dgs finance & strategy strategic force development – the route to the next sdsr will jones, ah...

DGs Finance & Strategy

Strategic Force Development –the route to the next SDSR

Will Jones, AH Strat Man (OA)

ISMOR

DGs Finance & Strategy

Affordability

Force Development

Capability

Policy

Force Development

DGs Finance & Strategy

Lessons Learned over SDSR

Limited buy-in from seniors• Visibility

• Credibility

Policy compliant• Resource informed

Connection to MOD battle-rhythm(s)• Annual finance processes

• New capability decisions

• 5 year SDSR cycle

DGs Finance & Strategy

National Security Strategy

Strategic Defence and Security Review (SDSR)

DGs Finance & Strategy

Force Development - Future

Force Testing

Capability Delivery

2020 ScenariosEvolved thoughStrat Trends

Force Driving

Future Force2020

Current Opsand SelectedContingencies

Interim Force2015

Directed Force2010

Capability Effects

New Scenarios‘Conceptual Environments’

Future Charact

er of Conflict

2030

Capability Questions

DGs Finance & Strategy

2011 20202015

FFD

2025 2031

SFD – POLICY TO CAPABILITY

CFD

FFD (FWD)

DGs Finance & Strategy

Future Force Development

4 per year Focussed at +10 year point Blue force pool 2020-2025 Multiple COAs Resource aware Detailed evidence for the rest of MOD Concurrency

What are the implications of our policy?

DGs Finance & Strategy

Future Force Development (Forward)

4 per year Follow from FFD Focussed at +10 year point Blue force pool 2020-2025 Multiple COAs Resource aware Detailed evidence for the rest of MOD Concurrency

What are the implications of changing our policy?

DGs Finance & Strategy

Conceptual Force Development

2 events per year Focussed around 2030 Broader “conceptual futures” Informing R&D and Capability Headmarks• Implications of where Defence may go

What may we be asked to face in the future?

DGs Finance & Strategy

Battle Rhythm

Annual• 4 FFD

• 4 FFD(F)

• 2 CFD

5 year cycle• Year 3 – Joint and Single Environment Operating Concepts

• Years 3 and 4 – Global Strategic Trends

• Year 4 – FCOC

• Year 5 – SDSR

DGs Finance & Strategy

Lessons Learned over SDSR

Limited buy-in from seniors• Visibility

• Credibility

Policy compliant• Resource informed

Connection to MOD battle-rhythm(s)• Annual finance processes

• New capability decisions

• 5 year SDSR cycle

DGs Finance & Strategy