american shipping company asa - zetta asfiles.zetta.no/ · 2014-03-18 · company overview american...
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American Shipping Company ASA j
A Pure Play Jones Act Company
New York, 12-13 December 2013
Important information
Slide 2
This Company Presentation is current as of 12 December 2013. Nothing herein shall create any
implication that there has been no change in the affairs of American Shipping Company ASA
("AMSC" or the "Company") since such date. This Company Presentation contains forward-looking
statements relating to the Company's business, the Company's prospects, potential future
performance and demand for the Company's assets, the Jones Act tanker market and other
forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements concern future circumstances and results
and other statements that are not historical facts, sometimes identified by the words "believes",
"expects", "predicts", "intends", "projects", "plans", "estimates", "aims", "foresees", "anticipates",
"targets", and similar expressions. The forward-looking statements contained in this Company
Presentation, including assumptions, opinions and views of the Company or cited from third party
sources, are solely opinions and forecasts which are subject to risks, uncertainties and other factors
that may cause actual events to differ materially from any anticipated development..
Agenda
Slide 3
Company
Market
AMSC / OSG
AMSC going forward
Company overview
American Shipping Company ASA
Slide 4
• Established in 2005
Ordered series of 10 MR product tankers at
Aker Philadelphia Shipyard
• All vessels on fixed bareboat charter to OSG
until YE 2019, with evergreen renewal
options
• OSG charters the vessels out to oil majors,
typically on 3-5 year time charters
• AMSC receives fixed BBC revenue of USD 88m /
year + 50% profit share
• Headquartered in Oslo, Norway with leasing
subsidiaries in Pennsylvania
• Listed on Oslo Stock Exchange
Jan 12 Apr 12 Jul 12 Oct 12 Jan 13 Apr 13 Jul 13 Oct 13
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
Source: FactSet Prices
Share price development
Major shareholders
Company
Equity issue just completed will strengthen AMSC’s balance sheet and support an attractive dividend profile
Slide 5
Capital structure based on USD 167m equity issue,
USDm Transaction overview
• New equity of almost USD 170m
− USD 120m in cash proceeds from private placement
− USD 29m of subordinated debt converted
− Subsequent offering of around USD 18m
• The equity issue will give a robust capital structure
facilitating a subsequent refinancing
− Equity ratio increased from 7% to around 20%
− Obtained option to extend the maturity of the NOK
Bond to 2021, removing a potential hurdle to
refinancing the bank debt in 2015-16
• Attractive investment vehicle
− Increased market cap and improved liquidity
− Quarterly dividends of USD 0.10/share already from Q2
2014, increasing with cash profit share payments after
Q4 2015
− Unique exposure to pure play Jones Act company in a
rising market
Notes: 1) AMSC market capitalisation based on a stock price of NOK 35.7 and a USD / NOK rate of 6.1 as of 10 Dec 2013 Source: AMSC, Arctic Sec. / Pareto Sec. research
Q3 ’13 pro-forma
1,009
681
328
Q3 ’13 reported
1,009
848
161
Net debt
Equity 1)
Company
Lean organisation with highly experienced management team
Slide 6
Annette
Malm
Justad
Chairperson
• Member of AMSC’s Board of Directors since December 2007
• Board member of PGS, Awilco LNG, Store Norske Kulkompani and Small Turbine Partners
• 2006 – 10: CEO of Eitzen Maritime Services ASA
• Previously: Various positions within Yara International ASA, Norgas Carriers/IM Skaugen ASA,
and Norsk Hydro ASA
• Master degree in Technology Management from MIT (Sloan School)/NTH/NHH in addition to a
MSc in Chemical Engineering from NTH
Dag
Fasmer
Wittusen
President
/ CEO
• CEO of AMSC from July 2011
• Previously: Special advisor to Aker ASA and Board Member of AMSC since 2009, in addition to
numerous executive positions within the Aker Group, including CEO of Aker Finans AS,
Executive Director of TH Global (ex Kvaerner PLC), member of various Aker boards, Executive
Vice President of Aker RGI and Managing Director of RGI. Also co-founder of investment banking
group Orkla Finans, Vice President of Eksportfinans and Loan Officer at the World Bank
• BA from Brown University and MPA from Princeton University
Leigh
Jaros
CFO /
Controller
• Controller in AMSC from July 2008 and CFO from July 2011
• Previously: +10 years of progressively responsible corporate financial experience including
financial reporting, analysis and budgeting. Ms. Jaros was employed by Aker Philadelphia
Shipyard as its Accounting Supervisor prior to joining AMSC.
• BSc in Finance and Economics from West Chester University
Company
Agenda
Slide 7
Company
Market
AMSC / OSG
AMSC going forward
Shale oil is the game changer
Slide 8
Shale oil production forecast 1) Seaborne Frac Oil out of Corpus Christi port, Texas
3
1
5
8
7
6
9
4
2
0
MMbbl/d +114% increase in
production in 2013-24
2030 2025 2020 2015 2010 2005 2000
350
300
250
200
150
100
50
0
450
400
Jul-
13
Jan-
13
Jul-
12
Jan-
12
Kbbl/d
Jul-
11
Jan-
11
Notes: 1) Includes shale oil and tight liquids, as defined by Rystad Energy Source: Port of Corpus Christi, Rystad Energy, Arctic Sec. / Pareto Sec. research
Market
Increased refining in the US Gulf drives demand for Jones Act tanker vessels
Slide 9
Continued shift of U.S. refining to Gulf Coast further
increases demand for Jones Act tanker vessels Price differential; Brent vs. Louisiana Light sweet crude
Eagle
Ford GuM
Permian
US oil fields
% of crude refinery capacity %
Bakken
19% 28%
10%
Source: MJLF and Associates as of Sep 2013, EIA, Navigistics Consulting ©, Arctic Sec. Equity Research
Bluewater
Pipeline
Barges Louisiana Light sweet crude
is trading almost USD 20
per bbl lower than Brent
Market
Overview of the Jones Act product tanker market
Slide 10
# of Jones Act tanker vessels by owner
Notes: 1) OSG ATB fleet includes 2 lightering vessels, which are illustrated separate ly in OSG’s own fleet reports Source: Navigistics Consulting ©, Arctic Sec. / Pareto Sec. research
1
1
4
4
5
10
3
4
2
6 3
9 5
8 6
7 4 3
12 10 1) 2
19 17 2
Newbuild ATBs
Newbuild tankers
Tankers
ATBs
Market
Fleet size has been reduced on account of OPA 90 – ageing of present fleet implies further scrapping
The Jones Act tanker fleet has been declining Vessel age since delivery
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
50
45
40
35
2009 2008
# vessels
in fleet
2013 2012 2011 2010
The fleet has been reduced
as a result of the Oil Pollution
Act of 1990, which requires
all vessels with single hulls
be phased out by end of
2015
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45
# vessels Tankers
ATBs
Notes: 1) Some of these were converted to double hulls several years after delivery Source: Navigistics Consulting ©, Arctic Sec. Equity Research
A total of 22 vessels
were built more than 28
years ago 1)
Slide 11
Market
Shipyard capacity is filling up, limiting the supply of new vessels
Slide 12
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Yard
Seacor PT 3
Seacor PT 2
Seacor PT 1
APT 4
APT 3
APT 2
APT 1
Vessel
Seacor option
Matson container 1
Crowley options
Crowley PT4
Matson container 2
Crowley PT2
Crowley PT1
SeaRiver 2
SeaRiver 1
Crowley PT3
Only two US shipyards – NASSCO and Aker Philadelphia Shipyard – have capability to
build MR size product tankers at competitive prices and timetables
Delivery schedule of new vessels, US Jones Act tanker
market Vessel age across Jones Act segments
33
2929
15
Dry bulk Container Ro-ro Tanker / ATB
Yards may build more container,
ro-ro and bulk vessels than those
already ordered – this would
further reduce yard availability for
product tankers
Source: Navigistics Consulting ©, United States Maritime Administration (MARAD) / IHS / Clarksons, Arctic Sec. / Pareto Sec. research
Market
The product tanker market is expected to remain tight in the coming years
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
USDk/day
’20e ’18e ’16e ’14e ’12 ’10 ’08 ’06 ’04 ’02 ’00
Favorable supply/demand metrics Daily Time Charter Rate Trend for Jones Act Tankers
Source: Navigistics Consulting © as of Aug 2013, Arctic Sec. / Pareto Sec. research Slide 13
Market
Increase in shale oil
production
Longer shipping
distances
Limited newbuild
capacity
Agenda
Slide 14
Company
Market
AMSC / OSG
AMSC going forward
All ten AMSC vessels are on evergreen bareboat charters with OSG
Slide 15
Long term
bareboat charters
50 / 50 profit split
with AMSC
Long term time
charters
• OSG time charters the vessels to
end user oil majors for Jones Act
trade
• AMSC receives fixed annual BBC of
USD 88 m + 50% of the profits
generated by OSG under the TCs
• OSG is in Chapter 11, but continues
to service AMSC punctually
• TC renewal options that OSG has
with their clients cannot be
exercised while OSG is in Chapter
11
• Significant upside potential through
an attractive profit sharing
agreement in tight Jones Act market
Currently in
Chapter 11
AMSC/OSG
The 10 vessels are leased bareboat to OSG, which has Time Charters with large US oil companies
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Customers Vessel
Tampa
Anacortes
Martinez
Nikiski
Boston
Texas City
New York
Los Angeles
Long Beach
Houston
AMSC earns a fixed payment of USD 88m / year + profit split
Higher TC rates are expected for OSG at TC renewals
Rebuild to shuttle
Notes: 1) TC rates for Aug 2013. Texas City TC rates are based on June 2013 figures, due to drydocking in July-Aug 2) Navigistics Consulting © estimate of 2013 Jones Act tanker market rate Source: OSG Form 8-K as of Sep 20, 2013
OSG customer fixed contract length and customer OSG current TC rates1) vs
market rates
53
58
65
53
65
47
47
47
47
65
2013 market rate @ USD 70k/d 2)
Current TC rates are
escalated over time
and different rates
apply for option
periods
Option period
Option period
Option period
Option period
Tampa to enter shuttle tanker service
Option
Slide 16
AMSC/OSG
TCE hire BBC hire OPEX, Profit layer
to OSG and other Drydock provision Profit to share(2)
Outline of the OSG profit share arrangement: Q2 2013 financials
Slide 17
4
52
1
24
22
- - - =
Source: AMSC Q3 2013 report Note : 1) 2013 full year estimate 2) Balance of profit share overhang will be paid down through generated profit sharing going forward. AMSC is likely to repay any remaining profit share overhang in Q4 2015.
2013 breakeven TC rates is approx. USD 49k/d (1)
Non-cash; currently
booked against profit
share overhang balances
US
Dk
/ d
ay
Profit Share Overhang Ending balance per
Q2 13
Early month shortfall 6
+ OSG credit 26
= Total Profit Share Overhang 32
AMSC/OSG
AMSC EBITDA sensitivity to time charter rates (Illustrative)
Slide 18 Note: Assuming no profit share overhang, 100% utilization and estimated 2013 break even rates of USD 49k / day
85 85 85 85 85 85 85
11 20 29 38 4757 66
151
85,000
Profit share
Bare boat
65,000
114
60,000
105
55,000
96
80,000
142
75,000
132
70,000
123
An USD 5k/d increase in average fleet time charter rate means an EBITDA increase of around
USD 9m for AMSC
Average TC rate for the ten vessels
EB
ITD
A (U
SD
millio
ns)
AMSC/OSG
Agenda
Slide 19
Company
Market
AMSC / OSG
AMSC going forward
«Best pure play in rising Jones Act market»?
Slide 20
AMSC will continuously assess accretive growth opportunities
Quarterly
dividends of USD
0.10 per share
Increased
dividends
through cash
profit share
Investigate MLP-
structure /
secondary U.S.
listing
Q2 14 -
2016-
2016-
Unique position in rising market Attractive dividend policy going forward
• Modern asset base
• Attractive cash flows
• Strong market fundamentals
• Increasing freight rates
Going forward
Q&A