digital enterprise group trends in voip development august 4, 2005 michael stanford intel...
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Digital Enterprise Group
Trends in VoIP Trends in VoIP DevelopmentDevelopment
August 4, 2005August 4, 2005
Michael StanfordMichael StanfordIntel CorporationIntel Corporation
Digital Enterprise Group
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SummarySummary
• VoIP is flourishing, driven by multiple forces:VoIP is flourishing, driven by multiple forces:– IMSIMS– Smarter clientsSmarter clients– Fixed/Mobile convergence (IMS + dual mode phones)Fixed/Mobile convergence (IMS + dual mode phones)– Broadband deployment and evolution Broadband deployment and evolution
• VoIP is old news. Long live “Services over IP.”VoIP is old news. Long live “Services over IP.”– SoIP is more than a “Low cost PSTN replacement” SoIP is more than a “Low cost PSTN replacement” – Wideband audio, video, IM, PTT, presence, collaboration Wideband audio, video, IM, PTT, presence, collaboration
• Open networks, open source and standard Open networks, open source and standard environments accelerate innovationenvironments accelerate innovation
• Regulation continues to be a wild-cardRegulation continues to be a wild-card
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The VoIP Revolution Marches OnThe VoIP Revolution Marches On• Carriers have moved to VoIP, driven by data bandwidth demands, as Carriers have moved to VoIP, driven by data bandwidth demands, as
well as CapEx and OpEx pressureswell as CapEx and OpEx pressures• Enterprise phone sales crossed over in 2005Enterprise phone sales crossed over in 2005• Cellular industry is committed to SIP for 3G on IMS – the wireline Cellular industry is committed to SIP for 3G on IMS – the wireline
industry is following industry is following • Skype* phenomenon continues – Skype Out*, Skype In*, Skype Video, Skype* phenomenon continues – Skype Out*, Skype In*, Skype Video,
Skype API extensions, 140M downloads…Skype API extensions, 140M downloads…
Jan Feb March April May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec
Microsoft launches Communicator 2005
FCC issues E911 warning requirement for VoIP
BEA launches WebLogic Communications Platform
BT launches Fusion
FCC rules “entirely Internet-based VoIP” an “unregulated information service.”
2005 in review
Japanese government urges end of PSTN by 2007
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Voice Voice Service Service
is is Cellular Cellular Service Service
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
WW
Un
it S
hip
me
nts
(M
)
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
WW
Un
it S
hip
me
nts
(M
)
Source: European Information Technology Observatory
Dual Mode Cell Dual Mode Cell Phone Shipments:Phone Shipments:
~100 M in 2010 ~100 M in 2010
So
urc
e: A
BI R
esea
rch
2Q
200
5
Cell Phones Cell Phones Connect to Connect to Fixed Network Fixed Network
Industry consolidation drives FMC
Europe US World
Su
bsc
rib
ers
in m
illio
ns
Cellular
Wireline
Lowestimate
Highestimate
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Data Phones Overtake Voice Phones….Data Phones Overtake Voice Phones….
0%0%
20%20%
40%40%
60%60%
80%80%
100%100%
20012001 20022002 20032003 20042004 20052005 20062006 20072007 20082008
High-End/High-End/EnterpriseEnterprise
High-TierHigh-Tier
Mid-RangeMid-Range
Low-EndLow-End
Source: IDC, February 2005Source: IDC, February 2005
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BandwidthBandwidthS
ourc
e: E
ITO
200
5 sp
ecia
l stu
dy
iTown Communications announced in July 2005 that they plan to deploy ultra-broadband – 100 Mbits/sec to rural areas.
300M BB subscribers WW by 2008300M BB subscribers WW by 2008
Cable DSL BWA
DE
LL’O
RO
Gro
up, A
cces
s F
orec
ast T
able
s, J
anua
ry 2
004
-
50
100
150
200
250
300
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Broadband + QoS catalyze new usages
Source: Ovum-RHK
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’’0505
Fixed Trials BeginFixed Trials Begin
’’06-’0706-’07
Notebook Notebook IntegrationIntegration
and Early Mobile and Early Mobile TrialsTrials
’’08-’1008-’10
GlobalGlobalNetwork Network RolloutRollout
’’07-’0807-’08
WiMax accelerates broadband availabilityWiMax accelerates broadband availability
PhonesPhonesand Earlyand Early
MobileMobileNetworkNetworkRolloutRollout
WiMax evolves to broadband mobility
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VoIP is the Beachhead to VoIP is the Beachhead to “Services over IP (SoIP)”“Services over IP (SoIP)”
• The technologies underlying VoIP (RTP, SIP, The technologies underlying VoIP (RTP, SIP, QoS, IMS) support more than just voice:QoS, IMS) support more than just voice:– High quality (wide-band) audio High quality (wide-band) audio – Video Video
– Video mail/messaging, video portals, video caller ID, Video mail/messaging, video portals, video caller ID, video CRBT, video in contact centers, push-to-video, video CRBT, video in contact centers, push-to-video, distance learning, video conferencing, IPTV…distance learning, video conferencing, IPTV…
– Instant MessagingInstant Messaging– Push to TalkPush to Talk– Presence Presence – Document sharingDocument sharing– Rich collaborationRich collaboration– Rapid innovation of new features and new service Rapid innovation of new features and new service
combinations combinations
VoIP is the baseline feature that opens the door to new revenue-producing services
“The broadband revolution is not just about cheap voice: it is about service innovation. The revolution is about…new and compelling ways to use a
network.” Ovum-RHK, January 2005
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Evolution of Network and Service ModelsEvolution of Network and Service Models
ServersServers
ClientsClients
ClientsClients
ServersServers
ClientsClients
Old Ma Bell
Some MNOs
Enterprise TEMs
Current ILECs
MSOs
Internet
Vonage/Skype
MVNOs
Closed Open
ServersServers
IP enables open networks
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J2EE* or .NET App Server Environment
Open Networks accelerate innovationOpen Networks accelerate innovation
Multi-modal Multi-modal ClientsClients
VoiceServices
(IMS)
VoiceServices
(IMS)
DSLDSL
EntertainmentServices
EntertainmentServicesWWWWWW
VCCServices
(IMS)
VCCServices
(IMS)
IP Connectivity Access Network (IP-CAN)
CableCable WiMaxWiMaxPSTNPSTN GSMGSM GPRSGPRS 3G3G
EmailEmail
Wi-FiW
i-Fi
Wi-Fi
Opportunity:
New Services
Opportunity:
New Services
Opportunity:
New Applications
Opportunity:
New Applications
IMS allows billed services on open networks
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ManagedNetwork
Clouds on the HorizonClouds on the Horizon
ServersServers
ClientsClients
“Parasitic”Services
“Parasitic”Services
ManagedNetwork
Internet
Telmex alleged to block VoIP
Vonage says that Telmex may identify VoIP users based on the kind of traffic they send, then choke their bandwidth to disrupt the calls.
Vodafone blocks VoIP:
On July 13, 2005, Vodafone’s German operation announced that they intend to block third party VoIP traffic on their network starting in July 2007.
Madison River unblocks VoIP
On March 3, 2005, the FCC approved a consent decree under which Madison River Telephone Company of Mebane, N.C., paid a $15,000 fine, and agreed to refrain from preventing customers from using VoIP by port blocking or any other means.
Verizon cripples Bluetooth
Verizon disabled some of the Bluetooth profiles on the Motorola V710 handset, triggering a class action lawsuit filed December 30, 2004 by Kirtland & Packard LLP.
Network owners are motivated to block third party services
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IMS and Dual-Mode Handsets Drive IMS and Dual-Mode Handsets Drive Fixed/Mobile Convergence (FMC)Fixed/Mobile Convergence (FMC)
• IP multimedia subsystem (IMS) can be IP multimedia subsystem (IMS) can be accessed by any IP connectivity access accessed by any IP connectivity access networknetwork
• The same IMS service infrastructure can The same IMS service infrastructure can run over the PSTN, BB fixed VoIP, and run over the PSTN, BB fixed VoIP, and cellular access networkscellular access networks
• The multi-service gateway (MSG) The multi-service gateway (MSG) includes an analog terminal adapter includes an analog terminal adapter (ATA), so you can plug in a (ATA), so you can plug in a conventional phone conventional phone
• The dual-mode cell phone uses The dual-mode cell phone uses Wi-Fi either as a cordless phone with Wi-Fi either as a cordless phone with fixed VoIP service or for network offload fixed VoIP service or for network offload for cellular servicefor cellular service
IP-CAN
PSTN/SS7
CellularBB/WiMAX
IMSIMS
Wi-Fi
MSG
Opportunity: FMC Enables numerous new services
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Voice is Just Another Service on Voice is Just Another Service on IP NetworksIP Networks
• J2EE J2EE – BEA WebLogic* BEA WebLogic*
Communications Communications Platform runs on IMSPlatform runs on IMS
• .NET .NET – Microsoft* Live Microsoft* Live
Communications Communications ServerServer
So use the same powerful development and deployment environments already familiar to
countless web developers:
Standardization speeds service creation and deployment
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Where to Next?Where to Next?
• VoIP is old news – SoIP is where it’s at!VoIP is old news – SoIP is where it’s at!• VoIP is just another application for IP – VoIP is just another application for IP –
implement it with Web architectures implement it with Web architectures • Opportunities abound for developers:Opportunities abound for developers:
– Fixed/mobile convergenceFixed/mobile convergence– VideoVideo– Rich collaborationRich collaboration– Location-based servicesLocation-based services– Usability enhancements Usability enhancements
www.intel.com/go/VoIP, www.intel.com/go/ims
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Thank You!Thank You!
Copyright © Intel Corporation 2005.
Intel and the Intel logo are trademarks or registered trademarks of Intel or its subsidiaries in the United States and other countries.
*Other names and brands may be claimed as the property of others.
All rights reserved.00-9772-001 07/05
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