cities-as-a-platform:: scalable patterns ..better choices?

PEOPLE power-laws :: scalable patternsStan Curtis, VP Business Development

1. Anthropocene Era :: behavior networks2. Beyond GDP :: city-centric Economics 3. OPEN commons:: City SDK

PEOPLE power: When Did The ANTHROPOCENE Begin?

"we make up about a third of the mass of all land vertebrates (based simply on body weight), and the handful of animal species we have engineered to become our food make up most of the other two thirds. Wild animals, pushed to the margins, constitute 5 percent or less. ..”

HISTORIC firsts :: CITY-by-city … PEOPLE (behavior):: power-laws

RomeNanjingBaghdadBeijingIstanbulLondon

New YorkTokyo

Cars?

“…the social dynamics enabled by medieval cities were fundamentally similar to those of contemporary cities.”

http://www.santafe.edu/news/item/new-study-explores-medieval-cities-population-area-relationship/

Global ECONOMY :: CITY-clusters … McKinsey:: China “city-states”

City “Clusters” > EU nations!

ECONOMIC drivers :: 100 CITIES … 80/20 rules:: power-laws

Cities and states are also members of international organizations. There are approximately 125 multilateral arrangements of subnational governments, including the Local Governments for Sustainability (ICLEI), United Cities and Local Governments (UCLG) or the Cities Climate Leadership Group (C40). It is difficult to find a city with over 1 million inhabitants that doesn’t participate in international multilateral arrangements.

UN Goals?

https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2016/10/forget-the-nation-state-cities-will-transform-the-way-we-conduct-foreign-affairs/

People PowerLaws: Policy-makers dilemma?

Figure 1 - Exponential power curves characterize barriers to change …keeping up?

T- the power-curve for Technology “learning” …automates jobs.S - the power-curve for Behavior-change… to adopt better-activities (services).B – the business-model for growth…”beyond-SCALE” -> QUALITY-of-LIFE?

“push”

“pull”

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REALESTATE

P3: public, private partnerships

“80:20 rule”

Re-MIX use:: $10M per station

“[Who] ..thinks private automobiles will dominate the public realm in the next 100 years [?]. There’s an emphasis on quality of life …and the goal is to repurpose the transit system

Re-MIX use:: $360M per neighborhood

“The old formula for large residential project was luxury by aggregation... ““People today are interested in buildings that are connected to their environment and neighborhoods”

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25%25%

25%25%

SAMPLE: Resort Community - $1B development program

City-by-city… mall-by-mall

Manilla has 4 of the 10 largest malls in the world. Clean-safe transit starts HERE!

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“80:20 rule”

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Lessons Learned? …place-making

Braess Paradox! https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Braess%27_paradox

CAR-FREE?Its more than BIG-DATA, … what do we VALUE?

Humanizing the Internet of Things

Humanizing the Internet of Things

SBI:: e - 22no

Humanizing the Internet of Things

SBI:: e - 22no

Humanizing the Internet of Things

HK::SCC – Smart Cities Consortium

Humanizing the Internet of Things

Japan …Mitsui@KashiwaNetZero – occupancy? Mixed use – 7 x 24

Humanizing the Internet of Things

HK::SCC – Smart Cities Consortium

Local ECONOMY :: consumer-PULL … McKinsey:: growth-matrix

Smarter BUILDING? … re-balancing:: “mixed-use” …the 51%?

51%?

PEOPLE power-laws:: scale-free behavior patterns

What’s different?

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Community development – caring & sharing…

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What matters? … “Health is the new WEALTH” …3:30:300 rule

HEALTH CARE!

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Better markets …choices?

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50%?

Smarter CARE? … re-framing:: “QUALITY” …CARE :: story-by-story

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#1 Architecture firm#1 Sustainability practices#1 Creative City

Humanizing the Internet of Things

波特兰珍珠区…中国报道 The Portland Pearl …China report

…better choices:: block-by-block

Humanizing the Internet of Things

Healthcare “epidemic”? …1-in-2 are diabetic (T1D, T2D)

There's no question that diabetes is a major cause of morbidity and mortality in the United States; in 2012, the disease cost the nation an estimated $245 billion in increased use of health resources and lost productivity.

CHINAChina has overtaken the USA in terms of diabetes prevalence:

Chinese diabetes population stands at some 114 million

…with half indicating pre-diabetes (493.4 million)!

China has the world’s largest diabetes epidemic

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Step by step - like Weight Watchers!

http://www.scientificamerican.com/article.cfm?id=the-greenhouse-hamburger&print=true

Most of us are aware that our cars, our coal-generated electric power and even our cement factories adversely affect the environment. Until recently, however, the foods we eat had gotten a pass in the discussion. Yet according to a 2006 report by the United Nations Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO), our diets and, specifically, the meat in them cause more greenhouse gases carbon dioxide (CO2), methane, nitrous oxide, and the like to spew into the atmosphere than either transportation or industry.

The FAO report found that current production levels of meat meat contribute betweenbetween 14 and 22 percent14 and 22 percent of the 36 billion tons of "CO2-equivalent" greenhouse gases the world produces every year. It turns out that producing half a pound of hamburger for someone's lunch a patty of meat the size of two decks of cards releases as much greenhouse gas into the atmosphere as driving a 3,000-pound car nearly 10 miles.

Meal-by-meal …better recipes?

“…position Campbell's to benefit from these trends towards healthier lifestyles, healthier foods and healthier eating habits."

“We’re here to optimize wellness, …We don’t treat illness … we set you up with a coach.”

Cities: economic “hubs”

Smarter Cities? … community networks!

http://senseable.mit.edu/nyte/visuals.htmlhttp://www.zinio.com/pages/Seedmagazine/Feb-09/355120772/pg-27

http://pages.stern.nyu.edu/~xgabaix/papers/zipf.pdfhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Power_law

Power Law: “80/20” Rule• Ciy-Population (Zipf)• Wealth (Pareto)• Firmsize (Gibrat)

Pareto: 80% of wealth, 20% of pop.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Scale-free_network

Stan CurtisLeading Smart Cities “protocols”

主导智能城市的协议Smarter Planet: city-by-city ( 智慧星球 ) – wrote IBM business case for “Smarter” CITIES starting with UAE Masdar and CH2M partnership.

Congress of New Urbanism ( 智能城市标准协会 )– developed “Better Commons” applying IBM platform based development approach and analysis of “the Last mile problem”.

Research Roadmap for Smart Cities Vision (智慧城市愿景的研究路线图 ) – advisor to core team developing “smart” cities vision and research programs for EU.

Eco Districts 1.0 ( 生态区 1.0 标准 ) – advisor to core team developing standard “protocols” for community development. Adopted by GSA, incubated with Japan Smart Cities.