amnewyork - news 12 poll, democratic primary voters (part 1)

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  • 7/30/2019 amNewYork - News 12 poll, Democratic primary voters (part 1)

    1/28

    Penn Schoen Berland 1

    New York City Mayoral Election Democratic PrimaryAugust 2013

    600 Likely Democratic Primary Election Voters (MOE: +/- 4.0%)

    Likelihood to VoteWhat are the chances

    f you voting in the

    eptember Democratic

    RIMARY election - are

    ou almost certain to

    ote, will you probably

    ote, are the chances

    bout 50-50, are you

    robably not going to

    ote, or are you

    efinitely not going to

    ote? All Male Female

    Under

    50 50+ White

    African-

    American Latino Manhattan Bronx Brooklyn Queens Labor

    V

    Li

    lmost certain 85 83 87 75 92 87 92 79 90 84 83 89 91

    robably 15 17 13 25 8 13 8 21 10 16 17 11 9

    0-50 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

    robably not 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

    efinitely not 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

    on't know VOL 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

    Direction of New York CityWould you say that

    ings in New York City

    re generally headed in

    e right direction, or

    re things off on therong track? All Male Female

    Under50 50+ White

    African-American Latino Manhattan Bronx Brooklyn Queens Labor

    VLi

    ight direction 45 49 42 46 44 53 38 37 49 29 47 47 44

    Wrong track 40 36 43 44 38 35 46 46 33 50 42 39 42

    on't know/refused

    OL15 15 15 10 19 12 16 17 18 22 10 14 14

  • 7/30/2019 amNewYork - News 12 poll, Democratic primary voters (part 1)

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    Penn Schoen Berland 2

    Most Important Issueow I am going to read

    ou a list of concerns

    hat some people inhe city have

    entioned. Please tell

    e which one you

    ersonally want the

    ext MAYOR OF NEW

    ORK CITY to focus on

    the next few years?

    EAD CHOICES All Male Female

    Under

    50 50+ White

    African-

    American Latino Manhattan Bronx Brooklyn Queens Labor

    V

    Li

    he economy and

    obs20 22 19 22 19 14 27 16 14 20 24 23 19

    ublic education 19 15 23 21 18 20 19 20 19 22 21 18 22 ffordable housing

    or all income

    roups

    17 13 20 14 20 13 19 29 23 18 17 13 15

    rime and safety 9 11 8 8 10 11 8 9 5 4 10 14 5

    ost of living 8 8 8 11 6 9 6 8 8 4 6 12 10

    ncome inequality 6 8 4 6 5 7 5 6 8 8 3 6 7

    axes and city fees 4 6 3 4 5 7 2 1 4 6 6 2 4

    ity government

    pending and debt

    3 4 3 2 4 5 2 2 4 3 3 3 3

    ity services like

    ewers and garbage

    ollection

    2 1 2 2 1 3 0 3 4 2 1 1 3

    raffic and

    ongestion1 2 1 2 1 2 1 0 2 2 2 0 1

    ondition of city

    treets and roads1 2 1 1 1 2 1 0 0 1 2 0 1

    Other VOL 5 6 5 5 5 4 7 5 4 8 4 6 7

    on't know VOL 3 2 3 0 4 2 3 1 3 2 2 2 2

  • 7/30/2019 amNewYork - News 12 poll, Democratic primary voters (part 1)

    3/28

    Penn Schoen Berland 3

    Mayoral Ballotf the September

    013 Democratic

    Primary for New

    York City Mayor

    were held tomorrownd the candidates

    were: ##

    RANDOMIZE THE

    NAMES ## Christine

    Quinn, Bill de

    Blasio, Bill

    hompson, Anthony

    Weiner, John Liu,

    Sal Albanese, AND

    Erick Salgado, for

    whom would you

    ote or are you

    ndecided?

    F UNDECIDED:]

    Well, toward which

    andidate do you

    ean?

    F CANDIDATE:]

    Would you say you

    upport that

    andidate stronglyr not strongly? All Male Female

    Under50 50+ White

    African-American Latino Manhattan Bronx Brooklyn Queens Labor

    VLib

    Bill de Blasio 29 28 29 27 30 35 29 18 32 28 30 24 27 4

    Bill Thompson 24 25 24 20 27 22 35 20 19 28 26 24 33

    Christine Quinn 17 15 19 20 15 21 10 22 24 12 12 21 13

    Anthony Weiner 10 13 8 10 10 7 9 15 8 15 8 13 10

    ohn Liu 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 6 5 7 6 4 6

    Sal Albanese 1 1 1 0 1 1 0 1 0 0 2 1 1

    Erick Salgado 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 1 1 0 1 0 1

    Undecided 13 11 14 17 10 9 13 17 11 10 16 11 10 Other 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

    Refused 0 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 1 0

  • 7/30/2019 amNewYork - News 12 poll, Democratic primary voters (part 1)

    4/28

    Penn Schoen Berland 4

    Mayoral Ballot:

    Complete Breakdown All Male Female

    Under

    50 50+ White

    African-

    American Latino Manhattan Bronx Brooklyn Queens Labor

    V

    Lib

    Quinn strong 11 9 12 12 10 10 7 19 13 9 8 16 9 1

    Quinn not strong 3 3 3 3 3 5 1 3 6 2 2 2 1

    undecided leanQuinn

    3 3 4 6 1 5 2 0 5 1 2 3 2

    de Blasio strong 19 18 19 17 20 21 21 12 22 25 16 15 18 3

    de Blasio not

    trong6 7 4 4 7 8 5 4 7 3 5 6 5

    undecided lean de

    Blasio4 2 5 6 3 6 3 2 3 0 9 2 4

    Thompson strong 16 18 15 13 19 13 25 13 11 22 19 15 23 1

    Thompson not

    trong4 5 4 5 4 5 3 4 5 3 2 3 6

    undecided lean

    Thompson4 3 5 2 5 4 6 2 2 3 5 6 4

    Weiner strong 6 8 4 6 6 4 5 10 5 7 4 9 6

    Weiner not strong 2 2 1 1 2 1 1 5 3 4 1 1 3

    undecided lean

    Weiner2 3 2 2 2 2 3 0 0 4 3 2 1

    Liu strong 4 3 4 3 4 3 3 3 4 5 4 3 5

    Liu not strong 1 1 1 2 0 1 0 2 2 2 1 0 1

    undecided leanLiu

    1 1 1 1 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 2 1

    Albanese strong 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 1 1 1

    Albanese not

    trong0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

    undecided lean

    Albanese0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

    Salgado strong 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0

    Salgado not

    trong

    0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

    undecided lean

    Salgado0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0

    Undecided 13 11 14 17 10 9 13 17 11 10 16 11 10

    Other 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

    Refused 0 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 1 0

  • 7/30/2019 amNewYork - News 12 poll, Democratic primary voters (part 1)

    5/28

    Penn Schoen Berland 5

    F SUPPORT A

    CANDIDATE: Are you

    upporting this

    andidate mainly

    ecause: READ

    RESPONSES All Male Female

    Under

    50 50+ White

    African-

    American Latino Manhattan Bronx Brooklyn Queens Labor

    V

    Lib

    You like the

    candidates ideas

    and proposals

    29 31 27 31 27 30 21 30 29 29 25 33 29 4

    You think the

    andidate can get

    hings done

    26 24 27 28 25 24 34 18 27 26 26 25 25 2

    You like the

    candidates

    experience

    15 15 14 10 18 16 11 19 14 18 16 13 17 1

    The candidateepresents change

    12 10 13 14 11 4 18 21 8 18 15 8 15

    There is no better

    alternative12 13 12 12 12 19 8 6 16 4 11 14 12

    You like the

    candidates

    personality

    5 4 5 4 5 6 4 4 3 3 6 6 1

    Don't know VOL 2 2 2 1 3 1 3 2 3 2 2 1 1

    F SUPPORT A

    CANDIDATE: And is

    his candidate your

    original choice for

    he Democratic

    nominee for Mayor,

    or have you changed

    your mind over the

    course of the primary

    campaign? All Male Female

    Under

    50 50+ White

    African-

    American Latino Manhattan Bronx Brooklyn Queens Labor

    V

    Lib

    Original choice 55 54 55 60 51 48 55 62 48 57 56 61 49 5

    Changed my mind 42 43 41 38 45 48 42 35 49 36 41 36 49 4

    Don't know VOL 4 3 4 2 5 5 3 3 4 7 3 3 2

  • 7/30/2019 amNewYork - News 12 poll, Democratic primary voters (part 1)

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    Penn Schoen Berland 6

    F CHANGED MIND:

    Which of the

    candidates did you

    support before

    changing your

    mind? All Male Female

    Under

    50 50+ White

    African-

    American Latino Manhattan Bronx Brooklyn Queens Labor

    V

    Lib

    Anthony Weiner 27 27 27 26 28 31 31 16 21 25 33 33 26 1

    Christine Quinn 23 18 26 26 21 22 19 30 22 21 28 19 24 2

    Bill Thompson 12 11 13 7 15 8 15 14 9 27 9 13 12 1

    Bill de Blasio 9 12 7 11 8 9 8 13 11 3 8 3 10 1

    John Liu 9 12 7 8 9 5 11 13 6 7 11 13 12 6

    Sal Albanese 0 0 1 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0

    Erick Salgado 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 2 1 0 0 0 1 0None was

    UNDECIDED17 17 16 18 16 20 15 9 26 13 9 14 13 2

    Other 1 1 1 1 1 2 0 0 1 0 1 2 0 2

    Don't know VOL 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 5 1 2 1 0

    Just your best

    guess, who do you

    think will win the

    Democratic

    NOMINATION for

    New York City

    Mayor? All Male Female

    Under

    50 50+ White

    African-

    American Latino Manhattan Bronx Brooklyn Queens Labor

    V

    Lib

    Christine Quinn 31 32 31 32 31 41 19 29 34 17 30 39 30 3

    Bill de Blasio 23 25 22 24 23 23 29 16 29 28 20 19 22 3

    Bill Thompson 16 17 15 14 17 12 19 20 13 22 16 14 19 8

    Anthony Weiner 5 5 4 5 5 1 6 10 4 6 4 5 5 5

    John Liu 2 4 1 3 2 1 1 6 1 4 1 4 3

    Erick Salgado 1 0 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 2 0 0 1

    Sal Albanese 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

    Other 2 1 3 2 3 3 2 3 2 5 2 1 3 5

    Don't know VOL 20 15 23 20 19 19 24 14 16 16 27 17 18 1

  • 7/30/2019 amNewYork - News 12 poll, Democratic primary voters (part 1)

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    Penn Schoen Berland 7

    Regardless of who

    you may support for

    mayor, whichDemocratic

    candidate would you

    trust to do a better

    ob leading the city

    through a natural

    disaster like

    Hurricane Sandy or

    a terrorist attack? All Male Female

    Under

    50 50+ White

    African-

    American Latino Manhattan Bronx Brooklyn Queens Labor

    V

    Lib

    Christine Quinn 21 15 26 21 22 24 15 24 25 16 18 26 20 2

    Bill de Blasio 18 22 15 17 19 19 18 15 23 18 16 12 17 3Bill Thompson 16 18 14 12 19 12 21 19 8 25 16 19 24 1

    Anthony Weiner 9 11 8 11 8 8 9 14 8 9 10 11 12 9

    John Liu 4 5 4 5 4 3 5 4 2 3 7 3 5

    Sal Albanese 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0

    Erick Salgado 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0

    Other 8 5 10 7 9 11 9 4 9 8 6 11 10 8

    None VOL 6 5 7 5 7 8 8 2 10 4 6 4 6 3

    Don't

    know/refused VOL16 18 15 21 13 15 15 17 14 16 21 12 7 1

  • 7/30/2019 amNewYork - News 12 poll, Democratic primary voters (part 1)

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    Penn Schoen Berland 8

    And if your preferred

    candidate were to

    ose the Democratic

    nomination, how

    ikely would you be

    to consider voting

    for a Republican,

    ndependent, or

    third-party candidate

    n the November

    general election for

    Mayor? All Male Female

    Under

    50 50+ White

    African-

    American Latino Manhattan Bronx Brooklyn Queens Labor

    V

    Lib

    Very likely 14 17 12 16 13 20 8 15 17 6 17 13 13 9

    Somewhat likely 22 23 21 28 17 26 19 13 21 16 24 23 17 1

    Not very likely 13 15 11 14 12 15 7 16 10 19 13 13 19 1

    Not at all likely 47 43 50 38 53 36 60 54 49 54 43 49 48 5

    Don't know VOL 4 2 6 3 5 4 6 3 4 5 4 3 3 6

    Likely 36 40 33 45 30 45 27 27 37 22 41 35 30 2

    Not Likely 60 58 61 52 65 51 67 70 58 73 55 62 67 6

  • 7/30/2019 amNewYork - News 12 poll, Democratic primary voters (part 1)

    9/28

    Penn Schoen Berland 9

    Comptroller BallotLet me ask about the

    comptroller race. If

    the September 2013

    Democratic Primary

    for New York CityComptroller were

    held tomorrow and

    the candidates were:

    ## RANDOMIZE THE

    NEXT 2 NAMES ##

    Eliot Spitzer AND

    Scott Stringer, for

    whom would you

    vote or are you

    undecided?

    [IF UNDECIDED:]

    Well, toward which

    candidate do you

    ean?

    [IF CANDIDATE:]

    Would you say you

    support that

    candidate strongly

    or not strongly? All Male Female

    Under

    50 50+ White

    African-

    American Latino Manhattan Bronx Brooklyn Queens Labor

    V

    Lib

    Spitzer 46 46 47 45 47 29 59 57 40 50 47 49 43 4Stringer 43 44 41 40 45 65 25 31 52 37 40 39 50 5

    Undecided 10 9 11 15 7 6 15 11 8 12 11 11 7 5

    Other 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 1 1 1 0 0

    Refused 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0

  • 7/30/2019 amNewYork - News 12 poll, Democratic primary voters (part 1)

    10/28

    Penn Schoen Berland 10

    Comptroller Ballot:

    Complete

    Breakdown All Male Female

    Under

    50 50+ White

    African-

    American Latino Manhattan Bronx Brooklyn Queens Labor

    V

    Lib

    Spitzer strong 31 28 32 26 34 21 40 32 23 34 32 37 32 3Spitzer not

    strong9 12 7 12 7 5 10 17 10 4 10 7 7 8

    undecided lean

    Spitzer7 6 7 7 6 3 9 9 7 13 5 5 4

    Stringer strong 25 26 24 22 27 36 17 19 36 22 20 20 28 2

    Stringer not

    strong12 14 11 14 11 23 3 8 10 10 16 12 16 1

    undecided lean

    Stringer5 4 6 4 6 6 5 4 6 5 4 6 6

    Undecided 10 9 11 15 7 6 15 11 8 12 11 11 7

    Other 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 1 1 1 0

    Refused 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0

  • 7/30/2019 amNewYork - News 12 poll, Democratic primary voters (part 1)

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    Penn Schoen Berland 11

    Leader Favorability

    Leader

    avorability:

    ummary

    howing %

    avorable/

    Unfavorable All Male Female

    Under

    50 50+ White

    African-

    American Latino Manhattan Bronx Brooklyn Queens Labor

    V

    Li

    ill

    hompson74/12 77/8 73/15 70/12 77/13 73/13 79/12 73/13 73/15 78/8 75/12 72/14 80/12 7

    ill de Blasio 66/15 65/18 66/12 56/16 72/13 67/22 70/6 61/15 69/15 74/6 65/14 60/17 69/15 7

    Eliot Spitzer 46/44 50/42 43/44 43/43 48/44 41/55 55/35 42/43 48/49 47/38 41/41 50/45 46/49 50

    Michael

    loomberg46/52 50/48 43/54 45/54 46/50 53/45 33/61 40/58 52/45 32/63 40/58 51/47 38/59 56

    Scott

    tringer46/17 55/11 39/22 36/19 53/16 64/12 30/18 31/30 59/14 43/24 39/14 37/22 51/21 52

    John Liu 45/31 46/38 45/26 45/26 45/34 40/38 48/24 51/26 49/31 48/21 44/28 43/38 54/32 45

    Christine

    Quinn43/44 40/47 45/43 41/41 45/47 43/53 44/40 42/43 40/51 44/35 40/44 51/42 40/52 48

    Anthony

    Weiner27/64 32/60 23/66 27/62 27/65 21/75 29/61 34/53 19/74 33/56 29/59 30/62 30/64 17

    Sal Albanese 12/13 17/14 10/13 9/13 15/14 15/12 7/12 13/18 10/14 10/12 14/9 14/15 16/16 13

    Erick

    algado9/10 11/9 8/10 9/10 10/10 5/6 12/10 15/15 9/8 9/11 12/8 7/11 7/10 8

  • 7/30/2019 amNewYork - News 12 poll, Democratic primary voters (part 1)

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    Penn Schoen Berland 12

    Individual Favorability

    Michael Bloomberg All Male Female

    Under

    50 50+ White

    African-

    American Latino Manhattan Bronx Brooklyn Queens Labor

    V

    Li

    Very favorable 15 14 16 13 16 20 6 15 19 7 13 17 12

    omewhat favorable 31 36 27 33 29 34 27 25 33 25 27 34 26

    omewhat

    nfavorable16 14 18 16 16 16 17 13 13 23 16 15 16

    Very unfavorable 36 35 36 38 34 29 43 45 32 40 42 31 43

    o opinion/Don't

    now VOL3 2 3 1 4 1 6 2 2 5 1 3 3

    ever heard of the

    erson VOL

    0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0

    John Liu All Male Female

    Under

    50 50+ White

    African-

    American Latino Manhattan Bronx Brooklyn Queens Labor

    V

    Lib

    Very favorable 12 12 11 9 14 11 11 15 14 10 9 13 16

    omewhat favorable 33 33 33 36 32 29 37 36 34 38 34 30 37

    omewhat

    nfavorable21 26 17 17 23 24 19 17 16 13 19 30 23

    Very unfavorable 10 12 10 9 12 15 5 9 15 8 9 8 9

    No opinion/Don't

    now VOL17 14 18 18 15 19 18 15 16 21 19 13 11

    Never heard of the

    erson VOL7 2 11 10 5 3 10 8 4 10 9 5 3

  • 7/30/2019 amNewYork - News 12 poll, Democratic primary voters (part 1)

    13/28

    Penn Schoen Berland 13

    Christine Quinn All Male Female

    Under

    50 50+ White

    African-

    American Latino Manhattan Bronx Brooklyn Queens Labor

    V

    Li

    Very favorable 16 13 18 14 17 14 14 22 20 15 12 18 16 omewhat favorable 27 27 27 27 27 29 30 20 20 29 29 33 24

    omewhat

    nfavorable21 23 19 19 22 24 17 20 24 19 18 22 22

    Very unfavorable 24 24 24 22 25 29 23 23 26 16 27 20 30

    No opinion/Don't

    now VOL9 10 8 13 5 3 10 9 7 16 10 5 6

    Never heard of the

    erson VOL4 3 4 5 3 1 6 6 3 5 6 3 2

    Bill Thompson All Male Female

    Under

    50 50+ White

    African-

    American Latino Manhattan Bronx Brooklyn Queens Labor

    V

    Li

    ery favorable 27 30 25 24 29 26 35 24 24 30 28 27 34

    omewhat favorable 47 47 48 47 48 47 44 49 49 48 46 44 46 omewhat

    nfavorable9 7 10 9 9 10 9 7 10 6 11 8 7

    ery unfavorable 4 2 5 3 4 3 4 6 5 3 2 6 5

    o opinion/Don't

    now VOL10 14 7 12 9 12 7 10 9 12 9 12 7

    ever heard of the

    erson VOL3 1 5 6 1 2 1 5 3 1 4 3 1

  • 7/30/2019 amNewYork - News 12 poll, Democratic primary voters (part 1)

    14/28

    Penn Schoen Berland 14

    Bill de Blasio All Male Female

    Under

    50 50+ White

    African-

    American Latino Manhattan Bronx Brooklyn Queens Labor

    V

    Lib

    Very favorable 29 28 30 28 31 33 32 21 33 26 29 27 28 omewhat favorable 36 36 36 28 42 34 38 40 36 48 36 33 41

    omewhat

    nfavorable10 13 8 10 10 17 4 5 9 6 11 11 11

    Very unfavorable 5 5 5 7 3 5 1 10 6 0 3 6 4

    No opinion/Don't

    now VOL16 15 16 22 11 10 20 20 14 15 17 16 13

    Never heard of the

    erson VOL4 2 6 6 3 1 5 4 2 5 4 7 2

    Anthony Weiner All Male Female

    Under

    50 50+ White

    African-

    American Latino Manhattan Bronx Brooklyn Queens Labor

    V

    Li

    ery favorable 9 11 8 9 9 7 9 14 8 6 9 12 10

    omewhat favorable 18 21 16 19 17 15 20 20 11 27 19 18 20 omewhat

    nfavorable20 23 18 21 20 20 25 16 22 22 19 20 18

    ery unfavorable 43 36 48 41 45 54 36 38 52 34 40 41 46

    o opinion/Don't

    now VOL8 8 8 8 7 3 9 11 7 9 9 6 4

    ever heard of the

    erson VOL2 1 2 2 1 1 1 2 0 1 3 1 1

  • 7/30/2019 amNewYork - News 12 poll, Democratic primary voters (part 1)

    15/28

    Penn Schoen Berland 15

    Sal Albanese All Male Female

    Under

    50 50+ White

    African-

    American Latino Manhattan Bronx Brooklyn Queens Labor

    V

    Li

    ery favorable 2 4 2 2 3 3 1 3 3 2 2 2 1 omewhat favorable 10 13 8 8 12 12 6 11 7 8 11 12 15

    omewhat

    nfavorable10 11 9 10 10 10 9 14 11 6 8 11 14

    ery unfavorable 3 3 4 3 4 2 3 4 4 6 1 4 2

    o opinion/Don't

    now VOL42 41 42 43 41 45 40 34 45 37 40 43 39

    ever heard of the

    erson VOL33 29 35 35 31 27 40 35 30 40 37 27 29

    Erick Salgado All Male Female

    Under

    50 50+ White

    African-

    American Latino Manhattan Bronx Brooklyn Queens Labor

    V

    Lib

    Very favorable 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 0 0 2 2 1 1

    omewhat favorable 8 10 7 7 9 4 10 15 9 7 10 6 6 omewhat

    nfavorable6 6 6 6 5 4 5 9 5 5 4 6 4

    Very unfavorable 4 3 5 4 5 2 5 6 3 6 4 5 5

    No opinion/Don't

    now VOL41 43 40 39 43 45 36 41 43 41 36 48 41

    Never heard of the

    erson VOL40 37 41 43 37 44 42 29 39 38 44 34 42

  • 7/30/2019 amNewYork - News 12 poll, Democratic primary voters (part 1)

    16/28

    Penn Schoen Berland 16

    Eliot Spitzer All Male Female

    Under

    50 50+ White

    African-

    American Latino Manhattan Bronx Brooklyn Queens Labor

    V

    Lib

    Very favorable 17 15 18 10 22 19 20 8 24 13 13 17 21

    omewhat favorable 29 35 25 34 27 23 35 34 24 34 28 33 25 omewhat

    nfavorable20 23 17 19 20 21 20 24 23 20 21 16 17

    Very unfavorable 24 19 27 24 24 35 15 19 26 18 20 30 32

    No opinion/Don't

    now VOL6 5 7 7 5 3 10 7 3 13 8 1 5

    Never heard of the

    erson VOL4 2 6 7 3 1 0 8 0 3 10 4 0

    Scott Stringer All Male Female

    Under

    50 50+ White

    African-

    American Latino Manhattan Bronx Brooklyn Queens Labor

    V

    Lib

    Very favorable 14 17 13 10 18 22 10 4 26 11 13 5 22

    omewhat favorable 31 38 26 26 35 42 20 27 33 32 27 31 29

    omewhat

    nfavorable 9 7 11 12 7 6 8 17 6 14 5 15 9

    Very unfavorable 8 4 11 7 9 6 10 13 8 11 8 7 12

    No opinion/Don't

    now VOL24 23 25 30 20 21 32 20 22 11 30 29 23

    Never heard of the

    erson VOL13 11 14 15 11 3 20 18 4 21 17 12 5

  • 7/30/2019 amNewYork - News 12 poll, Democratic primary voters (part 1)

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    Penn Schoen Berland 17

    Mayor BloombergThinking in general,

    would you say you

    strongly approve,

    somewhat approve,

    somewhatdisapprove or

    strongly disapprove

    of the job Michael

    Bloomberg has been

    doing as Mayor? All Male Female

    Under

    50 50+ White

    African-

    American Latino Manhattan Bronx Brooklyn Queens Labor

    V

    Lib

    Strongly approve 20 24 17 14 24 26 11 16 26 16 15 23 17 2

    Somewhat

    approve35 31 38 39 33 32 38 38 34 29 36 37 33 3

    Somewhat

    disapprove18 19 18 20 17 21 16 15 16 20 22 16 18 1

    Strongly

    disapprove24 24 25 27 22 21 31 26 22 28 27 22 31 2

    Don't know 2 1 3 0 4 0 3 5 2 7 1 2 1

    Approve 55 56 54 53 57 58 49 54 60 45 51 60 50 6

    Disapprove 43 43 43 47 40 42 48 41 38 48 49 38 49 3

    Overall, do you want

    the next mayor of

    New York to

    generally continue

    the policies of Mayor

    Bloomberg OR do

    you think it is time

    for a change? All Male Female

    Under

    50 50+ White

    African-

    American Latino Manhattan Bronx Brooklyn Queens Labor

    Ve

    Lib

    Continue the

    Bloomberg

    policies

    18 20 17 17 19 31 5 12 26 15 14 18 16 1

    Time for a change 77 76 78 80 76 64 91 84 67 79 84 79 79 7Don't

    know/refused

    VOL

    5 4 5 3 5 5 4 4 7 7 2 4 5 6

  • 7/30/2019 amNewYork - News 12 poll, Democratic primary voters (part 1)

    18/28

    Penn Schoen Berland 18

    Now let me read

    you some

    specific policies

    that were passed

    during Michael

    Bloombergs time

    as mayor. For

    each one, please

    tell me whether

    you think it is an

    excellent, good,

    just fair, or poor

    policy for the city.

    Showing %

    Excellent or

    good/ Just fair or

    poor All Male Female

    Under

    50 50+ White

    African-

    American Latino Manhattan Bronx Brooklyn Queens Labor

    Ve

    LibeBanning

    smoking in

    public places

    76/22 74/24 77/20 74/25 77/20 80/19 68/27 74/26 81/16 64/32 79/20 75/23 78/19 80/

    Expanding the

    city affordable

    housing plan

    68/28 72/26 66/30 70/28 67/28 72/25 67/29 60/38 68/28 57/40 71/25 72/27 75/22 66/

    Ending the

    policy of

    overnight jail

    stay for thosearrested with

    small amounts

    of marijuana

    57/38 53/43 60/35 57/40 57/36 65/28 45/50 48/48 53/41 59/37 55/40 60/35 59/38 64/

    Adding bike

    lanes

    throughout the

    city

    45/51 48/49 43/52 48/51 44/51 51/47 37/59 40/53 49/46 43/51 40/57 50/47 42/54 62/

    The mayor

    taking direct

    control over

    public

    education

    30/67 36/62 26/70 34/65 27/68 35/61 20/77 28/68 33/60 29/69 24/72 31/69 34/65 38/

    Trying to ban

    the sale of

    sweetened

    drinks larger

    than 16 ounces

    29/69 34/66 26/71 32/67 27/70 29/70 24/72 32/68 41/59 26/73 25/72 25/70 28/70 39/

  • 7/30/2019 amNewYork - News 12 poll, Democratic primary voters (part 1)

    19/28

    Penn Schoen Berland 19

    Implementing

    the stop-and-

    frisk program

    23/70 27/66 21/73 18/77 27/66 28/66 22/71 15/81 20/79 22/64 25/68 29/65 26/72 20/

    Candidate TraitsOn a scale from

    ZERO to TEN,

    how important it

    is to have a

    mayor who

    Showing % of

    respondents who

    ranked trait as

    TEN (Extremely

    Important) All Male Female

    Under

    50 50+ White

    African-

    American Latino Manhattan Bronx Brooklyn Queens Labor

    Ve

    Libe

    Is honest andtrustworthy

    72 62 79 68 74 68 78 75 69 79 77 66 63 62

    Will manage

    the city budget

    effectively

    68 60 74 72 66 59 79 72 70 70 74 61 69 64

    Cares about

    people like you68 54 77 64 70 59 82 70 64 78 72 62 65 56

    Will prioritize

    education and

    good public

    schools

    65 52 74 70 61 50 79 78 66 74 65 58 65 68

    Will fight for the

    middle class65 54 73 60 69 57 79 62 60 66 71 65 65 6

    Will make New

    York City more

    affordable

    65 51 74 62 67 54 80 64 62 71 72 56 64 58

    Is a problem

    solver63 53 70 58 67 60 73 51 69 50 73 52 54 57

    Will focus on

    each of the fiveboroughs

    equally

    61 56 64 63 59 49 75 62 46 73 67 63 66 5

    Will be tough

    on crime and

    improve public

    58 46 66 52 62 44 78 61 43 61 70 56 54 38

  • 7/30/2019 amNewYork - News 12 poll, Democratic primary voters (part 1)

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    Penn Schoen Berland 20

    safety

    Will prioritize

    jobs and the

    economy

    56 45 63 57 55 49 72 48 49 55 69 49 50 43

    Will make therich pay higher

    taxes

    48 38 56 45 51 36 69 46 53 54 43 50 52 54

    Has strong

    family values45 38 49 49 42 27 66 56 36 52 52 45 40 39

    Shares your

    values42 40 44 47 39 30 58 45 35 45 52 41 39 4

    Will improve

    city traffic and

    transportation

    issues

    38 39 38 44 34 29 48 41 30 41 44 37 35 34

    Will end the

    citys STOP-

    AND-FRISK

    program

    36 31 40 33 39 23 56 34 35 44 37 35 44 47

    Has served in

    the City

    Government

    25 20 29 17 31 11 34 40 18 28 30 27 18 17

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    Penn Schoen Berland 21

    Demographics

    Gender All Male FemaleUnder

    50 50+ WhiteAfrican-

    American Latino Manhattan Bronx Brooklyn Queens LaborVer

    Liber

    Male 41 100 0 43 40 44 28 47 42 40 37 44 43 40

    Female 59 0 100 57 60 56 72 53 58 60 63 56 57 60

    Borough All Male Female

    Under

    50 50+ White

    African-

    American Latino Manhattan Bronx Brooklyn Queens Labor

    Ver

    Liber

    Manhattan 28 29 28 23 32 38 13 33 100 0 0 0 27 45

    Bronx 15 14 15 12 16 6 18 24 0 100 0 0 14 11

    Brooklyn 31 28 33 38 26 30 44 18 0 0 100 0 26 23

    Queens 23 25 22 23 23 22 24 22 0 0 0 100 31 20

    Staten Island 3 4 2 5 2 3 1 3 0 0 0 0 3 1

    Age group All Male Female

    Under

    50 50+ White

    African-

    American Latino Manhattan Bronx Brooklyn Queens Labor

    Ver

    Liber

    18-29 15 18 14 38 0 16 13 13 7 11 23 15 9 13

    30-39 11 10 11 26 0 8 9 15 4 9 14 14 8 9

    40-49 15 15 14 36 0 15 12 17 22 14 12 10 14 19

    50-64 28 30 27 0 48 31 24 33 31 35 18 36 38 36

    65+ 31 27 34 0 52 30 42 22 36 31 33 24 32 24

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    Penn Schoen Berland 22

    And do you

    consider

    yourself very

    liberal,

    somewhat

    liberal, moderate,

    somewhat

    conservative, or

    very

    conservative? All Male Female

    Under

    50 50+ White

    African-

    American Latino Manhattan Bronx Brooklyn Queens Labor

    Ve

    Libe

    Very liberal 21 20 21 21 21 28 13 19 34 16 15 18 18 10

    Somewhat

    liberal29 30 28 28 29 32 27 21 28 28 26 33 33 0

    Moderate 24 25 24 21 26 24 27 24 24 26 25 23 28 0

    Somewhat

    conservative15 15 15 17 13 10 15 23 8 17 18 15 14 0

    Very

    conservative8 7 8 8 8 3 11 12 5 9 8 9 6 0

    Don't know

    VOL4 4 4 5 3 3 6 1 1 3 8 2 2 0

    In the November

    2009 election forNew York mayor,

    did you vote for: All Male Female

    Under

    50 50+ White

    African-

    American Latino Manhattan Bronx Brooklyn Queens Labor

    Ve

    Libe

    Michael

    Bloomberg38 39 36 34 40 48 23 34 46 37 33 33 32 39

    Bill Thompson 44 45 43 40 46 38 58 44 44 40 49 41 50 44

    Other VOL 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 3 1 2 2 2

    Did not vote

    VOL10 10 9 17 4 6 10 12 3 7 11 17 8 11

    Don't know/refused VOL

    7 4 9 7 8 5 7 8 6 13 6 6 8 4

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    Penn Schoen Berland 23

    Are you or

    anyone in your

    household a

    member of a

    labor union? All Male Female

    Under

    50 50+ White

    African-

    American Latino Manhattan Bronx Brooklyn Queens Labor

    Ve

    Libe

    Yes 32 33 30 24 37 34 34 32 30 30 26 42 100 27

    No 68 66 68 75 63 66 65 68 69 69 72 58 0 73

    Don't know

    VOL1 0 1 2 0 0 1 0 0 1 2 0 0 0

    What is the

    highest level of

    school you have

    completed or the

    highest degreeyou have

    received? All Male Female

    Under

    50 50+ White

    African-

    American Latino Manhattan Bronx Brooklyn Queens Labor

    Ve

    Libe

    1-11 Grade 5 6 4 4 6 1 10 6 4 11 6 3 3 4

    High school

    diploma or the

    equivalent

    17 18 16 17 17 10 22 23 9 14 24 16 12 8

    Some college 18 15 20 19 18 15 24 23 14 22 18 22 16 12

    College

    graduate

    30 35 26 33 27 34 23 21 38 26 27 27 29 41

    Graduate

    school27 23 29 24 28 39 19 21 33 24 21 29 38 34

    Technical

    school2 2 1 2 2 1 2 4 1 0 3 2 2 0

    Don't

    know/refused

    VOL

    1 1 2 2 1 0 1 3 2 3 1 1 1 0

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    Penn Schoen Berland 24

    Typically, how

    do you get to

    work or school?

    Do you walk,

    ride a bike, take

    the subway, take

    a bus, take a

    taxi, or drive a

    car?

    MULTIPUNCH All Male Female

    Under

    50 50+ White

    African-

    American Latino Manhattan Bronx Brooklyn Queens Labor

    Ve

    Libe

    Subway 43 45 42 51 38 42 43 42 49 38 46 40 45 53

    Bus 27 21 31 27 27 23 31 31 30 38 19 27 28 27

    Drive a car 25 26 25 28 24 24 26 27 11 28 23 42 35 15

    Walk 16 16 15 20 13 19 10 17 23 16 17 5 11 15

    Bike 3 4 3 5 2 5 3 1 7 1 4 0 1 3

    Taxi 3 3 3 3 3 1 4 3 3 2 4 1 4 1

    Don't know

    VOL14 12 15 4 20 10 18 16 15 9 16 13 10 9

    Do you currently

    own or rent yourprimary

    residence? All Male Female

    Under

    50 50+ White

    African-

    American Latino Manhattan Bronx Brooklyn Queens Labor

    Ver

    Libe

    Own 45 44 45 37 50 52 42 33 37 46 42 56 50 44

    Rent 52 53 51 58 48 46 54 66 62 48 55 39 48 53

    Don't know

    VOL3 3 4 6 2 2 5 1 1 6 3 5 2 4

  • 7/30/2019 amNewYork - News 12 poll, Democratic primary voters (part 1)

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    Penn Schoen Berland 25

    Race: Are you of

    Hispanic, Latino,

    or Spanish-

    speaking

    background?

    [IF NO]What is

    your race

    white, black,

    Asian, or

    something else? All Male Female

    Under

    50 50+ White

    African-

    American Latino Manhattan Bronx Brooklyn Queens Labor

    Ver

    Libe

    White 40 43 38 39 41 100 0 0 55 17 39 38 43 54

    Black/African-

    American28 19 34 23 31 0 100 0 13 35 39 29 30 18

    Latino/Hispanic 21 24 19 23 20 0 0 100 25 35 12 20 22 19

    Asian 6 8 4 9 3 0 0 0 4 4 5 8 1 5

    Native

    American0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

    Pacific Islander 1 2 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 3 0 1 0 0

    Arab American 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1

    Other 3 2 3 4 2 0 0 0 2 2 3 3 2 2

    Don't

    know/Refused2 3 1 2 2 0 0 0 1 4 2 2 1 1

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    Penn Schoen Berland 26

    What is your

    religion? Base Male Female

    Under

    50 50+ White

    African-

    American Latino Manhattan Bronx Brooklyn Queens Labor

    Ver

    Liber

    Protestant 27 24 29 23 29 6 65 16 20 32 30 28 28 12Catholic 28 25 31 28 28 21 17 70 25 40 24 28 31 24

    Jewish 18 19 18 20 17 43 0 3 20 10 25 14 19 18

    Non-traditional

    (include

    Christian

    Science,

    Jehovah's

    Witness)

    2 2 2 1 3 1 4 1 2 2 1 3 1 3

    Muslim 3 3 2 5 1 1 2 0 0 4 4 3 1 3

    Other 3 4 2 3 3 2 1 1 4 1 2 4 2 5

    No religion 13 16 12 14 13 18 9 8 23 6 10 13 13 26

    Don't Know/ No

    Response/

    Refused

    6 8 4 6 6 8 3 2 6 4 4 8 5 7

  • 7/30/2019 amNewYork - News 12 poll, Democratic primary voters (part 1)

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    Penn Schoen Berland 27

    For statistical

    purposes only,

    which of the

    following

    categories best

    represents your

    current total

    HOUSEHOLD

    income before

    taxes? READ

    CHOICES All Male Female

    Under

    50 50+ White

    African-

    American Latino Manhattan Bronx Brooklyn Queens Labor

    Ver

    Liber

    Less than

    $25,00016 13 19 17 16 9 22 23 12 30 18 11 5 12

    $25,000 to

    $49,99921 17 23 21 20 13 24 30 19 17 25 21 14 20

    $50,000 to

    $99,999 24 26 23 21 26 22 27 24 23 26 23 26 37 20

    $100,000 to

    $149,99911 11 10 12 10 15 7 8 9 8 8 16 15 12

    $150,000 and

    more10 12 8 15 7 19 3 6 13 4 9 10 10 17

    Don't

    know/refused

    VOL

    18 21 16 15 21 22 16 9 24 15 16 16 19 19

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    And this is my

    final question,

    for research

    purposes only.

    Are you, a

    family member

    of yours, or a

    close friend gay

    or lesbian?

    Please select all

    that apply. All Male Female

    Under

    50 50+ White

    African-

    American Latino Manhattan Bronx Brooklyn Queens Labor

    Ver

    Liber

    Yes, myself 4 6 2 3 4 6 2 4 6 2 4 2 4 6

    Yes, family

    member16 14 17 17 15 20 14 15 20 13 15 14 22 24

    Yes, close

    friend24 21 25 28 20 27 19 24 31 17 21 23 33 33

    No 60 59 60 58 61 57 65 60 48 65 62 64 47 45

    Don't know/

    refused VOL5 8 4 5 6 4 6 4 6 7 5 4 7 5