ami and hems: the odd couple? - neep

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AMI and HEMS: The Odd Couple? Bethany Sparn, NREL Ethan Goldman, VEIC

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Page 1: AMI and HEMS: The Odd Couple? - NEEP

AMI and HEMS: The Odd Couple?

Bethany Sparn, NREL

Ethan Goldman, VEIC

Page 2: AMI and HEMS: The Odd Couple? - NEEP

AMI and HEMS: Past, Present and FutureBethany Sparn

Residential Buildings Research Engineer, NREL

December 13, 2017

Page 3: AMI and HEMS: The Odd Couple? - NEEP

NATIONAL RENEWABLE ENERGY LABORATORY 130

• Past: Retrospective on what we expected from AMI and HEMS.

• Present: Evaluate the current state of AMI as it relates to HEMS

• Future: Explore the drivers that could make AMI and HEMS be mutually beneficial

Presentation Outline

Page 4: AMI and HEMS: The Odd Couple? - NEEP

NATIONAL RENEWABLE ENERGY LABORATORY 131

• Rewind several years (~2009-2010):

o Utilities were rolling out AMI in large numbers due to $3B+ in ARRA funding

AMI Rollout and ARRA

Page 5: AMI and HEMS: The Odd Couple? - NEEP

NATIONAL RENEWABLE ENERGY LABORATORY 132

• Rewind several years (~2009-2010):

o Utilities were rolling out AMI in large numbers due to $3B+ in ARRA funding

o AMI was going to enable a whole new world of HEMS, with the meter at the center

o Zigbee radio installed in AMI meter to communicate with HAN

o A big selling point was that consumers would have access to their energy data and cost information via in home devices connected to AMI meter

AMI Rollout via Recovery Act

Page 6: AMI and HEMS: The Odd Couple? - NEEP

NATIONAL RENEWABLE ENERGY LABORATORY 133

• In late 2009, NREL hosted an expert meeting on HEMS (or AHEM).

• Here a few slides illustrating how ingrained AMI was in the concept of HEMS:

AMI: A Central Component to HEMS

Page 7: AMI and HEMS: The Odd Couple? - NEEP

NATIONAL RENEWABLE ENERGY LABORATORY 134

In 2012, NREL built a lab focused on evaluating functionality, interoperability, control strategies for HEMS.

• We needed AMI meters to make it all work!! (Right??)

• It was VERY difficult to buy a small number of meters for research.

NREL Laboratory focused on HEMS

• Eventually, we found a good contact at Itron and we bought 5 AMI meters, including software to send signals through the meters

• … And we’ve never used them.

Page 8: AMI and HEMS: The Odd Couple? - NEEP

NATIONAL RENEWABLE ENERGY LABORATORY 135

HEMS development has progressed without AMI. Why?

• AMI rollout was slower and less complete than anticipatedo Bad publicity probably contributed to current AMI coverage levels

So what happened?

• Many utilities did not install the radio needed to send data inside the house

• Even when AMI was installed with the right communication components, interoperability was very challenging.

• Variable utility rates are not common• Cyber security concerns from utility – opening up meter to talk

to house opens up possibility that meter could be accessed by others.

• But bottom line: AMI has not been needed for HEMS (yet)

HEMS & Smart AppliancesVariable or TOU rates

Page 9: AMI and HEMS: The Odd Couple? - NEEP

NATIONAL RENEWABLE ENERGY LABORATORY 136

• The main reason that HEMS does not rely on AMI now is that it does not need to.

o HEMS are largely focused on convenience, not efficiency or grid services.

o Cloud computing has changed system architecture– Rather than having everything in the home talk to a local hub,

everything talks to a device-specific cloud

– Cloud connection allows for smart phone app control

o Wi-Fi has become dominant communication protocol– Exception is for devices, like smart bulbs, that often come with a

hub to connect to many devices – hub-to-device communication is generally Zigbee

Current HEMS infrastructure

This design means that all functionality is lost if internet is down. Ideally, you want system that can function without internet (like smart thermostats) but has added features (like app control) when internet is active. Requiring cloud connections also opens cyber security vulnerabilities.

!

Page 10: AMI and HEMS: The Odd Couple? - NEEP

NATIONAL RENEWABLE ENERGY LABORATORY 137

While HEMS have largely not needed AMI thus far, that will likely change.

What’s next?

• TOU utility rates will motivate the use of HEMS to lower shift load to cheaper times (original driver for HEMS+AMI)

• If solar back-feeding to grid is penalized, HEMS can coordinate consumption using real-time whole house power data.

• If utilities start paying residential customers to provide grid services, HEMS can control loads and communicate back to utility.

Page 11: AMI and HEMS: The Odd Couple? - NEEP

NATIONAL RENEWABLE ENERGY LABORATORY 138

• None of these examples explicitly need a connection to the meter, but will require:

o Real-time price information,

o Real-time whole-house power/energy data,

o Way to exchange signals for grid services.

• Utilities are swimming in AMI data – Can HEMS help make use of all that data? (M&V 2.0, identifying retrofits, energy efficiency)

• AMI is critical to the success of HEMS

o While HEMS may enable some energy savings, bigger benefit comes from control over when energy is used

- Needed to enabling more renewable power on grid.

o Without AMI meters to track energy use and enable variable pricing, HEMS will be stuck where it is today: a bunch of gadgets that provide convenience.

Future of AMI and HEMS

Core AMI functionality?

Page 12: AMI and HEMS: The Odd Couple? - NEEP

www.nrel.gov

NREL is a national laboratory of the U.S. Department of Energy, Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy, operated by the Alliance for Sustainable Energy, LLC.

Thank you!

Bethany Sparn

[email protected]

Page 13: AMI and HEMS: The Odd Couple? - NEEP

AMI and HEMS:

Are We Asking the

Right Questions?

Ethan Goldman

December 2017

Page 14: AMI and HEMS: The Odd Couple? - NEEP

How Can We Get AMI to Talk to HEMS?

UtilityAPIsAMI Warehouse

ZigBee Gateway

Page 15: AMI and HEMS: The Odd Couple? - NEEP

Will HEMS be Used for More Than Convenience?

Page 16: AMI and HEMS: The Odd Couple? - NEEP

Controls

What Are We Going to Do With the Data?

AMI Data

Thermostat Data

Appliance Data

Weather Data

Demographics,Building info, etc.

Analysis

Alerts

M&V

Incentives

Fault Detection

Advice

Feedback

Page 17: AMI and HEMS: The Odd Couple? - NEEP

What Can AMI Interval Data Do for HEMS?

Base

Heating

Cooling

Idle

Page 18: AMI and HEMS: The Odd Couple? - NEEP

Data Tsunami!

Page 19: AMI and HEMS: The Odd Couple? - NEEP

Finding Subtle Patterns

Page 20: AMI and HEMS: The Odd Couple? - NEEP

Raw Data is Messy

Page 21: AMI and HEMS: The Odd Couple? - NEEP

Solution: Cluster Days by Loadshape

Page 22: AMI and HEMS: The Odd Couple? - NEEP

STAT: Smart Thermostat Analytics Toolkit

Automated Analytics

Reports

CSV Files

API Feeds

Page 23: AMI and HEMS: The Odd Couple? - NEEP

Managing and Automating Iterative Analysis

Page 24: AMI and HEMS: The Odd Couple? - NEEP

Thermal flow rate

Estimated savings

Oversizing

Runtime reduction

AMI disaggregation

kW & kWhsavings

Metrics Calculated by STAT

Page 25: AMI and HEMS: The Odd Couple? - NEEP

Shell Performance from Temperature Trends

Page 26: AMI and HEMS: The Odd Couple? - NEEP

Annual Savings Potential from Tstat Analysis,

Scaled to kWH and Dollars with AMI-Weather

Models

Page 27: AMI and HEMS: The Odd Couple? - NEEP

Work Backwards

Data Analysis Goals

Page 28: AMI and HEMS: The Odd Couple? - NEEP

Thank you

Ethan Goldman

[email protected]

Page 29: AMI and HEMS: The Odd Couple? - NEEP

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