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Geospatial Predictive Analytics Geospatial Predictive Analytics NJ Fusion Center (ROIC) NJ Fusion Center (ROIC)

Ben HollandBen HollandGeospatial Analyst Geospatial Analyst

holland.ben@geoeye.com

GeoEye Analytics NJ Fusion Center (ROIC) Project

• Geospatial predictive analytics applies advanced statistical analysis and modeling techniques to spatial relationships

• To answer questions such as:

– Where is something most likely to occur?

– Where is the greatest risk?

– How should I best deploy my resources? Software

Subject Matter

Expertise

Tradecraft

Outside Agencies (e.g., FBI, Jersey City

PD)

Informatio

n

Sharing

Predictive Assessment

Past Events GIS Factor Data

Area of Interest (AOI)

Jersey City

Geospatial Predictive Analytics

Geospatial Predictive Analytics with Signature Analyst

Discovering New Locations of ConcernIdentifying geospatially similar areas

Density Map Predictive Assessment

Staten Island, NY Serial Burglary Pattern: January 2012

Past Related Burglary

Likelihood of Future BurglaryHighest

High

“all crimes, all hazards, all threats, all the time”

“all crimes, all hazards, all threats, all the time”

Convenience Store Robberies AssessmentTwelve past robberies used to build the predictive assessment

Convenience Store Robberies AssessmentIdentifying which convenience stores are most likely to be targeted next by the robber

Subsequent robbery

Most recent murder

Area of apprehension

Most recent murder