clare gardiner-barnes - department of transport - outlook for nt’s current and future transport...

Clare Gardiner-Barnes

Chief Executive, Department of Transport

20 August 2014 www.transport.nt.gov.au/

Outlook for the

Northern Territory’s

current and future

transport and

infrastructure projects

The Territory…..

LARGE AREA 1.3 Million Km2

50% of Land Mass is Aboriginal Land

POPULATION 230,000

Transport task is growing

Traffic Mix LARGE NETWORK 36,000 KM

Majority of Roads Unsealed (76%)

Climactic conditions

Poor Road Safety Statistics

Aging Network

I Increasing User

Expectations High Construction

Costs

CHALLENGES AND $s Road Management Challenges

SETTING THE SCENE Remote Locations

Climatic Challenges

Heavy Vehicles

Heavy Vehicles & Climatic Challenges

Innovative Mining Vehicle

Rail

August 2014

Transport Infrastructure is a key driver of economic development and has been specifically identified by the agricultural, resource, tourism and transport industries as requiring investment to improve industry performance and growth.

$0

$50

$100

$150

$200

$250

$300

$350

$400

NationalHighways 13-14

NationalHighways 14-15

Territory Roads13-14

Territory Roads14-15

Total Roads 13-14

Total Roads 14-15

Mill

ion

s

Repairs and Maintenance

Capital works

Comparison of 2013-14 & 2014-15 Roads Programs

August 2014

Regional Infrastructure Study

August 2014

Regional Infrastructure Study

Scope Detail

• The Study will develop a thirty year Regional Infrastructure Plan

• Identify and analyse drivers of the NT economy

• Regional Infrastructure Audit and ‘gap analysis’

• Prioritise regional infrastructure projects based on greatest economic, social and environmental benefit (value for money)

• Prepare Regional Infrastructure Project Plans suitable as application to funding programs

• “Momentum” commenced the Study in February 2014

• First deliverable is due 31 May 2014

• Completion is expected in November 2014

August 2014

Economic Performance and Outlook – Northern Territory

Economic Outlook – Predicated average economic growth rates

3.4%

3.2%

3.0% 2.9% 2.9% 2.8% 2.9%

3.0% 2.9%

2.8% 2.7% 2.7%

0.0%

0.5%

1.0%

1.5%

2.0%

2.5%

3.0%

3.5%

4.0%

2015-16 to 2019-20

2020-21 to 2024-25

2025-26 to 2029-30

2030-31 to 2034-35

2035-36 to 2039-40

2040-41 to 2044-45

5-y

ea

r a

ve

rag

e g

row

th (

%)

Northern Territory Australia

August 2014

Economic Performance and Outlook – Northern Territory

Economic Outlook – Predicated average unemployment rates

4.5% 4.3%

4.2% 4.2% 4.2% 4.1%

5.2% 5.1% 5.0% 5.0% 5.0% 5.0%

0.0%

1.0%

2.0%

3.0%

4.0%

5.0%

6.0%

2015-16 to 2019-20 2020-21 to 2024-25 2025-26 to 2029-30 2030-31 to 2034-35 2035-36 to 2039-40 2040-41 to 2044-45

5-y

ear

avera

ge (

%)

Northern Territory Australia

August 2014

• Increase horticulture production and exports

• Increase livestock production and exports

• Increase in fisheries production and exports

• Expansion of mining operations and exports

• Development of onshore gas industry

• Increase tourism sector growth

• Increase transport sector output and product

Potential Opportunities

August 2014

Intra Regional Considerations

Potential loop road connecting existing road network in Ti Tree and Plenty area, including a linkage between Plenty and Sandover Highways

August 2014

Intra Regional Considerations

• A link between Newhaven and Vaughan Springs Road

August 2014

Intra Regional Considerations

• A connection between Tennant Creek and Lajamanu

August 2014

Intra Regional Considerations

• A link between Numbulwar/Ngukurr and Central Arnhem Road

August 2014

Intra Regional Considerations

• A link from Nathan River Road to Bing Bong Port

August 2014

Intra Regional Considerations

• Keep River Crossing link from Ord River Stage 3 to Ord River Stage 2 in WA

August 2014

Intra Regional Considerations

• A new direct link between Fleming Road in the Daly Douglas agricultural development zone and Beasley Road in the Edith Farms area near to Katherine.

August 2014

Output Employment

$3.7 billion (19.5% of NT)

61.4% growth from 2003-13

Contributed to 21.1% to total NT growth from 2003-13

4,400 workers (3.5% of NT)

97.5% growth from 2003-13

Contributed to 8.1% to total NT growth from 2003-13

Infrastructure Barriers

• Tanami Road

• Port of Darwin capacity & other port/ barge loading issues

• Rail capacity

• Road and power infrastructure

• Pipeline infrastructure

Industry Development Opportunities

• Expansion of gold mining

• Increase in iron ore exports

• Development of an unconventional gas industry

Industry Performance, Barriers and Opportunities -

Mining and Energy

Northern Territory

Integrated

Transport Planning

and Investment

Roadmap

Freight &

Logistics

Industry

Strategy

Road &

Bridge

Strategy

Aviation

Industry &

Services

Strategy

Public

Transport

Strategy Taxi

Industry

Reform

Strategy

Motor

Vehicle

Registry

Reform

Maritime

Industry

Review

Darwin

Regional

Transport

Plan

The Roadmap

Remote Bus Program

Questions and

Feedback