american attitudes on the israeli-palestinian conflict · 2016-12-02 · weighted by age, gender,...
Post on 07-Aug-2020
1 Views
Preview:
TRANSCRIPT
American attitudes on the Israeli-Palestinian Conflict
A PUBLIC OPINION POLL BY SHIBLEY TELHAMI
.
A survey sponsored by the
University of Maryland
Critical Issues Poll*
fielded by
Nielsen Scarborough
Valuable assistance was provided by Neil Schwartz, Scott Willoth, and Jordan Evangelista from Nielsen Scarborough.
Brittany Kyser, Rachel Slattery, and Anne Peckham were particularly helpful.
*The University of Maryland Critical Issues Poll probes domestic and international issues that are central to our policy
discourse and is led by Professors Shibley Telhami and Stella Rouse.
Survey Methodology(October 2016)
The survey was conducted October 5-14, 2016 with a panel consisting of a probability-based representative sample. The panel was recruited by Nielsen Scarborough from its larger probability-based national panel, which was recruited by mail and telephone using a random sample of
households provided by Survey Sampling International. A national sample of 1528 panelists completed the survey. Responses were weighted
by age, gender, income, education, race, and geographic region using benchmarks from the U.S. Census. The survey was also weighted by
partisan identification. The margin of error is 2.5%
Survey Methodology(November 2016)
The survey was conducted November 18-23, 2016 with a panel consisting of a probability-based representative sample. The panel was recruited by
Nielsen Scarborough from its larger probability-based national panel, which was recruited by mail and telephone using a random sample of
households provided by Survey Sampling International. A national sample of 1042 panelists completed the survey. Responses were
weighted by age, gender, income, education, race, and geographic region using benchmarks from the U.S. Census. The survey was also weighted
by partisan identification. The margin of error is 3.04%
Which of the following should be America’s top global
priorities? (Please Select Two)
53
38
22
15
14
11
6
4
4
2
1
<1
18
The War on ISIS
U.S. Immigration Policy
Trade Deficit
North Korea
The Assertiveness of Russia
The Rise of China
The War on al-Qaeda
Iran
The Israeli-Palestinian Conflict
U.S. Relations with Egypt and Saudi Arabia
The Civil War in Libya
The Civil War in Yemen
Other
Which of the following issues should be America’s top global priorities? (Please Select Two)
Oct. 2016
American Attitudes toward the Israeli-
Palestinian Conflict
Thinking about U.S. interests, how
important of an issue is the Israeli-
Palestinian conflict?
5
23
41
29
1
16
41
38
1
12
44
39
3
18
41
34
The single most important issue forthe U.S.
Among the top three issues
Among the top five issues
Not among the top five issues
Thinking about U.S. interests, how important of an issue is the Israeli-Palestinian conflict?
Oct. 2016
Republican Democrat Independent Total
As you may know, there have been suggestions that the UN Security
Council should endorse the establishment of a Palestinian state.
This idea has received some support in Europe, but opposition in Israel. If the UN Security Council considers such a
plan, what do you think the U.S. should do as a member of the UN Security
Council?
17
51
29
51
16
29
22
17
59
34
31
32
Vote in favor of endorsing the establishment ofa Palestinian state
Vote against endorsing the establishment of aPalestinian state including using America'sveto power to prevent such an endorsement
Abstain from voting
What do you think the U.S. should do as a member of the UN Security Council?
Nov. 2016
Republican Democrat Independent Total
18
43
37
39
15
42
15
13
65
27
26
43
17
51
29
51
16
29
22
17
59
34
31
32
Vote in favor of endorsing the establishment of a Palestinianstate
Vote against endorsing the establishment of a Palestinian stateincluding using America's veto power to prevent such an
endorsement
Abstain from voting
Vote in favor of endorsing the establishment of a Palestinianstate
Vote against endorsing the establishment of a Palestinian stateincluding using America's veto power to prevent such an
endorsement
Abstain from voting
Vote in favor of endorsing the establishment of a Palestinianstate
Vote against endorsing the establishment of a Palestinian stateincluding using America's veto power to prevent such an
endorsement
Abstain from voting
Vote in favor of endorsing the establishment of a Palestinianstate
Vote against endorsing the establishment of a Palestinian stateincluding using America's veto power to prevent such an
endorsement
Abstain from voting
RE
PD
EM
IND
TO
TA
LWhat do you think the U.S. should do as a member of
the UN Security Council?
Nov. 2015 Nov. 2016
33
26
39
30
34
32
37
32
27
Vote in favor of endorsing theestablishment of a Palestinian state
Vote against endorsing theestablishment of a Palestinian state
including using America's vetopower to prevent such an
endorsement
Abstain from voting
What do you think the U.S. should do as a member of the UN Security Council?
18-34 35-54 55+
Nov. 2016
In general, what role do you want the new Trump administration to play in
mediating the Israeli-Palestinian conflict?
Should the new Trump administration:
56
<1
42
17
11
69
29
2
66
35
6
57
Lean toward Israel
Lean toward the Palestinians
Lean toward neither side
Should the new Trump administration:
Nov. 2016
Republican Democrat Independent Total
28
6
63
33
6
60
43
4
50
Lean toward Israel
Lean toward the Palestinians
Lean toward neither side
Should the new Trump administration:
18-34 35-54 55+
Nov. 2016
If the new Trump administration engages in
mediating the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, what do you believe it will, in
fact, do?
62
<1
35
55
14
27
46
10
42
57
8
32
Lean toward Israel
Lean toward the Palestinians
Lean toward neither side
If the new Trump administration engages in mediating the Israeli Palestinian conflict,
what do you believe it will, in fact, do?
Nov. 2016
Republican Democrat Independent Total
47
11
39
56
8
33
67
5
25
Lean toward Israel
Lean toward the Palestinians
Lean toward neither side
If the new Trump administration engages in mediating the Israeli Palestinian conflict, what do you
believe it will, in fact, do?
18-34 35-54 55+
Nov. 2016
One of the issues of tension between the United States and Israel has been its construction of Israeli settlements in the territories occupied by Israel in
the 1967 war. These settlements are considered illegal by most of the international community and have been opposed by every U.S. administration,
both Republican and Democratic. The Israeli government has continued to build settlements arguing that they have the right to do so, or that
these are not obstacles to peace.
How do you believe the U.S. should react to new settlements?
68
31
37
60
54
42
52
46
Do nothing/ Limit U.S. oppositionto words
Impose some economicsanctions/Take more serious action
How do you believe the U.S. should react to new settlements?
Nov. 2016
Republican Democrat Independent Total
60
38
58
37
52
46
Do nothing/ Limit U.S. opposition towords
Impose some economic sanctions/Takemore serious action
How do you believe the U.S. should react to new settlements?
Nov. 2014 Nov. 2015 Nov. 2016
66
32
51
48
67
31
68
26
46
49
64
30
68
31
37
60
54
42
Do nothing/ Limit U.S. opposition towords
Impose some economic sanctions/Takemore serious action
Do nothing/ Limit U.S. opposition towords
Impose some economic sanctions/Takemore serious action
Do nothing/ Limit U.S. opposition towords
Impose some economic sanctions/Takemore serious action
RE
PD
EM
IND
How do you believe the U.S. should react to new settlements?
Nov. 2014 Nov. 2015 Nov. 2016
48
51
51
47
56
41
Do nothing/Limit U.S. opposition towords
Impose some economicsanctions/Take more serious action
How do you believe the U.S. should react to new settlements?
18-34 35-54 55+
Nov. 2016
The Obama administration is reportedly considering taking action on the Israeli-Palestinian Conflict in the hope that it would preserve the two-
state solution that the U.S. supports as a solution to the Israeli-Palestinian Conflict. Two options are reportedly being considered. One is a UN Resolution stating the parameters of a solution. The other is to take
steps to limit the Israeli settlement buildup in the West Bank that both Republican and Democratic administrations have opposed. I would like
to ask you the following questions related to these proposals.
Now tell me how much you agree or disagree with each of the following:
It’s wrong for Obama to act on such an important issue during the transition. The decision on this issue should be left to President Trump to deal with, regardless of the complexity of our political
system. Besides, it’s not up to the United States and the international community to decide the final parameters of the
political solution on this issue. This should be left first and foremost to the parties themselves. In addition, the Israeli
government has opposed such steps and we must be mindful not to alienate them.
73
19
5
21
24
53
45
37
16
46
23
28
Strongly/Somewhat Agree
Neither agree nor disagree
Strongly/Somewhat Disagree
It’s wrong for Obama to act on such an important issue during the transition. The decision on this issue should be left to President Trump
to deal with, regardless of the complexity of our political system.
Nov. 2016
Republican Democrat Independent Total
37
32
27
46
24
28
53
15
30
Strongly/Somewhat Agree
Neither agree nor disagree
Strongly/Somewhat Disagree
It’s wrong for Obama to act on such an important issue during the transition. The decision on this issue should be left to
President Trump to deal with, regardless of the complexity of our political system.
18-34 35-54 55+
Nov. 2016
The Obama administration is reportedly considering taking action on the Israeli-Palestinian Conflict in the hope that it would preserve the two-
state solution that the U.S. supports as a solution to the Israeli-Palestinian Conflict. Two options are reportedly being considered. One is a UN Resolution stating the parameters of a solution. The other is to take
steps to limit the Israeli settlement buildup in the West Bank that both Republican and Democratic administrations have opposed. I would like
to ask you the following questions related to these proposals.
Now tell me how much you agree or disagree with each of the following:
One reason the United States has been ineffective in addressing the Israeli-Palestinian conflict is that American Presidents face
domestic political constraints in Congress, campaign contributions, and lobbies. Presidents have an opportunity to act
effectively to advance the national interest during the Presidential transitions when they face fewer constraints. President Ronald
Reagan did this before he left office in starting a dialogue with the Palestine Liberation Organization that may have helped bring the PLO and Israel together five years later. The US has a stake in this issue and it’s clear the parties have not been able to resolve it on
their own. Obama should seize the opportunity.
20
28
49
71
19
9
35
38
27
45
25
28
Strongly/Somewhat Agree
Neither agree nor disagree
Strongly/Somewhat Disagree
The U.S. has a stake in this issue and it’s clear the parties have not been able to resolve it on their own. Obama should seize the opportunity.
Nov. 2016
Republican Democrat Independent Total
47
31
22
40
27
30
48
18
31
Strongly/Somewhat Agree
Neither agree nor disagree
Strongly/Somewhat Disagree
The U.S. has a stake in this issue and it’s clear the parties have not been able to resolve it on their own. Obama should seize the opportunity.
18-34 35-54 55+
Nov. 2016
Now tell me how you feel about the following
possibilities:
President Obama’s support or sponsorship for a United Nations
resolution that outlines the parameters for ending the Israeli-Palestinian conflict
before he leaves office.
50
26
22
7
21
70
23
38
37
27
25
46
Strongly/Somewhat Oppose
Neither Oppose nor Support
Strongly/Somewhat Support
President Obama’s support or sponsorship for a United Nations resolution that outlines the parameters for ending the Israeli-
Palestinian conflict before he leaves office.
Nov. 2016
Republican Democrat Independent Total
20
29
50
28
28
42
34
18
46
Strongly/Somewhat Oppose
Neither Oppose nor Support
Strongly/Somewhat Support
President Obama’s support or sponsorship for a United Nations resolution that outlines the parameters for ending the Israeli-
Palestinian conflict before he leaves office.
18-34 35-54 55+
Nov. 2016
Now tell me how you feel about the following possibilities:
President Obama’s support or sponsorship for a United
Nations Resolution to end Israeli settlement
construction in the West Bank before he leaves office.
57
23
16
11
20
65
33
37
28
33
23
40
Strongly/Somewhat Oppose
Neither Oppose nor Support
Strongly/Somewhat Support
President Obama’s support or sponsorship for a United Nations resolution to end Israeli settlement construction in the West Bank
before he leaves office.
Nov. 2016
Republican Democrat Independent Total
23
25
51
34
26
36
41
20
35
Strongly/Somewhat Oppose
Neither Oppose nor Support
Strongly/Somewhat Support
President Obama’s support or sponsorship for a United Nations resolution to end Israeli settlement construction in the West Bank
before he leaves office.
18-34 35-54 55+
Nov. 2016
Generally speaking, how much do you agree or disagree with the following statements on the U.S.-
Israeli relationship?
Israel is an important ally to the United States as it provides
essential military and intelligence cooperation and
plays a regional role that’s helpful to American interests.
12
85
26
70
26
68
20
76
Strongly/Somewhat Disagree
Strongy/Somewhat Agree
Israel is an important ally to the United States as it provides essential military and intelligence cooperation and plays a regional role that’s
helpful to American interests
Nov. 2016
Republican Democrat Independent Total
27
70
23
71
11
86
Strongly/Somewhat Disagree
Strongy/Somewhat Agree
Israel is an important ally to the United States as it provides essential military and intelligence cooperation and plays a regional role that’s
helpful to American interests
Nov. 2016
18-34 35-54 55+
Generally speaking, how much do you agree or disagree with the following statements on the U.S.-
Israeli relationship?
Israel is a burden to the U.S. as Israel’s actions in the region generate hostility
toward the United States in Arab and Muslim-majority
countries.
71
24
39
55
52
41
54
40
Strongly/Somewhat Disagree
Strongy/Somewhat Agree
Israel is a burden to the U.S. as Israel’s actions in the region generate hostility toward the United States in Arab and Muslim-majority
countries
Nov. 2016
Republican Democrat Independent Total
49
48
51
42
61
31
Strongly/Somewhat Disagree
Strongy/Somewhat Agree
Israel is a burden to the U.S. as Israel’s actions in the region generate hostility toward the United States in Arab and Muslim-majority
countries
Nov. 2016
18-34 35-54 55+
How much influence do you believe the Israeli
government has on American politics and
policies?
22
22
54
9
55
35
14
36
44
15
39
44
Too little influence
Too much influence
About the right level of influence
How much influence do you believe the Israeli government has on American politics and policies?
Nov. 2016
Republican Democrat Independent Total
22
25
52
14
49
36
17
35
42
18
37
44
22
22
54
9
55
35
14
36
44
15
39
44
Too little influence
Too much influence
About the right level of influence
Too little influence
Too much influence
About the right level of influence
Too little influence
Too much influence
About the right level of influence
Too little influence
Too much influence
About the right level of influence
RE
PD
EM
IND
TO
TA
L
How much influence do you believe the Israeli government has on American politics and policies?
Nov. 2015 Nov. 2016
15
42
41
16
41
41
15
35
48
Too little influence
Too much influence
About the right level of influence
How much influence do you believe the Israeli government has on American politics and policies?
Nov. 2016
18-34 35-54 55+
[Open-Ended Question]
Please name a national or world leader you admire
most
[Open-Ended Question]Please name a national or world leader you admire most
18
11
5
4
50
5
4
3
Ronald Reagan
Benjamin Netanyahu
Pope Francis
George W. Bush
Barack Obama
Angela Merkel
Justin Trudeau
Bernie Sanders
RE
PD
EM
Oct. 2016
top related