amnewyork - news 12 poll, democratic primary voters (part 1)
TRANSCRIPT
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7/30/2019 amNewYork - News 12 poll, Democratic primary voters (part 1)
1/28
Penn Schoen Berland 1
New York City Mayoral Election Democratic PrimaryAugust 2013
600 Likely Democratic Primary Election Voters (MOE: +/- 4.0%)
Likelihood to VoteWhat are the chances
f you voting in the
eptember Democratic
RIMARY election - are
ou almost certain to
ote, will you probably
ote, are the chances
bout 50-50, are you
robably not going to
ote, or are you
efinitely not going to
ote? All Male Female
Under
50 50+ White
African-
American Latino Manhattan Bronx Brooklyn Queens Labor
V
Li
lmost certain 85 83 87 75 92 87 92 79 90 84 83 89 91
robably 15 17 13 25 8 13 8 21 10 16 17 11 9
0-50 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
robably not 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
efinitely not 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
on't know VOL 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Direction of New York CityWould you say that
ings in New York City
re generally headed in
e right direction, or
re things off on therong track? All Male Female
Under50 50+ White
African-American Latino Manhattan Bronx Brooklyn Queens Labor
VLi
ight direction 45 49 42 46 44 53 38 37 49 29 47 47 44
Wrong track 40 36 43 44 38 35 46 46 33 50 42 39 42
on't know/refused
OL15 15 15 10 19 12 16 17 18 22 10 14 14
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7/30/2019 amNewYork - News 12 poll, Democratic primary voters (part 1)
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Penn Schoen Berland 2
Most Important Issueow I am going to read
ou a list of concerns
hat some people inhe city have
entioned. Please tell
e which one you
ersonally want the
ext MAYOR OF NEW
ORK CITY to focus on
the next few years?
EAD CHOICES All Male Female
Under
50 50+ White
African-
American Latino Manhattan Bronx Brooklyn Queens Labor
V
Li
he economy and
obs20 22 19 22 19 14 27 16 14 20 24 23 19
ublic education 19 15 23 21 18 20 19 20 19 22 21 18 22 ffordable housing
or all income
roups
17 13 20 14 20 13 19 29 23 18 17 13 15
rime and safety 9 11 8 8 10 11 8 9 5 4 10 14 5
ost of living 8 8 8 11 6 9 6 8 8 4 6 12 10
ncome inequality 6 8 4 6 5 7 5 6 8 8 3 6 7
axes and city fees 4 6 3 4 5 7 2 1 4 6 6 2 4
ity government
pending and debt
3 4 3 2 4 5 2 2 4 3 3 3 3
ity services like
ewers and garbage
ollection
2 1 2 2 1 3 0 3 4 2 1 1 3
raffic and
ongestion1 2 1 2 1 2 1 0 2 2 2 0 1
ondition of city
treets and roads1 2 1 1 1 2 1 0 0 1 2 0 1
Other VOL 5 6 5 5 5 4 7 5 4 8 4 6 7
on't know VOL 3 2 3 0 4 2 3 1 3 2 2 2 2
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7/30/2019 amNewYork - News 12 poll, Democratic primary voters (part 1)
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Penn Schoen Berland 3
Mayoral Ballotf the September
013 Democratic
Primary for New
York City Mayor
were held tomorrownd the candidates
were: ##
RANDOMIZE THE
NAMES ## Christine
Quinn, Bill de
Blasio, Bill
hompson, Anthony
Weiner, John Liu,
Sal Albanese, AND
Erick Salgado, for
whom would you
ote or are you
ndecided?
F UNDECIDED:]
Well, toward which
andidate do you
ean?
F CANDIDATE:]
Would you say you
upport that
andidate stronglyr not strongly? All Male Female
Under50 50+ White
African-American Latino Manhattan Bronx Brooklyn Queens Labor
VLib
Bill de Blasio 29 28 29 27 30 35 29 18 32 28 30 24 27 4
Bill Thompson 24 25 24 20 27 22 35 20 19 28 26 24 33
Christine Quinn 17 15 19 20 15 21 10 22 24 12 12 21 13
Anthony Weiner 10 13 8 10 10 7 9 15 8 15 8 13 10
ohn Liu 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 6 5 7 6 4 6
Sal Albanese 1 1 1 0 1 1 0 1 0 0 2 1 1
Erick Salgado 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 1 1 0 1 0 1
Undecided 13 11 14 17 10 9 13 17 11 10 16 11 10 Other 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Refused 0 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 1 0
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7/30/2019 amNewYork - News 12 poll, Democratic primary voters (part 1)
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Penn Schoen Berland 4
Mayoral Ballot:
Complete Breakdown All Male Female
Under
50 50+ White
African-
American Latino Manhattan Bronx Brooklyn Queens Labor
V
Lib
Quinn strong 11 9 12 12 10 10 7 19 13 9 8 16 9 1
Quinn not strong 3 3 3 3 3 5 1 3 6 2 2 2 1
undecided leanQuinn
3 3 4 6 1 5 2 0 5 1 2 3 2
de Blasio strong 19 18 19 17 20 21 21 12 22 25 16 15 18 3
de Blasio not
trong6 7 4 4 7 8 5 4 7 3 5 6 5
undecided lean de
Blasio4 2 5 6 3 6 3 2 3 0 9 2 4
Thompson strong 16 18 15 13 19 13 25 13 11 22 19 15 23 1
Thompson not
trong4 5 4 5 4 5 3 4 5 3 2 3 6
undecided lean
Thompson4 3 5 2 5 4 6 2 2 3 5 6 4
Weiner strong 6 8 4 6 6 4 5 10 5 7 4 9 6
Weiner not strong 2 2 1 1 2 1 1 5 3 4 1 1 3
undecided lean
Weiner2 3 2 2 2 2 3 0 0 4 3 2 1
Liu strong 4 3 4 3 4 3 3 3 4 5 4 3 5
Liu not strong 1 1 1 2 0 1 0 2 2 2 1 0 1
undecided leanLiu
1 1 1 1 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 2 1
Albanese strong 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 1 1 1
Albanese not
trong0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
undecided lean
Albanese0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Salgado strong 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0
Salgado not
trong
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
undecided lean
Salgado0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0
Undecided 13 11 14 17 10 9 13 17 11 10 16 11 10
Other 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Refused 0 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 1 0
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7/30/2019 amNewYork - News 12 poll, Democratic primary voters (part 1)
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Penn Schoen Berland 5
F SUPPORT A
CANDIDATE: Are you
upporting this
andidate mainly
ecause: READ
RESPONSES All Male Female
Under
50 50+ White
African-
American Latino Manhattan Bronx Brooklyn Queens Labor
V
Lib
You like the
candidates ideas
and proposals
29 31 27 31 27 30 21 30 29 29 25 33 29 4
You think the
andidate can get
hings done
26 24 27 28 25 24 34 18 27 26 26 25 25 2
You like the
candidates
experience
15 15 14 10 18 16 11 19 14 18 16 13 17 1
The candidateepresents change
12 10 13 14 11 4 18 21 8 18 15 8 15
There is no better
alternative12 13 12 12 12 19 8 6 16 4 11 14 12
You like the
candidates
personality
5 4 5 4 5 6 4 4 3 3 6 6 1
Don't know VOL 2 2 2 1 3 1 3 2 3 2 2 1 1
F SUPPORT A
CANDIDATE: And is
his candidate your
original choice for
he Democratic
nominee for Mayor,
or have you changed
your mind over the
course of the primary
campaign? All Male Female
Under
50 50+ White
African-
American Latino Manhattan Bronx Brooklyn Queens Labor
V
Lib
Original choice 55 54 55 60 51 48 55 62 48 57 56 61 49 5
Changed my mind 42 43 41 38 45 48 42 35 49 36 41 36 49 4
Don't know VOL 4 3 4 2 5 5 3 3 4 7 3 3 2
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7/30/2019 amNewYork - News 12 poll, Democratic primary voters (part 1)
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Penn Schoen Berland 6
F CHANGED MIND:
Which of the
candidates did you
support before
changing your
mind? All Male Female
Under
50 50+ White
African-
American Latino Manhattan Bronx Brooklyn Queens Labor
V
Lib
Anthony Weiner 27 27 27 26 28 31 31 16 21 25 33 33 26 1
Christine Quinn 23 18 26 26 21 22 19 30 22 21 28 19 24 2
Bill Thompson 12 11 13 7 15 8 15 14 9 27 9 13 12 1
Bill de Blasio 9 12 7 11 8 9 8 13 11 3 8 3 10 1
John Liu 9 12 7 8 9 5 11 13 6 7 11 13 12 6
Sal Albanese 0 0 1 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0
Erick Salgado 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 2 1 0 0 0 1 0None was
UNDECIDED17 17 16 18 16 20 15 9 26 13 9 14 13 2
Other 1 1 1 1 1 2 0 0 1 0 1 2 0 2
Don't know VOL 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 5 1 2 1 0
Just your best
guess, who do you
think will win the
Democratic
NOMINATION for
New York City
Mayor? All Male Female
Under
50 50+ White
African-
American Latino Manhattan Bronx Brooklyn Queens Labor
V
Lib
Christine Quinn 31 32 31 32 31 41 19 29 34 17 30 39 30 3
Bill de Blasio 23 25 22 24 23 23 29 16 29 28 20 19 22 3
Bill Thompson 16 17 15 14 17 12 19 20 13 22 16 14 19 8
Anthony Weiner 5 5 4 5 5 1 6 10 4 6 4 5 5 5
John Liu 2 4 1 3 2 1 1 6 1 4 1 4 3
Erick Salgado 1 0 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 2 0 0 1
Sal Albanese 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Other 2 1 3 2 3 3 2 3 2 5 2 1 3 5
Don't know VOL 20 15 23 20 19 19 24 14 16 16 27 17 18 1
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7/30/2019 amNewYork - News 12 poll, Democratic primary voters (part 1)
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Penn Schoen Berland 7
Regardless of who
you may support for
mayor, whichDemocratic
candidate would you
trust to do a better
ob leading the city
through a natural
disaster like
Hurricane Sandy or
a terrorist attack? All Male Female
Under
50 50+ White
African-
American Latino Manhattan Bronx Brooklyn Queens Labor
V
Lib
Christine Quinn 21 15 26 21 22 24 15 24 25 16 18 26 20 2
Bill de Blasio 18 22 15 17 19 19 18 15 23 18 16 12 17 3Bill Thompson 16 18 14 12 19 12 21 19 8 25 16 19 24 1
Anthony Weiner 9 11 8 11 8 8 9 14 8 9 10 11 12 9
John Liu 4 5 4 5 4 3 5 4 2 3 7 3 5
Sal Albanese 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0
Erick Salgado 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0
Other 8 5 10 7 9 11 9 4 9 8 6 11 10 8
None VOL 6 5 7 5 7 8 8 2 10 4 6 4 6 3
Don't
know/refused VOL16 18 15 21 13 15 15 17 14 16 21 12 7 1
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7/30/2019 amNewYork - News 12 poll, Democratic primary voters (part 1)
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Penn Schoen Berland 8
And if your preferred
candidate were to
ose the Democratic
nomination, how
ikely would you be
to consider voting
for a Republican,
ndependent, or
third-party candidate
n the November
general election for
Mayor? All Male Female
Under
50 50+ White
African-
American Latino Manhattan Bronx Brooklyn Queens Labor
V
Lib
Very likely 14 17 12 16 13 20 8 15 17 6 17 13 13 9
Somewhat likely 22 23 21 28 17 26 19 13 21 16 24 23 17 1
Not very likely 13 15 11 14 12 15 7 16 10 19 13 13 19 1
Not at all likely 47 43 50 38 53 36 60 54 49 54 43 49 48 5
Don't know VOL 4 2 6 3 5 4 6 3 4 5 4 3 3 6
Likely 36 40 33 45 30 45 27 27 37 22 41 35 30 2
Not Likely 60 58 61 52 65 51 67 70 58 73 55 62 67 6
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7/30/2019 amNewYork - News 12 poll, Democratic primary voters (part 1)
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Penn Schoen Berland 9
Comptroller BallotLet me ask about the
comptroller race. If
the September 2013
Democratic Primary
for New York CityComptroller were
held tomorrow and
the candidates were:
## RANDOMIZE THE
NEXT 2 NAMES ##
Eliot Spitzer AND
Scott Stringer, for
whom would you
vote or are you
undecided?
[IF UNDECIDED:]
Well, toward which
candidate do you
ean?
[IF CANDIDATE:]
Would you say you
support that
candidate strongly
or not strongly? All Male Female
Under
50 50+ White
African-
American Latino Manhattan Bronx Brooklyn Queens Labor
V
Lib
Spitzer 46 46 47 45 47 29 59 57 40 50 47 49 43 4Stringer 43 44 41 40 45 65 25 31 52 37 40 39 50 5
Undecided 10 9 11 15 7 6 15 11 8 12 11 11 7 5
Other 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 1 1 1 0 0
Refused 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0
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7/30/2019 amNewYork - News 12 poll, Democratic primary voters (part 1)
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Penn Schoen Berland 10
Comptroller Ballot:
Complete
Breakdown All Male Female
Under
50 50+ White
African-
American Latino Manhattan Bronx Brooklyn Queens Labor
V
Lib
Spitzer strong 31 28 32 26 34 21 40 32 23 34 32 37 32 3Spitzer not
strong9 12 7 12 7 5 10 17 10 4 10 7 7 8
undecided lean
Spitzer7 6 7 7 6 3 9 9 7 13 5 5 4
Stringer strong 25 26 24 22 27 36 17 19 36 22 20 20 28 2
Stringer not
strong12 14 11 14 11 23 3 8 10 10 16 12 16 1
undecided lean
Stringer5 4 6 4 6 6 5 4 6 5 4 6 6
Undecided 10 9 11 15 7 6 15 11 8 12 11 11 7
Other 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 1 1 1 0
Refused 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0
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7/30/2019 amNewYork - News 12 poll, Democratic primary voters (part 1)
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Penn Schoen Berland 11
Leader Favorability
Leader
avorability:
ummary
howing %
avorable/
Unfavorable All Male Female
Under
50 50+ White
African-
American Latino Manhattan Bronx Brooklyn Queens Labor
V
Li
ill
hompson74/12 77/8 73/15 70/12 77/13 73/13 79/12 73/13 73/15 78/8 75/12 72/14 80/12 7
ill de Blasio 66/15 65/18 66/12 56/16 72/13 67/22 70/6 61/15 69/15 74/6 65/14 60/17 69/15 7
Eliot Spitzer 46/44 50/42 43/44 43/43 48/44 41/55 55/35 42/43 48/49 47/38 41/41 50/45 46/49 50
Michael
loomberg46/52 50/48 43/54 45/54 46/50 53/45 33/61 40/58 52/45 32/63 40/58 51/47 38/59 56
Scott
tringer46/17 55/11 39/22 36/19 53/16 64/12 30/18 31/30 59/14 43/24 39/14 37/22 51/21 52
John Liu 45/31 46/38 45/26 45/26 45/34 40/38 48/24 51/26 49/31 48/21 44/28 43/38 54/32 45
Christine
Quinn43/44 40/47 45/43 41/41 45/47 43/53 44/40 42/43 40/51 44/35 40/44 51/42 40/52 48
Anthony
Weiner27/64 32/60 23/66 27/62 27/65 21/75 29/61 34/53 19/74 33/56 29/59 30/62 30/64 17
Sal Albanese 12/13 17/14 10/13 9/13 15/14 15/12 7/12 13/18 10/14 10/12 14/9 14/15 16/16 13
Erick
algado9/10 11/9 8/10 9/10 10/10 5/6 12/10 15/15 9/8 9/11 12/8 7/11 7/10 8
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7/30/2019 amNewYork - News 12 poll, Democratic primary voters (part 1)
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Penn Schoen Berland 12
Individual Favorability
Michael Bloomberg All Male Female
Under
50 50+ White
African-
American Latino Manhattan Bronx Brooklyn Queens Labor
V
Li
Very favorable 15 14 16 13 16 20 6 15 19 7 13 17 12
omewhat favorable 31 36 27 33 29 34 27 25 33 25 27 34 26
omewhat
nfavorable16 14 18 16 16 16 17 13 13 23 16 15 16
Very unfavorable 36 35 36 38 34 29 43 45 32 40 42 31 43
o opinion/Don't
now VOL3 2 3 1 4 1 6 2 2 5 1 3 3
ever heard of the
erson VOL
0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
John Liu All Male Female
Under
50 50+ White
African-
American Latino Manhattan Bronx Brooklyn Queens Labor
V
Lib
Very favorable 12 12 11 9 14 11 11 15 14 10 9 13 16
omewhat favorable 33 33 33 36 32 29 37 36 34 38 34 30 37
omewhat
nfavorable21 26 17 17 23 24 19 17 16 13 19 30 23
Very unfavorable 10 12 10 9 12 15 5 9 15 8 9 8 9
No opinion/Don't
now VOL17 14 18 18 15 19 18 15 16 21 19 13 11
Never heard of the
erson VOL7 2 11 10 5 3 10 8 4 10 9 5 3
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7/30/2019 amNewYork - News 12 poll, Democratic primary voters (part 1)
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Penn Schoen Berland 13
Christine Quinn All Male Female
Under
50 50+ White
African-
American Latino Manhattan Bronx Brooklyn Queens Labor
V
Li
Very favorable 16 13 18 14 17 14 14 22 20 15 12 18 16 omewhat favorable 27 27 27 27 27 29 30 20 20 29 29 33 24
omewhat
nfavorable21 23 19 19 22 24 17 20 24 19 18 22 22
Very unfavorable 24 24 24 22 25 29 23 23 26 16 27 20 30
No opinion/Don't
now VOL9 10 8 13 5 3 10 9 7 16 10 5 6
Never heard of the
erson VOL4 3 4 5 3 1 6 6 3 5 6 3 2
Bill Thompson All Male Female
Under
50 50+ White
African-
American Latino Manhattan Bronx Brooklyn Queens Labor
V
Li
ery favorable 27 30 25 24 29 26 35 24 24 30 28 27 34
omewhat favorable 47 47 48 47 48 47 44 49 49 48 46 44 46 omewhat
nfavorable9 7 10 9 9 10 9 7 10 6 11 8 7
ery unfavorable 4 2 5 3 4 3 4 6 5 3 2 6 5
o opinion/Don't
now VOL10 14 7 12 9 12 7 10 9 12 9 12 7
ever heard of the
erson VOL3 1 5 6 1 2 1 5 3 1 4 3 1
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7/30/2019 amNewYork - News 12 poll, Democratic primary voters (part 1)
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Penn Schoen Berland 14
Bill de Blasio All Male Female
Under
50 50+ White
African-
American Latino Manhattan Bronx Brooklyn Queens Labor
V
Lib
Very favorable 29 28 30 28 31 33 32 21 33 26 29 27 28 omewhat favorable 36 36 36 28 42 34 38 40 36 48 36 33 41
omewhat
nfavorable10 13 8 10 10 17 4 5 9 6 11 11 11
Very unfavorable 5 5 5 7 3 5 1 10 6 0 3 6 4
No opinion/Don't
now VOL16 15 16 22 11 10 20 20 14 15 17 16 13
Never heard of the
erson VOL4 2 6 6 3 1 5 4 2 5 4 7 2
Anthony Weiner All Male Female
Under
50 50+ White
African-
American Latino Manhattan Bronx Brooklyn Queens Labor
V
Li
ery favorable 9 11 8 9 9 7 9 14 8 6 9 12 10
omewhat favorable 18 21 16 19 17 15 20 20 11 27 19 18 20 omewhat
nfavorable20 23 18 21 20 20 25 16 22 22 19 20 18
ery unfavorable 43 36 48 41 45 54 36 38 52 34 40 41 46
o opinion/Don't
now VOL8 8 8 8 7 3 9 11 7 9 9 6 4
ever heard of the
erson VOL2 1 2 2 1 1 1 2 0 1 3 1 1
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7/30/2019 amNewYork - News 12 poll, Democratic primary voters (part 1)
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Penn Schoen Berland 15
Sal Albanese All Male Female
Under
50 50+ White
African-
American Latino Manhattan Bronx Brooklyn Queens Labor
V
Li
ery favorable 2 4 2 2 3 3 1 3 3 2 2 2 1 omewhat favorable 10 13 8 8 12 12 6 11 7 8 11 12 15
omewhat
nfavorable10 11 9 10 10 10 9 14 11 6 8 11 14
ery unfavorable 3 3 4 3 4 2 3 4 4 6 1 4 2
o opinion/Don't
now VOL42 41 42 43 41 45 40 34 45 37 40 43 39
ever heard of the
erson VOL33 29 35 35 31 27 40 35 30 40 37 27 29
Erick Salgado All Male Female
Under
50 50+ White
African-
American Latino Manhattan Bronx Brooklyn Queens Labor
V
Lib
Very favorable 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 0 0 2 2 1 1
omewhat favorable 8 10 7 7 9 4 10 15 9 7 10 6 6 omewhat
nfavorable6 6 6 6 5 4 5 9 5 5 4 6 4
Very unfavorable 4 3 5 4 5 2 5 6 3 6 4 5 5
No opinion/Don't
now VOL41 43 40 39 43 45 36 41 43 41 36 48 41
Never heard of the
erson VOL40 37 41 43 37 44 42 29 39 38 44 34 42
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7/30/2019 amNewYork - News 12 poll, Democratic primary voters (part 1)
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Penn Schoen Berland 16
Eliot Spitzer All Male Female
Under
50 50+ White
African-
American Latino Manhattan Bronx Brooklyn Queens Labor
V
Lib
Very favorable 17 15 18 10 22 19 20 8 24 13 13 17 21
omewhat favorable 29 35 25 34 27 23 35 34 24 34 28 33 25 omewhat
nfavorable20 23 17 19 20 21 20 24 23 20 21 16 17
Very unfavorable 24 19 27 24 24 35 15 19 26 18 20 30 32
No opinion/Don't
now VOL6 5 7 7 5 3 10 7 3 13 8 1 5
Never heard of the
erson VOL4 2 6 7 3 1 0 8 0 3 10 4 0
Scott Stringer All Male Female
Under
50 50+ White
African-
American Latino Manhattan Bronx Brooklyn Queens Labor
V
Lib
Very favorable 14 17 13 10 18 22 10 4 26 11 13 5 22
omewhat favorable 31 38 26 26 35 42 20 27 33 32 27 31 29
omewhat
nfavorable 9 7 11 12 7 6 8 17 6 14 5 15 9
Very unfavorable 8 4 11 7 9 6 10 13 8 11 8 7 12
No opinion/Don't
now VOL24 23 25 30 20 21 32 20 22 11 30 29 23
Never heard of the
erson VOL13 11 14 15 11 3 20 18 4 21 17 12 5
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7/30/2019 amNewYork - News 12 poll, Democratic primary voters (part 1)
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Penn Schoen Berland 17
Mayor BloombergThinking in general,
would you say you
strongly approve,
somewhat approve,
somewhatdisapprove or
strongly disapprove
of the job Michael
Bloomberg has been
doing as Mayor? All Male Female
Under
50 50+ White
African-
American Latino Manhattan Bronx Brooklyn Queens Labor
V
Lib
Strongly approve 20 24 17 14 24 26 11 16 26 16 15 23 17 2
Somewhat
approve35 31 38 39 33 32 38 38 34 29 36 37 33 3
Somewhat
disapprove18 19 18 20 17 21 16 15 16 20 22 16 18 1
Strongly
disapprove24 24 25 27 22 21 31 26 22 28 27 22 31 2
Don't know 2 1 3 0 4 0 3 5 2 7 1 2 1
Approve 55 56 54 53 57 58 49 54 60 45 51 60 50 6
Disapprove 43 43 43 47 40 42 48 41 38 48 49 38 49 3
Overall, do you want
the next mayor of
New York to
generally continue
the policies of Mayor
Bloomberg OR do
you think it is time
for a change? All Male Female
Under
50 50+ White
African-
American Latino Manhattan Bronx Brooklyn Queens Labor
Ve
Lib
Continue the
Bloomberg
policies
18 20 17 17 19 31 5 12 26 15 14 18 16 1
Time for a change 77 76 78 80 76 64 91 84 67 79 84 79 79 7Don't
know/refused
VOL
5 4 5 3 5 5 4 4 7 7 2 4 5 6
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7/30/2019 amNewYork - News 12 poll, Democratic primary voters (part 1)
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Penn Schoen Berland 18
Now let me read
you some
specific policies
that were passed
during Michael
Bloombergs time
as mayor. For
each one, please
tell me whether
you think it is an
excellent, good,
just fair, or poor
policy for the city.
Showing %
Excellent or
good/ Just fair or
poor All Male Female
Under
50 50+ White
African-
American Latino Manhattan Bronx Brooklyn Queens Labor
Ve
LibeBanning
smoking in
public places
76/22 74/24 77/20 74/25 77/20 80/19 68/27 74/26 81/16 64/32 79/20 75/23 78/19 80/
Expanding the
city affordable
housing plan
68/28 72/26 66/30 70/28 67/28 72/25 67/29 60/38 68/28 57/40 71/25 72/27 75/22 66/
Ending the
policy of
overnight jail
stay for thosearrested with
small amounts
of marijuana
57/38 53/43 60/35 57/40 57/36 65/28 45/50 48/48 53/41 59/37 55/40 60/35 59/38 64/
Adding bike
lanes
throughout the
city
45/51 48/49 43/52 48/51 44/51 51/47 37/59 40/53 49/46 43/51 40/57 50/47 42/54 62/
The mayor
taking direct
control over
public
education
30/67 36/62 26/70 34/65 27/68 35/61 20/77 28/68 33/60 29/69 24/72 31/69 34/65 38/
Trying to ban
the sale of
sweetened
drinks larger
than 16 ounces
29/69 34/66 26/71 32/67 27/70 29/70 24/72 32/68 41/59 26/73 25/72 25/70 28/70 39/
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7/30/2019 amNewYork - News 12 poll, Democratic primary voters (part 1)
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Penn Schoen Berland 19
Implementing
the stop-and-
frisk program
23/70 27/66 21/73 18/77 27/66 28/66 22/71 15/81 20/79 22/64 25/68 29/65 26/72 20/
Candidate TraitsOn a scale from
ZERO to TEN,
how important it
is to have a
mayor who
Showing % of
respondents who
ranked trait as
TEN (Extremely
Important) All Male Female
Under
50 50+ White
African-
American Latino Manhattan Bronx Brooklyn Queens Labor
Ve
Libe
Is honest andtrustworthy
72 62 79 68 74 68 78 75 69 79 77 66 63 62
Will manage
the city budget
effectively
68 60 74 72 66 59 79 72 70 70 74 61 69 64
Cares about
people like you68 54 77 64 70 59 82 70 64 78 72 62 65 56
Will prioritize
education and
good public
schools
65 52 74 70 61 50 79 78 66 74 65 58 65 68
Will fight for the
middle class65 54 73 60 69 57 79 62 60 66 71 65 65 6
Will make New
York City more
affordable
65 51 74 62 67 54 80 64 62 71 72 56 64 58
Is a problem
solver63 53 70 58 67 60 73 51 69 50 73 52 54 57
Will focus on
each of the fiveboroughs
equally
61 56 64 63 59 49 75 62 46 73 67 63 66 5
Will be tough
on crime and
improve public
58 46 66 52 62 44 78 61 43 61 70 56 54 38
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7/30/2019 amNewYork - News 12 poll, Democratic primary voters (part 1)
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Penn Schoen Berland 20
safety
Will prioritize
jobs and the
economy
56 45 63 57 55 49 72 48 49 55 69 49 50 43
Will make therich pay higher
taxes
48 38 56 45 51 36 69 46 53 54 43 50 52 54
Has strong
family values45 38 49 49 42 27 66 56 36 52 52 45 40 39
Shares your
values42 40 44 47 39 30 58 45 35 45 52 41 39 4
Will improve
city traffic and
transportation
issues
38 39 38 44 34 29 48 41 30 41 44 37 35 34
Will end the
citys STOP-
AND-FRISK
program
36 31 40 33 39 23 56 34 35 44 37 35 44 47
Has served in
the City
Government
25 20 29 17 31 11 34 40 18 28 30 27 18 17
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7/30/2019 amNewYork - News 12 poll, Democratic primary voters (part 1)
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Penn Schoen Berland 21
Demographics
Gender All Male FemaleUnder
50 50+ WhiteAfrican-
American Latino Manhattan Bronx Brooklyn Queens LaborVer
Liber
Male 41 100 0 43 40 44 28 47 42 40 37 44 43 40
Female 59 0 100 57 60 56 72 53 58 60 63 56 57 60
Borough All Male Female
Under
50 50+ White
African-
American Latino Manhattan Bronx Brooklyn Queens Labor
Ver
Liber
Manhattan 28 29 28 23 32 38 13 33 100 0 0 0 27 45
Bronx 15 14 15 12 16 6 18 24 0 100 0 0 14 11
Brooklyn 31 28 33 38 26 30 44 18 0 0 100 0 26 23
Queens 23 25 22 23 23 22 24 22 0 0 0 100 31 20
Staten Island 3 4 2 5 2 3 1 3 0 0 0 0 3 1
Age group All Male Female
Under
50 50+ White
African-
American Latino Manhattan Bronx Brooklyn Queens Labor
Ver
Liber
18-29 15 18 14 38 0 16 13 13 7 11 23 15 9 13
30-39 11 10 11 26 0 8 9 15 4 9 14 14 8 9
40-49 15 15 14 36 0 15 12 17 22 14 12 10 14 19
50-64 28 30 27 0 48 31 24 33 31 35 18 36 38 36
65+ 31 27 34 0 52 30 42 22 36 31 33 24 32 24
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7/30/2019 amNewYork - News 12 poll, Democratic primary voters (part 1)
22/28
Penn Schoen Berland 22
And do you
consider
yourself very
liberal,
somewhat
liberal, moderate,
somewhat
conservative, or
very
conservative? All Male Female
Under
50 50+ White
African-
American Latino Manhattan Bronx Brooklyn Queens Labor
Ve
Libe
Very liberal 21 20 21 21 21 28 13 19 34 16 15 18 18 10
Somewhat
liberal29 30 28 28 29 32 27 21 28 28 26 33 33 0
Moderate 24 25 24 21 26 24 27 24 24 26 25 23 28 0
Somewhat
conservative15 15 15 17 13 10 15 23 8 17 18 15 14 0
Very
conservative8 7 8 8 8 3 11 12 5 9 8 9 6 0
Don't know
VOL4 4 4 5 3 3 6 1 1 3 8 2 2 0
In the November
2009 election forNew York mayor,
did you vote for: All Male Female
Under
50 50+ White
African-
American Latino Manhattan Bronx Brooklyn Queens Labor
Ve
Libe
Michael
Bloomberg38 39 36 34 40 48 23 34 46 37 33 33 32 39
Bill Thompson 44 45 43 40 46 38 58 44 44 40 49 41 50 44
Other VOL 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 3 1 2 2 2
Did not vote
VOL10 10 9 17 4 6 10 12 3 7 11 17 8 11
Don't know/refused VOL
7 4 9 7 8 5 7 8 6 13 6 6 8 4
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7/30/2019 amNewYork - News 12 poll, Democratic primary voters (part 1)
23/28
Penn Schoen Berland 23
Are you or
anyone in your
household a
member of a
labor union? All Male Female
Under
50 50+ White
African-
American Latino Manhattan Bronx Brooklyn Queens Labor
Ve
Libe
Yes 32 33 30 24 37 34 34 32 30 30 26 42 100 27
No 68 66 68 75 63 66 65 68 69 69 72 58 0 73
Don't know
VOL1 0 1 2 0 0 1 0 0 1 2 0 0 0
What is the
highest level of
school you have
completed or the
highest degreeyou have
received? All Male Female
Under
50 50+ White
African-
American Latino Manhattan Bronx Brooklyn Queens Labor
Ve
Libe
1-11 Grade 5 6 4 4 6 1 10 6 4 11 6 3 3 4
High school
diploma or the
equivalent
17 18 16 17 17 10 22 23 9 14 24 16 12 8
Some college 18 15 20 19 18 15 24 23 14 22 18 22 16 12
College
graduate
30 35 26 33 27 34 23 21 38 26 27 27 29 41
Graduate
school27 23 29 24 28 39 19 21 33 24 21 29 38 34
Technical
school2 2 1 2 2 1 2 4 1 0 3 2 2 0
Don't
know/refused
VOL
1 1 2 2 1 0 1 3 2 3 1 1 1 0
-
7/30/2019 amNewYork - News 12 poll, Democratic primary voters (part 1)
24/28
Penn Schoen Berland 24
Typically, how
do you get to
work or school?
Do you walk,
ride a bike, take
the subway, take
a bus, take a
taxi, or drive a
car?
MULTIPUNCH All Male Female
Under
50 50+ White
African-
American Latino Manhattan Bronx Brooklyn Queens Labor
Ve
Libe
Subway 43 45 42 51 38 42 43 42 49 38 46 40 45 53
Bus 27 21 31 27 27 23 31 31 30 38 19 27 28 27
Drive a car 25 26 25 28 24 24 26 27 11 28 23 42 35 15
Walk 16 16 15 20 13 19 10 17 23 16 17 5 11 15
Bike 3 4 3 5 2 5 3 1 7 1 4 0 1 3
Taxi 3 3 3 3 3 1 4 3 3 2 4 1 4 1
Don't know
VOL14 12 15 4 20 10 18 16 15 9 16 13 10 9
Do you currently
own or rent yourprimary
residence? All Male Female
Under
50 50+ White
African-
American Latino Manhattan Bronx Brooklyn Queens Labor
Ver
Libe
Own 45 44 45 37 50 52 42 33 37 46 42 56 50 44
Rent 52 53 51 58 48 46 54 66 62 48 55 39 48 53
Don't know
VOL3 3 4 6 2 2 5 1 1 6 3 5 2 4
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7/30/2019 amNewYork - News 12 poll, Democratic primary voters (part 1)
25/28
Penn Schoen Berland 25
Race: Are you of
Hispanic, Latino,
or Spanish-
speaking
background?
[IF NO]What is
your race
white, black,
Asian, or
something else? All Male Female
Under
50 50+ White
African-
American Latino Manhattan Bronx Brooklyn Queens Labor
Ver
Libe
White 40 43 38 39 41 100 0 0 55 17 39 38 43 54
Black/African-
American28 19 34 23 31 0 100 0 13 35 39 29 30 18
Latino/Hispanic 21 24 19 23 20 0 0 100 25 35 12 20 22 19
Asian 6 8 4 9 3 0 0 0 4 4 5 8 1 5
Native
American0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Pacific Islander 1 2 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 3 0 1 0 0
Arab American 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1
Other 3 2 3 4 2 0 0 0 2 2 3 3 2 2
Don't
know/Refused2 3 1 2 2 0 0 0 1 4 2 2 1 1
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7/30/2019 amNewYork - News 12 poll, Democratic primary voters (part 1)
26/28
Penn Schoen Berland 26
What is your
religion? Base Male Female
Under
50 50+ White
African-
American Latino Manhattan Bronx Brooklyn Queens Labor
Ver
Liber
Protestant 27 24 29 23 29 6 65 16 20 32 30 28 28 12Catholic 28 25 31 28 28 21 17 70 25 40 24 28 31 24
Jewish 18 19 18 20 17 43 0 3 20 10 25 14 19 18
Non-traditional
(include
Christian
Science,
Jehovah's
Witness)
2 2 2 1 3 1 4 1 2 2 1 3 1 3
Muslim 3 3 2 5 1 1 2 0 0 4 4 3 1 3
Other 3 4 2 3 3 2 1 1 4 1 2 4 2 5
No religion 13 16 12 14 13 18 9 8 23 6 10 13 13 26
Don't Know/ No
Response/
Refused
6 8 4 6 6 8 3 2 6 4 4 8 5 7
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7/30/2019 amNewYork - News 12 poll, Democratic primary voters (part 1)
27/28
Penn Schoen Berland 27
For statistical
purposes only,
which of the
following
categories best
represents your
current total
HOUSEHOLD
income before
taxes? READ
CHOICES All Male Female
Under
50 50+ White
African-
American Latino Manhattan Bronx Brooklyn Queens Labor
Ver
Liber
Less than
$25,00016 13 19 17 16 9 22 23 12 30 18 11 5 12
$25,000 to
$49,99921 17 23 21 20 13 24 30 19 17 25 21 14 20
$50,000 to
$99,999 24 26 23 21 26 22 27 24 23 26 23 26 37 20
$100,000 to
$149,99911 11 10 12 10 15 7 8 9 8 8 16 15 12
$150,000 and
more10 12 8 15 7 19 3 6 13 4 9 10 10 17
Don't
know/refused
VOL
18 21 16 15 21 22 16 9 24 15 16 16 19 19
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7/30/2019 amNewYork - News 12 poll, Democratic primary voters (part 1)
28/28
And this is my
final question,
for research
purposes only.
Are you, a
family member
of yours, or a
close friend gay
or lesbian?
Please select all
that apply. All Male Female
Under
50 50+ White
African-
American Latino Manhattan Bronx Brooklyn Queens Labor
Ver
Liber
Yes, myself 4 6 2 3 4 6 2 4 6 2 4 2 4 6
Yes, family
member16 14 17 17 15 20 14 15 20 13 15 14 22 24
Yes, close
friend24 21 25 28 20 27 19 24 31 17 21 23 33 33
No 60 59 60 58 61 57 65 60 48 65 62 64 47 45
Don't know/
refused VOL5 8 4 5 6 4 6 4 6 7 5 4 7 5