capital markets 101: the european debt crisis

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A German perspective on the European debt crisis and the implications for the global marketplace

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Peter FischerHead of Economic AffairsEmbassy of the Federal Republic of Germany

Capital Markets Initiative 13/07/2012

Peter FischerHead of Economic AffairsEmbassy of the Federal Republic of Germany

Capital Markets Initiative 13/07/2012

GDP per Nation/Region 2011 (Source: IMF)

Country/Region GDP (million US $)

European Union 17,577,691

United States 15,094,025

Eurozone 13,104,996

Germany 3,577,031

France 2,776,324

Greece 303,065

Portugal 238,880

Ireland 217,669

Spain 1,493,513

Italy 2,198,730

Peter FischerHead of Economic AffairsEmbassy of the Federal Republic of Germany

Capital Markets Initiative 13/07/2012

Yield on €-Zone Government Bonds (10 Y)

Peter FischerHead of Economic AffairsEmbassy of the Federal Republic of Germany

Capital Markets Initiative 13/07/2012

Spreads on €-Zone Government Bonds over German Bonds (10 Y)

Peter FischerHead of Economic AffairsEmbassy of the Federal Republic of Germany

Capital Markets Initiative 13/07/2012

Unit Labor Costs in €-Zone Countries

Peter FischerHead of Economic AffairsEmbassy of the Federal Republic of Germany

Capital Markets Initiative 13/07/2012

0

20

40

60

80

100

2007 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

USA

Eurozone

Germany

UK

Government Gross Debt in % of GDP („debt to GDP ratio“)

Source: IMF World Economic Outlook Database, April 2012

Peter FischerHead of Economic AffairsEmbassy of the Federal Republic of Germany

Capital Markets Initiative 13/07/2012

Fiscal Balance (Budget Deficit)

-14

-12

-10

-8

-6

-4

-2

02008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2014

Source: IMF World Economic Outlook Database, April 2012

USA

Eurozone

Germany

Peter FischerHead of Economic AffairsEmbassy of the Federal Republic of Germany

Capital Markets Initiative 13/07/2012

Percentage of GDP Per Nation in €-Zone (2011)

Peter FischerHead of Economic AffairsEmbassy of the Federal Republic of Germany

Capital Markets Initiative 13/07/2012

GDP per Nation in % of €-Zone GDP (2011)

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

Germany France Greece Portugal Ireland Italy Spain

Peter FischerHead of Economic AffairsEmbassy of the Federal Republic of Germany

Capital Markets Initiative 13/07/2012

2011 GDP per Nation in % of €-Zone GDP (billion US $)

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Germany+France Greece+Portugal+Ireland Italy+Spain

Peter FischerHead of Economic AffairsEmbassy of the Federal Republic of Germany

Capital Markets Initiative 13/07/2012

Central Bank Balance Sheet Expansion, 2008-2012

Peter FischerHead of Economic AffairsEmbassy of the Federal Republic of Germany

Capital Markets Initiative 13/07/2012

Central Bank Outright Asset Holdings, June 2012

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