborationinEastAsia,withintheUS.-centeredglobaleconomicpolicy,isgrowingimportant、TherefbretheUS、mustaskJapantoinitiatearecoverypolicyfbrEastAsia,fbrthesakeofitsown economy、

InNovemberl998,PresidentClmtonandPrimeMinisterObuchiissuedajoint statementsayingthattheywouldjointlylaunchanAsiangrowthandrecoveryinitia‐ tive・TheAmericanobjectiveinthisinitiativeseemstobetotakeleadershipinpolicydevelopmentsfbrtheAsianeconomicrecovery,drawingfimdfromJapan、Japan,sobjectiveseemstobetotaketheinitiativeinfbrmingregionalcoOperation,embracing arecoverypolicyfbrJapan,sowneconomyaswellastheinternationalizationofthe yen・Generallyspeaking,Japan,scontributionstoEastAsiawillflrstincreaseeffec‐

tivedemandintheregion,andsecondhelptofacilitatethesolutionoftheheavydebt burdensofcorporationsbyacceleratingthepaceofcorporateandbankrestructuring intheregion・Butinordertoenhancesuchregionaleffbcts,fimdexpendituresshouldbelimitedtocompaniesbasedwithintheregion,especiallyinJapan,andmoney shouldnotbetransmittedtospeculativecorporationsthroughAsianbankers.

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Amencan`Globalism,andAsian`RegioIualism,inthcAgco「TransIbrmationoftheWorldSystem

EssentialtothiseffbrttorevitalizeEastAsia,sprivatesectoristheneedtoensurethat

assistancefimdsremainthereCapitalliberalizationhaspromotedinHowandout‐

Howofenormousamountsofmoney・Itiscertainlypossibletoutilizethesemove‐

mentsofshort-termmoneyifeachcountrycanmaintainliquidityinitsaccounts・ButEastAsiancountrieshaverecognizedthatshort-termmoneyflowshaveampliHed theirflnancialdifYlculties・Accordingly,theyaretendingtoftlvorcontrolsoninter‐nationalmovementsofshort-termloans・Ifthispolicyisimplementedaspartofthe

region,seconomicrecoveryplan,itwillgivesatisftuctoryresults,throughwhichre‐ gionalcooperationandcollaborationmayresultinsomediscriminatoryregulations againstotherareas・TheMiyazawalnitiativemayproduceefficientresults,butitmayalsocausenewproblemsvis-a-visAmericanglobalism、

Japan'scontributionstoEastAsiarequested,asrequestedbytheUnitedStates, mayaccelerateregionalisminEastAsiabyrevitalizingtheAsianeconomies,Itmay bearegionalcooperationunderAmericanglobalism,andthusdiffbrentfromthe regionalblocksofthel930s・Buttheconceptsfbracourseofactionfbrregionalismhaveyettobeestablished,becausethestatesarecompetinghardwitheachother economically,andthewealthiest,Japan,cannotdisplayideologicalandpolitical leadershipbecauseofitspasLTherefbre,promotingEastAsianregionalismonthe baseofstatesisextremelydifficult.

4.RegionalisznThroughtheDimensionofLocalSocieties

Myconclusionisthatweshouldrecognizeregionalismbasedonthefimdamental principleofprivateintemationalrelations,becausefbrmalregionalismbasedonstate policieswillbeextremelydifficult、Theseprivaterelationsshouldembracenotonlycommercialrelationsbasedontheinternationalmarketorder,butalsonon-market

relationsbasedonwelfareandenvironmentalprinciples、Moreover,wecancombinemarketrelationswithnon-marketrelationsincommercialtransactions,fbrexample,

onconditionthattheyrealizetheprinciplesofwelfareandenvironment・Thisideaisnotinoppositiontoliberalism,butthemarketissituatedindiffbrent

dimensionsfromthesocialprinciplessuchaswelmreandenvironment・Intheglobal

system,thepriorityofthecenteroftheworldsystemshouldbemarketprinciples,and thatoftheperipheryoftheworldsystem,localsociety・Atthesemi-periphery,inplacessuchasthedevelopingcountriesofEastAsia,statesshouldsupplyadjustment mecbanisms・

Thisproposalisfbraregionalismwhichdoesnotseekhegemony,Itisnota closedregionalismcontrarytoglobalismltisnotafbrmalinternationalorganiza‐ tionbutamovementtowardgeneralprinciplesofwelfareandenvironment・From

thisviewpoint,theinternationalizationoftheyenisnotanimportantobjective、Themonetaryandbudgetarypoliciesofstates,andtheirsafetynets,arenotcriticaltothis regionalismWeshouldachievewelfareandenvironmentprinciplesinlocalsocieties, basedontraditionalorrefbrmedwaysofli化.Economicdifficultiesshouldbesolved

throughfi・eecommunicationsbetweenlocalsocieties.

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