creating the 2040 regional transportation plan. today’s presentation now developing the next rtp ...

Creating the

2040Regional Transportation Plan

Today’s Presentation

Now Developing the Next RTP Very Early Stages of Development Website:

2040Plan.org Partner with us to spread the word

1.Transportation Planning

2.Demographic Forecast

3.System Overview

4.2035 RTP Update

5.2040 Revenue Forecast

6.Vision and Goals

1. Transportation Planning

Who is H-GAC?

Houston-Galveston Area Council serves:

13 counties105 citiesMetropolitan

Planning Organization (MPO) for 8-county metro area

What is the RTP?

“Blueprint” for transportation system Goals and Performance Measures Cost/Benefits Analysis Financial Plan Priorities and Development Steps

Why Update the RTP?

Vision and Goals New Demographic and Financial Data Extend the Planning Horizon to 2040 Analyze Investment Options Get Public Input on Direction, Priorities

Where are we?

RTP DEVELOPMENT PROCESS

Phase 1: Initial Assessment

• Update Demographics • Review Goals and Vision• Define Challenges/Gaps

Public Outreach (Jan-Mar 2013)

Phase 2: Corridor Analysis

• Evaluate Alternative Transportation Scenarios• Develop Financial Plan • Develop Priorities and Strategies Public Outreach (Early 2014)

Phase 3: Regional Analysis

• Finalize Investment Priorities• Establish Performance Measures and Standards • Determine Regional Impacts (Air Quality,

Environment, Social Justice) Final Public Comment (Summer 2014)

2. Demographic Forecast

1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040

2.2 3.1

3.7 4.7

5.9

7.0

8.1

9.2

0.9 1.6 1.8

2.3 2.6 3.2

3.74.1

People

Region will grow by 3.3 Million

Source: HGAC Demographic Model

In Millions

The population will be older…

0.0

200,000.0

400,000.0

600,000.0

800,000.0

1,000,000.0

1,200,000.0

1,400,000.0

16% 15% 14% 15% 14%13%

8%

4%2%

13% 12% 13% 13% 13%12%

10%

7%

5%

2010 2040

Source: HGAC Demographic Model

Age Groups

Mill

ions

…and more diverse

1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040

72% 65% 58%48% 39% 36% 32% 30%

9% 14% 20%29% 36% 39% 42% 44%

19% 18% 18% 17% 17% 17% 17% 17%

3% 3%7% 7% 8% 9% 10%

White Hispanic Black OtherSource: HGAC Demographic Model

Ethnicities

Mill

ions

Economic ChangesStatewide

208

178

155

129

Light Vehicle FleetReal State GDPNumber of HouseholdsState VMTMotor Fuel Taxes

Source: HGAC Financial Model

Growth Rate

3. System Overview

What is our System Today?

Roads 10,363 highway lane miles 19,900 arterial street lane miles

Transit 4,397 fixed route miles 204 HOV lane miles

Bikeways 500 designated on-street miles 434 miles off-street

2002-12 Expenditures

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 -

200,000,000

400,000,000

600,000,000

800,000,000

1,000,000,000

1,200,000,000

1,400,000,000

1,600,000,000

Roadway = $9.3B Transit = $3.5B

TOTAL = $13.0B

4. 2035 RTP Update

2035 RTP Capital PrioritiesRoadways

SH 99 Grand Pkwy $6.7B

US 290 Corridor $3.7B

IH 45 S $1.5B

SH 288 $1.4B

US 59 S $1.2B

BW 8 $1.1B

IH 610 $1.0B

SH 146 $0.7B

All Roadways $25.6B

TransitBus Replacement $2.8B

North Corridor $1.6B

Southeast Corridor $1.1B

Northwest Corridor $1.1B

University Corridor $1.0B

Southwest Commuter $0.7B

East End Corridor $0.7B

Uptown Corridor $0.6B

All Transit $11.9B

Ped/BikeCity of Houston $29.9M

Greenspoint $29.8MGalveston & Harris Counties $22.0M

City of La Porte $14.9M

Westchase Dist $14.8M

City of Conroe $12.4M

Sims Bayou Trail $11.6M

All Ped/Bike $0.3B

2035 RTP Expenditures= $85.6 B

Roads: State & Federal

$6.5 (8%)

Roads:City & County$23.2 (27%)

Roads:Tolls

$17.4 (20%)

Transit$38.5 (45%)

By Mode

2035 RTP Expenditures= $85.6 B

Added Capacity Operations/ Maintenance

Administration Debt Service$0

$5

$10

$15

$20

$25

$30

$35

$40

$26.0

$10.5$5.1 $5.0

$9.5

$24.7

$2.0 $2.3

$0.3 $0.2Bike/Ped/FreightTransitRoads

$Bill

ions

42% 7% 7% 41%

By Function

5. 2040 RevenueForecast

2014 - 2040 Revenue Forecast = $93.7 B

Federal20%

State14%

Local66%

Roads74%

Transit26%

Mode Source

Roads Transit

Toll Revenues $20.0

Property Tax14.9

Parking 1.4

METRO Sales Tax $5.7

METRO SalesTax $16.6

Farebox $3.0

2014 - 2040 Local Sources= $61.1 B

6. Vision andGoals

Vision Statement

In the year 2040, our region will have a safe, multimodal transportation system through coordinated investments that allow for a desirable quality of life, enhanced economic vitality and a high level of safety, access and mobility.

Goal: Mobility

Ensure travel is safe and reliable for people and goods

Maximize mobility and access to jobs, goods, services and global markets

Provide meaningful and equitable transportation options

Goal: Stewardship

Keep the transportation system in a state of good repair

Manage transportation system assets efficiently and effectively

Goal: Prosperity

Support the region’s economic development and competitiveness

Enhance community health and quality of life by improving air quality and environmental conditions, and conserving natural resources

Goal: Implementation

Deliver investments quickly and cost-effectively that incorporate life cycle costs

Encourage regional coordination, cooperation and decision making

We Want Your Input

Take Action! Go to 2040Plan.org Provide feedback Tell others Open House Meeting

H-GAC March 19 6p-8p

What’s next? Analyze results of feedback Start Phase II Development Early 2014: Ask for your

input again

Contacts:For Information

on the RTP

Roland StrobelChief Transportation Planner

(713) 993-4538 roland.strobel@h-gac.com

To Schedule a Presentation

Rosalind HebertPublic Information Planner

(713) 993-2471 rosalind.hebert@h-gac.com

Go To 2040plan.org