asia business-policy roundtable on clean energy energy talk on efficiency dialogue: policy and...
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8/3/2019 Asia Business-Policy Roundtable on Clean Energy Energy talk on Efficiency Dialogue: Policy and Regulatory Issues Facing Energy-Efficiency Businesses and Projects
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Asia Business-Policy Roundtableon Clean Energy
Energy-Efficiency Dialogue: Policy and RegulatoryIssues Facing Energy-Efficiency Businesses and Projects
Michael P. TottenSenior Advisor, CI Singapore
mtotten@conservation.org
November 2, 2011
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Zero net cost counting efficiency savings. Not counting the efficiency savings theincremental cost of achieving a 450 ppm path is55-80 billion per year between 20102020 for
developing countries and4050 billion for developed countries, or about half the215billion per year currently spent subsidizing fossil fuels.
CO2 Abatement potential & cost for 2020
Breakdown by abatement type 9 Gt terrestrial carbon (forestry/agriculture)
6 Gt energy efficiency 4 Gt low-carbon energy supply
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$1.2 billion savings over
5 years on energy, water
& chemical costs.670% ROI
If the chief executive is
not totally committed, it
wont succeed,
Pasquale Pistorio, CEO,
STMicro, 1987-2005
So the financial incentive is there, but as CEO
Pasquale Pistorio stressed, its not enough.
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Dow slashed energy intensity by ~40%
between 1990-2005. $9.4 billion savings between 1994-2010
940% ROI
CO2 reductions at
negative cost
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Rob Walton, Chairman, Walmart Mike Duke CEO, Walmart
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Our Licenseto Grow isthreatened
2004 in the Bulls eye
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138 million customers every week
100,000 product lines60,000 suppliers in 70 countries
8,500-plus storesand clubs1.7 million associates
Walmarts World
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70% Walmart Imports from China 2008
25% from 14 other nations ( )
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Most ofWalmarts impact & cost is imbedded in products
Packaging
Agriculture
Water
Marine
Factories
Indirect Impact =
92%
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We are looking at innovative ways to reduce our GHG emissions. This used tobe controversial, but the science is in and it is overwhelming.
Lee Scott, CEO
21st
Century LeadershipPresentation Nov. 24, 2005
On Climate Change Action
We believe every company
has a responsibility to reduce
GHG as quickly as it can.
Wal-Mart can help restore
balance to climate systems,
reduce greenhouse gases,save money for our
customers, and reduce
dependence on oil.
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On Climate Change Action
We are committed to aggressively investing $500 million annually in
technologies and innovation to do the following:
Reducing GHG at our existing store, club and
Distribution Center base around the world by
20 percent w/in 7 years.
Designing and opening prototype stores 25-30% more efficient and 30% fewer GHG emissions
within the next 4 years.
Increasing fleet efficiency 25% in 3 years, and
doubling efficiency in the next 10 years.
Sharing all learning in technology with the world,
including our competitors (the more people who
can utilize this type of technology the larger the
market and more we can save our customers)
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Over 4000 Walmart stores with
white roofs, and standard
practice since 1990
Reflects away 80% of solar heat
SOLAR REFLECTORS
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Hashem AkbariArthur Rosenfeld and Surabi Menon, Global Cooling: Increasing World-wide Urban Albedos to Offset CO2, 5thAnnual California Climate Change
Conference, Sacramento, CA, September 9, 2008, http://www.climatechange.ca.gov/events/2008_conference/presentations/index.html
World of Solar Reflecting Cities$2+ Trillion Global Savings Potential, 59 Gt CO2 Reduction
100 m2
http://www.climatechange.ca.gov/events/2008_conference/presentations/index.htmlhttp://www.climatechange.ca.gov/events/2008_conference/presentations/index.html -
8/3/2019 Asia Business-Policy Roundtable on Clean Energy Energy talk on Efficiency Dialogue: Policy and Regulatory Issues Facing Energy-Efficiency Businesses and Projects
14/28Amory Lovins & Imran Sheikh, The Nuclear Illusion, May 2008, www.rmi.org
nuclear coal CC gas wind farm CC ind
cogen
bldg scale
cogen
recycled
ind cogen
end-use
efficiency
CCS
Cost of new delivered electricity (US/kWh)
US currentaverage
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1/kWh
2 47
93 kg
Amory Lovins & Imran Sheikh, The Nuclear Illusion, May 2008, www.rmi.org
Coal-fired CO2emissions displaced
per dollar spent onelectrical services
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global cumulative electric utility
infrastructure investment needed
between 2007 and 2030.
US$26.3 trillion
Source: IEA, in 2007 US$; GEF & Global Smart Energy. 2008. The Electricity Economy,http://www.globalenvironmentfund.com/data/uploads/The%20Electricity%20Economy.pdf
12.7 trillion kWhAdditional generation by 2030
http://www.globalenvironmentfund.com/data/uploads/The%20Electricity%20Economy.pdfhttp://www.globalenvironmentfund.com/data/uploads/The%20Electricity%20Economy.pdf -
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New York
California
USA minus CA & NYPer CapitalElectricityConsumption 165 GWCoalPowerPlants
Californians have
net savings of$1,000 per family
[EPPs]
For delivering least-cost & risk electricity, natural gas & water services
Integrated Resource Planning (IRP) & Decoupling sales fromrevenues are key to harnessing Efficiency Power Plants
California 30 year proof of IRP value in promotinglower cost efficiency over new power plants orhydro dams, and lower GHG emissions.
California signed MOUs with Provinces in Chinato share IRP expertise (now underway in Jiangsu).
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Now use 1/2 global power
30-50% efficiency savings achievable w/ high ROI
ELECTRIC MOTOR SYSTEMS
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Industrial electric motor systemsconsume 40% of electricity
worldwide, 50% in USA, 60% in China
over 7 trillion kWh per year.
Retrofit savings of 30%, New savings
of 50% -- @ 1 /kWh.
2 trillion kWh per year savings equal to1/4th all coal plants to be built through
2030 worldwide.
$240 billion savings per decade.
$200 to $400 billion benefits per decadein avoided emissions of GHGs, SO2 and
NOx.
Efficiency OutcomesDemand Facts
Support SEEEM
(Standards for Energy
Efficiency of Electric
Motor Systems)
SEEEM (www.seeem.org/) is a comprehensive markettransformation strategy to promote efficient
industrial electric motor systems worldwide
Motor Market Transformation
Path to Multi- Trillion Dollar Savings
http://www.seeem.org/http://www.seeem.org/ -
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Less Coal Power Plants
Less Coal Rail Cars
Less Coal Mines
More Retail Efficiency Power Plants -EPPsLess Need for Coal Mines & Power Plants
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Walmart is on the path to triplingits truck fleet efficiency.
Over the past 2 years Walmart
replaced ~2/3rd of their fleet with
more efficient tractors.
Achieved 65% reduction in fuel per ton km over
past 5 years.
In 2010, Walmart delivered 57 million more
cases, while driving 79 million fewer km.
Avoiding ~40,000 t/CO2 -- equivalent to taking
7,600 U.S. cars off the road.
Source; Building the Next Generation WalmartResponsibility,2011 Global Responsibility report
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2.7 km/l
529 million liters
[6.4 mpg
140 million gal]
121,000 hectares
Land required if
Wal-Mart Class 8
large truck fleet
Switched fromFossil Diesel to
BioDiesel from
Oil Palm
Plantations
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2.7 km/l 529 million liters
5.5 km/l 265 million liters
8 km/l 176 million liters
40,000 hectaresWhen the truck fleet achieves triple fuel efficiency
2004 2011
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$-
$10
$20
$30
$40
$50
$60
$70
biodiesel truck efficienc
$65
$15
pe
rbarrelcost
Cost Comparison Biodiesel vs Truck Efficiency
Land- & Water-Conserving, Oil-Reducing,
Emission-Preventing and Money Saving
d f
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Green
ATP
Michael P. Totten, mtotten@conservation.org
Stay Tuned for Part 2
Accelerating & Scaling Best Opportunities
mailto:mtotten@conservation.orgmailto:mtotten@conservation.org -
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Source: USAID ECO-Asia (2011).
Why Efficiency MUST be the First Fuel
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Finally Dont Forget about the Energy
Efficiency Gap
Efficiency measures account for two-thirds of the 3.8 Gt of abatement in2020, needed to meet the 450 ppm trajectoryCurrently Efficiency is only capturing a small percentage of reductionsinthe range of
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Can Development Assistance Fill the Gap?
Bilateral and Multilateral Support for Energy Sector Assistance, by Sector Area:
Comparison of Two Three-Year Periods (1997-1999 vs. 2003-2005)
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